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Leonardo Energy,
REN21, and Clean
Energy Solutions
Center
REN21 Renewables 2012
Global Status Report:
Asia Pacific Focus
September 5, 2012

Fernando Nuño – Moderator

Christine Lins – Presenter
Arne Schweinfurth - Presenter
Some Housekeeping items                                                                  2


1. Audio is over IP. Use your headset or loudspeakers

2. Introduce yourself using the “introductions” window

3. Send your questions along the presentation using the “Q&A” window.
   They will be answered after the presentation

4. Presentation and recording of the webinar will be available in the
   Leonardo Energy web and in the Clean Energy Solutions Center web.
   •   http://www.leonardo-energy.org/webinar-ren-21-global-status-report-2012-asia-
       pacific-focus
   •   http://cleanenergysolutions.org/training




                                                                                       9/4/2012
Agenda                                                               3

•   Welcome and Introductory Remarks

•   Overview of Leonardo Energy, and the Clean Energy Solutions Center
     – Fernando Nuño  Leonardo Energy

•   Overview of the REN21 Renewables 2012 Global Status Report
     – Christine Lins  Executive Secretary, REN21
•   Asian Focus:
     – Arne Schweinfurth  Renewable Energy Support Programme for
       ASEAN at GIZ

•   Question & Answer

•   Discussion and Closing Remarks
Clean Energy Ministerial & UN Partnership
                                                           4
       Supporting the Solutions Center

•   Clean Energy Ministerial (CEM) launched the
    Clean Energy Solutions Center in April, 2011 for
    major economy countries
     • One of eleven CEM Initiatives
     • Led by Australia and U.S. with other CEM
        partners

•   Partnership with UN-Energy is extending scope to
    support all developing countries
     • Enhance resources on policies relating to
        energy access, small to medium enterprises
        (SMEs), and financing programs
     • Offer expert policy assistance to all countries
     • Expand peer to peer learning and training


                                                         9/4/2012
How You Can Get Involved                        5



 •   Request expert assistance or tailored
     technical resources for your country

 •   Participate in webinars, training
     activities, and policy networks

 •   Offer advice and suggest resources to
     share

 •   Sign up for the newsletter

 •   Join conversations on the Policy Forum


                                              9/4/2012
Leonardo Energy                                                                  6


•   Leonardo Energy initiative (LE) unites professionals from all over the world
    dedicated to electrical power and sustainable energy. LE provides education,
    training, and the comprehensive exchange of expertise.




                                                                                      www.leonardo-energy.org
                                                                                   9/4/2012
Speakers                                                             7



       Christine Lins was appointed as Executive Secretary of REN21,
       the Renewable Energy Policy Network of the 21st Century, in
       July 2011. During the last 10 years, she served as Secretary
       General of the European Renewable Energy Council, the united
       voice of Europe’s renewable energy industry. Lins has more than
       15 years of working experience in the field of renewable energy
       sources. Previously, she worked in a regional energy agency in
       Austria promoting energy efficiency and renewable energy
       sources. Lins holds a masters degree in international economics
       and applied languages.




                                                                   9/4/2012
Speakers                                                                 8


       Arne Schweinfurth studied Economics in Cologne (Germany),
       Madrid (Spain) and Montreal (Canada) with a focus on Energy
       Economics and Environmental Politics. As a consultant for The
       World Bank, and other organisations he worked on renewable
       energy, especially photovoltaic, renewable energy financing and
       energy subsidies.

       Since 2010 Arne Schweinfurth is advisor for renewable energy at
       the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit
       (GIZ) GmbH in Indonesia, working in Jakarta, where he
       manages the Renewable Energy Support Programme for
       ASEAN (ASEAN-RESP).




                                                                     9/4/2012
Click to edit Master title style
 • Click to edit Master text styles
       – Second level STATUS REPORT 2012
             GLOBAL
            Click level edit Master title style
             • Third to   Key Findings
               – Fourth level
                   » Fifth level
Christine Lins Click to edit Master subtitle style
Executive Secretary of REN21
                                        christine.lins@ren21.net
                                         www.ren21.net



                               Webinar focussing on
                                  Asia - Pacific


 9/4/2012                                                          9
Click
About REN21         to edit Master title style
 Multi-stakeholder Policy Network grouping:
  • Click to edit Master text styles
     National governments: Brazil, Germany, Denmark, UK, Spain, Norway,
      India, UAE, US,level Morocco, etc.
       – Second Uganda,
           • Third level
     International organisations: EC, IEA, IRENA, UNEP, UNIDO, UNDP, ADB, GEF,
      etc.      – Fourth level
                    » Fifth level
     Industry associations: RENAlliance (WWEA, WBA, IGA, ISES, IHA), ARE,
      GWEC, EREC, etc.
     Science & Academia: SANEDI, IIASA, TERI, etc.
     NGOs: WWF, Greenpeace, ICLEI, CURES, WRI, etc.
 Objective: enable a rapid global transition to renewable energy
 REN21 Secretariat based at UNEP in Paris/France

  9/4/2012                                                                  10
REN21 Click to edit Master title
      Renewables Global Status Report                          style
 Launched on June 11, 2012 along with UNEP’s Global trends in RE investment
 Team of over 400 Contributors, researchers & reviewers worldwide
  • Click to edit Master text styles
     Lead author (Janet Sawin) & Chapter authors
        – Second level
     Regional Contributors , Technology contributors & Rural energy contributors
             Click level edit Master title style
              • Third to
     REN21 Secretariat research support team
                – Fourth level
The report features:
                     » Fifth level
 Global Market Overview, Investment Flows, Industry Trends,
                Click to edit Master subtitle style
 Policy Landscape, Rural Renewable Energy
 All renewable energy technologies
 Sectors: power, heating/cooling, transport
 New elements in 2012:
     Rural renewable energy                                   www.ren21.net/GSR
     Renewable energy & energy efficiency
  9/4/2012                                                                     11
Click to edit Master
Renewable Energy in the World                        title style
  • Click to edit Master text styles
        – Second level
             Click level edit Master title style
              • Third to
                – Fourth level
                    » Fifth level

                Click to17% of global final energy consumption
 RE supplied an estimated
                           edit Master subtitle style
 UN Secretary General’s goal : doubling the share of renewable energy in the
  global energy mix by 2030
 Renewable energy continued to grow strongly despite policy uncertainty in
  some countries, the geography of renewables is expanding as prices fall and
  policies spread
  9/4/2012                                                                      12
Click to
TOP 5 in 2012              edit Master title style
• Click to edit Master text styles
      – Second level
           • Third level
              – Fourth level
                  » Fifth level




9/4/2012                                             13
Global Market Overview – Master title
       Click to edit Power Markets                          style
  • Click to edit Master text styles accounted for nearly
                            Renewables
                             half of the estimated 208GW of new
        – Second level                electric capacity installed in 2011

             Click level edit Master reached powerGW (+8%)
              • Third to        Renewable title style
                                 worldwide
                                           electric
                                                    1,360
                                                          capacity
                 – Fourth level
                                      in 2011
                     » Fifth level
                                      Renewable energy comprised more
                 Click to edit Master subtitle style
                                       than 25% of global power
                                       generation capacity
                                      20.3% of global electricity was
                                       produced from renewable energy



  9/4/2012                                                                  14
Global Click to edit –Master Coolingstyle
       Market Overview Heating & title

 • Click to edit Master text styles
  Transition towards the use
   of larger systems,
       – Second level
   increasing use of CHP and
            Click to edit Master title style
   district • Third level
            schemes.
  Growing trendFourth level
                – to use solar
   resources to generate level
                    » Fifth
   process heat for industry.
              Click to edit Master subtitle style
  Solar hot water used in
   over 200 million
   households and
   commercial buildings.



 9/4/2012                                           15
Click to edit Master title
Global Market Overview – Transport                  style
• RE usedto form of electricity, hydrogen, biogas, liquid biofuels.
 Click in edit Master text styles
   Liquid biofuels provided 3% of global road transport fuel in
     – Second level
   2011.
         • Third level
             – Fourth level
 Electric transport islevel tied directly with renewable energy
                 » Fifth being
   through policy directives in many countries.




