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Global Talent Market Quarterly
THIRD QUARTER l 2013
Global Talent Market Quarterly
CONTENTS
3	 Global Economic Situation
	 	 • Briefing	    
	 	 • Outlook
6	 Global Labor Market Update
	 	 • Americas	    
	 	 • EMEA	    
	 	 • APAC
	 	 • Global Labor Market Spotlight
	 	 • Legislative Update
12	 U.S. Labor Market Overview	
	 	 • Current Employment Conditions	    
	 	 • Supply and Demand	    
	 	 • Labor Market Spotlight
16	 Workforce Solutions Industry Insight
	 	 • Independent and International Contractors
	 	 • How effective are your talent management strategies?
	 	 • 2013 KGWI – Performance Based Pay
	 	 • Kelly Knowledge
Global Economic Situation
THIRD QUARTER l 2013
GLOBAL	
  ECONOMIC	
  BRIEFING	
  
	
  
Global	
  economic	
  growth	
  remains	
  sluggish	
  in	
  2013,	
  constrained	
  by	
  ongoing	
  poli?cal	
  and	
  fiscal	
  issues	
  in	
  key	
  areas	
  including	
  the	
  U.S.,	
  
Eurozone,	
  and	
  China.	
  A	
  soV	
  recovery	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  take	
  hold	
  in	
  the	
  coming	
  months,	
  with	
  global	
  growth	
  set	
  to	
  accelerate	
  in	
  2014.	
  
Source:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  (July	
  2013)	
  4	
  
AMERICAS	
  
Subdued	
  but	
  accelera:ng	
  growth	
  is	
  forecast	
  for	
  the	
  region	
  
through	
  2015.	
  Brazil,	
  Mexico,	
  and	
  other	
  La:n	
  American	
  
markets	
  are	
  expected	
  to	
  drive	
  regional	
  growth,	
  while	
  the	
  
U.S.	
  and	
  Canada	
  will	
  see	
  more	
  moderate	
  expansion.	
  	
  
EMEA	
  	
  
Significant	
  challenges	
  to	
  growth	
  persist	
  in	
  the	
  region,	
  with	
  
many	
  Eurozone	
  markets	
  ba]ling	
  recessionary	
  condi:ons,	
  
and	
  poli:cal	
  and	
  social	
  turmoil	
  con:nuing	
  in	
  the	
  Middle	
  
East.	
  Growth	
  outlooks	
  for	
  some	
  of	
  the	
  mature	
  economies,	
  
including	
  Germany	
  and	
  the	
  U.K.,	
  are	
  more	
  favorable.	
  
APAC	
  
The	
  APAC	
  region	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  con:nue	
  to	
  lead	
  global	
  
growth,	
  driven	
  by	
  strong	
  domes:c	
  demand	
  in	
  Southeast	
  
Asia.	
  China’s	
  economy	
  has	
  shown	
  signs	
  of	
  weakness	
  in	
  
2013,	
  but	
  growth	
  will	
  s:ll	
  be	
  high	
  by	
  global	
  standards.	
  
Moderate	
  growth	
  rates	
  are	
  projected	
  for	
  the	
  developed	
  
APAC	
  economies	
  (Australia/NZ,	
  Japan).	
  
2.5%	
  
2.5%	
  
3.5%	
  
4.0%	
  
4.7%	
   4.7%	
  
5.4%	
  
5.8%	
  
-­‐0.5%	
   -­‐0.7%	
  
0.6%	
  
1.3%	
  
2.7%	
  
3.0%	
  
3.8%	
  
4.2%	
  
2.2%	
  
1.6%	
  
2.7%	
  
3.5%	
  
-­‐2%	
  
-­‐1%	
  
0%	
  
1%	
  
2%	
  
3%	
  
4%	
  
5%	
  
6%	
  
7%	
  
2012	
  (e)	
   2013	
  (p)	
   2014	
  (p)	
   2015	
  (p)	
  
REAL	
  GDP	
  GROWTH	
  BY	
  REGION,	
  2012-­‐2015	
  (p)	
  
World	
  	
   APAC	
   Eurozone	
   La?n	
  America	
  	
   U.S.	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
Key emerging markets, while still leading global economic growth, have shown some softness in recent months. Meanwhile, the outlook
in many of the large developed economies is brighter; these mature countries are expected to support global expansion in the short term.
-2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%
Italy
France
Germany
U.K.
U.S.
Canada
Japan
Australia
Brazil
Russia
India
China
REAL GDP GROWTH RATES, SELECTED MARKETS
Ranked by 2013(p) growth
2013(p)
2014(p)
2015(p)
5
Global GDP Growth
2013(p): 2.5%
Sources: IHS Global Insight (July 2013); Reuters, 06.18.13
EMERGING MARKETS
 CHINA’s economy is facing challenges from falling exports and the need for structural
reforms. Growth is forecast at 7.5% in 2013—disappointing by China’s standards but
still among the highest in the world—with strengthening seen through 2015.
 Economic growth in INDIA is rebounding after a sharp deceleration in 2012. Boosting
investment, continuing structural reforms, and favorable monetary policy are critical
components of India’s return to historical growth rates.
 RUSSIA’s economic engine is slowing in 2013, amid weaker demand and lower prices
for exports, particularly natural resources. Acceleration is expected in 2014.
 In BRAZIL, the global economic climate continues to constrain exports and high
inflation is undermining consumer purchasing power, limiting GDP growth. Increased
investment and infrastructure spending are expected to help drive the economy.
DEVELOPED ECONOMIES
 AUSTRALIA’s growth prospects for 2013 have been subdued by the domestic mining
sector slowdown, weakness in China and ongoing European troubles. Economic
activity is expected to gradually accelerate over the next two years.
 Aggressive monetary stimulus and strong consumer spending has lifted JAPAN’s
economic momentum in 2013. Future growth will be limited by the ongoing
structural shift from manufacturing to services, as well as demographic challenges.
 Economic growth in North America is expected to be moderate but improving in the
short term, with domestic headwinds limiting growth in both the U.S. and CANADA.
 Weak but accelerating growth is forecast for the U.K. and GERMANY, and the
Eurozone economy has begun to stabilize. Still, recessionary conditions have
expanded to some northern markets including the NETHERLANDS, BELGIUM, and
FINLAND, and contractions in the southern periphery will extend through mid-2014.
Global Talent Market Quarterly
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Global Labor Market Update
THIRD QUARTER l 2013
GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  AMERICAS	
  
	
  
Although	
  some	
  headwinds	
  remain	
  in	
  2013,	
  the	
  outlook	
  is	
  largely	
  posi?ve	
  for	
  labor	
  markets	
  in	
  the	
  Americas,	
  as	
  an	
  improving	
  economic	
  
forecast	
  supports	
  con?nued	
  hiring	
  ac?vity.	
  Unemployment	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  con?nue	
  to	
  fall	
  in	
  most	
  key	
  markets.	
  	
  	
  
Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  (July	
  2013);	
  	
  Reuters,	
  06.21.13;	
  Toronto	
  Star,	
  07.06.13	
  
7	
  
UNITED	
  STATES	
  
Job	
  crea:on	
  was	
  rela:vely	
  strong	
  in	
  the	
  first	
  half	
  of	
  2013,	
  and	
  the	
  
unemployment	
  rate	
  has	
  held	
  steady	
  despite	
  an	
  increased	
  labor	
  force.	
  The	
  
labor	
  market	
  outlook	
  for	
  the	
  rest	
  of	
  2013	
  is	
  posi:ve,	
  but	
  the	
  extent	
  of	
  
improvement	
  remains	
  highly	
  dependent	
  upon	
  macroeconomic	
  trends.	
  
BRAZIL	
  
Slower	
  economic	
  growth	
  has	
  diminished	
  the	
  pace	
  of	
  hiring	
  in	
  Brazil,	
  but	
  the	
  
unemployment	
  rate	
  s:ll	
  remains	
  at	
  or	
  near	
  record	
  lows	
  as	
  businesses	
  
con:nue	
  to	
  retain	
  workers	
  in	
  an:cipa:on	
  of	
  an	
  economic	
  rebound.	
  
CANADA	
  
	
  Hiring	
  has	
  been	
  fairly	
  sluggish	
  in	
  2013	
  as	
  s:mulus	
  efforts	
  come	
  to	
  an	
  end	
  
and	
  the	
  housing	
  market	
  has	
  slowed.	
  Employment	
  growth	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  stay	
  
muted	
  through	
  the	
  end	
  of	
  the	
  year	
  before	
  accelera:ng	
  in	
  the	
  near	
  term.	
  
MEXICO	
  
Moderate	
  economic	
  growth	
  and	
  labor	
  market	
  reforms	
  that	
  allow	
  for	
  more	
  
hiring	
  and	
  firing	
  flexibility	
  will	
  con:nue	
  to	
  generate	
  demand	
  for	
  new	
  
workers.	
  As	
  a	
  result,	
  formal	
  employment	
  growth	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  accelerate.	
  
8.1%	
  
7.6%	
  
7.2%	
  
6.6%	
  
5.5%	
   5.6%	
   5.5%	
   5.4%	
  
7.3%	
  
7.1%	
   7.0%	
   6.6%	
  
5.0%	
   5.0%	
  
4.4%	
   4.3%	
  
3%	
  
4%	
  
5%	
  
6%	
  
7%	
  
8%	
  
9%	
  
2012	
   2013	
  (e)	
   2014	
  (p)	
   2015	
  (p)	
  
AVERAGE	
  ANNUAL	
  UNEMPLOYMENT	
  RATE	
  
U.S.	
   Brazil	
   Canada	
   Mexico	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly
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GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  EMEA	
  
	
  
The	
  employment	
  situa?on	
  	
  in	
  many	
  EMEA	
  countries	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  remain	
  challenging	
  in	
  the	
  short-­‐	
  to	
  medium-­‐term,	
  par?cularly	
  in	
  the	
  
Eurozone	
  as	
  it	
  struggles	
  to	
  climb	
  out	
  of	
  recession.	
  	
  Labor	
  market	
  bright	
  spots	
  include	
  the	
  U.K.	
  and	
  Germany.	
  
Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  (July	
  2013);	
  Reuters,	
  06.12.13,	
  06.26.13	
  	
  
8	
  
GERMANY	
  
The	
  German	
  labor	
  market	
  con:nues	
  to	
  outperform	
  most	
  others	
  in	
  the	
  
region,	
  and	
  renewed	
  economic	
  growth	
  should	
  drive	
  down	
  unemployment	
  
even	
  further	
  during	
  the	
  remainder	
  of	
  2013	
  and	
  beyond.	
  
FRANCE	
  
Unemployment	
  remains	
  at	
  a	
  record	
  high	
  level	
  in	
  France,	
  with	
  further	
  
deteriora:on	
  predicted	
  through	
  2014,	
  as	
  ongoing	
  weak	
  business	
  and	
  
consumer	
  ac:vity	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  weigh	
  on	
  employment	
  crea:on.	
  
