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POPULATION DYNAMICS,
CARRYING CAPACITY, AND
CONSERVATION BIOLOGY
The Walker School
Environmental Science
Population Ecology
    The study of individual


    species in relation to the
    environment.
    The field is concerned


    with conservation and
    focuses on Population and
    Population Viability
    Analysis (PVA)
Population Viability Analysis
    A species-specific method of

    risk assessment.
    Brings together species

    characteristics and
    environmental variability to
    forecast population health and
    extinction risk.
    Begins with the question: “Is this

    species at risk of becoming
    endangered? If so, why?”.
    A research example may

    include: “What are the effects
    of industrial forestry on
    biodiversity.”
WHAT ARE THE MAJOR
CHARACTERISTICS OF A
POPULATION?
Populations
    A group of individuals of a single species that


    simultaneously occupy the same general area.
Populations Under Study
    Diseases (prions, viruses, bacteria)


    Vegetation (crops, orchards, forests)


    Terrestrial Animals (cattle, sheep, pigs, chickens)


    Aquatic Organisms (fish, shrimp)


    Humans

HIV Population in South Africa
Arcview GIS
Characteristics of Populations
    Distribution


    Numbers (size)


    Age Structure


    Density (#/area)





                       Celestichthys
WHAT IS BIOGEOGRAPHY?
Biogeography
    The study of the size and


    distribution of biodiversity
    over space and time. It
    aims to reveal where
    organisms live, and at
    what abundance.




                                   Giant Pandas
Factors Explaining Species Distributions

    Speciation


    Extinction


    Continental drift


    Glaciations


    (associated variations
    in sea level, river
    routes)
    River capture

Speciation & Population Types

  Ranges

  PhysicalStructures
  Food Resources
Paleobiogeography
     goes one step further


    to include
    paleogeographic data
    and considerations of
    plate tectonics.
    Uses molecular


    analyses and fossils to
    determine the change
    in a species over
    millions of years.
                              Hominid Evolution
HOW ARE POPULATIONS
TRACKED?
Mark-Recapture Method
    A method commonly used in ecology to estimate population


    size and population vital rates (i.e., survival, movement, and
    growth)
Lotek Wildlife GPS Monitors
http://www.lotek.com/
The Process
     Researcher visits a study area and uses traps to
1.
     capture a group of individuals alive.
     Captured animals are marked with tags, collars,
2.
     bands, or spots of dye and then is released
     unharmed back into the environment.
     Sufficient time is allowed to pass for the marked
3.
     individuals to redistribute themselves among the
     unmarked population.
     Next, the researcher returns and captures another
4.
     sample of individuals.
Analysis
WHAT FACTORS GOVERN
CHANGES IN POPULATION
SIZE?
Demography
    The study of the vital statistics that affect population


    size.
                                             •Size
                                             •Density
                                             •Age Distribution
                                             •Dispersion
Population Dispersion Patterns




  Clumped          Uniform         Random
 (elephants)   (creosote bush)   (dandelions)
Factors Affecting Distribution

Density Dependant        Density Independent

    Competition for          Floods
                        

    Resources                Hurricanes
                         

    Predation                Unseasonable
                        

                             Weather
    Parasitism


    Infectious Disease       Fire
                        

                             Clear Cutting
                         

                             Pesticide Spraying
                         
Changing and Clumping
    Availability and variation


    of resources
    Provide protection in


    numbers
    Packs have a better


    chance of obtaining food
    Temporary groups for


    mating
Factors that Govern Population Size

     Crude Birth Rate (CBR)
 

     Crude Death Rate (CDR)
 

     Immigration
 

     Emigration
 




Population Change = (births + immigration) – (deaths + emigration)
Population Age Structures
WHAT LIMITS POPULATION
GROWTH?
Resources and Competitors
    Biotic Potential (r)


    Ecosystem Carrying


    Capacity (K)
    Rate of Increase


    Environmental


    Resistance




                      Carrying Capacity
Population Growth Curves:
J-Curve & S-Curve
                                                         © 2004 Brooks/Cole – Thomson Learning

                                   K
 Population size (N)




                                   Population size (N)
                       Time (t)                                 Time (t)



Exponential Growth                Logistic Growth
Population growth strives for dynamic equilibrium:

Logistic Growth of a Sheep
                                          2.0
             Number of sheep (millions)



                                          1.5



                                          1.0



                                           .5




                                                1800   1825   1850   1875   1900   1925
                                                                     Year
Organisms can exceed their carrying capacity:
Exponential Growth and Crash of Reindeer