9/4/2012                                                           16
Click
Hydropower           to edit Master title style
                                     25GW of new hydropower was
 • Click to edit Master text styles   added in 2011, increasing
                                      capacity by nearly 3%, bringing
       – Second level                 installed capacity to 970GW
            Click level edit Master title style
             • Third to
                                  Globally hydropower
                – Fourth level       generated 3,400TWh of
                    » Fifth level    electricity in 2011. China alone
                                     produced 663TWh followed by
               Click to edit Master subtitle style
                                     Brazil (450TWh)
                                     Small, but growing, market is
                                      emerging for low capacity
                                      hydropower in Asia, Sub
                                      Saharan Africa and Latin
                                      America

 9/4/2012                                                             17
Click
Solar Power          to edit Master title style
                                     30GW of new solar PV capacity came into
                                      being in 2011
 • Click to edit Master text PV capacity in operation in 2011 is
                          Solar
                                styles
       – Second level                about ten times the global total in 2006

            Click level edit Master PV industrystyleUSD
             • Third to       Size of global
                                              title exceeds
                               100 billion per year.
                – Fourth level
                    » Fifth level    460 MW of CSP installed in 2011 bringing
                                      the total installed capacity to 1.760 MW
                Click to edit Master subtitle style




 9/4/2012                                                                       18
Click
Wind Power            to edit Master title style
  • Click to edit Master text In 2011, 40GW of wind power
                             styles
                                       capacity was installed, increasing
        – Second level                 the total to 238GW.
             Click level edit Master growth rate of cumulative
              • Third to         Annual title style
                                  wind power capacity between 2006-
                 – Fourth level
                                       2010 averaged at 26%
                     » Fifth level

                 Click to edit Master subtitle style




  9/4/2012                                                                  19
Click to
Biomass Energy              edit Master title style
 • Click to edit Master text styles energy accounted for
                                Biomass
                                       over 10% of global primary
       – Second level                  energy supply in 2011
            • Third level              The present global demand for
                                        biomass is 53EJ, mainly used
               – Fourth level           for heating, cooking and
                   » Fifth level        industrial applications
                                       Liquid biofuels production
                                        grew rapidly at 17% for
                                        ethanol and 27% for biodiesel
                                       Europe is the largest market
                                        for pellets, biodiesel and
                                        biogas.



 9/4/2012                                                              20
Geothermal Energyedit
      Click to                     Master title style
                                      205 TWh (738PJ) of district heat and
 • Click to edit Master text styles    electricity was provided by
                                       geothermal resources in 2011
       – Second level                 Heat output from geothermal
            Click level edit Master title style
             • Third to
                                       sources grew at 100%p.a. from
                                       2005-2010; reaching 489PJ in 2011
               – Fourth level         China led in direct geothermal
                   » Fifth level       energy use in 2010, followed by the
                                       United States, Sweden, Turkey,
               Click to edit Master subtitle style
                                       Japan and Iceland.
                                      Geothermal power became more
                                       attractive due to flexibility offered
                                       by new technologies such as flash
                                       plants combined with binary
                                       bottoming cycles for increased
                                       efficiency.

 9/4/2012                                                                      21
Click to
Industry Trends            edit Master title style
                                 c
 RE industry saw continued growth
   • Click to edit Master text styles
  in manufacturing, sales and
  installation
         – Second level
 Cost reductions (especially in PV

              Click to edit Master title style
  and onshore wind) contributed to
  growth • Third level
                  – Fourth level
 Changing policy landscape in many
  countries  industry Fifth level
                       »
  uncertainties, declining policy
                Click to edit Master subtitle style
  support, international financial
  crisis and barriers to trade
 Worldwide jobs in renewable
  energy industries exceeded 5
  million in 2011; clustered
  primarily in bioenergy and solar
  industries.

   9/4/2012                                           22
Click to
Investment Flows                         edit Master title style
                                                             Total global investment in RE jumped in
                                                              2011to a record of $257 billion , up 17%
    • Click to edit Master text styles                        from 2010 (15 % for Asia Oceania region).
           – Second level                                    This is 6 times the level of investment in

               Click level edit Master title style
                • Third to
                                                              2004 and 94% more than the total
                                                              investment in RE in 2007.
                        – Fourth level                       Total investment exceeds
                            » Fifth level                          $267 billion including estimated $10
                                                                    billion (unreported) invested in solar
                        Click to edit Master subtitle style         hot water
                                                                   ~$282 billion including the $25
                                                                    billion invested in large hydropower
                                                                    (>50 MW)
                                                             Despite the rise in investment, the rate of
Source: UNEP/Bloomberg: Global Trends in Renewable Energy     growth of investment was below the 37%
Investment 2011                                               rise in investment from 2009 to 2010.

    9/4/2012                                                                                               23
Investment Flows
               Click to edit Master title style
     The top 5 countries for total investment
    • Click to edit Master text styles
     in 2011 were China, USA, Germany, Italy
     and India.
          – Second level
  Investment in RE in China went up by
           • Third level
  17% in 2011
                – Fourth level
 Investment in RE» Fifth level a
                     in USA made
  significant leap of 57% in 2011.

 Investment in Germany (excluding R&D)
  dipped 12% from the 2010 levels

    Investment in RE in India went up by
     62% in 2011


    9/4/2012                                      24
Policy Click to
       Landscape           edit Master title style
                                         Targets in at least 118
                                          countries up from the 96
 • Click to edit Master text styles       reported in previous year;
       – Second level                     more than half are
                                          developing countries.
            Click level edit Master Some setbacks resulting
             • Third to
                                  
                                     title style
                – Fourth level            from a lack of long-term
                    » Fifth level         policy certainty and
                                          stability in many countries
                Click to edit Master subtitle style
                                         GSR2012 portrays efforts in
                                          systematic linking of
                                          energy efficiency and
                                          renewable energy in the
                                          policy arena.


 9/4/2012                                                               25
Click to
 Policy Landscape           edit Master title style
 Renewable power generation policies
    • Click to edit Master text styles
  remain the most common type of support
  policy; Feed-in-tariffs (FIT) and renewable
          – Second level
  portfolio standards (RPS) are the most
               Click to edit Master title style
               • Third level
  commonly instruments. FIT policies were
  in place in at least Fourth level and 27
                    – 65 countries
  states worldwide by » Fifth level
                         early 2012.
 Policies to promote renewable heating and
                 Click to edit Master subtitle style
  cooling expanded.
 Almost two-thirds of the world’s largest
  cities had adopted climate change action
  plans by the end of 2011, with more than
  half of them planning to increase their
  uptake of renewable energy.

    9/4/2012                                           26
Policy Targets foredit Asia Pacific
         Click to RE in Master                    title style
Examples of successful policy measures:

     • Click to editthe addition of styles
    Targets: India targeted
                            Master text
    130MW Second capacity in 2011
        – of off-grid level
 Heating and Third level Korea required
             • Cooling: South
  all public buildings larger than 3000m2 to
  generate at leastFourth level heat
                  – 10% of total
  demand through RE Fifth level
                       »
 Transport: China is a significant part of the
  mandate calling for 220billion liters of
  biofuel by 2022
 Labelling: Japan introduced the Green
  heat Certification Programme in 2010 for
  solar thermal, adding biomass in 2011


    9/4/2012                                                    27
Energy Click to
       Access                 edit Master title style
 UN Secretary General’s goal: Global action to achieve universal access to
  modern energy services by 2030
   • Click to edit Master text styles
 In order to achieve universal access for all, the current global investments on
  energy access of annual 9 billion USD need to be increased to 48 billion USD
        – Second level
  annually
              Click to edit Master title style
 2.6 billion • Third level
              people still employed traditional cookstoves and open fires for
  heating and cooking in 2011
                  – Fourth level
 Large numbers of actors and programmes, with limited coordination, makes
                      » Fifth level
  impact assessment and data collection in the region a big challenge
                Click to edit Master subtitle style
 Lower prices of renewable energy technology is allowing manufacturers to
  diversify into emerging markets
 Financial models in rural energy include:
     • Small retail markets
     • Public-Private micro financing initiatives
     • National/multi stakeholder programmes
   9/4/2012                                                                         28
Rural Renewable Energy in Asia Pacific style
    Click to edit Master title
 Electricity Access by Region
                                  • Countries such as Bangladesh,
• Click to edit Master text stylesAfghanistan, Myanmar, and Pakistan
                                  continue to experience very low rates
      – Second level              of rural electrification and to rely
           • Third level          largely on traditional biomass
              – Fourth level
                                  •Philippines expanded its existing
                  » Fifth level   Rural Electrification Programme in
                                  2011 with the goal of achieving 90%
                                  household electrification by 2017

                                  •In Iran the Power Ministry, has
                                  electrified more than 233 households
                                  with decentralised PV systems.