UNITED	
  KINGDOM	
  
A	
  more	
  favorable	
  economic	
  outlook	
  is	
  boos:ng	
  the	
  forecast	
  for	
  the	
  U.K.	
  
labor	
  market.	
  Private	
  sector	
  job	
  growth	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  be	
  slow	
  but	
  steadily	
  
increasing,	
  nudging	
  the	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  down	
  in	
  the	
  coming	
  years.	
  	
  
RUSSIA	
  
The	
  gradual	
  pace	
  of	
  declining	
  unemployment	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  persist	
  in	
  the	
  
coming	
  years,	
  as	
  the	
  private	
  sector	
  will	
  create	
  jobs	
  but	
  demographic	
  issues	
  
and	
  public	
  sector	
  :ghtening	
  are	
  expected	
  to	
  limit	
  employment	
  growth.	
  
6.8%	
   6.8%	
   6.6%	
  
6.3%	
  
10.2%	
  
10.9%	
   11.2%	
   11.1%	
  
7.9%	
   7.8%	
   7.6%	
  
7.3%	
  
5.5%	
   5.4%	
   5.2%	
   5.0%	
  
3%	
  
4%	
  
5%	
  
6%	
  
7%	
  
8%	
  
9%	
  
10%	
  
11%	
  
12%	
  
2012	
   2013	
  (e)	
   2014	
  (p)	
   2015	
  (p)	
  
AVERAGE	
  ANNUAL	
  UNEMPLOYMENT	
  RATE	
  
Germany	
   France	
   U.K.	
   Russia	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly
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GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  APAC	
  
	
  
Employment	
  prospects	
  vary	
  across	
  APAC	
  countries,	
  as	
  labor	
  markets	
  con?nue	
  to	
  adjust	
  to	
  the	
  challenging	
  global	
  economic	
  climate	
  and	
  
slowdowns	
  in	
  key	
  markets	
  including	
  China,	
  India,	
  and	
  Australia.	
  	
  	
  
Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  (July	
  2013)	
  ;	
  Xinhua	
  Economic	
  News	
  Service,	
  07.16.13;	
  Times	
  of	
  India,	
  06.11.13;	
  India	
  Infoline,	
  06.21.13;	
  Nikkei	
  Weekly,	
  07.01.13;	
  Market	
  News	
  Interna:onal,	
  06.28.13	
  
9	
  
CHINA	
  
China’s	
  labor	
  market	
  remained	
  rela:vely	
  stable	
  in	
  the	
  first	
  half	
  of	
  2013	
  
despite	
  a	
  slowdown	
  in	
  the	
  economy.	
  Maintaining	
  a	
  steady	
  pace	
  of	
  job	
  
crea:on	
  going	
  forward	
  will	
  be	
  cri:cal,	
  par:cularly	
  in	
  light	
  of	
  the	
  record-­‐high	
  
of	
  nearly	
  7	
  million	
  college	
  students	
  entering	
  the	
  workforce	
  this	
  year.	
  
JAPAN	
  
The	
  jobless	
  rate	
  has	
  remained	
  steady	
  and	
  employment	
  demand	
  con:nues	
  to	
  
improve,	
  par:cularly	
  in	
  professional	
  and	
  consumer-­‐related	
  sectors,	
  
underscoring	
  the	
  view	
  that	
  the	
  Japanese	
  economy	
  is	
  steadily	
  recovering.	
  
INDIA	
  
Unemployment	
  remains	
  high	
  and	
  job	
  crea:on	
  has	
  stagnated,	
  as	
  employers	
  
have	
  been	
  hesitant	
  to	
  hire	
  in	
  the	
  face	
  of	
  lower	
  domes:c	
  and	
  global	
  growth.	
  	
  
The	
  employment	
  outlook	
  is	
  brightest	
  for	
  the	
  trade	
  and	
  services	
  sectors.	
  
AUSTRALIA	
  
Vola:le	
  hiring	
  trends	
  and	
  a	
  climbing	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  suggest	
  that	
  the	
  
Australian	
  labor	
  market	
  is	
  struggling	
  to	
  adjust	
  to	
  the	
  slowdown	
  in	
  the	
  mining	
  
sector.	
  Demand	
  for	
  workers	
  will	
  improve	
  as	
  the	
  economic	
  picture	
  brightens.	
  
4.1%	
   4.1%	
   4.0%	
   3.9%	
  
4.3%	
   4.2%	
   4.2%	
   4.3%	
  
8.8%	
  
8.6%	
  
8.3%	
  
7.9%	
  
5.2%	
  
5.6%	
   5.5%	
  
4.9%	
  
3%	
  
4%	
  
5%	
  
6%	
  
7%	
  
8%	
  
9%	
  
2012	
   2013	
  (e)	
   2014	
  (p)	
   2015	
  (p)	
  
AVERAGE	
  ANNUAL	
  UNEMPLOYMENT	
  RATE	
  
China	
   Japan	
   India	
   Australia	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly
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9
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Global Talent Market Quarterly
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
GLOBAL	
  LEGISLATIVE	
  UPDATE	
  
	
  
As	
  tradi?onal	
  and	
  rigid	
  views	
  on	
  employment	
  are	
  replaced	
  by	
  a	
  growing	
  acceptance	
  of	
  more	
  agile	
  workstyles,	
  countries	
  con?nue	
  to	
  
implement	
  legisla?on	
  making	
  labor	
  markets	
  more	
  flexible	
  and	
  manda?ng	
  equal	
  treatment	
  for	
  all	
  workers.	
  Other	
  significant	
  recent	
  
legisla?ve	
  ac?on	
  addresses	
  issues	
  related	
  to	
  health	
  benefits,	
  immigra?on,	
  and	
  employee	
  training.	
  
Sources:	
  SIA	
  Daily	
  News,	
  05.15.13,	
  06.21.13,	
  07.02.13;	
  SIA	
  ROW	
  Legs	
  &	
  Regs	
  Advisor,	
  May	
  2013;	
  SIA	
  WE	
  Legs	
  &	
  Regs	
  Advisor,	
  April	
  2013;	
  SHRM,	
  04.15.13;	
  Lexology,	
  07.02.13	
  
11	
  
VIETNAM	
  
A	
  new	
  regula:on	
  recognizes	
  and	
  provides	
  rules	
  
for	
  the	
  prac:ce	
  of	
  temporary	
  labor	
  provision.	
  
Temporary	
  staffing	
  will	
  only	
  be	
  permi]ed	
  in	
  17	
  
fields,	
  and	
  only	
  for	
  a	
  maximum	
  period	
  of	
  12	
  
months.	
  The	
  law	
  also	
  introduces	
  a	
  pay	
  equality	
  
requirement	
  for	
  temporary	
  workers.	
  	
  
PHILIPPINES	
  
Two	
  new	
  labor	
  laws	
  give	
  workers	
  more	
  say	
  in	
  
how	
  they	
  are	
  treated.	
  The	
  first	
  mandates	
  that	
  
employers,	
  employees	
  and	
  the	
  government	
  be	
  
involved	
  in	
  sesng	
  na:onal	
  labor	
  policies.	
  The	
  
second	
  law	
  requires	
  concilia:on,	
  or	
  media:on	
  
and	
  arbitra:on	
  sessions,	
  in	
  all	
  labor	
  disputes.	
  	
  
SOUTH	
  AFRICA	
  
Parliament	
  voted	
  to	
  require	
  employers	
  to	
  treat	
  all	
  
temporary,	
  fixed-­‐contract	
  and	
  part-­‐:me	
  workers	
  on	
  
an	
  equal	
  basis	
  aier	
  three	
  months.	
  In	
  protest	
  to	
  the	
  
ruling,	
  the	
  Congress	
  of	
  South	
  African	
  Trade	
  Unions	
  
has	
  called	
  for	
  a	
  ban	
  on	
  temporary	
  labor.	
  
BRAZIL	
  
New	
  resolu:ons	
  will	
  streamline	
  work-­‐visa	
  
applica:on	
  procedures	
  and	
  create	
  new	
  work	
  
visas	
  for	
  graduate	
  students.	
  The	
  new	
  laws	
  are	
  
intended	
  to	
  a]ract	
  high-­‐skilled	
  foreign	
  workers	
  
to	
  help	
  ease	
  talent	
  shortages	
  in	
  key	
  areas.	
  
FRANCE	
  
Parliament	
  passed	
  a	
  significant	
  labor	
  reform	
  
which	
  includes	
  measures	
  to	
  make	
  it	
  easier	
  
for	
  workers	
  to	
  change	
  jobs	
  and	
  for	
  
companies	
  to	
  dismiss	
  employees.	
  The	
  
reform	
  allows	
  companies	
  to	
  temporarily	
  cut	
  
workers'	
  salaries	
  or	
  hours	
  during	
  :mes	
  of	
  
economic	
  difficulty.	
  
GERMANY	
  
Three	
  collec:ve	
  agreements	
  will	
  gradually	
  
raise	
  pay	
  for	
  temporary	
  agency	
  workers	
  in	
  
the	
  following	
  sectors:	
  tex:le/clothing,	
  
railway/	
  transport,	
  and	
  wood/plas:cs.	
  The	
  
agreements	
  came	
  into	
  force	
  in	
  April	
  2013	
  
and	
  will	
  be	
  valid	
  un:l	
  December	
  2017.	
  
U.S.	
  
Penal:es	
  for	
  employers	
  who	
  do	
  not	
  
provide	
  health	
  insurance	
  for	
  their	
  
workers	
  as	
  mandated	
  by	
  the	
  
Affordable	
  Care	
  Act	
  will	
  now	
  take	
  
effect	
  in	
  2015,	
  rather	
  than	
  in	
  2014.	
  
MEXICO	
  
Under	
  an	
  addi:onal	
  amendment	
  to	
  the	
  federal	
  
labor	
  law,	
  Mexico	
  employers	
  must	
  implement	
  
training	
  programs	
  for	
  employees	
  or	
  face	
  fines.	
  
Employers	
  have	
  un:l	
  September	
  15,	
  2013,	
  to	
  
come	
  into	
  full	
  compliance.	
  The	
  new	
  federal	
  
labor	
  law,	
  which	
  came	
  into	
  effect	
  in	
  late	
  2012,	
  
makes	
  hiring	
  and	
  firing	
  easier	
  in	
  an	
  effort	
  to	
  
encourage	
  labor	
  market	
  flexibility.	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly
BACK TO
TABLE OF CONTENTS
U.S. Labor Market Overview
THIRD QUARTER l 2013
SOLID	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  GAINS	
  IN	
  H1	
  2013	
  
The	
  U.S	
  labor	
  market	
  con:nued	
  to	
  create	
  jobs	
  
at	
  a	
  healthy	
  pace	
  in	
  June,	
  with	
  employers	
  
adding	
  195,000	
  workers	
  to	
  their	
  payrolls,	
  
similar	
  to	
  the	
  revised	
  employment	
  growth	
  
figures	
  posted	
  in	
  the	
  previous	
  two	
  months.	
  
