Options Analysis in Product Development

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Trevor Speirs

Économie & finance Business

mytechnologycompany.com Why Real Options Matter In Product Development Evaluation

Why Real Options in Technology Product Development ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Simple Example: NPV ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],0 1 2 $5MM $30MM 3 4 5 6 7 8 $5MM $8MM $10MM $10MM $8MM $5MM $2MM

Simple Example: NPV ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],0 1 2 $5MM $30MM 3 4 5 6 7 8 $5MM $8MM $10MM $10MM $8MM $5MM $2MM 10% Discount Rate

Cash Flows Are Not Certain ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],0 1 2 $5MM $30MM 3 4 5 6 7 8 $5MM $8MM $10MM $10MM $8MM $5MM $2MM 10% Discount Rate

We Have Options! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],0 1 2 $5MM $30MM 3 4 5 6 7 8 Go/Kill Decision 10% Discount Rate $5MM $8MM $10MM $10MM $8MM $5MM $2MM

We Have Options! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],0 1 2 $5MM $30MM 3 4 5 6 7 8 Go/Kill Decision 10% Discount Rate $5MM $8MM $10MM $10MM $8MM $5MM $2MM 50% Volatility

We Have Options! ,[object Object],[object Object],0 1 2 $5MM $30MM 3 4 5 6 7 8 Go/Kill Decision 10% Discount Rate $5MM $8MM $10MM $10MM $8MM $5MM $2MM 50% Volatility

Options Can Be Valued ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Our Option Valuation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],0 1 2 $5MM $30MM 3 4 5 6 7 8 Go/Kill Decision 10% Discount Rate $5MM $8MM $10MM $10MM $8MM $5MM $2MM 50% Volatility

Investment Becomes More Attractive ,[object Object],[object Object],0 1 2 $5MM $30MM 3 4 5 6 7 8 Go/Kill Decision 10% Discount Rate $5MM $8MM $10MM $10MM $8MM $5MM $2MM 50% Volatility

Other Options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Option Analysis Fits Technology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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