58893367

The 2011 Import and Export
Market for Silk Worm
Cocoons and Silk Waste in
China

By
Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
Chaired Professor of Management Science
INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)

www.icongrouponline.com ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.

ii

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iii

About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.

About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.

Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.


iv

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Contents v

Table of Contents
1 INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY 7
2 CHINA AND THE WORLD MARKET 9
2.1 Imports in China in 2011 9
2.2 Exports from China in 2011 10
3 IMPORTS IN CHINA 11
3.1 Asia 11
3.1.1 India 11
3.1.2 North Korea 11
3.1.3 South Korea 11
3.1.4 Thailand 12
3.1.5 Vietnam 12
3.2 Latin America 12
3.2.1 Brazil 12
3.2.2 Paraguay 13
3.3 the Middle East 13
3.3.1 Azerbaijan 13
3.3.2 Iran 13
3.3.3 Kyrgyzstan 13
3.3.4 Tajikistan 14
3.3.5 Turkey 14
3.3.6 Turkmenistan 14
3.3.7 Uzbekistan 14
4 EXPORTS FROM CHINA 15
4.1 Africa 15
4.1.1 South Africa 15
4.2 Asia 15
4.2.1 Hong Kong 15
4.2.2 India 15
4.2.3 Japan 16
4.2.4 Singapore 16
4.2.5 South Korea 16
4.2.6 Taiwan 17
4.2.7 Thailand 17
4.3 Europe 18
4.3.1 France 18
4.3.2 Germany 18
4.3.3 Italy 19
4.3.4 Spain 19
4.3.5 Switzerland 20
4.3.6 the United Kingdom 20
4.4 Latin America 20
4.4.1 Peru 20
4.5 North America & the Caribbean 21
4.5.1 Canada 21
4.5.2 the United States 21
4.6 Oceana 21
4.6.1 New Zealand 21
4.7 the Middle East 22


Contents vi

4.7.1 Saudi Arabia 22
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 23
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 23
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 24


Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in China 7

1 INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on silk worm cocoons and silk
waste in China face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying silk worm cocoons
and silk waste to China? How important is China compared to others in terms of the entire global
and regional market? How much do the imports of silk worm cocoons and silk waste vary from
one country of origin to another in China? On the supply side, China also exports silk worm
cocoons and silk waste. Which countries receive the most exports from China? How are these
exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are
the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for silk worm cocoons and silk waste
in China. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local
view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after
the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to
estimate the market for silk worm cocoons and silk waste for those countries serving China via
exports, or supplying from China via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of
key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where China fits into the world market for
imported and exported silk worm cocoons and silk waste. The total level of imports and exports
on a worldwide basis, and those for China in particular, is estimated using a model which
aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From
there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a
number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics,
market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination.
These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to
regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of
both the value of each market and the share that China is likely to receive this year. From these
figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize China compared to other major
country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be
combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of silk worm cocoons and
silk waste, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving
China. A “major” market is defined as a country where China represents a substantially large
share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to China, one can thus
observe how important China is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the
world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of silk worm cocoons and silk waste originating
from China, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that
China has in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness
for China. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading



partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and
exports of silk worm cocoons and silk waste to and from China to and from all other major
countries in the world. "Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste" as a category is defined in this
report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification
Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The
SITC code that defined "silk worm cocoons and silk waste" is 2614 . For more information on
this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=261 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.



