2. UNIT 2: TYPES OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS
• DESCRIPTIVE ANALYTIUCS
• DIAGNOSTIC ANALYTICS
• PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS
• PRESCRIPTIVE ANALYTICS
3. DESCRIPTIVE ANALYTICS
• Descriptive analytics is the interpretation of historical data
to better understand changes that have occurred in a
business.
• Answer the question “What happened?”
• Descriptive analytics can help to identify the areas of
strength and weakness in an organization.
4. STEPS IN DESCRIPTIVE ANALYTICS
State Business Metrics
Identify the data required
Extract and prepare data
Analyse data
Present data
5. STATE THE METRICS
• Identify the metrics
• Metrics must reflect the goals
• E.g.: Sales revenue of a product for last few months
6. IDENTIFY THE DATA REQUIRED
• Search for data
• Identify the multiple resources
• Internal and external
• E.g.: Collecting revenue data from sales people and
dealers
7. EXTRACT AND PREPARE DATA
• Extract the data
• Combine the data
• Prepare the data
• E.g.: Collect data and arrange in columns and rows
8. ANALYSE DATA
• Use tools for analysis
• Basic Mathematical formulas
E.g: Calculating average revenue
9. PRESENT DATA
• Presenting data in different forms
• Graphs, chart, table etc.
• E.g.: Revenue in rows and columns
17. APPLICATIONS OF DESCRIPTIVE ANALYTICS
• Analysing sales data
• Analysing social metrics (Facebook, Twitter)
• Assessing trends in travel destinations
• Weather forecast
• Online customer behaviour
• Supply chain management
• Manufacturing
18. ADVANTAGES OF DESCRIPTIVE ANALYTICS
Access to information
Precise estimation of frequency
Economical
Easy to complete
Compared to inferential statistics
19. DISADVANTAGES OF DESCRIPTIVE ANALYTICS
Data may not be complete
Reasons for trends can’t be identified
Descriptive analytics cannot be used to make future predictions.
Your results cannot be applied to a larger population as a whole.
Descriptive analytics provide no information regarding the method
of data collection.
20. DIAGNOSTIC ANALYTICS
• Diagnostic analytics is the process of using data to determine
the causes of trends and correlations between variables. It can
be viewed as a logical next step after using descriptive
analytics to identify trends.
• Diagnostic analysis can be done manually, using an algorithm,
or with statistical software (such as Microsoft Excel).
• Answers the question “Why did this happen?”
21. PROCESS OF DIAGNOSTIC ANALYTICS
• Identify anomalies: Trends or anomalies highlighted by descriptive
analysis may require diagnostic analytics if the cause isn’t immediately
obvious
• Discovery: The next step is to look for data that explains the anomalies.
That may involve gathering external data as well as drilling into internal
data.
• Causal relationships: Further investigation can provide insights into
whether the associations in the data point to the true cause of the anomaly.
Two events correlate doesn’t necessarily mean one causes the other.
22. TECHNIQUES OF DIAGNOSTIC ANALYTICS
• Data drilling: Drilling down into a dataset can reveal more
detailed information about which aspects of the data are driving
the observed trends.
• Data mining hunts through large volumes of data to find
patterns and associations within the data. Data mining can be
conducted manually or automatically with machine learning
technology.
• Correlation analysis examines how strongly different variables
are linked to each other. For example, sales of ice cream and
refrigerated soda may soar on hot days.
23. CASE: SALE OF CARRY BAGS
Month Polythene Bag (Rs. 10) Papger Bag (Rs. 20) Jute Bag (Rs. 200)
Jan 2022 25678 1123 65
Feb 2022 25765 1198 61
Mar 2022 26908 1223 59
Apr 2022 27009 1487 63
May 2022 18032 1578 156
Jun 2022 15475 1198 165
Jul 2022 14356 1232 189
Aug 2022 8765 1342 245
Sep 2022 6543 1198 365
Oct 2022 1675 1145 435
Nov 2022 1465 1345 567
Dec 2022 1009 1284 765
Jan 2023 879 1176 1190
24. CASE: SALE OF CARRY BAGS
Month Polythene
Bag (Rs. 10)
Papger Bag
(Rs. 20)
Jute Bag
(Rs. 200)
Offers
Jan 2022 25678 1123 65 10% discount on jute bag
Feb 2022 25765 1198 61 10% discount on jute bag
Mar 2022 26908 1223 59 10% discount on jute bag
Apr 2022 27009 1487 63 10% discount on jute bag
May 2022 18032 1578 156 10% discount on jute bag
Jun 2022 15475 1198 165 10% discount on jute bag
Jul 2022 14356 1232 189 10% discount on jute bag
Aug 2022 8765 1342 245 10% discount on jute bag
Sep 2022 6543 1198 365 10% discount on jute bag
Oct 2022 1675 1145 435 10% discount on jute bag
Nov 2022 1465 1345 567 10% discount on jute bag
Dec 2022 1009 1284 765 10% discount on jute bag
Jan 2023 879 1176 1190 10% discount on jute bag
25. CASE: SALE OF CARRY BAGS
Month Polythene
Bag (Rs.
