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Planning for growth...
Not just for survival
2016-17 REPORT
Canvassing the views of
Australian mining leaders on:
ȌȌ Economic Outlook
ȌȌ Prices & Employment Outlook
ȌȌ Capex Spending and Investment
ȌȌ Challenges and Opportunities
ȌȌ Advice to Canberra
Featuring insights from Mrs Gina Rinehart
Chairman, Hancock Prospecting Pty Ltd
and Roy Hill Holdings Pty Ltd
Mining
Business
Outlook
C O N T E N T S
Newport Consulting
Mining Business Outlook
Report 2016-17
ȌȌ Introduction
ȌȌ Key Insights
ȌȌ The Outlook
02
03
04
ȌȌ Exclusive Interview
-- Mrs Gina Rinehart
Chairman, Hancock Prospecting
Pty Ltd & Roy Hill Holdings Pty Ltd
08
SIGNS OF REVIVAL
MBO | I
O V E R T H E L A S T S E V E N Y E A R S ,
W E   H A V E R E P O R T E D O N   T H E   H I G H S
A N D L O W S O F T H E M I N I N G S E C T O R
F I R S T ‑ H A N D . T H I S Y E A R , W E R E P O R T
A D I S T I N C T S H I F T I N S E N T I M E N T A S
T H E I N D U S T R Y S E E S T H E L I G H T .
ȌȌ Challenges & Opportunities
ȌȌ Business Strategies
ȌȌ Advice to Canberra
14
20
22
Newport Consulting is an Australian-headquartered operational management consultancy
that focuses on achieving operational excellence for corporates. We work extensively in the
mining sector, having delivered measurable and sustainable operational improvements to
a number of mining projects across the country.
MBO | 01
NEWPORT CONSULTING
The first report was published in 2010.
Each year, our report canvass the views
of mining leaders across the country
on their growth outlook and prospects,
employment and pricing, challenges,
opportunities and business priorities,
and their advice to Canberra.
Over the last seven years, the Mining
Business Outlook Report has reported
on the highs and lows of the industry
first‑hand. From broadcasting sentiment
when mining was at its peak, to documenting
the collapse in confidence as the sustained
fall in commodity prices killed the mining
investment boom, this report has provided
expert insights into an industry facing
turbulent times.
In 2016, the Federal Government continues
to lead the discussion of an economy in
transition away from mining and resources.
However, as this report shows, in an industry
sector that accounts for more than 50 per
cent of the value of all Australian exports,
our interviews with mining leaders clearly
suggest a shift in industry sentiment and
potentially, a sustained improvement in
the outlook for the sector.
Despite the lows that still exist in parts of
the industry, there has been a huge surge
in sentiment. The outlook for mining appears
more positive than it has been in the last
three years, with a rise in cautious optimism
from below 10 per cent two years ago, to
nearly 50 per cent today. The underlying
reasons for this are that many leaders have
made the difficult changes necessary for
their businesses to survive in today’s climate
of low commodity prices. There is a growing
sense that prices have stabilised and the
next price trend, though it may not occur
soon, will be up.
In addition to our 50 interviews with
mining leaders across key commodities,
this year we were also fortunate enough
to conduct an exclusive interview with
Gina Rinehart, one of Australia’s mining
magnates, well‑documented for her
achievements with Roy Hill, Australia’s
largest iron ore mine. Mrs Rinehart
remains cautiously optimistic about iron
ore, but also warns that in order to retain
global competitiveness for Australia’s
mining sector, the Australian Government
and industry leaders must take urgent action.
In summary, there appear to be signs
of resurgence in the sector over the
next 12 months, with a more confident
outlook for the future. However, the
sector is also calling out for clearer
polices and Government backing in order
to support its ongoing contribution to
Australia’s economic prosperity, as we
once again get ready for an election.
We hope you find the report engaging and
insightful, and we welcome your feedback.
David Hand
Managing Director
Newport Consulting
Many leaders have
made the difficult
changes necessary
for their businesses
to survive in today’s
climate of low
commodity prices.
INTRODUCTION
This year’s Mining Business Outlook Report
is the seventh in the series.
SIGNS OF REVIVAL
MBO | 02
We consulted key industry leaders, including
Gina Rinehart, to collate the most prevalent
outlooks, challenges and opportunities facing
the mining sector in 2016. This year’s report
shows a shift in sentiment, suggesting an
industry revival. The key headline
findings include:
ȌȌ Growth outlook is upbeat for the first
time in years.
For the first time in more than three
years, the mining industry is showing
signs of confidence, with an upbeat
outlook among leaders. Of the leaders
interviewed, 43 per cent are optimistic
about their growth forecasts for the
next 12 months; a definite swing towards
revival. This has increased from well
below 10 per cent a few years ago.
During this time, the number of
leaders not optimistic has dramatically
fallen from 93 per cent to 55 per cent.
ȌȌ Miners are focused on growth;
not just survival.
After a period of focusing on recalibration
and cost reduction, miners are more positive
about boosting profitability through growth
in the long-term. In recent years, survival
was the key business strategy. For the year
ahead, growth is now a significantly higher
focus, with 15 per cent of leaders citing this
as a key strategy. This once again suggests
the industry is now ready to address
topline and bottom line growth.
ȌȌ Good news: Miners are starting
to spend again.
There are early signs of increased capital
expenditure across the sector. For miners,
a new phase of confidence is already
beginning, with 27 per cent of companies
interviewed for this year’s report either
planning to moderately or significantly
increase Capex in the next 12 months.
This is up from 18 per cent last year.
ȌȌ Prices to stabilise; another sign of
the tide turning.
For 1 in 2 mining leaders interviewed,
commodity prices are expected to stabilise
over the next 12 months, further indicating
a shift in sentiment within the sector.
Stable prices are set to pave the way
for increased capital spending, carving
a more positive outlook for miners.
ȌȌ Fewer companies reducing staff;
more hiring.
Last year, most miners were reducing
staff. This year, there is an increase
in new recruits, with more companies
planning to hire in the next 12 months.
ȌȌ Poor market conditions still
concern leaders.
Despite cautious optimism among miners,
poor market conditions, low commodity
prices and capital constraints remain
key concerns. Faced with an uncertain
climate, miners are looking beyond the
current economic situation and further
into the future, as they prepare for a
growth agenda.
After a period
of focusing on
recalibration and cost
reduction, miners are
more positive about
boosting profitability
through growth in the
long-term.
KEY
INSIGHTS
The Mining Business Outlook Report identifies
the current climate for mining companies in
Australia and on the global stage.
NEWPORT CONSULTING
MBO | 03
FLICKERS OF HOPE AS
MINERS SHOW OPTIMISM
For the first time in three years, the mining
industry is showing signs of confidence,
with a more upbeat outlook projected for
the next 12 months. According to our latest
research, 43 per cent of mining leaders are
cautiously optimistic; up significantly from
2014, when confidence hit an all time low.
While few miners have a very optimistic
outlook, the gap between leaders not
optimistic (55 per cent) and cautiously
optimistic leaders (43 per cent)
is clearly closing.
The report’s findings suggest that there
is a shift occurring in the sector, with
the pendulum starting to swing towards
a revival. While the national agenda
prioritises the economy in transition,
our data indicates that the mining sector
continues to contribute positively to the
Australian economy.
The number of leaders not optimistic has
dramatically fallen from 84 per cent last
year to 55 per cent this year. Those leaders
feeling more upbeat have increased from
15 per cent last year to 43 per cent this
year, representing a sharp increase.
Miners are successfully adjusting to the
new industry climate and have increasing
clarity and positivity for the future. Miners
are aiming to carve a competitive place in a
potentially reviving sector, as prices become
stable and volumes grow.
THE
OUTLOOK
Flickers of hope as miners show optimism
for the first time in three years, the mining
industry is showing signs of confidence.
By being active in
cutting our costs and
maintaining reasonable
demands from
customers for more
product, we remain
cautiously optimistic.
- Manager, $4 Billion
Mining Company
Figure 1
Year-Year comparison: How optimistic are you
about future growth and business?
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20162015
Not optimistic Cautiously optimistic Very optimistic
100
80
60
40
20
0
(%)
SIGNS OF REVIVAL
MBO | 04
MINERS FOCUSED ON GROWTH;
NOT JUST SURVIVAL
When we asked our mining leaders why
they are more optimistic in their outlook,
the three key reasons provided included:
business is in a more competitive
position after a period of refocus and
recalibration (46 per cent); the national
resources sector has started to recover
(23 per cent); and customer demand has
increased (12 per cent). The enormous
investment in increased capacity has
been vindicated by rising volumes of
exports, and an expectation that mining
operations are returning to being profitable,
after a major focus on cost reduction.
YET POOR MARKET CONDITIONS
STILL A CONCERN
For those leaders who were not as optimistic
about the next 12 months, the key reasons
reported for lack of confidence included:
poor market conditions (46 per cent); low
commodity prices (25 per cent); and capital
constraints (13 per cent).
This suggests that miners still want to see
more stability and certainty in the global and
national economy, and the local environment
around them. However, cautious optimism
does not necessarily mean another boom
is imminent. There is a long way to go before
the industry is willing to ramp up exploration
and begin to invest in expansion again.
However, it represents a definite shift
in sentiment.
Changes to
ownership of certain
operations may bring
some increased
opportunities to newly
acquired operations.
