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Solar PV
  A Critical Component of KSA’s Energy Solution
  Jim Brown
  President, Head of Global Sales




© Copyright 2011, First Solar, Inc.
First Solar Overview
• Formed in 1999 and launched production in 2002
  – NASDAQ listed. $5bn market cap today
  – Shipment of 5 GWs to date
                                                                      Place most recent Agua
• Premiere PV Energy Solutions Provider
                                                                            photo here
  – A partner to Energy Buyer through shared focus on energy
    value
  – World-class capabilities in module manufacturing, project
       development, EPC, O&M, and project finance
       Solutions that span the value chain of a solar power plant
                                                                    First Solar 290 MW Agua Caliente project, Arizona
• Lowest cost PV manufacturer in the world




                                                                                                                            © Copyright 2011, First Solar, Inc.
  – Broke $1/watt barrier in Q4 2008
  – $0.74/watt as of Q3 2011
• Largest thin-film module manufacturer in the world
• Proprietary technology and environmental leadership
                                                                                                                        2
PV Solar is cheaper today than oil-fired electricity at market prices of oil.
 $/kWh                                                         Electricity Price Ranges by Fuel Type
                                                                                                               2010 Fossil Fuel Subsidies: $410 Billion
 $0.60            Subsidized electricity price                                                                2010 Renewable Subsidies: $60 Billion
                  Non-subsidized electricity price
                 Each column ranges from 10-80% capacity usage of
 $0.50           power plant

                                                    TODAY
 $0.40
                                         FS can achieve this electricity
                                          price* = ~$0.12-0.15/kWh


 $0.30



 $0.20




                                                                                                                                                              © Copyright 2011, First Solar, Inc.
 $0.10



 $0.00
           Natural Gas  Natural Gas               Crude Oil        Crude Oil    Crude Oil   Diesel OCGT   Diesel OCGT   Diesel Gen-Set Diesel Gen-Set
         ($0.75/MMBtu) ($4/MMBtu)                ($2.65/bbl)       ($60/bbl)   ($100/bbl)     ($5/bbl)     ($80/bbl)       ($5/bbl)      ($80/bbl)
   Source: FS analysis. * At utility-scale level In Saudi Arabia
                                                                                                                                                          3
Snapshot of solar PV at 10 GW in 2020
                            2009 Annual Generation Profile


 Diesel
 HFO
 Crude Oil                                                  Today’s Energy profile in Saudi: Over 65% of
 Natural Gas                                                electricity generated from oil-burning power
                                                             plants
                                                                                        Fast fwd to 2020
                                                                                                     Energy demand soars
                            2020 Annual Generation Profile
                                                                                                     How much oil will
 Crude Oil, HFO & Diesel                                                                            Saudi be burning?
 Natural Gas
 Solar PV




                                                                                                                                       © Copyright 2011, First Solar, Inc.
                                                             Solar Guarantee in Saudi Arabia:
                                                              For every sunny day, 10 GW of solar will
                                                               displace over 100,000 bbls of oil per day or
                                                               over 40 million bbls of oil per year. `

                                                             Source: FS analysis, ECRA, SEC, IEA. Note: Daily load/output is modeled
      Winter                             Summer                  as hourly average per 24-hour period. * Based on comparison with
                                                                 oil-fired power plant at heat rate of 10,000 BTU/kWh.             4
Consequences of Burning Oil for Electricity




                                                  © Copyright 2011, First Solar, Inc.
                                              5
Coordinated deployment of a diverse solar portfolio adds energy and
reinforces the transmission grid
              Representative Portfolio of Solar Assets



                                                         PV-diesel hybrids and other off-grid / small-grid PV
                                                         applications can cost-effectively satisfy medium and
                                                         small loads




                                                         Smaller (<50 MW) PV plants can provide grid support
                                                         by being co-located with loads and substations




                                                                                                                © Copyright 2011, First Solar, Inc.
                                                         Large-scale (>100 MW) PV plants should be
                                                         proximate to transmission infrastructure




                                                                                                            6
Final Thoughts on Solar Opportunity
• Cost competitive today
• Fastest path to new utility-scale electricity
• Enables realization of the full potential of
  Saudi Arabia’s oil
• Strategic deployment of solar improves
  transmission




                                                      © Copyright 2011, First Solar, Inc.
• Immediate and high value job impact

• Optimized energy structure which will fuel
  economic growth

                                                  7

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Business Forum: Nuclear & Renewable Energy - Brown

