Real Estate Forecast Results Through June 2009

December 2008 Forecast Results through June 30, 2009 on positions in real estate loan portfolios. October 5, 2009 Presented By: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS, Senior Vice President at Bank of the West, Walnut Creek, CA. [email_address] Disclaimer: The views expressed herein are those of the author. They are not to be construed in any way as the views of Bank of the West or its senior management.

Marc’s forecast time-table ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Marc’s forecast time-table (con’t) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Speculation Risk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Relativity to Index Value I ,[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Relativity to Index Value II ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Relativity to Index Value III ,[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Relativity to Index Value IV ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

General Forecast Assumptions I ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

General Forecast Assumptions II ,[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Real Estate Price Forecast Results Through 6-30-09 ,[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Income Property Debt Forecast Assumptions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Income Property Debt Forecast Results Through 6-3-09 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Single-Family Residence Debt Forecast Assumptions I ,[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Single-Family Residence Debt Forecast Assumptions II ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Single-Family Residence Debt Forecast Results through 6-30-09 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Why existing Basel II Regulation Policy for Banks will impair income property markets ,[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Why Commercial Banks will continue to have challenges making money ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Recommended Solutions for Banks I ,[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Recommended Solutions for Banks II ,[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Why the Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities market will remain challenged. ,[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

How to get the Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities market healthy. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Forecast Conclusion I ,[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Forecast Conclusion II ,[object Object],[object Object],Prepared by: Marc R. Thompson, CRE, CCIM, FRICS

Real Estate Forecast Results Through June 2009

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