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                                           COMPANY FINALYTICS




                                                         NTPC Ltd


                Exclusive Financial Analysis of Indian Companies



                                                   Prepared and Edited By‐
                                                      Tanay Roy, CFA
                                                      Peu Karak, MBA




                                                                 Disclaimer

 The information, opinions, estimates and forecasts contained in this document have been arrived at or obtained from public sources believed 
 to be reliable and in good faith which has not been independently verified and no warranty, express or implied, is made as to their accuracy, 
                                                        completeness or correctness. 




      For more information about this sample and our other services, please write to tanay.roy2008@gmail.com



                                         Monday, September 19, 2011
Description                                Page

                     Summary                                                          3
                                      Latest Result                                   3
                                      Valuation Matrix                                3
                                      ROE Analysis                                    3

                     Income Statement                                                 4

                     Balance Sheet                                                    5

                     Cashflow Statement                                               6

                     Quarterly Result                                                 6

                     Growth Analysis                                                  7

                     Comparative Analysis                                             8
                                   Income Statement                                   8
                                   Balance Sheet                                      8

                     Index Analysis                                                   9
                                      Income Statement                                9
                                      Balance Sheet                                   9

                     Ratio Analysis                                                  10
                                      Annual                                         10
                                      Quarterly                                      11

                     TTM Analysis                                                    11

                     Technical Analysis                                              12
CONTENT



                                             About Tanay & Peu
          Our passion lies in the field of financial research & Investment management and we intend to apply 
          our knowledge gained over a period of years through intense study and keen observation of the 
          nuances of financial markets and instruments to real life scenarios. We possess expert knowledge of 
          financial products and markets as evidenced by top notch qualifications earned by us , all in the first 
          attempt and keep ourselves abreast with the latest happenings and innovations taking place in 
          financial landscape.

          1. Expertise in Portfolio Management, Product optimization, Product performance Analysis, Financial 
          Reporting/ Planning, Cash Flow Analysis, Ratio Analysis, Budgeting, Forecasting, Mergers & 
          Acquisition and knowledge of GAAP/ IFRS
          2. Possess Strong Financial Modeling skills including DCF, LBO and other techniques. Possess ability to 
          research all asset classes in a broad range of industries and geographies.
          3. Strong equity research, finance, accounting and advisory and assurance experience
          4. Expertise in Technical analysis, fundamental analysis, developing trading systems.
          5. Conduct in‐depth financial analysis of company financials.
          6. Write analytical or trend based reports on companies, sectors or markets.
          7. Expert level application in Bloomberg, Thomson Banker, Factset, Datastream, StockVal, Merger 
          markets, Reuters Knowledge, Haver Analytics, Factiva, PackHedge,
          8. Building Excel/VBA based customized tools to perform detailed analysis.




                                          Contact Us: tanay.roy2008@gmail.com




                                                  Page 2
Summary

                                                                                                                                                           At a Glance

                                 Latest Results                                                                                             Industry             Power ‐ Generation/Distribution
                               Yearly                              Quarterly                            TTM                           Business Group                      Public Sector

                        March ' 11         Growth             June ' 11         Growth          June ' 11           Growth                 Face Value                          10
Latest Results
                                                                                                                                 Number of Equity shares                    82454.64
EBDITA                  15122.55                (1.15)        3862.64             (9.11)        18527.39               1.60
Reported Net 
Profit                   9352.59                7.15          2075.78            (25.38)         9336.48               2.57                  Price                             172

Adjusted PAT             7974.61                3.84          2075.78            (25.38)              NA                 NA
                                                                                                                                   Market Cap(Rs. In Cr)                   141821.98



                             Valuation Matrix                                                                                                            Share Holding
                                                                                                                                                 Other
                                                 Annual                            TTM Ratio                                                      2%        General 
Particulars                                     March ' 11                         March ' 11                                                           FII Public
                                                                                                                                                BFI
                                                                                                                                             MF 7%      4% 2%
                                                                                                                                             1%
        Reported P/E                               15.58                             15.58
    Price/Sales Per Share                          2.58                               2.43
      Price/ Book Value                            2.07                                NA
       Dividend Yield                              0.02                                NA
        Earning Yield                              0.06                               0.06
    Market Cap(Rs. In Cr)                                         141821.98                                                                                                 Promote
                                                                                                                                                                               r
                                                                                                                                                                              85%



                                     ROE Analysis
                                                                                                                                                                ROE
Particulars                             March ' 07          March ' 08        March ' 09      March ' 10          March ' 11           15%
     Reported PAT / PBT                          0.78              0.72            0.84              0.81              0.88            14%

     Adjusted PAT / PBT                          0.75              0.71            0.74              0.75              0.75            13%

          PBT / PBIT                             0.81              0.84            0.85              0.85              0.84            12%

         PBIT / Sales                            0.33              0.33            0.27              0.27              0.23            11%

     Sales / Total Assets                        0.39              0.39            0.40              0.41              0.44                     March '  March '  March '  March '  March ' 
                                                                                                                                                 07       08       09       10       11
  Total Assets / Net Worth                       1.74              1.74            1.77              1.77              1.83
        Reported ROE                             14%               14%              14%              13%                14%                          Reported ROE          Adjusted ROE
        Adjusted ROE                             14%               13%              12%              12%                12%




                                                                                             ROE Factors
                 2.00                                                                                                                                                          14%
                 1.80                                                                                                                                                          14%
                 1.60                                                                                                                                                          14%
                 1.40                                                                                                                                                          14%
                 1.20
                                                                                                                                                                               13%
                 1.00
                                                                                                                                                                               13%
                 0.80
                 0.60                                                                                                                                                          13%
                 0.40                                                                                                                                                          13%
                 0.20                                                                                                                                                          13%
                 0.00                                                                                                                                                          12%
                                   March ' 07                    March ' 08                   March ' 09                      March ' 10                   March ' 11

                                                         Reported ROE                      Reported PAT / PBT                  PBT / PBIT
                                                         PBIT / Sales                      Sales / Total Assets                Total Assets / Net Worth




                                                                                                    Page 3
Income Statement
Particulars (Rs. In Cr)                  March ' 07    March ' 08         March ' 09         March ' 10    March ' 11
            Net Sales                    32631.70         37091.00            41975.20       46377.70      54938.68
      Operating Expenses
Material Consumed                            23.70             26.80             31.00           31.10         31.33
Manufacturing Expenses                   20790.50         23080.70            28232.30       30785.70      37069.51
Personnel Expenses                        1362.60           2229.30            2897.60        2946.80       3395.27                          Operating Income
Selling Expenses                             57.70             45.00             57.50           65.10        174.22
                                                                                                                                60000.00 
Adminstrative Expenses                      656.00           726.80             851.10          977.60      2676.34
Expenses Capitalised                       (418.40)         (544.70)           (637.40)        (866.90)     (1052.98)           50000.00 

  Total Operating Expenses               22472.10         25563.90            31432.10       33939.40      42293.69
                                                                                                                                40000.00 
       Operating Profit                  10159.60         11527.10            10543.10       12438.30      12644.99
Other Income                              2760.90           2957.60            3307.00        2859.60       2477.56             30000.00 
             EBDITA                      12920.50         14484.70            13850.10       15297.90      15122.55
                                                                                                                                20000.00 
Depreciation                              2075.40           2138.50            2364.50        2650.10       2485.69
Other Write offs                             9.90              3.10               3.60           4.30          4.50
                                                                                                                                10000.00 
               EBIT                      10835.20         12343.10            11482.00       12643.50      12632.36
Interest                                  2055.70           1982.20            1737.00        1861.90       2027.21                  0.00 
               EBT                        8779.50         10360.90             9745.00       10781.60      10605.15                          March March March March March 
                                                                                                                                              ' 07 ' 08 ' 09 ' 10 ' 11
Income Tax                                2163.70           2994.20            2554.70        2682.70       2630.54
           Adjusted PAT                   6615.80           7366.70            7190.30        8098.90       7974.61                Net Sales     Operating Profit   EBDITA
Non Recurring Items                         114.70           162.10            (294.20)          13.20         47.92
Other Non Cash adjustments                  134.20          (114.00)           1305.20          616.10      1330.06
     Reported Net Profit                  6864.70           7414.80            8201.30        8728.20       9352.59