Over	
  the	
  first	
  half	
  of	
  2013,	
  the	
  country	
  has	
  
added	
  more	
  than	
  1.2	
  million	
  jobs.	
  
The	
  unemployment	
  rate,	
  which	
  was	
  7.6%	
  in	
  
June,	
  has	
  remained	
  largely	
  unchanged	
  over	
  the	
  
past	
  few	
  months.	
  However,	
  the	
  U.S.	
  labor	
  
force	
  grew	
  by	
  more	
  than	
  800,000	
  people	
  in	
  the	
  
second	
  quarter	
  of	
  2013,	
  sugges:ng	
  that	
  the	
  
economy	
  finally	
  may	
  be	
  genera:ng	
  enough	
  
jobs	
  to	
  absorb	
  addi:onal	
  workers.	
  	
  
Consumer-­‐driven	
  sectors	
  including	
  retail	
  trade	
  	
  
and	
  leisure/hospitality	
  helped	
  drive	
  job	
  gains	
  in	
  
the	
  first	
  half.	
  Professional	
  and	
  business	
  
services	
  employment	
  also	
  grew	
  strongly,	
  
accoun:ng	
  for	
  nearly	
  a	
  third	
  of	
  jobs	
  added	
  
since	
  January.	
  The	
  sequester	
  has	
  kept	
  federal	
  
government	
  employment	
  on	
  a	
  nega:ve	
  trend,	
  
with	
  a	
  loss	
  of	
  46,000	
  jobs	
  so	
  far	
  in	
  2013.	
  
	
  
U.S.	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  CONDITIONS	
  
	
  
EMPLOYMENT	
  OVERVIEW	
  
13	
  
Source:	
  U.S	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Labor	
  Sta:s:cs;	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  
U.S.	
  MONTHLY	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  CHANGE	
  AND	
  UNEMPLOYMENT	
  RATE	
  
6.0	
  
7.0	
  
8.0	
  
9.0	
  
10.0	
  
0	
  
100	
  
200	
  
300	
  
400	
  
Jun	
  11	
  
Jul	
  11	
  
Aug	
  11	
  
Sep	
  11	
  
Oct	
  11	
  
Nov	
  11	
  
Dec	
  11	
  
Jan	
  12	
  
Feb	
  12	
  
Mar	
  12	
  
Apr	
  12	
  
May	
  12	
  
Jun	
  12	
  
Jul	
  12	
  
Aug	
  12	
  
Sep-­‐12	
  
Oct-­‐12	
  
Nov-­‐12	
  
Dec-­‐12	
  
Jan	
  13	
  
Feb	
  13	
  
Mar	
  13	
  
Apr	
  13	
  
May	
  13	
  
Jun	
  13	
  
Unemployment	
  Rate	
  (%)	
  
Employment	
  (000s)	
  
Total	
  non-­‐farm	
  employment	
  growth	
   Unemployment	
  rate	
  
WILL	
  THE	
  POSITIVE	
  TRENDS	
  CONTINUE?	
  
In	
  the	
  first	
  half	
  of	
  2013,	
  unemployment	
  con:nued	
  to	
  edge	
  down	
  and	
  job	
  crea:on	
  finally	
  reached	
  the	
  benchmark	
  level	
  of	
  200,000	
  per	
  month,	
  a	
  rather	
  
resilient	
  performance	
  considering	
  the	
  substan:al	
  economic	
  headwinds	
  both	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  and	
  globally.	
  A	
  cri:cal	
  ques:on	
  is	
  whether	
  the	
  country’s	
  
employers	
  will	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  sustain	
  the	
  pace	
  of	
  hiring	
  in	
  the	
  second	
  half	
  of	
  the	
  year.	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  predicts	
  that	
  the	
  U.S.	
  economy	
  will	
  add	
  2.1	
  
million	
  jobs	
  overall	
  in	
  2013,	
  sugges:ng	
  somewhat	
  slower	
  gains	
  in	
  the	
  second	
  half,	
  but	
  employment	
  growth	
  is	
  forecast	
  to	
  gain	
  trac:on	
  in	
  2014	
  and	
  
2015	
  as	
  the	
  economy	
  picks	
  up	
  speed.	
  
	
  
JAN	
   FEB	
   MAR	
   APR	
   MAY	
   JUN	
  
Total	
  non-­‐farm	
  employment	
  growth	
   148K	
   332K	
   142K	
   199K	
   195K	
   195K	
  
Private	
  sector	
  employment	
  growth	
   164K	
   319K	
   188K	
   157K	
   207K	
   202K	
  
Unemployment	
  rate	
   7.9%	
   7.7%	
   7.6%	
   7.5%	
   7.6%	
   7.6%	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly
BACK TO
TABLE OF CONTENTS
U.S.	
  LABOR	
  MARKET:	
  SUPPLY	
  AND	
  DEMAND	
  	
  
“Labor	
  demand	
  in	
  the	
  first	
  half	
  of	
  this	
  year	
  has	
  been	
  disappoin:ng.”	
  	
  
—	
  	
  June	
  Shelp,	
  Vice	
  President,	
  The	
  Conference	
  Board,	
  July	
  3,	
  2013	
  
14	
  
U.S.	
  MARKET	
  -­‐	
  MONTHLY	
  LABOR	
  DEMAND	
  VS.	
  LABOR	
  SUPPLY	
  
Sources:	
  Conference	
  Board	
  Help	
  Wanted	
  OnLine,	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Labor	
  Sta:s:cs	
  
Unemployed	
  Workers	
  
(in	
  thousands)	
  
Online	
  Job	
  Ads	
  	
  
(in	
  thousands)	
  
0	
  
1000	
  
2000	
  
3000	
  
4000	
  
5000	
  
6000	
  
7000	
  
8000	
  
9000	
  
10000	
  
0	
  
2000	
  
4000	
  
6000	
  
8000	
  
10000	
  
12000	
  
14000	
  
16000	
  
18000	
  
Jan	
  09	
  
Apr	
  09	
  
Jul	
  09	
  
Oct	
  09	
  
Jan	
  10	
  
Apr	
  10	
  
Jul	
  10	
  
Oct	
  10	
  
Jan	
  11	
  
Apr	
  11	
  
Jul	
  11	
  
Oct	
  11	
  
Jan	
  12	
  
Apr	
  12	
  
Jul	
  12	
  
Oct	
  12	
  
Jan	
  13	
  
Apr	
  13	
  
#	
  of	
  Unemployed	
  Workers	
   #	
  of	
  Online	
  Job	
  Ads	
  
JOB	
  DEMAND	
  UNEVEN	
  IN	
  H1	
  2013	
  
Demand	
  for	
  workers	
  has	
  been	
  somewhat	
  vola:le	
  
in	
  the	
  first	
  half	
  of	
  2013,	
  with	
  gains	
  in	
  June,	
  April,	
  
and	
  January	
  offset	
  by	
  declines	
  in	
  job	
  ads	
  in	
  the	
  
other	
  months.	
  Overall,	
  online	
  job	
  ad	
  growth	
  has	
  
averaged	
  just	
  over	
  800	
  per	
  month	
  thus	
  far	
  in	
  
2013.	
  The	
  supply/demand	
  ra:o	
  stands	
  at	
  2.4,	
  
meaning	
  that	
  there	
  are	
  more	
  than	
  two	
  
unemployed	
  workers	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  for	
  each	
  online	
  
vacancy.	
  S:ll,	
  labor	
  demand	
  is	
  near	
  5	
  million	
  ads,	
  
close	
  to	
  an	
  all-­‐:me	
  high	
  and	
  above	
  the	
  pre-­‐
recession	
  peak	
  of	
  4.3	
  million.	
  
PROFESSIONAL	
  DEMAND	
  HIGH	
  BUT	
  SLOWING	
  
Online	
  demand	
  has	
  declined	
  slightly	
  this	
  year	
  for	
  
many	
  high-­‐wage	
  professional	
  occupa:ons,	
  
including	
  healthcare,	
  architecture,	
  business	
  and	
  
finance,	
  and	
  computer	
  workers.	
  S:ll,	
  the	
  talent	
  
balance	
  is	
  very	
  :ght	
  for	
  professional	
  jobs,	
  as	
  
most	
  of	
  these	
  occupa:ons	
  have	
  supply/demand	
  
ra:os	
  of	
  less	
  than	
  one.	
  Construc:on,	
  educa:on,	
  
legal,	
  food	
  service,	
  and	
  transporta:on	
  jobs	
  have	
  
been	
  among	
  the	
  leaders	
  in	
  demand	
  growth	
  in	
  
the	
  first	
  half	
  of	
  2013.	
  
	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly
BACK TO
TABLE OF CONTENTS
U.S. LABOR MARKET SPOTLIGHT: STEM TALENT SHORTAGES
15 Sources: EMSI, May 28, 2013; New York Times, May 22, 2013; American Society for Engineering Education; How to Find (and Keep) STEM Talent, Kelly Services
41%
ENOUGH STEM WORKERS?
Is there a shortage of STEM (science, technology, engineering and math) workers
in the United States? A recent report by the Economic Policy Institute ignited
discussion when it concluded that the country has a “more than sufficient supply”
of people with STEM skills who are available to work. But other experts claim that
the US has a serious deficiency of workers with the technical background and
skills necessary to drive innovation and economic growth.
In any case, demand for STEM-qualified workers is expected to continue to
accelerate, increasing the tight labor market conditions for these critical skill sets.
In the U.S., demand for STEM professionals is expected to increase 17% from 2010
to 2020—adding nearly 1.3 million new STEM jobs to the workforce.
FOREIGN-BORN STEM WORKERS
Central to the skills shortage debate is the role of foreign students and workers in
STEM fields. A significant percentage of STEM graduates from U.S. universities are
foreign-born—particularly at advanced degree levels. More than 40% of all STEM
doctorates in the U.S., and more than half of all engineering PhDs, are awarded to
foreign students, according to research from labor market forecasting specialist
EMSI. But only around a third of foreign students end up staying in the country on
temporary work visas.
This issue is expected to continue to gain attention as Congress considers
proposed immigration reform. The current proposal would increase the number
of temporary H1-B visas for skilled workers, along with other provisions intended
to attract more immigrants with STEM and other high-level skills. Proponents of
the bill say that foreign workers are helping to fill the talent gaps in STEM
positions; opponents claim that letting in more foreign workers depresses wages
and discourages US students and workers from STEM fields.
43%
37%
11%
54%
44%
19%
PhD Master's All Degrees
PERCENT OF DEGREES AWARDED TO
FOREIGN-BORN STUDENTS
All STEM fields Engineering
22% 10% 15% 17%
Technology
(IT/Computer)
Architecture &
Engineering
Science Mathematics
STEM PROJECTED EMPLOYMENT GROWTH,
2010-2020
STEM Jobs Average 17%
Global Talent Market Quarterly
BACK TO
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Workforce Solutions
Industry Insight
THIRD QUARTER l 2013
INDEPENDENT—AND	
  INTERNATIONAL—CONTRACTORS	
  	
  
	
  
Independent	
  contractors	
  (ICs)	
  have	
  become	
  an	
  integral	
  part	
  of	
  many	
  organiza?ons’	
  con?ngent	
  workforces,	
  as	
  companies	
  and	
  workers	
  
alike	
  con?nue	
  to	
  embrace	
  more	
  flexible	
  and	
  non-­‐tradi?onal	
  workstyles.	
  	
