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FOREIGN TRADE . EXPORTS . IMPORTS
www.thedollarbusiness.com Vol.2 Issue 06 June 2015 100 $5
Groundnut
Time to not hold ground
Though these exports don’t earn
peanuts, they could do much better
India’s Private Ports
The real flagbearers
Shouldering on the responsibility
despite heavy odds
Agricultural Spray Pumps
S‘praying’ for profits?
Farmer issues back on the front
page means incredible profits
WHILE SOME OPPOSE IT
DUE TO COLONIAL
HANGOVERS, SOME DUE
TO LOVE FOR SOCIALISM,
OTHERS FIND SIMPLE
PARANOIA A REASON
ENOUGH
FDI
MANI SHANKAR AIYAR
Member, Rajya Sabha
(Indian National Congress)
MEDHA PATKAR
Social Activist & National
Convenor, NAPM
SUKANYA DUTTA ROY
Managing Director (CGB),
Swarovski India
SHAIDA MOHAMMAD ABDALI
Ambassador of Afghanistan
to India
MICHAEL GESTRIN &
ISABELLE JOUMARD
Senior Economists, OECD
AJIT BANERJEE
Chief Investment Officer,
Bharti AXA General Insurance
VIPUL SHAH
Chairman,
Gems & Jewellery EPC
CHRIS DEVONSHIRE-ELLIS
Chairman, Dezan Shira &
Associates Asia
DR. ANAND DESHPANDE
Founder, Chairman & MD,
Persistent Systems
EXCLUSIVE INSIDE
28 THE DOLLAR BUSINESS II JUNE 2015
COVER STORY FDI
JUNE 2015 II THE DOLLAR BUSINESS 29
BY SISIR PRADHAN
For reasons ranging from colonial hangover to an affinity towards socialism, India
has always been suspicious of foreign investment. While there has been a change
in mindset post liberalisation in 1991, doubts continue to stay put. And, for obvious
reasons, these doubts are more about Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) than Foreign
Portfolio Investment. While some feel all foreign investors want is exploit India’s
resources, others claim foreign investment kills the entrepreneurial spirit among
Indians. Successive governments have only strengthened such public opinion by
dishing out step-motherly treatment to FDI. But aren’t such views myopic? Could
India have attained what it has with zero FDI? On the other end of the spectrum,
is FDI an answer to all of India’s economic woes? Presenting to you a detailed
The Dollar Business analysis
FDI
IS IT A
Panacea?
30 THE DOLLAR BUSINESS II JUNE 2015
COVER STORY FDI
T
ill the late 1990s, Kedar-
nath Mantry, a betel leaf
trader of Jagatsinghpur
district in the eastern
Indian state of Odisha
(erstwhile Orissa), used
to make a handsome living. His busi-
ness involved buying betel leaves from
local farmers, cutting them into different
sizes, packing them in bamboo baskets,
and sending them off to his clients in
Mumbai by train. Speaking to The Dol-
lar Business, Mantry recalls, “Betel leaves
are perishable goods. On their way to
Mumbai, they used to go through many
hands, but the entire delivery mecha-
nism was so meticulous and coordinated
that I never had to travel to Mumbai my-
self, neither to ensure timely delivery nor
receive payment.”
But with the turn of the millennium,
Mantry’s fortunes started nose-diving.
Not that Mumbaikars had suddenly
stopped chewing paan, but because Bei-
jing had won the bid to host the Sum-
mer Olympics in 2008 and the US had
just bombed Afghanistan into the Stone
Age. What’s the connection? Well, both
Olympics-related construction activities
in Beijing and re-construction activities
TDB: Which OECD members have you found to be the most
FDI friendly? Which of the members discriminate between
domestic and foreign investment?
Michael Gestrin (MG): Investment regimes across the OECD
have largely harmonised and converged over the decades as dif-
ferences in views among governments over what constitutes ‘good
investment policy’ have narrowed. This process has arguably ad-
vanced even further between OECD and non-OECD countries
as many non-OECD countries have become important sources
(homecountries)forFDI.Apartfromissuesrelatedtonationalse-
curity and a handful of sectoral exceptions (e.g. agriculture), most
governments do not discriminate on the basis of nationality.
TDB: How would you respond to critics who say FDI leads to
monopolies and inhibits entrepreneurship?
MG: Itistruethatinsomecircumstances,suchastheprivatisation
of utilities, the arrival of foreign companies in developing coun-
tries has given rise to problems with safeguarding competition.