Equity Dividend                           2638.50           2885.90            2968.30        3133.20       3133.26
Preference Dividend                          0.00              0.00               0.00           0.00          0.00
Dividend Tax                               389.60            490.50             501.70         527.60        514.77
Retained Earnings                         3836.60           4038.40            4731.30        5067.40       5704.56




                                          Profit Levels                                                                        Total Income Break‐up
       18000.00 
                                                                                                                  Total Operating Expenses      Depreciation
       16000.00                                                                                                   Other Write offs              Interest
       14000.00                                                                                                   Income Tax                    Adjusted PAT
       12000.00 

       10000.00 

        8000.00                                                                                                                      14%

        6000.00                                                                                                             5%
        4000.00                                                                                                            3%
                                                                                                                          0%
                                                                                                                          4%
        2000.00 

             0.00 
                        March ' 07   March ' 08   March ' 09     March ' 10     March ' 11                                                            74%

                      Operating Profit       EBDITA                    EBIT
                      EBT                    Adjusted PAT




                                                                                                  Page 4
Balance Sheet
Particulars (Rs. In Cr)                 March ' 07   March ' 08    March ' 09    March ' 10    March ' 11
     SOURCES OF FUNDS 
       Owner's Fund 
Equity Share Capital                      8245.50     8245.50        8245.50      8245.50        8245.46
Share Application Money                      0.00        0.00           0.00         0.00           0.00
Preference Share Capital                     0.00        0.00           0.00         0.00           0.00
Reserves & Surplus                       40351.30    46021.90       50749.40     55478.60       60138.66
      Total Owners fund                  48596.80     54267.40       58994.90     63724.10       68384.12 
         Loan Funds 
Secured Loans                             7479.60     7314.70        8969.60      9079.90        9910.68
Unsecured Loans                          17661.50    19875.90       25598.20     28717.10       33277.56
       Total Loan fund                   25141.10     27190.60       34567.80     37797.00       43188.24 
                                                                                                                                 Capital Structure
             Total                       73737.90     81458.00       93562.70    101521.10     111572.36 
                                                                                                                  80000.00 
USES OF FUNDS 
          Fixed Assets                                                                                            70000.00 
Gross Block                              50604.20    53368.00       62353.00     66663.80       72583.94
Less : Revaluation Reserve                   0.00        0.00           0.00         0.00           0.00          60000.00 
Less : Accumulated 
Depreciation                             25079.20    27274.30       29415.30     32088.80       33519.19          50000.00 
          Net Block                      25525.00     26093.70       32937.70     34575.00       39064.75 
  Capital Work‐in‐progress               16962.30    22478.30       26404.90     32290.60       38441.84          40000.00 
         Investments                     16094.30    15267.20       13983.50     14807.10       12344.84
                                                                                                                  30000.00 
       Net Current Assets 
Current Assets, Loans & 
                                                                                                                  20000.00 
Advances                                 25858.80    30527.80       30925.30     30815.70       35396.79
Less : Current Liabilities & 
                                                                                                                  10000.00 
Provisions                               10702.50    12909.00       10688.70     10967.30       13675.86
   Total Net Current Assets              15156.30     17618.80       20236.60     19848.40       21720.93 
                                                                                                                      0.00 
 Miscellaneous expenses not 
            written                          0.00        0.00           0.00         0.00          0.00                       March ' March ' March ' March ' March ' 
             Total                       73737.90     81458.00       93562.70    101521.10     111572.36                       07      08      09      10      11

Note : 
                                                                                                                         Total Owners fund       Total Loan fund
Book Value of Unquoted 
Investments                              18008.20    15453.10       13785.00     14795.10       12332.84
Market Value of Quoted 
Investments                                316.40      304.30         275.50       133.60         100.92
Contingent liabilities                   25218.80    29361.80       66083.20     40044.00       33227.29
Number of Equity shares 
outstanding (in Lacs)                    82454.64    82454.64       82454.64     82454.64       82454.64




                                    Sources of Capital                                                            Application of capital

                                                                                                  Total Net 
                                                                                                Current Assets 
                                                                                                     20%

                          Total Loan                                                    Investments                                          Net Block 
                            fund                                                            11%                                                35%
                             39%

                                                           Total Owners 
                                                               fund                                                 Capital Work‐
                                                               61%                                                   in‐progress 
                                                                                                                         34%




                                                                                      Page 5
Cash Flow Statement
Particulars (Rs. In Cr)           March ' 07    March ' 08   March ' 09    March ' 10    March ' 11

Profit Before Tax                   8896.50      10529.40      9467.80     10807.60      10410.88
   Net CashFlow‐Operating 
                                                                                                                        Net Cash Flow
           Activity                 8065.30      10171.10      9688.10     10594.20      11095.20
  Net Cash Used In Investing 
           Activity                (3145.80)     (6203.80)     (7500.40)   (10497.70)     (7658.85)
 NetCash Used in Fin. Activity 
                                     (76.30)     (2348.70)      (849.30)    (1908.60)     (1710.57)   8065.30 
Net Inc/Dec In Cash And                                                                                           10171.10  9688.10  10594.20  11095.20 
Equivlnt                            4843.20       1618.60      1338.40      (1812.10)     1725.78
Cash And Equivalnt Begin of 
                                                                                                      (3145.80) (6203.80)
Year                                8471.40      13314.60     14933.20     16271.60      14459.48                         (7500.40) (10497.7 (7658.85)
                                                                                                       (76.30)                         0)
Cash And Equivalnt End Of 
                                                                                                                (2348.70) (849.30)            (1710.57)
Year                               13314.60      14933.20     16271.60     14459.50      16185.26                                   (1908.60)


                                                                                                                 Net CashFlow‐Operating Activity 
                                                                                                                 Net Cash Used In Investing Activity 
                                                                                                                 NetCash Used in Fin. Activity 




                            Quarterly Result
                                               September ' 
Particulars (Rs. In Cr)            June ' 10           10 December ' 10    March ' 11     June ' 11


Sales                             13,302.55     15,113.82     13,963.81    15,979.52     14,524.23
Less: Excise                           0.00          0.00          0.00         0.00          0.00
           Net Sales              13,302.55     15,113.82     13,963.81    15,979.52     14,524.23
                                                                                                                          Profit Levels
Other Income                         226.87        253.54       202.09        205.56        643.66
            Total Income          13,529.42     15,367.36     14,165.90    16,185.08     15,167.89

Stock Adjustment                       0.00          0.00          0.00         0.00          0.00
Raw Material                           0.00          0.00          0.00         0.00          0.00
Power And Fuel                     8,702.31      8,607.27      8,338.64     9,725.56      9,749.82
Employee Expenses                    683.82        709.18        688.52       708.19        690.72
Admin And Selling Expenses             0.00          0.00          0.00         0.00          0.00
Research And Devlopment Expe           0.00          0.00          0.00         0.00          0.00
Expenses Capitalised                   0.00          0.00          0.00         0.00          0.00
Other Expeses                        571.63        662.77        630.99       982.47        864.71
        Total Expenses             9,957.76      9,979.22      9,658.15    11,416.22     11,305.25
              EBDITA               3,571.66      5,388.14      4,507.75     4,768.86      3,862.64
Provisions Made                        0.00      1,262.67         5.39        283.98          0.01
Depreciation                         682.72        506.28       598.55        698.14        641.13
               EBIT                2,888.94      3,619.19      3,903.81     3,786.74      3,221.50
Interest                             535.75        590.20       493.18        529.95        374.35
                EBT                2,353.19      3,028.99      3,410.63     3,256.79      2,847.15
Taxation                             511.30        921.61      1,039.15       474.95        771.37
       Net Profit / Loss           1,841.89      2,107.38      2,371.48     2,781.84      2,075.78
Extra Ordinary Item                    0.00          0.00          0.00         0.00          0.00               EBDITA                   EBIT
Prior Year Adjustments                 0.00          0.00          0.00         0.00          0.00
                                                                                                                 EBT                      Net Profit / Loss 




