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Phillip Thailand Offshore Private Fund

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  1. 1. The 2nd in World GDP and Rising Source: GE Presentation
  2. 2. The 2nd in World GDP and Rising Source: GE Presentation
  3. 3. Beat Target over 11 Years in a row Source: CEIC, Central Government’s Website, CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets
  4. 4. Beat Target over 11 Years in a row Source: CEIC, Central Government’s Website, CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets
  5. 5. Energy Consumption in China Energy consumption in US, China and India 1990-2035 (quadrillion Btu) Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration Source: McKinsey Insights China
  6. 6. Natural Gas Demand Non-OECD Asia Net Natural Gas Trade 2008-2035 (trillion cubic feet) World Natural Gas consumption Natural Gas consumption in non-OECD Asia 2008-2035 (trillion cubic feet) 2008-2035 (trillion cubic feet) Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration
  7. 7. Electricity Consumption Trillion kilowatt-hours Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration Source: McKinsey Insights China
  8. 8. Changing demographics Source: McKinsey Insights China
  9. 9. High Saving Rate Source: World Bank, 2011
  10. 10. Shift in GDP Composition Less Investment & Export  More Consumption Source: FT.com GDP = CONSUMP + INVEST + GOVT + (EX – IM)
  11. 11. Low Debt Per GDP
  12. 12. Interest Rate Cut move Stock Market
  13. 13. Excess Liquidity Move Stock WHEN MONEY SUPPLY GROW MORE THAN GDP HK MARKET GOES UP
  14. 14. Yuan Appreciation 2005 CNY Revaluation Source: XE.com
  15. 15. New City New Transport System Source: Yum Brand Presentation
  16. 16. Infrastructure Champion $900B + infrastructure funding only China alone Source: GE Presentation
  17. 17. Infrastructure Champion Source: GE Presentation
  18. 18. High Speed Rails & Roads Source: Morgan Stanley Research
  19. 19. Low PE compared to History Source: USFunds.com
  20. 20. Simple 10-20 Rule Concept Buy at a P/E of 10 and Sell at a P/E of 20 Date Yrs Hold Return 1974 1.3 180% 1982 4.8 463% 1989 4.4 430% 1995 2.6 126% 1998 1.8 116% 2008 2.2 88% 2012 Buy XXX % Now P/E = 9.2 Price As of 28/6/12
  21. 21. Fund Asset Allocation
  22. 22. Portfolio Holding
  23. 23. China National Offshore Oil Fundamental • Revenue – 293.81bn HKD • Net Profit – 85.67bn HKD • EPS – 1.91 HKD Ticker: 0883 Listed: HSKI, NYSE • Debt/Equity – 14.5% • Dividend Yield – 3.55% Qualitative • P/E – 7.66X • China No.1 Offshore Producer • ROE – 29.36% • Daily production 900,000 BOE • 15 Projects under construction • 6 – 10% CAGR Next 5 years • No.3 NOC (National Oil Company) Source: FT.com/ Businessweek.com/ Reuters.com As of 28/6/12
  24. 24. CHINA Mobile Limited Fundamental • Revenue – 643.85bn HKD • Net Profit – 153.49bn HKD Ticker: 0941 • EPS – 7.56 HKD Listed: HSKI, NYSE • Debt/Equity – 4.4% • Dividend Yield – 3.97% Qualitative • P/E – 11.09X • World’s Largest Mobile Carrier • ROE – 20.52% • Subscriber 644 millions • TD-SCDMA Standard • iPhone 4S deal in Q2’12 • SOE (State Owned Enterprises) Source: FT.com/ Businessweek.com/ Reuters.com As of 28/6/12
  25. 25. CHINA Mobile Limited
  26. 26. ICBC Fundamental • Revenue – 771.93bn HKD • Net Profit – 263.16bn HKD • EPS – 0.7415 HKD Ticker: 1398 Listed: HSKI, SHH • Debt/Equity – 203.68% • Dividend Yield – 5.82% Qualitative • P/E – 5.73X • The world's most profitable bank • ROE – 22.79% with the largest market capitalization in the world, 2011 • Net profit has increased yoy with the highest net profits among its peers Source: FT.com/ Businessweek.com/ Reuters.com As of 28/6/12
  27. 27. Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited Fundamental • Revenue – 59.33bn HKD • Net Profit – 14.13bn HKD Ticker: 0914 Listed: HSKI, NYSE • EPS – 2.67 HKD • Debt/Equity – 33.90% Qualitative • Dividend Yield – 2.08% • China No.1 Cement Producer • P/E – 7.93X • Products used by over 20 countries • ROE – 24.95% • "Top Quality and Sincere Service" • Earning growth contributors  rural & public housing projects • SOE (State Owned Enterprises) Source: FT.com/ Businessweek.com/ Reuters.com As of 28/6/12
  28. 28. Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited Source: FT.com/ Businessweek.com/ Reuters.com As of 28/6/12
  29. 29. Why Invest in Gold ? Store of Value Safe Haven Alternative Currency
  30. 30. Why Invest in Gold ? Inflation Store of Value Value Safe Haven Alternative Currency
  31. 31. Why Invest in Gold ? Inflation Economic Crisis Store of Value Value Safe Haven War Alternative Currency
  32. 32. Why Invest in Gold ? Inflation Economic Crisis Central bank Reserve USD Weakness Lower Interest Rate Store of Value Value Money into risk asset Safe Haven War Alternative Currency
  33. 33. Gold vs. Dollar
  34. 34. Gold vs. Dollar
  35. 35. SPDR Gold Trust
  36. 36. Gold Mining vs. Gold Price 2. The mining had to “catch up” to expectations which already built into the gold markets. 3. Mining companies issue new shares to raise capital that decrease EPS while Market Cap inflated a lot
  37. 37. Newmont Mining Fundamental • Revenue – 10.36bn USD • Net Profit – 502mn USD • EPS – 0.9713 HKD • Debt/Equity – 33.4% Ticker: NEM • Dividend Yield – 2.73% Listed: NYSE • P/E – 52.79X Qualitative • ROE – 3.83% • A gold producer operate in North America, South America, Asia Pacific and Africa. • Gold Reserves of 98.8 million ounces Source: FT.com/ Businessweek.com/ Reuters.com As of 28/6/12
  38. 38. BHP Billiton Fundamental • Revenue – 74.40bn AUD • Net Profit – 22.25bn AUD • EPS – 4.10 AUD Ticker: BHP • Debt/Equity – 40.41% Listed: ASX • Dividend Yield – 4.25% • P/E – 8.45X Qualitative • ROE – 38.59% • A largest global resources producer operate in 25 countries • Mines copper, aluminum, diamonds, uranium, iron, gold, and coal, and has proved oil reserves Source: FT.com/ Businessweek.com/ Reuters.com As of 28/6/12
  39. 39. Agricultures Source: USAID.gov As of 28/6/12
  40. 40. Agricultures Source: USAID.gov As of 28/6/12
  41. 41. PowerShares DB Agricultures
  42. 42. Department Organization Chart
  43. 43. Department Organization Chart
  44. 44. Our Investment Approach
  45. 45. Our Investment Process
  46. 46. Our Investment Process
  47. 47. Performance Summary
  48. 48. Thank You Questions & Answers

Notes de l'éditeur

  • China Mobile
  • China Mobile
  • China Mobile
  • China Mobile
  • China Mobile

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