When enterprises enjoy monopolistic market power, at least with-
in segments of the local economy, prices rise, quality does not im-
prove, access is not increased and entrepreneurship is stifled. The
solution, however, is not to curtail FDI. On the contrary, first-best
strategy (particularly, in the context of state divestiture) is argu-
ably to link privatisation, with an opening of markets to greater
competition. In any case, there is a need for strong, independent
domestic regulatory oversight.
TDB: What do you think are the main reasons for a high
growth economy like India not attracting as much FDI as
one would have expected?
Isabelle Joumard (IJ): FDI regulations in India have long
been relatively stringent, particularly in services sectors. Also
reducing India’s attractiveness for FDI are a number of structur-
al bottlenecks, which have weighed on the manufacturing sec-
tor, including poor infrastructure, stringent labour regulations,
uncertainties surrounding land acquisition and complex tax
regulations. In fact, the OECD Economic Survey of India 2014
has a full chapter named "Challenges and Opportunities of the
Manufacturing Sector."
TDB: How big a concern is the protection of intellectual
property as far as FDI in India is concerned?
MG: Despite improvements, India affords less protection to IPR
than other emerging economies. This limits inward FDI and
“THE COMPLEXITY
OF THE INDIAN TAX
SYSTEM HAS
DISCOURAGED BOTH
DOMESTIC & FOREIGN
INVESTMENT”
Due to
difficulties
in land
acquisition,
foreign
investors
have pulled
out of
two mega
steel plant
projects in
India
JUNE 2015 II THE DOLLAR BUSINESS 31
discourages domestic firms from expanding into formal R&D
– although India is also deservingly well-known for its jugaad
(frugal) innovation. In pharma, in particular, Indian companies
showlowR&Dintensityandnewdrugdiscovery;onthecontrary,
flows of pharmaceutical FDI to India has been highly responsive
to IPR improvements and enforcement in the country.
TDB: What does OECD think of India’s tax policy vis-à-vis
FDI? Do you think the regular tax related flip-flops have
been a major roadblock in India attracting more FDI?
IJ: The complexity of the Indian tax system and frequent changes
in tax laws have discouraged both domestic and foreign invest-
ment in the country. Costs and time needed to comply with the
taxsystemarerelativelyhighinIndia.Predictabilityandefficiency
in the resolution of tax disputes are key features of a tax environ-
ment conducive to attracting and keeping FDI.
TDB: Your own data claims that OECD members have at-
tracted over 80% of the total FDI in the world, with even
non-OECD G20 members accounting for less than 10% of it.
What do you think should non-OECD members like India
learn from OECD members in order to attract more FDI?
MG: Historically, OECD countries attracted the lion’s share of
FDI. In more recent years, however, the situation has changed
dramatically. Since 2012, emerging economies have account-
ed for over 50% of global FDI inflows. The general lessons from
OECD countries on attracting FDI relate to the importance of
principles of predictability, openness, transparency and rule of
law. In addition, more recent thinking has emphasised the im-
portance of understanding specific challenges and opportunities
for investors in individual economies that are at different levels
of development. For one country, government investment in in-
frastructure might be the most important factor in encouraging
more FDI, whereas for another country, ensuring broader access
to primary education might be the key to unlocking fu-
ture FDI inflows. A successful FDI promotion strate-
gy combines the basics (e.g. sound legal and regulatory
frameworks) with policies that are targeted at areas where weak-
nesses don’t allow for fully leveraging a country’s comparative ad-
vantages for attracting foreign investment.
TDB: Why do you think there has not been a big surge in
FDI in the last five-six years, despite almost the entire de-
veloped world being flushed with liquidity because of ul-
tra-loose monetary policies?
MG: FDIflowsinthepastfive-sixyearshavebeenveryuneven.At
the global level, we remain around 40% below the peaks reached
in 2007. However, two things need to be kept in mind. First, 2007
was not a normal year. This FDI peak was fuelled by a financial
bubble,whichthencollapsed.Second,intheaftermathofthe2008
financial crisis, Europe was the main region unable to recover
from the collapse in global FDI flows. When one looks at the rest
of the world outside of Europe, FDI recovered quite quickly and
for some countries, especially a number of emerging economies,
the post crisis period saw very significant increase in FDI inflows.
TDB: Foreigners have preferred portfolio investment over
FDI as far as investing in India is concerned. What do you
think are the reasons for this?
IJ: Net FDI to India were particularly low between 2008 and
2013. More recently, however,
they have increased as a share
of GDP and are almost at par
with portfolio investment. This
partly reflects recent FDI dereg-
ulation measures and improve-
ment in the ease of doing busi-
ness in the country.
TDB: Why has the manufac-
turing sector attracted more
FDI than the services sector
in India, despite the latter
doing much better than the
former?
