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How You Can Use Mathematics to Financially
Empower the Emerging Market Middle Class
Jeff Stewart
MIT – Cambridge
May 1st 2015
Financial Services
Works Great Here
Financial Services
Works Great Here
Verification Verification
Databases
Robust
Credit Scores
Scoring
874
But the Need
Is Here….
But the Need
Is Here….
And Here….
But the Need
Is Here….
And Here….
And Here….
And Here…
Verification No Verification
Databases
Thin or No
Credit Files
Scoring
874
?
?
How can the emerging
middle class get credit?
All rights reserved by Ferdi Galeon
Large	
  and	
  Growing	
  Addressable	
  Market
1.8bn
MIDDLE CLASS
4.9BN
BY 2030
OECD Working Paper 285 – Note: McKinney, estimates $30 Trillion of consumption capacity in Emerging Markets
by 2025
LESS THAN 5%
HAVE ACCESS TO
CREDIT FROM
TRADITIONAL
FINANCIAL
INSTITUTIONS
THE EMERGING MARKET MIDDLE CLASS
Deep	
  Mobile	
  &	
  Social	
  Penetra:on
900Million
Source: IDC Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, Morgan Stanley Research, Annual rate based on
1999-2013
GREATER THAN
ARE MOBILE AND SOCIAL
98%
SMARTPHONES SHIPPED TO THE
EMERGING MARKETS IN 2014
YEAR OVER YEAR GROWTH 32.4%
DATA PLAN COST DROPPING 27% ANNUALLY
THE EMERGING MARKET MIDDLE CLASS
Finance	
  will	
  be	
  Restructured	
  by	
  “SMAC”	
  
Social	
  –	
  Mobile	
  -­‐	
  Analy;cs	
  -­‐	
  Cloud	
  	
  
“Tech companies might do to banks what Uber is doing to taxis”
Bank of England Governor, Mark Carney, Davos 2015
Finance	
  will	
  be	
  Restructured	
  by	
  “SMAC”	
  
Social	
  –	
  Mobile	
  -­‐	
  Analy;cs	
  -­‐	
  Cloud	
  	
  
1.  Digitalization of Payments
2.  Move to real-time
3.  Proliferation of Choice
4.  Commoditization
5.  Supernationalization
 	
  
1st
PLATFORM
2Nd
PLATFORM
3rd
PLATFORM
Data is now
here!
SMAC: The data is in the network
Data was
here
Each new computing cycle typically generates
around 10x the installed base of the previous cycle
1,000,000
100,000
10,000
1,000
100
10
1
0
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Mainframe
1MM+ Units
Minicomputer
10MM+ Units
PC
100MM+
Units
Desktop
Internet
1B+ Units
/ Users
Mobile
Internet
10B+ Units?
Devices or users in millions; logarithmic scale
Devices/Users(MMinLogScale)
Source: Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report
CREDITWORTHINESS
LONELINESS
(Boomsma and Others 2005)
OBESITY
(Christakis and Fowler 2007)
SMOKING
(Christakis and Fowler 2008)
HAPPINESS
(British Medical Journal 2008)
(Lenddo 2014)
YOU
SMAC opens up New Behavioral Science
Big Data: Homophily Works!
Birds of a feather flock together
Customers with a desirable risk profile cluster together
Big Data: NLP Works!
Linguistics can be used to manage risk and target desirable customers
Words associate closely together,
and can be commonly associated with
good or bad loans.
% Association with GOOD loans
% Association with BAD loans
18
Mission: Economically empower the Emerging Market
Middle Class
Founded: January 2011
Foundation: Algorithms based on 4 years of online lending
Technology: Opt-in Mobile/Social
Cloud Based API
Web or Standard Developer Kit
Services: Social Verification
LenddoScore
INVESTORS/ADVISORS INCLUDEAWARDS INCLUDE
•  Omidyar Network
•  Accel Partners
•  Blumberg Capital
•  Metamorphic Ventures
•  iNovia Capital
•  Kickstart
Lenddo Background
zv	
  
Lenddo Products: Verification & LenddoScore
Machine Learning
Bad
Good
Latent Dirichlet
Allocation
Multiple Cox
Regression
Arachno
Score
NLP
Markov
Network
2.6billiondatarecords
12,000variables
300features
15bestfeatures
Verification
874
Scoring
ContentsLenddo is Changing lives
I got an
InstaLoan!
I got a
Postpaid Loan!
I got a
Motorcycle Loan!
Q & A
Or ror more information about Lenddo’s
product and services, please visit us at
Partners.Lenddo.com
Or Contact Us:
Sales@Lenddo.com