                                          2,000
                     Number of reindeer

                                          1,500



                                          1,000



                                          500




                                                  1910   1920   1930     1940   1950

                                                                  Year
Reasons for Diebacks
    Catastrophic Loss of Resources


    Introduction of New Predator


    Disease

WHAT KINDS OF POPULATION
CHANGE CURVES DO WE FIND
IN NATURE?
General Types of Population Curves in Nature  © 2004 Brooks/Cole – Thomson Learning



                                                          Irregular
                                 Stable
Number of individuals




                                          Cyclic




                          Irruptive


                                                   Time
Cycles in Hare and Lynx
                                             Populations
                              160

                              140                                                               Hare
Population size (thousands)




                              120

                                                                                                Lynx
                              100

                              80

                              60

                              40

                              20

                               0
                               1845   1855     1865   1875   1885   1895   1905   1915   1925   1935

                                                                    Year
Community Organization –
Trophic Cascade Model

    Postulates that it is mainly predation that controls


    community organization
    Predators control herbivores

Community Organization –
Bottom-Up Model

    Mineral nutrients control community organization


    Nutrients control plant types and numbers


    Plants control predators


    Changes in this community are done by adding or


    removing minerals
Activity: Radio Expeditions
Species Extinctions

    Audio Evidence of Ivory-Billed Woodpecker

        http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=4814860
    

    Audubon Bird Count, Lost Woodpecker Rediscovered

        http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5067655
    

    Slate's Explainer: Determining Species Extinction

        http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5015201
    
Activity: Radio Expeditions
Species Extinctions Questions

    Populations are classified by size, density, age distribution, and dispersion

    type. Briefly explain each of these concepts and describe one
    environmental factor that would limit the population growth of a bird
    species.
    Discuss the difference between an endangered and a threatened species.


    Design a population count experiment to determine if a bird population is

    threatened or endangered. Make sure to discuss how the study area was
    selected and what method will be used to estimate population.
    Discuss one biological intervention, economic incentive and one legislative

    policy to restore an endangered bird population.
    Discuss what technology could be used to periodically monitor the program.

WHAT TYPE OF
REPRODUCTIVE PATTERNS DO
SPECIES HAVE?
Sexual Partners Are Not Always Needed

    Asexual Reproduction


    Sexual Reproduction

Sexual Reproduction Methods
    Semelparity


     Onetime   reproductive event
    Iteroparity


     Repeated    reproduction
General Characteristics of r-Selected Species

                      cockroach                           dandelion


                                     r-Selected Species


                 Many small offspring
                 Little or no parental care and protection of offspring
                 Early reproductive age
                 Most offspring die before reaching reproductive age
                 Small adults
                 Adapted to unstable climate and environmental
                     conditions
                 High population growth rate (r)
                 Population size fluctuates wildly above and below
                     carrying capacity (K)
                 Generalist niche
                 Low ability to compete
                 Early successional species
General Characteristics of k-Selected Species
                                 K-Selected Species




                   elephant                             saguaro


                 Fewer, larger offspring
                 High parental care and protection of offspring
                 Later reproductive age
                 Most offspring survive to reproductive age
                 Larger adults
                 Adapted to stable climate and environmental
                    conditions
                 Lower population growth rate (r)
                 Population size fairly stable and usually close
                    to carrying capacity (K)
                 Specialist niche
                 High ability to compete
                 Late successional species
Carrying Capacity of Species

                                   Carrying capacity
                                                                K

                                                  K species;
                                                  experience
           Number of individuals
                                                  K selection




                                    r species;
                                    experience
                                    r selection

                                    Time
WHAT ROLE DOES GENETICS
PLAY IN THE SIZE OF
POPULATIONS?
Vulnerability of Populations
    Founders Effect

        Results from the migration of a population to a geographically
    
        isolated area.
    Demographic Bottleneck

        Results from a natural catastrophe such as fire or a hurricane.
    

    Genetic Drift

        Results from random changes in the gene frequencies in a population.
    