  One	
  benefit	
  of	
  using	
  this	
  type	
  of	
  free	
  agent	
  talent:	
  work	
  is	
  no	
  
longer	
  ?ed	
  to	
  a	
  specific	
  loca?on.	
  As	
  such,	
  more	
  companies	
  are	
  using	
  IC	
  talent	
  from	
  around	
  the	
  globe	
  to	
  meet	
  their	
  needs.	
  
17	
  
Sources:	
  State	
  of	
  the	
  Freelance	
  Market,	
  Elance,	
  09.2012;	
  Global	
  Business	
  Survey	
  2012,	
  Elance;	
  Online	
  Staffing	
  on	
  the	
  Global	
  Stage,	
  Staffing	
  Industry	
  Analysts,	
  01.30.13	
  
23%	
  
FREELANCE	
  WORK	
  IS	
  A	
  GLOBAL	
  PHENOMENON	
  
While	
  the	
  US	
  and	
  other	
  developed	
  economies	
  s:ll	
  lead	
  the	
  list	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  client	
  spend	
  
on	
  ICs,	
  emerging	
  economies	
  are	
  also	
  increasingly	
  turning	
  to	
  independent	
  contractors.	
  	
  
According	
  to	
  the	
  online	
  IC	
  service	
  oDesk,	
  the	
  fastest	
  growing	
  countries	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  client	
  
spend	
  are	
  Ukraine,	
  Russia,	
  India,	
  Malaysia,	
  and	
  China.	
  Nearly	
  40%	
  of	
  oDesk’s	
  client	
  
spend	
  now	
  comes	
  from	
  outside	
  the	
  U.S.,	
  up	
  from	
  22%	
  in	
  2007.	
  
Much	
  of	
  the	
  freelance	
  talent	
  on	
  online	
  IC	
  services	
  also	
  comes	
  from	
  advanced	
  economies	
  
such	
  as	
  the	
  US	
  and	
  UK,	
  but	
  other	
  countries	
  such	
  as	
  India,	
  Pakistan,	
  and	
  Ukraine	
  are	
  also	
  
key	
  sources	
  of	
  ICs.	
  This	
  talent	
  is	
  primarily	
  young	
  (nearly	
  half	
  of	
  the	
  independent	
  
contractors	
  on	
  the	
  online	
  marketplace	
  Elance	
  are	
  Millenials)	
  and	
  well-­‐educated	
  (around	
  
three-­‐quarters	
  possess	
  a	
  bachelor’s	
  degree	
  or	
  higher).	
  And	
  most	
  of	
  them	
  don’t	
  care	
  
where	
  their	
  next	
  job	
  is	
  coming	
  from:	
  78%	
  of	
  Elance	
  contractors	
  say	
  they	
  have	
  no	
  
preference	
  as	
  to	
  the	
  country	
  in	
  which	
  their	
  clients	
  are	
  located.	
  
	
  
	
  
TOP	
  
COUNTRIES:	
  	
  
Freelance	
  
Client	
  Spend	
  
FASTEST	
  
GROWING	
  
COUNTRIES:	
  
Freelance	
  
Client	
  Spend	
  
TOP	
  
COUNTRIES:	
  	
  
Freelance	
  
Workers	
  
•  US	
  
•  Australia	
  
•  UK	
  
•  Canada	
  
•  UAE	
  
•  Ukraine	
  
•  Russia	
  
•  India	
  
•  Malaysia	
  
•  China	
  
•  India	
  
•  US	
  
•  Pakistan	
  
•  Ukraine	
  
•  Philippines	
  
•  UK	
  
Top	
  countries	
  based	
  on	
  combined	
  data	
  from	
  Elance	
  and	
  oDesk,	
  2012/13;	
  fastest-­‐
growing	
  countries	
  based	
  on	
  oDesk	
  spend	
  data	
  only,	
  2010-­‐2012	
  CAGR	
  
78%	
  
12%	
  
10%	
  
FREELANCER	
  PREFERENCE:	
  CLIENT	
  LOCATION	
  	
  
No	
  Preference	
  
Same	
  Country	
  As	
  Me	
  
Different	
  Country	
  From	
  Me	
  
47%	
  
38%	
  
14%	
  
<1%	
  
FREELANCERS	
  BY	
  GENERATION	
  
Millenial	
  (1981-­‐
present)	
  
Genera:on	
  X	
  
(1965-­‐1980)	
  
Baby	
  Boomer	
  
(1940-­‐1964)	
  
Silent	
  Genera:on	
  
(pre-­‐1940)	
  
9%	
  
24%	
  
42%	
  
5%	
  
12%	
  
8%	
  
FREELANCERS	
  BY	
  EDUCATION	
  
Doctorate/	
  
Professional	
  Degree	
  
Master's	
  Degree	
  
Bachelor's	
  Degree	
  
Associate's	
  Degree	
  
Some	
  College	
  
High	
  School/	
  Trade	
  
School	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly
BACK TO
TABLE OF CONTENTS
HOW	
  EFFECTIVE	
  ARE	
  YOUR	
  TALENT	
  MANAGEMENT	
  STRATEGIES?	
  
	
  
In	
  a	
  recent	
  survey,	
  corporate	
  directors	
  iden?fied	
  talent	
  management	
  as	
  the	
  single	
  greatest	
  strategic	
  challenge	
  facing	
  their	
  
organiza?ons	
  today.	
  But	
  despite	
  the	
  perceived	
  importance,	
  the	
  vast	
  majority	
  of	
  board	
  members	
  say	
  that	
  their	
  companies	
  are	
  not	
  
highly	
  effec?ve	
  at	
  any	
  aspect	
  of	
  talent	
  management.	
  
18	
   Source:	
  Talent	
  Management:	
  Boards	
  Give	
  Their	
  Companies	
  an	
  “F”,	
  hbr.org,	
  05.28.13	
  
23%	
  
A	
  recent	
  survey	
  asked	
  over	
  1000	
  board	
  
members	
  across	
  the	
  globe	
  to	
  rate	
  their	
  
companies’	
  performance	
  across	
  nine	
  
dimensions	
  of	
  talent	
  management.	
  The	
  findings	
  
show	
  that	
  most	
  companies	
  are	
  falling	
  well	
  
short	
  in	
  all	
  areas	
  of	
  talent	
  management,	
  with	
  
the	
  worst	
  performances	
  in	
  the	
  areas	
  of	
  
dismissing	
  employees	
  and	
  leveraging	
  diversity.	
  	
  
Regional	
  differences	
  in	
  talent	
  management	
  
effec:veness	
  are	
  also	
  apparent.	
  Board	
  
members	
  in	
  Australia/New	
  Zealand	
  and	
  North	
  
America	
  give	
  their	
  companies	
  the	
  highest	
  
marks	
  on	
  talent	
  management	
  prac:ces,	
  while	
  
in	
  Eastern	
  Europe	
  and	
  Russia,	
  no	
  respondents	
  
rated	
  their	
  companies	
  as	
  very	
  effec:ve	
  in	
  four	
  
of	
  the	
  nine	
  talent	
  categories.	
  	
  
While	
  board	
  members’	
  increased	
  awareness	
  of	
  
the	
  impact	
  of	
  talent	
  management	
  is	
  a	
  hopeful	
  
sign,	
  there	
  remains	
  much	
  room	
  for	
  
improvement	
  in	
  talent	
  strategy	
  execu:on.	
  
Boards	
  must	
  next	
  consider	
  how	
  they	
  can	
  help	
  
their	
  organiza:ons	
  build	
  and	
  implement	
  be]er	
  
talent	
  management	
  processes	
  and	
  prac:ces.	
  	
  
	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
Aurac?ng	
  top	
  
talent	
  
Hiring	
  top	
  talent	
   Assessing	
  talent	
   Developing	
  
talent	
  
Rewarding	
  talent	
  Retaining	
  talent	
   Firing	
   Leveraging	
  
diversity	
  
Aligning	
  talent	
  
strategy	
  w/	
  
business	
  strategy	
  
PERCENT	
  OF	
  BOARD	
  MEMBERS	
  WHO	
  STRONGLY	
  AGREE	
  THEIR	
  ORGANIZATION	
  IS	
  EFFECTIVE	
  AT…	
  
North	
  America	
   Western	
  Europe	
   Eastern	
  Europe/	
  Russia	
   Asia	
   Australia/NZ	
  
TALENT	
  MANAGEMENT	
  CHALLENGES	
  	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly
BACK TO
TABLE OF CONTENTS
2013	
  KGWI:	
  PERFORMANCE-­‐BASED	
  PAY	
  
	
  
Performance-­‐based	
  compensa?on	
  is	
  gathering	
  momentum	
  across	
  the	
  globe,	
  according	
  to	
  the	
  2013	
  Kelly	
  Global	
  Workforce	
  Index	
  
(KGWI).	
  	
  Par?cularly	
  in	
  fast-­‐growing	
  emerging	
  markets,	
  many	
  employees	
  say	
  they	
  are	
  willing	
  to	
  accept	
  some	
  element	
  of	
  risk	
  or	
  
uncertainty	
  in	
  their	
  salaries	
  in	
  return	
  for	
  the	
  opportunity	
  to	
  meet	
  benchmarks	
  that	
  will	
  trigger	
  performance	
  bonuses.	
  
	
  
19	
  
Source:	
  Kelly	
  Global	
  Workforce	
  Index	
  2013.	
  	
  
Performance-­‐based	
  pay	
  includes	
  any	
  arrangement	
  where	
  an	
  element	
  of	
  the	
  total	
  remunera:on	
  package	
  is	
  :ed	
  to	
  mee:ng	
  performance	
  targets	
  and	
  may	
  include,	
  profit	
  sharing,	
  performance	
  bonuses	
  and	
  sales	
  commissions.	
  
23%	
  MORE	
  THAN	
  FOUR	
  IN	
  TEN	
  GLOBAL	
  WORKERS	
  RECEIVE	
  SOME	
  
FORM	
  OF	
  VARIABLE	
  PAY	
  
Performance-­‐based	
  compensa:on	
  is	
  most	
  common	
  in	
  the	
  robust	
  
economies	
  of	
  the	
  APAC	
  region,	
  where	
  nearly	
  60%	
  of	
  respondents	
  
receive	
  some	
  kind	
  of	
  incen:ve	
  pay.	
  The	
  highest	
  incidence	
  of	
  
performance-­‐based	
  pay	
  is	
  in	
  China,	
  Indonesia,	
  Thailand,	
  and	
  
Malaysia,	
  where	
  around	
  three-­‐quarters	
  of	
  workers	
  say	
  that	
  their	
  
compensa:on	
  is	
  variable.	
  