2 CHINA AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1 IMPORTS IN CHINA IN 2011
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in China, 2011
(Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin Rank Value (000 US$) % Share Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kyrgyzstan 1 1,482 26.19 26.19
North Korea 2 979 17.30 43.50
Uzbekistan 3 873 15.43 58.93
India 4 758 13.40 72.32
Vietnam 5 592 10.46 82.79
Brazil 6 417 7.37 90.16
Turkmenistan 7 201 3.55 93.71
Iran 8 75 1.33 95.03
Azerbaijan 9 59 1.04 96.08
Paraguay 10 55 0.97 97.05
Tajikistan 11 52 0.92 97.97
Turkey 12 44 0.78 98.75
Thailand 13 43 0.76 99.51
South Korea 14 28 0.49 100.00
Total 5,658 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com



2.2 EXPORTS FROM CHINA IN 2011
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from China, 2011
Country of Destination Rank Value (000 US$) % Share Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Italy 1 9,110 29.40 29.40
Japan 2 6,508 21.00 50.40
Germany 3 5,838 18.84 69.23
India 4 3,940 12.71 81.95
South Korea 5 1,666 5.38 87.32
the United Kingdom 6 1,070 3.45 90.77
Switzerland 7 999 3.22 94.00
Taiwan 8 430 1.39 95.39
Hong Kong 9 420 1.36 96.74
Singapore 10 249 0.80 97.54
Spain 11 230 0.74 98.29
the United States 12 111 0.36 98.64
France 13 104 0.34 98.98
Peru 14 98 0.32 99.30
Thailand 15 91 0.29 99.59
South Africa 16 49 0.16 99.75
New Zealand 17 42 0.14 99.88
Saudi Arabia 18 28 0.09 99.97
Canada 19 8 0.03 100.00
Total 30,991 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



3 IMPORTS IN CHINA
3.1 ASIA
3.1.1 India
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from India, 2011
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Thailand 1 2,485 41.41 41.41
Italy 2 2,359 39.31 80.72
China 3 758 12.63 93.35
the United Kingdom 5 136 2.27 97.98
Spain 6 107 1.78 99.77
Saudi Arabia 7 7 0.12 99.88
Singapore 8 4 0.07 99.95
Hong Kong 9 3 0.05 100.00
Total 6,001 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

3.1.2 North Korea
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from North Korea, 2011
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 979 98.79 98.79
Japan 2 12 1.21 100.00
Total 991 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

3.1.3 South Korea
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from South Korea, 2011
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 28 100.00 100.00
Total 28 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



3.1.4 Thailand
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from Thailand, 2011
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Japan 1 230 52.51 52.51
Italy 2 165 37.67 90.18
China 3 43 9.82 100.00
Total 438 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

3.1.5 Vietnam
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from Vietnam, 2011
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 592 60.16 60.16
Thailand 2 315 32.01 92.17
Japan 3 77 7.83 100.00
Total 984 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

3.2 LATIN AMERICA
3.2.1 Brazil
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from Brazil, 2011
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Thailand 1 486 46.64 46.64
China 2 417 40.02 86.66
Japan 3 139 13.34 100.00
Total 1,042 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



3.2.2 Paraguay
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from Paraguay, 2011
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 55 84.62 84.62
Brazil 2 10 15.38 100.00
Total 65 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

3.3 THE MIDDLE EAST
3.3.1 Azerbaijan
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from Azerbaijan, 2011
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 59 100.00 100.00
Total 59 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

3.3.2 Iran
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from Iran, 2011
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Pakistan 1 118 37.94 37.94
Thailand 2 118 37.94 75.88
China 3 75 24.12 100.00
Total 311 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

3.3.3 Kyrgyzstan
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from Kyrgyzstan, 2011
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 1,482 96.42 96.42
South Korea 2 55 3.58 100.00
Total 1,537 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



3.3.4 Tajikistan
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from Tajikistan, 2011
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Iran 1 92 47.67 47.67
China 2 52 26.94 74.61
Thailand 3 49 25.39 100.00
Total 193 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

3.3.5 Turkey
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from Turkey, 2011
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 44 100.00 100.00
Total 44 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

3.3.6 Turkmenistan
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from Turkmenistan, 2011
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 201 100.00 100.00
Total 201 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

3.3.7 Uzbekistan
Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste Exports from Uzbekistan, 2011
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 873 54.73 54.73
Azerbaijan 2 488 30.60 85.33
Iran 3 220 13.79 99.12
Japan 4 14 0.88 100.00
Total 1,595 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