- General Manager,
Iron Ore Miner
Figure 2
Positive level of optimism (%)
LNP re-election
Economic recovery
Long-term contracts
Business landscape
Increased demand
Price stabilisation
121223 4 464
Bank negative impact
Economic uncertainty
Market conditions
Capital
Commodity prices
Costs
2646 13 258
Figure 3
Negative level of optimism (%)
MBO | 05
THE OUTLOOK
GOOD NEWS: MINERS
STARTING TO SPEND AGAIN
One of the most encouraging findings
from this year’s report is that 27 per cent
of companies interviewed are either planning
to moderately or significantly increase Capex in
the next 12 months. This is up from 18 per cent
last year. The return to capital expenditure is
starting in improvements and refits of existing
mining operations, rather than a wholesale
return to building new mines.
Further, the percentage of companies actually
reducing capital spend has dropped from
78 to 30 per cent; a 50 percent fall. This is a
steep drop and suggests that change is afoot
for the mining sector.
An increase in capital expenditure marks a new
phase of confidence in the outlook for mining
and resources.
MORE SPENDING THAN LESS
Across the mining leaders interviewed,
31 per cent plan to increase spending
by up to 15 per cent.
In addition, more than a quarter have
reported no change to spending whatsoever;
that is over a quarter (27 per cent) will not
reduce or increase spend. And only 15 per
cent reported a reduction in spend.
Compared with the previous three years,
there is a significant shift in mindset, with
a renewed willingness to invest in capital
spending. However, we are still a long way
short of the heady days of the investment
boom. There are few large-scale projects
expected to start any time soon.
There is growing
confidence in the
equities market to
support project
financing.
- C-Level, Commercial
Mining Construction
Figure 4
Will you increase spending and investment (%)
30
44
78
0 0 0
43
18 17
57
42
6
19
12
9
56
31
8 8
4 5
25
35
52
No, we are reducing No increase Yes, moderately increase Yes, significantly
2015-16 2014-15 2013 2012 2011 2010
THE OUTLOOK continued
SIGNS OF REVIVAL
MBO | 06
PRICES STABILISE; ANOTHER
SIGN OF THE TIDE TURNING
While few mining leaders (19 per cent)
expect prices to increase over the next
12 months, the majority expect prices
to stabilise (58 per cent). This once again
signifies a shift in attitude and sentiment
within the sector. Pessimism about prices
and the future forecast is evaporating,
with increasing confidence in stable prices.
This is providing a foundation for more
capital spending.
FEWER COMPANIES REDUCING
STAFF; MORE HIRING
Overall, the employment outlook is
promising, with increasing stability for staff in
2016, and potential new recruits.
Last year, the majority of miners were
still reducing staff (80 per cent) and few
companies appeared to be hiring. This year, we
see glimpses of a shift, with companies actually
planning to hire over the next 12 months, albeit
a small number (8 per cent).
Companies reducing staff have decreased
significantly from 80 - 44 per cent; a significant
drop. There is a sharp increase in the number
of companies deciding not to make any
changes to their hiring plans. This means
they are neither hiring nor reducing staff,
but maximising their exisitng staff.
Companies continue to review
internal operations, assessing the role
of contractors and their own employees.
Indicators are
reasonable with
industry opportunism
on the back of the
collapse being largely
over.
- Director, $5-10 Billion
Mining Company
Figure 5
What is your outlook on prices for the
next 12 months? (%)
Figure 6
What is your outlook on employment for the
business for the next 12 months? (%)
Decrease StabiliseIncrease
231958
8
0
48
80
44
4
0
16
Hiring Reducing No change Unspecified
2015-16 2014-15
MBO | 07
THE OUTLOOK
SINCE OPENING ROY HILL, WHAT
IS YOUR OUTLOOK FOR 2016?
There are a myriad of opportunities that
the Australian mining industry must look
to act upon to ensure that it continues to
be internationally competitive. We need to
significantly cut the Government‑imposed
regulations, approvals, permits, licenses
and compliance cost burdens that are
placed on Australia’s resource industry.
One third of Australia’s exports and revenue are
from iron ore and coal alone, and both currently
have devastated prices. This is seriously hurting
related industries and the budget, blowing out
our Government borrowings. If this continues,
it will cause increasing numbers of people
to be unemployed.
Since the first half of 2014, the Australian
Federal and State Governments have
been well aware of the iron ore and
other commodities price crash and
continued uncertainty. Yet little has been
done to actually address and reduce the
onerous and expensive problems it has
created for the resources sector.
Daily reports are in the public domain
about companies struggling with
the resource price crashes, and about
companies slashing costs, staff and/
or pay, and facing closure. Yet one of
the biggest cost burdens, Government,
is not similarly slashing the costs burden
it imposes, for an industry which has
been the most important contributor
to our country for decades, and which,
in turn, supports many related industries.
To continue, these industries must be
internationally cost competitive.
How does Australia achieve the next
mega‑project after Roy Hill if no one is
willing to invest money, go through the
many risks we did, and contend with the
more than 4000 permits, approvals and
licenses required, even before construction!
It simply does not help the many related
industries and businesses involved in the
mining industry. This can be seen from the
record of our declining exploration and
declining investment in resources projects.
If the Australian Federal Government was
truly committed to the resources sector,
it would look to the example being set
by India’s Prime Minister, Narendra Modi.
In his short term in office so far, he has
successfully achieved significant regulatory,
approvals, permits, license cuts and
compliance reductions. As a result, he has
approximately doubled India’s economic
growth, and enabled his country to enjoy
the highest economic growth in the world
today, with resultant benefits for his people.
WHAT IS YOUR STRATEGY FOR ROY
HILL IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Following on from the successful
first shipments of two iron ore cargos
in December last year, Roy Hill has now
officially taken care, custody and control
of its Mine, Rail and Port operations from
EPC contractor Samsung CT. Our attention
now turns to the safe and efficient ramp
up of operations to the 55 million tonne
per annum name plate capacity. This is a
significant milestone for the business, as it
means we now have control of all business
critical infrastructure for the mining, processing,
stockpiling and shipping of our ore.
While Roy Hill has erroneously been blamed
as being largely or solely the significant driver
of the deflationary pressure on the iron ore
price, we don’t have control of or significantly
To continue, these
industries must be
internationally cost
competitive.
EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW
Mrs Gina Rinehart, Chairman, Hancock Prospecting Pty Ltd
and Roy Hill Holdings Pty Ltd, shares her views on the sector.
SIGNS OF REVIVAL
MBO | 08
contribute to influencing the global price
of iron ore. The prices for our commodities
are international prices which we can’t dictate.
As such, Roy Hill’s strategy will focus on a
safe and efficient ramp up to 55Mtpa and
sustained, low-cost production of iron ore
that is consistent in quality and grade.
Because we are constrained by the amount
of iron ore we can produce by our port
allocation through Port Hedland Harbour,
we focus on margins rather than tonnes.
As a margin-focused business, we want
maximum return for each tonne of ore
we produce. Commodity markets go up
and down and by remaining focused on
maximising returns, we help to ensure
our business is well-positioned to meet
the demands of the market cycles.
To achieve this, Roy Hill has adopted a small
business mindset that enables it to be agile
enough to identify and take advantage of
opportunities which maximise value and
returns. It is a business focused on adopting
financially prudent, fit-for-purpose solutions,
while also applying innovative thinking to
continuously drive business improvement
opportunities aimed at reducing costs,
boosting performance and maximising margins
on a sustained basis over the life of the project.
HOW DOES ROY HILL’S QUALITY IRON
ORE IMPROVE COMPETITIVENESS?
The Roy Hill ore body is a world-class, Marra
Mamba iron ore deposit located in the Pilbara
– one of the world’s premier iron ore provinces.
We have a large ore body comprised of
low phosphorous lump and fines products,
that has a chemical quality consistent with
other high quality seaborne traded ore.
Our lump and fines ore has been rigorously
tested by both steel mills and independent
laboratories and has been found to be directly
substitutable for other major Pilbara lump and
fine ore products. The quality of our product
is evidenced by the fact that more than
90% of Roy Hill’s quality product is already
under long-term contracts with our Equity
Partners or steel mills throughout Asia.
WHAT ARE THE CHALLENGES/
OPPORTUNITIES FACING THE SECTOR?
The greatest challenge facing Australia’s
mining industry is the onerous and expensive
Government imposed regulations, approvals,
permits, licenses and compliance cost burdens
that are placed on it. Without significant
action to address this issue, we will continue
to see the substantial decline in exploration
investment. And without this investment to
find the next big mineral resource deposits,
I fear that we will not see the development
of a mega project like Roy Hill for a long
time to come.
However, there are a myriad of opportunities
that the Australian mining industry must look
to act upon to ensure that it continues to be
internationally competitive. For example, we
live in an age of rapidly developing technology
and innovation. At Roy Hill, we embrace
technology as a core element across the
business to drive optimum efficiency
in delivering 55Mtpa of iron ore to our
customers. The innovative use of technology
helps integrate business systems and processes
to achieve maximum business efficiency, while
also helping to complement and enhance
our people’s capabilities.
Evidence of how technology is helping to drive
productivity efficiencies and cost optimisation
can be seen in the GE ‘Evolution Series’ diesel
locomotives that we purchased to haul our ore
The greatest challenge
facing Australia’s
mining industry is the
onerous and expensive
Government imposed
regulations, approvals,
permits, licenses and
compliance costs
burdens.
MBO | 09
EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW
344km from our mine to our port facilities in
Port Hedland. These state‑of‑the-art machines
use remote diagnostics technology to gather
data, which is sent in real time to Pennsylvania
in the United States for assessment by GE.
This technology enables us to continually
monitor the performance of the
locomotives and provides our operations
with a preventative maintenance capability.
This allows us to pre-emptively identify
and address maintenance issues before they
become significant. In turn, it means we are
able to both significantly reduce the downtime
of our locomotives and reduce maintenance
costs, and therefore boost productivity
and reduce operating costs.
