Heating without the hot air: Principles for smart heat electrification

Leonardo ENERGY
Leonardo ENERGYElectricity & Energy Program Manager à Leonardo ENERGY
Dr Jan Rosenow & Dr Richard Lowes
The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
Rue de la Science 23
B-1040 Brussels
Belgium
+44 7722 343137
jrosenow@raponline.org
raponline.org
April 2020
Heating without the hot air:
Principles for smart heat
electrification
Heating without the hot air: Principles for smart heat electrification
Heating without the hot air: Principles for smart heat electrification
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
1 Why heating?
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 5
Almost half of energy use in EU
This project has received funding from the
European Union's Horizon 2020 research
and innovation programme under grant
agreement No. 695989.
www.heatroadmap.
@HeatRoadmap
Non-H/C
50%
Process
heating
16%
Space heating
27%
Hot water
4%
Other heating
1%
Process
cooling
1%
Space
cooling
1%
Heating and
cooling
50%
(EU28)
igh relevance   C about 50  of ED
Source: Heat Roadmap Europe (2017)
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 6
75% of heat generated by fossil fuel
This project has received funding from the
H&C FED by energy carrier in 2015 (E
2015 shares
• ossil  
• RES  13
• El D  2142%
12%
12%
12%
9%
8%
4%
1%
0%
0%
Gas
Oil
Biomass
Electricity
District heating
Coal
Others (fossil)
Solar thermal
Heat pumps
Others (RES)
Source: Heat Roadmap Europe (2017)
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 7
Residential sector most important
2015)
End‐uses by sec
• Industry  
for process h
• Residential
5  for sp
heating
• Tertiary  hig
share of coo
compared to
other sector
( 10 )
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Industry Residential Tertiary
Finalenergy[TWh]
Space heating
Space cooling
Process heating
Process cooling
Hot water
Other heating
Source: Heat Roadmap Europe (2017)
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 8
Improvements but not fast enough
Source: Bertelsen and Mathiesen (2020)
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
2 Decarbonisation options and
context
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 10
Limited options for decarbonisation
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 11
Electricity is becoming
increasingly green
gCO2/kWh
Source: EEA (2020)
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 12
Heat pumps now much cleaner
than gas – example UK
Source: Staffel 2019
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
3 Principles for heat electrification
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 14
Principle 1: Put Efficiency First
Reduces
system cost
Provides thermal
storage
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 15
Thermal storage capabilities of
buildings
Source: tado (2020)
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 16
Principle 2: Recognize the value
of flexible heat load
7 AM 16 AM 12 PM
Electricity
demand (kW)
Reduce AM
peak load
Reduce PM
peak load
use of wind power
use of
solar power
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 17
Value of flexible heat load: example
with high wind penetration
Source: Ruhnau et al. (2020)
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 18
Principle 3: Understand the
emissions effects of changes in load
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 19
Principle 4: Design tariffs to
reward flexibility
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
4 Heat policy
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
• Building codes, appliance standards and labelling
• Energy Efficiency Obligations and financial support
schemes
• Carbon intensity standards
• Building codes, appliance standards and labelling
• Energy Efficiency Obligations and financial support
schemes
• Electricity pricing
21
Heat policy
Reducing the
heat demand
Reduce carbon
intensity of
energy carrier
Deployment of
low carbon
heat
technologies
Operate
flexibly
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
5 Conclusion
Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
• Decarbonising heat is critical for meeting climate
and clean air goals
• Electrification is a central pillar
• Energy efficiency is key to minimize costs and
build in thermal storage
• Flexible operation of heat pumps is possible and
can be incentivized through tariffs
• Whole range of policy instruments needed to
accelerate replacement rates
23
Conclusions
Dr Jan Rosenow
Director of European Programmes
The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
+44 7722 343137
jrosenow@raponline.org
raponline.org I janrosenow.com
Rue de la Science 23
B-1040 Brussels
Belgium
About RAP
The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® is an
independent, non-partisan, non-governmental
organization dedicated to accelerating the transition
to a clean, reliable, and efficient energy future.
Learn more about our work at raponline.org
1 sur 24

