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DO MERGERS CREATE VALUE IN
AUTOMOBILE INDDUSTRY
1
THE JOURNEY SO FAR …
Mergers and acquisition (M&A)
The automobile industry
M&A in the
automobile industry
Do mergers
create value ?
Daimler
Chrysler
2
WHAT IS VALUE ? …
Cumulative abnormal
returns
Managers’
assessments
Divestment data
Expert informants’
assessments
Post-Merger
performance
Early measures ….
3
WHAT IS VALUE ? …(CONTD.)
Accounting
based
measures
Stock
market
based
measures
Managers
subjective
assessment
Post – Merger
performance
Current measurement methods….
4
DO MERGERS CREATE VALUE ?...
What does the literature say
• Abnormal returns in the short
run
Target
Firm
• Value restricted to few
success stories
• Contrasting results
• On an average – no value
created
Acquiring
firm 5
SNAPSHOT OF THE AUTO INDUSTRY
Largest manufacturing industry
Capital intensive
High barriers to entry
Highly consolidated industry 6
TRENDS IN THE AUTO INDUSTRY
Consolidation
Overcapacity
Technology
Consumer demands
Lean and green production 7
COMPANY SELECTION
 Universe of mergers from 1996 – 2010.
 Ranking by transaction size
 No restructuring, no partial stakes, true merger and acquisitions
 Daimler Chrysler ‘ Merger of Equals’
 Daimler Chrysler – 3 phases
8
THE CHRYSLER CORP. STORY
 Originally known as Maxwell Motor Company
 Walter Chrysler pioneered the change
 Computer based Unibody design
 Hasty decisions followed to hit the company
financials
 Chrysler Corporation Loan Guarantee Act, 1979 for
USD$ 1.5 billion
 Diversified business in 1988, acquisitions reducing
working capital to USD$ 1.7 billion
9
CHRYSLER PERFORMANCE PRE-MERGER…
25575
33548
40831
49363 49601
57587 56986
22922
28396
32382
38032
41304
45842 46743
854 902
4677
6767
4444
7099
5563
0
12005
16093
18864 19657
24057
25708
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
Revenues
COGS
Operating Income
Current Liabilities
10
CHRYSLER PERFORMANCE PRE-MERGER…
-1.64
1.11
-3.81
5.06
2.68
4.83
4.15
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
Basic EPS
Basic EPS
11
DAIMLER
 Founded in the year 1886 by Gottlieb Daimler and
Carl Benz
 Personal mobility in 200 countries and 35 operating
units
 Financial Dilemma of 1995
 New Chairman and his ownership: Jurgen
Schrempp
 Restructure and Realignment
 Expansion Plans - Merger
12
RESULTS OF CHANGE IN STRUCTURE
-20000
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
Revenue
COGS
Operating Income
Current Liabilities
13
`
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
Basic EPS
Basic EPS
14
MOTIVATIONS FOR MERGERS
 Daimler’s Dilemma
- Entry into U.S domestic market
 Chrysler Puzzle
- European presence
 Daimler & Chrysler
- Match made in heaven
Synergy Equation
Daimler AG
(2)
Chrysler
Corporation
(2)
Daimler
Chrysler AG
( 5)
15
THE MERGER OF ‘EQUALS’
Structure of the transaction
• 1 Daimler = 1 Daimler Chrysler ( DCX)
• 0.45 Chrysler Corporation = 1 Daimler Chrysler ( DCX)
Deal closed in 200 days
• May 6, 1998, merger agreement is signed
• 17th November the stock starts trading
First global share
• 21 markets all over the world
• DCX was no longer a part of S&P 500
16
DAIMLER-CHRYSLER POST MERGER
PERFORMANCE
Return on Equity
Profitability
• EPS
• EBIT/share
• Operating margins
• R&D/ sales
• R&D/EBIT
• CFO/Share
Efficiency
• Total asset utilization
• Fixed asset utilization
17
SHAREHOLDER VALUE - ROE
Still below pre-
merger levels
-30.00%
-20.00%
-10.00%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Daimler Chrysler
18
PROFITABILITY - EBIT/SHARE
-15.00
-10.00
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Daimler Group Daimler division Chrysler / division 19
PROFITABILITY - R&D/ SALES & R&D/EBIT