    Interbreeding

        Results when individuals from a small population breed with each
    
        other.
HOW DO ECOLOGISTS USE
LIFE TABLES AND
SURVIVORSHIP CURVES TO
MONITOR POPULATIONS?
Death Will Come:
Survivorship Curves
    Late Loss


    Early Loss

                    Percentage surviving (log scale)
                                              100


    Constant Loss

                                                       10



                                                       1



                                                       0




                                                            Age
Life Table
Life Expectancy at Birth of Epidemic Malaria Area in Papua New Guinea



    An age-specific summary of the


    survival pattern of a population.
    Life tables are constructed by

    following a cohort from birth to
    death.
    A cohort is a group of individuals


    of the same age.
    The table is constructed from the


    number of individuals that die in
    each age-group during a
    defined time period.
    Life tables are graphically


    displayed in survivorship curves.
Geographical Information Systems
Used to Map Population Data

    Captures, stores, analyzes,


    manages, and presents data
    that refers to or is linked to
    location.
    Geographic information system

    technology can be used for
    scientific investigations for the
    environmental science,
    environmental impact
    assessment, urban planning and
    other purposes.
    Can be used for spacial


    analysis and data modeling.

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Population Ecology

  • 1. POPULATION DYNAMICS, CARRYING CAPACITY, AND CONSERVATION BIOLOGY The Walker School Environmental Science
  • 2. Population Ecology The study of individual  species in relation to the environment. The field is concerned  with conservation and focuses on Population and Population Viability Analysis (PVA)
  • 3. Population Viability Analysis A species-specific method of  risk assessment. Brings together species  characteristics and environmental variability to forecast population health and extinction risk. Begins with the question: “Is this  species at risk of becoming endangered? If so, why?”. A research example may  include: “What are the effects of industrial forestry on biodiversity.”
  • 4. WHAT ARE THE MAJOR CHARACTERISTICS OF A POPULATION?
  • 5. Populations A group of individuals of a single species that  simultaneously occupy the same general area.
  • 6. Populations Under Study Diseases (prions, viruses, bacteria)  Vegetation (crops, orchards, forests)  Terrestrial Animals (cattle, sheep, pigs, chickens)  Aquatic Organisms (fish, shrimp)  Humans 
  • 7. HIV Population in South Africa Arcview GIS
  • 8. Characteristics of Populations Distribution  Numbers (size)  Age Structure  Density (#/area)  Celestichthys
  • 10. Biogeography The study of the size and  distribution of biodiversity over space and time. It aims to reveal where organisms live, and at what abundance. Giant Pandas
  • 11. Factors Explaining Species Distributions Speciation  Extinction  Continental drift  Glaciations  (associated variations in sea level, river routes) River capture 
  • 12. Speciation & Population Types  Ranges  PhysicalStructures  Food Resources
  • 13. Paleobiogeography goes one step further  to include paleogeographic data and considerations of plate tectonics. Uses molecular  analyses and fossils to determine the change in a species over millions of years. Hominid Evolution
  • 15. Mark-Recapture Method A method commonly used in ecology to estimate population  size and population vital rates (i.e., survival, movement, and growth)
  • 16. Lotek Wildlife GPS Monitors http://www.lotek.com/
  • 17. The Process Researcher visits a study area and uses traps to 1. capture a group of individuals alive. Captured animals are marked with tags, collars, 2. bands, or spots of dye and then is released unharmed back into the environment. Sufficient time is allowed to pass for the marked 3. individuals to redistribute themselves among the unmarked population. Next, the researcher returns and captures another 4. sample of individuals.
  • 19. WHAT FACTORS GOVERN CHANGES IN POPULATION SIZE?
  • 20. Demography The study of the vital statistics that affect population  size. •Size •Density •Age Distribution •Dispersion
  • 21. Population Dispersion Patterns Clumped Uniform Random (elephants) (creosote bush) (dandelions)
  • 22. Factors Affecting Distribution Density Dependant Density Independent Competition for Floods   Resources Hurricanes  Predation Unseasonable   Weather Parasitism  Infectious Disease Fire   Clear Cutting  Pesticide Spraying 
  • 23. Changing and Clumping Availability and variation  of resources Provide protection in  numbers Packs have a better  chance of obtaining food Temporary groups for  mating
  • 24. Factors that Govern Population Size Crude Birth Rate (CBR)  Crude Death Rate (CDR)  Immigration  Emigration  Population Change = (births + immigration) – (deaths + emigration)
  • 27. Resources and Competitors Biotic Potential (r)  Ecosystem Carrying  Capacity (K) Rate of Increase  Environmental  Resistance Carrying Capacity
  • 28. Population Growth Curves: J-Curve & S-Curve © 2004 Brooks/Cole – Thomson Learning K Population size (N) Population size (N) Time (t) Time (t) Exponential Growth Logistic Growth
