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Clean Energy and the Role for
Regulators
Garrett Blaney
Commissioner
Commission for Energy Regulation
Clean Energy Regulators Initiative Webinar Programme
5 December 2013
What is the role of a regulator?
Appeal
and/or
Legal
challenge

Industry/
Capital
Markets

Legislation

Economic
Energy
Regulator

Consumers

Government
Policy
Typical Regulatory Objectives
•
•
•
•
•

the lights stay on
the gas continues to flow
prices for energy are fair and reasonable
Complying with environment policy and laws
Best practice regulatory processes
The Energy Trilemma

Price

Security

Environment
The impact of clean energy
• The wholesale market
• The Transmission System
• The Distribution System
• Retail
European Renewable Electricity Targets for 2020
The Cost of Renewables
600

500

€/MWh

400

300

200

100

0

Hydro

Wind

Biomass

Biogas and waste

Photo-voltaic

Geo-thermal
The Wholesale Market
European Context
Creating the Single Market
• Interconnectors historically underused, markets segmented
• Uneconomic cross border flows undermine EU energy policy goals
of sustainability, competitiveness and security of supply
• EU has addressed this by forging an internal market in electricity to
form part of single European market in goods and services
European Context
Creating the Single Market (2)
• 1st and 2nd electricity liberalisation packages (1996 and 2003):
– Some success but price correlation between regional markets remained poor
and cross border capacity was inadequate or inefficiently used

• 3rd electricity liberalisation package (2009):
– Establishment of ACER and ENSTO-E
– harmonisation of market rules - market coupling
– increase in physical cross border investment

• Target Model – end 2014
– SEM derogation to end 2016


Market Integration 2000
Implicit auctions
Only explicit auctions
Other methods

Nord Pool


Market Integration 2006
Implicit auctions
Only explicit auctions
Other methods


Market Integration 2010
Only explicit auctions
Other methods
Implicit auctions
APX

EMCC
CWE


Market Integration 2014?
Implicit auctions
Only explicit auctions
Other methods

Euro Pool


Market Coupling 2016
Implicit auctions
Only explicit auctions
Other methods

Euro Pool
Different Market Designs
•
•

Gross Pool markets are centrally dispatched with TSOs deciding centrally on
generator running order
Bilateral markets like those in Britain and continental Europe are self dispatch,
where TSOs only balance the system close to real time
SEM

British Market
European Target Model
Long-term
allocation

Day-ahead implicit
auctions

Intraday
continuous trading

Zone delineation

Capacity
calculation

How it works…
Common cross-border arrangements
The interaction between the two should encourage
harmonisation

Diverse national arrangements

Cross-border
balancing
Forward Capacity Allocation
• Rules for calculating and allocating cross border capacity
– Auction Rules
– Allocation Platforms

• Cross Border Risk Hedging and Firmness
– Physical Transmission Rights (PTRs) with UIOSI
– Financial Transmission Rights (FTRs)
– Other hedging tools if sufficient liquidity exists
Day Ahead Market Coupling
•
•
•
•

Centrepiece of the Target Model
Links separate day-ahead spot markets using cross-border (XB) transmission
capacity
It is an “implicit auction” – meaning cross border capacity allocation is integrated
with the energy market (‘explicit auctions’ sell capacity separately)
Common prices between spot markets when there is sufficient capacity
Market Coupling (2)
If there are XB capacity constraints, these will limit the flows between the coupled
markets and a price difference will persist
Hourly Capacity Utilisation - Explicit

CAPACITY UTILISATION

100%

Wrong direction

A to B

0%

B to A
Wrong direction

100%
A >> B

A=B

A << B

PRICE DIFFERENCE
21
Hourly Capacity Utilisation - Coupled
Optimal utilisation (same price unless congested)

CAPACITY UTILISATION

100%

A to B

0%

B to A

100%
A >> B

A=B

A << B

PRICE DIFFERENCE
22
Future Issues – Capacity Mechanism
•
•

Target Model is being finalised and is due to be implemented by 2014
But, in parallel several Member States have or are considering CRMs
– Generation Adequacy– e.g. German nuclear closures and LCPD impacts
– Missing money problem
– Impact of RES on energy only markets
Does Clean Energy need Support?
•
•
•
•

