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  Strategy	
  Dynamics	
  Global	
  Limited.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  Not	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  without	
  permission.	
  www.globaltrends.com	
   1	
  
GT	
  BRIEFING	
  APRIL	
  2015:	
  
THE	
  FUTURE	
  OF	
  MONEY	
  
www.globaltrends.com	
  
©	
  Strategy	
  Dynamics	
  Global	
  Limited.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  Not	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  without	
  permission.	
  www.globaltrends.com	
   2	
  
InformaGon	
  is	
  power	
  but	
  money	
  certainly	
  is	
  too!	
  	
  
Photo	
  credit:	
  hBp://www.arealchange.com/blog/creaDng-­‐informaDon-­‐products-­‐steps	
  
©	
  Strategy	
  Dynamics	
  Global	
  Limited.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  Not	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  without	
  permission.	
  www.globaltrends.com	
   3	
  
The	
  BRICS	
  rising	
  economic	
  strength	
  is	
  reshaping	
  the	
  
global	
  economic	
  –	
  and	
  monetary	
  –	
  order	
  
	
  
	
  
New	
  Development	
  Bank	
  (NDB)	
  
headquartered	
  in	
  Shanghai	
  was	
  
founded	
  by	
  the	
  five	
  BRICS	
  
countries	
  in	
  July,	
  2014	
  as	
  an	
  
alternaGve	
  to	
  IMF	
  and	
  The	
  World	
  
Bank	
  
©	
  Strategy	
  Dynamics	
  Global	
  Limited.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  Not	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  without	
  permission.	
  www.globaltrends.com	
   4	
  
The	
  power	
  of	
  the	
  Chinese	
  renminbi	
  is	
  rising	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Customer	
  iniGated	
  and	
  insGtuGonal	
  payments.	
  Inbound	
  +	
  outbound	
  traffic.	
  Based	
  on	
  value.	
  
January	
  2014 	
  	
  	
   January	
  2015
	
  	
  	
  38.75%	
  
33.52%	
  
9.37%	
  
2.50%	
  
1.80%	
  
1.75%	
  
1.39%	
  
1.38%	
  
1.09%	
  
0.98%	
  
#1	
  USD	
  
#2	
  EUR	
  
#3	
  GBP	
  
#4	
  JPY	
  
#5	
  CAD	
  
#6	
  AUD	
  
#7	
  CNY	
  
#8	
  CHF	
  
#9	
  HKD	
  
#10	
  THB	
  
43.41%	
  
28.75%	
  
8.24%	
  
2.79%	
  
2.06%	
  
1.91%	
  
1.91%	
  
1.74%	
  
1.28%	
  
0.98%	
  
#1	
  USD	
  
#2	
  EUR	
  
#3	
  GBP	
  
#4	
  JPY	
  
#5CNY	
  
#6	
  CAD	
  
#7	
  CHF	
  
#8	
  AUD	
  
#9	
  HKD	
  
#10	
  THB	
  
Source:	
  SWIFT	
  Watch	
  
December	
  2013	
  	
  
The	
  renminbi	
  (RMB)	
  overtook	
  the	
  Euro	
  to	
  become	
  the	
  second	
  most-­‐
used	
  currency	
  in	
  global	
  trade	
  finance	
  	
  (currency	
  by	
  value	
  for	
  
documentary	
  credit)	
  aaer	
  the	
  U.S.	
  dollar	
  	
  
©	
  Strategy	
  Dynamics	
  Global	
  Limited.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  Not	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  without	
  permission.	
  www.globaltrends.com	
   5	
  
Will	
  the	
  US$	
  lose	
  its	
  power	
  as	
  reserve	
  currency?	
  
?	
   ?	
  
OR	
  
RESERVE	
  
CURRENCY	
  
?	
  
