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Case Study: North Dakota
Using FAF Data in Economic Analysis
June 26, 2014
EunSu Lee
Associate Research Fellow, Upper Great Plains Transportation Institute
North Dakota State University, Fargo, ND
Agenda
• Background
• Objective of the case study
• Economic analysis and FAF
• Understanding FAF
• Why FAF?
• Incorporating FAF
• Results
• Q & A
Background
• Boom of oil & gas industries, changes of
agricultural logistics pattern, and
increase of other baseline traffic
• Road infrastructure needs for a 20-year
planning horizon
• Needs for travel demand modeling
(TDM) and economic analysis
Objective of the Case Study
• To support NDDOT and Counties to
identify current and future needs
• Tasks
– To quantify freight flows for commodities on
major highways and local roads
– To forecast future highway capacity
– To estimate investments needs
Needs for Statewide Modeling
• Funnel of Dynamic Economic Activities
– Increasing complexity
Empirical
Base
Forecasting
Transportation
Planning
Energ
y
Agricul
tureMan
ufact
uringLogis
tics
Passeng
er
Thro
ugh
Trad
e
Time
Uncertainty
Importance of Economic Analysis
• Critical rural freight corridors for goods
movement
• Financial constraint
• Deteriorated and insufficient
infrastructure for energy and agricultural
logistics and economic activities
• Using FAF Traffic Data
– Benefit Cost Analysis (BCA)
– Life-Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA)
Economic Analysis Process
Overview
Source: HERS-ST User Guide9
Highway Inventory
Capacity
NDDOT/UGPTI Network
Engineering Standards
Deficiency Standards
Benchmark Unit Cost
User Cost
Treatment
Traffic Forecasting
(intermediate year file)
Cost and
Treatment
Road
Network
Traffic
Volume
Benefit-
Cost
Analysis
Life-
Cycle
Cost
Analysis
FAF
Local
trips
State Traffic Model
• Intra-zonal Movement
– UGPTI Report from www.ugpti.org
Economic Analysis Tools
Agriculture
Manufac
turing
Logistics
Passenger
Through
Trade
Inter-
state
Energy
Traffic Flow in FAF
Local Truck Traffic (I-I)
Inbound (E-I) Outbound (I-E)Import(E-I)
Export(I-E)
FAF
Non-FAF
Through traffic
(E-E)
Data Sources
What FAF does and does NOT do
• What the FAF does
– Indicates states’ and localities’ major trading
partners, plus volumes and sources of traffic passing
through their jurisdictions at corridor level
– Shows truck tonnage and number of trucks on the
network, particularly in regions with multiple routes or
significant local traffic between major centers of
freight activity
• What the FAF does NOT
– Show local detail or temporal variation in freight flows
– Provide local data to support local applications
Things To know About FAF3
• Geographic regions
– Single TAZ in North Dakota
• Network
– Centerline without considering directions for divided
highways and one-way traffic
– Not designed for the purpose of routing
– Primary freight network and critical rural freight corridors
(no local roads)
• Attributes
– No road condition / No pavement type
• Adjustment
– Coarse space and time
Things To know About FAF3
• Geographic regions (FAF Zone)
Source: http://faf.ornl.gov/fafweb/Documentation.aspx
North Dakota
Things To know About FAF3
• Comparison of FAF and state networks
FAF Network North Dakota GIS Hub
Why FAF?
• Comprehensive freight movements
• Multimodal infrastructure
• Authoritative
• Affordable
• Easy to use
Data Download
FAF Freight: 2007
NONFAF07FAF07
AADTT 07AADT 07
Data Download
FAF – Data Dictionary
AADT
AADTT
FAF
NONFAF
Passenger
FAF3.4 Freight: Growth
AADTT
(Average Annual Daily Truck Traffic)
Non-FAF
FAF
FAF3 - Traffic Growth
• Missing Annual Traffic Growth
– FAF07 and
– ??? (FAF08, FAF09, …….FAF30, …, FAF39)
– FAF40
• Assumption to use FAF traffic for ND
Model
– Using Primal Highways for long distance
Example – Interpolating: FAF
Example – Interpolated: FAF
Hybrid
• Intra-zonal traffic & Inter-zonal Traffic
Agriculture
Manufac
turing
Logistics
Passenger
Energy
ThroughTrad
e
Inter
-
state
Hybrid
• Growth Rate Within the State: Non-Linear
• Growth Rate of FAF07-40: Linear
Projected AADT for 2014~2032 by 2 years
Results
Investment Needs for the Funding Periods
• Average Daily Trips (ADT)
• Average Daily Truck Trips (ADTT)
• Truck Type and Axle Configuration
• Structural Number (SN)
• Cumulative ESALs
• Existing Pavement Structure
• Present Serviceability Rating (PSR)
• Oil Module (MR)
• Maximum Feasible Life with no truck
traffic
• Graded Width
factors
Decision Logic
26
Source: www.ugpti.org
FAF
Results
Investment Needs for the Funding Periods
27
Source: www.ugpti.org
Results
Estimated Funding Required for the Funding
Periods
28
Source: www.ugpti.org
FAF & Road Investment Planning
• FAF outputs:
– Yearly or biennial traffic flows
– Directional flows for major highways and
rural freight corridors
• Implication: road investments needed
Summary
• Demonstrated how FAF is used for
Economic Analysis
• Demonstrated the process of combining
local traffic and FAF traffic
• Discussed the components to improve
for the future FAF
Thanks for your Attention!