Limits of Energy Only market (marginal cost)
High Capex, Low Opex
Reducing cost of capital
Regulatory/Policy Certainty
Elements of Market Dysfunction
• Cheap Coal from US
• Dropping gas demand
• Good Utility/Bad Utility – security of supply?
• Nuclear Support
• Cost competitiveness for large industry
The Transmission System
Grid Roll-out
• Much wind in west, demand in east
• Rolling out the grid is critical to
meeting 2020 renewable target
• EirGrid has major Grid 25
plan
• Over €1 billion in grid
investment allowed by CER
from 2011 to ‘15
• Planning and land access are
a major challenge
DS3 Project
Delivering a Secure,
Sustainable, Electricity System
(“DS3”) – integrating wind
while maintaining secure
operation of system
•
75% instantaneous wind
penetration;
•
Greater flexibility from
conventional plant
(existing & new);
•
RoCoF settings
•
Keep curtailment to
“bankable” levels i.e. 5%
•
Better wind forecasting,
real time data and
controllability;
•
Demand Side
Management;
•
Cost & Benefit to
consumers
System Non-Synchronous
Penetration (SNSP)
50% SNSP

75% SNSP
The Distribution System
Changes to DSO
• New technologies such as embedded (e.g.
micro) generation and electric vehicles
• Smart grids
• Smart metering
• Demand Side participation
• Ancillary service provision and flexibility
DSOs Issues for Regulators
•
•
•
•
•
•

Distribution tariffs
Promoting innovation
The scope and extent of DSOs functions
Price controls and incentives
Data handling and protection
Future unbundling/separation requirements
The Retail Market
•
•
•
•
•
•

Green Tariffs
Changing Consumption Behaviour
Smart Meters – Static or Dynamic ToU Tariffs?
Microgeneration Issues
Consumer Confusion & impact on competition
EV integration
Conclusions
• Regulatory Change Needed to Delivery Green
Targets:
– Wholesale market evolution
– Public Friendly Transmission Investment
– New Role for DSO
– New Engagement with Consumers

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Clean energy and the role for regulators