                                                                                Page 6
Growth Analysis
                                                                                                      Average 
Particulars (%)                        March ' 08    March ' 09     March ' 10      March ' 11        Growth        5 year CAGR
            Net Sales                      13.67         13.17          10.49           18.46              14.53         10.98
     Operating Expenses                                                                                     0.00          0.00
Material Consumed                          13.08         15.67           0.32            0.74               4.83          5.74
Manufacturing Expenses                     11.02         22.32           9.04           20.41              16.44         12.26
Personnel Expenses                         63.61         29.98           1.70           15.22              18.96         20.03
Selling Expenses                          (22.01)        27.78          13.22          167.62              74.37         24.73
Adminstrative Expenses                     10.79         17.10          14.86          173.77              78.47         32.47
Expenses Capitalised                      (30.19)       (17.02)        (36.01)         (21.46)            (25.81)        20.27
  Total Operating Expenses                 13.76         22.96           7.98           24.62              18.21         13.48
       Operating Profit                    13.46         (8.54)         17.98            1.66               5.70          4.47
Other Income                                7.12         11.81         (13.53)         (13.36)             (6.33)         (2.14)
             EBDITA                        12.11         (4.38)         10.45           (1.15)              3.01          3.20
Depreciation                                3.04         10.57          12.08           (6.20)              3.56          3.67
Other Write offs                          (68.69)        16.13          19.44            4.65               4.05        (14.59)
               EBIT                        13.92         (6.98)         10.12           (0.09)              3.00          3.12
Interest                                   (3.58)       (12.37)          7.19            8.88               2.88          (0.28)
               EBT                         18.01         (5.94)         10.64           (1.64)              3.15          3.85
Income Tax                                 38.38        (14.68)          5.01           (1.94)              1.63          3.98
           Adjusted PAT                    11.35         (2.39)         12.64           (1.53)              3.84          3.81
Non Recurring Items                        41.33       (281.49)        104.49          263.03              84.39        (16.02)
Other Non Cash adjustments               (184.95)     1244.91          (52.80)         115.88             261.00         58.21
     Reported Net Profit                    8.01         10.61           6.42            7.15               7.71          6.38
Equity Dividend                             9.38          2.86           5.56            0.00               3.18          3.50
Preference Dividend                         0.00          0.00           0.00            0.00               0.00          0.00
Dividend Tax                               25.90          2.28           5.16           (2.43)              3.62          5.73
Retained Earnings                           5.26         17.16           7.10           12.57              11.12          8.26




                                        Growth Factors                                                                           5 Year CAGR
            30.00                                                                                16.00 

            25.00                                                                                14.00 

                                                                                                 12.00 
            20.00 
                                                                                                 10.00 
            15.00 
                                                                                                  8.00 
            10.00 
                                                                                                  6.00 
             5.00 
                                                                                                  4.00 

             0.00                                                                                 2.00 
                        March ' 08      March ' 09     March ' 10      March ' 11
            (5.00)                                                                                0.00 

           (10.00)                                                                               (2.00)

                        Net Sales                      Total Operating Expenses                  (4.00)

                        EBDITA                         EBT
                        Adjusted PAT




                                                                                         Page 7
Comparative Analysis
                                  Income Statement
Particulars (Rs. In Cr)         March ' 07   March ' 08   March ' 09   March ' 10    March ' 11
            Net Sales              100.00       100.00       100.00       100.00        100.00
Material Consumed                    0.07         0.07         0.07         0.07          0.06
Manufacturing Expenses              63.71        62.23        67.26        66.38         67.47             Comparative Net Sales
Personnel Expenses                   4.18         6.01         6.90         6.35          6.18
Selling Expenses                     0.18         0.12         0.14         0.14          0.32
Adminstrative Expenses               2.01         1.96         2.03         2.11          4.87
Expenses Capitalised                (1.28)       (1.47)       (1.52)       (1.87)        (1.92)
  Total Operating Expenses          68.87        68.92        74.88        73.18         76.98
       Operating Profit             31.13        31.08        25.12        26.82         23.02
Other Income                         8.46         7.97         7.88         6.17          4.51
             EBDITA                 39.59        39.05        33.00        32.99         27.53
Depreciation                         6.36         5.77         5.63         5.71          4.52
Other Write offs                     0.03         0.01         0.01         0.01          0.01
               EBIT                 33.20        33.28        27.35        27.26         22.99
Interest                             6.30         5.34         4.14         4.01          3.69
                                                                                                  March '  March '     March '  March '  March ' 
               EBT                  26.90        27.93        23.22        23.25         19.30     07       08          09       10       11
Income Tax                           6.63         8.07         6.09         5.78          4.79
                                                                                                                 Total Operating Expenses
           Adjusted PAT             20.27        19.86        17.13        17.46         14.52                   Other Income
                                                                                                                 Depreciation
Non Recurring Items                  0.35         0.44        (0.70)        0.03          0.09                   Other Write offs
                                                                                                                 Interest
Other Non Cash adjustments           0.41        (0.31)        3.11         1.33          2.42
     Reported Net Profit            21.04        19.99        19.54        18.82         17.02



                                      Balance Sheet
Particulars (Rs. In Cr)         March ' 07   March ' 08   March ' 09   March ' 10    March ' 11
     SOURCES OF FUNDS 
Equity Share Capital                11.18        10.12         8.81         8.12          7.39
Share Application Money              0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00          0.00          Comparative Analysis‐Source of 
Preference Share Capital             0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00          0.00                      Fund
Reserves & Surplus                  54.72        56.50        54.24        54.65         53.90
      Total Owners fund             65.90        66.62        63.05        62.77         61.29                                      53.90 

Secured Loans                       10.14         8.98         9.59         8.94          8.88
Unsecured Loans                     23.95        24.40        27.36        28.29         29.83
       Total Loan fund              34.10        33.38        36.95        37.23         38.71                                                       29.83 
              Total               100.00       100.00       100.00       100.00        100.00

                                                                                                             7.39                            8.88 
        USES OF FUNDS 
                                                                                                                      0.00  0.00 
          Fixed Assets 
Gross Block                         68.63        65.52        66.64        65.66         65.06
Less : Revaluation Reserve           0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00          0.00
Less : Accumulated 
Depreciation                        34.01        33.48        31.44        31.61         30.04
           Net Block                34.62        32.03        35.20        34.06         35.01
   Capital Work‐in‐progress         23.00        27.59        28.22        31.81         34.45

           Investments              21.83        18.74        14.95        14.59         11.06

       Net Current Assets 
Current Assets, Loans &             35.07        37.48        33.05        30.35         31.73
Less : Current Liabilities & 
Provisions                          14.51        15.85        11.42        10.80         12.26
  Total Net Current Assets          20.55        21.63        21.63        19.55         19.47
 Miscellaneous expenses not 
           written                  0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00          0.00
              Total               100.00       100.00       100.00       100.00        100.00




                                                                            Page 8
Index Analysis
                                    Income Statement
Particulars                       March ' 07   March ' 08   March ' 09   March ' 10    March ' 11
            Net Sales                100.00       113.67       128.63       142.12        168.36
      Operating Expenses
Material Consumed                    100.00       113.08       130.80       131.22        132.19
                                                                                                                Profit Index
Manufacturing Expenses               100.00       111.02       135.79       148.08        178.30
Personnel Expenses                   100.00       163.61       212.65       216.26        249.18
Selling Expenses                     100.00        77.99        99.65       112.82        301.94
Adminstrative Expenses               100.00       110.79       129.74       149.02        407.98
Expenses Capitalised                 100.00       130.19       152.34       207.19        251.67
  Total Operating Expenses           100.00       113.76       139.87       151.03        188.21
       Operating Profit              100.00       113.46       103.77       122.43        124.46
Other Income                         100.00       107.12       119.78       103.57         89.74    March '  March '  March '  March '  March ' 
              EBDITA                 100.00       112.11       107.19       118.40        117.04     07       08       09       10       11
Depreciation                         100.00       103.04       113.93       127.69        119.77
Other Write offs                     100.00        31.31        36.36        43.43         45.45
               EBIT                  100.00       113.92       105.97       116.69        116.59                 EBIT
                                                                                                                 EBT
Interest                             100.00        96.42        84.50        90.57         98.61                 Adjusted PAT
               EBT                   100.00       118.01       111.00       122.80        120.79                 Reported Net Profit 
                                                                                                                 Net Sales
Income Tax                           100.00       138.38       118.07       123.99        121.58
           Adjusted PAT              100.00       111.35       108.68       122.42        120.54
Non Recurring Items                  100.00       141.33      (256.50)       11.51         41.78
Other Non Cash adjustments           100.00       (84.95)      972.58       459.09        991.10
Reported Net Profit                  100.00       108.01       119.47       127.15        136.24