Utilising the latest equipment and
machinery that incorporate the most
up-to‑date technology, will help ensure
that our operations not only run to peak
productivity and cost effectiveness, but are
also ready for upgrading to autonomous
operation, without the cost or need to
retrofit technology.
The integration of Roy Hill’s operations,
marketing and corporate services functions
through our Remote Operations Centre
(ROC) and Demand Chain business model
is an excellent example of how technology
and innovative thinking are being combined
to deliver peak operational performance
and cost optimisation.
The amalgamation of the operations, marketing
and corporate services business functions into
a truly vertically integrated business provides
a coordinated and integrated approach to the
planning, operation and overall management
of Roy Hill’s Corporate, Mining, Processing,
Rail and Port operations. Central to this
integrated business approach is the ROC,
which houses the Demand Chain team who
are responsible for the operational planning,
scheduling and execution of production
activities across all areas of operations.
The key focus for the Demand Chain team
is the gathering, validating and reporting
of real time and near real time operational
data. This data is used to support and
drive key operational decision-making
to deliver optimisation of production
throughput, quality and reliability across
the entire business. This integrated, Demand
Chain‑driven business model, together
with the technology incorporated on site
to deliver real time operational data to the
ROC, drives productivity improvements and
continuous improvement across the business,
by focusing on how the individual functions
of the business – Operations, Marketing and
Corporate – operate together most effectively
as a whole. This approach ensures that the
business is maximising throughput and quality
conformance, as well as managing variation
effectively to minimise operating costs.
Technology, along with the capability of
our people to drive innovation, is playing
a very important role to build and strengthen
the foundation for Roy Hill’s future.
WHERE DOES AUSTRALIA’S ECONOMY
NEED TO SHIFT TO IN THE FUTURE?
Australia’s mining and related industries have
been a significant driver of economic growth
for Australia’s economy for many decades,
helping Australia deliver a GDP growth average
of 3.6 per cent a year for most of this century.
Australia’s mining‑related industries are, and
will continue to be, of vital importance to
the Australian economy for many, many
years to come.
Australia’s
mining‑related
industries are, and
will continue to be,
of vital importance
to the Australian
economy.
EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW continued
SIGNS OF REVIVAL
MBO | 10
However, if we expect mining and related
industries to continue to be a significant
contributor to the Australian economy, urgent
action must be taken by both the Australian
Government and those within the industry,
to ensure that it remains internationally
competitive. It should be obvious that high
cost Australia, with its declining productivity,
must reduce its expensive Government
burdens to enable it to be cost competitive
overseas, or face losing important markets
and consequently much needed revenue
and opportunities, to Australia’s detriment.
The Government must act to help stimulate
investment in resource exploration, an area
that is in serious decline. Without this, we
will not see construction of another mega
project like Roy Hill for many years to come.
It must act to attract companies to invest
in resource projects in Australia so that
they do not focus their efforts offshore.
With the downturn in Australia’s mining
and related industries comes a budget
dilemma for the Australian Government,
as royalty payments and tax contributions
from this sector also shrink. This does not
bode well for the record Government debt,
which now sits at more than $400 billion
and is, scarily for everyone, rising fast.
Our leaders in Government must look to
a new way of doing things, such as India’s
Prime Minister, Narendra Modi is doing with
his mantra “from red tape to red carpet”.
In his short time in office to date, Mr Modi
has delivered regulatory approval, permit
license cuts and compliance reductions,
and consequently almost doubled India’s
economic growth. He has enabled his
country to enjoy the highest economic
growth in the world today.
Imagine the benefits that could be
produced for the Australian economy
if our Government took this approach;
not just for Australia’s mining and related
industries, but for all industry. As a nation,
we need to stop finding reasons not to do
things and instead find ways to make things
happen. A great example is the development
of Australia’s North. The potential for
economic development in Northern Australia
is undeniable should we reduce Government
burdens and enable a special economic zone.
These opportunities in our North don’t
just exist in the mining and resources
sector, but in agriculture, tourism etc.
There is also huge potential for Northern
Australia to become the high quality, high
gross margin food bowl for Asia. We currently
feed 60 million people a year. With sensible
water catchment and deployment of the latest
agricultural, transport and logistics technology,
Australia could feed many more people.
In order to realise the possibilities which
exist, policies must be put in place which
will attract investment and encourage growth
in Northern Australia, in particular, a Special
Economic Zone. This ‘Northern Economic
Zone’ would offer tax advantages to attract
and retain investment, such as lower personal
income tax or tax rebates for those who live
and work in the Northern Zone, no payroll tax,
no fringe benefits tax and no stamp duty.
Special Economic Zones have been very
successful internationally in encouraging
economic growth in regions around the world.
In order to realise
the possibilities which
exist, policies must be
put in place which will
attract investment and
encourage growth.
MBO | 11
EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW
THERE ARE A MYRIAD OF
OPPORTUNITIES THAT THE AUSTRALIAN
MINING INDUSTRY MUST LOOK TO ACT
UPON TO ENSURE THAT IT CONTINUES
TO BE INTERNATIONALLY COMPETITIVE.
- Mrs Gina Rinehart
SIGNS OF REVIVAL
MBO | 12
MBO | 13
EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW
At a time when Australia faces another
potential change in Government and
therefore policy, those unable to keep
up with employing new ways of thinking
and adapting in this evolving landscape
will find it hard to maintain and grow
their mining business.
WHAT IS KEEPING LEADERS
AWAKE AT NIGHT?
Commodity pricing and global
economic conditions pose major challenges
for the sector. While there are glimmers
of confidence around the stabilising of
commodity prices over the next 12 months,
the volatile nature of prices continues
to challenge the sector. Of the leaders
interviewed, 28 per cent flagged this as the
number one issue keeping them up at night.
This has doubled when compared to last
year; up from 14 per cent.
THE YEAR OF ‘GROWTH
VERSUS SURVIVAL’
While productivity improvements remain
a challenge for 21 per cent of leaders, this
has fallen from last year, where productivity
was cited as the key challenge facing the
sector (32 per cent). This year, it is less
of a focus, with miners turning towards
growing the topline of their operations.
However, they still remain strongly focused
on operational efficiency and control of costs,
with little appetite at this stage to engage
in long‑term activities, such as exploration.
GROWING PROFITABLE OPERATIONS
With major cost-cutting and staff
redundancies substantially reduced,
the challenge now remains for miners
to increase and maintain profitability
and cash flow (25 per cent). This is up
significantly from last year, when only 8 per
cent of mining leaders showed any concern
about the profitability of their mining
operations, as they were focused mainly
on preventing their mines from closure.
Commodity pricing
is in a trough, albeit
volumes produced are
escalating. In a bid to
cut costs, the mining
sector needs to ensure
though that it doesn’t
irreversibly shatter the
support services that
have taken the biggest
impact.
- Managing Director, Major
Mining Services Company
CHALLENGES 
OPPORTUNITIES
The mining industry will continue
to face change as it comes to terms
with the shift in the global market.
SIGNS OF REVIVAL
MBO | 14
It is interesting to note that raising capital
hasn’t come up in the last three years as
a challenge for the sector, as the industry
went into survival mode and almost
abandoned any attempt to raise capital
and expand Capex. However, capital raising
is now on the agenda for 7 per cent of
the leaders we interviewed. Raising funds
is something that miners are focused on,
yet also challenged by.
SHIFT IN CULTURE AND MINDSET
As the industry continues through a
cycle of uncertainty in many areas, leaders
remain challenged to maintain employee
engagement and staff morale through
such a lengthy recovery period. Although
this issue has continued to present itself in
recent years, in 2016, 9 per cent have cited
this as a key challenge, meaning it’s become
significantly more of a concern. It appears
that to refocus efforts on growth, a more
positive culture needs to be created in
the sector, focusing on optimism and
confidence, with hope for future
progression and development.
It is now pertinent to assure employees and
investors that there are opportunities for
prosperity, with new and emerging markets.
We need to deepen our connection to Asian
markets and develop ongoing relationships
with our neighbours. This will add value
to what has the potential to be a ‘high
gross margin food bowl’ for the region.
Gina Rinehart also comments on this in the
interview that she gave exclusively to us
for this year’s Mining Business Outlook Report.
Productivity needs
to improve to keep
Australia internationally
competitive.
- Executive Vice President,
Coal Mine
28
27
14
8
21
32
14
13
9
0
5
4
7
0
0
0
3
6
0
0
2
0
0
5
17
2
0
0
0
0
0
12
0
0
4
8
0
0
0
2
3
7
14
38
25
14
7
8
Volatile
prices
Profitability
Productivity
Raising
capital
Staff
retention
Tax,Unions,Laws
Expanding
operations
Project
delivery
Remaining
competitive
Labour
shortages
Market
conditions
Increasing
throughput
2016 2015 2014 2013
Figure 7
Key Challenges (%)
MBO | 15
CHALLENGES  OPPORTUNITIES
WHERE ARE THE OPPORTUNITIES?
This year, we have witnessed a range
of new opportunities identified by our
leaders – areas that haven’t come up in
our interviews over the last three years
at least. This indicates the significant shift
that has occurred in the sector over the last
12 months. Once again, our findings show
that the tide is turning and growth is firmly
on the agenda.
GAINING TRACTION THROUGHOUT
THE MARKET
Leaders are banking on growth through
marketplace expansion as the primary
opportunity over the next 12 months
(15 per cent). Again, this supports our overall
finding of this year’s report; that miners are
beginning to look further into the future,
not just focusing on immediate survival.
While more recent entrants into the market
are enduring hardship due to higher start-up
costs, those who have been able to maintain
business, improve operational efficiency and
reduce wastage, will benefit from the low
Australian dollar and global opportunities.