9/4/2012                                                                  29
Click to edit
Enabling Framework                     Master title style
 • Click to edit Master text styles
                  Enhanced
                   energy      Right policy
                          security, more                 framework
       – Second level     stable climate

            Click level edit Master title style
             • Third to
               – Fourth level
                   » Fifth level

               Click to edit Master subtitle style
                   Improved
                  public health
                                                                Increased
                                                              productivity &
                                                                 growth




                                           Creation of
                                              jobs



 9/4/2012                                                                      30
REN21 facilitates global dialogue on
            Click to edit Master title style
RE transition
                                       Stay informed, Stay connected
                                       Contribute & Exchange…
 • Click to edit Master text styles
       – Second level
            • Third level
               – Fourth level
                   » Fifth level


15-17 January 2013
                                   www.ren21.net
incl. Launch of
REN21 Global Futures Report        secretariat@ren21.net

 9/4/2012                                                       31
ASEAN-RESP




   Global Status Report 2012
Regional Perspective Asia-Pacific

   A Focus on the ASEAN Community


                      Arne Schweinfurth
                         GIZ RE Advisor
    Renewable Energy Support Programme for ASEAN (ASEAN-RESP)
                     arne.schweinfurth@giz.de


                                                          04.09.2012   Seite 32
ASEAN-RESP




I.     ASEAN-RESP
II.    RE Development in ASEAN Member States
III.   Drivers and Barriers




                                     04.09.2012   Slide 33
ASEAN-RESP




I.     ASEAN-RESP
II.    RE Development in ASEAN Member States
III.   Drivers and Barriers




                                     04.09.2012   Slide 34
ASEAN-RESP


ASEAN-RESP: GIZ international energy projects




                             Ongoing projects


                                                04.09.2012   Slide 35
ASEAN-RESP


ASEAN-RESP: ASEAN Centre for Energy

 “Catalyst for the economic growth and development”;

 Coordinating regional activities in the energy sector;

 Initiating joint activities on energy among the ASEAN member states;

 Implementing the “ASEAN Plan of Action for Energy Cooperation”;

 Achieving the target of 15% of RE in the ASEAN energy mix.




                                                           04.09.2012   Slide 36
ASEAN-RESP


ASEAN-RESP: Project Background

 Jointly implemented by ASEAN Centre for Energy (ACE) and GIZ;

 Supporting the implementation of the APAEC 2010-2015;

 Transfering regional know-how and experiences;

 Fields of activities

    - Networking within the RE sector

    - RE policy advice

    - RE capacity building



                                                    04.09.2012   Slide 37
ASEAN-RESP




I.     ASEAN-RESP
II.    RE Development in ASEAN Member States
III.   Conclusion and Discussion




                                   04.09.2012   Slide 38
ASEAN-RESP


RE Development: ASEAN Community

 High and rising energy demand in all ASEAN member states (e.g.
  Indonesia: 7% p.a.);

 Increasing costs for fossil fuels;

 Energy security and stability of supply of political concern;

 ASEAN member states put RE on the political agenda

    - 5 ASEAN member states set concrete RE targets

 Financial and non-financial incentives for the RE sector are in place

    - 6 ASEAN member states provide financial and/or non-financial support

                                                            04.09.2012   Slide 39
ASEAN-RESP




Indonesia




                         04.09.2012   Slide 40
ASEAN-RESP


Indonesia: Increasing Costs for Energy Generation
Energy mix in Indonesia by source (2011):



              NRE
             5.03%


                        Coal
                                   Highly dependent on fossil fuels (95%);
       Natural         23.91%
        Gas
       24.29%                      Energy demand increasing by 7% per year;

                  Crude
                    Oil            Fuel as well as electricity prices subsidized;
                  46.77%

                                   High electricity generation costs.




 Source: MEMR, 2012.

                                                                         04.09.2012   Slide 41
ASEAN-RESP


Indonesia: Renewable Energy Targets
Electricity generation in Indonesia by source:



          Other RE Liquified Coal
             5%          2%
   Bioenergy
      5%
Geothermal
   5%
                        Crude Oil
                           20%
                                     Official target of 15% RE by 2025;

                                       “Vision 25/25”: 25% by 2025;
           Natural Gas
              30%        Coal
                         33%
                                     Largest share from geothermal and bioenergy.




 Source: MEMR, 2012.

                                                                       04.09.2012   Slide 42
ASEAN-RESP


Indonesia: RE Support Instruments

 Income tax on dividend paid to foreign party at 10%;

 Exemption from VAT for taxable goods, machinery and equipment
  for RE utilization (not included spare parts);

 Exemption from import duty for

    - Goods and Machinery for development and capital investment

    - Capital Goods for construction and development of electricity industry

 Various further exemptions.



                                                              04.09.2012   Slide 43
Indonesia: Feed-in-Tariffs

                                                                         Set for 2012
                                                      Years   in Rp per kWh      In USD per kWh
Biomass
 Installed Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Medium Voltage           n/a          975              0,1073
 Installed Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Low Voltage              n/a         1.325             0,1458

Biogas
 Installed Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Medium Voltage           n/a          975              0,1073
 Installed Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Low Voltage              n/a         1.325             0,1458

Municipal Waste
Zero Waste, Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Medium Voltage          n/a         1.050             0,1155
Zero Waste, Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Low Voltage             n/a         1.398             0,1538
Sanitary Landfill, Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Medium Voltage   n/a          850              0,0935

Sanitary Landfill, Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Low Voltage      n/a         1.198             0,1318
                                                                                                   Conversion Factors for Regions in
                                                                                                   Indonesia:
Geothermal
                                                                                                   a. Java / Bali, F = 1
 interconnected with High Voltage                                                   0,0970
                                                                                                   b. Sumatra / Sulawesi, F = 1.2
General FiT / Technology neutral                                                                   c. Kalimantanm, West Nusa
 Installed Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Medium Voltage           n/a          656              0,0722         Tenggara and Nusa East, F = 1.3
 Installed Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Low Voltage              n/a         1.004             0,1104         d. Maluku and Papua, F = 1.5


Source: MEMR, 2012; GIZ, 2012. .

                                                                                                    44
                                                                                                  04.09.2012         Slide 44
ASEAN-RESP


Indonesia: Features

   High subsidies for conventionally generated electricity and fossil fuels
    hamper the development of RE and burden the state budget;

   RE support mechanisms are in place, but incomplete and not
    transparent (“case-by-case” decisions, no long-term guarantees);

   RE applications are already cost competitive in remote areas, but
    not fully accepted as alternative to conventional energy production;

   The banking sector does not include RE in its portfolio, project
    finance for RE is difficult to obtain.


                                                           04.09.2012   Slide 45
ASEAN-RESP




Thailand




                        04.09.2012   Slide 46
ASEAN-RESP


      Thailand: High Import Dependency
      Energy sources in Thailand:




        Natural Gas,               Oil
          37.98%                 47,15%    Oil and gas main energy sources;

                                           Total imported value of energy resources 37.5 billion
                                             USD (2011).
                          Coal
Hydro (Import)           7,43%
    2,49%      Lignite
               4,95%




   Source : MoE, 2012.