IJ: The OECD FDI Regulatory
Restrictiveness Index reveals
that in India, restrictions on ser-
vices were more stringent than
on the manufacturing sector in
2013.
Isabelle Joumard
Senior Economist, OECD
Michael Gestrin
Senior Economist, OECD
The Dollar Business June 2015 Issue

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The Dollar Business June 2015 Issue

  • 1. FOREIGN TRADE . EXPORTS . IMPORTS www.thedollarbusiness.com Vol.2 Issue 06 June 2015 100 $5 Groundnut Time to not hold ground Though these exports don’t earn peanuts, they could do much better India’s Private Ports The real flagbearers Shouldering on the responsibility despite heavy odds Agricultural Spray Pumps S‘praying’ for profits? Farmer issues back on the front page means incredible profits WHILE SOME OPPOSE IT DUE TO COLONIAL HANGOVERS, SOME DUE TO LOVE FOR SOCIALISM, OTHERS FIND SIMPLE PARANOIA A REASON ENOUGH FDI MANI SHANKAR AIYAR Member, Rajya Sabha (Indian National Congress) MEDHA PATKAR Social Activist & National Convenor, NAPM SUKANYA DUTTA ROY Managing Director (CGB), Swarovski India SHAIDA MOHAMMAD ABDALI Ambassador of Afghanistan to India MICHAEL GESTRIN & ISABELLE JOUMARD Senior Economists, OECD AJIT BANERJEE Chief Investment Officer, Bharti AXA General Insurance VIPUL SHAH Chairman, Gems & Jewellery EPC CHRIS DEVONSHIRE-ELLIS Chairman, Dezan Shira & Associates Asia DR. ANAND DESHPANDE Founder, Chairman & MD, Persistent Systems EXCLUSIVE INSIDE
  • 2. 28 THE DOLLAR BUSINESS II JUNE 2015 COVER STORY FDI
  • 3. JUNE 2015 II THE DOLLAR BUSINESS 29 BY SISIR PRADHAN For reasons ranging from colonial hangover to an affinity towards socialism, India has always been suspicious of foreign investment. While there has been a change in mindset post liberalisation in 1991, doubts continue to stay put. And, for obvious reasons, these doubts are more about Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) than Foreign Portfolio Investment. While some feel all foreign investors want is exploit India’s resources, others claim foreign investment kills the entrepreneurial spirit among Indians. Successive governments have only strengthened such public opinion by dishing out step-motherly treatment to FDI. But aren’t such views myopic? Could India have attained what it has with zero FDI? On the other end of the spectrum, is FDI an answer to all of India’s economic woes? Presenting to you a detailed The Dollar Business analysis FDI IS IT A Panacea?
  • 4. 30 THE DOLLAR BUSINESS II JUNE 2015 COVER STORY FDI T ill the late 1990s, Kedar- nath Mantry, a betel leaf trader of Jagatsinghpur district in the eastern Indian state of Odisha (erstwhile Orissa), used to make a handsome living. His busi- ness involved buying betel leaves from local farmers, cutting them into different sizes, packing them in bamboo baskets, and sending them off to his clients in Mumbai by train. Speaking to The Dol- lar Business, Mantry recalls, “Betel leaves are perishable goods. On their way to Mumbai, they used to go through many hands, but the entire delivery mecha- nism was so meticulous and coordinated that I never had to travel to Mumbai my- self, neither to ensure timely delivery nor receive payment.” But with the turn of the millennium, Mantry’s fortunes started nose-diving. Not that Mumbaikars had suddenly stopped chewing paan, but because Bei- jing had won the bid to host the Sum- mer Olympics in 2008 and the US had just bombed Afghanistan into the Stone Age. What’s the connection? Well, both Olympics-related construction activities in Beijing and re-construction activities TDB: Which OECD members have you found to be the most FDI friendly? Which of the members discriminate between domestic and foreign investment? Michael Gestrin (MG): Investment regimes across the OECD have largely harmonised and converged over the decades as dif- ferences in views among governments over what constitutes ‘good investment policy’ have narrowed. This process has arguably ad- vanced even further between OECD and non-OECD countries as many non-OECD countries have become important sources (homecountries)forFDI.Apartfromissuesrelatedtonationalse- curity and a handful of sectoral exceptions (e.g. agriculture), most governments do not discriminate on the basis of nationality. TDB: How would you respond to critics who say FDI leads to monopolies and inhibits entrepreneurship? MG: Itistruethatinsomecircumstances,suchastheprivatisation of utilities, the arrival of foreign companies in developing coun- tries has given rise to problems with safeguarding competition. When enterprises enjoy monopolistic market power, at least with- in segments of the local economy, prices rise, quality does not im- prove, access is not increased and entrepreneurship is stifled. The solution, however, is not to curtail FDI. On the contrary, first-best strategy (particularly, in the context of state divestiture) is argu- ably to link privatisation, with an opening of markets to greater competition. In any case, there is a need for strong, independent domestic regulatory