                                        Balance Sheet
Particulars                       March ' 07   March ' 08   March ' 09   March ' 10    March ' 11
     SOURCES OF FUNDS 
Equity Share Capital                 100.00       100.00       100.00       100.00        100.00
Share Application Money                0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00          0.00                 Liability Index
Preference Share Capital               0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00          0.00
Reserves & Surplus                   100.00       114.05       125.77       137.49        149.04
      Total Owners fund              100.00       111.67       121.40       131.13        140.72
         Loan Funds 
Secured Loans                        100.00        97.80       119.92       121.40        132.50
Unsecured Loans                      100.00       112.54       144.94       162.60        188.42
       Total Loan fund               100.00       108.15       137.50       150.34        171.78
              Total                  100.00       110.47       126.89       137.68        151.31

        USES OF FUNDS                                                                               March '  March '  March '  March '  March ' 
          Fixed Assets                                                                               07       08       09       10       11
Gross Block                          100.00       105.46       123.22       131.74        143.43
Less : Revaluation Reserve             0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00          0.00         Total Owners fund         Total Loan fund
Less : Accumulated                   100.00       108.75       117.29       127.95        133.65
           Net Block                 100.00       102.23       129.04       135.46        153.05
   Capital Work‐in‐progress          100.00       132.52       155.67       190.37        226.63
           Investments               100.00        94.86        86.88        92.00         76.70
     Net Current Assets 
Current Assets, Loans & 
Advances                             100.00       118.06       119.59       119.17        136.88
Less : Current Liabilities & 
Provisions                           100.00       120.62        99.87       102.47        127.78
   Total Net Current Assets          100.00       116.25       133.52       130.96        143.31
 Miscellaneous expenses not 
           written                     0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00          0.00
              Total                  100.00       110.47       126.89       137.68        151.31




                                                                              Page 9
Ratio Analysis
Particulars(Yearly)                March ' 07   March ' 08   March ' 09   March ' 10    March ' 11
     PER SHARE RATIOS 
Adjusted E P S (Rs.)                    8.02         8.93         8.72         9.82          9.67
Adjusted Cash EPS (Rs.)                10.55        11.53        11.59        13.04         12.69
Reported EPS (Rs.)                      8.33         8.99         9.95        10.59         11.04
Reported Cash EPS (Rs.)                10.85        11.59        12.82        13.80         14.06
Dividend Per Share                      3.20         3.50         3.60         3.80          3.80                  Per Share Ratio
Operating Profit Per Share 
(Rs.)                                  12.32        13.98        12.79        15.09         15.34
Book Value (Excl Rev Res) Per 
Share (Rs.)                            58.94        65.81        71.55        77.28         82.94
Book Value (Incl Rev Res) Per 
Share (Rs.)                            58.94        65.81        71.55        77.28         82.94
Net Operating Income Per 
Share (Rs.)                            39.58        44.98        50.91        56.25         66.63
Free Reserves Per Share (Rs.)          47.38        52.34        56.25        62.75         69.08    March '  March '  March '  March '  March ' 
                                                                                                      07       08       09       10       11
   PROFITABILITY RATIOS 
Operating Margin (%)                   31.13        31.07        25.11        26.81         23.01
Gross Profit Margin (%)                24.77        25.31        19.48        21.10         18.49           Net Operating Income Per Share (Rs.) 
Net Profit Margin (%)                  19.39        18.51        18.11        17.72         15.85           Adjusted E P S (Rs.) 
Adjusted Cash Margin (%)               24.58        23.74        21.10        21.83         18.22           Adjusted Cash EPS (Rs.) 
Adjusted Return On Net 
                                                                                                            Dividend Per Share 
Worth (%)                              13.61        13.57        12.18        12.70         11.66
                                                                                                            Book Value (Incl Rev Res) Per Share (Rs.) 
Reported Return On Net 
Worth (%)                              14.12        13.66        13.90        13.69         13.31
Return On long Term Funds 
(%)                                    14.69        15.15        12.27        12.45         11.32
      LEVERAGE RATIOS                                                                                               Profit Margin
Long Term Debt / Equity                 0.51         0.50         0.58         0.59          0.63
Total Debt/Equity                       0.51         0.50         0.58         0.59          0.63
Owners fund as % of total 
Source                                 65.90        66.62        63.05        62.76         61.29
Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio             0.64         0.69         0.67         0.69          0.76
      LIQUIDITY RATIOS 
Current Ratio                           2.42         2.36         2.89         2.81          2.59
Current Ratio (Inc. ST Loans)           2.42         2.36         2.89         2.81          2.59
Quick Ratio                             2.18         2.16         2.59         2.50          2.32
Inventory Turnover Ratio               30.50        33.59        28.21        27.54         29.18
                                                                                                     March '  March '  March '  March '  March ' 
       PAYOUT RATIOS                                                                                  07       08       09       10       11
Dividend payout Ratio (Net 
Profit)                                44.11        45.53        42.31        41.94         40.07             Net Profit Margin (%) 
Dividend payout Ratio (Cash                                                                                   Operating Margin (%) 
Profit)                                33.83        35.33        32.83        32.16         31.46
                                                                                                              Adjusted Return On Net Worth (%) 
Earning Retention Ratio                54.23        54.17        51.75        54.80         54.26
Cash Earnings Retention Ratio          65.20        64.49        63.70        65.96         65.14             Return On long Term Funds (%) 
     COVERAGE RATIOS 
Adjusted Cash Flow Time 
Total Debt                              2.89         2.86         3.62         3.51          4.13
Financial Charges Coverage                                                                                        Liquidity Ratio
Ratio                                   6.29         7.31         7.97         8.22          7.46
Fin. Charges Cov.Ratio (Post 
Tax)                                    5.35         5.82         7.08         7.11          6.72
    COMPONENT RATIOS 
Material Cost Component(% 
earnings)                               0.07         0.07         0.07         0.06          0.05
Selling Cost Component                  0.17         0.12         0.13         0.14          0.31
Exports as percent of Total 
                                                                                                        March '  March '  March '  March '  March ' 
Sales                                   0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00          0.00        07       08       09       10       11
Import Comp. in Raw Mat. 
Consumed                                0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00          0.00
Long term assets / Total 
Assets                                  0.69         0.67         0.70         0.72          0.71            Current Ratio             Quick Ratio 
Bonus Component In Equity 
Capital (%)                             0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00          0.00




                                                                              Page 10
Ratio Analysis
                                            September ' 
Particulars(Quarterly)          June ' 10           10 December ' 10    March ' 11    June ' 11
      PER SHARE RATIOS                                                                                    Quarterly Profit Margin
Operating Income Per 
Share(Rs.)                         16.13         18.33        16.94         19.38       17.61
Operating Profit Per 
Share(Rs.)                          4.33          6.53         5.47          5.78        4.68
Adjusted EPS(Rs.)                   2.23          2.56         2.88          3.37        2.52
    PROFITABILITY RATIOS 
OPM(%)                             25.14         25.61        30.79         26.78       22.16
GPM(%)                             22.43         23.00        28.30         24.43       22.99
NPM(%)                             13.61         13.71        16.74         17.18       13.68