Conversely,	
  less	
  than	
  40%	
  of	
  workers	
  in	
  both	
  the	
  Americas	
  and	
  
EMEA	
  regions	
  have	
  variable	
  pay	
  structures;	
  the	
  prac:ce	
  is	
  least	
  
common	
  in	
  the	
  US,	
  UK,	
  Ireland,	
  Australia,	
  and	
  the	
  Nordic	
  countries.	
  	
  
	
  
59%	
   39%	
   36%	
  
APAC	
   EMEA	
   Americas	
  
Global	
  Average:	
  44%	
  
KEY	
  MARKETS	
  
China	
  (75%)	
  
Indonesia	
  (75%)	
  
Malaysia	
  (72%)	
  
India	
  (67%)	
  
Australia	
  (29%)	
  
Russia	
  (70%)	
  
Poland	
  (55%)	
  
Germany	
  (43%)	
  
France	
  (36%)	
  
UK	
  (30%)	
  
Brazil	
  (48%)	
  
Puerto	
  Rico	
  (47%)	
  
Mexico	
  (47%)	
  
Canada	
  (40%)	
  
US	
  (32%)	
  
56%	
   44%	
   41%	
  
APAC	
   Americas	
   EMEA	
  
WOULD	
  YOU	
  PERFORM	
  BETTER	
  IF	
  YOUR	
  PAY	
  
WAS	
  TIED	
  TO	
  YOUR	
  PERFORMANCE?	
  (%	
  YES)	
  
Global	
  Average:	
  46%	
  
IS	
  ANY	
  OF	
  YOUR	
  PAY	
  DEPENDENT	
  ON	
  INDIVIDUAL	
  PERFORMANCE	
  TARGETS?	
  
VARIABLE	
  PAY	
  SCALES	
  WOULD	
  ELEVATE	
  PERFORMANCE	
  	
  
Among	
  those	
  respondents	
  not	
  receiving	
  performance-­‐based	
  pay,	
  there	
  
is	
  a	
  strong	
  view	
  that	
  they	
  would	
  perform	
  at	
  a	
  higher	
  level	
  if	
  they	
  were	
  to	
  
switch	
  to	
  such	
  an	
  arrangement.	
  	
  
Nearly	
  half	
  of	
  workers	
  globally	
  say	
  they	
  would	
  perform	
  at	
  a	
  higher	
  level	
  
with	
  performance	
  pay;	
  the	
  greatest	
  interest	
  is	
  again	
  in	
  the	
  APAC	
  region	
  
(56%),	
  followed	
  by	
  the	
  Americas	
  (44%)	
  and	
  EMEA	
  (41%).	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly
BACK TO
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Kelly	
  offers	
  a	
  complete	
  content	
  library	
  that	
  advances	
  the	
  discussion	
  and	
  thinking	
  around	
  current	
  trends,	
  strategies,	
  and	
  issues	
  
impac?ng	
  global	
  talent	
  management.	
  	
  
To	
  register	
  for	
  webcasts	
  or	
  for	
  more	
  informa:on,	
  visit	
  www.kellyocg.com	
  
Download	
  The	
  Talent	
  Project,	
  a	
  free	
  iPad	
  ®	
  app	
  by	
  Kelly	
  Services.	
  
TITLE	
   PRESENTED	
  BY:	
   DESCRIPTION	
  
4	
  Reasons	
  to	
  
Improve	
  Employee	
  
Engagement	
  
Anthony	
  Raja	
  Devadoss,	
  Vice	
  
President	
  	
  -­‐	
  	
  APAC,	
  KellyOCG	
  
Thomas	
  McCoy,	
  Director	
  -­‐	
  The	
  
Employee	
  Engagement	
  Ins:tute	
  
It	
  is	
  possible	
  to	
  create	
  a	
  highly	
  engaged	
  workforce	
  quickly,	
  easily	
  and	
  
without	
  dispropor:onate	
  investment	
  in	
  :me,	
  money	
  or	
  technology.	
  
In	
  this	
  webcast,	
  our	
  experts	
  share	
  4	
  reasons	
  to	
  improve	
  employee	
  
engagement	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  :ps	
  to	
  get	
  you	
  started.	
  
Reconstruc?ng	
  
Leadership	
  
Chris	
  Jock,	
  Vice	
  President	
  -­‐	
  Global	
  
BPO	
  Prac:ce	
  Lead,	
  Kelly	
  OCG	
  
Read	
  this	
  whitepaper	
  to	
  understand	
  how	
  the	
  cri:cal	
  quali:es	
  of	
  
leadership	
  are	
  at	
  the	
  same	
  :me	
  constant	
  and	
  also	
  evolving	
  to	
  adapt	
  
to	
  today’s	
  marketplace,	
  and	
  how	
  modern	
  workplace	
  leaders	
  can	
  
keep	
  strategies	
  real	
  and	
  relevant.	
  	
  
Remote	
  Work	
  
Under	
  the	
  
Microscope	
  
Linda	
  Stuit,	
  Vice	
  President	
  -­‐	
  Global	
  
Solu:ons,	
  Kelly	
  Services	
  
Recent	
  policy	
  shiis	
  in	
  high-­‐profile	
  corporate	
  America	
  have	
  ignited	
  a	
  
na:onal	
  debate	
  about	
  workplace	
  flexibility.	
  This	
  e-­‐book	
  explores	
  
trends	
  in	
  remote	
  working,	
  and	
  discusses	
  the	
  balances	
  and	
  benefits	
  to	
  
both	
  organiza:ons	
  and	
  employees.	
  
20	
  
KELLY	
  KNOWLEDGE	
  
	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly
BACK TO
TABLE OF CONTENTS
About Kelly Services®
Kelly Services, Inc. (NASDAQ: KELYA, KELYB) is a leader in providing workforce solutions.
Kelly®
offers a comprehensive array of outsourcing and consulting services as well as
world-class staffing on a temporary, temporary-to-hire and direct-hire basis. Serving clients
around the globe, Kelly provides employment to more than 560,000 employees annually.
Revenue in 2012 was $5.5 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and connect with us on Facebook,
LinkedIn, & Twitter. Click to download The Talent Project, our free iPad app.
A Kelly Services Report
All trademarks are property of their respective owners. An Equal Opportunity Employer © 2013 Kelly Services, Inc. Y1079
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Q3 2013 Global Talent Market Quarterly