  • 1. Clean Energy and the Role for Regulators Garrett Blaney Commissioner Commission for Energy Regulation Clean Energy Regulators Initiative Webinar Programme 5 December 2013
  • 2. What is the role of a regulator? Appeal and/or Legal challenge Industry/ Capital Markets Legislation Economic Energy Regulator Consumers Government Policy
  • 3. Typical Regulatory Objectives • • • • • the lights stay on the gas continues to flow prices for energy are fair and reasonable Complying with environment policy and laws Best practice regulatory processes
  • 5. The impact of clean energy • The wholesale market • The Transmission System • The Distribution System • Retail
  • 7. The Cost of Renewables 600 500 €/MWh 400 300 200 100 0 Hydro Wind Biomass Biogas and waste Photo-voltaic Geo-thermal
  • 9. European Context Creating the Single Market • Interconnectors historically underused, markets segmented • Uneconomic cross border flows undermine EU energy policy goals of sustainability, competitiveness and security of supply • EU has addressed this by forging an internal market in electricity to form part of single European market in goods and services
  • 10. European Context Creating the Single Market (2) • 1st and 2nd electricity liberalisation packages (1996 and 2003): – Some success but price correlation between regional markets remained poor and cross border capacity was inadequate or inefficiently used • 3rd electricity liberalisation package (2009): – Establishment of ACER and ENSTO-E – harmonisation of market rules - market coupling – increase in physical cross border investment • Target Model – end 2014 – SEM derogation to end 2016
  • 11.  Market Integration 2000 Implicit auctions Only explicit auctions Other methods Nord Pool
  • 12.  Market Integration 2006 Implicit auctions Only explicit auctions Other methods
  • 13.  Market Integration 2010 Only explicit auctions Other methods Implicit auctions APX EMCC CWE
  • 14.  Market Integration 2014? Implicit auctions Only explicit auctions Other methods Euro Pool
  • 15.  Market Coupling 2016 Implicit auctions Only explicit auctions Other methods Euro Pool
  • 16. Different Market Designs • • Gross Pool markets are centrally dispatched with TSOs deciding centrally on generator running order Bilateral markets like those in Britain and continental Europe are self dispatch, where TSOs only balance the system close to real time SEM British Market
  • 17. European Target Model Long-term allocation Day-ahead implicit auctions Intraday continuous trading Zone delineation Capacity calculation How it works… Common cross-border arrangements The interaction between the two should encourage harmonisation Diverse national arrangements Cross-border balancing
  • 18. Forward Capacity Allocation • Rules for calculating and allocating cross border capacity – Auction Rules – Allocation Platforms • Cross Border Risk Hedging and Firmness – Physical Transmission Rights (PTRs) with UIOSI – Financial Transmission Rights (FTRs) – Other hedging tools if sufficient liquidity exists
  • 19. Day Ahead Market Coupling • • • • Centrepiece of the Target Model Links separate day-ahead spot markets using cross-border (XB) transmission capacity It is an “implicit auction” – meaning cross border capacity allocation is integrated with the energy market (‘explicit auctions’ sell capacity separately) Common prices between spot markets when there is sufficient capacity
  • 20. Market Coupling (2) If there are XB capacity constraints, these will limit the flows between the coupled markets and a price difference will persist
  • 21. Hourly Capacity Utilisation - Explicit CAPACITY UTILISATION 100% Wrong direction A to B 0% B to A Wrong direction 100% A >> B A=B A << B PRICE DIFFERENCE 21
  • 22. Hourly Capacity Utilisation - Coupled Optimal utilisation (same price unless congested) CAPACITY UTILISATION 100% A to B 0% B to A 100% A >> B A=B A << B PRICE DIFFERENCE 22
  • 23. Future Issues – Capacity Mechanism • • Target Model is being finalised and is due to be implemented by 2014 But, in parallel several Member States have or are considering CRMs – Generation Adequacy– e.g. German nuclear closures and LCPD impacts – Missing money problem – Impact of RES on energy only markets
  • 24. Does Clean Energy need Support? • • • • Limits of Energy Only market (marginal cost) High Capex, Low Opex Reducing cost of capital Regulatory/Policy Certainty
  • 25. Elements of Market Dysfunction • Cheap Coal from US • Dropping gas demand • Good Utility/Bad Utility – security of supply? • Nuclear Support • Cost competitiveness for large industry
  • 27. Grid Roll-out • Much wind in west, demand in east • Rolling out the grid is critical to meeting 2020 renewable target • EirGrid has major Grid 25 plan • Over €1 billion in grid investment allowed by CER from 2011 to ‘15 • Planning and land access are a major challenge
  • 28. DS3 Project Delivering a Secure, Sustainable, Electricity System (“DS3”) – integrating wind while maintaining secure operation of system • 75% instantaneous wind penetration; • Greater flexibility from conventional plant (existing & new); • RoCoF settings • Keep curtailment to “bankable” levels i.e. 5% • Better wind forecasting, real time data and controllability; • Demand Side Management; • Cost & Benefit to consumers
  • 31. Changes to DSO • New technologies such as embedded (e.g. micro) generation and electric vehicles • Smart grids • Smart metering • Demand Side participation • Ancillary service provision and flexibility
  • 32. DSOs Issues for Regulators • • • • • • Distribution tariffs Promoting innovation The scope and extent of DSOs functions Price controls and incentives Data handling and protection Future unbundling/separation requirements
  • 33. The Retail Market • • • • • • Green Tariffs Changing Consumption Behaviour Smart Meters – Static or Dynamic ToU Tariffs? Microgeneration Issues Consumer Confusion & impact on competition EV integration
  • 34. Conclusions • Regulatory Change Needed to Delivery Green Targets: – Wholesale market evolution – Public Friendly Transmission Investment – New Role for DSO – New Engagement with Consumers