                                                                                                   OPM(%)                 GPM(%)             NPM(%) 
                            TTM Analysis
Particulars (Rs. In Cr)        March ' 11    % of Sales     June ' 11   % of Sales   Growth(%)
Sales                          58359.70         100.00     59581.38        100.00        2.09
Less: Excise                       0.00           0.00         0.00          0.00          NA
           Net Sales           58359.70         100.00     59581.38        100.00        2.09
                                                                                                                                         4.10 
Other Income                      888.06          1.52      1304.85          2.19       46.93                  TTM Growth (%)
                                                                                                            3.29 
            Total Income       59247.76         101.52     60886.23        102.19        2.77                                                      2.57 
                                                                                                                               2.34 
Stock Adjustment                    0.00          0.00         0.00          0.00          NA     2.09 
Raw Material                       0.00           0.00         0.00          0.00          NA                          1.60 
Power And Fuel                 35373.78          60.61     36421.29         61.13        2.96
Employee Expenses               2789.71           4.78      2796.61          4.69        0.25
Admin And Selling Expenses         0.00           0.00         0.00          0.00          NA
Research And Devlopment Expe       0.00           0.00         0.00          0.00          NA
Expenses Capitalised               0.00           0.00         0.00          0.00          NA
Other Expeses                   2847.86           4.88      3140.94          5.27       10.29
        Total Expenses         41011.35          70.27     42358.84         71.09        3.29
              EBDITA           18236.41          31.25     18527.39         31.10        1.60
Provisions Made                 1552.04           2.66      1552.05          2.60         0.00
Depreciation                    2485.69           4.26      2444.10          4.10        (1.67)
                                                                                                              TTM EPS & SPS(%)
               EBIT            14198.68          24.33     14531.24         24.39        2.34
Interest                        2149.08           3.68      1987.68          3.34        (7.51)
                EBT            12049.60          20.65     12543.56         21.05        4.10
Taxation                        2947.01           5.05      3207.08          5.38        8.82
       Net Profit / Loss        9102.59          15.60      9336.48         15.67        2.57
Extra Ordinary Item                 0.00          0.00         0.00          0.00          NA
Prior Year Adjustments              0.00          0.00         0.00          0.00          NA

TTM EPS                            11.04                       11.32                         0
TTM SPS                            70.78                       72.26                         0

                                                                                                          March ' 11                   June ' 11




                                                                            Page 11
Technical Analysis


                                                         Price Chart
250.00                                                                                          1800000.00
                                                                                                1600000.00
200.00                                                                                          1400000.00
                                                                                                1200000.00
150.00
                                                                                                1000000.00
                                                                                                800000.00
100.00
                                                                                                600000.00
 50.00                                                                                          400000.00
                                                                                                200000.00
  0.00                                                                                          0.00
     26‐May                                                             4‐Aug

                                        Volume         Close           EMA(200)       EMA(50)



   4.00
   2.00
   0.00
  ‐2.00
  ‐4.00
  ‐6.00


                                                       MACD             Signal line




   100
    80
    60
    40
    20
     0


                                                                  RSI(14)




                          Technical Indicators
      Price           172.00                AS On:             16/09/2011
      EMA(13)         168.57                ADX                       16
      EMA(26)         172.67                DX                        14
      EMA(50)         176.02                +DI                       27
      EMA(200)        188.59                ‐DI                       20
      RSI(14)          38.90                %K(Fast)                 100
      MACD             ‐4.09                %K(Slow)                48.81
      William(%R)       0.00                %d(Slow)                26.56