Eunsu.lee@ndsu.edu
701-231-6448

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Using FAF Data in Economic Analysis/Case Study: North Dakota

  • 1. Case Study: North Dakota Using FAF Data in Economic Analysis June 26, 2014 EunSu Lee Associate Research Fellow, Upper Great Plains Transportation Institute North Dakota State University, Fargo, ND
  • 2. Agenda • Background • Objective of the case study • Economic analysis and FAF • Understanding FAF • Why FAF? • Incorporating FAF • Results • Q & A
  • 3. Background • Boom of oil & gas industries, changes of agricultural logistics pattern, and increase of other baseline traffic • Road infrastructure needs for a 20-year planning horizon • Needs for travel demand modeling (TDM) and economic analysis
  • 4. Objective of the Case Study • To support NDDOT and Counties to identify current and future needs • Tasks – To quantify freight flows for commodities on major highways and local roads – To forecast future highway capacity – To estimate investments needs
  • 5. Needs for Statewide Modeling • Funnel of Dynamic Economic Activities – Increasing complexity Empirical Base Forecasting Transportation Planning Energ y Agricul tureMan ufact uringLogis tics Passeng er Thro ugh Trad e Time Uncertainty
  • 6. Importance of Economic Analysis • Critical rural freight corridors for goods movement • Financial constraint • Deteriorated and insufficient infrastructure for energy and agricultural logistics and economic activities • Using FAF Traffic Data – Benefit Cost Analysis (BCA) – Life-Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA)
  • 7. Economic Analysis Process Overview Source: HERS-ST User Guide9 Highway Inventory Capacity NDDOT/UGPTI Network Engineering Standards Deficiency Standards Benchmark Unit Cost User Cost Treatment Traffic Forecasting (intermediate year file) Cost and Treatment Road Network Traffic Volume Benefit- Cost Analysis Life- Cycle Cost Analysis FAF Local trips
  • 8. State Traffic Model • Intra-zonal Movement – UGPTI Report from www.ugpti.org Economic Analysis Tools Agriculture Manufac turing Logistics Passenger Through Trade Inter- state Energy
  • 9. Traffic Flow in FAF Local Truck Traffic (I-I) Inbound (E-I) Outbound (I-E)Import(E-I) Export(I-E) FAF Non-FAF Through traffic (E-E) Data Sources
  • 10. What FAF does and does NOT do • What the FAF does – Indicates states’ and localities’ major trading partners, plus volumes and sources of traffic passing through their jurisdictions at corridor level – Shows truck tonnage and number of trucks on the network, particularly in regions with multiple routes or significant local traffic between major centers of freight activity • What the FAF does NOT – Show local detail or temporal variation in freight flows – Provide local data to support local applications
  • 11. Things To know About FAF3 • Geographic regions – Single TAZ in North Dakota • Network – Centerline without considering directions for divided highways and one-way traffic – Not designed for the purpose of routing – Primary freight network and critical rural freight corridors (no local roads) • Attributes – No road condition / No pavement type • Adjustment – Coarse space and time
  • 12. Things To know About FAF3 • Geographic regions (FAF Zone) Source: http://faf.ornl.gov/fafweb/Documentation.aspx North Dakota
  • 13. Things To know About FAF3 • Comparison of FAF and state networks FAF Network North Dakota GIS Hub
  • 14. Why FAF? • Comprehensive freight movements • Multimodal infrastructure • Authoritative • Affordable • Easy to use
  • 15.
  • 19. FAF – Data Dictionary AADT AADTT FAF NONFAF Passenger
  • 20. FAF3.4 Freight: Growth AADTT (Average Annual Daily Truck Traffic) Non-FAF FAF
  • 21. FAF3 - Traffic Growth • Missing Annual Traffic Growth – FAF07 and – ??? (FAF08, FAF09, …….FAF30, …, FAF39) – FAF40 • Assumption to use FAF traffic for ND Model – Using Primal Highways for long distance
  • 24. Hybrid • Intra-zonal traffic & Inter-zonal Traffic Agriculture Manufac turing Logistics Passenger Energy ThroughTrad e Inter - state
  • 25. Hybrid • Growth Rate Within the State: Non-Linear • Growth Rate of FAF07-40: Linear Projected AADT for 2014~2032 by 2 years
  • 26. Results Investment Needs for the Funding Periods • Average Daily Trips (ADT) • Average Daily Truck Trips (ADTT) • Truck Type and Axle Configuration • Structural Number (SN) • Cumulative ESALs • Existing Pavement Structure • Present Serviceability Rating (PSR) • Oil Module (MR) • Maximum Feasible Life with no truck traffic • Graded Width factors Decision Logic 26 Source: www.ugpti.org FAF
  • 27. Results Investment Needs for the Funding Periods 27 Source: www.ugpti.org
  • 28. Results Estimated Funding Required for the Funding Periods 28 Source: www.ugpti.org
  • 29. FAF & Road Investment Planning • FAF outputs: – Yearly or biennial traffic flows – Directional flows for major highways and rural freight corridors • Implication: road investments needed
  • 30. Summary • Demonstrated how FAF is used for Economic Analysis • Demonstrated the process of combining local traffic and FAF traffic • Discussed the components to improve for the future FAF
  • 31. Thanks for your Attention! Eunsu.lee@ndsu.edu 701-231-6448