                                                                             04.09.2012   Slide 47   47
ASEAN-RESP


Thailand: Alternative Energy Development Plan 2012-2021

 25% of alternative energy in energy consumption by 2021

    - 9201 MW of electricity; 9335 ktoe of heat; 39.97 ML/day of biofuel

 Energy security and budget relief

    - Reduce oil imports for 574,000 million Baht (approx. 18 billion USD)

    - Promote private sector investment of 442,000 million Baht (approx. 14
      billion USD)

 Climate change mitigation

    - Decrease CO2 emission for 76 million tons/yr until 2021

                                                                04.09.2012   Slide 48
ASEAN-RESP


Thailand: RE Targets and Current Status (example)
RE electricity generation in Thailand:




                                                Current
                               Type                           Target 2021(MW)
                                             Capacity (MW)
                     Wind                              7.28             1,200
                     Solar                           141.97             2,000
                     Hydro                            95.70             1,608
                     Biomass                          1,790             3,630
                     Biogas                          169.54               600
                     Municipal Solid Waste            27.48               160
                     Tidal & Geothermal                0.30                 3

                     TOTAL                         2,232.27             9,201




                                               Additional capacity: 774 MW p.a.!



Source: MoE, 2012.

                                                                                04.09.2012   Slide 49
ASEAN-RESP


Thailand: Feed-in “Adder” on electricity price
                                                2012 Adder (Based on figures, released Special Adder for Special Adder for
                                                               2010)                   Diesel Replacement Three Provinces
                                        Years      in THB per kWh      in USD per kWh      in USD per kWh      in USD per kWh
 Biomass
  Installed Capacity ≤ 1 MW              7               + 0,5304            + 0,0170           + 0,0330             + 0,0330
  Installed Capacity > 1 MW              7               + 0,3120            + 0,0100           + 0,0330             + 0,0330

 Biogas
  Installed Capacity ≤ 1 MW              7               + 0,5304            + 0,0170           + 0,0330             + 0,0330
  Installed Capacity > 1 MW              7               + 0,3120            + 0,0100           + 0,0330             + 0,0330

 Municipal Waste
  Landfill and Digestor                  7               + 2,5896            + 0,0830           + 0,0330             + 0,0330
  Thermal Process                        7               + 3,6504            + 0,1170           + 0,0330             + 0,0330

 Wind
  Installed Capacity ≤ 50 kW             10              + 4,6800            + 0,1500           + 0,0500             + 0,0500
 Installed Capacity > 50 kW              10              + 3,6504            + 0,1170           + 0,0500             + 0,0500

 Small/Micro Hydro
  50 kW < Installed Capacity < 200 kW    7               + 0,8424            + 0,0270           + 0,3300             + 0,3300
  Installed Capacity ≤ 50 kW             7               + 1,5600            + 0,0500           + 0,0330             + 0,0330

 Solar                                   10              + 6,7704            + 0,2170           + 0,0500             + 0,0500

 Source: MoE, 2012; GIZ 2012.


                                                                                                     04.09.2012       Slide 50
ASEAN-RESP


Thailand: Features

 Thailand was the first mover with regards to RE in the ASEAN region
  and successfully established a RE support scheme;

 Reliable feed-in mechanism (“Adder”, currently under revision) and
  financing scheme (Encon Fund) are in place;

 Thai example as “model” for several other countries in the region;

 Considerable private sector activity including the finance sector
  could be intitiated.




                                                        04.09.2012   Slide 51
ASEAN-RESP




Malaysia




                        04.09.2012   Slide 52
ASEAN-RESP


Malaysia: RE Targets and Current Status

 9th Malaysia Plan (2006 – 2010)
    - Targeted RE capacity to be connected to power utility grid 350 MW;

    - Targeted power generation mix: 56% natural gas, 36% coal, 6% hydro,
      0.2% oil, 1.8% Renewable Energy.

 RE as of december 2011
    - Connected to power utility grid: 68.45 MW (20% from target);

    - Off-grid: > 430 MW (mainly private palm oil millers and solar hybrid).

 Increased government activities in order to achieve the set targets!


                                                               04.09.2012   Slide 53
Feed-in Tariff Rates

Malaysia: Feed-in-Tariff
                                          Range of FiT Rates
                                 FiT                               Annual       Rate in Second Year
    Technology / Source                       (RM/kWh)
                               Duration                          Degression      (After Degression)
                                             {USD/kWh}

Biomass (palm oil waste,
                                              0.27 – 0.35                             0.268 – 0.348
agro based)                      16                                 0.5%
                                             {0.09 – 0.12}                           {0.088 – 0.115}

Biogas (palm oil waste, agro
                                              0.28 – 0.35                             0.278 – 0.348
based, farming)                  16                                 0.5%
                                             {0.09 – 0.12}                            {0.09 – 0.115}

Mini Hydro                                    0.23 – 0.24                              0.23 – 0.24
                                 21                                 0%
                                                {~0.08}                                  {~0.08}

Solar PV & PP                                 0.85 – 1.78                              0.782 – 1.63
                                 21                                 8%
                                             {0.28 – 0.59}                           {0.258 – 0.538}

Solid waste & Sewage                          0.37 – 0.45                             0.363 – 0.441
                                 16                                 1.8%
                                             {0.12 – 0.15}                             {0.12-0.146}

Source: MoE 2012.                                   Long term guarantee for FiT;

                                                    Grid access for RE guaranteed;

                                                    Costs passed on to consumers.

                                                                                     54
                                                                                    04.09.2012    Slide 54
ASEAN-RESP


Malaysia: Feed-in-Tariff
FiT Status and Updates (31 May 2012):


                                           Total             Capacity (MW)



              Applications received         839                 593.87


              Approved Applications         474                 381.19


               Refused Applications         327                 181.82


             Applications in process        38                   30.85


            Source: MoE 2012.
                                                    Excess demand for installation permits;

                                                    Limited capacity to handle applications;

                                                    Revision of FiT.

                                                                             55
                                                                         04.09.2012   Slide 55
Malaysia: Feed-in-Tariff
FiT Status and Updates (31 May 2012):                   RE        Installed
                                                     Generation   Capacity
                                        No of Jobs    (MWh)         (MW)


                           Biogas           412       126,514     16.48



                       Biomass             3,789      754,462     126.30



                                           1,084      451,298     72.25
                       Mini Hydro


                                           4,154      222,313     166.16
                           Solar PV



                      Total
                      Total                9,439     1,554,589    381.19

       Source: MoE 2012.

                                                                       56
                                                                      04.09.2012   Slide 56
ASEAN-RESP


Malaysia: Features

   An elaborated and relatively transparent FiT scheme is in place,
    currently under revision;

   Attractive tariffs and conditions triggered a big demand among RE
    project developers, support scheme not able to fully absorb demand;

   Political commitment to RE development is very high in order to
    increase energy supply security;

   Successful attraction of RE manufacturing capacity (especially PV);

   Private financing of RE projects is still not available on a large scale.

                                                             04.09.2012   Slide 57
ASEAN-RESP




I.     ASEAN-RESP
II.    RE Development in ASEAN Member States
III.   Drivers and Barriers




                                     04.09.2012   Slide 58
ASEAN-RESP


Drivers: Promising Preconditions

 Abundant renewable resources for energy generation in
  Southeast Asia

 Increasing energy demand and need for energy security;

 Volatile and rising costs for conventional energy generation;

 Decreasing costs for RE technology and grid parity in remote
  areas (small hydropower, PV);

 Low electrification rates and need to provide modern energy
  services to all households;

 Political will to promote RE (4 countries with feed-in schemes).
                                                         04.09.2012   Slide 59
ASEAN-RESP

Drivers: Highlight – Low Electrification Rate
Electrification Ratio in the ASEAN

                                                               Unelectrified
                                      Electrification Rate
                         Country                                Population
                                               (%)
                                                             (million, approx.)
              Myanmar                         26.0                  44.4
              Cambodia                        24.0                  10.6
              Laos PDR                        78.0                  1.4
              Indonesia                       73.7                  62.4
              Total ASEAN-4                   53.8                 118.8
              Philippines                     89.7                  9.5
              Vietnam                         97.3                  2.1
              Thailand                        99.3                  0.5
              Malaysia                        99.4                  0.2
              Brunei                          99.7                  0.0
              Singapore                      100.0                  0.0
              Total ASEAN-6                   95.6                  12.3
              Total ASEAN-10                  73.9                 131.1


             Source: WEO 2011; ASEAN-RESP 2012; PLN 2012; MoEM Lao PDR 2012.