  • 1. Global Talent Market Quarterly THIRD QUARTER l 2013
  • 2. Global Talent Market Quarterly CONTENTS 3 Global Economic Situation • Briefing • Outlook 6 Global Labor Market Update • Americas • EMEA • APAC • Global Labor Market Spotlight • Legislative Update 12 U.S. Labor Market Overview • Current Employment Conditions • Supply and Demand • Labor Market Spotlight 16 Workforce Solutions Industry Insight • Independent and International Contractors • How effective are your talent management strategies? • 2013 KGWI – Performance Based Pay • Kelly Knowledge
  • 4. GLOBAL  ECONOMIC  BRIEFING     Global  economic  growth  remains  sluggish  in  2013,  constrained  by  ongoing  poli?cal  and  fiscal  issues  in  key  areas  including  the  U.S.,   Eurozone,  and  China.  A  soV  recovery  is  expected  to  take  hold  in  the  coming  months,  with  global  growth  set  to  accelerate  in  2014.   Source:  IHS  Global  Insight  (July  2013)  4   AMERICAS   Subdued  but  accelera:ng  growth  is  forecast  for  the  region   through  2015.  Brazil,  Mexico,  and  other  La:n  American   markets  are  expected  to  drive  regional  growth,  while  the   U.S.  and  Canada  will  see  more  moderate  expansion.     EMEA     Significant  challenges  to  growth  persist  in  the  region,  with   many  Eurozone  markets  ba]ling  recessionary  condi:ons,   and  poli:cal  and  social  turmoil  con:nuing  in  the  Middle   East.  Growth  outlooks  for  some  of  the  mature  economies,   including  Germany  and  the  U.K.,  are  more  favorable.   APAC   The  APAC  region  is  expected  to  con:nue  to  lead  global   growth,  driven  by  strong  domes:c  demand  in  Southeast   Asia.  China’s  economy  has  shown  signs  of  weakness  in   2013,  but  growth  will  s:ll  be  high  by  global  standards.   Moderate  growth  rates  are  projected  for  the  developed   APAC  economies  (Australia/NZ,  Japan).   2.5%   2.5%   3.5%   4.0%   4.7%   4.7%   5.4%   5.8%   -­‐0.5%   -­‐0.7%   0.6%   1.3%   2.7%   3.0%   3.8%   4.2%   2.2%   1.6%   2.7%   3.5%   -­‐2%   -­‐1%   0%   1%   2%   3%   4%   5%   6%   7%   2012  (e)   2013  (p)   2014  (p)   2015  (p)   REAL  GDP  GROWTH  BY  REGION,  2012-­‐2015  (p)   World     APAC   Eurozone   La?n  America     U.S.   Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 5. ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Key emerging markets, while still leading global economic growth, have shown some softness in recent months. Meanwhile, the outlook in many of the large developed economies is brighter; these mature countries are expected to support global expansion in the short term. -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% Italy France Germany U.K. U.S. Canada Japan Australia Brazil Russia India China REAL GDP GROWTH RATES, SELECTED MARKETS Ranked by 2013(p) growth 2013(p) 2014(p) 2015(p) 5 Global GDP Growth 2013(p): 2.5% Sources: IHS Global Insight (July 2013); Reuters, 06.18.13 EMERGING MARKETS  CHINA’s economy is facing challenges from falling exports and the need for structural reforms. Growth is forecast at 7.5% in 2013—disappointing by China’s standards but still among the highest in the world—with strengthening seen through 2015.  Economic growth in INDIA is rebounding after a sharp deceleration in 2012. Boosting investment, continuing structural reforms, and favorable monetary policy are critical components of India’s return to historical growth rates.  RUSSIA’s economic engine is slowing in 2013, amid weaker demand and lower prices for exports, particularly natural resources. Acceleration is expected in 2014.  In BRAZIL, the global economic climate continues to constrain exports and high inflation is undermining consumer purchasing power, limiting GDP growth. Increased investment and infrastructure spending are expected to help drive the economy. DEVELOPED ECONOMIES  AUSTRALIA’s growth prospects for 2013 have been subdued by the domestic mining sector slowdown, weakness in China and ongoing European troubles. Economic activity is expected to gradually accelerate over the next two years.  Aggressive monetary stimulus and strong consumer spending has lifted JAPAN’s economic momentum in 2013. Future growth will be limited by the ongoing structural shift from manufacturing to services, as well as demographic challenges.  Economic growth in North America is expected to be moderate but improving in the short term, with domestic headwinds limiting growth in both the U.S. and CANADA.  Weak but accelerating growth is forecast for the U.K. and GERMANY, and the Eurozone economy has begun to stabilize. Still, recessionary conditions have expanded to some northern markets including the NETHERLANDS, BELGIUM, and FINLAND, and contractions in the southern periphery will extend through mid-2014. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 6. Global Labor Market Update THIRD QUARTER l 2013
  • 7. GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  AMERICAS     Although  some  headwinds  remain  in  2013,  the  outlook  is  largely  posi?ve  for  labor  markets  in  the  Americas,  as  an  improving  economic   forecast  supports  con?nued  hiring  ac?vity.  Unemployment  is  expected  to  con?nue  to  fall  in  most  key  markets.       Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  (July  2013);    Reuters,  06.21.13;  Toronto  Star,  07.06.13   7   UNITED  STATES   Job  crea:on  was  rela:vely  strong  in  the  first  half  of  2013,  and  the   unemployment  rate  has  held  steady  despite  an  increased  labor  force.  The   labor  market  outlook  for  the  rest  of  2013  is  posi:ve,  but  the  extent  of   improvement  remains  highly  dependent  upon  macroeconomic  trends.   BRAZIL   Slower  economic  growth  has  diminished  the  pace  of  hiring  in  Brazil,  but  the   unemployment  rate  s:ll  remains  at  or  near  record  lows  as  businesses   con:nue  to  retain  workers  in  an:cipa:on  of  an  economic  rebound.   CANADA    Hiring  has  been  fairly  sluggish  in  2013  as  s:mulus  efforts  come  to  an  end   and  the  housing  market  has  slowed.  Employment  growth  is  expected  to  stay   muted  through  the  end  of  the  year  before  accelera:ng  in  the  near  term.   MEXICO   Moderate  economic  growth  and  labor  market  reforms  that  allow  for  more   hiring  and  firing  flexibility  will  con:nue  to  generate  demand  for  new   workers.  As  a  result,  formal  employment  growth  is  expected  to  accelerate.   8.1%   7.6%   7.2%   6.6%   5.5%   5.6%   5.5%   5.4%   7.3%   7.1%   7.0%   6.6%   5.0%   5.0%   4.4%   4.3%   3%   4%   5%   6%   7%   8%   9%   2012   2013  (e)   2014  (p)   2015  (p)   AVERAGE  ANNUAL  UNEMPLOYMENT  RATE   U.S.   Brazil   Canada   Mexico   Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 8. GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  EMEA     The  employment  situa?on    in  many  EMEA  countries  is  expected  to  remain  challenging  in  the  short-­‐  to  medium-­‐term,  par?cularly  in  the   Eurozone  as  it  struggles  to  climb  out  of  recession.    Labor  market  bright  spots  include  the  U.K.  and  Germany.   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  (July  2013);  Reuters,  06.12.13,  06.26.13     8   GERMANY   The  German  labor  market  con:nues  to  outperform  most  others  in  the   region,  and  renewed  economic  growth  should  drive  down  unemployment   even  further  during  the  remainder  of  2013  and  beyond.   FRANCE   Unemployment  remains  at  a  record  high  level  in  France,  with  further   deteriora:on  predicted  through  2014,  as  ongoing  weak  business  and   consumer  ac:vity  is  expected  to  weigh  on  employment  crea:on.   UNITED  KINGDOM   A  more  favorable  economic  outlook  is  boos:ng  the  forecast  for  the  U.K.   labor  market.  Private  sector  job  growth  is  expected  to  be  slow  but  steadily   increasing,  nudging  the  unemployment  rate  down  in  the  coming  years.     RUSSIA   The  gradual  pace  of  declining  unemployment  is  expected  to  persist  in  the   coming  years,  as  the  private  sector  will  create  jobs  but  demographic  issues   and  public  sector  :ghtening  are  expected  to  limit  employment  growth.   6.8%   6.8%   6.6%   6.3%   10.2%   10.9%   11.2%   11.1%   7.9%   7.8%   7.6%   7.3%   5.5%   5.4%   5.2%   5.0%   3%   4%   5%   6%   7%   8%   9%   10%   11%   12%   2012   2013  (e)   2014  (p)   2015  (p)   AVERAGE  ANNUAL  UNEMPLOYMENT  RATE   Germany   France   U.K.   Russia   Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 9. GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  APAC     Employment  prospects  vary  across  APAC  countries,  as  labor  markets  con?nue  to  adjust  to  the  challenging  global  economic  climate  and   slowdowns  in  key  markets  including  China,  India,  and  Australia.       Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  (July  2013)  ;  Xinhua  Economic  News  Service,  07.16.13;  Times  of  India,  06.11.13;  India  Infoline,  06.21.13;  Nikkei  Weekly,  07.01.13;  Market  News  Interna:onal,  06.28.13   9   CHINA   China’s  labor  market  remained  rela:vely  stable  in  the  first  half  of  2013   despite  a  slowdown  in  the  economy.  Maintaining  a  steady  pace  of  job   crea:on  going  forward  will  be  cri:cal,  par:cularly  in  light  of  the  record-­‐high   of  nearly  7  million  college  students  entering  the  workforce  this  year.   JAPAN   The  jobless  rate  has  remained  steady  and  employment  demand  con:nues  to   improve,  par:cularly  in  professional  and  consumer-­‐related  sectors,   underscoring  the  view  that  the  Japanese  economy  is  steadily  recovering.   INDIA   Unemployment  remains  high  and  job  crea:on  has  stagnated,  as  employers   have  been  hesitant  to  hire  in  the  face  of  lower  domes:c  and  global  growth.     The  employment  outlook  is  brightest  for  the  trade  and  services  sectors.   AUSTRALIA   Vola:le  hiring  trends  and  a  climbing  unemployment  rate  suggest  that  the   Australian  labor  market  is  struggling  to  adjust  to  the  slowdown  in  the  mining   sector.  Demand  for  workers  will  improve  as  the  economic  picture  brightens.   4.1%   4.1%   4.0%   3.9%   4.3%   4.2%   4.2%   4.3%   8.8%   8.6%   8.3%   7.9%   5.2%   5.6%   5.5%   4.9%   3%   4%   5%   6%   7%   8%   9%   2012   2013  (e)   2014  (p)   2015  (p)   AVERAGE  ANNUAL  UNEMPLOYMENT  RATE   China   Japan   India   Australia   Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS 9
