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Off-Grid Regulation: How to Provide Cost-effective and Sustainable Rural Energy Services in Remote Areas of Developing Countries?   Leonardo Webinar  – 29 th  May 2009  Dr. Xavier LEMAIRE, Research Fellow Centre for Management under Regulation, Warwick Business School Sustainable Energy Regulation Network/REEEP
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Part 1. Current Status  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Electrification rate by region
Number of people without electricity is far from decreasing…
High disparity between continents
Why rural electrification is lagging in some part of the world?  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Self-perpetuating logic  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Vicious circle resulting of lack of regulation    power reform?  Lack of investment   in network and rural areas   Poor maintenance Poor quality of service/pricing Lack of control Unauthorised  Connection /  Low energy tariff  =  Non efficient energy appliances Lack of financial return for electric companies Increase of consumption = increase of financial gap Priority  power generation in urban areas  Consumption subsidised
Part 2. Cost-effective delivery models  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New forms of electrification  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Source: World Bank/ESMAP, 2008.
Particular interest of utilities with solar ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Grid PV compete with conventional energies?
How rural areas could benefit from new technologies? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Change of paradigm for renewable energy  Source: Annual Rev. Ener. Envt, 2002
Toward a new generation of projects? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Large-scale dissemination and regulation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cash sales models in Kenya  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Credit sales model in Indonesia  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fee for service – Utility model (“ESCOs”) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Rural Concessions in South Africa
Rural electrification in South Africa ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
NuRa Concession in Kwazulu Natal   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Part 3.  Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Appropriate regulation for off-grid ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Case of Bolivia: Recognition of the impossibility of implementing conventional regulation  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Appropriate planning and  design of  rural delivery schemes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Technology neutral:  combination of various technologies  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Combination of mini-grid  & individual systems   Minimum costs  Source: WordPower, 2000
Long term comparison of total costs High operating costs Diesel systems  Solar Home Systems  High investment costs Low operating costs Low investment costs = genset N+20 or even N+30 N+20 or even N+30 $ $ batteries Long-term integrated comparisons Life cycle costing
Implement institutions to solve the questions of high investment costs in rural areas and long-term maintenance N+20 $ Reduction of up front costs 1. Support mechanisms to reduce up-front costs / creation of rural funding agencies (subsidies, integrated planning) Spread up front costs   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Institutional arrangement Rural electrification agency   / fund   (Function of) independent regulator ESCOs ESCOs  FUNCTIONS  Defines rules for competition (tariff for RE); Integrated planning; Standards Operational measures (energy surveys) and funding/bundling  (loans, grants) notably CDM Install, collect fees AND guarantee functioning of sustainable energy systems Variety of approach possible for institutional design. But all functions needs to be covered and clear definition of who is responsible of what Delegation / sub-contracting?   ESCOs Control standards and tariffs  Control standards and tariffs  x  x  x x xxx  x x xx x x x x xx xxx xx x xxx  x xx  end-users   Same entity responsible for installation AND maintenance of a system  Regulation by the national electricity regulator with a specialised department OR  Regulation by the government entity that provides installation subsidies complaints ? ?
Central role of rural electrification agency ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Small versus Large companies? Status :  Interest of having separate entities for rural electrification for decentralised  system. Cooperatives or local private companies or associations reactive;  their survival linked to fees -  National public utility? Grid !   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Code of practices, standards, training ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tariff setting  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Elements of conclusion  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
References to go further ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
  SERN  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Webinar - Off grid regulation - How to Provide Cost-effective and Sustainable Rural Energy Services in Remote Areas of Developing

  • 1. Off-Grid Regulation: How to Provide Cost-effective and Sustainable Rural Energy Services in Remote Areas of Developing Countries? Leonardo Webinar – 29 th May 2009 Dr. Xavier LEMAIRE, Research Fellow Centre for Management under Regulation, Warwick Business School Sustainable Energy Regulation Network/REEEP
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  • 5. Number of people without electricity is far from decreasing…
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  • 9. Vicious circle resulting of lack of regulation  power reform? Lack of investment in network and rural areas Poor maintenance Poor quality of service/pricing Lack of control Unauthorised Connection / Low energy tariff = Non efficient energy appliances Lack of financial return for electric companies Increase of consumption = increase of financial gap Priority power generation in urban areas Consumption subsidised
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  • 14. Grid PV compete with conventional energies?
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  • 16. Change of paradigm for renewable energy Source: Annual Rev. Ener. Envt, 2002
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  • 22. Rural Concessions in South Africa
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  • 30. Combination of mini-grid & individual systems Minimum costs Source: WordPower, 2000
  • 31. Long term comparison of total costs High operating costs Diesel systems Solar Home Systems High investment costs Low operating costs Low investment costs = genset N+20 or even N+30 N+20 or even N+30 $ $ batteries Long-term integrated comparisons Life cycle costing
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  • 33. Institutional arrangement Rural electrification agency / fund (Function of) independent regulator ESCOs ESCOs FUNCTIONS Defines rules for competition (tariff for RE); Integrated planning; Standards Operational measures (energy surveys) and funding/bundling (loans, grants) notably CDM Install, collect fees AND guarantee functioning of sustainable energy systems Variety of approach possible for institutional design. But all functions needs to be covered and clear definition of who is responsible of what Delegation / sub-contracting? ESCOs Control standards and tariffs Control standards and tariffs x x x x xxx x x xx x x x x xx xxx xx x xxx x xx end-users Same entity responsible for installation AND maintenance of a system Regulation by the national electricity regulator with a specialised department OR Regulation by the government entity that provides installation subsidies complaints ? ?
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