                                                                                  04.09.2012   Slide 60
ASEAN-RESP


Barriers: Challenges in RE Inception and Take-Off (examples)


 INDONESIA
 • Lack of information related to policy,
    regulatory frameworks, financing
    mechanisms                                                THAILAND
 • Lack of streamlined procedures related to                  • Need a longer timeframe for feed-in adder
    market and grid access rules                                and fiscal incentives
 • Financial institutions’ lack of                            • Need an appropriate incentives for each
    understanding on RE projects                                RE type
                                                              • Need for a clearer policy and predictable
 PHILIPPINES                                                    support
 • Policy and regulatory frameworks under         Thailand    • Need to streamline procedures
    the RE Act need to be implemented                         • More transparent and elaborate grid
 • Banks have lack of confidence on RE                          interconnection rules
    projects                                                  • Need for a clearer policy on local content
                                                                requirements, local industry and expertise
                               Indonesia                        development
                Philippines



                          Inception            Take-Off      Consolidation

  Source: ACE 2012.

                                                                                       04.09.2012    Slide 61
ASEAN-RESP


Barriers: Unclear Long-term Perspectives

 “Teething trouble” which accompanies new developments (Thailand,
  Malaysia)

 Lack of long-term predictability of RE support schemes (Indonesia)

 Intransparent procedures and case-by-case decision making
  (Indonesia)

 Lack of data and data inconsistency (ASEAN member states);

 Absence of a regional market (common technical norms and
  standards);

 Stable investment environment only partly established.
                                                      04.09.2012   Slide 62
ASEAN-RESP




Thank you!
Further information: http://resp.aseanenergy.org/




                                                    04.09.2012   Slide 63
Time for Q&A               64


               Questions




                           9/4/2012
Your participation is appreciated!                   65



                      Thank you!

An audio recording of this Webinar and the PowerPoint
   presentations will be available following the webinar
                       Please visit:
http://www.leonardo-energy.org/webinar-ren-21-global-
           status-report-2012-asia-pacific-focus
                           or
        http://cleanenergysolutions.org/training

                                                      9/4/2012

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Webinar - REN 21 Global Status Report 2012 - Asia Pacific focus