©	
  Strategy	
  Dynamics	
  Global	
  Limited.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  Not	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  without	
  permission.	
  www.globaltrends.com	
   6	
  
TradiGonal	
  banking	
  is	
  under	
  pressure	
  and	
  industry	
  
boundaries	
  are	
  blurring	
  
Kickstarter	
  
Upstart	
  
My	
  ideal	
  city	
  Bogotá	
  	
  
Invested.in	
  	
  Appbackr	
  
Quirky	
  
Crowdrise	
  
RocketHub	
  	
  
Crowdfunder	
  
Indiegogo	
  
©	
  Strategy	
  Dynamics	
  Global	
  Limited.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  Not	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  without	
  permission.	
  www.globaltrends.com	
   7	
  
The	
  P2P	
  lending	
  industry	
  is	
  increasingly	
  popular	
  with	
  
the	
  risk	
  of	
  changing	
  from	
  “peer-­‐to-­‐peer	
  lending”	
  to	
  
“marketplace	
  lending”	
  	
  
Lately	
  banks	
  and	
  P2P	
  companies	
  have	
  started	
  entering	
  
partnerships,	
  e.g.	
  UK	
  Santander	
  and	
  
Royal	
  Bank	
  of	
  Scotland	
  with	
  P2P	
  companies.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
©	
  Strategy	
  Dynamics	
  Global	
  Limited.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  Not	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  without	
  permission.	
  www.globaltrends.com	
   8	
  
A	
  new	
  era	
  of	
  invesGng	
  is	
  on	
  the	
  rise	
  but	
  there	
  
is	
  sGll	
  a	
  long	
  way	
  to	
  go	
  	
  
	
  
	
  	
   In	
  2014,	
  US$46	
  billion	
  of	
  assets	
  were	
  
classified	
  as	
  
impact	
  investment	
  under	
  
management,	
  up	
  20%	
  from	
  2013	
  
US$210	
  trillion	
  is	
  
invested	
  in	
  global	
  
financial	
  markets	
  
Source:	
  Spotlight	
  on	
  the	
  Market	
  -­‐	
  The	
  Impact	
  Investor	
  Survey	
  
©	
  Strategy	
  Dynamics	
  Global	
  Limited.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  Not	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  without	
  permission.	
  www.globaltrends.com	
   9	
  
Modern	
  bartering	
  is	
  flourishing	
  across	
  the	
  world	
  	
  	
  
Trade	
  what	
  
you	
  have…	
  
Get	
  what	
  
you	
  want.	
  	
  	
  
HONDA	
  
haymarket	
  
©	
  Strategy	
  Dynamics	
  Global	
  Limited.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  Not	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  without	
  permission.	
  www.globaltrends.com	
   10	
  
From	
  mobile	
  to	
  wearable	
  payment,	
  contactless	
  
payment	
  is	
  here	
  to	
  stay	
  
More	
  than	
  two-­‐thirds	
  of	
  US	
  smartphone	
  
owners	
  say	
  they	
  prefer	
  to	
  use	
  a	
  wearable	
  
device	
  over	
  a	
  mobile	
  phone	
  to	
  make	
  in-­‐
store	
  payments.	
  
	
  
(Source:	
  emarketer,	
  December	
  	
  2014)	
  
©	
  Strategy	
  Dynamics	
  Global	
  Limited.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  Not	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  without	
  permission.	
  www.globaltrends.com	
   11	
  
Paper	
  money	
  is	
  sGll	
  here	
  but	
  who	
  knows:	
  Perhaps	
  
one	
  day	
  money	
  will	
  be	
  digital	
  only!	
  
TOP	
  5	
  CRYPTO	
  CURRENCIES	
  	
  
BY	
  MARKET	
  CAP	
  (US$)	
  
	
  
1.  Bitcoin	
  	
  $	
  3,625,544,073	
  
2.  Ripple	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  $	
  328,766,570	
  
3.  Litecoin	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  $	
  66,121,296	
  	
  
4.  BitShares	
  	
  $	
  20,586,980	
  
5.  Darkcoin	
  	
  	
  $	
  17,255,542	
  	
  
	
  
MORE	
  THAN	
  500	
  CRYPTO	
  CURRENCIES	
  ALREADY	
  EXIST	
  
©	
  Strategy	
  Dynamics	
  Global	
  Limited.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  Not	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  without	
  permission.	
  www.globaltrends.com	
   12	
  
