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By: Scott L. Podvin, Managing Director
                      The Crest at Waterford Lakes, LLC
                      spodvin@post.harvard.edu
                      www.TheCrestLife.com
                      http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
                      Tel: (305) 793-5762; Fax: (305) 665-3971


Scott L. Podvin: Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt –
                                                  April 27-28, 2009
UPDATE: TARP AND
         GOVERNMENT LIQUIDITY
              FACILITIES
9:45 Scrutinizing Government Bailout and Liquidity Facilities: What Will They Mean For Real Estate
Mezzanine Financing?

• Examining the Treasury/Obama Administration's initiatives to relieve balance sheets and the capital
markets. What signals have been given about the Administration's plans for managing the quot;rescuequot; funds?
• Is a bailout for Commercial Real Estate a good or bad idea? Why?
• Will TARP recipients begin shedding troubled loan assets in 2009?
• Will the lack of credit encourage Opportunity Funds to originate mezzanine-like debt?
• What will TARP ultimately mean for the Real Estate Mezzanine loan industry?
• Fed Bad Bank: How will it operate? How will they deal with the bad paper? What is the time frame?
             Comparing and contrasting with the RTC
• What will be the role of regulators in the new economic landscape?
• Why are certain banks refusing TARP money? Are community banks discriminated against in favor of
money-center banks when it comes to bailouts?
• Why is credit so scarce after billions of TARP dollars were put to work?
• How will an extended recession affect local, regional and money-center banks?

Moderator:
Mark Grinis, Partner, Ernst & Young LLP

Panelists:
Richard K. Hollowell, Managing Director, Alvarez & Marsal Real Estate Advisory Services, LLC
Scott L. Podvin, Managing Director, The Crest At Waterford Lakes, LLC
Mark Landau, Managing Director, GoldenBridge Advisors
Jay N. Rollins, President, JCR Capital
Chad Robins, CEO - North Amercia, Opportune
Stuart Boesky, Chief Executive Officer, The Pembrook Group, LLC
DIRE OUTLOOK FOR WORLD
                    ECONOMY
12mm
pple in
US
looking
                                    • Capital Markets are closed
for
                                    • European Recession Deepening and UE
work
                                      rising: now at 8.5%
                                    • Europe's recession risks lasting into
                                                                                         • IMF is expected to borrow
                                      2010
                                                                                           $100Bn from Japan and
•   US deals drop from 154 to 99; • European Central Bank's revises down
                                                                                           may even issue bonds, an
    UK deals fell from 74 to 50;      its 2010 growth forecast for eurozone
                                                                                           unprecedented step in its
    FASB Revises rules                from 1% to zero.
                                                                                           64-yr history
    Securitization trusts hold 1.5T • 3 European governments have fallen -
•
                                                                                         • Russia to supervise a
                                      in Belgium, Latvia and Iceland, which
    of subprime and alt-A                                                                  consolidation plan that would
                                      is not a EU member but could soon
    loans, $400B of which are                                                              see the number of banks cut
                                      apply to join – IMF called in for
    delinquent                                                                             from 1,100 to 500.
                                      Hungary, Romania and Latvia.
                                                                                         • Global financial tsunami
•   Growth expected to resume       • Europe needs a unified front on the
                                                                                           batters Hong Kong, as it
    early 2010, IF successful         economic crisis.
                                                                                           falls into recession
    resolution to banking crisis    • WORLD BANK FOUND 17 OF THE G20
                                      HAVE IMPLEMENTED 47 MEASURES
•   742,000 jobs cut in March and
                                      SINCE LAST G20 SUMMIT WITH A
    706,000 in February.
                                      PROTECTIONIST AGENDA
•   Mexico seeks $47Bn credit
    line from IMF
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April
27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
                 3
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
BIG DEBT
• By 2012, the ratio of gross public debt to
  gross domestic product could be:
• 117% in Italy;
• 97% in the US;
• 80% in France;
• 79% in Germany; &
• 75% in the UK.
• 224% in Japan
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers &
Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine
Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April
27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
*The chart (left)
                                                                                                     shows the flow
                                                                                                     of consumer
                                                                                                     credit by type in
                                                                                                     2007 & 08.
                                                                                                     Securitized
                                                                                                     lending took a
                                                                                                     U-turn, $22Bn in
                                                                                                     „07 to $28Bn in
                                                                                                     ‟08

                                                                                                     *Lending by
                                                                                                     finance
                                                                                                     companies
                                                                                                     turned negative
                                                                                                     as well, -$7
                                                                                                     billion in 2008.

                                                                                                     *Tight credit
                                                                                                     conditions are
                                                                                                     the primary drag
                                                                                                     on consumer
                                                                                                     credit; and
                                                                                                     therefore, spend
                                                                                                     ing is collapsing.



Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April
27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt --
April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
RED INK OF A GREYER FUTURE




Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
NATIONALIZING THE BANKING SYSTEM




    Total losses now exceed impact of RTC
                                           Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
                                   Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
                                      spodvin@post.harvard.edu
                                  http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
NATIONAL DEBT FORECASTS




Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
BEAST OF BURDEN
                   US                                            BRITAIN
• US has seen forecasts                             • Britain has seen a
  for its national debt as                            bigger increase in its
  a share of gross                                    forecast debt
  domestic product in                                 burden, from 43 per
  2012 rise from 66 per                               cent to 75 per cent
  cent to 97 per cent




Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate
Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
FORECAST FOR DEFAULTS
          AND BANKRUPTCIES
• Debt defaults increase at double-digit rate next 24
  months
• 160 to 190 defaults in 2009
• B/n 120 and 140 in 2010
• Typically, 2 out of 3 to 3 out of 4 defaults end in
  bankruptcies within 3 months.
• Thus, we are looking at:
     – 150 bankruptcies in 2009 and
     – 100 in 2010.
        according to a bi-annual study in November 2008 by Bain Corporate Renewal Group.



Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
ASSET BUBBLE
             W/ CRATERING VALUES
• U.S. home
  owners lost a
  cumulative $3.3T
  in home values
  in
  2008, according
  to Zillow.