As our largest export, iron ore continues
to export more commodity than ever
before, while base metals are believed
to have an increased demand from
emerging markets like Asia. By being
both internationally cost competitive
and producing a quality consistent product,
the Australian resources sector will be able
to sufficiently and sustainably deliver on
demand. With market consolidation still
on the table (15 per cent), it may be at the
organisation’s discretion to leverage MA’s
in order to penetrate growth into a larger
market sphere.
I believe we have
reached the bottom
of the market and MA
activity will strengthen
over the coming
months, leading to
project development
in selected sectors.
It may not be market
wide, however there
will be enough activity
to stimulate the
equity market.
- CEO, Mining
Construction Company
CHALLENGES  OPPORTUNITIES continued
SIGNS OF REVIVAL
MBO | 16
Growing into existing and new markets will
also mean that the industry needs to care
of their existing and potential new customers.
The importance of a service-based offering
has been highly recognised by 11 per cent
of leaders as a key opportunity to enhance
and cultivate new business.
DATA DRIVEN TECHNOLOGY SEEN AS
AN ENABLER
Price dependency has dropped significantly
this year, with only 7 per cent of leaders
identifying price increase or stabilisation
as a business opportunity for the next
12 months, as opposed to 33 per cent in
2015. It is clear that leaders now understand
they must move to a new revenue model
that is based around topline growth, as
well as enhanced productivity through
innovation and people systems (12 per cent).
This will drive the opportunity to implement
cost reductions (12 per cent).
Sustainable, low cost production mixed
with the ability to meet market demands
will ultimately maximise revenue margins
for the industry. Utilising integrated
management operating systems amongst
staff to drive decision-making and solve
operating problems will enhance efforts
to boost overall business performance.
Technology, along
with the capability
of our people to drive
innovation, is playing
a very important role
to build and strengthen
the foundation for
the future.
- Mrs Gina Rinehart
15
0
15
20
0
12
0
12
11
7
0
10
0
8
7
33
6
7
4
7
0
13
0
7
0
7
Marketgrowth
Consolidation
Productivity
innovation
Costreduction
Customerfocus
Smartassets
Other
Stabilisation
Exploration
Volumeincrease
Railtransport
Govtasset
Revenuestreams
2016 2015
Figure 8
Key Opportunities (%)
MBO | 17
CHALLENGES  OPPORTUNITIES
FOR THE FIRST TIME IN THREE YEARS,
THE INDUSTRY IS CLEARLY SHOWING
SIGNS OF REVIVAL – A DISTINCT SHIFT
IN SENTIMENT AND OUTLOOK.
SIGNS OF REVIVAL
MBO | 18
NEWPORT CONSULTING
MBO | 19
GROWTH IS ON THE AGENDA
The sector is beginning to think about a return
to growth. For the year ahead, there is renewed
focused on the sustainable operations of
businesses, coupled with strategies that will
add to the topline, maintaining and increasing
volumes while commodity prices remain stable
and potentially increase.
It is interesting to note that in recent years,
survival was the key business strategy
for the sector, and this has now fallen in
its ranking (less than 5 per cent are still
focused on business survival). Growth is
now a significantly higher focus, with 15 per
cent of leaders citing this as a key strategy.
This once again suggests that after years of
consolidation and recalibration, the industry
is ready to address topline and bottom line
growth. Miners are now looking at strategies
to support this.
When our mining leaders spoke about
growth opportunities they identified,
some qualified this with comments
around growth through consolidation,
acquisition, JVs etc. It is highly likely
that the shake out of ownership, mergers,
acquisitions and divestments will continue
over the next 12 months and beyond, as
the miners reorganise themselves for
the next phase in growth.
TRANSFORMATIONAL
CHANGE IS VITAL
Cost control and productivity have remained
the key priorities for business leaders into
the next year (26 per cent and 19 per cent
respectively), with take up being an integral
part in managing cash flow. After a period
of redundancies and cost cutting strategies,
it is now imperative that businesses
utilise their existing staff and rapidly
deploy technology, in order to maximise
profitability and drive enhanced productivity.
We must maintain
share price to ensure
we are not a takeover
target and gain market
confidence to continue
moving projects ahead.
- President, Mining
Engineering Company
BUSINESS
STRATEGIES
The sector is beginning
to think about a return
to growth.
SIGNS OF REVIVAL
MBO | 20
Operating efficiency has steadily risen in
the mining operations that have survived
to date, with increased throughput
underpinning their profitability. Productivity
and improved management operating
systems remain important for the ongoing
progression of mining companies today.
CHANGING AN ENTRENCHED
WORKFORCE
Growth and productivity cannot come
without an outward change in staff
culture, which is now being recognised
by leaders in future planning (8 per cent).
While integrated business systems aim
to maximise margins, there can be no real
organisational change without a boost in
employee engagement and performance.
While this is a priority for leaders moving
forward, it will also prove to be a challenge,
as businesses must continue to maintain staff
morale through the ongoing tough cycle of
the industry, moving through a transitional
period towards growth.
The miners are looking at all their costs,
particularly labour costs, which are among
the highest in the world, to maintain their
economic viability.
With a solid customer
demand, ramping
up operations and
keeping a low cost
of production is vital.
- President, Iron Ore Miner
1
3 3 3
4
6
7
14
15
27
17
Innovation
Customerfocus
Sellassets
Funding
Exploration
Survival
Culturechange
Safety
Growth
Productivity
Managecosts
Figure 9
What are your 3 key business priorities over the
next 12 months? (%)
NEWPORT CONSULTING
MBO | 21
ADVICE TO CANBERRA
The Government’s mid-year economic
financial outlook has erred on the side of
caution when including the impact of the
industry on its financial purse. But with iron
ore and coal being the two highest value
export earners, there is argument from
industry leaders that Government regulations,
taxing and exploration investment should
be reassessed.
MAKE IT EASIER FOR US TO SUCCEED
The mining sector has turned towards
a more positive outlook for its future.
However, mining leaders feel hampered by
the Government’s unproductive and laborious
project approval processes, said to be one of
the most inefficient in the world.
This is a new area that has emerged in
our Advice to Canberra interview, when
compared to previous years. It ranked
second this year in terms of what is giving
leaders heart burn, with almost 1 in 4 mining
leaders citing the approval process as a
hindrance to productivity and growth.
Mrs. Rinehart’s exclusive interview confirms
this widespread view, and she has spoken
publicly before about the laborious and
lengthy approval processes that her
company had to endure to open Roy Hill.
The miners are saying that getting new mines
approved is becoming more difficult in the face
of the shifting political influences. This makes
investing in new operations overseas more
attractive, as the development process is
easier than Australia. Leaders want less
red tape, faster approvals and minimised
Government interference.
With growth back on the agenda and
commodity prices likely to return to trend,
it is expected that the desire to open new
projects will grow, and this will be key for
national economic prosperity.
Resources will recover.
The key is that mining
firms are inspired to
survive and flourish.
And IR laws should
encourage productivity
improvement.
- Managing Director,
Copper Mine
ADVICE TO
CANBERRA
Growth in the sector is key to national
economic prosperity - make it easier
for us to succeed.
SIGNS OF REVIVAL
MBO | 22
SIMPLIFIED IR LAWS STILL DEMANDED
An ongoing theme for industry leaders in
terms of what they expect of the Government
is improved IR laws and processes (43 per
cent) – something that the sector continues
to request and that we continue to report
on. It is a theme that isn’t going away and
that continues to be on the radar for leaders.
However, better IR conditions have definitely
decreased in terms of importance over the
last 4-5 years.
LIMIT THE INFLUENCE OF UNIONS
The industry is saying that the unions have
succeeded in driving up wages in the sector
to the extent that as commodity prices have
fallen, mines have become unprofitable due
to limited scope for the workforce to share the
pain of reduced prices. This has contributed
significantly to mine closures, as well as
investment in automation that eliminates
labour. Neither of these measures are good
for workers and they miss out due to rigid
industrial laws. Mining leaders still feel that this
needs to be addressed by Canberra, however
it is interesting to note that this concern has
decreased from 47 per cent last year.
Ensuring a stable
financial and
investment climate
is in place will ensure
allocation of capital is
not taken away from
Australian projects.
- CFO, $500 Million -
$1 Billion Mining Partner
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
34
53
61
21
24
12
4
6
47
22
14
10
0
3
11
9
7
5
1
31
0
7
9
3
6
0
IRlaws
Reduceredtape
Limitunions
Infrastructure
Moresupport
Long-termvision
Fiscalpolicy
Abolishtax
Other
2016 2015 2014 2013
Figure 10
Advice for Canberra (%)
NEWPORT CONSULTING
MBO | 23
Research design and analysis for the
Mining Business Outlook Report was
conducted by Manning  Co., and field
work conducted by Newport Consulting.
Our research is based on one-on-one
interviews with 50 leading mining
executives at a number of companies
across the resources sector. The interviews
are face‑to‑face, helping us gain a personal
view and detect underlying motivations,
beliefs, attitudes and feelings on a range
of areas and subjects.
WE ASKED THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS
ȌȌ How optimistic are you about your
future growth prospects over the next
12 months?
ȌȌ Will you increase capital spending and
investment in the 2016-17 financial year?
ȌȌ What is your outlook on prices for
the next 12 months?
ȌȌ What is your employment outlook
for the next 12 months?
ȌȌ What are the 3 key challenges that
your company faces in the year ahead?
ȌȌ What are your 3 key business priorities
over the next 12 months?
ȌȌ What are the 3 key opportunities for
your business over the next 12 months?