  • 10. 4A1Q)A&A)Q1$&C)$_*!&3Y1!A#4"!f&*CYA1]C*2!&$*01e*$]&1(!A11_& " 61>&(%P"O1&0="1Q"O1&4"g%71&5"KL!MZ"C3o" !L" 4A1Q)A&*CYA1]C*2!&$)!*&3!#AA&Q*A1K&Y$*^0$#3#3&A*e*A" k';%"@%)&*")i%&"59%"8012)0"?)?(')0"(&'*'*Z"59%"%$701@$%?5"*'5>):1?"F1&0=F'=%"*:00" Q)(%*"(9)00%?8%*Z")((1&='?8"51"59%"C3o^*"O1&0="1Q"O1&4"g%71&5"KL!MB"I9%"C3o" (>&&%?50@"%*:$)5%*"59%"8012)0"%$701@$%?5"&)5%")5"XXBdcD*:00"?%)&0@")"7%&(%?5)8%" 71'?5"01F%&"59)?"2%Q1&%"59%"(&'*'*"2%8)?Z"$%)?'?8"59)5"59%&%"'*")"8012)0"?%5"=%('5"1Q" )&1>?="!W"$'00'1?"_12*"&%0):;%"51"59%"7&%R(&'*'*"%$701@$%?5"0%;%0B" " *C*$4#24&*0121C#*3&A*)%#24&$*01e*$]" I9%"0)21&"$)&4%5"&%(1;%&@"%G1&5"9)*"2%%?">?%;%?Z")*"%$701@$%?5"8&1F59"&)5%*" ;)&@"F'=%0@")(&1**"(1>?5&'%*")?="&%8'1?*B"3)21&"$)&4%5*"'?"$1*5"%$%&8'?8" %(1?1$'%*")&%"&%(1;%&'?8"$>(9"Q)*5%&"59)?"59%"$)_1&'5@"1Q")=;)?(%="%(1?1$'%*B"C?" 8%?%&)0Z"%$%&8'?8"%(1?1$'%*"*)F"$>(9"0%**"*%;%&%"_12"01**"=>&'?8"59%"(&'*'*Z")?=" 9);%"2%%?")20%"51"&%21>?="$>(9"$1&%"p>'(40@B"#0591>89"59%"%$701@$%?5"&)5%"'?" %$%&8'?8"%(1?1$'%*"'*"(>&&%?50@"*:00"2%01F"'5*"KLLe"0%;%0Z"'5"'*"%[7%(5%="51"&%)(9" 59)5"0%;%0")8)'?"'?"KL!XB"" " $*01e*$]&21!&*gY*0!*%&(2!#A&,-.b&#2&)%e)20*%&*0121C#*3" C?")=;)?(%="%(1?1$'%*Z"7)&:(>0)&0@"591*%"'?"59%"+>&1Y1?%Z"%$701@$%?5"(1?=':1?*" )?="Q1&%()*5*")&%"$>(9"$1&%"5&1>20%*1$%B"a%)&0@"9)0Q"1Q"59%")=;)?(%="(1>?5&'%*" %[)$'?%="2@"59%"C3o"9);%"%$701@$%?5"&)5%*"59)5"9);%"(1?:?>%="51"Q)00"*'?(%"59%" 2%8'??'?8"1Q"59%"%(1?1$'("(&'*'*B"I9%"%$701@$%?5"&)5%"'?")=;)?(%="%(1?1$'%*"'*" ?15"%[7%(5%="51"&%)(9"'5*"7&%R(&'*'*"0%;%0">?:0"KL!eD$1&%"59)?"5%?"@%)&*")i%&"59%" %(1?1$'("(&'*'*"2%8)?B" XKc" XMc" XWc" XXc" Xfc" Xdc" Xec" Xlc" fLc" f!c" KLLe" KL!M%" KL!X7" KL!e7" *CYA1]C*2!&$)!*3& +$%&8'?8"+(1?1$'%*" #=;)?(%="+(1?1$'%*" _*]&01(2!$#*3&K#!"&0($$*2!&*CYA1]C*2!&$)!*3kHH& #21;%"7&%R(&'*'*"0%;%0*" C$7&1;%="2>5"*:00"2%01F"7&%R(&'*'*"0%;%0*" S%01F"7&%R(&'*'*"0%;%0*Z"(1?:?>'?8"51"=%(0'?%" #&8%?:?)" S&)Y'0" .9'0%" /%&$)?@" E>?8)&@" 3>[%$21>&8"" g>**')" 6F'5Y%&0)?=" I9)'0)?=" I>&4%@" .)?)=)" .Y%(9"g%7>20'(" ,%['(1" -9'0'77'?%*" -10)?=" 61>59"#Q&'()" 61>59"N1&%)" 6F%=%?" <?'5%="N'?8=1$" <?'5%="65)5%*" #>*5&)0')" S%08'>$" k&)?(%" /&%%(%" C&%0)?=" C5)0@" U)7)?" a%59%&0)?=*" -1&5>8)0" 67)'?" KL!M%"/012)0"+$701@$%?5"g)5%" Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 11. GLOBAL  LEGISLATIVE  UPDATE     As  tradi?onal  and  rigid  views  on  employment  are  replaced  by  a  growing  acceptance  of  more  agile  workstyles,  countries  con?nue  to   implement  legisla?on  making  labor  markets  more  flexible  and  manda?ng  equal  treatment  for  all  workers.  Other  significant  recent   legisla?ve  ac?on  addresses  issues  related  to  health  benefits,  immigra?on,  and  employee  training.   Sources:  SIA  Daily  News,  05.15.13,  06.21.13,  07.02.13;  SIA  ROW  Legs  &  Regs  Advisor,  May  2013;  SIA  WE  Legs  &  Regs  Advisor,  April  2013;  SHRM,  04.15.13;  Lexology,  07.02.13   11   VIETNAM   A  new  regula:on  recognizes  and  provides  rules   for  the  prac:ce  of  temporary  labor  provision.   Temporary  staffing  will  only  be  permi]ed  in  17   fields,  and  only  for  a  maximum  period  of  12   months.  The  law  also  introduces  a  pay  equality   requirement  for  temporary  workers.     PHILIPPINES   Two  new  labor  laws  give  workers  more  say  in   how  they  are  treated.  The  first  mandates  that   employers,  employees  and  the  government  be   involved  in  sesng  na:onal  labor  policies.  The   second  law  requires  concilia:on,  or  media:on   and  arbitra:on  sessions,  in  all  labor  disputes.     SOUTH  AFRICA   Parliament  voted  to  require  employers  to  treat  all   temporary,  fixed-­‐contract  and  part-­‐:me  workers  on   an  equal  basis  aier  three  months.  In  protest  to  the   ruling,  the  Congress  of  South  African  Trade  Unions   has  called  for  a  ban  on  temporary  labor.   BRAZIL   New  resolu:ons  will  streamline  work-­‐visa   applica:on  procedures  and  create  new  work   visas  for  graduate  students.  The  new  laws  are   intended  to  a]ract  high-­‐skilled  foreign  workers   to  help  ease  talent  shortages  in  key  areas.   FRANCE   Parliament  passed  a  significant  labor  reform   which  includes  measures  to  make  it  easier   for  workers  to  change  jobs  and  for   companies  to  dismiss  employees.  The   reform  allows  companies  to  temporarily  cut   workers'  salaries  or  hours  during  :mes  of   economic  difficulty.   GERMANY   Three  collec:ve  agreements  will  gradually   raise  pay  for  temporary  agency  workers  in   the  following  sectors:  tex:le/clothing,   railway/  transport,  and  wood/plas:cs.  The   agreements  came  into  force  in  April  2013   and  will  be  valid  un:l  December  2017.   U.S.   Penal:es  for  employers  who  do  not   provide  health  insurance  for  their   workers  as  mandated  by  the   Affordable  Care  Act  will  now  take   effect  in  2015,  rather  than  in  2014.   MEXICO   Under  an  addi:onal  amendment  to  the  federal   labor  law,  Mexico  employers  must  implement   training  programs  for  employees  or  face  fines.   Employers  have  un:l  September  15,  2013,  to   come  into  full  compliance.  The  new  federal   labor  law,  which  came  into  effect  in  late  2012,   makes  hiring  and  firing  easier  in  an  effort  to   encourage  labor  market  flexibility.   Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 12. U.S. Labor Market Overview THIRD QUARTER l 2013
  • 13. SOLID  EMPLOYMENT  GAINS  IN  H1  2013   The  U.S  labor  market  con:nued  to  create  jobs   at  a  healthy  pace  in  June,  with  employers   adding  195,000  workers  to  their  payrolls,   similar  to  the  revised  employment  growth   figures  posted  in  the  previous  two  months.   Over  the  first  half  of  2013,  the  country  has   added  more  than  1.2  million  jobs.   The  unemployment  rate,  which  was  7.6%  in   June,  has  remained  largely  unchanged  over  the   past  few  months.  However,  the  U.S.  labor   force  grew  by  more  than  800,000  people  in  the   second  quarter  of  2013,  sugges:ng  that  the   economy  finally  may  be  genera:ng  enough   jobs  to  absorb  addi:onal  workers.     Consumer-­‐driven  sectors  including  retail  trade     and  leisure/hospitality  helped  drive  job  gains  in   the  first  half.  Professional  and  business   services  employment  also  grew  strongly,   accoun:ng  for  nearly  a  third  of  jobs  added   since  January.  The  sequester  has  kept  federal   government  employment  on  a  nega:ve  trend,   with  a  loss  of  46,000  jobs  so  far  in  2013.     U.S.  EMPLOYMENT  CONDITIONS     EMPLOYMENT  OVERVIEW   13   Source:  U.S  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs;  IHS  Global  Insight   U.S.  MONTHLY  EMPLOYMENT  CHANGE  AND  UNEMPLOYMENT  RATE   6.0   7.0   8.0   9.0   10.0   0   100   200   300   400   Jun  11   Jul  11   Aug  11   Sep  11   Oct  11   Nov  11   Dec  11   Jan  12   Feb  12   Mar  12   Apr  12   May  12   Jun  12   Jul  12   Aug  12   Sep-­‐12   Oct-­‐12   Nov-­‐12   Dec-­‐12   Jan  13   Feb  13   Mar  13   Apr  13   May  13   Jun  13   Unemployment  Rate  (%)   Employment  (000s)   Total  non-­‐farm  employment  growth   Unemployment  rate   WILL  THE  POSITIVE  TRENDS  CONTINUE?   In  the  first  half  of  2013,  unemployment  con:nued  to  edge  down  and  job  crea:on  finally  reached  the  benchmark  level  of  200,000  per  month,  a  rather   resilient  performance  considering  the  substan:al  economic  headwinds  both  in  the  U.S.  and  globally.  A  cri:cal  ques:on  is  whether  the  country’s   employers  will  be  able  to  sustain  the  pace  of  hiring  in  the  second  half  of  the  year.  IHS  Global  Insight  predicts  that  the  U.S.  economy  will  add  2.1   million  jobs  overall  in  2013,  sugges:ng  somewhat  slower  gains  in  the  second  half,  but  employment  growth  is  forecast  to  gain  trac:on  in  2014  and   2015  as  the  economy  picks  up  speed.     JAN   FEB   MAR   APR   MAY   JUN   Total  non-­‐farm  employment  growth   148K   332K   142K   199K   195K   195K   Private  sector  employment  growth   164K   319K   188K   157K   207K   202K   Unemployment  rate   7.9%   7.7%   7.6%   7.5%   7.6%   7.6%   Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 14. U.S.  LABOR  MARKET:  SUPPLY  AND  DEMAND     “Labor  demand  in  the  first  half  of  this  year  has  been  disappoin:ng.”     —    June  Shelp,  Vice  President,  The  Conference  Board,  July  3,  2013   14   U.S.  MARKET  -­‐  MONTHLY  LABOR  DEMAND  VS.  LABOR  SUPPLY   Sources:  Conference  Board  Help  Wanted  OnLine,  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs   Unemployed  Workers   (in  thousands)   Online  Job  Ads     (in  thousands)   0   1000   2000   3000   4000   5000   6000   7000   8000   9000   10000   0   2000   4000   6000   8000   10000   12000   14000   16000   18000   Jan  09   Apr  09   Jul  09   Oct  09   Jan  10   Apr  10   Jul  10   Oct  10   Jan  11   Apr  11   Jul  11   Oct  11   Jan  12   Apr  12   Jul  12   Oct  12   Jan  13   Apr  13   #  of  Unemployed  Workers   #  of  Online  Job  Ads   JOB  DEMAND  UNEVEN  IN  H1  2013   Demand  for  workers  has  been  somewhat  vola:le   in  the  first  half  of  2013,  with  gains  in  June,  April,   and  January  offset  by  declines  in  job  ads  in  the   other  months.  Overall,  online  job  ad  growth  has   averaged  just  over  800  per  month  thus  far  in   2013.  The  supply/demand  ra:o  stands  at  2.4,   meaning  that  there  are  more  than  two   unemployed  workers  in  the  U.S.  for  each  online   vacancy.  S:ll,  labor  demand  is  near  5  million  ads,   close  to  an  all-­‐:me  high  and  above  the  pre-­‐ recession  peak  of  4.3  million.   PROFESSIONAL  DEMAND  HIGH  BUT  SLOWING   Online  demand  has  declined  slightly  this  year  for   many  high-­‐wage  professional  occupa:ons,   including  healthcare,  architecture,  business  and   finance,  and  computer  workers.  S:ll,  the  talent   balance  is  very  :ght  for  professional  jobs,  as   most  of  these  occupa:ons  have  supply/demand   ra:os  of  less  than  one.  Construc:on,  educa:on,   legal,  food  service,  and  transporta:on  jobs  have   been  among  the  leaders  in  demand  growth  in   the  first  half  of  2013.     Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 15. U.S. LABOR MARKET SPOTLIGHT: STEM TALENT SHORTAGES 15 Sources: EMSI, May 28, 2013; New York Times, May 22, 2013; American Society for Engineering Education; How to Find (and Keep) STEM Talent, Kelly Services 41% ENOUGH STEM WORKERS? Is there a shortage of STEM (science, technology, engineering and math) workers in the United States? A recent report by the Economic Policy Institute ignited discussion when it concluded that the country has a “more than sufficient supply” of people with STEM skills who are available to work. But other experts claim that the US has a serious deficiency of workers with the technical background and skills necessary to drive innovation and economic growth. In any case, demand for STEM-qualified workers is expected to continue to accelerate, increasing the tight labor market conditions for these critical skill sets. In the U.S., demand for STEM professionals is expected to increase 17% from 2010 to 2020—adding nearly 1.3 million new STEM jobs to the workforce. FOREIGN-BORN STEM WORKERS Central to the skills shortage debate is the role of foreign students and workers in STEM fields. A significant percentage of STEM graduates from U.S. universities are foreign-born—particularly at advanced degree levels. More than 40% of all STEM doctorates in the U.S., and more than half of all engineering PhDs, are awarded to foreign students, according to research from labor market forecasting specialist EMSI. But only around a third of foreign students end up staying in the country on temporary work visas. This issue is expected to continue to gain attention as Congress considers proposed immigration reform. The current proposal would increase the number of temporary H1-B visas for skilled workers, along with other provisions intended to attract more immigrants with STEM and other high-level skills. Proponents of the bill say that foreign workers are helping to fill the talent gaps in STEM positions; opponents claim that letting in more foreign workers depresses wages and discourages US students and workers from STEM fields. 