Reap The 1st Mover Advantage Before The Make Over

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3. Positive Sentiments
in the Market today
Facts & Figures Vs Emotion

4. HDB Resale
Statistics Trends & Figures.
As of 2Q 2017
results released by
HDB on 28 July 2017
A Quick Glance

5. Year Resale Price Index Y-on-Y change
2007 88.0 +17.5%
2008 108.8 +14.5%
2009 109.0 +0.2%
2010 124.4 +14.1%
2011 137.7 +10.7%
2012 146.7 +6.5%
2013 145.8 -0.6%
2014 137.0 -6.0%
2015 134.8 -1.6%
2016 134.6 -0.2%
HDB PRICE INDEX (2007 – 2016)
Source: HDB

6. Period Resale Price Index Q-on-Q change
4Q 2014 137.0 -1.5%
1Q 2015 135.6 -1.0%
2Q 2015 135.0 -0.4%
3Q 2015 134.6 -0.3%
4Q 2015 134.8 +0.1%
1Q 2016 134.7 -0.1%
2Q 2016 134.7 0%
3Q 2016 134.7 0%
4Q 2016 134.6 -0.1%
1Q 2017 133.9 -0.5%
2Q 2017 133.7 -0.1%
HDB PRICE INDEX (LAST 10 QUARTERS)
Source: HDB

7. HDB RESALE PRICE
2Q 2017 :
133.7 (-0.1%)

8. Year % increase Price
2016 - $500,000
*2017 + 10 $550,000
*2018 + 10 $605,000
*2019 + 10 $665,500
*2020 + 10 $732,050
WHY IS IT NOT PRACTICAL FOR HDB FLATS TO HAVE DOUBLE DIGIT
GROWTH ANNUALLY LIKE IT WAS IN THE PAST?
SIMULATION OF DOUBLE DIGIT GROWTH OF A 5-RM
FLAT AT OUTLYING AREA OVER A 5-YEAR PERIOD
2021 + 10 $805,255
* Simulated possible growth compounded at 10%

9. Year % increase Price
2021 - $805,255
2022 + 10 $885,780
2023 + 10 $947,358
2024 + 10 $1,071,794
2025 + 10 $1,178,973
WHY IS IT NOT PRACTICAL FOR HDB FLATS TO HAVE DOUBLE DIGIT
GROWTH ANNUALLY LIKE IT WAS IN THE PAST?
SIMULATION OF DOUBLE DIGIT GROWTH OF A 5-RM
FLAT AT OUTLYING AREA OVER A 5-YEAR PERIOD
2026 + 10 $1,296,871
* Simulated possible growth compounded at 10%
What’s your
game plan
moving ahead ?

10. En Bloc Sales in 2017
(8 residential collective sales deals in first 9 months)

11. (Residential)
Collective Sales 2006 to 2017
YEAR VALUE (S
$M)
No. Of
Deals
2017 3311
(3.31 Billion)
8
2016 1005.45 3
2015 380.00 1
2014 160.00 1
2013 1216.01 16
2012 1453.70 25
2011 3214.57 51
YEAR VALUE (S
$M)
No. Of
Deals
2010 1820.85 38
2009 100.80 1
2008 346.53 8
2007 11,515.96 88
2006 7,821.15 78

12. Collective Sales 2017
(As of 27 Sept 2017)
S/N Project Name Developer Price Purchase
1 One Tree Hill Gardens Lum Chang Holdings
Limited
$65 million
2 Rio Casa HUDC Oxley Holdings, KSH
Holdings, Lian Beng
Group and Super
Group’s Teo Family
$575 million
3 Goh&Goh Building BBR Holdings $101.5 million
4 Eunosville HUDC Jardine Matheson
Group unit, MCL
Land
$765 million
5 The Albacca Sustained Land $69.12 million
6 Serangoon Ville HUDC Oxley Holdings $499 million
7 Tampines Court Sim Lian $970 million
8 Sun Rosier Sing Haiyi $271 million

13. How will this
impact the market ?
Land Bids First Half of 2017

14. Aggressive Land Bids
First Half of 2017

15. Comparison West Coast Vale Site
Land Bid in 2015 vs 2017
Developer bid 7% more in 18 monthsfor the same location.
What does this signal?