• Since
  2006, more than
  $6.1T in quot;valuequot;
  has evaporated.
                                          Recipe for real estate bubble: slice of mbs into a bowl of
                                          cdos and (add) another layer of cdos on top
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
THE GRAND PLAN




Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
Public Law 110-343/HR 1424
   SON OF TARP IS BORNE
• Effective October 3, 2008, this 169-
  page law created a $700 billion
  dollar Troubled Assets Relief
  Program under the Emergency
  Economic Stabilization Act of 2008
  (division A), and also enacted the
  Energy Improvement and Extension
  Act of 2008 (division B), Tax
  Extenders and Alternative Minimum
  Tax Relief Act of 2008 (division C)

Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
WHAT‟S LEFT
• 81% of $700Bn in TARP is
  committed.
• $135Bn of TARP funds
  available
  –$22Bn of which will go to
   auto industry
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
PARTIAL PAYMENTS COMING IN
• Four banks paid back TARP money:
1. Signature Bank of NY repays $120MM
2. Old National Bank of Indiana repays
   $100MM
3. Iberiabank of LA paid back $90MM
4. Bank of Marin Bancorp of
   Novato, Calif rapid $28MM

Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
TALF
• Of $700Bn of TARP money, $100Bn
  earmarked for TALF;
• NY Fed. Res. Bank uses $100Bn as
  collateral on loans to be made to
  investors in asset backed securities
  (ABS) such as CMBS.
• Facility expires 12/31/2009.

Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans &
Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
TALF‟S “ELIGIBLE BORROWERS”
Any U.S. Co. owning “eligible collateral” w/ primary
  dealer acct.
An entity is a U.S. company for TALF if:
   – (i) Business entity organized under US laws; or
   – (ii) U.S. branch or agency of foreign bank (other
     than a foreign central bank) that maintains
     reserves with a Fed. Res. Bank; or
   – (iii) U.S.-organized investment fund managed by US
     investment manager.
• NO entity controlled by a foreign gov‟t or is mngd by
  an investment mngr controlled by a foreign gov‟t.

Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
WHAT IS AN “INVESTMENT FUND” FOR
        PURPOSES OF THE TALF “ELIGIBLE
           BORROWER” DEFINITION?
An investment fund is any type of pooled
  investment vehicle, including a:
1. Hedge Fund,
2. Private Equity fund, and
3. Mutual Fund, or
4. Vehicle that primarily or exclusively
   invests in eligible collateral and
   borrows from the TALF.
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
TALF -- LOAN TERMS AND
                STRUCTURE
• Non-recourse loans
• 3-yr term
• Not subject to mark-to-
  market or re-margining
  requirements.
• pre-payable (in whole or
  in part)
• No substitution of
  collateral
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
TALF: RAY OF HOPE ON
   TOXIC ASSETS
    To start the process, banks will
•
    identify to the FDIC the
    assets, typically a pool of
    loans, that they wish to sell.

    Assets eligible for purchase will be
•
    determined by the participating
    banks, including primary
    regulators– FDIC & Treasury.

    FDIC retains contractors to analyze
•
    loan pools and determine the level
    of debt to be issued by the PPIF
    that it is willing to guarantee.

    $10MM -- min. loan amt
•

    NY Fed assesses admin fee = 5 bps
•
    of loan amt
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
TALF‟S ELIGIBLE COLLATERAL
•   ABS with AAA ratings
•   Eligible small business loan of ABS.
•   ABS cleared through Depository Trust Company.
•   Substantially all credit exposure exposed to U.S.-
    domiciled obligors.




Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans &
Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
ELIGIBLE COLLATERAL CONT.-
Underlying credit exposures of eligible ABS must be:
(1) auto loans,
(2) student loans,
(3) credit card loans,
(4) equipment loans,
(5) floor-plan loans,
(6) small business loans fully guaranteed by the U.S.
  SBA, or
(7) receivables related to residential mortgage
  servicing advances (servicing advance receivables).

Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
TIME FOR A MARKET
              STABILITY REGULATOR




Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
Addressing The First Component of
         Regulatory Reform: Systemic Risk
• A Single Independent Regulator With Responsibility Over
  Systemically Important Firms and Critical Payment and
  Settlement Systems
• Higher Standards on Capital and Risk Management for
  Systemically Important Firms
• Registration of All Hedge Fund Advisers With Assets Under
  Management Above a Moderate Threshold
• A Comprehensive Framework of Oversight, Protections and
  Disclosure for the OTC Derivatives Market
• New Requirements for Money Market Funds to Reduce the
  Risk of Rapid Withdrawals
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
Doing Deals Today & Devising Your Business
     Strategy For The Next 12 Months
                                                     Moderator:
                                                 •
• A Borrowers' Perspective                           Norman Radow, President, The
      Among the questions to be discussed:
  –
                                                     RADCO Companies
      Who are you borrowing from?
  –
                                                     Panelists:
                                                 •
      What Real Estate are you investing in?
  –
      How did you get Lenders interested in
                                                     Michael F.
  –
                                                 •
      your deal?
                                                     Severson, VP, A&D, Bixby Land
      What terms and pricing are you seeing?
  –
                                                     Co
      What do you want to see that will
  –
      realistically increase returns?
                                                     Scott L. Podvin, Managing
                                                 •
      Where do you see terms/pricing going in
  –
                                                     Director, The Crest at
      the next year? Mezzanine or equity:
                                                     Waterford Lakes
      Which is easier?
      What are the key issues and barriers for
                                                     Bob
  –
                                                 •
      prospective Borrowers at this time?
                                                     Sonnenblick, CEO, Sonnenblick
      What are your business plans for the
  –
                                                     Del Rio
      next 12 months?
      How does this compare to the last 12
  –
                                                     Christopher
                                                 •
      months?
                                                     Bley, Principal, Turnkey Group
      What deals are you actively seeking?
  –
NOW IS THE TIME
                         TO RAISE A FUND




Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
VULTURES CIRCLING –
                     EYEING THEIR PREY

• In 2008, $87Bn was                    • Benson Elliot
  raised by 87                            Real Estate
  opportunistic or debt and               Partners III, a
  distressed debt focused                 pan-European
  funds.                                  distressed real
                                          estate fund. The
• Of the $87Bn, U.S.
                                          fund managed to
  accounted for $47Bn and
                                          raise around €510
  Europe for $15.8Bn
                                          million, officials
• $56.25Bn raised in 2006                 at the firm said.
• $73.75Bn raised in 2007

Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate
Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
FUND RAISING TIME
• Invista, w/ £8.7Bn of AUM, launched
  distressed property fund
• MGPA, owned in part by Australia‟s
  Macquarie Bank, secured $3.9Bn in
  equity, giving it $15.6Bn of potential
  buying power.
• MGPA committed $2.2Bn to investments
  in:
   – Singapore,         - Japan,
   – China and          -Thailand.
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
OTHERS ARE WAITING
                   ON THE SIDELINES
COMPELLING STORY
Consider explosive growth of RE-oriented private equity:
    Apollo
•
    Blackstone
•
    Colony Capital
•
    Carlyle Group
•
    Ramius
•
    Bain Capital
•
    SAC Capital
•
    Recent Deals
•
    London Opportunity Fund
•
    Stamford‟s Opportunity Fund
•
    Source: Kingsley Associates and Institutional Real Estate, Inc
–

Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
REITS RAISING MONEY TOO:
     DON‟T BE THE LAST ONE TO THE PARTY

• 2 BIG DEALS
1. Simon Property Group, Inc. (“SPG”) announces:
    1. closed equity and debt offerings.
    2. underwriters of the equity offering exercised their over-
       allotment option in full.
    3. Sold 17,250,000 shares of common stock at $31.50 per
       share.
    4. SPG‟s operating partnership completed its offering of $650
       million aggregate principal amount of its 10.35% senior
       unsecured notes due 2019.



Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
DEALMAKERS
2.AMB Property Corp. (AMB) priced 41.25 million
  shares, with an option to purchase up to 6.1
  million, at $12.15 per share. Proposed closing date
  is May 30th.
• Both Simon and AMB are selling equity at heavily
  depressed prices – AMB is trading near 8-year lows
  and SPG near 10-year lows.

Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
WHO IS SELLING
  SWFs
•
  HEDGE & OPPORTUNITY FUNDS
•
  REITS
•
  PRIVATE EQUITY FIRMS
•
  PENSION FUNDS
•
  ENDOWMENTS
•
  SPECIAL SERVICERS/MASTER
•
  SERVICERS
• REAL ESTATE COMPANIES
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
SIZE OF SWFS
-AUM of SWFs reaches $3.8Tr

-Add‟l $5.5Tr in other sovereign
 investment vehicles

-$6.1Tr official foreign
  exchange reserves.
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
SUPER SEVEN SWF FUNDS:
1. Abu Dhabi Invest Authority ($875 Bn);
2. Gov‟t Pension Fund Norway ($350Bn);
3. Singapore Investment Corp. ($330 Bn);
4. Kuwait Investment Authority ($250 Bn);
5. China Investment Corp. ($200 Bn);
6. Singapore's Temasek Holdings ($159.2
   Bn); and
7. Stabilisation Fund of the Russian Fed.
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
HEDGE FUND CENTRAL
                2008                                                 2007
    200 hedge funds hold assets worth                   350 hedge funds held asssets
•                                                   •
    more than $1Bn                                      worth moreh than $1Bn
    22,350 distinct investment vehicles                 22,640 distinct investment vehicles
•                                                   •
     – 15,150 single manager hedge                       – 15,250 single manager hedges
       funds                                             – 7,400 funds of hedge funds
     – 7,200 funds of hedge funds                       Total assets $1,760Bn
                                                    •
    Total assets $1,330Bn
•




                                                        Per Trac Financial Solutions
                                                    •



Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
HEDGE FUND LIQUIDATIONS
• Industry Managed approx. $2.5T
• No. of hedge funds managing more
  than $1Bn fell by more than 40%
• 1,471 funds, or roughly 15% of the
  hedge fund industry, were liquidated
• More than 775 funds closed in the
  final quarter of 2008
    Per Trac Financial Solutions
•



Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate
Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
THE GREAT LIQUIDATION
• $200Bn to be
  withdrawn in 2009
• $155Bn was taken
  out in 2008
• This cycle will likely
  see more liquidations
  than in the last three
  combined, said
  Steven Smith, global
  head of leveraged
  finance at UBS in NY.
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
WHO IS LIQUIDATING
  Drake Management,
•
  Centaurus Capital,
•
  London Diversified Fund Management
•
  Basso Capital,
•
  Ferox Capital Management
•
  Norwich Union‟s £2.8Bn unit-linked vehicle
•
  forced to close
• The Man Group, the world‟s largest publicly
  traded hedge fund manager, said net
  outflows by institutions were about $4.2Bn
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
HARD TIMES HIT HEDGES
• Fortress Investment Group places
  restrictions on redemptions.
• Blackstone
• Och-Ziff Capital Management
• Cerberus and
• Citadel are facing tougher times, as
  well.
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
WHO IS GROWING THEIR ARMY
• Highbridge Capital Management, once
  the world‟s biggest hedge fund, had a
  $1Bn of net inflows this
  year, including $225MM from
  JPMorgan –ends qtr with $20Bn AUM




Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
TARGET PRACTICE
                     HIT THE HEDGE
                                                   Funds without independent admins
                                                   1) ESL Investments, run by
                                                      Eddie Lampert
                                                   2) Renaissance
                                                      Technologies,     run by
                                                      billionaire Jim Simons
                                                   3) Chicago Citadel, run by Ken
                                                      Griffin
                                                   4) SAC CAPITAL, run by
                                                      billionaire Steven Cohen
                                                   5) Cerberus
                                                   6) HBK Capital, Dallas, Tx
                                                   7) Caxton Associates, run by
                                                      billionaire Bruce Kovner

                                                         These are the targets!!!
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
BOOM IN SECONDARY MARKET
    FOR HEDGE FUNDS
  100s of funds freeze withdrawals
•
  Investors need cash
•
  Investors offer stakes at deep discounts
•
  PERMAL, hedge fund specialist w/ €25Bn
•
  AUM, ready to snap up secondhand stakes
  at a discount
• HFX Capital Mngmnt and VEGA Asset
  Mngmnt raising $1Bn fund to purchase
  secondary stakes in hedges
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
CDS CLEANING SERVICE




Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate
Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
MASSIVE SALES
1.RBS Hires Ubs To Sell £500mm Of Invstmnts In
   •
  Private Equity Funds
2.$134bn Of Private Equity Assets On The Balance
  Sheet 5 Of     6 Big Money Banks And Aig
3.AIG selling Tokyo landmark near Imperial Palace.
4.GE is a seller
5.Japanese companies start selling properties to
  meet     financing needs, says Eiji
  Sakaguchi, head of real estate      banking at
  Morgan Stanley in Japan
Source: super return conference Berlin, Germany
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans &
Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
Private Equity Fund Diagram




Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans &
Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
MATURING & ROBUST 2DRY MARKET
        FOR SELLERS OF PRIVATE EQUITY ASSETS

• Types of Secondary
  Transactions

     2.1
     Sale of Limited
       Partnership
       Interests

     2.2
     Sale of Direct
     Interests




Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate
Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
FOUR POCKETS OF DEMAND
1.Opportunity Funds that have been established to
  buy real estate equity
2.Newer Opp. Funds that have been created as
  dedicated debt investors
3.Private Equity looking at real estate debt
4.Real Estate Companies buy back their own debt or
  debt of others




Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate
Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
REITS UNLOAD
• REITS among 1st to sell                          • Hotel Reits – down 38%
  properties                                       • Retail REITs down 39%
• Dow Jones Equity ALL REIT                        • Health Care REITS down
  Total Return Index, which                          28%
  tracks 113 stocks, posted a                      • Self Storage REITs down
  negative total return of                           32%
  32% in first quarter of
  2009.


Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
BLUE HORESHOE
                      LOVES DISTRESS
• Consider the dramatic tilt in institutional
  investors‟ (2007) allocations:
   – $44.5 billion targeted to domestic real
     estate
   – $36.3 billion to private real estate
      • $24.7 billion to non-core (i.e., value-
        added and opportunistic),
      • $11.6 billion to core (i.e., stabilized
        apartment, industrial, office & retail)
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
PODVIN DEVELOPMENT GROUP
              RAISING $$100MM FUND TO
   PURCHASE REAL ESTATE, DISTRESSED/OPPORTUNISTIC
                       ASSETS
 THIS FUND SHALL FOCUS ON PURCHASING THE FOLLOWING TYPES OF ASSETS/DEBT:
                   Strategically located developments, located in the centre of a city,
                   being large-scale and multi-phase developments typically consisting
   City-Core
                   of residential, hospitality, office, retail, entertainment and cultural
  Development
                   properties with a blend of historic restoration and modern
    Projects
                   architecture.

                   Large-scale multi-family residential communities in secondary and
                   tertiary markets located on main and main where we can implement a
   Integrated
                   capital improvement program to push the rents. We will be prepared to
   Residential
                   purchase asset/debt on an all cash basis, but once the community has
  Development
    Projects       been stabilized, we shall lever it or dispose of the asset, triggering a
                   repayment event.

                   There will be tremendous opportunities in busted condos and conversions
 Broken Condos &
                   while value add plays will also be easy to find. Likewise, there will be many
  Conversions or
     Partially     projects with incomplete construction that we will be able to pick up on the
   Constructed     cheap, complete construction and reposition the asset to create a vibrant
   Communities     working, walkable (with bike paths and all), sustainable and living community
                   for working class people.

WE ARE NOW RAISING A                      Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western
                                          Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate
$100,000,000 FUND TO                      Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt
PURCHASE DISTRESSED                       April 27-28, 2009
INVESTORS
1. Institutional Investors



                                     Investors
2. Pension funds
                                                                   Our Preferred
3. Insurance companies
                                                                   Shares pay
4. Endowments
                                                                   cumulative
5. Investment Banks
                                                                   preferential cash
6. Commercial Banks
                                                                   distributions at an
7. Fund of funds
                                                                   annual rate of 9%.
8. Hedge Funds
9. High net worth individuals
10. Family offices
11. Sovereign wealth funds

Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate
Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
WHAT WE DO
                                                    • We identify real
                                                      estate
                                                      opportunities
                                                      that     generate
                                                      superior     risk-
                                                      adjusted returns
                                                      while    ensuring
                                                      capital
                                                      preservation.
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
CORE BUSINESS FOCUS
1. Identification;
2. Acquisition;
3. Ownership; and
4. Operation of multi-family residential
   and hospitality real estate properties.



Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans &
Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
TYPES OF INVESTMENT
WE MAKE THE FOLLOWING TYPES OF
                                                    DEAL SIZE
INVESTMENTS:
                                                    • The ideal deal size will
• single assets and
                                                      start at US$2-25MM,
  portfolios;
                                                      with a minimum equity
• development or
                                                      investment of US$5
  redevelopment
                                                      million.
  projects;
                                                    • We have capacity for
• real estate operating
                                                      large transactions as a
  platforms; and
                                                      result of co-investment
• structured loans and                                and partnerships with
  partnerships.                                       our broad institutional
                                                      client base.
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
Investment Objectives
(1)acquire neglected multi-family residential
   &/or hospitality properties; and
(2) increase profitability thru:
  (a) providing superior property
  management,
  (b) improving appearance & environment;
  (c) implementing renovation strategies;
  and,
  (d) cross-selling ancillary services
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
INVESTMENT APPROACH
    Conduct thorough and comprehensive research
•
    Perform ongoing review
•
    Commit to strong on-the-ground presence
•
    Add value by applying focused leasing & expense
•
    reduction strategy
    Undertake development or redevelopment plans
•
    Create a tailored plan for each investment
•
    Identify key milestones and profit drivers to
•
    achieve the targeted result.
    Capital and financial structuring.
•
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
OUR PHILOSOPHY
• DO THE RIGHT THING: Our core ethos is to quot;do the
  right thing” -- responsible investment.
• ALIGNING INTERESTS: To deliver results, we
  strategically structure the organization and employment
  compensation plans.
• PARTNERING: Working together (within our business
  and with clients & service providers), we achieve far more
  than on our own.
• DELIVERING INVESTMENT EXCELLENCE:
  delivering investment excellence lies at the heart of
  building client confidence.
Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
OUR STRATEGY
• Attract and retain investors;
• Continuous research and innovation;
• Deliver stable platform for growth;




Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
REAL ESTATE
    FUNDS – THE
    ANATOMY OF THE
    DEAL

Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers
& Investors Forum on Real Estate
Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
spodvin@post.harvard.edu
http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dv
in
What to Look for in a
                   REAL ESTATE FUND
    Experience
•
    Skills
•
    Contacts
•
    Practical problem solving
•
    Reputation
•
    Team
•
    Capacity
•
    $$ Balance Sheet $$
•
                                           Scott L. Podvin:
IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real
                                   Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
                                      spodvin@post.harvard.edu
                                  http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
THE CHEMISTRY COUNTS
        Alignment of Interests:
    FUND & REAL ESTATE COMPANY
•   Fund Objectives
•   Fund Life
•   Leverage and Financing
•   Guarantees
•   Management Style and Control
•   Tax Considerations
•   Dealing with Unexpected Issues


                              Scott L. Podvin:
    IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate
     Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
                         spodvin@post.harvard.edu
                      http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
ABOUT US
• PDG is an independently managed private equity real estate
  investment advisory company focused on real estate investment in
  the U.S., Europe and Asia.
• Our managed investments include development and redevelopment
  projects, joint-ventures and real estate operating companies in the
  office, retail, industrial, residential and hotel sectors.
• We combine local knowledge of our real estate professionals with
  broad global perspectives to develop our strategies and identify
  investment opportunities.
• Our team of real estate professionals come from diverse
  backgrounds, with the full range of skills required to invest in and
  manage real estate and advise real estate funds. Our specialists
  apply their skills to ensure that we drive every one of our investments
  to perform at its optimum.
• PDG is independent of any broader financial services group. We can
  invest funds on behalf of a number of different
  organizations, including pension funds, insurance
  companies, government entities and financial institutions, as well as
  charities and endowments.
• Scott L. Podvin, Managing Director of
  The Crest at Waterford Lakes, LLC
• www.TheCrestLife.com
• spodvin@post.harvard.edu
• Cell: (305) 793-5762
• Fax: (305) 665-3971

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6th Western Borrowers N Investors Mezz Loans And Distress Debt 26 March09