43% 37% 11% 54% 44% 19% PhD Master's All Degrees PERCENT OF DEGREES AWARDED TO FOREIGN-BORN STUDENTS All STEM fields Engineering 22% 10% 15% 17% Technology (IT/Computer) Architecture & Engineering Science Mathematics STEM PROJECTED EMPLOYMENT GROWTH, 2010-2020 STEM Jobs Average 17% Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 17. INDEPENDENT—AND  INTERNATIONAL—CONTRACTORS       Independent  contractors  (ICs)  have  become  an  integral  part  of  many  organiza?ons’  con?ngent  workforces,  as  companies  and  workers   alike  con?nue  to  embrace  more  flexible  and  non-­‐tradi?onal  workstyles.    One  benefit  of  using  this  type  of  free  agent  talent:  work  is  no   longer  ?ed  to  a  specific  loca?on.  As  such,  more  companies  are  using  IC  talent  from  around  the  globe  to  meet  their  needs.   17   Sources:  State  of  the  Freelance  Market,  Elance,  09.2012;  Global  Business  Survey  2012,  Elance;  Online  Staffing  on  the  Global  Stage,  Staffing  Industry  Analysts,  01.30.13   23%   FREELANCE  WORK  IS  A  GLOBAL  PHENOMENON   While  the  US  and  other  developed  economies  s:ll  lead  the  list  in  terms  of  client  spend   on  ICs,  emerging  economies  are  also  increasingly  turning  to  independent  contractors.     According  to  the  online  IC  service  oDesk,  the  fastest  growing  countries  in  terms  of  client   spend  are  Ukraine,  Russia,  India,  Malaysia,  and  China.  Nearly  40%  of  oDesk’s  client   spend  now  comes  from  outside  the  U.S.,  up  from  22%  in  2007.   Much  of  the  freelance  talent  on  online  IC  services  also  comes  from  advanced  economies   such  as  the  US  and  UK,  but  other  countries  such  as  India,  Pakistan,  and  Ukraine  are  also   key  sources  of  ICs.  This  talent  is  primarily  young  (nearly  half  of  the  independent   contractors  on  the  online  marketplace  Elance  are  Millenials)  and  well-­‐educated  (around   three-­‐quarters  possess  a  bachelor’s  degree  or  higher).  And  most  of  them  don’t  care   where  their  next  job  is  coming  from:  78%  of  Elance  contractors  say  they  have  no   preference  as  to  the  country  in  which  their  clients  are  located.       TOP   COUNTRIES:     Freelance   Client  Spend   FASTEST   GROWING   COUNTRIES:   Freelance   Client  Spend   TOP   COUNTRIES:     Freelance   Workers   •  US   •  Australia   •  UK   •  Canada   •  UAE   •  Ukraine   •  Russia   •  India   •  Malaysia   •  China   •  India   •  US   •  Pakistan   •  Ukraine   •  Philippines   •  UK   Top  countries  based  on  combined  data  from  Elance  and  oDesk,  2012/13;  fastest-­‐ growing  countries  based  on  oDesk  spend  data  only,  2010-­‐2012  CAGR   78%   12%   10%   FREELANCER  PREFERENCE:  CLIENT  LOCATION     No  Preference   Same  Country  As  Me   Different  Country  From  Me   47%   38%   14%   <1%   FREELANCERS  BY  GENERATION   Millenial  (1981-­‐ present)   Genera:on  X   (1965-­‐1980)   Baby  Boomer   (1940-­‐1964)   Silent  Genera:on   (pre-­‐1940)   9%   24%   42%   5%   12%   8%   FREELANCERS  BY  EDUCATION   Doctorate/   Professional  Degree   Master's  Degree   Bachelor's  Degree   Associate's  Degree   Some  College   High  School/  Trade   School   Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 18. HOW  EFFECTIVE  ARE  YOUR  TALENT  MANAGEMENT  STRATEGIES?     In  a  recent  survey,  corporate  directors  iden?fied  talent  management  as  the  single  greatest  strategic  challenge  facing  their   organiza?ons  today.  But  despite  the  perceived  importance,  the  vast  majority  of  board  members  say  that  their  companies  are  not   highly  effec?ve  at  any  aspect  of  talent  management.   18   Source:  Talent  Management:  Boards  Give  Their  Companies  an  “F”,  hbr.org,  05.28.13   23%   A  recent  survey  asked  over  1000  board   members  across  the  globe  to  rate  their   companies’  performance  across  nine   dimensions  of  talent  management.  The  findings   show  that  most  companies  are  falling  well   short  in  all  areas  of  talent  management,  with   the  worst  performances  in  the  areas  of   dismissing  employees  and  leveraging  diversity.     Regional  differences  in  talent  management   effec:veness  are  also  apparent.  Board   members  in  Australia/New  Zealand  and  North   America  give  their  companies  the  highest   marks  on  talent  management  prac:ces,  while   in  Eastern  Europe  and  Russia,  no  respondents   rated  their  companies  as  very  effec:ve  in  four   of  the  nine  talent  categories.     While  board  members’  increased  awareness  of   the  impact  of  talent  management  is  a  hopeful   sign,  there  remains  much  room  for   improvement  in  talent  strategy  execu:on.   Boards  must  next  consider  how  they  can  help   their  organiza:ons  build  and  implement  be]er   talent  management  processes  and  prac:ces.       0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   Aurac?ng  top   talent   Hiring  top  talent   Assessing  talent   Developing   talent   Rewarding  talent  Retaining  talent   Firing   Leveraging   diversity   Aligning  talent   strategy  w/   business  strategy   PERCENT  OF  BOARD  MEMBERS  WHO  STRONGLY  AGREE  THEIR  ORGANIZATION  IS  EFFECTIVE  AT…   North  America   Western  Europe   Eastern  Europe/  Russia   Asia   Australia/NZ   TALENT  MANAGEMENT  CHALLENGES     Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 19. 2013  KGWI:  PERFORMANCE-­‐BASED  PAY     Performance-­‐based  compensa?on  is  gathering  momentum  across  the  globe,  according  to  the  2013  Kelly  Global  Workforce  Index   (KGWI).    Par?cularly  in  fast-­‐growing  emerging  markets,  many  employees  say  they  are  willing  to  accept  some  element  of  risk  or   uncertainty  in  their  salaries  in  return  for  the  opportunity  to  meet  benchmarks  that  will  trigger  performance  bonuses.     19   Source:  Kelly  Global  Workforce  Index  2013.     Performance-­‐based  pay  includes  any  arrangement  where  an  element  of  the  total  remunera:on  package  is  :ed  to  mee:ng  performance  targets  and  may  include,  profit  sharing,  performance  bonuses  and  sales  commissions.   23%  MORE  THAN  FOUR  IN  TEN  GLOBAL  WORKERS  RECEIVE  SOME   FORM  OF  VARIABLE  PAY   Performance-­‐based  compensa:on  is  most  common  in  the  robust   economies  of  the  APAC  region,  where  nearly  60%  of  respondents   receive  some  kind  of  incen:ve  pay.  The  highest  incidence  of   performance-­‐based  pay  is  in  China,  Indonesia,  Thailand,  and   Malaysia,  where  around  three-­‐quarters  of  workers  say  that  their   compensa:on  is  variable.   Conversely,  less  than  40%  of  workers  in  both  the  Americas  and   EMEA  regions  have  variable  pay  structures;  the  prac:ce  is  least   common  in  the  US,  UK,  Ireland,  Australia,  and  the  Nordic  countries.       59%   39%   36%   APAC   EMEA   Americas   Global  Average:  44%   KEY  MARKETS   China  (75%)   Indonesia  (75%)   Malaysia  (72%)   India  (67%)   Australia  (29%)   Russia  (70%)   Poland  (55%)   Germany  (43%)   France  (36%)   UK  (30%)   Brazil  (48%)   Puerto  Rico  (47%)   Mexico  (47%)   Canada  (40%)   US  (32%)   56%   44%   41%   APAC   Americas   EMEA   WOULD  YOU  PERFORM  BETTER  IF  YOUR  PAY   WAS  TIED  TO  YOUR  PERFORMANCE?  (%  YES)   Global  Average:  46%   IS  ANY  OF  YOUR  PAY  DEPENDENT  ON  INDIVIDUAL  PERFORMANCE  TARGETS?   VARIABLE  PAY  SCALES  WOULD  ELEVATE  PERFORMANCE     Among  those  respondents  not  receiving  performance-­‐based  pay,  there   is  a  strong  view  that  they  would  perform  at  a  higher  level  if  they  were  to   switch  to  such  an  arrangement.     Nearly  half  of  workers  globally  say  they  would  perform  at  a  higher  level   with  performance  pay;  the  greatest  interest  is  again  in  the  APAC  region   (56%),  followed  by  the  Americas  (44%)  and  EMEA  (41%).   Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 20. Kelly  offers  a  complete  content  library  that  advances  the  discussion  and  thinking  around  current  trends,  strategies,  and  issues   impac?ng  global  talent  management.     To  register  for  webcasts  or  for  more  informa:on,  visit  www.kellyocg.com   Download  The  Talent  Project,  a  free  iPad  ®  app  by  Kelly  Services.   TITLE   PRESENTED  BY:   DESCRIPTION   4  Reasons  to   Improve  Employee   Engagement   Anthony  Raja  Devadoss,  Vice   President    -­‐    APAC,  KellyOCG   Thomas  McCoy,  Director  -­‐  The   Employee  Engagement  Ins:tute   It  is  possible  to  create  a  highly  engaged  workforce  quickly,  easily  and   without  dispropor:onate  investment  in  :me,  money  or  technology.   In  this  webcast,  our  experts  share  4  reasons  to  improve  employee   engagement  as  well  as  :ps  to  get  you  started.   Reconstruc?ng   Leadership   Chris  Jock,  Vice  President  -­‐  Global   BPO  Prac:ce  Lead,  Kelly  OCG   Read  this  whitepaper  to  understand  how  the  cri:cal  quali:es  of   leadership  are  at  the  same  :me  constant  and  also  evolving  to  adapt   to  today’s  marketplace,  and  how  modern  workplace  leaders  can   keep  strategies  real  and  relevant.     Remote  Work   Under  the   Microscope   Linda  Stuit,  Vice  President  -­‐  Global   Solu:ons,  Kelly  Services   Recent  policy  shiis  in  high-­‐profile  corporate  America  have  ignited  a   na:onal  debate  about  workplace  flexibility.  This  e-­‐book  explores   trends  in  remote  working,  and  discusses  the  balances  and  benefits  to   both  organiza:ons  and  employees.   20   KELLY  KNOWLEDGE     Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 21. About Kelly Services® Kelly Services, Inc. (NASDAQ: KELYA, KELYB) is a leader in providing workforce solutions. Kelly® offers a comprehensive array of outsourcing and consulting services as well as world-class staffing on a temporary, temporary-to-hire and direct-hire basis. Serving clients around the globe, Kelly provides employment to more than 560,000 employees annually. Revenue in 2012 was $5.5 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and connect with us on Facebook, LinkedIn, & Twitter. Click to download The Talent Project, our free iPad app. A Kelly Services Report All trademarks are property of their respective owners. An Equal Opportunity Employer © 2013 Kelly Services, Inc. Y1079 kellyservices.com