  • 29. Population growth strives for dynamic equilibrium: Logistic Growth of a Sheep 2.0 Number of sheep (millions) 1.5 1.0 .5 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 Year
  • 30. Organisms can exceed their carrying capacity: Exponential Growth and Crash of Reindeer 2,000 Number of reindeer 1,500 1,000 500 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 Year
  • 31. Reasons for Diebacks Catastrophic Loss of Resources  Introduction of New Predator  Disease 
  • 32. WHAT KINDS OF POPULATION CHANGE CURVES DO WE FIND IN NATURE?
  • 33. General Types of Population Curves in Nature © 2004 Brooks/Cole – Thomson Learning Irregular Stable Number of individuals Cyclic Irruptive Time
  • 34. Cycles in Hare and Lynx Populations 160 140 Hare Population size (thousands) 120 Lynx 100 80 60 40 20 0 1845 1855 1865 1875 1885 1895 1905 1915 1925 1935 Year
  • 35. Community Organization – Trophic Cascade Model Postulates that it is mainly predation that controls  community organization Predators control herbivores 
  • 36. Community Organization – Bottom-Up Model Mineral nutrients control community organization  Nutrients control plant types and numbers  Plants control predators  Changes in this community are done by adding or  removing minerals
  • 37. Activity: Radio Expeditions Species Extinctions Audio Evidence of Ivory-Billed Woodpecker  http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=4814860  Audubon Bird Count, Lost Woodpecker Rediscovered  http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5067655  Slate's Explainer: Determining Species Extinction  http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5015201 
  • 38. Activity: Radio Expeditions Species Extinctions Questions Populations are classified by size, density, age distribution, and dispersion  type. Briefly explain each of these concepts and describe one environmental factor that would limit the population growth of a bird species. Discuss the difference between an endangered and a threatened species.  Design a population count experiment to determine if a bird population is  threatened or endangered. Make sure to discuss how the study area was selected and what method will be used to estimate population. Discuss one biological intervention, economic incentive and one legislative  policy to restore an endangered bird population. Discuss what technology could be used to periodically monitor the program. 
  • 39. WHAT TYPE OF REPRODUCTIVE PATTERNS DO SPECIES HAVE?
  • 40. Sexual Partners Are Not Always Needed Asexual Reproduction  Sexual Reproduction 
  • 41. Sexual Reproduction Methods Semelparity   Onetime reproductive event Iteroparity   Repeated reproduction
  • 42. General Characteristics of r-Selected Species cockroach dandelion r-Selected Species Many small offspring Little or no parental care and protection of offspring Early reproductive age Most offspring die before reaching reproductive age Small adults Adapted to unstable climate and environmental conditions High population growth rate (r) Population size fluctuates wildly above and below carrying capacity (K) Generalist niche Low ability to compete Early successional species
  • 43. General Characteristics of k-Selected Species K-Selected Species elephant saguaro Fewer, larger offspring High parental care and protection of offspring Later reproductive age Most offspring survive to reproductive age Larger adults Adapted to stable climate and environmental conditions Lower population growth rate (r) Population size fairly stable and usually close to carrying capacity (K) Specialist niche High ability to compete Late successional species
  • 44. Carrying Capacity of Species Carrying capacity K K species; experience Number of individuals K selection r species; experience r selection Time
  • 45. WHAT ROLE DOES GENETICS PLAY IN THE SIZE OF POPULATIONS?
  • 46. Vulnerability of Populations Founders Effect  Results from the migration of a population to a geographically  isolated area. Demographic Bottleneck  Results from a natural catastrophe such as fire or a hurricane.  Genetic Drift  Results from random changes in the gene frequencies in a population.  Interbreeding  Results when individuals from a small population breed with each  other.
  • 47. HOW DO ECOLOGISTS USE LIFE TABLES AND SURVIVORSHIP CURVES TO MONITOR POPULATIONS?
  • 48. Death Will Come: Survivorship Curves Late Loss  Early Loss Percentage surviving (log scale) 100  Constant Loss  10 1 0 Age
  • 49. Life Table Life Expectancy at Birth of Epidemic Malaria Area in Papua New Guinea An age-specific summary of the  survival pattern of a population. Life tables are constructed by  following a cohort from birth to death. A cohort is a group of individuals  of the same age. The table is constructed from the  number of individuals that die in each age-group during a defined time period. Life tables are graphically  displayed in survivorship curves.
  • 50. Geographical Information Systems Used to Map Population Data Captures, stores, analyzes,  manages, and presents data that refers to or is linked to location. Geographic information system  technology can be used for scientific investigations for the environmental science, environmental impact assessment, urban planning and other purposes. Can be used for spacial  analysis and data modeling.