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Credit Rating


Dr. Vivek Sharma
Khandelwal College of
Management Science &
    Technology,
      Bareilly
Introduction
There are four types of investors in the market.
 1. Investors having money but not the
  investment skill;
 2. Investors having money and investment
  skill both;
 3. Investors having investment skill but less
  money; and
 4. Investors possessing less money and
  poor investment skill.
Contd…
       These who do not have enough of
    money but are equipped with enough of skill
    there are many individuals and institutions to
    help them by procuring funds as per need.
    But those who have money to invest (either
    from their own resources or from borrowed
    ones) need guidance and advice with expert
    opinion as to where to invest? What forms
    safer outlet both from income and get back
    point of view, Credit Rating Agencies(CRAs)
    serve this cause.
What Credit Rating is?
Credit Rating is a simple and easy to
  understand symbolic indicator of the
  opinion of a credit rating agency about
  the risk involved in a borrowing
  program of an issuer with reference to
  the capability of the issuer to repay the
  debt as per terms of issue. This is
  neither      a     general       purpose
  evaluation of the company nor a
  recommendation to buy, hold or
  sell a debt instrument.
Definition
 "A rating is an opinion on the future ability
  and legal obligation of the issuer to make
  timely payments of the principal and
  interest on a specific fixed income security.
  The rating measures the probability that the
  issuer will default on the security over its
  life, which depending on the instrument,
  may be a matter of 30 days to 30 years or
  more. In addition long term rating
  incorporate an assessment of the expected
  monetary loss should default occur,“
                                     Moody's
Credit Rating - Acronym
C-    Credit Worthiness
R-    Risk Analysis
E-    Equity Assessment
D-    Dividend and Earning Prospects
I -   Intentions of Promoters
T-    Transparency of Organization
Credit Rating - Acronym
R-    Relative Strength
A-    Authentic Information
T-    Technical Analysis
I -   Industrial Climate of Profile
N-    Network Assessment
G-    Guidance to Investors, Companies,
      and the Government
Credit Rating Agency- Defined

"Credit rating agency" is a commercial concern
  engaged in the business of credit rating of
  any debt obligation or of any project or
  program requiring finance, whether in the
  form of debt or otherwise, and includes
  credit rating of any financial obligation,
  instrument or security, which has the
  purpose of providing a potential investor or
  any other person any information pertaining
  to the relative safety to timely payment of
  interest or principal.
Credit Rating Agencies in India
 CRISIL Limited
 ICRA Limited
 Credit Analysis & Research Ltd.
  (CARE)
 Fitch Ratings India Private Ltd.
Input - Analysis – Output
            Chart
INPUT              ANALYSIS OUTPUT
Information on :
Economic/
Political System   Rating
Industry           Analysis      Rating
Local Business          - Exercise
Accounting &
Financial Market
How does a rating help an Investor?


 The credit ratings provide an
  investor with critical information
  to enable him to take an informed
  investment decision based on his
  risk-return preferences. These
  also help investors to select the
  appropriate             investment
  opportunities from a large range
  of options available.
How are credit ratings done?
In general the ratings are based on an
  in-depth study of the industry as also
  an evaluation of the strengths and
  weaknesses of the company.
Some of the factors are :-
 inherent protective factors
 marketing strategies
 competitive edge
 level of technological development
Contd….
 operational efficiency,
 competence and effectiveness of
  management,
 hedging of risks,
 cash flow trends and potential,
 liquidity,
 financial flexibility,
 government policies,
 past record of debt servicing,etc.
How long does a rating remain
                valid?
Once a rating has been accepted by the
 company, CRAs continuously monitor
 the corporate and the rating is
 monitored     till the   life    of  the
 instrument. This process is known as
 surveillance. During the surveillance
 period, all changes affecting the
 company are taken into account and
 the rating, if necessary, is changed,
 upwards or downwards. In other
 words, a rating is valid during the life
 of the instrument unless it is changed.
What does the suffix + or - with
        the rating mean?