16. Projected Launch Price

17. Price Trend in Various Regions
($ PSF)
Region 2015 / 2016 2016 / 2017 Expected 2018
Core Central Region $2,000 $2,200 - $2,500 $2,500 - $3,000
Rest of Core Central $1,500 $1,550 - $1,700 $1,700 - $1,900
Outside of Core
Central
$1,000 $1,150 - $1,300 $1,400 - $1,500
Executive
Condominium
$750 $800 - $830 $830 - $880
DBSS $550 $550 $550
HDB Resale $400 $400 $400
BTO $250 $250 $250

18. Source: The Business Times (18072017)

19. Source: TODAY paper (25072017)

20. Source: The Straits Times (18072017)

21. Source: The Business Times (20022017)

22. Source: The Business Times (2702017)

23. Source: The Straits Times (2702017)

24. Source: The Business Times 24042017

25. Source: The Business Times (16032017)

26. Source: The Straits Times Online (1203017)

27. What does this signal for
the property market today?

28. PRIVATE PROPERTY:
Industry Updates

29. PIPELINE OF SUPPLY OF PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL UNITS
Source: URA

30. IMPROVED HOME AFFORDABILITY

31. Growing Population

32. Average population increase by 100,000 per/annum

35. Source: The Business Times 04072017

36. Let’s look at the:
Private Residential Statistics
Trends & Figures.
As of 2Q 2017
results released by
URA on 28 July 2017

37. PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL MARKET AT A GLANCE
2Q 2017:
136.6 (-0.1%)

38. YEAR PRICE INDEX OVERALL %
2007 122.1 + 28
2008 116.4 - 4.5
2009 118.4 + 4.2
2010 139.2 + 16.6
2011 147.4 + 5.8
2012 151.5 + 2.8
2013 153.2 - 1.1
2014 147.0 - 4.1
2015 141.6 - 3.7
2016 137.2 - 3.1
PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL PRICES
Y-O-Y (2007 – 2016)
Source: URA

39. PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL PRICES
(Q-on-Q)
YEAR PRICE INDEX OVERALL %
Q1 2016 140.6 -0.7%
Q2 2016 140.0 -0.4%
Q32016 137.9 -1.5%
Q42016 137.2 -0.5%
2016 overall -3.1%
Q12017 136.7 -0.4%
Q2 2017 136.6 -0.1%
Source: URA
-0.5%

40. OVERALL PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL
PRICE INDEX (2014 – 1Q2017 REGIONS)
Quarter CCR RCR OCR
1Q14
136.2(-1)
149.7 (-3.3) 169.1 (-0.1)
2Q14 134.2 (-1.5) 149.2 (-0.3) 167.6 (-0.9)
3Q14 133.1 (-0.8) 148.6 (-0.4) 167 (-0.4)
4Q14 131.9 (- 0.9) - 4.2 146.6 (- 1.3) - 5.3 165.6(- 0.8) - 2.2
1Q15 131.4 (- 0.4) 144.1 (-1.7) 163.8 (-1.1)
2Q15 130.6 (-0.6) 143.2 (-0.6) 162.0 (-1.1)
3Q15 129.0 (-1.2) 140.9 (-1.6) 159.4 (-1.6)
4Q15 128.6 (- 0.3) - 2.5 140.3 (-0.4) - 4.3 159.4 (0) - 3.8
1Q16 129.0 (0.3) 140.3 (0) 157.3 (-1.3)
2Q16 129.4(0.3) 140.6 (0.2) 156.5 (-0.5)
3Q16 126.9 (-1.9) 139.2 (-1.0) 154.9 (-1.0)
4Q16 127 (0.1) -1.2% 136.4 (-2.0) -2.8% 154.0 (-0.6) -3.4%
1Q17 126.5 (-0.4) 136.8 (0.3) 154.2 (0.1)
2Q17 125.9 (-0.5) 137.6 (0.6) 153.7 (-0.3)
Source: URA, PropNex Research

41. OVERALL PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL PRICE INDEX
2016 – 1Q 2017 BY REGIONS
Quarter CCR RCR OCR
1Q 2016 0.3% 0% -1.3%
2Q 2016 0.3% 0.2% -0.5%
3Q 2016 -1.9% -1.0% -1.0%
4Q 2016 0.1% -2.0% -0.6%
2016 Overall -1.2% -2.8% -3.4%
1Q2017 -0.4% 0.3 0.1
2Q 2017 -0.5 0.6 -0.3
Source: URA, PropNex Research

42. PERIOD
Uncompleted properties
Completed
properties
Total
CCR RCR OCR
2012 Total
1,761 4,030 16,064 342 21,855
2013 Total
1,952 4,468 8,337 191 14,757
2014 Total
755 2,386 3,969 206 7,110
2015 Total
232 1,812 5,102 294 7,146
2016 Total 524 2280 4585 583 7389
OVERALL PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL TRANSACTIONS BY REGION
(NEW LAUNCHES) Year on Year
Source: URA, PropNex Research