                                                                   Page 12

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Ntpc ltd

  • 1. gtÇtç eÉç XåvÄâá|äx COMPANY FINALYTICS NTPC Ltd Exclusive Financial Analysis of Indian Companies Prepared and Edited By‐ Tanay Roy, CFA Peu Karak, MBA Disclaimer  The information, opinions, estimates and forecasts contained in this document have been arrived at or obtained from public sources believed  to be reliable and in good faith which has not been independently verified and no warranty, express or implied, is made as to their accuracy,  completeness or correctness.  For more information about this sample and our other services, please write to tanay.roy2008@gmail.com Monday, September 19, 2011
  • 2. Description Page Summary 3 Latest Result 3 Valuation Matrix 3 ROE Analysis 3 Income Statement 4 Balance Sheet 5 Cashflow Statement 6 Quarterly Result 6 Growth Analysis 7 Comparative Analysis 8 Income Statement 8 Balance Sheet 8 Index Analysis 9 Income Statement 9 Balance Sheet 9 Ratio Analysis 10 Annual 10 Quarterly 11 TTM Analysis 11 Technical Analysis 12 CONTENT About Tanay & Peu Our passion lies in the field of financial research & Investment management and we intend to apply  our knowledge gained over a period of years through intense study and keen observation of the  nuances of financial markets and instruments to real life scenarios. We possess expert knowledge of  financial products and markets as evidenced by top notch qualifications earned by us , all in the first  attempt and keep ourselves abreast with the latest happenings and innovations taking place in  financial landscape. 1. Expertise in Portfolio Management, Product optimization, Product performance Analysis, Financial  Reporting/ Planning, Cash Flow Analysis, Ratio Analysis, Budgeting, Forecasting, Mergers &  Acquisition and knowledge of GAAP/ IFRS 2. Possess Strong Financial Modeling skills including DCF, LBO and other techniques. Possess ability to  research all asset classes in a broad range of industries and geographies. 3. Strong equity research, finance, accounting and advisory and assurance experience 4. Expertise in Technical analysis, fundamental analysis, developing trading systems. 5. Conduct in‐depth financial analysis of company financials. 6. Write analytical or trend based reports on companies, sectors or markets. 7. Expert level application in Bloomberg, Thomson Banker, Factset, Datastream, StockVal, Merger  markets, Reuters Knowledge, Haver Analytics, Factiva, PackHedge, 8. Building Excel/VBA based customized tools to perform detailed analysis. Contact Us: tanay.roy2008@gmail.com Page 2
  • 3. Summary At a Glance Latest Results Industry Power ‐ Generation/Distribution Yearly Quarterly TTM Business Group Public Sector March ' 11 Growth June ' 11 Growth June ' 11 Growth Face Value 10 Latest Results Number of Equity shares  82454.64 EBDITA 15122.55 (1.15) 3862.64 (9.11) 18527.39 1.60 Reported Net  Profit  9352.59 7.15 2075.78 (25.38) 9336.48 2.57 Price 172 Adjusted PAT 7974.61 3.84 2075.78 (25.38) NA NA Market Cap(Rs. In Cr) 141821.98 Valuation Matrix Share Holding Other Annual TTM Ratio 2% General  Particulars March ' 11 March ' 11 FII Public BFI MF 7% 4% 2% 1% Reported P/E 15.58 15.58 Price/Sales Per Share 2.58 2.43 Price/ Book Value 2.07 NA Dividend Yield 0.02 NA Earning Yield 0.06 0.06 Market Cap(Rs. In Cr) 141821.98 Promote r 85% ROE Analysis ROE Particulars March ' 07 March ' 08 March ' 09 March ' 10 March ' 11 15% Reported PAT / PBT 0.78 0.72 0.84 0.81 0.88 14% Adjusted PAT / PBT 0.75 0.71 0.74 0.75 0.75 13% PBT / PBIT 0.81 0.84 0.85 0.85 0.84 12% PBIT / Sales 0.33 0.33 0.27 0.27 0.23 11% Sales / Total Assets 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.44 March '  March '  March '  March '  March '  07 08 09 10 11 Total Assets / Net Worth 1.74 1.74 1.77 1.77 1.83 Reported ROE 14% 14% 14% 13% 14% Reported ROE Adjusted ROE Adjusted ROE 14% 13% 12% 12% 12% ROE Factors 2.00 14% 1.80 14% 1.60 14% 1.40 14% 1.20 13% 1.00 13% 0.80 0.60 13% 0.40 13% 0.20 13% 0.00 12% March ' 07 March ' 08 March ' 09 March ' 10 March ' 11 Reported ROE Reported PAT / PBT PBT / PBIT PBIT / Sales Sales / Total Assets Total Assets / Net Worth Page 3
  • 4. Income Statement Particulars (Rs. In Cr) March ' 07 March ' 08 March ' 09 March ' 10 March ' 11 Net Sales 32631.70 37091.00 41975.20 46377.70 54938.68 Operating Expenses Material Consumed  23.70 26.80 31.00 31.10 31.33 Manufacturing Expenses  20790.50 23080.70 28232.30 30785.70 37069.51 Personnel Expenses  1362.60 2229.30 2897.60 2946.80 3395.27 Operating Income Selling Expenses  57.70 45.00 57.50 65.10 174.22 60000.00  Adminstrative Expenses  656.00 726.80 851.10 977.60 2676.34 Expenses Capitalised  (418.40) (544.70) (637.40) (866.90) (1052.98) 50000.00  Total Operating Expenses 22472.10 25563.90 31432.10 33939.40 42293.69 40000.00  Operating Profit 10159.60 11527.10 10543.10 12438.30 12644.99 Other Income 2760.90 2957.60 3307.00 2859.60 2477.56 30000.00  EBDITA 12920.50 14484.70 13850.10 15297.90 15122.55 20000.00  Depreciation 2075.40 2138.50 2364.50 2650.10 2485.69 Other Write offs 9.90 3.10 3.60 4.30 4.50 10000.00  EBIT 10835.20 12343.10 11482.00 12643.50 12632.36 Interest 2055.70 1982.20 1737.00 1861.90 2027.21 0.00  EBT 8779.50 10360.90 9745.00 10781.60 10605.15 March March March March March  ' 07 ' 08 ' 09 ' 10 ' 11 Income Tax 2163.70 2994.20 2554.70 2682.70 2630.54 Adjusted PAT 6615.80 7366.70 7190.30 8098.90 7974.61 Net Sales Operating Profit EBDITA Non Recurring Items  114.70 162.10 (294.20) 13.20 47.92 Other Non Cash adjustments  134.20 (114.00) 1305.20 616.10 1330.06 Reported Net Profit  6864.70 7414.80 8201.30 8728.20 9352.59 Equity Dividend  2638.50 2885.90 2968.30 3133.20 3133.26 Preference Dividend  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dividend Tax  389.60 490.50 501.70 527.60 514.77 Retained Earnings  3836.60 4038.40 4731.30 5067.40 5704.56 Profit Levels Total Income Break‐up 18000.00  Total Operating Expenses Depreciation 16000.00  Other Write offs Interest 14000.00  Income Tax Adjusted PAT 12000.00  10000.00  8000.00  14% 6000.00  5% 4000.00  3% 0% 4% 2000.00  0.00  March ' 07 March ' 08 March ' 09 March ' 10 March ' 11 74% Operating Profit EBDITA EBIT EBT Adjusted PAT Page 4
  • 5. Balance Sheet Particulars (Rs. In Cr) March ' 07 March ' 08 March ' 09 March ' 10 March ' 11 SOURCES OF FUNDS  Owner's Fund  Equity Share Capital  8245.50  8245.50 8245.50 8245.50 8245.46 Share Application Money  0.00  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preference Share Capital  0.00  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reserves & Surplus  40351.30  46021.90 50749.40 55478.60 60138.66 Total Owners fund 48596.80  54267.40  58994.90  63724.10  68384.12  Loan Funds  Secured Loans  7479.60  7314.70 8969.60 9079.90 9910.68 Unsecured Loans  17661.50  19875.90 25598.20 28717.10 33277.56 Total Loan fund 25141.10  27190.60  34567.80  37797.00  43188.24  Capital Structure Total  73737.90  81458.00  93562.70  101521.10  111572.36  80000.00  USES OF FUNDS  Fixed Assets  70000.00  Gross Block  50604.20  53368.00 62353.00 66663.80 72583.94 Less : Revaluation Reserve  0.00  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60000.00  Less : Accumulated  Depreciation  25079.20  27274.30 29415.30 32088.80 33519.19 50000.00  Net Block  25525.00  26093.70  32937.70  34575.00  39064.75  Capital Work‐in‐progress  16962.30  22478.30 26404.90 32290.60 38441.84 40000.00  Investments  16094.30  15267.20 13983.50 14807.10 12344.84 30000.00  Net Current Assets  Current Assets, Loans &  20000.00  Advances  25858.80  30527.80 30925.30 30815.70 35396.79 Less : Current Liabilities &  10000.00  Provisions  10702.50  12909.00 10688.70 10967.30 13675.86 Total Net Current Assets  15156.30  17618.80  20236.60  19848.40  21720.93  0.00  Miscellaneous expenses not  written  0.00  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 March ' March ' March ' March ' March '  Total  73737.90  81458.00  93562.70  101521.10  111572.36  07 08 09 10 11 Note :  Total Owners fund Total Loan fund Book Value of Unquoted  Investments  18008.20  15453.10 13785.00 14795.10 12332.84 Market Value of Quoted  Investments  316.40  304.30 275.50 133.60 100.92 Contingent liabilities  25218.80  29361.80 66083.20 40044.00 33227.29 Number of Equity shares  outstanding (in Lacs)  82454.64  82454.64 82454.64 82454.64 82454.64 Sources of Capital Application of capital Total Net  Current Assets  20% Total Loan  Investments  Net Block  fund 11% 35% 39% Total Owners  fund Capital Work‐ 61% in‐progress  34% Page 5