Physical	
  banking	
  may	
  (not	
  quite)	
  be	
  a	
  thing	
  of	
  the	
  
past	
  –	
  but	
  it	
  will	
  be	
  increasingly	
  driven	
  by	
  technology	
  	
  
Photo	
  credit:	
  hBp://www.robertsoncooper.com/good-­‐daily-­‐banking-­‐arDcle/1214-­‐
japanese-­‐bank-­‐employs-­‐humanoid-­‐robot-­‐staff	
  
Photo	
  credit:	
  hBp://www.balanceinc.com/porgolio/diebold-­‐branch-­‐of-­‐the-­‐future.html	
  
The	
  new	
  employee	
  
Japan’s	
  biggest	
  bank	
  Mitsubishi	
  UFJ	
  
Financial	
  Group	
  has	
  employed	
  ‘Nao,’	
  a	
  
mulDlingual	
  5.4-­‐kg	
  humanoid	
  robot,	
  to	
  deal	
  
with	
  customers.	
  Nao	
  will	
  start	
  working	
  on	
  a	
  
trial	
  basis	
  in	
  two	
  branches	
  from	
  April	
  2015.	
  	
  
Diebold’s	
  self-­‐contained	
  banking	
  	
  
Here	
  customers	
  can	
  interact	
  with	
  a	
  very	
  
human-­‐like	
  avatar	
  to	
  perform	
  different	
  
transacDons.	
  If	
  they	
  get	
  frustrated	
  with	
  
the	
  avatar,	
  soaware	
  can	
  detect	
  a	
  
problem	
  and	
  switch	
  the	
  customer	
  over	
  to	
  
a	
  real	
  person.	
  	
  
©	
  Strategy	
  Dynamics	
  Global	
  Limited.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  Not	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  without	
  permission.	
  www.globaltrends.com	
   13	
  
How	
  will	
  the	
  changing	
  
landscape	
  of	
  money	
  	
  
impact	
  your	
  organizaGon	
  
and	
  industry?	
  
	
  
Read	
  the	
  full	
  briefing:	
  The	
  Future	
  of	
  money	
  	
  
hnp://www.globaltrends.com/monthly-­‐briefings/60-­‐monthly-­‐
briefings/222-­‐gt-­‐briefing-­‐april-­‐2015-­‐the-­‐future-­‐of-­‐money	
  
	
  
	
  In	
  March,	
  look	
  out	
  for	
  trends	
  in	
  acGon	
  on	
  Managing	
  the	
  next	
  
generaGons	
  at	
  work	
  
©	
  Strategy	
  Dynamics	
  Global	
  Limited.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  Not	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  without	
  permission.	
  www.globaltrends.com	
   14	
  
	
  
This	
  presentaGon	
  is	
  adapted	
  from	
  the	
  GT	
  Briefing	
  April	
  2015:	
  The	
  future	
  of	
  
Money.	
  
Electronic	
  copies	
  of	
  the	
  briefing	
  and	
  of	
  our	
  The	
  Global	
  Trends	
  Fieldbook:	
  From	
  
Data	
  to	
  Insights	
  to	
  AcGon	
  are	
  available	
  on	
  www.globaltrends.com,	
  and	
  printed	
  
copies	
  of	
  The	
  Global	
  Trends	
  Fieldbook	
  and	
  The	
  Global	
  Trends	
  Report	
  can	
  be	
  
purchased	
  on	
  Amazon.com	
  and	
  Amazon’s	
  European	
  sites.	
  
	
  
Don’t	
  forget	
  to	
  register	
  at	
  www.globaltrends.com	
  now	
  to	
  make	
  sure	
  you	
  don’t	
  
miss	
  our	
  next	
  monthly	
  briefing	
  (they	
  are	
  free)!	
  	