  • 1. Leonardo Energy, REN21, and Clean Energy Solutions Center REN21 Renewables 2012 Global Status Report: Asia Pacific Focus September 5, 2012 Fernando Nuño – Moderator Christine Lins – Presenter Arne Schweinfurth - Presenter
  • 2. Some Housekeeping items 2 1. Audio is over IP. Use your headset or loudspeakers 2. Introduce yourself using the “introductions” window 3. Send your questions along the presentation using the “Q&A” window. They will be answered after the presentation 4. Presentation and recording of the webinar will be available in the Leonardo Energy web and in the Clean Energy Solutions Center web. • http://www.leonardo-energy.org/webinar-ren-21-global-status-report-2012-asia- pacific-focus • http://cleanenergysolutions.org/training 9/4/2012
  • 3. Agenda 3 • Welcome and Introductory Remarks • Overview of Leonardo Energy, and the Clean Energy Solutions Center – Fernando Nuño  Leonardo Energy • Overview of the REN21 Renewables 2012 Global Status Report – Christine Lins  Executive Secretary, REN21 • Asian Focus: – Arne Schweinfurth  Renewable Energy Support Programme for ASEAN at GIZ • Question & Answer • Discussion and Closing Remarks
  • 4. Clean Energy Ministerial & UN Partnership 4 Supporting the Solutions Center • Clean Energy Ministerial (CEM) launched the Clean Energy Solutions Center in April, 2011 for major economy countries • One of eleven CEM Initiatives • Led by Australia and U.S. with other CEM partners • Partnership with UN-Energy is extending scope to support all developing countries • Enhance resources on policies relating to energy access, small to medium enterprises (SMEs), and financing programs • Offer expert policy assistance to all countries • Expand peer to peer learning and training 9/4/2012
  • 5. How You Can Get Involved 5 • Request expert assistance or tailored technical resources for your country • Participate in webinars, training activities, and policy networks • Offer advice and suggest resources to share • Sign up for the newsletter • Join conversations on the Policy Forum 9/4/2012
  • 6. Leonardo Energy 6 • Leonardo Energy initiative (LE) unites professionals from all over the world dedicated to electrical power and sustainable energy. LE provides education, training, and the comprehensive exchange of expertise. www.leonardo-energy.org 9/4/2012
  • 7. Speakers 7 Christine Lins was appointed as Executive Secretary of REN21, the Renewable Energy Policy Network of the 21st Century, in July 2011. During the last 10 years, she served as Secretary General of the European Renewable Energy Council, the united voice of Europe’s renewable energy industry. Lins has more than 15 years of working experience in the field of renewable energy sources. Previously, she worked in a regional energy agency in Austria promoting energy efficiency and renewable energy sources. Lins holds a masters degree in international economics and applied languages. 9/4/2012
  • 8. Speakers 8 Arne Schweinfurth studied Economics in Cologne (Germany), Madrid (Spain) and Montreal (Canada) with a focus on Energy Economics and Environmental Politics. As a consultant for The World Bank, and other organisations he worked on renewable energy, especially photovoltaic, renewable energy financing and energy subsidies. Since 2010 Arne Schweinfurth is advisor for renewable energy at the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH in Indonesia, working in Jakarta, where he manages the Renewable Energy Support Programme for ASEAN (ASEAN-RESP). 9/4/2012
  • 9. Click to edit Master title style • Click to edit Master text styles – Second level STATUS REPORT 2012 GLOBAL Click level edit Master title style • Third to Key Findings – Fourth level » Fifth level Christine Lins Click to edit Master subtitle style Executive Secretary of REN21 christine.lins@ren21.net www.ren21.net Webinar focussing on Asia - Pacific 9/4/2012 9
  • 10. Click About REN21 to edit Master title style  Multi-stakeholder Policy Network grouping: • Click to edit Master text styles  National governments: Brazil, Germany, Denmark, UK, Spain, Norway, India, UAE, US,level Morocco, etc. – Second Uganda, • Third level  International organisations: EC, IEA, IRENA, UNEP, UNIDO, UNDP, ADB, GEF, etc. – Fourth level » Fifth level  Industry associations: RENAlliance (WWEA, WBA, IGA, ISES, IHA), ARE, GWEC, EREC, etc.  Science & Academia: SANEDI, IIASA, TERI, etc.  NGOs: WWF, Greenpeace, ICLEI, CURES, WRI, etc.  Objective: enable a rapid global transition to renewable energy  REN21 Secretariat based at UNEP in Paris/France 9/4/2012 10
  • 11. REN21 Click to edit Master title Renewables Global Status Report style  Launched on June 11, 2012 along with UNEP’s Global trends in RE investment  Team of over 400 Contributors, researchers & reviewers worldwide • Click to edit Master text styles  Lead author (Janet Sawin) & Chapter authors – Second level  Regional Contributors , Technology contributors & Rural energy contributors Click level edit Master title style • Third to  REN21 Secretariat research support team – Fourth level The report features: » Fifth level  Global Market Overview, Investment Flows, Industry Trends, Click to edit Master subtitle style Policy Landscape, Rural Renewable Energy  All renewable energy technologies  Sectors: power, heating/cooling, transport  New elements in 2012:  Rural renewable energy www.ren21.net/GSR  Renewable energy & energy efficiency 9/4/2012 11
  • 12. Click to edit Master Renewable Energy in the World title style • Click to edit Master text styles – Second level Click level edit Master title style • Third to – Fourth level » Fifth level Click to17% of global final energy consumption  RE supplied an estimated edit Master subtitle style  UN Secretary General’s goal : doubling the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix by 2030  Renewable energy continued to grow strongly despite policy uncertainty in some countries, the geography of renewables is expanding as prices fall and policies spread 9/4/2012 12
  • 13. Click to TOP 5 in 2012 edit Master title style • Click to edit Master text styles – Second level • Third level – Fourth level » Fifth level 9/4/2012 13
  • 14. Global Market Overview – Master title Click to edit Power Markets style • Click to edit Master text styles accounted for nearly  Renewables half of the estimated 208GW of new – Second level electric capacity installed in 2011 Click level edit Master reached powerGW (+8%) • Third to  Renewable title style worldwide electric 1,360 capacity – Fourth level in 2011 » Fifth level  Renewable energy comprised more Click to edit Master subtitle style than 25% of global power generation capacity  20.3% of global electricity was produced from renewable energy 9/4/2012 14
  • 15. Global Click to edit –Master Coolingstyle Market Overview Heating & title • Click to edit Master text styles  Transition towards the use of larger systems, – Second level increasing use of CHP and Click to edit Master title style district • Third level schemes.  Growing trendFourth level – to use solar resources to generate level » Fifth process heat for industry. Click to edit Master subtitle style  Solar hot water used in over 200 million households and commercial buildings. 9/4/2012 15
  • 16. Click to edit Master title Global Market Overview – Transport style • RE usedto form of electricity, hydrogen, biogas, liquid biofuels.  Click in edit Master text styles Liquid biofuels provided 3% of global road transport fuel in – Second level 2011. • Third level – Fourth level  Electric transport islevel tied directly with renewable energy » Fifth being through policy directives in many countries. 9/4/2012 16
  • 17. Click Hydropower to edit Master title style  25GW of new hydropower was • Click to edit Master text styles added in 2011, increasing capacity by nearly 3%, bringing – Second level installed capacity to 970GW Click level edit Master title style • Third to  Globally hydropower – Fourth level generated 3,400TWh of » Fifth level electricity in 2011. China alone produced 663TWh followed by Click to edit Master subtitle style Brazil (450TWh)  Small, but growing, market is emerging for low capacity hydropower in Asia, Sub Saharan Africa and Latin America 9/4/2012 17
  • 18. Click Solar Power to edit Master title style  30GW of new solar PV capacity came into being in 2011 • Click to edit Master text PV capacity in operation in 2011 is Solar styles – Second level about ten times the global total in 2006 Click level edit Master PV industrystyleUSD • Third to  Size of global title exceeds 100 billion per year. – Fourth level » Fifth level  460 MW of CSP installed in 2011 bringing the total installed capacity to 1.760 MW Click to edit Master subtitle style 9/4/2012 18
  • 19. Click Wind Power to edit Master title style • Click to edit Master text In 2011, 40GW of wind power  styles capacity was installed, increasing – Second level the total to 238GW. Click level edit Master growth rate of cumulative • Third to  Annual title style wind power capacity between 2006- – Fourth level 2010 averaged at 26% » Fifth level Click to edit Master subtitle style 9/4/2012 19
  • 20. Click to Biomass Energy edit Master title style • Click to edit Master text styles energy accounted for  Biomass over 10% of global primary – Second level energy supply in 2011 • Third level  The present global demand for biomass is 53EJ, mainly used – Fourth level for heating, cooking and » Fifth level industrial applications  Liquid biofuels production grew rapidly at 17% for ethanol and 27% for biodiesel  Europe is the largest market for pellets, biodiesel and biogas. 9/4/2012 20