ȌȌ What is your advice to Canberra?
(e.g. IR laws, unions, policies, tax,
lack of consultation etc.)
The responses were then coded by
Manning  Co into key categories.
OUR
METHODOLOGY
Figure 11
Company size (%)
$1 - $5b
 $500m
$500m - $1b
 $5b
392726 8
Figure 12
Type of business (%)
ASX Listed Private Govt
823 69
SIGNS OF REVIVAL
MBO | 24
NOTE
The Mining Business Outlook Report
canvasses the views of Australia’s mining
leaders. It has been conducted annually
since 2010. This year’s report draws on
lengthy face-to-face interviews that took
place between February and May 2016.
Fifty mining executives participated from
a broad range of mining companies.
Any reproduction of this material must credit
Newport Consulting. This report may be cited
as: Mining Business Outlook Report 2016-17,
Newport Consulting, Sydney.
For more information regarding the
research, please contact Gemma Manning
at ManningCo. on (02) 9555 5233 or email
gemma@manningandco.com.au. If you are
a mining executive and wish to register your
interest in participating in future interviews,
please visit newportconsulting.com.au/mining
NEWPORT CONSULTING
Engage Deliver Sustain
3/21 Mary Street
Surry Hills, NSW 2010
P +61 2 9211 1424
F +61 2 9211 1426
E info@newportconsulting.com.au
www.newportconsulting.com.au
MBO | 25
NEWPORT CONSULTING
www.newportconsulting.com.au

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Mining Business Outlook 2016-2017

  • 1. Planning for growth... Not just for survival 2016-17 REPORT Canvassing the views of Australian mining leaders on: ȌȌ Economic Outlook ȌȌ Prices & Employment Outlook ȌȌ Capex Spending and Investment ȌȌ Challenges and Opportunities ȌȌ Advice to Canberra Featuring insights from Mrs Gina Rinehart Chairman, Hancock Prospecting Pty Ltd and Roy Hill Holdings Pty Ltd Mining Business Outlook
  • 2. C O N T E N T S Newport Consulting Mining Business Outlook Report 2016-17 ȌȌ Introduction ȌȌ Key Insights ȌȌ The Outlook 02 03 04 ȌȌ Exclusive Interview -- Mrs Gina Rinehart Chairman, Hancock Prospecting Pty Ltd & Roy Hill Holdings Pty Ltd 08 SIGNS OF REVIVAL MBO | I
  • 3. O V E R T H E L A S T S E V E N Y E A R S , W E   H A V E R E P O R T E D O N   T H E   H I G H S A N D L O W S O F T H E M I N I N G S E C T O R F I R S T ‑ H A N D . T H I S Y E A R , W E R E P O R T A D I S T I N C T S H I F T I N S E N T I M E N T A S T H E I N D U S T R Y S E E S T H E L I G H T . ȌȌ Challenges & Opportunities ȌȌ Business Strategies ȌȌ Advice to Canberra 14 20 22 Newport Consulting is an Australian-headquartered operational management consultancy that focuses on achieving operational excellence for corporates. We work extensively in the mining sector, having delivered measurable and sustainable operational improvements to a number of mining projects across the country. MBO | 01 NEWPORT CONSULTING
  • 4. The first report was published in 2010. Each year, our report canvass the views of mining leaders across the country on their growth outlook and prospects, employment and pricing, challenges, opportunities and business priorities, and their advice to Canberra. Over the last seven years, the Mining Business Outlook Report has reported on the highs and lows of the industry first‑hand. From broadcasting sentiment when mining was at its peak, to documenting the collapse in confidence as the sustained fall in commodity prices killed the mining investment boom, this report has provided expert insights into an industry facing turbulent times. In 2016, the Federal Government continues to lead the discussion of an economy in transition away from mining and resources. However, as this report shows, in an industry sector that accounts for more than 50 per cent of the value of all Australian exports, our interviews with mining leaders clearly suggest a shift in industry sentiment and potentially, a sustained improvement in the outlook for the sector. Despite the lows that still exist in parts of the industry, there has been a huge surge in sentiment. The outlook for mining appears more positive than it has been in the last three years, with a rise in cautious optimism from below 10 per cent two years ago, to nearly 50 per cent today. The underlying reasons for this are that many leaders have made the difficult changes necessary for their businesses to survive in today’s climate of low commodity prices. There is a growing sense that prices have stabilised and the next price trend, though it may not occur soon, will be up. In addition to our 50 interviews with mining leaders across key commodities, this year we were also fortunate enough to conduct an exclusive interview with Gina Rinehart, one of Australia’s mining magnates, well‑documented for her achievements with Roy Hill, Australia’s largest iron ore mine. Mrs Rinehart remains cautiously optimistic about iron ore, but also warns that in order to retain global competitiveness for Australia’s mining sector, the Australian Government and industry leaders must take urgent action. In summary, there appear to be signs of resurgence in the sector over the next 12 months, with a more confident outlook for the future. However, the sector is also calling out for clearer polices and Government backing in order to support its ongoing contribution to Australia’s economic prosperity, as we once again get ready for an election. We hope you find the report engaging and insightful, and we welcome your feedback. David Hand Managing Director Newport Consulting Many leaders have made the difficult changes necessary for their businesses to survive in today’s climate of low commodity prices. INTRODUCTION This year’s Mining Business Outlook Report is the seventh in the series. SIGNS OF REVIVAL MBO | 02
  • 5. We consulted key industry leaders, including Gina Rinehart, to collate the most prevalent outlooks, challenges and opportunities facing the mining sector in 2016. This year’s report shows a shift in sentiment, suggesting an industry revival. The key headline findings include: ȌȌ Growth outlook is upbeat for the first time in years. For the first time in more than three years, the mining industry is showing signs of confidence, with an upbeat outlook among leaders. Of the leaders interviewed, 43 per cent are optimistic about their growth forecasts for the next 12 months; a definite swing towards revival. This has increased from well below 10 per cent a few years ago. During this time, the number of leaders not optimistic has dramatically fallen from 93 per cent to 55 per cent. ȌȌ Miners are focused on growth; not just survival. After a period of focusing on recalibration and cost reduction, miners are more positive about boosting profitability through growth in the long-term. In recent years, survival was the key business strategy. For the year ahead, growth is now a significantly higher focus, with 15 per cent of leaders citing this as a key strategy. This once again suggests the industry is now ready to address topline and bottom line growth. ȌȌ Good news: Miners are starting to spend again. There are early signs of increased capital expenditure across the sector. For miners, a new phase of confidence is already beginning, with 27 per cent of companies interviewed for this year’s report either planning to moderately or significantly increase Capex in the next 12 months. This is up from 18 per cent last year. ȌȌ Prices to stabilise; another sign of the tide turning. For 1 in 2 mining leaders interviewed, commodity prices are expected to stabilise over the next 12 months, further indicating a shift in sentiment within the sector. Stable prices are set to pave the way for increased capital spending, carving a more positive outlook for miners. ȌȌ Fewer companies reducing staff; more hiring. Last year, most miners were reducing staff. This year, there is an increase in new recruits, with more companies planning to hire in the next 12 months. ȌȌ Poor market conditions still concern leaders. Despite cautious optimism among miners, poor market conditions, low commodity prices and capital constraints remain key concerns. Faced with an uncertain climate, miners are looking beyond the current economic situation and further into the future, as they prepare for a growth agenda. After a period of focusing on recalibration and cost reduction, miners are more positive about boosting profitability through growth in the long-term. KEY INSIGHTS The Mining Business Outlook Report identifies the current climate for mining companies in Australia and on the global stage. NEWPORT CONSULTING MBO | 03
  • 6. FLICKERS OF HOPE AS MINERS SHOW OPTIMISM For the first time in three years, the mining industry is showing signs of confidence, with a more upbeat outlook projected for the next 12 months. According to our latest research, 43 per cent of mining leaders are cautiously optimistic; up significantly from 2014, when confidence hit an all time low. While few miners have a very optimistic outlook, the gap between leaders not optimistic (55 per cent) and cautiously optimistic leaders (43 per cent) is clearly closing. The report’s findings suggest that there is a shift occurring in the sector, with the pendulum starting to swing towards a revival. While the national agenda prioritises the economy in transition, our data indicates that the mining sector continues to contribute positively to the Australian economy. The number of leaders not optimistic has dramatically fallen from 84 per cent last year to 55 per cent this year. Those leaders feeling more upbeat have increased from 15 per cent last year to 43 per cent this year, representing a sharp increase. Miners are successfully adjusting to the new industry climate and have increasing clarity and positivity for the future. Miners are aiming to carve a competitive place in a potentially reviving sector, as prices become stable and volumes grow. THE OUTLOOK Flickers of hope as miners show optimism for the first time in three years, the mining industry is showing signs of confidence. By being active in cutting our costs and maintaining reasonable demands from customers for more product, we remain cautiously optimistic. - Manager, $4 Billion Mining Company Figure 1 Year-Year comparison: How optimistic are you about future growth and business? 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20162015 Not optimistic Cautiously optimistic Very optimistic 100 80 60 40 20 0 (%) SIGNS OF REVIVAL MBO | 04
  • 7. MINERS FOCUSED ON GROWTH; NOT JUST SURVIVAL When we asked our mining leaders why they are more optimistic in their outlook, the three key reasons provided included: business is in a more competitive position after a period of refocus and recalibration (46 per cent); the national resources sector has started to recover (23 per cent); and customer demand has increased (12 per cent). The enormous investment in increased capacity has been vindicated by rising volumes of exports, and an expectation that mining operations are returning to being profitable, after a major focus on cost reduction. YET POOR MARKET CONDITIONS STILL A CONCERN For those leaders who were not as optimistic about the next 12 months, the key reasons reported for lack of confidence included: poor market conditions (46 per cent); low commodity prices (25 per cent); and capital constraints (13 per cent). This suggests that miners still want to see more stability and certainty in the global and national economy, and the local environment around them. However, cautious optimism does not necessarily mean another boom is imminent. There is a long way to go before the industry is willing to ramp up exploration and begin to invest in expansion again. However, it represents a definite shift in sentiment. Changes to ownership of certain operations may bring some increased opportunities to newly acquired operations. - General Manager, Iron Ore Miner Figure 2 Positive level of optimism (%) LNP re-election Economic recovery Long-term contracts Business landscape Increased demand Price stabilisation 121223 4 464 Bank negative impact Economic uncertainty Market conditions Capital Commodity prices Costs 2646 13 258 Figure 3 Negative level of optimism (%) MBO | 05 THE OUTLOOK
