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The Role of Leading vs. Lagging Indicators
        in Sustainability Planning


       Panel discussion document prepared exclusively for:




       The New Metrics of Sustainable Business Conference
                      September 28, 2012
                      The Wharton School
Panel Discussion Topics

      About the Panel
                                 Sustainable Development
      Context                   Return on Investment (SDROI) is
                                 the result when an enterprise
                 Definitions    stewards resources and capital
                                 efficiently to create value for all
                 Developments   stakeholders.
                 Adoption
      Q&A
      Key Takeaways




© 2002 - 2012 MetaVu, Inc.            DU Executive MBA Week 2 – Sustainable Value Creation│ 2
Your Panel Today
  Joe Wolfsberger   Michael Muyot                     Mark A. Serwinowski

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                    • s
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                    • s                                 • s
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                                    The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 3
Contributor / Collaborator

Bob Pojasek, phD




                             The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 4
The Role of Leading vs. Lagging Indicators
                         in Sustainability Planning


                              Panel Discussion document prepared exclusively for:




                              The New Metrics of Sustainable Business Conference
Mark A. Serwinowski                          September 28, 2012
MetaVu, Inc.
1400 16th Street, Suite 400
Denver, Colorado USA 80202
                                             The Wharton School
+1.303.679.8340
www.metavu.com
About MetaVu

 Services                                                                Products
 MetaVu helps company’s develop their business case for                  MetaVu’s Sustainable Development (SD) Tool Suite TM enables
 sustainable development; collaborate to drive the innovation            clients to directly link, assess and report operational performance
 process and measure the ROI. From product and service impact            in financial terms, linking metrics set by external frameworks (e.g.,
 analysis, to process innovation, supply chain integration and           GRI, CDP, DJSI, IFC, ISM) with leading indicators to measure SD ROI
 organizational design and governance structures designed to             at enterprise, business and product-level.
 embed sustainability in the business.

 Advisory service segments:
       Strategy & Impact Analysis
       Innovation For Future Markets
       Resource & Process Optimization
       EHS and Sustainability Management Systems
       Reporting & Assurance
       Legacy Liability & Restoration
       Business Analytics and Technology


               “Smart Innovator Award – Top Sustainability Consultant”

             “Global Knowledge Sharing Award: EHS Management”




MetaVu was founded in 2002. Visit www.metavu.com for more information.
                                                                                       The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 6
How Do Leading & Lagging Indicators
Enable Sustainability Planning?


                             Sustainable
                             Development:
                             Strategy built from the
                             fundamentals of a
                             business – knowledge of
                             the industry,
                             competition, demand,
                             alternatives, risk drivers
                             and unique value
                             proposition.

                               The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 7
Leading vs. Lagging Indicators
Definitions / Framing


 Leading Indicators               Lagging Indicators
        Future Oriented               Past Oriented
        Performance Goals             Outcome Measures
        Predictive                    Actuarial
        Process Focused (what)        Organizational Focused (who, how)




  © 2002 – 2012 MetaVu, Inc.                The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 8
Leading vs. Lagging Indicators
    Development & Adoption Timeline




 SRI / ESG                                                                                                                     ESG

Indicators




 Leading
Indicators




 Lagging
Indicators


               1970 ‘84 ‘87                   ‘89      ‘92          ‘99        2000         ‘03        ‘05       ‘06       ‘09                ‘10                     ‘11                    ‘12       ‘13   ‘14
              Note: General timeline of reporting frameworks, performance systems and relevance to sustainable development (not inclusive of all UN-chartered institutional / investor initiatives.)




        © 2002 – 2012 MetaVu, Inc.                                                                                                The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 9
Adoption of Leading Indicators
Leading Indicator Self Assessment (LISA) Tool

    10 years of operations research -- cross-sector development.



                  Leading Indicator Self Assessment - All Industries
                                                                                                                          2012 Regional Leaders
                                LEADING INDICATOR SELF ASSESSMENT


         1                     2                     3                   4                    5
  FRAMEWORK              CAPABILITIES         MEASUREMENT         INNOVATION             STRATEGY

Inventory drivers      Enterprise ESG Risk   Enterprise- and    Product, Services,   Capital Stewardship
(externa / internal)   profile of Value      product-level to   business model       (natural, human,
to establish point-    Chain, Supply Chain   measure            innovation;          financial) to
of-view on the         & Organizational      environmental,     Research &           efficiently create
industry,              Capabilities.         social, economic   Development.         value for all
competition and                              impact.                                 stakeholders.
customers.