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Heating without the hot air: Principles for smart heat electrification

  • 1. Dr Jan Rosenow & Dr Richard Lowes The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® Rue de la Science 23 B-1040 Brussels Belgium +44 7722 343137 jrosenow@raponline.org raponline.org April 2020 Heating without the hot air: Principles for smart heat electrification
  • 4. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 1 Why heating?
  • 5. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 5 Almost half of energy use in EU This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989. www.heatroadmap. @HeatRoadmap Non-H/C 50% Process heating 16% Space heating 27% Hot water 4% Other heating 1% Process cooling 1% Space cooling 1% Heating and cooling 50% (EU28) igh relevance   C about 50  of ED Source: Heat Roadmap Europe (2017)
  • 6. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 6 75% of heat generated by fossil fuel This project has received funding from the H&C FED by energy carrier in 2015 (E 2015 shares • ossil   • RES  13 • El D  2142% 12% 12% 12% 9% 8% 4% 1% 0% 0% Gas Oil Biomass Electricity District heating Coal Others (fossil) Solar thermal Heat pumps Others (RES) Source: Heat Roadmap Europe (2017)
  • 7. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 7 Residential sector most important 2015) End‐uses by sec • Industry   for process h • Residential 5  for sp heating • Tertiary  hig share of coo compared to other sector ( 10 ) 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 Industry Residential Tertiary Finalenergy[TWh] Space heating Space cooling Process heating Process cooling Hot water Other heating Source: Heat Roadmap Europe (2017)
  • 8. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 8 Improvements but not fast enough Source: Bertelsen and Mathiesen (2020)
  • 9. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 2 Decarbonisation options and context
  • 10. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 10 Limited options for decarbonisation
  • 11. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 11 Electricity is becoming increasingly green gCO2/kWh Source: EEA (2020)
  • 12. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 12 Heat pumps now much cleaner than gas – example UK Source: Staffel 2019
  • 13. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 3 Principles for heat electrification
  • 14. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 14 Principle 1: Put Efficiency First Reduces system cost Provides thermal storage
  • 15. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 15 Thermal storage capabilities of buildings Source: tado (2020)
  • 16. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 16 Principle 2: Recognize the value of flexible heat load 7 AM 16 AM 12 PM Electricity demand (kW) Reduce AM peak load Reduce PM peak load use of wind power use of solar power
  • 17. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 17 Value of flexible heat load: example with high wind penetration Source: Ruhnau et al. (2020)
  • 18. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 18 Principle 3: Understand the emissions effects of changes in load
  • 19. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 19 Principle 4: Design tariffs to reward flexibility
  • 20. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 4 Heat policy
  • 21. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® • Building codes, appliance standards and labelling • Energy Efficiency Obligations and financial support schemes • Carbon intensity standards • Building codes, appliance standards and labelling • Energy Efficiency Obligations and financial support schemes • Electricity pricing 21 Heat policy Reducing the heat demand Reduce carbon intensity of energy carrier Deployment of low carbon heat technologies Operate flexibly
  • 22. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 5 Conclusion
  • 23. Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® • Decarbonising heat is critical for meeting climate and clean air goals • Electrification is a central pillar • Energy efficiency is key to minimize costs and build in thermal storage • Flexible operation of heat pumps is possible and can be incentivized through tariffs • Whole range of policy instruments needed to accelerate replacement rates 23 Conclusions
  • 24. Dr Jan Rosenow Director of European Programmes The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +44 7722 343137 jrosenow@raponline.org raponline.org I janrosenow.com Rue de la Science 23 B-1040 Brussels Belgium About RAP The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® is an independent, non-partisan, non-governmental organization dedicated to accelerating the transition to a clean, reliable, and efficient energy future. Learn more about our work at raponline.org