  • 21. Geothermal Energyedit Click to Master title style  205 TWh (738PJ) of district heat and • Click to edit Master text styles electricity was provided by geothermal resources in 2011 – Second level  Heat output from geothermal Click level edit Master title style • Third to sources grew at 100%p.a. from 2005-2010; reaching 489PJ in 2011 – Fourth level  China led in direct geothermal » Fifth level energy use in 2010, followed by the United States, Sweden, Turkey, Click to edit Master subtitle style Japan and Iceland.  Geothermal power became more attractive due to flexibility offered by new technologies such as flash plants combined with binary bottoming cycles for increased efficiency. 9/4/2012 21
  • 22. Click to Industry Trends edit Master title style c  RE industry saw continued growth • Click to edit Master text styles in manufacturing, sales and installation – Second level  Cost reductions (especially in PV Click to edit Master title style and onshore wind) contributed to growth • Third level – Fourth level  Changing policy landscape in many countries  industry Fifth level » uncertainties, declining policy Click to edit Master subtitle style support, international financial crisis and barriers to trade  Worldwide jobs in renewable energy industries exceeded 5 million in 2011; clustered primarily in bioenergy and solar industries. 9/4/2012 22
  • 23. Click to Investment Flows edit Master title style  Total global investment in RE jumped in 2011to a record of $257 billion , up 17% • Click to edit Master text styles from 2010 (15 % for Asia Oceania region). – Second level  This is 6 times the level of investment in Click level edit Master title style • Third to 2004 and 94% more than the total investment in RE in 2007. – Fourth level  Total investment exceeds » Fifth level  $267 billion including estimated $10 billion (unreported) invested in solar Click to edit Master subtitle style hot water  ~$282 billion including the $25 billion invested in large hydropower (>50 MW)  Despite the rise in investment, the rate of Source: UNEP/Bloomberg: Global Trends in Renewable Energy growth of investment was below the 37% Investment 2011 rise in investment from 2009 to 2010. 9/4/2012 23
  • 24. Investment Flows Click to edit Master title style  The top 5 countries for total investment • Click to edit Master text styles in 2011 were China, USA, Germany, Italy and India. – Second level  Investment in RE in China went up by • Third level 17% in 2011 – Fourth level  Investment in RE» Fifth level a in USA made significant leap of 57% in 2011.  Investment in Germany (excluding R&D) dipped 12% from the 2010 levels  Investment in RE in India went up by 62% in 2011 9/4/2012 24
  • 25. Policy Click to Landscape edit Master title style  Targets in at least 118 countries up from the 96 • Click to edit Master text styles reported in previous year; – Second level more than half are developing countries. Click level edit Master Some setbacks resulting • Third to  title style – Fourth level from a lack of long-term » Fifth level policy certainty and stability in many countries Click to edit Master subtitle style  GSR2012 portrays efforts in systematic linking of energy efficiency and renewable energy in the policy arena. 9/4/2012 25
  • 26. Click to Policy Landscape edit Master title style  Renewable power generation policies • Click to edit Master text styles remain the most common type of support policy; Feed-in-tariffs (FIT) and renewable – Second level portfolio standards (RPS) are the most Click to edit Master title style • Third level commonly instruments. FIT policies were in place in at least Fourth level and 27 – 65 countries states worldwide by » Fifth level early 2012.  Policies to promote renewable heating and Click to edit Master subtitle style cooling expanded.  Almost two-thirds of the world’s largest cities had adopted climate change action plans by the end of 2011, with more than half of them planning to increase their uptake of renewable energy. 9/4/2012 26
  • 27. Policy Targets foredit Asia Pacific Click to RE in Master title style Examples of successful policy measures:  • Click to editthe addition of styles Targets: India targeted Master text 130MW Second capacity in 2011 – of off-grid level  Heating and Third level Korea required • Cooling: South all public buildings larger than 3000m2 to generate at leastFourth level heat – 10% of total demand through RE Fifth level »  Transport: China is a significant part of the mandate calling for 220billion liters of biofuel by 2022  Labelling: Japan introduced the Green heat Certification Programme in 2010 for solar thermal, adding biomass in 2011 9/4/2012 27
  • 28. Energy Click to Access edit Master title style  UN Secretary General’s goal: Global action to achieve universal access to modern energy services by 2030 • Click to edit Master text styles  In order to achieve universal access for all, the current global investments on energy access of annual 9 billion USD need to be increased to 48 billion USD – Second level annually Click to edit Master title style  2.6 billion • Third level people still employed traditional cookstoves and open fires for heating and cooking in 2011 – Fourth level  Large numbers of actors and programmes, with limited coordination, makes » Fifth level impact assessment and data collection in the region a big challenge Click to edit Master subtitle style  Lower prices of renewable energy technology is allowing manufacturers to diversify into emerging markets  Financial models in rural energy include: • Small retail markets • Public-Private micro financing initiatives • National/multi stakeholder programmes 9/4/2012 28
  • 29. Rural Renewable Energy in Asia Pacific style Click to edit Master title Electricity Access by Region • Countries such as Bangladesh, • Click to edit Master text stylesAfghanistan, Myanmar, and Pakistan continue to experience very low rates – Second level of rural electrification and to rely • Third level largely on traditional biomass – Fourth level •Philippines expanded its existing » Fifth level Rural Electrification Programme in 2011 with the goal of achieving 90% household electrification by 2017 •In Iran the Power Ministry, has electrified more than 233 households with decentralised PV systems. 9/4/2012 29
  • 30. Click to edit Enabling Framework Master title style • Click to edit Master text styles Enhanced energy Right policy security, more framework – Second level stable climate Click level edit Master title style • Third to – Fourth level » Fifth level Click to edit Master subtitle style Improved public health Increased productivity & growth Creation of jobs 9/4/2012 30
  • 31. REN21 facilitates global dialogue on Click to edit Master title style RE transition Stay informed, Stay connected Contribute & Exchange… • Click to edit Master text styles – Second level • Third level – Fourth level » Fifth level 15-17 January 2013 www.ren21.net incl. Launch of REN21 Global Futures Report secretariat@ren21.net 9/4/2012 31
  • 32. ASEAN-RESP Global Status Report 2012 Regional Perspective Asia-Pacific A Focus on the ASEAN Community Arne Schweinfurth GIZ RE Advisor Renewable Energy Support Programme for ASEAN (ASEAN-RESP) arne.schweinfurth@giz.de 04.09.2012 Seite 32
  • 33. ASEAN-RESP I. ASEAN-RESP II. RE Development in ASEAN Member States III. Drivers and Barriers 04.09.2012 Slide 33
  • 34. ASEAN-RESP I. ASEAN-RESP II. RE Development in ASEAN Member States III. Drivers and Barriers 04.09.2012 Slide 34
  • 35. ASEAN-RESP ASEAN-RESP: GIZ international energy projects Ongoing projects 04.09.2012 Slide 35
  • 36. ASEAN-RESP ASEAN-RESP: ASEAN Centre for Energy  “Catalyst for the economic growth and development”;  Coordinating regional activities in the energy sector;  Initiating joint activities on energy among the ASEAN member states;  Implementing the “ASEAN Plan of Action for Energy Cooperation”;  Achieving the target of 15% of RE in the ASEAN energy mix. 04.09.2012 Slide 36
  • 37. ASEAN-RESP ASEAN-RESP: Project Background  Jointly implemented by ASEAN Centre for Energy (ACE) and GIZ;  Supporting the implementation of the APAEC 2010-2015;  Transfering regional know-how and experiences;  Fields of activities - Networking within the RE sector - RE policy advice - RE capacity building 04.09.2012 Slide 37
  • 38. ASEAN-RESP I. ASEAN-RESP II. RE Development in ASEAN Member States III. Conclusion and Discussion 04.09.2012 Slide 38
  • 39. ASEAN-RESP RE Development: ASEAN Community  High and rising energy demand in all ASEAN member states (e.g. Indonesia: 7% p.a.);  Increasing costs for fossil fuels;  Energy security and stability of supply of political concern;  ASEAN member states put RE on the political agenda - 5 ASEAN member states set concrete RE targets  Financial and non-financial incentives for the RE sector are in place - 6 ASEAN member states provide financial and/or non-financial support 04.09.2012 Slide 39
  • 40. ASEAN-RESP Indonesia 04.09.2012 Slide 40
  • 41. ASEAN-RESP Indonesia: Increasing Costs for Energy Generation Energy mix in Indonesia by source (2011): NRE 5.03% Coal  Highly dependent on fossil fuels (95%); Natural 23.91% Gas 24.29%  Energy demand increasing by 7% per year; Crude Oil  Fuel as well as electricity prices subsidized; 46.77%  High electricity generation costs. Source: MEMR, 2012. 04.09.2012 Slide 41
  • 42. ASEAN-RESP Indonesia: Renewable Energy Targets Electricity generation in Indonesia by source: Other RE Liquified Coal 5% 2% Bioenergy 5% Geothermal 5% Crude Oil 20%  Official target of 15% RE by 2025;  “Vision 25/25”: 25% by 2025; Natural Gas 30% Coal 33%  Largest share from geothermal and bioenergy. Source: MEMR, 2012. 04.09.2012 Slide 42
  • 43. ASEAN-RESP Indonesia: RE Support Instruments  Income tax on dividend paid to foreign party at 10%;  Exemption from VAT for taxable goods, machinery and equipment for RE utilization (not included spare parts);  Exemption from import duty for - Goods and Machinery for development and capital investment - Capital Goods for construction and development of electricity industry  Various further exemptions. 04.09.2012 Slide 43