  
	
  

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GT Briefing April 2015 The future of Money

  • 1. ©  Strategy  Dynamics  Global  Limited.  All  rights  reserved.    Not  to  be  used  without  permission.  www.globaltrends.com   1   GT  BRIEFING  APRIL  2015:   THE  FUTURE  OF  MONEY   www.globaltrends.com  
  • 2. ©  Strategy  Dynamics  Global  Limited.  All  rights  reserved.    Not  to  be  used  without  permission.  www.globaltrends.com   2   InformaGon  is  power  but  money  certainly  is  too!     Photo  credit:  hBp://www.arealchange.com/blog/creaDng-­‐informaDon-­‐products-­‐steps  
  • 3. ©  Strategy  Dynamics  Global  Limited.  All  rights  reserved.    Not  to  be  used  without  permission.  www.globaltrends.com   3   The  BRICS  rising  economic  strength  is  reshaping  the   global  economic  –  and  monetary  –  order       New  Development  Bank  (NDB)   headquartered  in  Shanghai  was   founded  by  the  five  BRICS   countries  in  July,  2014  as  an   alternaGve  to  IMF  and  The  World   Bank  
  • 4. ©  Strategy  Dynamics  Global  Limited.  All  rights  reserved.    Not  to  be  used  without  permission.  www.globaltrends.com   4   The  power  of  the  Chinese  renminbi  is  rising                Customer  iniGated  and  insGtuGonal  payments.  Inbound  +  outbound  traffic.  Based  on  value.   January  2014       January  2015      38.75%   33.52%   9.37%   2.50%   1.80%   1.75%   1.39%   1.38%   1.09%   0.98%   #1  USD   #2  EUR   #3  GBP   #4  JPY   #5  CAD   #6  AUD   #7  CNY   #8  CHF   #9  HKD   #10  THB   43.41%   28.75%   8.24%   2.79%   2.06%   1.91%   1.91%   1.74%   1.28%   0.98%   #1  USD   #2  EUR   #3  GBP   #4  JPY   #5CNY   #6  CAD   #7  CHF   #8  AUD   #9  HKD   #10  THB   Source:  SWIFT  Watch   December  2013     The  renminbi  (RMB)  overtook  the  Euro  to  become  the  second  most-­‐ used  currency  in  global  trade  finance    (currency  by  value  for   documentary  credit)  aaer  the  U.S.  dollar    
  • 5. ©  Strategy  Dynamics  Global  Limited.  All  rights  reserved.    Not  to  be  used  without  permission.  www.globaltrends.com   5   Will  the  US$  lose  its  power  as  reserve  currency?   ?   ?   OR   RESERVE   CURRENCY   ?  
  • 6. ©  Strategy  Dynamics  Global  Limited.  All  rights  reserved.    Not  to  be  used  without  permission.  www.globaltrends.com   6   TradiGonal  banking  is  under  pressure  and  industry   boundaries  are  blurring   Kickstarter   Upstart   My  ideal  city  Bogotá     Invested.in    Appbackr   Quirky   Crowdrise   RocketHub     Crowdfunder   Indiegogo  
  • 7. ©  Strategy  Dynamics  Global  Limited.  All  rights  reserved.    Not  to  be  used  without  permission.  www.globaltrends.com   7   The  P2P  lending  industry  is  increasingly  popular  with   the  risk  of  changing  from  “peer-­‐to-­‐peer  lending”  to   “marketplace  lending”     Lately  banks  and  P2P  companies  have  started  entering   partnerships,  e.g.  UK  Santander  and   Royal  Bank  of  Scotland  with  P2P  companies.        
  • 8. ©  Strategy  Dynamics  Global  Limited.  All  rights  reserved.    Not  to  be  used  without  permission.  www.globaltrends.com   8   A  new  era  of  invesGng  is  on  the  rise  but  there   is  sGll  a  long  way  to  go           In  2014,  US$46  billion  of  assets  were   classified  as   impact  investment  under   management,  up  20%  from  2013   US$210  trillion  is   invested  in  global   financial  markets   Source:  Spotlight  on  the  Market  -­‐  The  Impact  Investor  Survey  