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Daimler Daimler division Chrysler Division
-600.00%
-400.00%
-200.00%
0.00%
200.00%
400.00%
600.00%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Daimler Daimler division Chrysler Division
20
CASH FLOW/SHARE
12.00
13.00
14.00
15.00
16.00
17.00
18.00
19.00
20.00
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Cash Flow Per Share - Daimler
21
EFFICIENCY- FIXED ASSET TURNOVER
22
1.1x
2.1x
3.1x
4.1x
5.1x
6.1x
7.1x
8.1x
9.1x
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Daimler Chrysler
CULTURAL CLASH
 Dominance of Daimler over Chrysler
 Power and conflict
 Difference in compensation policies, travel
expenses
 Conflicting goals among newly merged
departments
 Dividend payments germanised
 Structured Management V/S Permissive
23
DAIMLER AG AFTER DEMERGER
(8.0%)
(3.0%)
2.0%
7.0%
12.0%
Return on Assets % Return on Equity % Net Profit Margin % EBIT Margin
2008
2009
2010
(3.0)
(2.0)
(1.0)
0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
2008 2009 2010
EPS
Dividends
24
ETHICAL CONSIDERATIONS & LIMITATIONS
 Due to time constraints we could consider only one
unsuccessful merger for our research
 We relied on S&P Capital IQ for financial data and
were unable to check every line item with SEC
filings
 Our research data is secondary
25
CONCLUSIONS
 Mergers should be evaluated for their performance
in the long run rather than in the short run.
 Large automobile companies have legacy costs
and hence mergers in these companies fail to
create value in the long run.
 Quantitative factors vs. Qualitative factors.
 International diversification and product portfolio
diversification might not work
26
THANK YOU
 Special thanks to our mentor Dr. Parvinder Arora
and Dr. Veena Jadhav for providing
guidance, mentorship and facilitation for this
research.
27

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Do Mergers Create Value - Analyzing Daimler Chrysler

  • 1. DO MERGERS CREATE VALUE IN AUTOMOBILE INDDUSTRY 1
  • 2. THE JOURNEY SO FAR … Mergers and acquisition (M&A) The automobile industry M&A in the automobile industry Do mergers create value ? Daimler Chrysler 2
  • 3. WHAT IS VALUE ? … Cumulative abnormal returns Managers’ assessments Divestment data Expert informants’ assessments Post-Merger performance Early measures …. 3
  • 4. WHAT IS VALUE ? …(CONTD.) Accounting based measures Stock market based measures Managers subjective assessment Post – Merger performance Current measurement methods…. 4
  • 5. DO MERGERS CREATE VALUE ?... What does the literature say • Abnormal returns in the short run Target Firm • Value restricted to few success stories • Contrasting results • On an average – no value created Acquiring firm 5
  • 6. SNAPSHOT OF THE AUTO INDUSTRY Largest manufacturing industry Capital intensive High barriers to entry Highly consolidated industry 6
  • 7. TRENDS IN THE AUTO INDUSTRY Consolidation Overcapacity Technology Consumer demands Lean and green production 7
  • 8. COMPANY SELECTION  Universe of mergers from 1996 – 2010.  Ranking by transaction size  No restructuring, no partial stakes, true merger and acquisitions  Daimler Chrysler ‘ Merger of Equals’  Daimler Chrysler – 3 phases 8
  • 9. THE CHRYSLER CORP. STORY  Originally known as Maxwell Motor Company  Walter Chrysler pioneered the change  Computer based Unibody design  Hasty decisions followed to hit the company financials  Chrysler Corporation Loan Guarantee Act, 1979 for USD$ 1.5 billion  Diversified business in 1988, acquisitions reducing working capital to USD$ 1.7 billion 9
  • 10. CHRYSLER PERFORMANCE PRE-MERGER… 25575 33548 40831 49363 49601 57587 56986 22922 28396 32382 38032 41304 45842 46743 854 902 4677 6767 4444 7099 5563 0 12005 16093 18864 19657 24057 25708 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Revenues COGS Operating Income Current Liabilities 10
