In June, 2015 Thinque's futurist-in-residence, Anders Sorman-Nilsson was invited to open NaviHealth's inaugural conference in Nashville, Tennessee to address the Future of Healthcare, in the context of Post-Acute Care. In this slidedeck which summarises the key strategic points from his keynote, you will gain access to insights affecting the digital paradigm shift in how we think about and manage our health, both proactively and reactively. The Future of Healthcare certainly looks more like Startrek than like bloodletting. Here are the slides, courtesy of Keppler Speakers and Thinque.

1. FUTURE OF THE
HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY
A U G U S T 2 0 1 5
©AndersSörman-Nilsson&Clementined’Arco-Thinque

2. T H I N Q U E
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
$45,000
GERMANY
US
UK
SWEDEN
SPAIN
ANNUAL PER CAPITA HEALTHCARE COSTS BY AGE
Source: Paul Fischbeck, Carneige Mellon University, James Hilston/ Post Gazette, 2009
10 20 30 50 70 9040 60 80

3. T H I N Q U E
CostIndex
0
20
40
60
80
2030
2060
2020
2010
2010 - 2060
INDEX OF US HEALTH COST BY AGE RANGE
Source: EMC Analytics Group, 2014
Under5
5to9
10to14
15to19
20to24
25to29
30to34
35to39
40to44
45to49
50to54
55to59
60to64
65to69
70to74
75to79
80to84
85to89
90to94
95to99
100+

4. T H I N Q U E
Per capita spending
THE U.S SPENDS MORE ON HEALTH CARE THAN
OTHER INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES
Source: OECD Health Data 2013
Ausrralia
Canada
Denm
ark
Fram
ce
Germ
any
Netherlands
New
Zealand
Norway
Sweden
Switzerland
United
Kingdom
United
states
$3,800
$4,522
$5,099
$5,669 $5,643
$8,508
$3,925
$3,405
$3,182
$4,448 $4,495
$4,118

5. T H I N Q U E
0
5%
-5%
10%
15%
20%
Home health agency
Skilled nursing facility
Acute care hospital
Impatient rehabilitation facility
Long-term acute care hospital
Source: Medpac. Health Care Spending and the Medicare Program. June 2013.
AVERAGE MEDICARE MARGINS 2011
-5,8%
23%
14,8%
9,6%
6,9%

6. T H I N Q U E
Source: IMS research, MeMD, ABI Research, Deloitte, Rackspace
Smart contact lenses
Wearable
pain relief patch
Smart watchesSmart fitness
bands
Electronic
sensor tattoos
Smart socks
THE DIGITISED SELF

7. T H I N Q U E
The next big revolution in healthcare will not go in your pocket
or sit on your desk. You will be wearing it.
WEARABLE TECH BOOM IN HEALTHCARE
Source: IMS research, MeMD, ABI Research, Deloitte, Rackspace
2012
$2billion
$2.7billionexpected
100milliondevices
$5.8billionexpected
2014 20152013 2016 2017 2018 2019
Fitness
and medical wearables
accounted for
60%of the wearables
market in 2013

8. T H I N Q U E
2012 - 2020 (USD Billion)
GLOBAL MHEALTH SERVICES MARKET
REVENUE AND FORECAST
Source: Company Annual Reports, Industrial Journals, Technical Publications, KOLs, and TMR Analysis
2012 2014 20152013 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

9. T H I N Q U E
PROSPECTIVE PATIENTS TELL
US DIGITAL MATTERS
MOBILE IS A CONSTANT RESEARCH
COMPANION
Research more than 2 weeks before
scheduling an appointment
Now book through
a computer or mobile
app/browser
THE DIGITAL JOURNEY TO WELLNESS:
HOSPITAL SELECTION
Source: Google & Compete, Hospitals Study, 2012
48%
Patients who used a mobile
device to research are more
likely to make an appointment
44%1 in 5 patients
Used mobile devices daily
for hospital research and/or
to schedule appointments
1 in 3 patients

10. T H I N Q U E
Source: PEW Research
WHAT ARE SENIORS DOING ONLINE
FOR THEIR HEALTH?
Seniors requesting Rx refills
electronically
Seniors who want to access
their health information
Seniors who want to make
appts. online
Senior who which to email
their healthcare providers
Senior that want to use a mobile
device to manage appts.
70%
67%
67%
58%
15%

11. T H I N Q U E
57%
29%
SEARCH IS INDISPENSABLE
IN THE PATIENT JOURNEY
ONLINE VIDEO INFORMS
AND CONNECTS
THE DIGITAL JOURNEY TO WELLNESS:
HOSPITAL SELECTION
Source: Google & Compete, Hospitals Study, 2012
39%
After watching online videos about
a hospital, patients...
general information
evaluation of specific
features
28%
21%
comparison across
facilities
16%
consideration of
hospitals they know
discovery of new
hospitals
34%
30%
contacted a hospital
talked to friends,
family members,
or colleagues
about the hospital
scheduled
an appointment
21%
shared an online video

12. T H I N Q U E
Source: HRI Report
THE FINDINGS OF HRI REPORT
of physicians are comfortable
relying on at-home test results
to prescribe medication.
42% of physicians said that e-visits
could replace more than
of in-office patient
visits.
50%
10%
DIAGNOSTIC TESTING OF BASIC CONDITIONS INTO
THE HANDS OF PATIENTS
of consumers said they have
a healthcare, wellness, or medical
app on their mobile device.
28%
PROMOTE SELF-MANAGEMENT OF CHRONIC DISEASE USING HEALTH APPS
INCREASE PATIENT-CLINICIAN
INTERACTION
of physicians would prescribe an app
to help patients manage chronic
diseases such as diabetes.
66%
of physicians
70%
HELP CAREGIVERS WORK MORE AS A TEAM
of consumers
50% believe using mobile devices can help
physicians better coordinate care.

13. T H I N Q U E
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