  • 1. Solar PV A Critical Component of KSA’s Energy Solution Jim Brown President, Head of Global Sales © Copyright 2011, First Solar, Inc.
  • 2. First Solar Overview • Formed in 1999 and launched production in 2002 – NASDAQ listed. $5bn market cap today – Shipment of 5 GWs to date Place most recent Agua • Premiere PV Energy Solutions Provider photo here – A partner to Energy Buyer through shared focus on energy value – World-class capabilities in module manufacturing, project development, EPC, O&M, and project finance Solutions that span the value chain of a solar power plant First Solar 290 MW Agua Caliente project, Arizona • Lowest cost PV manufacturer in the world © Copyright 2011, First Solar, Inc. – Broke $1/watt barrier in Q4 2008 – $0.74/watt as of Q3 2011 • Largest thin-film module manufacturer in the world • Proprietary technology and environmental leadership 2
  • 3. PV Solar is cheaper today than oil-fired electricity at market prices of oil. $/kWh Electricity Price Ranges by Fuel Type 2010 Fossil Fuel Subsidies: $410 Billion $0.60  Subsidized electricity price 2010 Renewable Subsidies: $60 Billion  Non-subsidized electricity price Each column ranges from 10-80% capacity usage of $0.50 power plant TODAY $0.40 FS can achieve this electricity price* = ~$0.12-0.15/kWh $0.30 $0.20 © Copyright 2011, First Solar, Inc. $0.10 $0.00 Natural Gas Natural Gas Crude Oil Crude Oil Crude Oil Diesel OCGT Diesel OCGT Diesel Gen-Set Diesel Gen-Set ($0.75/MMBtu) ($4/MMBtu) ($2.65/bbl) ($60/bbl) ($100/bbl) ($5/bbl) ($80/bbl) ($5/bbl) ($80/bbl) Source: FS analysis. * At utility-scale level In Saudi Arabia 3
  • 4. Snapshot of solar PV at 10 GW in 2020 2009 Annual Generation Profile  Diesel  HFO  Crude Oil Today’s Energy profile in Saudi: Over 65% of  Natural Gas electricity generated from oil-burning power plants Fast fwd to 2020 Energy demand soars 2020 Annual Generation Profile How much oil will  Crude Oil, HFO & Diesel Saudi be burning?  Natural Gas  Solar PV © Copyright 2011, First Solar, Inc. Solar Guarantee in Saudi Arabia:  For every sunny day, 10 GW of solar will displace over 100,000 bbls of oil per day or over 40 million bbls of oil per year. ` Source: FS analysis, ECRA, SEC, IEA. Note: Daily load/output is modeled Winter Summer as hourly average per 24-hour period. * Based on comparison with oil-fired power plant at heat rate of 10,000 BTU/kWh. 4
  • 5. Consequences of Burning Oil for Electricity © Copyright 2011, First Solar, Inc. 5
  • 6. Coordinated deployment of a diverse solar portfolio adds energy and reinforces the transmission grid Representative Portfolio of Solar Assets PV-diesel hybrids and other off-grid / small-grid PV applications can cost-effectively satisfy medium and small loads Smaller (<50 MW) PV plants can provide grid support by being co-located with loads and substations © Copyright 2011, First Solar, Inc. Large-scale (>100 MW) PV plants should be proximate to transmission infrastructure 6
  • 7. Final Thoughts on Solar Opportunity • Cost competitive today • Fastest path to new utility-scale electricity • Enables realization of the full potential of Saudi Arabia’s oil • Strategic deployment of solar improves transmission © Copyright 2011, First Solar, Inc. • Immediate and high value job impact • Optimized energy structure which will fuel economic growth 7

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. 10 GW PV at 27% capacity factor (based on EPR for potential project in Saudi) results in 6.1% of total power supply (MWh). 10% of power supply would require ~16 GW PV.Oil displacement is for 10 GW in 2020. Degradation will result in lower oil-displacement over time.2020 load profile based on same hourly load as 2009 but increased at 5.6% CAGR (see back-up for analysis behind 5.6% growth assumption – 5.6% is conservative).PV output is relatively stable over the course of the year for the following reasons:Irradiance does not vary much between summer and winter due to Saudi Arabia’s southerly location (KSA occupies the same latitudes as Mexico) and relatively stable weather conditions (i.e., it’s sunny virtually the entire year).The gains in irradiance during summer are offset by performance losses due to higher temperatures. (CdTe temperature coefficient is less than other PV technologies, so offset due to higher temperatures is not as severe as with other PV.)