10)
Papger Bag
(Rs. 20)
Jute Bag
(Rs. 200)
Offers Commission to
Salesmen
Jan 2022 25678 1123 65 10% discount on jute
bag
5% on jute, 1
% on paper and
0.5% on
polythene
Feb 2022 25765 1198 61 10% discount on jute
bag
Mar 2022 26908 1223 59 10% discount on jute
bag
Apr 2022 27009 1487 63 10% discount on jute
bag
May 2022 18032 1578 156 10% discount on jute
bag
Jun 2022 15475 1198 165 10% discount on jute
bag
Jul 2022 14356 1232 189 10% discount on jute
bag
26. CASE: SALE OF CARRY BAGS
Month Polythene
Bag (Rs. 10)
Papger Bag
(Rs. 20)
Jute Bag
(Rs. 200)
Breaking New
Jan 2022 25678 1123 65
Feb 2022 25765 1198 61
Mar 2022 26908 1223 59
Apr 2022 27009 1487 63 Ban on polythene usage
May 2022 18032 1578 156
Jun 2022 15475 1198 165
Jul 2022 14356 1232 189 Hefty fine for usage
Aug 2022 8765 1342 245
Sep 2022 6543 1198 365
Oct 2022 1675 1145 435
Nov 2022 1465 1345 567
Dec 2022 1009 1284 765
Jan 2023 879 1176 1190
27. APPLICATION OF DIAGNOSTIC ANALYTICS
• Manufacturing
• Healthcare
• Retail
• Human resource
• Export and import
• Stock market
• Financial markets
28. ADVANTAGES OF DIAGNOSTIC ANALYTICS
Companies can gain significant insights into their
prospects and difficulties by utilizing them.
It enables businesses to turn complex data into easily
manageable and understandable information
Businesses may remove ambiguity in decision-making
29. DISADVANTAGES OF DIAGNOSTIC ANALYTICS
One of the drawbacks of this sort of analytics is that it
focuses on past events, limiting its capacity to deliver
useful future insights.
It cannot find the solution for a given problem.
30. PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS
• The term predictive analytics refers to the use of statistics and modeling
techniques to make predictions about future outcomes and performance.
• Predictive analytics looks at current and historical data patterns to
determine if those patterns are likely to emerge again. This allows
businesses and investors to adjust where they use their resources to take
advantage of possible future events.
• Predictive analysis can also be used to improve operational efficiencies and
reduce risk.
31. PROCESS OF PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS
• Define the requirements
• Explore the data
• Develop the model
• Deploy the model
• Validate the results
33. DECISION TREE
• This type of model places data into different sections based on
certain variables.
• Just as the name implies, it looks like a tree with individual
branches and leaves.
• Branches indicate the choices available while individual leaves
represent a particular decision.
36. REGRESSION
• This is the model that is used the most in statistical analysis.
• Use it when you want to determine patterns in large sets of data and
when there's a linear relationship between the inputs.
• This method works by figuring out a formula, which represents the
relationship between all the inputs found in the dataset.
• Regression Formula
• Y= a+bX
37. NEURAL NETWORKS
• Neural networks were developed as a form of predictive
analytics by imitating the way the human brain works.
• This model can deal with complex data relationships
using artificial intelligence and pattern recognition.
• Use it if you have several hurdles that you need to
overcome like when you have too much data on hand
39. ADVANTAGES
This type of analysis can help entities when you need to make
predictions about outcomes when there are no other (and obvious)
answers available.
Investors, financial professionals, and business leaders are able to
use models to help reduce risk.
There is a significant impact to cost reduction when models are
used.
40. DISADVANTAGES
The use of predictive analytics has been criticized and, in some
cases, legally restricted due to perceived inequities in its
outcomes.
Regardless of whether the predictions drawn from the use of
such analytics are accurate, their use is generally limited.
