human-scale cities ... traditional patterns market-by-market... behavior-networks better choices ... by definition WEAL (th)?

1. PEOPLE power-laws :: scalable patterns
Stan Curtis, VP Business Development
1. Anthropocene Era :: behavior networks
2. Beyond GDP :: city-centric Economics
3. OPEN commons:: City SDK

3. PEOPLE power: When Did The ANTHROPOCENE Begin?
"we make up about a third of the mass of all land vertebrates (based simply on body weight), and the handful of animal species we have
engineered to become our food make up most of the other two thirds. Wild animals, pushed to the margins, constitute 5 percent or less. ..”

4. HISTORIC firsts :: CITY-by-city … PEOPLE (behavior):: power-laws
Rome
Nanjing
Baghdad
Beijing
Istanbul
London
New York
Tokyo
Cars?
“…the social dynamics enabled by medieval cities were fundamentally similar to those of contemporary cities.”
http://www.santafe.edu/news/item/new-study-explores-medieval-cities-population-area-relationship/

5. Global ECONOMY :: CITY-clusters … McKinsey:: China “city-states”
City “Clusters”
> EU nations!

6. ECONOMIC drivers :: 100 CITIES … 80/20 rules:: power-laws
Cities and states are also members of international organizations. There are approximately 125 multilateral arrangements of subnational governments, including the
Local Governments for Sustainability (ICLEI), United Cities and Local Governments (UCLG) or the Cities Climate Leadership Group (C40). It is difficult to find a city with
over 1 million inhabitants that doesn’t participate in international multilateral arrangements.
UN Goals?
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/10/forget-the-nation-state-cities-will-transform-the-way-we-conduct-foreign-affairs/

7. People PowerLaws: Policy-makers dilemma?
Figure 1 - Exponential power curves characterize barriers to change …keeping up?
T- the power-curve for Technology “learning” …automates jobs.
S - the power-curve for Behavior-change… to adopt better-activities (services).
B – the business-model for growth…”beyond-SCALE” -> QUALITY-of-LIFE?
“push”
“pull”

8. 8
REAL
ESTATE
P3: public, private
partnerships
“80:20 rule”

10. Re-MIX use:: $10M per station
“[Who] ..thinks private automobiles will dominate the public realm in the next 100 years [?].
There’s an emphasis on quality of life …and the goal is to repurpose the transit system

11. Re-MIX use:: $360M per neighborhood
“The old formula for large residential project was luxury by aggregation... “
“People today are interested in buildings that are connected to their environment and neighborhoods”

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25%25%
25%25%
SAMPLE: Resort Community - $1B development program

14. City-by-city… mall-by-mall
Manilla has 4 of the 10 largest malls in the
world. Clean-safe transit starts HERE!
14
“80:20 rule”

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15
Lessons Learned? …place-making
Braess Paradox!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Braess%27_paradox
CAR-FREE?
Its more than BIG-DATA, … what do we VALUE?

16. Humanizing the Internet of Things

17. Humanizing the Internet of Things
SBI:: e - 22no

18. Humanizing the Internet of Things
SBI:: e - 22no

19. Humanizing the Internet of Things
HK::SCC – Smart Cities Consortium

20. Humanizing the Internet of Things
Japan …Mitsui@Kashiwa
NetZero – occupancy? Mixed use – 7 x 24

21. Humanizing the Internet of Things
HK::SCC – Smart Cities Consortium

22. Local ECONOMY :: consumer-PULL … McKinsey:: growth-matrix

23. Smarter BUILDING? … re-balancing:: “mixed-use” …the 51%?
51%?

24. PEOPLE power-laws:: scale-free behavior patterns

25. What’s different?
25
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Community development – caring & sharing…

26. 26
What matters? … “Health is the new WEALTH” …3:30:300 rule
HEALTH CARE!

27. 27
Better markets …choices?