  • 12. DAIMLER  Founded in the year 1886 by Gottlieb Daimler and Carl Benz  Personal mobility in 200 countries and 35 operating units  Financial Dilemma of 1995  New Chairman and his ownership: Jurgen Schrempp  Restructure and Realignment  Expansion Plans - Merger 12
  • 13. RESULTS OF CHANGE IN STRUCTURE -20000 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Revenue COGS Operating Income Current Liabilities 13
  • 14. ` -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Basic EPS Basic EPS 14
  • 15. MOTIVATIONS FOR MERGERS  Daimler’s Dilemma - Entry into U.S domestic market  Chrysler Puzzle - European presence  Daimler & Chrysler - Match made in heaven Synergy Equation Daimler AG (2) Chrysler Corporation (2) Daimler Chrysler AG ( 5) 15
  • 16. THE MERGER OF ‘EQUALS’ Structure of the transaction • 1 Daimler = 1 Daimler Chrysler ( DCX) • 0.45 Chrysler Corporation = 1 Daimler Chrysler ( DCX) Deal closed in 200 days • May 6, 1998, merger agreement is signed • 17th November the stock starts trading First global share • 21 markets all over the world • DCX was no longer a part of S&P 500 16
  • 17. DAIMLER-CHRYSLER POST MERGER PERFORMANCE Return on Equity Profitability • EPS • EBIT/share • Operating margins • R&D/ sales • R&D/EBIT • CFO/Share Efficiency • Total asset utilization • Fixed asset utilization 17
  • 18. SHAREHOLDER VALUE - ROE Still below pre- merger levels -30.00% -20.00% -10.00% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Daimler Chrysler 18
  • 19. PROFITABILITY - EBIT/SHARE -15.00 -10.00 -5.00 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Daimler Group Daimler division Chrysler / division 19
  • 20. PROFITABILITY - R&D/ SALES & R&D/EBIT 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Daimler Daimler division Chrysler Division -600.00% -400.00% -200.00% 0.00% 200.00% 400.00% 600.00% 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Daimler Daimler division Chrysler Division 20
  • 21. CASH FLOW/SHARE 12.00 13.00 14.00 15.00 16.00 17.00 18.00 19.00 20.00 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Cash Flow Per Share - Daimler 21
  • 22. EFFICIENCY- FIXED ASSET TURNOVER 22 1.1x 2.1x 3.1x 4.1x 5.1x 6.1x 7.1x 8.1x 9.1x 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Daimler Chrysler
  • 23. CULTURAL CLASH  Dominance of Daimler over Chrysler  Power and conflict  Difference in compensation policies, travel expenses  Conflicting goals among newly merged departments  Dividend payments germanised  Structured Management V/S Permissive 23
  • 24. DAIMLER AG AFTER DEMERGER (8.0%) (3.0%) 2.0% 7.0% 12.0% Return on Assets % Return on Equity % Net Profit Margin % EBIT Margin 2008 2009 2010 (3.0) (2.0) (1.0) 0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 2008 2009 2010 EPS Dividends 24
  • 25. ETHICAL CONSIDERATIONS & LIMITATIONS  Due to time constraints we could consider only one unsuccessful merger for our research  We relied on S&P Capital IQ for financial data and were unable to check every line item with SEC filings  Our research data is secondary 25
  • 26. CONCLUSIONS  Mergers should be evaluated for their performance in the long run rather than in the short run.  Large automobile companies have legacy costs and hence mergers in these companies fail to create value in the long run.  Quantitative factors vs. Qualitative factors.  International diversification and product portfolio diversification might not work 26
  • 27. THANK YOU  Special thanks to our mentor Dr. Parvinder Arora and Dr. Veena Jadhav for providing guidance, mentorship and facilitation for this research. 27