It cannot provide any solution to given problem
41. PRESCRIPTIVE ANALYTICS
• Prescriptive analytics is the process of using data to
determine an optimal course of action.
• Prescriptive analytics attempts to answer the question
"What do we need to do to achieve this?"
• It involves the use of technology to help businesses make
better decisions through the analysis of raw data.
42. EXAMPLE
• A human resources manager is tasked with up-skilling a team
under his care.
• However, he realizes that team members who lack a particular
skill set may not be able to take the upgrade course he has in
mind.
• An algorithm can identify team members who do not possess the
necessary skills and send them an automated recommendation
that they acquire the skill set with another course before they
come to this one.
43. BOTTOM LINE
• You have to remember that the recommendation generated
is completely based on the accuracy of the information
provided and the model developed to get an answer.
• The recommendation does not become a standard for all
human resource personnel that are faced with a similar
situation.
• Each algorithmic model created is uniquely customized to
the particular situation and need.
44. PROCESS OF PRESCRIPTIVE ANALYTICS
• 1) Define the question. It is the first step to clearly define the
problem you’re trying to solve or which question you’d like to
answer. This will inform your data requirements and allow your
prescriptive model to generate an actionable output.
• 2) Integrate your data. Gather the data you need and prepare
your dataset. To help your model be the most accurate, you
should bring in data representing every factor you can think of.
45. PROCESS OF PRESCRIPTIVE ANALYTICS
• 3) Develop your model. Now you’re ready to build, train, evaluate and deploy
your prescriptive model. You can hire a data scientist to code one from scratch
or you can leverage an AutoML tool to develop a custom ML model yourself as
a citizen data scientist.
• 4) Deploy your model. Once you’re confident in its performance, you can make
your prescriptive model available for use. This may be a one-time project or as
part of an on-going production process.
• 5) Take action. Now you should review the recommendation, decide if it makes
sense to you, and then take appropriate actions. Some situations require human
intuition and judgment.
•
47. OPTIMISATION
Optimization consists in the construction of a mathematical model
(with variables and equations) whose resolution allows finding the best
solution to a problem: the optimal one.
A classic example is the traveling salesman problem, consisting in
visiting a set of cities only once and returning to the city of departure
traveling the shortest possible distance.
48. OPTIMISATION
• IBM customer Fleetpride is a real-life example of a business deriving value
from prescriptive analytics. Fleetpride sells parts and provides services for
heavy-duty trucks and trailers.
• They built a model that uses historical shipping data to predict the shipping
orders per warehouse by day, week and month.
• They apply decision optimization to the model to determine the optimal
action for dealing with customer demand on any given day, including
staffing and inventory placement.
49. SIMULATION
Simulation consists in building a digital replica (a model) of the system
under study
Unlike optimization, it does not automatically offer the best
configuration,
Simulation can help when systems are not easy to describe
mathematically or when historical data is not adequate for training or
testing machine learning techniques.
Instead of representing a complete system as a statistical algorithm or
generating a fixed data set, simulation captures the characteristics and
relationships of system components to provide a dynamic model.
50. SIMULATION
• A children’s cycling park with many crossings and
signals is a simulated model for city traffic system
• Testing of aircraft model in a wind tunnel from
which we determine the performance of actual
aircraft under real operating conditions.
51. MACHINE LEARNING
• Machine learning is a subfield of artificial intelligence that gives
computers the ability to learn without explicitly being programmed.
• The function of a machine learning system can be descriptive,
meaning that the system uses the data to explain what
happened; predictive, meaning the system uses the data to predict
what will happen; or prescriptive, meaning the system will use the
data to make suggestions about what action to take.
52. MACHINE LEARNING
• Machine learning can translate speech into text. Certain software
applications can convert live voice and recorded speech into a text
file. The speech can be segmented by intensities on time-frequency
bands as well.
• Voice search
• Voice dialing
• Appliance control
• Some of the most common uses of speech recognition software are
devices like Google Home or Amazon Alexa.
54. ADVANTAGES
• Prescriptive analytics can cut through the clutter of immediate
uncertainty and changing conditions.
• It can help prevent fraud, limit risk, increase efficiency, meet
business goals, and create more loyal customers.
• It can help organizations make decisions based on highly analyzed
facts rather than jump to under-informed conclusions based on
instinct.
55. DISADVANTAGES
• It is only effective if organizations know what questions to ask
and how to react to the answers.
• If the input assumptions are invalid, the output results will not
be accurate.
• This form of data analytics is only suitable for short-term
solutions.