      © 2002 – 2012 MetaVu, Inc.                                                                           The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 10
Leading vs. Lagging Indicators
For Sustainability Planning

                                    Traditional Business                               Sustainable Business
     Sustainable
    Development                    Leading            Lagging                      Leading                             Lagging
      ROI Story                   Indicators         Indicators                   Indicators                          Indicators

                               • Procurement        • TRIR               • License to Operate                   • TRIR
               Supply Chain      requirements for   • Process Risk       • Supplier ESG Score                   • Fluency Trainings
                Integration      Safety               Review             • SD Management                        • OE / Reliability
                               • Management                                System                               • ROCE
                                 System                                  • % CAPEX in Local                     • Cost of Capital
                                                                           Content
                                                                         • Production efficiency
                               • Product /          • EBITDA             • % CAPEX in R&D                       • Cost efficiencies
                  Process        Business Line      • ROCE                 with SD Principles                   • ROCE
                 Excellence      CAPEX / OPEX       • Asset yield        • Product Innovation                   • Cost of Capital
                                 forecast                                  Reformulation
                               • Revenue            • ROCE               • Resource efficiency                  • Resource
                   Product     • Market Share       • Cost                 (energy, materials,                    conservation,
                 Innovation    • EBITDA               efficiencies         water)                                 reduction,
                                                                         • Reformulation                          recovery
                                                                         • New Market Share                     • ROCE
                                                                         • Revenue growth                       • Cost of capital

  © 2002 – 2012 MetaVu, Inc.                                     The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 11
Takeaways
Leading & Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning


 Developments
     Institutional and Sector developments continue
 Adoption
     Not Leading vs. Lagging ---- Leading AND Lagging
     Enables enterprise risk point of view
     Creates linkage between Opex and Capex
     Drives governance and compensation (for long term)
     Links reporting, operations and financial performance
     Frames the narrative for investing and measuring ROI

                                               The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 12
The Role of Leading vs. Lagging Indicators
                        in Sustainability Planning


                                 Panel Discussion document prepared exclusively for:




                                 The New Metrics of Sustainable Business Conference
                                                September 28, 2012
Joe Wolfsberger / 704 877-3992                  The Wharton School
History of Metrics Tracking and Reporting
One Person’s Perspective

 Early Reporting of Company Sustainability Data
      Mostly environmental data collected for compliance purposes
      Reporting expanded with implementation of enterprise EHS databases
          Reporting of readily accessible data – no inter-company consistency

   Second Phase Incorporated EHS Data
   Third Phase Expanded to Include Social Data
   Currently a Push to Include Governance Information
   Current Trends
      Standardization of Reporting Format
      One Report
      Ranking of Performance by Independent Organizations
      Integration of Sustainability Metrics into Corporate Strategies and Reporting to Create
       Competitive Advantages
      Leading Indicators and Integration into Operational Excellence
                                                         The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 14
The Case for Leading Indicators

  For 40 Years we have convinced our leadership to rely on
   lagging indicators – why change?
     At the enterprise level probably will not change but as you go lower in the organization
      the metrics need to be more activity oriented and actionable
     Measuring lagging indicators is like driving by looking in the rear view mirror
     Lagging indicators create the sense of being powerless and do not drive universal
      ownership
     Leading indicators drive a culture of Zero Risk Tolerance
         Reduced risk saves money and creates a competitive advantage
     Leading indicators are antecedents of the desired outcomes
     Success in driving a culture of operational excellence for sustainability supports
      improvements in quality and operations

  The concept of Leading Indicators are often not understood
  Often they require a leap of faith – don’t be afraid to start
   small
                                                      The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 15
Examples of Leading Indicators for Sustainability

 Enterprise Level
       Employee Engagement Scores
       Sales Associated with Green Products
       Percent of sites meeting minimum energy efficiency standards
       Percent of operating sites having ISO 14001 Certified Management Systems
       Percent of suppliers with EHS Management Systems
       Percent of employee population participating on sustainability projects
       Percent of employees involved in a community sustainability event
       Number of employees with a performance goal on sustainability
       Number of energy conservation projects identified and submitted