oversight. TDB: What do you think are the main reasons for a high growth economy like India not attracting as much FDI as one would have expected? Isabelle Joumard (IJ): FDI regulations in India have long been relatively stringent, particularly in services sectors. Also reducing India’s attractiveness for FDI are a number of structur- al bottlenecks, which have weighed on the manufacturing sec- tor, including poor infrastructure, stringent labour regulations, uncertainties surrounding land acquisition and complex tax regulations. In fact, the OECD Economic Survey of India 2014 has a full chapter named "Challenges and Opportunities of the Manufacturing Sector." TDB: How big a concern is the protection of intellectual property as far as FDI in India is concerned? MG: Despite improvements, India affords less protection to IPR than other emerging economies. This limits inward FDI and “THE COMPLEXITY OF THE INDIAN TAX SYSTEM HAS DISCOURAGED BOTH DOMESTIC & FOREIGN INVESTMENT” Due to difficulties in land acquisition, foreign investors have pulled out of two mega steel plant projects in India
  • 5. JUNE 2015 II THE DOLLAR BUSINESS 31 discourages domestic firms from expanding into formal R&D – although India is also deservingly well-known for its jugaad (frugal) innovation. In pharma, in particular, Indian companies showlowR&Dintensityandnewdrugdiscovery;onthecontrary, flows of pharmaceutical FDI to India has been highly responsive to IPR improvements and enforcement in the country. TDB: What does OECD think of India’s tax policy vis-à-vis FDI? Do you think the regular tax related flip-flops have been a major roadblock in India attracting more FDI? IJ: The complexity of the Indian tax system and frequent changes in tax laws have discouraged both domestic and foreign invest- ment in the country. Costs and time needed to comply with the taxsystemarerelativelyhighinIndia.Predictabilityandefficiency in the resolution of tax disputes are key features of a tax environ- ment conducive to attracting and keeping FDI. TDB: Your own data claims that OECD members have at- tracted over 80% of the total FDI in the world, with even non-OECD G20 members accounting for less than 10% of it. What do you think should non-OECD members like India learn from OECD members in order to attract more FDI? MG: Historically, OECD countries attracted the lion’s share of FDI. In more recent years, however, the situation has changed dramatically. Since 2012, emerging economies have account- ed for over 50% of global FDI inflows. The general lessons from OECD countries on attracting FDI relate to the importance of principles of predictability, openness, transparency and rule of law. In addition, more recent thinking has emphasised the im- portance of understanding specific challenges and opportunities for investors in individual economies that are at different levels of development. For one country, government investment in in- frastructure might be the most important factor in encouraging more FDI, whereas for another country, ensuring broader access to primary education might be the key to unlocking fu- ture FDI inflows. A successful FDI promotion strate- gy combines the basics (e.g. sound legal and regulatory frameworks) with policies that are targeted at areas where weak- nesses don’t allow for fully leveraging a country’s comparative ad- vantages for attracting foreign investment. TDB: Why do you think there has not been a big surge in FDI in the last five-six years, despite almost the entire de- veloped world being flushed with liquidity because of ul- tra-loose monetary policies? MG: FDIflowsinthepastfive-sixyearshavebeenveryuneven.At the global level, we remain around 40% below the peaks reached in 2007. However, two things need to be kept in mind. First, 2007 was not a normal year. This FDI peak was fuelled by a financial bubble,whichthencollapsed.Second,intheaftermathofthe2008 financial crisis, Europe was the main region unable to recover from the collapse in global FDI flows. When one looks at the rest of the world outside of Europe, FDI recovered quite quickly and for some countries, especially a number of emerging economies, the post crisis period saw very significant increase in FDI inflows. TDB: Foreigners have preferred portfolio investment over FDI as far as investing in India is concerned. What do you think are the reasons for this? IJ: Net FDI to India were particularly low between 2008 and 2013. More recently, however, they have increased as a share of GDP and are almost at par with portfolio investment. This partly reflects recent FDI dereg- ulation measures and improve- ment in the ease of doing busi- ness in the country. TDB: Why has the manufac- turing sector attracted more FDI than the services sector in India, despite the latter doing much better than the former? IJ: The OECD FDI Regulatory Restrictiveness Index reveals that in India, restrictions on ser- vices were more stringent than on the manufacturing sector in 2013. Isabelle Joumard Senior Economist, OECD Michael Gestrin Senior Economist, OECD