  • 6. Cash Flow Statement Particulars (Rs. In Cr) March ' 07 March ' 08 March ' 09 March ' 10 March ' 11 Profit Before Tax  8896.50  10529.40 9467.80 10807.60 10410.88 Net CashFlow‐Operating  Net Cash Flow Activity  8065.30  10171.10 9688.10 10594.20 11095.20 Net Cash Used In Investing  Activity  (3145.80) (6203.80) (7500.40) (10497.70) (7658.85) NetCash Used in Fin. Activity  (76.30) (2348.70) (849.30) (1908.60) (1710.57) 8065.30  Net Inc/Dec In Cash And  10171.10  9688.10  10594.20  11095.20  Equivlnt  4843.20  1618.60 1338.40 (1812.10) 1725.78 Cash And Equivalnt Begin of  (3145.80) (6203.80) Year  8471.40  13314.60 14933.20 16271.60 14459.48 (7500.40) (10497.7 (7658.85) (76.30) 0) Cash And Equivalnt End Of  (2348.70) (849.30) (1710.57) Year  13314.60  14933.20 16271.60 14459.50 16185.26 (1908.60) Net CashFlow‐Operating Activity  Net Cash Used In Investing Activity  NetCash Used in Fin. Activity  Quarterly Result September '  Particulars (Rs. In Cr) June ' 10 10 December ' 10 March ' 11 June ' 11 Sales  13,302.55 15,113.82 13,963.81 15,979.52 14,524.23 Less: Excise 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Net Sales 13,302.55 15,113.82 13,963.81 15,979.52 14,524.23 Profit Levels Other Income  226.87 253.54 202.09 205.56 643.66 Total Income 13,529.42 15,367.36 14,165.90 16,185.08 15,167.89 Stock Adjustment  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Raw Material  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Power And Fuel  8,702.31 8,607.27 8,338.64 9,725.56 9,749.82 Employee Expenses  683.82 709.18 688.52 708.19 690.72 Admin And Selling Expenses  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Research And Devlopment Expe 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Expenses Capitalised  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Expeses  571.63 662.77 630.99 982.47 864.71 Total Expenses 9,957.76 9,979.22 9,658.15 11,416.22 11,305.25 EBDITA 3,571.66 5,388.14 4,507.75 4,768.86 3,862.64 Provisions Made  0.00 1,262.67 5.39 283.98 0.01 Depreciation  682.72 506.28 598.55 698.14 641.13 EBIT 2,888.94 3,619.19 3,903.81 3,786.74 3,221.50 Interest  535.75 590.20 493.18 529.95 374.35 EBT 2,353.19 3,028.99 3,410.63 3,256.79 2,847.15 Taxation  511.30 921.61 1,039.15 474.95 771.37 Net Profit / Loss  1,841.89 2,107.38 2,371.48 2,781.84 2,075.78 Extra Ordinary Item  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 EBDITA EBIT Prior Year Adjustments  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 EBT Net Profit / Loss  Page 6
  • 7. Growth Analysis Average  Particulars (%) March ' 08 March ' 09 March ' 10 March ' 11 Growth 5 year CAGR Net Sales 13.67 13.17 10.49 18.46 14.53 10.98 Operating Expenses 0.00 0.00 Material Consumed  13.08 15.67 0.32 0.74 4.83 5.74 Manufacturing Expenses  11.02 22.32 9.04 20.41 16.44 12.26 Personnel Expenses  63.61 29.98 1.70 15.22 18.96 20.03 Selling Expenses  (22.01) 27.78 13.22 167.62 74.37 24.73 Adminstrative Expenses  10.79 17.10 14.86 173.77 78.47 32.47 Expenses Capitalised  (30.19) (17.02) (36.01) (21.46) (25.81) 20.27 Total Operating Expenses 13.76 22.96 7.98 24.62 18.21 13.48 Operating Profit 13.46 (8.54) 17.98 1.66 5.70 4.47 Other Income 7.12 11.81 (13.53) (13.36) (6.33) (2.14) EBDITA 12.11 (4.38) 10.45 (1.15) 3.01 3.20 Depreciation 3.04 10.57 12.08 (6.20) 3.56 3.67 Other Write offs (68.69) 16.13 19.44 4.65 4.05 (14.59) EBIT 13.92 (6.98) 10.12 (0.09) 3.00 3.12 Interest (3.58) (12.37) 7.19 8.88 2.88 (0.28) EBT 18.01 (5.94) 10.64 (1.64) 3.15 3.85 Income Tax 38.38 (14.68) 5.01 (1.94) 1.63 3.98 Adjusted PAT 11.35 (2.39) 12.64 (1.53) 3.84 3.81 Non Recurring Items  41.33 (281.49) 104.49 263.03 84.39 (16.02) Other Non Cash adjustments  (184.95) 1244.91 (52.80) 115.88 261.00 58.21 Reported Net Profit  8.01 10.61 6.42 7.15 7.71 6.38 Equity Dividend  9.38 2.86 5.56 0.00 3.18 3.50 Preference Dividend  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dividend Tax  25.90 2.28 5.16 (2.43) 3.62 5.73 Retained Earnings  5.26 17.16 7.10 12.57 11.12 8.26 Growth Factors 5 Year CAGR 30.00  16.00  25.00  14.00  12.00  20.00  10.00  15.00  8.00  10.00  6.00  5.00  4.00  0.00  2.00  March ' 08 March ' 09 March ' 10 March ' 11 (5.00) 0.00  (10.00) (2.00) Net Sales Total Operating Expenses (4.00) EBDITA EBT Adjusted PAT Page 7
  • 8. Comparative Analysis Income Statement Particulars (Rs. In Cr) March ' 07 March ' 08 March ' 09 March ' 10 March ' 11 Net Sales 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Material Consumed  0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 Manufacturing Expenses  63.71 62.23 67.26 66.38 67.47 Comparative Net Sales Personnel Expenses  4.18 6.01 6.90 6.35 6.18 Selling Expenses  0.18 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.32 Adminstrative Expenses  2.01 1.96 2.03 2.11 4.87 Expenses Capitalised  (1.28) (1.47) (1.52) (1.87) (1.92) Total Operating Expenses 68.87 68.92 74.88 73.18 76.98 Operating Profit 31.13 31.08 25.12 26.82 23.02 Other Income 8.46 7.97 7.88 6.17 4.51 EBDITA 39.59 39.05 33.00 32.99 27.53 Depreciation 6.36 5.77 5.63 5.71 4.52 Other Write offs 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 EBIT 33.20 33.28 27.35 27.26 22.99 Interest 6.30 5.34 4.14 4.01 3.69 March '  March '  March '  March '  March '  EBT 26.90 27.93 23.22 23.25 19.30 07 08 09 10 11 Income Tax 6.63 8.07 6.09 5.78 4.79 Total Operating Expenses Adjusted PAT 20.27 19.86 17.13 17.46 14.52 Other Income Depreciation Non Recurring Items  0.35 0.44 (0.70) 0.03 0.09 Other Write offs Interest Other Non Cash adjustments  0.41 (0.31) 3.11 1.33 2.42 Reported Net Profit  21.04 19.99 19.54 18.82 17.02 Balance Sheet Particulars (Rs. In Cr) March ' 07 March ' 08 March ' 09 March ' 10 March ' 11 SOURCES OF FUNDS  Equity Share Capital  11.18 10.12 8.81 8.12 7.39 Share Application Money  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Comparative Analysis‐Source of  Preference Share Capital  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fund Reserves & Surplus  54.72 56.50 54.24 54.65 53.90 Total Owners fund 65.90 66.62 63.05 62.77 61.29 53.90  Secured Loans  10.14 8.98 9.59 8.94 8.88 Unsecured Loans  23.95 24.40 27.36 28.29 29.83 Total Loan fund 34.10 33.38 36.95 37.23 38.71 29.83  Total  100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 7.39  8.88  USES OF FUNDS  0.00  0.00  Fixed Assets  Gross Block  68.63 65.52 66.64 65.66 65.06 Less : Revaluation Reserve  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Less : Accumulated  Depreciation  34.01 33.48 31.44 31.61 30.04 Net Block  34.62 32.03 35.20 34.06 35.01 Capital Work‐in‐progress  23.00 27.59 28.22 31.81 34.45 Investments  21.83 18.74 14.95 14.59 11.06 Net Current Assets  Current Assets, Loans &  35.07 37.48 33.05 30.35 31.73 Less : Current Liabilities &  Provisions  14.51 15.85 11.42 10.80 12.26 Total Net Current Assets  20.55 21.63 21.63 19.55 19.47 Miscellaneous expenses not  written  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total  100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Page 8