 Site Level
       Number of near misses identified and investigated
       Number of Kaizen (Rapid Improvement Events) containing EHS improvements
       Score on objective measure of a site’s sustainability culture
       Percent of employees participating in carpools / high efficiency vehicle programs
       Number of right behaviors observed

                                                              The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 16
The Role of Leading vs. Lagging Indicators
                       in Sustainability Planning
                           A Panel Discussion

                          Discussion Forum document prepared exclusively for:




                          The New Metrics of Sustainable Business Conference
                                         September 28, 2012
Michael Muyot
CRD Analytics
+1.347.415.6243
                                         The Wharton School
mmuyot@crdanalytics.com
About CRD Analytics
CRD Analytics is a leading provider of independent sustainability investment analytics. Using its
proprietary SmartView® 360 Platform, CRD Analytics empowers its clients with actionable and
performance-driven information distilled from large sets of complex data including financial,
environmental, social, governance, brand perception and reputational risk. CRD Analytics partners
with its clients to construct proprietary index-based products – Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs),
separately-managed accounts, mutual funds and Unit Investment Trusts (UITs).

Product & Services Overview                        Established Indexes & Rankings


 Financial Indexes powered by SmartView 360

 Sustainability Rankings (Global & Regional)

 Investment Analysis via Bloomberg BMART

 Advisory Services: Sustainable Investing

 Algorithm Design for Licensing or Sale

 Facilitated Executive Roundtables




                                                                                                                             18
                                                               The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 18
The New Formula
for Sustainable Development & Investing


          Financial      Corporate                                           Operational              Revenue
          Analysis      Governance                                           Excellence             Growth Model


        Environmental      Social                                            Net Positive             Innovation
           Impact       Responsibility                                        Impacts                   Targets




 a     = ƒ(Lagging) + (Leading)+(Industry-Specific)

                                     Sustainability   Capabilities
                                      Framework
                                                      Innovation
                                     Performance
                                     Measurement       Strategy




                                                                  The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 19
Keys to Success: Mainstreaming for Investors




                                          KEYS TO SUCESS

                                          1. Standardized Scoring

                                          2. Comparable Measurement

                                          3. Reputable Algorithm

                                          4. Linked to Financial Performance

                                          5. Success Stories from Companies




                                     The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 20
Q&A
Contact Us

   Joe                          Michael                                         Mark A.
   Wolfsberger                  Muyot                                           Serwinowski
                               President & Founder                                President & Founder
                               CRD Analytics                                      MetaVu


                      (347) 415-6243                                           (303) 475-7426


 wolf7277@gmail.com   mmuyot@crdanalytics.com                                   mas@metavu.com


                      @crdanalytics
                                                                                 @metavu


                                                                                  In/Mark-A-Serwinowski
                      In/MichaelMuyot

                                                                                   MetaVu
                       CRD Analytics

                       Youtube.com/user/sdROItv                                  Youtube.com/user/sdROItv

                                            The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 22

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The Role of Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning

  • 1. The Role of Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning Panel discussion document prepared exclusively for: The New Metrics of Sustainable Business Conference September 28, 2012 The Wharton School
  • 2. Panel Discussion Topics  About the Panel Sustainable Development  Context Return on Investment (SDROI) is the result when an enterprise  Definitions stewards resources and capital efficiently to create value for all  Developments stakeholders.  Adoption  Q&A  Key Takeaways © 2002 - 2012 MetaVu, Inc. DU Executive MBA Week 2 – Sustainable Value Creation│ 2
  • 3. Your Panel Today Joe Wolfsberger Michael Muyot Mark A. Serwinowski • s • s • s • s • s • s • s • s • s • s • s • s • s • s • s • s • s • s • s The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 3
  • 4. Contributor / Collaborator Bob Pojasek, phD The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 4
  • 5. The Role of Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning Panel Discussion document prepared exclusively for: The New Metrics of Sustainable Business Conference Mark A. Serwinowski September 28, 2012 MetaVu, Inc. 1400 16th Street, Suite 400 Denver, Colorado USA 80202 The Wharton School +1.303.679.8340 www.metavu.com
  • 6. About MetaVu Services Products MetaVu helps company’s develop their business case for MetaVu’s Sustainable Development (SD) Tool Suite TM enables sustainable development; collaborate to drive the innovation clients to directly link, assess and report operational performance process and measure the ROI. From product and service impact in financial terms, linking metrics set by external frameworks (e.g., analysis, to process innovation, supply chain integration and GRI, CDP, DJSI, IFC, ISM) with leading indicators to measure SD ROI organizational design and governance structures designed to at enterprise, business and product-level. embed sustainability in the business. Advisory service segments: Strategy & Impact Analysis Innovation For Future Markets Resource & Process Optimization EHS and Sustainability Management Systems Reporting & Assurance Legacy Liability & Restoration Business Analytics and Technology “Smart Innovator Award – Top Sustainability Consultant” “Global Knowledge Sharing Award: EHS Management” MetaVu was founded in 2002. Visit www.metavu.com for more information. The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 6
  • 7. How Do Leading & Lagging Indicators Enable Sustainability Planning? Sustainable Development: Strategy built from the fundamentals of a business – knowledge of the industry, competition, demand, alternatives, risk drivers and unique value proposition. The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 7
  • 8. Leading vs. Lagging Indicators Definitions / Framing  Leading Indicators  Lagging Indicators  Future Oriented  Past Oriented  Performance Goals  Outcome Measures  Predictive  Actuarial  Process Focused (what)  Organizational Focused (who, how) © 2002 – 2012 MetaVu, Inc. The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 8
  • 9. Leading vs. Lagging Indicators Development & Adoption Timeline SRI / ESG ESG Indicators Leading Indicators Lagging Indicators 1970 ‘84 ‘87 ‘89 ‘92 ‘99 2000 ‘03 ‘05 ‘06 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14 Note: General timeline of reporting frameworks, performance systems and relevance to sustainable development (not inclusive of all UN-chartered institutional / investor initiatives.) © 2002 – 2012 MetaVu, Inc. The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 9
  • 10. Adoption of Leading Indicators Leading Indicator Self Assessment (LISA) Tool 10 years of operations research -- cross-sector development. Leading Indicator Self Assessment - All Industries 2012 Regional Leaders LEADING INDICATOR SELF ASSESSMENT 1 2 3 4 5 FRAMEWORK CAPABILITIES MEASUREMENT INNOVATION STRATEGY Inventory drivers Enterprise ESG Risk Enterprise- and Product, Services, Capital Stewardship (externa / internal) profile of Value product-level to business model (natural, human, to establish point- Chain, Supply Chain measure innovation; financial) to of-view on the & Organizational environmental, Research & efficiently create industry, Capabilities. social, economic Development. value for all competition and impact. stakeholders. customers. © 2002 – 2012 MetaVu, Inc. The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 10
  • 11. Leading vs. Lagging Indicators For Sustainability Planning Traditional Business Sustainable Business Sustainable Development Leading Lagging Leading Lagging ROI Story Indicators Indicators Indicators Indicators • Procurement • TRIR • License to Operate • TRIR Supply Chain requirements for • Process Risk • Supplier ESG Score • Fluency Trainings Integration Safety Review • SD Management • OE / Reliability • Management System • ROCE System • % CAPEX in Local • Cost of Capital Content • Production efficiency • Product / • EBITDA • % CAPEX in R&D • Cost efficiencies Process Business Line • ROCE with SD Principles • ROCE Excellence CAPEX / OPEX • Asset yield • Product Innovation • Cost of Capital forecast Reformulation • Revenue • ROCE • Resource efficiency • Resource Product • Market Share • Cost (energy, materials, conservation, Innovation • EBITDA efficiencies water) reduction, • Reformulation recovery • New Market Share • ROCE • Revenue growth • Cost of capital © 2002 – 2012 MetaVu, Inc. The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 11
