Demographic Migration Modelling with GIS

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AACIMP 2009 Summer School lecture by Alexander Makarenko. "Mathematical Modelling of Social Systems" course. 5th hour. Part 6.

Formation

DEMOGRAPHYCAL
MIGRATION
MODELING WITH GIS
• INSTITUTE OF APPLIED SYSTEM
ANALYSIS (UKRAINE)
• Prof. A .Makarenko, S.Trofimenko
• E-mail: makalex@i.com.ua

CASE OF CAPITAL ATTRACTIVITY

1 1 1
↓ ↓ ↓
3 1 2 5 1 3 1
→ → → ← ← ↓
1 2 1 1 1 1 2
↑ ↑ ↑ ← ↓ ↓ ←
1 1 1 4 5 1
↑ → → → ←
1 1 1 2
↑ ← ↑ ↑
2 1
↑ ←
1
↑

4 3 2 9 1 2 1
→ → → ← ← ↓
1 1 1 1 2
↑ ↑ ↑ ↓ ←
2 6 9
↑ →
1 1
↑ ↑
2 1
↑ ←

4 4 2 12 1 1
→ → → ← ←
1 2 1
↑ ↓ ←
2 5 12
↑ →
1
↑
2
↑

3 4 2 15 1
→ → → ←
1 2
↑ ←
2 4 14
↑ ← ←
1
↑
1
↑

2 4 2 18 1
→ → → ←
1 1 1
↑ ← ←
2 1 4 13
↑ ← ← ←
1
↑

1 4 2 21
→ → →
1 1 1
↑ ← ←
3 1 4 12
↑ ← ← ←

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Demographic Migration Modelling with GIS

1. DEMOGRAPHYCAL MIGRATION MODELING WITH GIS • INSTITUTE OF APPLIED SYSTEM ANALYSIS (UKRAINE) • Prof. A .Makarenko, S.Trofimenko • E-mail: makalex@i.com.ua

2. GOALS AND APPROACH • MODELING OF MIGRATION SCENAROOS • DIFFERENT ATTITUDES OF POPULATION • MULTIAGENT AND CELLULAR MODELS • GEOINFORMATIONAL SYSTEMS AND REAL DATA BASE

3. CASE OF CAPITAL ATTRACTIVITY 1 1 1 ↓ ↓ ↓ 3 1 2 5 1 3 1 → → → ← ← ↓ 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 ↑ ↑ ↑ ← ↓ ↓ ← 1 1 1 4 5 1 ↑ → → → ← 1 1 1 2 ↑ ← ↑ ↑ 2 1 ↑ ← 1 ↑

4. 4 3 2 9 1 2 1 → → → ← ← ↓ 1 1 1 1 2 ↑ ↑ ↑ ↓ ← 2 6 9 ↑ → 1 1 ↑ ↑ 2 1 ↑ ←

5. 4 4 2 12 1 1 → → → ← ← 1 2 1 ↑ ↓ ← 2 5 12 ↑ → 1 ↑ 2 ↑

6. 3 4 2 15 1 → → → ← 1 2 ↑ ← 2 4 14 ↑ ← ← 1 ↑ 1 ↑

7. 2 4 2 18 1 → → → ← 1 1 1 ↑ ← ← 2 1 4 13 ↑ ← ← ← 1 ↑

8. 1 4 2 21 → → → 1 1 1 ↑ ← ← 3 1 4 12 ↑ ← ← ←

9. 4 2 23 → → 1 1 ↑ ← 3 1 4 11 ↑ ← ← ←

10. 3 2 25 → → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 10 ↑ ← ← ←

11. 2 2 27 → → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 9 ↑ ← ← ←

12. 1 2 29 → → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 8 ↑ ← ← ←

13. 2 31 → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 7 ↑ ← ← ←

14. 1 33 → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 6 ↑ ← ← ←

15. 35 2 ↑ 3 1 4 5 ↑ ← ← ←

16. 40 2 ↑ 3 1 4 ↑ ← ←

17. 50