 The suffix + or - may be used
  with the rating symbol to indicate
  the comparative position of the
  instrument within the group
  covered by the symbol. Thus
  MAA- lies one notch above MA+.
How does CRAs ensure
    dependability of ratings?
 The CRAs maintain absolute
  independence from market participants
  to provide unbiased opinions. The
  ratings are a result of collective
  judgement of committee members.
  The CRA's in-house research and data
  base ensure that opinions are
  supported by objective benchmarks
  and peer comparison.
Factors considered while doing
an Equity Grading/Assessment?
The factors are:-
 management quality,
 industry outlook,
 corporate      operations     and
  competitive character,
 financial strength (both past and
  future).
Contd…
In other words, all relevant factors
  affecting the corporates' earnings
  prospects and inherent risks are
  looked into. Grades are comments
  on the fundamentals and do not
  forecast the future market price
  or comment upon the compliance
  or violation of statutory guidelines
  relates to issues.
How does the CRAs ensure dependability
of Equity Grades / Assessment?
CRAs        maintain       absolute
 independence      from     market
 participants to provide unbiased
 opinions as it does not buy or sell
 equity. The Gradings are a result
 of deliberations of the committee
 members. Benchmarks set up by
 CRA's in-house research ensure
 that gradings are consistent.
How does equity grading help
          the investors?
Equity Grading gives investors
 timely access to independent,
 unbiased and dependable opinions
 on a company's fundamental
 strengths and weaknesses in form
 of the earnings prospects and the
 associated risks and, therefore,
 help    investors   design     their
 portfolios by choosing investment
 options according to their risk and
 return preferences.
An example of an Equity Grade
The equity grades range from ER1A to
  ER6C. To illustrate, an equity grade of
  ER3B      indicates     Good    Earnings
  Prospects: Moderate Risk-Indicated
  fundamentally      on   above    average
  position. The level, growth and quality
  of earnings over the medium term are
  of a high grade. However, changes in
  business/economic circumstances, as
  may be visualised, may moderately
  impair     the   likely   earnings   and
  underlying fundamentals.
Rating – Banks & FIs
CRAMEL model is used by the rating
 agencies, comprising of: -
C =      Capital Adequacy
R =      Resource Raising Ability
A =      Asset Quality
M =      Management Quality and System
          Evaluation
E =      Earning Potential and Prospects.
L =      Liquidity / Asset - Liability
          Management
System for Rating

             Management       Growth Potential                          Disclosure/     Total
                                                   Stability [45]
              Ability [20]          [25]                              Reputation [10]   [100]
           ・Asset for        ・Sales Growth       ・History           ・Degree of
            Collateral       ・Profit Growth      ・Net Worth          Disclosure
COMPANY    ・Attitude         ・Marketability      ・Settlement        ・Public
ANALYSIS   ・Experience                           ・Collateral         Reputation          64
                                                 ・Partners

                  12                15                  30                  7
Points
Explanation
A. NO CAUTION SHOULD BE NEEDED            80   - 100
B. NO CAUTION SHOULD BE NEEDED AT 65           - 79
PRESENT
C. MORE OR LESS CARE MAY BE NEEDED 50          - 64
D. CAUTION SHOULD BE RECOMMENDED          30   - 49
E. CAUTION SHOULD BE NEEDED               0    - 29
(all points are examples)
Thank You.

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Understand Credit Ratings in 40 Characters