4 EXPORTS FROM CHINA
4.1 AFRICA
4.1.1 South Africa
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in South Africa, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 49 100.00 100.00
Total 49 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

4.2 ASIA
4.2.1 Hong Kong
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in Hong Kong, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 420 99.29 99.29
India 2 3 0.71 100.00
Total 423 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

4.2.2 India
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in India, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 3,940 100.00 100.00
Total 3,940 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



4.2.3 Japan
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in Japan, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 6,508 93.24 93.24
Thailand 2 230 3.30 96.53
Brazil 3 139 1.99 98.52
Vietnam 4 77 1.10 99.63
Uzbekistan 5 14 0.20 99.83
North Korea 6 12 0.17 100.00
Total 6,980 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

4.2.4 Singapore
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in Singapore, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 249 98.42 98.42
India 2 4 1.58 100.00
Total 253 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

4.2.5 South Korea
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in South Korea, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 1,666 92.30 92.30
Australia 2 84 4.65 96.95
Kyrgyzstan 3 55 3.05 100.00
Total 1,805 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



4.2.6 Taiwan
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in Taiwan, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 430 100.00 100.00
Total 430 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

4.2.7 Thailand
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in Thailand, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
India 1 2,485 67.75 67.75
Brazil 2 486 13.25 81.00
Vietnam 3 315 8.59 89.59
Japan 4 124 3.38 92.97
Iran 5 118 3.22 96.18
China 6 91 2.48 98.66
Tajikistan 7 49 1.34 100.00
Total 3,668 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



4.3 EUROPE
4.3.1 France
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in France, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Germany 1 277 42.88 42.88
Italy 2 110 17.03 59.91
China 3 104 16.10 76.01
Spain 5 62 9.60 99.38
Belgium 6 4 0.62 100.00
Total 646 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

4.3.2 Germany
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in Germany, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 5,838 96.53 96.53
Switzerland 2 98 1.62 98.15
Italy 3 95 1.57 99.72
Total 6,048 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



4.3.3 Italy
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in Italy, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 9,110 55.47 55.47
Germany 2 4,225 25.73 81.20
India 3 2,359 14.36 95.57
Thailand 5 165 1.00 99.46
Switzerland 6 86 0.52 99.98
Spain 7 2 0.01 99.99
Japan 8 1 0.01 100.00
Total 16,422 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

4.3.4 Spain
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in Spain, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Germany 1 291 39.06 39.06
China 2 230 30.87 69.93
France 3 114 15.30 85.23
India 4 107 14.36 99.60
Italy 5 3 0.40 100.00
Total 745 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



4.3.5 Switzerland
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in Switzerland, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 999 51.23 51.23
Germany 2 601 30.82 82.05
Italy 4 73 3.74 100.00
Total 1,950 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

4.3.6 the United Kingdom
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in the United Kingdom, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 1,070 80.27 80.27
India 2 136 10.20 90.47
Japan 3 104 7.80 98.27
Germany 4 16 1.20 99.47
Italy 5 7 0.53 100.00
Total 1,333 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

4.4 LATIN AMERICA
4.4.1 Peru
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in Peru, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 1 98 100.00 100.00
Total 98 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



4.5 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN
4.5.1 Canada
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in Canada, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 2 8 40.00 100.00
Total 20 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

4.5.2 the United States
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in the United States, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
India 1 142 55.04 55.04
China 2 111 43.02 98.06
Total 258 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

4.6 OCEANA
4.6.1 New Zealand
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in New Zealand, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 2 42 40.00 100.00
Total 105 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



4.7 THE MIDDLE EAST
4.7.1 Saudi Arabia
Imported Silk Worm Cocoons and Silk Waste in Saudi Arabia, 2011

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China 2 28 32.94 91.76
India 3 7 8.24 100.00
Total 85 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER
AGREEMENT PROVISIONS
5.1 DISCLAIMERS & SAFE HARBOR
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