  • 1. By: Scott L. Podvin, Managing Director The Crest at Waterford Lakes, LLC spodvin@post.harvard.edu www.TheCrestLife.com http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin Tel: (305) 793-5762; Fax: (305) 665-3971 Scott L. Podvin: Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt – April 27-28, 2009
  • 2. UPDATE: TARP AND GOVERNMENT LIQUIDITY FACILITIES 9:45 Scrutinizing Government Bailout and Liquidity Facilities: What Will They Mean For Real Estate Mezzanine Financing? • Examining the Treasury/Obama Administration's initiatives to relieve balance sheets and the capital markets. What signals have been given about the Administration's plans for managing the quot;rescuequot; funds? • Is a bailout for Commercial Real Estate a good or bad idea? Why? • Will TARP recipients begin shedding troubled loan assets in 2009? • Will the lack of credit encourage Opportunity Funds to originate mezzanine-like debt? • What will TARP ultimately mean for the Real Estate Mezzanine loan industry? • Fed Bad Bank: How will it operate? How will they deal with the bad paper? What is the time frame? Comparing and contrasting with the RTC • What will be the role of regulators in the new economic landscape? • Why are certain banks refusing TARP money? Are community banks discriminated against in favor of money-center banks when it comes to bailouts? • Why is credit so scarce after billions of TARP dollars were put to work? • How will an extended recession affect local, regional and money-center banks? Moderator: Mark Grinis, Partner, Ernst & Young LLP Panelists: Richard K. Hollowell, Managing Director, Alvarez & Marsal Real Estate Advisory Services, LLC Scott L. Podvin, Managing Director, The Crest At Waterford Lakes, LLC Mark Landau, Managing Director, GoldenBridge Advisors Jay N. Rollins, President, JCR Capital Chad Robins, CEO - North Amercia, Opportune Stuart Boesky, Chief Executive Officer, The Pembrook Group, LLC
  • 3. DIRE OUTLOOK FOR WORLD ECONOMY 12mm pple in US looking • Capital Markets are closed for • European Recession Deepening and UE work rising: now at 8.5% • Europe's recession risks lasting into • IMF is expected to borrow 2010 $100Bn from Japan and • US deals drop from 154 to 99; • European Central Bank's revises down may even issue bonds, an UK deals fell from 74 to 50; its 2010 growth forecast for eurozone unprecedented step in its FASB Revises rules from 1% to zero. 64-yr history Securitization trusts hold 1.5T • 3 European governments have fallen - • • Russia to supervise a in Belgium, Latvia and Iceland, which of subprime and alt-A consolidation plan that would is not a EU member but could soon loans, $400B of which are see the number of banks cut apply to join – IMF called in for delinquent from 1,100 to 500. Hungary, Romania and Latvia. • Global financial tsunami • Growth expected to resume • Europe needs a unified front on the batters Hong Kong, as it early 2010, IF successful economic crisis. falls into recession resolution to banking crisis • WORLD BANK FOUND 17 OF THE G20 HAVE IMPLEMENTED 47 MEASURES • 742,000 jobs cut in March and SINCE LAST G20 SUMMIT WITH A 706,000 in February. PROTECTIONIST AGENDA • Mexico seeks $47Bn credit line from IMF Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu 3 http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 4. BIG DEBT • By 2012, the ratio of gross public debt to gross domestic product could be: • 117% in Italy; • 97% in the US; • 80% in France; • 79% in Germany; & • 75% in the UK. • 224% in Japan Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 5. *The chart (left) shows the flow of consumer credit by type in 2007 & 08. Securitized lending took a U-turn, $22Bn in „07 to $28Bn in ‟08 *Lending by finance companies turned negative as well, -$7 billion in 2008. *Tight credit conditions are the primary drag on consumer credit; and therefore, spend ing is collapsing. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 6. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 7. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu
  • 8. RED INK OF A GREYER FUTURE Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu
  • 9. NATIONALIZING THE BANKING SYSTEM Total losses now exceed impact of RTC Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 10. NATIONAL DEBT FORECASTS Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 11. BEAST OF BURDEN US BRITAIN • US has seen forecasts • Britain has seen a for its national debt as bigger increase in its a share of gross forecast debt domestic product in burden, from 43 per 2012 rise from 66 per cent to 75 per cent cent to 97 per cent Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 12.
  • 13. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 14. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 15. FORECAST FOR DEFAULTS AND BANKRUPTCIES • Debt defaults increase at double-digit rate next 24 months • 160 to 190 defaults in 2009 • B/n 120 and 140 in 2010 • Typically, 2 out of 3 to 3 out of 4 defaults end in bankruptcies within 3 months. • Thus, we are looking at: – 150 bankruptcies in 2009 and – 100 in 2010. according to a bi-annual study in November 2008 by Bain Corporate Renewal Group. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 16. ASSET BUBBLE W/ CRATERING VALUES • U.S. home owners lost a cumulative $3.3T in home values in 2008, according to Zillow. • Since 2006, more than $6.1T in quot;valuequot; has evaporated. Recipe for real estate bubble: slice of mbs into a bowl of cdos and (add) another layer of cdos on top Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu
  • 17. THE GRAND PLAN Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 18. Public Law 110-343/HR 1424 SON OF TARP IS BORNE • Effective October 3, 2008, this 169- page law created a $700 billion dollar Troubled Assets Relief Program under the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 (division A), and also enacted the Energy Improvement and Extension Act of 2008 (division B), Tax Extenders and Alternative Minimum Tax Relief Act of 2008 (division C) Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 19.
  • 20. WHAT‟S LEFT • 81% of $700Bn in TARP is committed. • $135Bn of TARP funds available –$22Bn of which will go to auto industry Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 21. PARTIAL PAYMENTS COMING IN • Four banks paid back TARP money: 1. Signature Bank of NY repays $120MM 2. Old National Bank of Indiana repays $100MM 3. Iberiabank of LA paid back $90MM 4. Bank of Marin Bancorp of Novato, Calif rapid $28MM Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 22. TALF • Of $700Bn of TARP money, $100Bn earmarked for TALF; • NY Fed. Res. Bank uses $100Bn as collateral on loans to be made to investors in asset backed securities (ABS) such as CMBS. • Facility expires 12/31/2009. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 23. TALF‟S “ELIGIBLE BORROWERS” Any U.S. Co. owning “eligible collateral” w/ primary dealer acct. An entity is a U.S. company for TALF if: – (i) Business entity organized under US laws; or – (ii) U.S. branch or agency of foreign bank (other than a foreign central bank) that maintains reserves with a Fed. Res. Bank; or – (iii) U.S.-organized investment fund managed by US investment manager. • NO entity controlled by a foreign gov‟t or is mngd by an investment mngr controlled by a foreign gov‟t. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 24. WHAT IS AN “INVESTMENT FUND” FOR PURPOSES OF THE TALF “ELIGIBLE BORROWER” DEFINITION? An investment fund is any type of pooled investment vehicle, including a: 1. Hedge Fund, 2. Private Equity fund, and 3. Mutual Fund, or 4. Vehicle that primarily or exclusively invests in eligible collateral and borrows from the TALF. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 25. TALF -- LOAN TERMS AND STRUCTURE • Non-recourse loans • 3-yr term • Not subject to mark-to- market or re-margining requirements. • pre-payable (in whole or in part) • No substitution of collateral Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 26. TALF: RAY OF HOPE ON TOXIC ASSETS To start the process, banks will • identify to the FDIC the assets, typically a pool of loans, that they wish to sell. Assets eligible for purchase will be • determined by the participating banks, including primary regulators– FDIC & Treasury. FDIC retains contractors to analyze • loan pools and determine the level of debt to be issued by the PPIF that it is willing to guarantee. $10MM -- min. loan amt • NY Fed assesses admin fee = 5 bps • of loan amt Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 27. TALF‟S ELIGIBLE COLLATERAL • ABS with AAA ratings • Eligible small business loan of ABS. • ABS cleared through Depository Trust Company. • Substantially all credit exposure exposed to U.S.- domiciled obligors. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 28. ELIGIBLE COLLATERAL CONT.- Underlying credit exposures of eligible ABS must be: (1) auto loans, (2) student loans, (3) credit card loans, (4) equipment loans, (5) floor-plan loans, (6) small business loans fully guaranteed by the U.S. SBA, or (7) receivables related to residential mortgage servicing advances (servicing advance receivables). Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 29. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 30. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 31. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu
  • 32. TIME FOR A MARKET STABILITY REGULATOR Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 33. Addressing The First Component of Regulatory Reform: Systemic Risk • A Single Independent Regulator With Responsibility Over Systemically Important Firms and Critical Payment and Settlement Systems • Higher Standards on Capital and Risk Management for Systemically Important Firms • Registration of All Hedge Fund Advisers With Assets Under Management Above a Moderate Threshold • A Comprehensive Framework of Oversight, Protections and Disclosure for the OTC Derivatives Market • New Requirements for Money Market Funds to Reduce the Risk of Rapid Withdrawals Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 34. Doing Deals Today & Devising Your Business Strategy For The Next 12 Months Moderator: • • A Borrowers' Perspective Norman Radow, President, The Among the questions to be discussed: – RADCO Companies Who are you borrowing from? – Panelists: • What Real Estate are you investing in? – How did you get Lenders interested in Michael F. – • your deal? Severson, VP, A&D, Bixby Land What terms and pricing are you seeing? – Co What do you want to see that will – realistically increase returns? Scott L. Podvin, Managing • Where do you see terms/pricing going in – Director, The Crest at the next year? Mezzanine or equity: Waterford Lakes Which is easier? What are the key issues and barriers for Bob – • prospective Borrowers at this time? Sonnenblick, CEO, Sonnenblick What are your business plans for the – Del Rio next 12 months? How does this compare to the last 12 – Christopher • months? Bley, Principal, Turnkey Group What deals are you actively seeking? –
  • 35. NOW IS THE TIME TO RAISE A FUND Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 36. VULTURES CIRCLING – EYEING THEIR PREY • In 2008, $87Bn was • Benson Elliot raised by 87 Real Estate opportunistic or debt and Partners III, a distressed debt focused pan-European funds. distressed real estate fund. The • Of the $87Bn, U.S. fund managed to accounted for $47Bn and raise around €510 Europe for $15.8Bn million, officials • $56.25Bn raised in 2006 at the firm said. • $73.75Bn raised in 2007 Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 37. FUND RAISING TIME • Invista, w/ £8.7Bn of AUM, launched distressed property fund • MGPA, owned in part by Australia‟s Macquarie Bank, secured $3.9Bn in equity, giving it $15.6Bn of potential buying power. • MGPA committed $2.2Bn to investments in: – Singapore, - Japan, – China and -Thailand. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 38. OTHERS ARE WAITING ON THE SIDELINES COMPELLING STORY Consider explosive growth of RE-oriented private equity: Apollo • Blackstone • Colony Capital • Carlyle Group • Ramius • Bain Capital • SAC Capital • Recent Deals • London Opportunity Fund • Stamford‟s Opportunity Fund • Source: Kingsley Associates and Institutional Real Estate, Inc – Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu
  • 39. REITS RAISING MONEY TOO: DON‟T BE THE LAST ONE TO THE PARTY • 2 BIG DEALS 1. Simon Property Group, Inc. (“SPG”) announces: 1. closed equity and debt offerings. 2. underwriters of the equity offering exercised their over- allotment option in full. 3. Sold 17,250,000 shares of common stock at $31.50 per share. 4. SPG‟s operating partnership completed its offering of $650 million aggregate principal amount of its 10.35% senior unsecured notes due 2019. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 40. DEALMAKERS 2.AMB Property Corp. (AMB) priced 41.25 million shares, with an option to purchase up to 6.1 million, at $12.15 per share. Proposed closing date is May 30th. • Both Simon and AMB are selling equity at heavily depressed prices – AMB is trading near 8-year lows and SPG near 10-year lows. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 41. WHO IS SELLING SWFs • HEDGE & OPPORTUNITY FUNDS • REITS • PRIVATE EQUITY FIRMS • PENSION FUNDS • ENDOWMENTS • SPECIAL SERVICERS/MASTER • SERVICERS • REAL ESTATE COMPANIES Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 42. SIZE OF SWFS -AUM of SWFs reaches $3.8Tr -Add‟l $5.5Tr in other sovereign investment vehicles -$6.1Tr official foreign exchange reserves. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu
  • 43. SUPER SEVEN SWF FUNDS: 1. Abu Dhabi Invest Authority ($875 Bn); 2. Gov‟t Pension Fund Norway ($350Bn); 3. Singapore Investment Corp. ($330 Bn); 4. Kuwait Investment Authority ($250 Bn); 5. China Investment Corp. ($200 Bn); 6. Singapore's Temasek Holdings ($159.2 Bn); and 7. Stabilisation Fund of the Russian Fed. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 44. HEDGE FUND CENTRAL 2008 2007 200 hedge funds hold assets worth 350 hedge funds held asssets • • more than $1Bn worth moreh than $1Bn 22,350 distinct investment vehicles 22,640 distinct investment vehicles • • – 15,150 single manager hedge – 15,250 single manager hedges funds – 7,400 funds of hedge funds – 7,200 funds of hedge funds Total assets $1,760Bn • Total assets $1,330Bn • Per Trac Financial Solutions • Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 45. HEDGE FUND LIQUIDATIONS • Industry Managed approx. $2.5T • No. of hedge funds managing more than $1Bn fell by more than 40% • 1,471 funds, or roughly 15% of the hedge fund industry, were liquidated • More than 775 funds closed in the final quarter of 2008 Per Trac Financial Solutions • Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 46. THE GREAT LIQUIDATION • $200Bn to be withdrawn in 2009 • $155Bn was taken out in 2008 • This cycle will likely see more liquidations than in the last three combined, said Steven Smith, global head of leveraged finance at UBS in NY. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 47. WHO IS LIQUIDATING Drake Management, • Centaurus Capital, • London Diversified Fund Management • Basso Capital, • Ferox Capital Management • Norwich Union‟s £2.8Bn unit-linked vehicle • forced to close • The Man Group, the world‟s largest publicly traded hedge fund manager, said net outflows by institutions were about $4.2Bn Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu
  • 48. HARD TIMES HIT HEDGES • Fortress Investment Group places restrictions on redemptions. • Blackstone • Och-Ziff Capital Management • Cerberus and • Citadel are facing tougher times, as well. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 49. WHO IS GROWING THEIR ARMY • Highbridge Capital Management, once the world‟s biggest hedge fund, had a $1Bn of net inflows this year, including $225MM from JPMorgan –ends qtr with $20Bn AUM Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 50. TARGET PRACTICE HIT THE HEDGE Funds without independent admins 1) ESL Investments, run by Eddie Lampert 2) Renaissance Technologies, run by billionaire Jim Simons 3) Chicago Citadel, run by Ken Griffin 4) SAC CAPITAL, run by billionaire Steven Cohen 5) Cerberus 6) HBK Capital, Dallas, Tx 7) Caxton Associates, run by billionaire Bruce Kovner These are the targets!!! Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu
  • 51. BOOM IN SECONDARY MARKET FOR HEDGE FUNDS 100s of funds freeze withdrawals • Investors need cash • Investors offer stakes at deep discounts • PERMAL, hedge fund specialist w/ €25Bn • AUM, ready to snap up secondhand stakes at a discount • HFX Capital Mngmnt and VEGA Asset Mngmnt raising $1Bn fund to purchase secondary stakes in hedges Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 52. CDS CLEANING SERVICE Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu
  • 53. MASSIVE SALES 1.RBS Hires Ubs To Sell £500mm Of Invstmnts In • Private Equity Funds 2.$134bn Of Private Equity Assets On The Balance Sheet 5 Of 6 Big Money Banks And Aig 3.AIG selling Tokyo landmark near Imperial Palace. 4.GE is a seller 5.Japanese companies start selling properties to meet financing needs, says Eiji Sakaguchi, head of real estate banking at Morgan Stanley in Japan Source: super return conference Berlin, Germany Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 54. Private Equity Fund Diagram Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009
  • 55. MATURING & ROBUST 2DRY MARKET FOR SELLERS OF PRIVATE EQUITY ASSETS • Types of Secondary Transactions 2.1 Sale of Limited Partnership Interests 2.2 Sale of Direct Interests Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu
  • 56. FOUR POCKETS OF DEMAND 1.Opportunity Funds that have been established to buy real estate equity 2.Newer Opp. Funds that have been created as dedicated debt investors 3.Private Equity looking at real estate debt 4.Real Estate Companies buy back their own debt or debt of others Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 57. REITS UNLOAD • REITS among 1st to sell • Hotel Reits – down 38% properties • Retail REITs down 39% • Dow Jones Equity ALL REIT • Health Care REITS down Total Return Index, which 28% tracks 113 stocks, posted a • Self Storage REITs down negative total return of 32% 32% in first quarter of 2009. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 58. BLUE HORESHOE LOVES DISTRESS • Consider the dramatic tilt in institutional investors‟ (2007) allocations: – $44.5 billion targeted to domestic real estate – $36.3 billion to private real estate • $24.7 billion to non-core (i.e., value- added and opportunistic), • $11.6 billion to core (i.e., stabilized apartment, industrial, office & retail) Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 59. PODVIN DEVELOPMENT GROUP RAISING $$100MM FUND TO PURCHASE REAL ESTATE, DISTRESSED/OPPORTUNISTIC ASSETS THIS FUND SHALL FOCUS ON PURCHASING THE FOLLOWING TYPES OF ASSETS/DEBT: Strategically located developments, located in the centre of a city, being large-scale and multi-phase developments typically consisting City-Core of residential, hospitality, office, retail, entertainment and cultural Development properties with a blend of historic restoration and modern Projects architecture. Large-scale multi-family residential communities in secondary and tertiary markets located on main and main where we can implement a Integrated capital improvement program to push the rents. We will be prepared to Residential purchase asset/debt on an all cash basis, but once the community has Development Projects been stabilized, we shall lever it or dispose of the asset, triggering a repayment event. There will be tremendous opportunities in busted condos and conversions Broken Condos & while value add plays will also be easy to find. Likewise, there will be many Conversions or Partially projects with incomplete construction that we will be able to pick up on the Constructed cheap, complete construction and reposition the asset to create a vibrant Communities working, walkable (with bike paths and all), sustainable and living community for working class people. WE ARE NOW RAISING A Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate $100,000,000 FUND TO Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt PURCHASE DISTRESSED April 27-28, 2009
  • 60. INVESTORS 1. Institutional Investors Investors 2. Pension funds Our Preferred 3. Insurance companies Shares pay 4. Endowments cumulative 5. Investment Banks preferential cash 6. Commercial Banks distributions at an 7. Fund of funds annual rate of 9%. 8. Hedge Funds 9. High net worth individuals 10. Family offices 11. Sovereign wealth funds Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 61. WHAT WE DO • We identify real estate opportunities that generate superior risk- adjusted returns while ensuring capital preservation. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 62. CORE BUSINESS FOCUS 1. Identification; 2. Acquisition; 3. Ownership; and 4. Operation of multi-family residential and hospitality real estate properties. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 63. TYPES OF INVESTMENT WE MAKE THE FOLLOWING TYPES OF DEAL SIZE INVESTMENTS: • The ideal deal size will • single assets and start at US$2-25MM, portfolios; with a minimum equity • development or investment of US$5 redevelopment million. projects; • We have capacity for • real estate operating large transactions as a platforms; and result of co-investment • structured loans and and partnerships with partnerships. our broad institutional client base. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 64. Investment Objectives (1)acquire neglected multi-family residential &/or hospitality properties; and (2) increase profitability thru: (a) providing superior property management, (b) improving appearance & environment; (c) implementing renovation strategies; and, (d) cross-selling ancillary services Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 65. INVESTMENT APPROACH Conduct thorough and comprehensive research • Perform ongoing review • Commit to strong on-the-ground presence • Add value by applying focused leasing & expense • reduction strategy Undertake development or redevelopment plans • Create a tailored plan for each investment • Identify key milestones and profit drivers to • achieve the targeted result. Capital and financial structuring. • Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 66. OUR PHILOSOPHY • DO THE RIGHT THING: Our core ethos is to quot;do the right thing” -- responsible investment. • ALIGNING INTERESTS: To deliver results, we strategically structure the organization and employment compensation plans. • PARTNERING: Working together (within our business and with clients & service providers), we achieve far more than on our own. • DELIVERING INVESTMENT EXCELLENCE: delivering investment excellence lies at the heart of building client confidence. Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 67. OUR STRATEGY • Attract and retain investors; • Continuous research and innovation; • Deliver stable platform for growth; Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 68. REAL ESTATE FUNDS – THE ANATOMY OF THE DEAL Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dv in
  • 69. What to Look for in a REAL ESTATE FUND Experience • Skills • Contacts • Practical problem solving • Reputation • Team • Capacity • $$ Balance Sheet $$ • Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 70. THE CHEMISTRY COUNTS Alignment of Interests: FUND & REAL ESTATE COMPANY • Fund Objectives • Fund Life • Leverage and Financing • Guarantees • Management Style and Control • Tax Considerations • Dealing with Unexpected Issues Scott L. Podvin: IMN‟s 6th Annual Western Borrowers & Investors Forum on Real Estate Mezzanine Loans & Distressed Real Estate Debt -- April 27-28, 2009 spodvin@post.harvard.edu http://www.linkedin.com/in/sp0dvin
  • 71. ABOUT US • PDG is an independently managed private equity real estate investment advisory company focused on real estate investment in the U.S., Europe and Asia. • Our managed investments include development and redevelopment projects, joint-ventures and real estate operating companies in the office, retail, industrial, residential and hotel sectors. • We combine local knowledge of our real estate professionals with broad global perspectives to develop our strategies and identify investment opportunities. • Our team of real estate professionals come from diverse backgrounds, with the full range of skills required to invest in and manage real estate and advise real estate funds. Our specialists apply their skills to ensure that we drive every one of our investments to perform at its optimum. • PDG is independent of any broader financial services group. We can invest funds on behalf of a number of different organizations, including pension funds, insurance companies, government entities and financial institutions, as well as charities and endowments.
  • 72. • Scott L. Podvin, Managing Director of The Crest at Waterford Lakes, LLC • www.TheCrestLife.com • spodvin@post.harvard.edu • Cell: (305) 793-5762 • Fax: (305) 665-3971