30. 30
50%?
Smarter CARE? … re-framing:: “QUALITY” …CARE :: story-by-story

31. 31

32. 32
#1 Architecture firm
#1 Sustainability practices
#1 Creative City

33. Humanizing the Internet of Things
波特兰珍珠区…中国报道 The Portland Pearl …China
report
…better choices:: block-by-block

34. Humanizing the Internet of Things
Healthcare “epidemic”? …1-in-2 are diabetic (T1D, T2D)
There's no question that diabetes is a major cause of morbidity
and mortality in the United States; in 2012, the disease cost the
nation an estimated $245 billion in increased use of health
resources and lost productivity.
CHINA
China has overtaken the USA in
terms of diabetes prevalence:
Chinese diabetes population
stands at some 114 million
…with half indicating pre-
diabetes (493.4 million)!
China has the world’s largest diabetes epidemic

35. 35

36. 36

37. Step by step - like Weight Watchers!
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=the-greenhouse-hamburger&print=true
Most of us are aware that our cars, our coal-generated electric power and even our cement factories adversely affect the
environment. Until recently, however, the foods we eat had gotten a pass in the discussion. Yet according to a 2006 report by the
United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), our diets and, specifically, the meat in them cause more greenhouse gases
carbon dioxide (CO2), methane, nitrous oxide, and the like to spew into the atmosphere than either transportation or industry.
The FAO report found that current production levels of meatmeat contribute betweenbetween 14 and 22 percent14 and 22 percent of the 36 billion tons of "CO2-
equivalent" greenhouse gases the world produces every year. It turns out that producing half a pound of hamburger for someone's
lunch a patty of meat the size of two decks of cards releases as much greenhouse gas into the atmosphere as driving a 3,000-pound
car nearly 10 miles.
Most of us are aware that our cars, our coal-generated electric power and even our cement factories adversely affect the
environment. Until recently, however, the foods we eat had gotten a pass in the discussion. Yet according to a 2006 report by the
United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), our diets and, specifically, the meat in them cause more greenhouse gases
carbon dioxide (CO2), methane, nitrous oxide, and the like to spew into the atmosphere than either transportation or industry.
The FAO report found that current production levels of meatmeat contribute betweenbetween 14 and 22 percent14 and 22 percent of the 36 billion tons of "CO2-
equivalent" greenhouse gases the world produces every year. It turns out that producing half a pound of hamburger for someone's
lunch a patty of meat the size of two decks of cards releases as much greenhouse gas into the atmosphere as driving a 3,000-pound
car nearly 10 miles.

38. Meal-by-meal …better recipes?
“…position Campbell's to benefit from these trends towards healthier lifestyles, healthier foods and healthier eating habits."
“We’re here to optimize wellness, …We don’t treat illness … we set you up with a coach.”

39. Cities: economic “hubs”
Smarter Cities? … community networks!
http://senseable.mit.edu/nyte/visuals.html
http://www.zinio.com/pages/Seedmagazine/Feb-09/355120772/pg-27
http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~xgabaix/papers/zipf.pdfhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Power_law
Power Law: “80/20” Rule
• Ciy-Population (Zipf)
• Wealth (Pareto)
• Firmsize (Gibrat)
Pareto: 80% of wealth, 20% of pop.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scale-free_network

40. Stan Curtis
Leading Smart Cities “protocols”
主导智能城市的协议
Smarter Planet: city-by-city ( 智慧星球 ) – wrote IBM
business case for “Smarter” CITIES starting with UAE Masdar
and CH2M partnership.
Congress of New Urbanism ( 智能城市标准协会 )–
developed “Better Commons” applying IBM platform based
development approach and analysis of “the Last mile
problem”.
Research Roadmap for Smart Cities Vision ( 智慧城市愿景
的研究路线图 ) – advisor to core team developing “smart”
cities vision and research programs for EU.
Eco Districts 1.0 ( 生态区 1.0 标准 ) – advisor to core team
developing standard “protocols” for community development.
Adopted by GSA, incubated with Japan Smart Cities.