43. PERIOD
Uncompleted properties
Completed
properties
Total
CCR RCR OCR
1Q 2016
221 309 829 60 1,359
2Q 2016
118 983 984 171 2,085
3Q 2016
105 423 1,281 172 1,809
4Q 2016
80 565 1491 180 2136
TOTAL OVERALL 2016
7389
1Q 2017
89 817 1713 343 2619
2Q 2017
125 999 1442 511 2566
TOTAL AS OF 2Q 2017 5185
OVERALL PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL TRANSACTIONS BY REGION
(NEW LAUNCHES) By Quarters
Source: URA, PropNex Research

44. 2013 2014 2015 2016 As of 2Q 2017
New Sale 14948 7316 7440 7972 6039
Subsale 1055 567 517 505 200
Resale 6624 4966 6160 7901 5868
TOTAL 22654 12849 14117 16378 12,107
OVERALL PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL TRANSACTIONS
WHOLE SINGAPORE
Source: URA, PropNex Research

45. In Summary:
2Q 2017 URA Statistics
ü Prices of private homes in Singapore fell 0.1 per cent
quarter-on-quarter (Q-o-Q), the lowest dip since prices
started to decline in Q4 2013
ü With aggressive land bids and the positive sentiment we
expect prices to grow positively by next year, transactions
to cross 21,000 mark

46. NORTH/ NORTH-EAST

48. Woodlands Town Garden and Discovery Playground
North Zone Market Overview

49. Woodlands Makeover
North Zone Market Overview

50. North-South Corridor
North Zone Market Overview

51. Punggol Creative Cluster and Learning Corridor
Punggol is set to be transformed with the introduction of a Creative Cluster,
a space for innovative new industries and employment opportunities.
Source: URA
North Zone Market Overview

52. North-South Corridor
Residents in Yishun, Woodlands and
Sembawang will also be able to enjoy
much shorter travelling times with the
direct city connection provided by the
North-South Expressway (NSE) come
2020.
North Zone Market Overview

54. North Zone Market Overview
ST08Jun17

55. North-East Zone Market Overview

56. Creative Cluster
As part of the North Coast Innovation Corridor, Punggol is set to be transformed
with the introduction of a Creative Cluster, a space for innovative new industries
and employment opportunities.
Alongside the Cluster, a Learning Corridor will see the addition of a new tertiary
institution, which will act as a catalyst for growth and forge fresh synergies with
industries and the community
North-East Zone Market Overview

57. Cross Island Line (CCL)
The Cross Island Line
(CRL), which will also
commence operations
around 2030, will
connect many areas in
the North East,
including Ang Mo Kio
and Punggol, to the
eastern and western
parts of Singapore
North-East Zone Market Overview

58. More Parks & Park Connectors
Park connectors in the North-East Region will be extended, bringing
residents closer to new and existing parks. The upcoming Round Island
Route will pass through the North-East region, incorporating the
region’s historic landmarks in Seletar and linking up popular leisure
spots such as Sengkang Riverside Park and Punggol Promenade.
North-East Zone Market Overview

60. Location Kandis Link
Developer Dillenia Land Pte Ltd
Tenure 99 Year
Site Area 7,045 sqm
Number of units 130
Unit Type 1 BR (12 units)
2 BR (70 units)
2+Study (14 units)
3 BR (21 units)
3+Study (13 units)
KANDIS RESIDENCE

61. KANDIS RESIDENCE
?

62. Source from Seatrade Maritime News
Facilities such as Sembawang Shipyard sit on
land that has good potential to be redeveloped
into waterfront residential property.

63. Source from URA site
Year 2008 Master Plan

64. Source from URA site
Year 2014 Master Plan

65. Source from Sport Singapore Site

66. Source from Sport Singapore Site
HIGHLIGHTS:
• Retain Heritage & Greenery
• Preserve Key Features in the Terrain
• Admiralty House which is a Historical National Monument
Mr Lim Teck Yin, Chief Executive Officer of Sport Singapore
shared, “This is a green space that enlivens the other core
elements of Water, Sports and Health, and Nourishment.
We are engaging residents for their thoughts on growing
these ideas into a reality that they will embrace and enjoy.”

67. Source from National Library Board
Gazetted as a National Monument
In Year 2002

68. Source from Google Map
Admiralty House
Kandis Residence
6 mintues

69. Source from Google Map

70. Source from URA Site

71. Source from URA Site

73. Source from URA site