  • 1. Credit Rating Dr. Vivek Sharma Khandelwal College of Management Science & Technology, Bareilly
  • 2. Introduction There are four types of investors in the market.  1. Investors having money but not the investment skill;  2. Investors having money and investment skill both;  3. Investors having investment skill but less money; and  4. Investors possessing less money and poor investment skill.
  • 3. Contd…  These who do not have enough of money but are equipped with enough of skill there are many individuals and institutions to help them by procuring funds as per need. But those who have money to invest (either from their own resources or from borrowed ones) need guidance and advice with expert opinion as to where to invest? What forms safer outlet both from income and get back point of view, Credit Rating Agencies(CRAs) serve this cause.
  • 4. What Credit Rating is? Credit Rating is a simple and easy to understand symbolic indicator of the opinion of a credit rating agency about the risk involved in a borrowing program of an issuer with reference to the capability of the issuer to repay the debt as per terms of issue. This is neither a general purpose evaluation of the company nor a recommendation to buy, hold or sell a debt instrument.
  • 5. Definition  "A rating is an opinion on the future ability and legal obligation of the issuer to make timely payments of the principal and interest on a specific fixed income security. The rating measures the probability that the issuer will default on the security over its life, which depending on the instrument, may be a matter of 30 days to 30 years or more. In addition long term rating incorporate an assessment of the expected monetary loss should default occur,“ Moody's
  • 6. Credit Rating - Acronym C- Credit Worthiness R- Risk Analysis E- Equity Assessment D- Dividend and Earning Prospects I - Intentions of Promoters T- Transparency of Organization
  • 7. Credit Rating - Acronym R- Relative Strength A- Authentic Information T- Technical Analysis I - Industrial Climate of Profile N- Network Assessment G- Guidance to Investors, Companies, and the Government
  • 8. Credit Rating Agency- Defined "Credit rating agency" is a commercial concern engaged in the business of credit rating of any debt obligation or of any project or program requiring finance, whether in the form of debt or otherwise, and includes credit rating of any financial obligation, instrument or security, which has the purpose of providing a potential investor or any other person any information pertaining to the relative safety to timely payment of interest or principal.
  • 9. Credit Rating Agencies in India  CRISIL Limited  ICRA Limited  Credit Analysis & Research Ltd. (CARE)  Fitch Ratings India Private Ltd.
  • 10. Input - Analysis – Output Chart INPUT ANALYSIS OUTPUT Information on : Economic/ Political System Rating Industry Analysis Rating Local Business - Exercise Accounting & Financial Market
  • 11. How does a rating help an Investor? The credit ratings provide an investor with critical information to enable him to take an informed investment decision based on his risk-return preferences. These also help investors to select the appropriate investment opportunities from a large range of options available.
  • 12. How are credit ratings done? In general the ratings are based on an in-depth study of the industry as also an evaluation of the strengths and weaknesses of the company. Some of the factors are :-  inherent protective factors  marketing strategies  competitive edge  level of technological development
  • 13. Contd….  operational efficiency,  competence and effectiveness of management,  hedging of risks,  cash flow trends and potential,  liquidity,  financial flexibility,  government policies,  past record of debt servicing,etc.
  • 14. How long does a rating remain valid? Once a rating has been accepted by the company, CRAs continuously monitor the corporate and the rating is monitored till the life of the instrument. This process is known as surveillance. During the surveillance period, all changes affecting the company are taken into account and the rating, if necessary, is changed, upwards or downwards. In other words, a rating is valid during the life of the instrument unless it is changed.
  • 15. What does the suffix + or - with the rating mean?  The suffix + or - may be used with the rating symbol to indicate the comparative position of the instrument within the group covered by the symbol. Thus MAA- lies one notch above MA+.
  • 16. How does CRAs ensure dependability of ratings?  The CRAs maintain absolute independence from market participants to provide unbiased opinions. The ratings are a result of collective judgement of committee members. The CRA's in-house research and data base ensure that opinions are supported by objective benchmarks and peer comparison.
  • 17. Factors considered while doing an Equity Grading/Assessment? The factors are:-  management quality,  industry outlook,  corporate operations and competitive character,  financial strength (both past and future).
  • 18. Contd… In other words, all relevant factors affecting the corporates' earnings prospects and inherent risks are looked into. Grades are comments on the fundamentals and do not forecast the future market price or comment upon the compliance or violation of statutory guidelines relates to issues.
  • 19. How does the CRAs ensure dependability of Equity Grades / Assessment? CRAs maintain absolute independence from market participants to provide unbiased opinions as it does not buy or sell equity. The Gradings are a result of deliberations of the committee members. Benchmarks set up by CRA's in-house research ensure that gradings are consistent.
  • 20. How does equity grading help the investors? Equity Grading gives investors timely access to independent, unbiased and dependable opinions on a company's fundamental strengths and weaknesses in form of the earnings prospects and the associated risks and, therefore, help investors design their portfolios by choosing investment options according to their risk and return preferences.
  • 21. An example of an Equity Grade The equity grades range from ER1A to ER6C. To illustrate, an equity grade of ER3B indicates Good Earnings Prospects: Moderate Risk-Indicated fundamentally on above average position. The level, growth and quality of earnings over the medium term are of a high grade. However, changes in business/economic circumstances, as may be visualised, may moderately impair the likely earnings and underlying fundamentals.
  • 22. Rating – Banks & FIs CRAMEL model is used by the rating agencies, comprising of: - C = Capital Adequacy R = Resource Raising Ability A = Asset Quality M = Management Quality and System Evaluation E = Earning Potential and Prospects. L = Liquidity / Asset - Liability Management
  • 23. System for Rating Management Growth Potential Disclosure/ Total Stability [45] Ability [20] [25] Reputation [10] [100] ・Asset for ・Sales Growth ・History ・Degree of Collateral ・Profit Growth ・Net Worth Disclosure COMPANY ・Attitude ・Marketability ・Settlement ・Public ANALYSIS ・Experience ・Collateral Reputation 64 ・Partners 12 15 30 7 Points
  • 24. Explanation A. NO CAUTION SHOULD BE NEEDED 80 - 100 B. NO CAUTION SHOULD BE NEEDED AT 65 - 79 PRESENT C. MORE OR LESS CARE MAY BE NEEDED 50 - 64 D. CAUTION SHOULD BE RECOMMENDED 30 - 49 E. CAUTION SHOULD BE NEEDED 0 - 29 (all points are examples)