  • 8. GOOD NEWS: MINERS STARTING TO SPEND AGAIN One of the most encouraging findings from this year’s report is that 27 per cent of companies interviewed are either planning to moderately or significantly increase Capex in the next 12 months. This is up from 18 per cent last year. The return to capital expenditure is starting in improvements and refits of existing mining operations, rather than a wholesale return to building new mines. Further, the percentage of companies actually reducing capital spend has dropped from 78 to 30 per cent; a 50 percent fall. This is a steep drop and suggests that change is afoot for the mining sector. An increase in capital expenditure marks a new phase of confidence in the outlook for mining and resources. MORE SPENDING THAN LESS Across the mining leaders interviewed, 31 per cent plan to increase spending by up to 15 per cent. In addition, more than a quarter have reported no change to spending whatsoever; that is over a quarter (27 per cent) will not reduce or increase spend. And only 15 per cent reported a reduction in spend. Compared with the previous three years, there is a significant shift in mindset, with a renewed willingness to invest in capital spending. However, we are still a long way short of the heady days of the investment boom. There are few large-scale projects expected to start any time soon. There is growing confidence in the equities market to support project financing. - C-Level, Commercial Mining Construction Figure 4 Will you increase spending and investment (%) 30 44 78 0 0 0 43 18 17 57 42 6 19 12 9 56 31 8 8 4 5 25 35 52 No, we are reducing No increase Yes, moderately increase Yes, significantly 2015-16 2014-15 2013 2012 2011 2010 THE OUTLOOK continued SIGNS OF REVIVAL MBO | 06
  • 9. PRICES STABILISE; ANOTHER SIGN OF THE TIDE TURNING While few mining leaders (19 per cent) expect prices to increase over the next 12 months, the majority expect prices to stabilise (58 per cent). This once again signifies a shift in attitude and sentiment within the sector. Pessimism about prices and the future forecast is evaporating, with increasing confidence in stable prices. This is providing a foundation for more capital spending. FEWER COMPANIES REDUCING STAFF; MORE HIRING Overall, the employment outlook is promising, with increasing stability for staff in 2016, and potential new recruits. Last year, the majority of miners were still reducing staff (80 per cent) and few companies appeared to be hiring. This year, we see glimpses of a shift, with companies actually planning to hire over the next 12 months, albeit a small number (8 per cent). Companies reducing staff have decreased significantly from 80 - 44 per cent; a significant drop. There is a sharp increase in the number of companies deciding not to make any changes to their hiring plans. This means they are neither hiring nor reducing staff, but maximising their exisitng staff. Companies continue to review internal operations, assessing the role of contractors and their own employees. Indicators are reasonable with industry opportunism on the back of the collapse being largely over. - Director, $5-10 Billion Mining Company Figure 5 What is your outlook on prices for the next 12 months? (%) Figure 6 What is your outlook on employment for the business for the next 12 months? (%) Decrease StabiliseIncrease 231958 8 0 48 80 44 4 0 16 Hiring Reducing No change Unspecified 2015-16 2014-15 MBO | 07 THE OUTLOOK
  • 10. SINCE OPENING ROY HILL, WHAT IS YOUR OUTLOOK FOR 2016? There are a myriad of opportunities that the Australian mining industry must look to act upon to ensure that it continues to be internationally competitive. We need to significantly cut the Government‑imposed regulations, approvals, permits, licenses and compliance cost burdens that are placed on Australia’s resource industry. One third of Australia’s exports and revenue are from iron ore and coal alone, and both currently have devastated prices. This is seriously hurting related industries and the budget, blowing out our Government borrowings. If this continues, it will cause increasing numbers of people to be unemployed. Since the first half of 2014, the Australian Federal and State Governments have been well aware of the iron ore and other commodities price crash and continued uncertainty. Yet little has been done to actually address and reduce the onerous and expensive problems it has created for the resources sector. Daily reports are in the public domain about companies struggling with the resource price crashes, and about companies slashing costs, staff and/ or pay, and facing closure. Yet one of the biggest cost burdens, Government, is not similarly slashing the costs burden it imposes, for an industry which has been the most important contributor to our country for decades, and which, in turn, supports many related industries. To continue, these industries must be internationally cost competitive. How does Australia achieve the next mega‑project after Roy Hill if no one is willing to invest money, go through the many risks we did, and contend with the more than 4000 permits, approvals and licenses required, even before construction! It simply does not help the many related industries and businesses involved in the mining industry. This can be seen from the record of our declining exploration and declining investment in resources projects. If the Australian Federal Government was truly committed to the resources sector, it would look to the example being set by India’s Prime Minister, Narendra Modi. In his short term in office so far, he has successfully achieved significant regulatory, approvals, permits, license cuts and compliance reductions. As a result, he has approximately doubled India’s economic growth, and enabled his country to enjoy the highest economic growth in the world today, with resultant benefits for his people. WHAT IS YOUR STRATEGY FOR ROY HILL IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS? Following on from the successful first shipments of two iron ore cargos in December last year, Roy Hill has now officially taken care, custody and control of its Mine, Rail and Port operations from EPC contractor Samsung CT. Our attention now turns to the safe and efficient ramp up of operations to the 55 million tonne per annum name plate capacity. This is a significant milestone for the business, as it means we now have control of all business critical infrastructure for the mining, processing, stockpiling and shipping of our ore. While Roy Hill has erroneously been blamed as being largely or solely the significant driver of the deflationary pressure on the iron ore price, we don’t have control of or significantly To continue, these industries must be internationally cost competitive. EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW Mrs Gina Rinehart, Chairman, Hancock Prospecting Pty Ltd and Roy Hill Holdings Pty Ltd, shares her views on the sector. SIGNS OF REVIVAL MBO | 08
  • 11. contribute to influencing the global price of iron ore. The prices for our commodities are international prices which we can’t dictate. As such, Roy Hill’s strategy will focus on a safe and efficient ramp up to 55Mtpa and sustained, low-cost production of iron ore that is consistent in quality and grade. Because we are constrained by the amount of iron ore we can produce by our port allocation through Port Hedland Harbour, we focus on margins rather than tonnes. As a margin-focused business, we want maximum return for each tonne of ore we produce. Commodity markets go up and down and by remaining focused on maximising returns, we help to ensure our business is well-positioned to meet the demands of the market cycles. To achieve this, Roy Hill has adopted a small business mindset that enables it to be agile enough to identify and take advantage of opportunities which maximise value and returns. It is a business focused on adopting financially prudent, fit-for-purpose solutions, while also applying innovative thinking to continuously drive business improvement opportunities aimed at reducing costs, boosting performance and maximising margins on a sustained basis over the life of the project. HOW DOES ROY HILL’S QUALITY IRON ORE IMPROVE COMPETITIVENESS? The Roy Hill ore body is a world-class, Marra Mamba iron ore deposit located in the Pilbara – one of the world’s premier iron ore provinces. We have a large ore body comprised of low phosphorous lump and fines products, that has a chemical quality consistent with other high quality seaborne traded ore. Our lump and fines ore has been rigorously tested by both steel mills and independent laboratories and has been found to be directly substitutable for other major Pilbara lump and fine ore products. The quality of our product is evidenced by the fact that more than 90% of Roy Hill’s quality product is already under long-term contracts with our Equity Partners or steel mills throughout Asia. WHAT ARE THE CHALLENGES/ OPPORTUNITIES FACING THE SECTOR? The greatest challenge facing Australia’s mining industry is the onerous and expensive Government imposed regulations, approvals, permits, licenses and compliance cost burdens that are placed on it. Without significant action to address this issue, we will continue to see the substantial decline in exploration investment. And without this investment to find the next big mineral resource deposits, I fear that we will not see the development of a mega project like Roy Hill for a long time to come. However, there are a myriad of opportunities that the Australian mining industry must look to act upon to ensure that it continues to be internationally competitive. For example, we live in an age of rapidly developing technology and innovation. At Roy Hill, we embrace technology as a core element across the business to drive optimum efficiency in delivering 55Mtpa of iron ore to our customers. The innovative use of technology helps integrate business systems and processes to achieve maximum business efficiency, while also helping to complement and enhance our people’s capabilities. Evidence of how technology is helping to drive productivity efficiencies and cost optimisation can be seen in the GE ‘Evolution Series’ diesel locomotives that we purchased to haul our ore The greatest challenge facing Australia’s mining industry is the onerous and expensive Government imposed regulations, approvals, permits, licenses and compliance costs burdens. MBO | 09 EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW
  • 12. 344km from our mine to our port facilities in Port Hedland. These state‑of‑the-art machines use remote diagnostics technology to gather data, which is sent in real time to Pennsylvania in the United States for assessment by GE. This technology enables us to continually monitor the performance of the locomotives and provides our operations with a preventative maintenance capability. This allows us to pre-emptively identify and address maintenance issues before they become significant. In turn, it means we are able to both significantly reduce the downtime of our locomotives and reduce maintenance costs, and therefore boost productivity and reduce operating costs. Utilising the latest equipment and machinery that incorporate the most up-to‑date technology, will help ensure that our operations not only run to peak productivity and cost effectiveness, but are also ready for upgrading to autonomous operation, without the cost or need to retrofit technology. The integration of Roy Hill’s operations, marketing and corporate services functions through our Remote Operations Centre (ROC) and Demand Chain business model is an excellent example of how technology and innovative thinking are being combined to deliver peak operational performance and cost optimisation. The amalgamation of the operations, marketing and corporate services business functions into a truly vertically integrated business provides a coordinated and integrated approach to the planning, operation and overall management of Roy Hill’s Corporate, Mining, Processing, Rail and Port operations. Central to this integrated business approach is the ROC, which houses the Demand Chain team who are responsible for the operational planning, scheduling and execution of production activities across all areas of operations. The key focus for the Demand Chain team is the gathering, validating and reporting of real time and near real time operational data. This data is used to support and drive key operational decision-making to deliver optimisation of production throughput, quality and reliability across the entire business. This integrated, Demand Chain‑driven business model, together with the technology incorporated on site to deliver real time operational data to the ROC, drives productivity improvements and continuous improvement across the business, by focusing on how the individual functions of the business – Operations, Marketing and Corporate – operate together most effectively as a whole. This approach ensures that the business is maximising throughput and quality conformance, as well as managing variation effectively to minimise operating costs. Technology, along with the capability of our people to drive innovation, is playing a very important role to build and strengthen the foundation for Roy Hill’s future. WHERE DOES AUSTRALIA’S ECONOMY NEED TO SHIFT TO IN THE FUTURE? Australia’s mining and related industries have been a significant driver of economic growth for Australia’s economy for many decades, helping Australia deliver a GDP growth average of 3.6 per cent a year for most of this century. Australia’s mining‑related industries are, and will continue to be, of vital importance to the Australian economy for many, many years to come. Australia’s mining‑related industries are, and will continue to be, of vital importance to the Australian economy. EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW continued SIGNS OF REVIVAL MBO | 10
  • 13. However, if we expect mining and related industries to continue to be a significant contributor to the Australian economy, urgent action must be taken by both the Australian Government and those within the industry, to ensure that it remains internationally competitive. It should be obvious that high cost Australia, with its declining productivity, must reduce its expensive Government burdens to enable it to be cost competitive overseas, or face losing important markets and consequently much needed revenue and opportunities, to Australia’s detriment. The Government must act to help stimulate investment in resource exploration, an area that is in serious decline. Without this, we will not see construction of another mega project like Roy Hill for many years to come. It must act to attract companies to invest in resource projects in Australia so that they do not focus their efforts offshore. With the downturn in Australia’s mining and related industries comes a budget dilemma for the Australian Government, as royalty payments and tax contributions from this sector also shrink. This does not bode well for the record Government debt, which now sits at more than $400 billion and is, scarily for everyone, rising fast. Our leaders in Government must look to a new way of doing things, such as India’s Prime Minister, Narendra Modi is doing with his mantra “from red tape to red carpet”. In his short time in office to date, Mr Modi has delivered regulatory approval, permit license cuts and compliance reductions, and consequently almost doubled India’s economic growth. He has enabled his country to enjoy the highest economic growth in the world today. Imagine the benefits that could be produced for the Australian economy if our Government took this approach; not just for Australia’s mining and related industries, but for all industry. As a nation, we need to stop finding reasons not to do things and instead find ways to make things happen. A great example is the development of Australia’s North. The potential for economic development in Northern Australia is undeniable should we reduce Government burdens and enable a special economic zone. These opportunities in our North don’t just exist in the mining and resources sector, but in agriculture, tourism etc. There is also huge potential for Northern Australia to become the high quality, high gross margin food bowl for Asia. We currently feed 60 million people a year. With sensible water catchment and deployment of the latest agricultural, transport and logistics technology, Australia could feed many more people. In order to realise the possibilities which exist, policies must be put in place which will attract investment and encourage growth in Northern Australia, in particular, a Special Economic Zone. This ‘Northern Economic Zone’ would offer tax advantages to attract and retain investment, such as lower personal income tax or tax rebates for those who live and work in the Northern Zone, no payroll tax, no fringe benefits tax and no stamp duty. Special Economic Zones have been very successful internationally in encouraging economic growth in regions around the world. In order to realise the possibilities which exist, policies must be put in place which will attract investment and encourage growth. MBO | 11 EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW
  • 14. THERE ARE A MYRIAD OF OPPORTUNITIES THAT THE AUSTRALIAN MINING INDUSTRY MUST LOOK TO ACT UPON TO ENSURE THAT IT CONTINUES TO BE INTERNATIONALLY COMPETITIVE. - Mrs Gina Rinehart SIGNS OF REVIVAL MBO | 12
  • 16. At a time when Australia faces another potential change in Government and therefore policy, those unable to keep up with employing new ways of thinking and adapting in this evolving landscape will find it hard to maintain and grow their mining business. WHAT IS KEEPING LEADERS AWAKE AT NIGHT? Commodity pricing and global economic conditions pose major challenges for the sector. While there are glimmers of confidence around the stabilising of commodity prices over the next 12 months, the volatile nature of prices continues to challenge the sector. Of the leaders interviewed, 28 per cent flagged this as the number one issue keeping them up at night. This has doubled when compared to last year; up from 14 per cent. THE YEAR OF ‘GROWTH VERSUS SURVIVAL’ While productivity improvements remain a challenge for 21 per cent of leaders, this has fallen from last year, where productivity was cited as the key challenge facing the sector (32 per cent). This year, it is less of a focus, with miners turning towards growing the topline of their operations. However, they still remain strongly focused on operational efficiency and control of costs, with little appetite at this stage to engage in long‑term activities, such as exploration. GROWING PROFITABLE OPERATIONS With major cost-cutting and staff redundancies substantially reduced, the challenge now remains for miners to increase and maintain profitability and cash flow (25 per cent). This is up significantly from last year, when only 8 per cent of mining leaders showed any concern about the profitability of their mining operations, as they were focused mainly on preventing their mines from closure. Commodity pricing is in a trough, albeit volumes produced are escalating. In a bid to cut costs, the mining sector needs to ensure though that it doesn’t irreversibly shatter the support services that have taken the biggest impact. - Managing Director, Major Mining Services Company CHALLENGES OPPORTUNITIES The mining industry will continue to face change as it comes to terms with the shift in the global market. SIGNS OF REVIVAL MBO | 14
  • 17. It is interesting to note that raising capital hasn’t come up in the last three years as a challenge for the sector, as the industry went into survival mode and almost abandoned any attempt to raise capital and expand Capex. However, capital raising is now on the agenda for 7 per cent of the leaders we interviewed. Raising funds is something that miners are focused on, yet also challenged by. SHIFT IN CULTURE AND MINDSET As the industry continues through a cycle of uncertainty in many areas, leaders remain challenged to maintain employee engagement and staff morale through such a lengthy recovery period. Although this issue has continued to present itself in recent years, in 2016, 9 per cent have cited this as a key challenge, meaning it’s become significantly more of a concern. It appears that to refocus efforts on growth, a more positive culture needs to be created in the sector, focusing on optimism and confidence, with hope for future progression and development. It is now pertinent to assure employees and investors that there are opportunities for prosperity, with new and emerging markets. We need to deepen our connection to Asian markets and develop ongoing relationships with our neighbours. This will add value to what has the potential to be a ‘high gross margin food bowl’ for the region. Gina Rinehart also comments on this in the interview that she gave exclusively to us for this year’s Mining Business Outlook Report. Productivity needs to improve to keep Australia internationally competitive. - Executive Vice President, Coal Mine 28 27 14 8 21 32 14 13 9 0 5 4 7 0 0 0 3 6 0 0 2 0 0 5 17 2 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 4 8 0 0 0 2 3 7 14 38 25 14 7 8 Volatile prices Profitability Productivity Raising capital Staff retention Tax,Unions,Laws Expanding operations Project delivery Remaining competitive Labour shortages Market conditions Increasing throughput 2016 2015 2014 2013 Figure 7 Key Challenges (%) MBO | 15 CHALLENGES OPPORTUNITIES
  • 18. WHERE ARE THE OPPORTUNITIES? This year, we have witnessed a range of new opportunities identified by our leaders – areas that haven’t come up in our interviews over the last three years at least. This indicates the significant shift that has occurred in the sector over the last 12 months. Once again, our findings show that the tide is turning and growth is firmly on the agenda. GAINING TRACTION THROUGHOUT THE MARKET Leaders are banking on growth through marketplace expansion as the primary opportunity over the next 12 months (15 per cent). Again, this supports our overall finding of this year’s report; that miners are beginning to look further into the future, not just focusing on immediate survival. While more recent entrants into the market are enduring hardship due to higher start-up costs, those who have been able to maintain business, improve operational efficiency and reduce wastage, will benefit from the low Australian dollar and global opportunities. As our largest export, iron ore continues to export more commodity than ever before, while base metals are believed to have an increased demand from emerging markets like Asia. By being both internationally cost competitive and producing a quality consistent product, the Australian resources sector will be able to sufficiently and sustainably deliver on demand. With market consolidation still on the table (15 per cent), it may be at the organisation’s discretion to leverage MA’s in order to penetrate growth into a larger market sphere. I believe we have reached the bottom of the market and MA activity will strengthen over the coming months, leading to project development in selected sectors. It may not be market wide, however there will be enough activity to stimulate the equity market. - CEO, Mining Construction Company CHALLENGES OPPORTUNITIES continued SIGNS OF REVIVAL MBO | 16