  • 9. ©  Strategy  Dynamics  Global  Limited.  All  rights  reserved.    Not  to  be  used  without  permission.  www.globaltrends.com   9   Modern  bartering  is  flourishing  across  the  world       Trade  what   you  have…   Get  what   you  want.       HONDA   haymarket  
  • 10. ©  Strategy  Dynamics  Global  Limited.  All  rights  reserved.    Not  to  be  used  without  permission.  www.globaltrends.com   10   From  mobile  to  wearable  payment,  contactless   payment  is  here  to  stay   More  than  two-­‐thirds  of  US  smartphone   owners  say  they  prefer  to  use  a  wearable   device  over  a  mobile  phone  to  make  in-­‐ store  payments.     (Source:  emarketer,  December    2014)  
  • 11. ©  Strategy  Dynamics  Global  Limited.  All  rights  reserved.    Not  to  be  used  without  permission.  www.globaltrends.com   11   Paper  money  is  sGll  here  but  who  knows:  Perhaps   one  day  money  will  be  digital  only!   TOP  5  CRYPTO  CURRENCIES     BY  MARKET  CAP  (US$)     1.  Bitcoin    $  3,625,544,073   2.  Ripple            $  328,766,570   3.  Litecoin          $  66,121,296     4.  BitShares    $  20,586,980   5.  Darkcoin      $  17,255,542       MORE  THAN  500  CRYPTO  CURRENCIES  ALREADY  EXIST  
  • 12. ©  Strategy  Dynamics  Global  Limited.  All  rights  reserved.    Not  to  be  used  without  permission.  www.globaltrends.com   12   Physical  banking  may  (not  quite)  be  a  thing  of  the   past  –  but  it  will  be  increasingly  driven  by  technology     Photo  credit:  hBp://www.robertsoncooper.com/good-­‐daily-­‐banking-­‐arDcle/1214-­‐ japanese-­‐bank-­‐employs-­‐humanoid-­‐robot-­‐staff   Photo  credit:  hBp://www.balanceinc.com/porgolio/diebold-­‐branch-­‐of-­‐the-­‐future.html   The  new  employee   Japan’s  biggest  bank  Mitsubishi  UFJ   Financial  Group  has  employed  ‘Nao,’  a   mulDlingual  5.4-­‐kg  humanoid  robot,  to  deal   with  customers.  Nao  will  start  working  on  a   trial  basis  in  two  branches  from  April  2015.     Diebold’s  self-­‐contained  banking     Here  customers  can  interact  with  a  very   human-­‐like  avatar  to  perform  different   transacDons.  If  they  get  frustrated  with   the  avatar,  soaware  can  detect  a   problem  and  switch  the  customer  over  to   a  real  person.    
  • 13. ©  Strategy  Dynamics  Global  Limited.  All  rights  reserved.    Not  to  be  used  without  permission.  www.globaltrends.com   13   How  will  the  changing   landscape  of  money     impact  your  organizaGon   and  industry?     Read  the  full  briefing:  The  Future  of  money     hnp://www.globaltrends.com/monthly-­‐briefings/60-­‐monthly-­‐ briefings/222-­‐gt-­‐briefing-­‐april-­‐2015-­‐the-­‐future-­‐of-­‐money      In  March,  look  out  for  trends  in  acGon  on  Managing  the  next   generaGons  at  work  
  • 14. ©  Strategy  Dynamics  Global  Limited.  All  rights  reserved.    Not  to  be  used  without  permission.  www.globaltrends.com   14     This  presentaGon  is  adapted  from  the  GT  Briefing  April  2015:  The  future  of   Money.   Electronic  copies  of  the  briefing  and  of  our  The  Global  Trends  Fieldbook:  From   Data  to  Insights  to  AcGon  are  available  on  www.globaltrends.com,  and  printed   copies  of  The  Global  Trends  Fieldbook  and  The  Global  Trends  Report  can  be   purchased  on  Amazon.com  and  Amazon’s  European  sites.     Don’t  forget  to  register  at  www.globaltrends.com  now  to  make  sure  you  don’t   miss  our  next  monthly  briefing  (they  are  free)!