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Jeff_Stewart_MIT_2015

  • 1. How You Can Use Mathematics to Financially Empower the Emerging Market Middle Class Jeff Stewart MIT – Cambridge May 1st 2015
  • 3. Financial Services Works Great Here Verification Verification Databases Robust Credit Scores Scoring 874
  • 4. But the Need Is Here….
  • 5. But the Need Is Here…. And Here….
  • 6. But the Need Is Here…. And Here…. And Here….
  • 8. Verification No Verification Databases Thin or No Credit Files Scoring 874 ? ?
  • 9. How can the emerging middle class get credit? All rights reserved by Ferdi Galeon
  • 10. Large  and  Growing  Addressable  Market 1.8bn MIDDLE CLASS 4.9BN BY 2030 OECD Working Paper 285 – Note: McKinney, estimates $30 Trillion of consumption capacity in Emerging Markets by 2025 LESS THAN 5% HAVE ACCESS TO CREDIT FROM TRADITIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS THE EMERGING MARKET MIDDLE CLASS
  • 11. Deep  Mobile  &  Social  Penetra:on 900Million Source: IDC Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, Morgan Stanley Research, Annual rate based on 1999-2013 GREATER THAN ARE MOBILE AND SOCIAL 98% SMARTPHONES SHIPPED TO THE EMERGING MARKETS IN 2014 YEAR OVER YEAR GROWTH 32.4% DATA PLAN COST DROPPING 27% ANNUALLY THE EMERGING MARKET MIDDLE CLASS
  • 12. Finance  will  be  Restructured  by  “SMAC”   Social  –  Mobile  -­‐  Analy;cs  -­‐  Cloud     “Tech companies might do to banks what Uber is doing to taxis” Bank of England Governor, Mark Carney, Davos 2015
  • 13. Finance  will  be  Restructured  by  “SMAC”   Social  –  Mobile  -­‐  Analy;cs  -­‐  Cloud     1.  Digitalization of Payments 2.  Move to real-time 3.  Proliferation of Choice 4.  Commoditization 5.  Supernationalization
  • 14.     1st PLATFORM 2Nd PLATFORM 3rd PLATFORM Data is now here! SMAC: The data is in the network Data was here Each new computing cycle typically generates around 10x the installed base of the previous cycle 1,000,000 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 10 1 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Mainframe 1MM+ Units Minicomputer 10MM+ Units PC 100MM+ Units Desktop Internet 1B+ Units / Users Mobile Internet 10B+ Units? Devices or users in millions; logarithmic scale Devices/Users(MMinLogScale) Source: Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report
  • 15. CREDITWORTHINESS LONELINESS (Boomsma and Others 2005) OBESITY (Christakis and Fowler 2007) SMOKING (Christakis and Fowler 2008) HAPPINESS (British Medical Journal 2008) (Lenddo 2014) YOU SMAC opens up New Behavioral Science
  • 16. Big Data: Homophily Works! Birds of a feather flock together Customers with a desirable risk profile cluster together
  • 17. Big Data: NLP Works! Linguistics can be used to manage risk and target desirable customers Words associate closely together, and can be commonly associated with good or bad loans. % Association with GOOD loans % Association with BAD loans
  • 18. 18 Mission: Economically empower the Emerging Market Middle Class Founded: January 2011 Foundation: Algorithms based on 4 years of online lending Technology: Opt-in Mobile/Social Cloud Based API Web or Standard Developer Kit Services: Social Verification LenddoScore INVESTORS/ADVISORS INCLUDEAWARDS INCLUDE •  Omidyar Network •  Accel Partners •  Blumberg Capital •  Metamorphic Ventures •  iNovia Capital •  Kickstart Lenddo Background
  • 19. zv   Lenddo Products: Verification & LenddoScore Machine Learning Bad Good Latent Dirichlet Allocation Multiple Cox Regression Arachno Score NLP Markov Network 2.6billiondatarecords 12,000variables 300features 15bestfeatures Verification 874 Scoring
  • 20. ContentsLenddo is Changing lives I got an InstaLoan! I got a Postpaid Loan! I got a Motorcycle Loan!
  • 21. Q & A Or ror more information about Lenddo’s product and services, please visit us at Partners.Lenddo.com Or Contact Us: Sales@Lenddo.com