  • 44. Indonesia: Feed-in-Tariffs Set for 2012 Years in Rp per kWh In USD per kWh Biomass Installed Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Medium Voltage n/a 975 0,1073 Installed Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Low Voltage n/a 1.325 0,1458 Biogas Installed Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Medium Voltage n/a 975 0,1073 Installed Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Low Voltage n/a 1.325 0,1458 Municipal Waste Zero Waste, Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Medium Voltage n/a 1.050 0,1155 Zero Waste, Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Low Voltage n/a 1.398 0,1538 Sanitary Landfill, Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Medium Voltage n/a 850 0,0935 Sanitary Landfill, Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Low Voltage n/a 1.198 0,1318 Conversion Factors for Regions in Indonesia: Geothermal a. Java / Bali, F = 1 interconnected with High Voltage 0,0970 b. Sumatra / Sulawesi, F = 1.2 General FiT / Technology neutral c. Kalimantanm, West Nusa Installed Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Medium Voltage n/a 656 0,0722 Tenggara and Nusa East, F = 1.3 Installed Capacity ≤ 10 MW, Low Voltage n/a 1.004 0,1104 d. Maluku and Papua, F = 1.5 Source: MEMR, 2012; GIZ, 2012. . 44 04.09.2012 Slide 44
  • 45. ASEAN-RESP Indonesia: Features  High subsidies for conventionally generated electricity and fossil fuels hamper the development of RE and burden the state budget;  RE support mechanisms are in place, but incomplete and not transparent (“case-by-case” decisions, no long-term guarantees);  RE applications are already cost competitive in remote areas, but not fully accepted as alternative to conventional energy production;  The banking sector does not include RE in its portfolio, project finance for RE is difficult to obtain. 04.09.2012 Slide 45
  • 46. ASEAN-RESP Thailand 04.09.2012 Slide 46
  • 47. ASEAN-RESP Thailand: High Import Dependency Energy sources in Thailand: Natural Gas, Oil 37.98% 47,15%  Oil and gas main energy sources;  Total imported value of energy resources 37.5 billion USD (2011). Coal Hydro (Import) 7,43% 2,49% Lignite 4,95% Source : MoE, 2012. 04.09.2012 Slide 47 47
  • 48. ASEAN-RESP Thailand: Alternative Energy Development Plan 2012-2021  25% of alternative energy in energy consumption by 2021 - 9201 MW of electricity; 9335 ktoe of heat; 39.97 ML/day of biofuel  Energy security and budget relief - Reduce oil imports for 574,000 million Baht (approx. 18 billion USD) - Promote private sector investment of 442,000 million Baht (approx. 14 billion USD)  Climate change mitigation - Decrease CO2 emission for 76 million tons/yr until 2021 04.09.2012 Slide 48
  • 49. ASEAN-RESP Thailand: RE Targets and Current Status (example) RE electricity generation in Thailand: Current Type Target 2021(MW) Capacity (MW) Wind 7.28 1,200 Solar 141.97 2,000 Hydro 95.70 1,608 Biomass 1,790 3,630 Biogas 169.54 600 Municipal Solid Waste 27.48 160 Tidal & Geothermal 0.30 3 TOTAL 2,232.27 9,201 Additional capacity: 774 MW p.a.! Source: MoE, 2012. 04.09.2012 Slide 49
  • 50. ASEAN-RESP Thailand: Feed-in “Adder” on electricity price 2012 Adder (Based on figures, released Special Adder for Special Adder for 2010) Diesel Replacement Three Provinces Years in THB per kWh in USD per kWh in USD per kWh in USD per kWh Biomass Installed Capacity ≤ 1 MW 7 + 0,5304 + 0,0170 + 0,0330 + 0,0330 Installed Capacity > 1 MW 7 + 0,3120 + 0,0100 + 0,0330 + 0,0330 Biogas Installed Capacity ≤ 1 MW 7 + 0,5304 + 0,0170 + 0,0330 + 0,0330 Installed Capacity > 1 MW 7 + 0,3120 + 0,0100 + 0,0330 + 0,0330 Municipal Waste Landfill and Digestor 7 + 2,5896 + 0,0830 + 0,0330 + 0,0330 Thermal Process 7 + 3,6504 + 0,1170 + 0,0330 + 0,0330 Wind Installed Capacity ≤ 50 kW 10 + 4,6800 + 0,1500 + 0,0500 + 0,0500 Installed Capacity > 50 kW 10 + 3,6504 + 0,1170 + 0,0500 + 0,0500 Small/Micro Hydro 50 kW < Installed Capacity < 200 kW 7 + 0,8424 + 0,0270 + 0,3300 + 0,3300 Installed Capacity ≤ 50 kW 7 + 1,5600 + 0,0500 + 0,0330 + 0,0330 Solar 10 + 6,7704 + 0,2170 + 0,0500 + 0,0500 Source: MoE, 2012; GIZ 2012. 04.09.2012 Slide 50
  • 51. ASEAN-RESP Thailand: Features  Thailand was the first mover with regards to RE in the ASEAN region and successfully established a RE support scheme;  Reliable feed-in mechanism (“Adder”, currently under revision) and financing scheme (Encon Fund) are in place;  Thai example as “model” for several other countries in the region;  Considerable private sector activity including the finance sector could be intitiated. 04.09.2012 Slide 51
  • 52. ASEAN-RESP Malaysia 04.09.2012 Slide 52
  • 53. ASEAN-RESP Malaysia: RE Targets and Current Status  9th Malaysia Plan (2006 – 2010) - Targeted RE capacity to be connected to power utility grid 350 MW; - Targeted power generation mix: 56% natural gas, 36% coal, 6% hydro, 0.2% oil, 1.8% Renewable Energy.  RE as of december 2011 - Connected to power utility grid: 68.45 MW (20% from target); - Off-grid: > 430 MW (mainly private palm oil millers and solar hybrid).  Increased government activities in order to achieve the set targets! 04.09.2012 Slide 53
  • 54. Feed-in Tariff Rates Malaysia: Feed-in-Tariff Range of FiT Rates FiT Annual Rate in Second Year Technology / Source (RM/kWh) Duration Degression (After Degression) {USD/kWh} Biomass (palm oil waste, 0.27 – 0.35 0.268 – 0.348 agro based) 16 0.5% {0.09 – 0.12} {0.088 – 0.115} Biogas (palm oil waste, agro 0.28 – 0.35 0.278 – 0.348 based, farming) 16 0.5% {0.09 – 0.12} {0.09 – 0.115} Mini Hydro 0.23 – 0.24 0.23 – 0.24 21 0% {~0.08} {~0.08} Solar PV & PP 0.85 – 1.78 0.782 – 1.63 21 8% {0.28 – 0.59} {0.258 – 0.538} Solid waste & Sewage 0.37 – 0.45 0.363 – 0.441 16 1.8% {0.12 – 0.15} {0.12-0.146} Source: MoE 2012.  Long term guarantee for FiT;  Grid access for RE guaranteed;  Costs passed on to consumers. 54 04.09.2012 Slide 54
  • 55. ASEAN-RESP Malaysia: Feed-in-Tariff FiT Status and Updates (31 May 2012): Total Capacity (MW) Applications received 839 593.87 Approved Applications 474 381.19 Refused Applications 327 181.82 Applications in process 38 30.85 Source: MoE 2012.  Excess demand for installation permits;  Limited capacity to handle applications;  Revision of FiT. 55 04.09.2012 Slide 55
  • 56. Malaysia: Feed-in-Tariff FiT Status and Updates (31 May 2012): RE Installed Generation Capacity No of Jobs (MWh) (MW) Biogas 412 126,514 16.48 Biomass 3,789 754,462 126.30 1,084 451,298 72.25 Mini Hydro 4,154 222,313 166.16 Solar PV Total Total 9,439 1,554,589 381.19 Source: MoE 2012. 56 04.09.2012 Slide 56
  • 57. ASEAN-RESP Malaysia: Features  An elaborated and relatively transparent FiT scheme is in place, currently under revision;  Attractive tariffs and conditions triggered a big demand among RE project developers, support scheme not able to fully absorb demand;  Political commitment to RE development is very high in order to increase energy supply security;  Successful attraction of RE manufacturing capacity (especially PV);  Private financing of RE projects is still not available on a large scale. 04.09.2012 Slide 57
  • 58. ASEAN-RESP I. ASEAN-RESP II. RE Development in ASEAN Member States III. Drivers and Barriers 04.09.2012 Slide 58
  • 59. ASEAN-RESP Drivers: Promising Preconditions  Abundant renewable resources for energy generation in Southeast Asia  Increasing energy demand and need for energy security;  Volatile and rising costs for conventional energy generation;  Decreasing costs for RE technology and grid parity in remote areas (small hydropower, PV);  Low electrification rates and need to provide modern energy services to all households;  Political will to promote RE (4 countries with feed-in schemes). 04.09.2012 Slide 59
  • 60. ASEAN-RESP Drivers: Highlight – Low Electrification Rate Electrification Ratio in the ASEAN Unelectrified Electrification Rate Country Population (%) (million, approx.) Myanmar 26.0 44.4 Cambodia 24.0 10.6 Laos PDR 78.0 1.4 Indonesia 73.7 62.4 Total ASEAN-4 53.8 118.8 Philippines 89.7 9.5 Vietnam 97.3 2.1 Thailand 99.3 0.5 Malaysia 99.4 0.2 Brunei 99.7 0.0 Singapore 100.0 0.0 Total ASEAN-6 95.6 12.3 Total ASEAN-10 73.9 131.1 Source: WEO 2011; ASEAN-RESP 2012; PLN 2012; MoEM Lao PDR 2012. 04.09.2012 Slide 60
  • 61. ASEAN-RESP Barriers: Challenges in RE Inception and Take-Off (examples) INDONESIA • Lack of information related to policy, regulatory frameworks, financing mechanisms THAILAND • Lack of streamlined procedures related to • Need a longer timeframe for feed-in adder market and grid access rules and fiscal incentives • Financial institutions’ lack of • Need an appropriate incentives for each understanding on RE projects RE type • Need for a clearer policy and predictable PHILIPPINES support • Policy and regulatory frameworks under Thailand • Need to streamline procedures the RE Act need to be implemented • More transparent and elaborate grid • Banks have lack of confidence on RE interconnection rules projects • Need for a clearer policy on local content requirements, local industry and expertise Indonesia development Philippines Inception Take-Off Consolidation Source: ACE 2012. 04.09.2012 Slide 61
  • 62. ASEAN-RESP Barriers: Unclear Long-term Perspectives  “Teething trouble” which accompanies new developments (Thailand, Malaysia)  Lack of long-term predictability of RE support schemes (Indonesia)  Intransparent procedures and case-by-case decision making (Indonesia)  Lack of data and data inconsistency (ASEAN member states);  Absence of a regional market (common technical norms and standards);  Stable investment environment only partly established. 04.09.2012 Slide 62
  • 63. ASEAN-RESP Thank you! Further information: http://resp.aseanenergy.org/ 04.09.2012 Slide 63
  • 64. Time for Q&A 64 Questions 9/4/2012
  • 65. Your participation is appreciated! 65 Thank you! An audio recording of this Webinar and the PowerPoint presentations will be available following the webinar Please visit: http://www.leonardo-energy.org/webinar-ren-21-global- status-report-2012-asia-pacific-focus or http://cleanenergysolutions.org/training 9/4/2012