  • 19. Growing into existing and new markets will also mean that the industry needs to care of their existing and potential new customers. The importance of a service-based offering has been highly recognised by 11 per cent of leaders as a key opportunity to enhance and cultivate new business. DATA DRIVEN TECHNOLOGY SEEN AS AN ENABLER Price dependency has dropped significantly this year, with only 7 per cent of leaders identifying price increase or stabilisation as a business opportunity for the next 12 months, as opposed to 33 per cent in 2015. It is clear that leaders now understand they must move to a new revenue model that is based around topline growth, as well as enhanced productivity through innovation and people systems (12 per cent). This will drive the opportunity to implement cost reductions (12 per cent). Sustainable, low cost production mixed with the ability to meet market demands will ultimately maximise revenue margins for the industry. Utilising integrated management operating systems amongst staff to drive decision-making and solve operating problems will enhance efforts to boost overall business performance. Technology, along with the capability of our people to drive innovation, is playing a very important role to build and strengthen the foundation for the future. - Mrs Gina Rinehart 15 0 15 20 0 12 0 12 11 7 0 10 0 8 7 33 6 7 4 7 0 13 0 7 0 7 Marketgrowth Consolidation Productivity innovation Costreduction Customerfocus Smartassets Other Stabilisation Exploration Volumeincrease Railtransport Govtasset Revenuestreams 2016 2015 Figure 8 Key Opportunities (%) MBO | 17 CHALLENGES OPPORTUNITIES
  • 20. FOR THE FIRST TIME IN THREE YEARS, THE INDUSTRY IS CLEARLY SHOWING SIGNS OF REVIVAL – A DISTINCT SHIFT IN SENTIMENT AND OUTLOOK. SIGNS OF REVIVAL MBO | 18
  • 22. GROWTH IS ON THE AGENDA The sector is beginning to think about a return to growth. For the year ahead, there is renewed focused on the sustainable operations of businesses, coupled with strategies that will add to the topline, maintaining and increasing volumes while commodity prices remain stable and potentially increase. It is interesting to note that in recent years, survival was the key business strategy for the sector, and this has now fallen in its ranking (less than 5 per cent are still focused on business survival). Growth is now a significantly higher focus, with 15 per cent of leaders citing this as a key strategy. This once again suggests that after years of consolidation and recalibration, the industry is ready to address topline and bottom line growth. Miners are now looking at strategies to support this. When our mining leaders spoke about growth opportunities they identified, some qualified this with comments around growth through consolidation, acquisition, JVs etc. It is highly likely that the shake out of ownership, mergers, acquisitions and divestments will continue over the next 12 months and beyond, as the miners reorganise themselves for the next phase in growth. TRANSFORMATIONAL CHANGE IS VITAL Cost control and productivity have remained the key priorities for business leaders into the next year (26 per cent and 19 per cent respectively), with take up being an integral part in managing cash flow. After a period of redundancies and cost cutting strategies, it is now imperative that businesses utilise their existing staff and rapidly deploy technology, in order to maximise profitability and drive enhanced productivity. We must maintain share price to ensure we are not a takeover target and gain market confidence to continue moving projects ahead. - President, Mining Engineering Company BUSINESS STRATEGIES The sector is beginning to think about a return to growth. SIGNS OF REVIVAL MBO | 20
  • 23. Operating efficiency has steadily risen in the mining operations that have survived to date, with increased throughput underpinning their profitability. Productivity and improved management operating systems remain important for the ongoing progression of mining companies today. CHANGING AN ENTRENCHED WORKFORCE Growth and productivity cannot come without an outward change in staff culture, which is now being recognised by leaders in future planning (8 per cent). While integrated business systems aim to maximise margins, there can be no real organisational change without a boost in employee engagement and performance. While this is a priority for leaders moving forward, it will also prove to be a challenge, as businesses must continue to maintain staff morale through the ongoing tough cycle of the industry, moving through a transitional period towards growth. The miners are looking at all their costs, particularly labour costs, which are among the highest in the world, to maintain their economic viability. With a solid customer demand, ramping up operations and keeping a low cost of production is vital. - President, Iron Ore Miner 1 3 3 3 4 6 7 14 15 27 17 Innovation Customerfocus Sellassets Funding Exploration Survival Culturechange Safety Growth Productivity Managecosts Figure 9 What are your 3 key business priorities over the next 12 months? (%) NEWPORT CONSULTING MBO | 21
  • 24. ADVICE TO CANBERRA The Government’s mid-year economic financial outlook has erred on the side of caution when including the impact of the industry on its financial purse. But with iron ore and coal being the two highest value export earners, there is argument from industry leaders that Government regulations, taxing and exploration investment should be reassessed. MAKE IT EASIER FOR US TO SUCCEED The mining sector has turned towards a more positive outlook for its future. However, mining leaders feel hampered by the Government’s unproductive and laborious project approval processes, said to be one of the most inefficient in the world. This is a new area that has emerged in our Advice to Canberra interview, when compared to previous years. It ranked second this year in terms of what is giving leaders heart burn, with almost 1 in 4 mining leaders citing the approval process as a hindrance to productivity and growth. Mrs. Rinehart’s exclusive interview confirms this widespread view, and she has spoken publicly before about the laborious and lengthy approval processes that her company had to endure to open Roy Hill. The miners are saying that getting new mines approved is becoming more difficult in the face of the shifting political influences. This makes investing in new operations overseas more attractive, as the development process is easier than Australia. Leaders want less red tape, faster approvals and minimised Government interference. With growth back on the agenda and commodity prices likely to return to trend, it is expected that the desire to open new projects will grow, and this will be key for national economic prosperity. Resources will recover. The key is that mining firms are inspired to survive and flourish. And IR laws should encourage productivity improvement. - Managing Director, Copper Mine ADVICE TO CANBERRA Growth in the sector is key to national economic prosperity - make it easier for us to succeed. SIGNS OF REVIVAL MBO | 22
  • 25. SIMPLIFIED IR LAWS STILL DEMANDED An ongoing theme for industry leaders in terms of what they expect of the Government is improved IR laws and processes (43 per cent) – something that the sector continues to request and that we continue to report on. It is a theme that isn’t going away and that continues to be on the radar for leaders. However, better IR conditions have definitely decreased in terms of importance over the last 4-5 years. LIMIT THE INFLUENCE OF UNIONS The industry is saying that the unions have succeeded in driving up wages in the sector to the extent that as commodity prices have fallen, mines have become unprofitable due to limited scope for the workforce to share the pain of reduced prices. This has contributed significantly to mine closures, as well as investment in automation that eliminates labour. Neither of these measures are good for workers and they miss out due to rigid industrial laws. Mining leaders still feel that this needs to be addressed by Canberra, however it is interesting to note that this concern has decreased from 47 per cent last year. Ensuring a stable financial and investment climate is in place will ensure allocation of capital is not taken away from Australian projects. - CFO, $500 Million - $1 Billion Mining Partner 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 34 53 61 21 24 12 4 6 47 22 14 10 0 3 11 9 7 5 1 31 0 7 9 3 6 0 IRlaws Reduceredtape Limitunions Infrastructure Moresupport Long-termvision Fiscalpolicy Abolishtax Other 2016 2015 2014 2013 Figure 10 Advice for Canberra (%) NEWPORT CONSULTING MBO | 23
  • 26. Research design and analysis for the Mining Business Outlook Report was conducted by Manning Co., and field work conducted by Newport Consulting. Our research is based on one-on-one interviews with 50 leading mining executives at a number of companies across the resources sector. The interviews are face‑to‑face, helping us gain a personal view and detect underlying motivations, beliefs, attitudes and feelings on a range of areas and subjects. WE ASKED THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS ȌȌ How optimistic are you about your future growth prospects over the next 12 months? ȌȌ Will you increase capital spending and investment in the 2016-17 financial year? ȌȌ What is your outlook on prices for the next 12 months? ȌȌ What is your employment outlook for the next 12 months? ȌȌ What are the 3 key challenges that your company faces in the year ahead? ȌȌ What are your 3 key business priorities over the next 12 months? ȌȌ What are the 3 key opportunities for your business over the next 12 months? ȌȌ What is your advice to Canberra? (e.g. IR laws, unions, policies, tax, lack of consultation etc.) The responses were then coded by Manning  Co into key categories. OUR METHODOLOGY Figure 11 Company size (%) $1 - $5b $500m $500m - $1b $5b 392726 8 Figure 12 Type of business (%) ASX Listed Private Govt 823 69 SIGNS OF REVIVAL MBO | 24
  • 27. NOTE The Mining Business Outlook Report canvasses the views of Australia’s mining leaders. It has been conducted annually since 2010. This year’s report draws on lengthy face-to-face interviews that took place between February and May 2016. Fifty mining executives participated from a broad range of mining companies. Any reproduction of this material must credit Newport Consulting. This report may be cited as: Mining Business Outlook Report 2016-17, Newport Consulting, Sydney. For more information regarding the research, please contact Gemma Manning at ManningCo. on (02) 9555 5233 or email gemma@manningandco.com.au. If you are a mining executive and wish to register your interest in participating in future interviews, please visit newportconsulting.com.au/mining NEWPORT CONSULTING Engage Deliver Sustain 3/21 Mary Street Surry Hills, NSW 2010 P +61 2 9211 1424 F +61 2 9211 1426 E info@newportconsulting.com.au www.newportconsulting.com.au MBO | 25 NEWPORT CONSULTING