  • 9. Index Analysis Income Statement Particulars March ' 07 March ' 08 March ' 09 March ' 10 March ' 11 Net Sales 100.00 113.67 128.63 142.12 168.36 Operating Expenses Material Consumed  100.00 113.08 130.80 131.22 132.19 Profit Index Manufacturing Expenses  100.00 111.02 135.79 148.08 178.30 Personnel Expenses  100.00 163.61 212.65 216.26 249.18 Selling Expenses  100.00 77.99 99.65 112.82 301.94 Adminstrative Expenses  100.00 110.79 129.74 149.02 407.98 Expenses Capitalised  100.00 130.19 152.34 207.19 251.67 Total Operating Expenses 100.00 113.76 139.87 151.03 188.21 Operating Profit 100.00 113.46 103.77 122.43 124.46 Other Income 100.00 107.12 119.78 103.57 89.74 March '  March '  March '  March '  March '  EBDITA 100.00 112.11 107.19 118.40 117.04 07 08 09 10 11 Depreciation 100.00 103.04 113.93 127.69 119.77 Other Write offs 100.00 31.31 36.36 43.43 45.45 EBIT 100.00 113.92 105.97 116.69 116.59 EBIT EBT Interest 100.00 96.42 84.50 90.57 98.61 Adjusted PAT EBT 100.00 118.01 111.00 122.80 120.79 Reported Net Profit  Net Sales Income Tax 100.00 138.38 118.07 123.99 121.58 Adjusted PAT 100.00 111.35 108.68 122.42 120.54 Non Recurring Items  100.00 141.33 (256.50) 11.51 41.78 Other Non Cash adjustments  100.00 (84.95) 972.58 459.09 991.10 Reported Net Profit  100.00 108.01 119.47 127.15 136.24 Balance Sheet Particulars March ' 07 March ' 08 March ' 09 March ' 10 March ' 11 SOURCES OF FUNDS  Equity Share Capital  100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Share Application Money  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Liability Index Preference Share Capital  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reserves & Surplus  100.00 114.05 125.77 137.49 149.04 Total Owners fund 100.00 111.67 121.40 131.13 140.72 Loan Funds  Secured Loans  100.00 97.80 119.92 121.40 132.50 Unsecured Loans  100.00 112.54 144.94 162.60 188.42 Total Loan fund 100.00 108.15 137.50 150.34 171.78 Total  100.00 110.47 126.89 137.68 151.31 USES OF FUNDS  March '  March '  March '  March '  March '  Fixed Assets  07 08 09 10 11 Gross Block  100.00 105.46 123.22 131.74 143.43 Less : Revaluation Reserve  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Owners fund Total Loan fund Less : Accumulated  100.00 108.75 117.29 127.95 133.65 Net Block  100.00 102.23 129.04 135.46 153.05 Capital Work‐in‐progress  100.00 132.52 155.67 190.37 226.63 Investments  100.00 94.86 86.88 92.00 76.70 Net Current Assets  Current Assets, Loans &  Advances  100.00 118.06 119.59 119.17 136.88 Less : Current Liabilities &  Provisions  100.00 120.62 99.87 102.47 127.78 Total Net Current Assets  100.00 116.25 133.52 130.96 143.31 Miscellaneous expenses not  written  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total  100.00 110.47 126.89 137.68 151.31 Page 9
  • 10. Ratio Analysis Particulars(Yearly) March ' 07 March ' 08 March ' 09 March ' 10 March ' 11 PER SHARE RATIOS  Adjusted E P S (Rs.)  8.02 8.93 8.72 9.82 9.67 Adjusted Cash EPS (Rs.)  10.55 11.53 11.59 13.04 12.69 Reported EPS (Rs.)  8.33 8.99 9.95 10.59 11.04 Reported Cash EPS (Rs.)  10.85 11.59 12.82 13.80 14.06 Dividend Per Share  3.20 3.50 3.60 3.80 3.80 Per Share Ratio Operating Profit Per Share  (Rs.)  12.32 13.98 12.79 15.09 15.34 Book Value (Excl Rev Res) Per  Share (Rs.)  58.94 65.81 71.55 77.28 82.94 Book Value (Incl Rev Res) Per  Share (Rs.)  58.94 65.81 71.55 77.28 82.94 Net Operating Income Per  Share (Rs.)  39.58 44.98 50.91 56.25 66.63 Free Reserves Per Share (Rs.)  47.38 52.34 56.25 62.75 69.08 March '  March '  March '  March '  March '  07 08 09 10 11 PROFITABILITY RATIOS  Operating Margin (%)  31.13 31.07 25.11 26.81 23.01 Gross Profit Margin (%)  24.77 25.31 19.48 21.10 18.49 Net Operating Income Per Share (Rs.)  Net Profit Margin (%)  19.39 18.51 18.11 17.72 15.85 Adjusted E P S (Rs.)  Adjusted Cash Margin (%)  24.58 23.74 21.10 21.83 18.22 Adjusted Cash EPS (Rs.)  Adjusted Return On Net  Dividend Per Share  Worth (%)  13.61 13.57 12.18 12.70 11.66 Book Value (Incl Rev Res) Per Share (Rs.)  Reported Return On Net  Worth (%)  14.12 13.66 13.90 13.69 13.31 Return On long Term Funds  (%)  14.69 15.15 12.27 12.45 11.32 LEVERAGE RATIOS  Profit Margin Long Term Debt / Equity  0.51 0.50 0.58 0.59 0.63 Total Debt/Equity  0.51 0.50 0.58 0.59 0.63 Owners fund as % of total  Source  65.90 66.62 63.05 62.76 61.29 Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio  0.64 0.69 0.67 0.69 0.76 LIQUIDITY RATIOS  Current Ratio  2.42 2.36 2.89 2.81 2.59 Current Ratio (Inc. ST Loans)  2.42 2.36 2.89 2.81 2.59 Quick Ratio  2.18 2.16 2.59 2.50 2.32 Inventory Turnover Ratio  30.50 33.59 28.21 27.54 29.18 March '  March '  March '  March '  March '  PAYOUT RATIOS  07 08 09 10 11 Dividend payout Ratio (Net  Profit)  44.11 45.53 42.31 41.94 40.07 Net Profit Margin (%)  Dividend payout Ratio (Cash  Operating Margin (%)  Profit)  33.83 35.33 32.83 32.16 31.46 Adjusted Return On Net Worth (%)  Earning Retention Ratio  54.23 54.17 51.75 54.80 54.26 Cash Earnings Retention Ratio  65.20 64.49 63.70 65.96 65.14 Return On long Term Funds (%)  COVERAGE RATIOS  Adjusted Cash Flow Time  Total Debt  2.89 2.86 3.62 3.51 4.13 Financial Charges Coverage  Liquidity Ratio Ratio  6.29 7.31 7.97 8.22 7.46 Fin. Charges Cov.Ratio (Post  Tax)  5.35 5.82 7.08 7.11 6.72 COMPONENT RATIOS  Material Cost Component(%  earnings)  0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.05 Selling Cost Component  0.17 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.31 Exports as percent of Total  March '  March '  March '  March '  March '  Sales  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 07 08 09 10 11 Import Comp. in Raw Mat.  Consumed  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Long term assets / Total  Assets  0.69 0.67 0.70 0.72 0.71 Current Ratio  Quick Ratio  Bonus Component In Equity  Capital (%)  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Page 10
  • 11. Ratio Analysis September '  Particulars(Quarterly) June ' 10 10 December ' 10 March ' 11 June ' 11 PER SHARE RATIOS  Quarterly Profit Margin Operating Income Per  Share(Rs.) 16.13 18.33 16.94 19.38 17.61 Operating Profit Per  Share(Rs.) 4.33 6.53 5.47 5.78 4.68 Adjusted EPS(Rs.) 2.23 2.56 2.88 3.37 2.52 PROFITABILITY RATIOS  OPM(%)  25.14 25.61 30.79 26.78 22.16 GPM(%)  22.43 23.00 28.30 24.43 22.99 NPM(%)  13.61 13.71 16.74 17.18 13.68 OPM(%)  GPM(%)  NPM(%)  TTM Analysis Particulars (Rs. In Cr) March ' 11 % of Sales June ' 11 % of Sales Growth(%) Sales  58359.70 100.00 59581.38 100.00 2.09 Less: Excise 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 NA Net Sales 58359.70 100.00 59581.38 100.00 2.09 4.10  Other Income  888.06 1.52 1304.85 2.19 46.93 TTM Growth (%) 3.29  Total Income 59247.76 101.52 60886.23 102.19 2.77 2.57  2.34  Stock Adjustment  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 NA 2.09  Raw Material  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 NA 1.60  Power And Fuel  35373.78 60.61 36421.29 61.13 2.96 Employee Expenses  2789.71 4.78 2796.61 4.69 0.25 Admin And Selling Expenses  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 NA Research And Devlopment Expe 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 NA Expenses Capitalised  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 NA Other Expeses  2847.86 4.88 3140.94 5.27 10.29 Total Expenses 41011.35 70.27 42358.84 71.09 3.29 EBDITA 18236.41 31.25 18527.39 31.10 1.60 Provisions Made  1552.04 2.66 1552.05 2.60 0.00 Depreciation  2485.69 4.26 2444.10 4.10 (1.67) TTM EPS & SPS(%) EBIT 14198.68 24.33 14531.24 24.39 2.34 Interest  2149.08 3.68 1987.68 3.34 (7.51) EBT 12049.60 20.65 12543.56 21.05 4.10 Taxation  2947.01 5.05 3207.08 5.38 8.82 Net Profit / Loss  9102.59 15.60 9336.48 15.67 2.57 Extra Ordinary Item  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 NA Prior Year Adjustments  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 NA TTM EPS 11.04 11.32 0 TTM SPS 70.78 72.26 0 March ' 11 June ' 11 Page 11
  • 12. Technical Analysis Price Chart 250.00 1800000.00 1600000.00 200.00 1400000.00 1200000.00 150.00 1000000.00 800000.00 100.00 600000.00 50.00 400000.00 200000.00 0.00 0.00 26‐May 4‐Aug Volume Close EMA(200) EMA(50) 4.00 2.00 0.00 ‐2.00 ‐4.00 ‐6.00 MACD Signal line 100 80 60 40 20 0 RSI(14) Technical Indicators Price 172.00 AS On: 16/09/2011 EMA(13) 168.57 ADX 16 EMA(26) 172.67 DX 14 EMA(50) 176.02 +DI 27 EMA(200) 188.59 ‐DI 20 RSI(14) 38.90 %K(Fast) 100 MACD ‐4.09 %K(Slow) 48.81 William(%R) 0.00 %d(Slow) 26.56 Page 12