  • 12. Takeaways Leading & Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning  Developments  Institutional and Sector developments continue  Adoption  Not Leading vs. Lagging ---- Leading AND Lagging  Enables enterprise risk point of view  Creates linkage between Opex and Capex  Drives governance and compensation (for long term)  Links reporting, operations and financial performance  Frames the narrative for investing and measuring ROI The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 12
  • 13. The Role of Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning Panel Discussion document prepared exclusively for: The New Metrics of Sustainable Business Conference September 28, 2012 Joe Wolfsberger / 704 877-3992 The Wharton School
  • 14. History of Metrics Tracking and Reporting One Person’s Perspective  Early Reporting of Company Sustainability Data  Mostly environmental data collected for compliance purposes  Reporting expanded with implementation of enterprise EHS databases  Reporting of readily accessible data – no inter-company consistency  Second Phase Incorporated EHS Data  Third Phase Expanded to Include Social Data  Currently a Push to Include Governance Information  Current Trends  Standardization of Reporting Format  One Report  Ranking of Performance by Independent Organizations  Integration of Sustainability Metrics into Corporate Strategies and Reporting to Create Competitive Advantages  Leading Indicators and Integration into Operational Excellence The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 14
  • 15. The Case for Leading Indicators  For 40 Years we have convinced our leadership to rely on lagging indicators – why change?  At the enterprise level probably will not change but as you go lower in the organization the metrics need to be more activity oriented and actionable  Measuring lagging indicators is like driving by looking in the rear view mirror  Lagging indicators create the sense of being powerless and do not drive universal ownership  Leading indicators drive a culture of Zero Risk Tolerance  Reduced risk saves money and creates a competitive advantage  Leading indicators are antecedents of the desired outcomes  Success in driving a culture of operational excellence for sustainability supports improvements in quality and operations  The concept of Leading Indicators are often not understood  Often they require a leap of faith – don’t be afraid to start small The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 15
  • 16. Examples of Leading Indicators for Sustainability  Enterprise Level  Employee Engagement Scores  Sales Associated with Green Products  Percent of sites meeting minimum energy efficiency standards  Percent of operating sites having ISO 14001 Certified Management Systems  Percent of suppliers with EHS Management Systems  Percent of employee population participating on sustainability projects  Percent of employees involved in a community sustainability event  Number of employees with a performance goal on sustainability  Number of energy conservation projects identified and submitted  Site Level  Number of near misses identified and investigated  Number of Kaizen (Rapid Improvement Events) containing EHS improvements  Score on objective measure of a site’s sustainability culture  Percent of employees participating in carpools / high efficiency vehicle programs  Number of right behaviors observed The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 16
  • 17. The Role of Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning A Panel Discussion Discussion Forum document prepared exclusively for: The New Metrics of Sustainable Business Conference September 28, 2012 Michael Muyot CRD Analytics +1.347.415.6243 The Wharton School mmuyot@crdanalytics.com
  • 18. About CRD Analytics CRD Analytics is a leading provider of independent sustainability investment analytics. Using its proprietary SmartView® 360 Platform, CRD Analytics empowers its clients with actionable and performance-driven information distilled from large sets of complex data including financial, environmental, social, governance, brand perception and reputational risk. CRD Analytics partners with its clients to construct proprietary index-based products – Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), separately-managed accounts, mutual funds and Unit Investment Trusts (UITs). Product & Services Overview Established Indexes & Rankings  Financial Indexes powered by SmartView 360  Sustainability Rankings (Global & Regional)  Investment Analysis via Bloomberg BMART  Advisory Services: Sustainable Investing  Algorithm Design for Licensing or Sale  Facilitated Executive Roundtables 18 The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 18
  • 19. The New Formula for Sustainable Development & Investing Financial Corporate Operational Revenue Analysis Governance Excellence Growth Model Environmental Social Net Positive Innovation Impact Responsibility Impacts Targets a = ƒ(Lagging) + (Leading)+(Industry-Specific) Sustainability Capabilities Framework Innovation Performance Measurement Strategy The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 19
  • 20. Keys to Success: Mainstreaming for Investors KEYS TO SUCESS 1. Standardized Scoring 2. Comparable Measurement 3. Reputable Algorithm 4. Linked to Financial Performance 5. Success Stories from Companies The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 20
  • 21. Q&A
  • 22. Contact Us Joe Michael Mark A. Wolfsberger Muyot Serwinowski President & Founder President & Founder CRD Analytics MetaVu (347) 415-6243 (303) 475-7426 wolf7277@gmail.com mmuyot@crdanalytics.com mas@metavu.com @crdanalytics @metavu In/Mark-A-Serwinowski In/MichaelMuyot MetaVu CRD Analytics Youtube.com/user/sdROItv Youtube.com/user/sdROItv The Case for Leading vs. Lagging Indicators in Sustainability Planning 22