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POWERED BY
THE IMPACT OF
MARKETING ON
BRAND KPI’S
A DEEP DIVE ON HOW MEDIA AND PROMO WORKS
SETTING
THE SCENE
THE WORLD
IS CHANGING
MEDIA € ⬇︎
WHILE
PROMO € ⬆
BRAND
LOYALTY
???
BRANDS
ARE UNDER
PRESSURE
1 2 3 4
HOW TO
BREAK THIS
TREND?
WHAT IS THE
RECIPE FOR
GROWTH?
WHAT IS THE
IMPACT OF
DIFFERENT
MARKETING
TOOLS?
PENETRATION
IS KING
WHAT ARE THE KEY DRIVERS /
BRAND HEALTH KPI’S OF A BRAND?
X
X
MARKET SHARE
VALUE / VOLUME
VALUE / VOLUME
PER BUYER
TRIPS BASKTET
VALUE / VOLUME
BG20 — MANY QUESTIONS,
FIRST ANSWERS
PANEL DATA &
SURVEY DATA
FROM 14
COUNTRIES
PANEL DATA
FROM A FURTHER
10 COUNTRIES
INFORMATION
FOR MORE THAN
10K BRANDS WITH
3-8 YEARS OF
BACKDATA
POWERED BY &
WHO WANTS TO
BE A BRAND
GROWTH
MILLIONAIRE
WHO WANTS TO BE A
BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE
HERE’S HOW TO PLAY
1. MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTIONS ABOUT SOME
OF OUR BG20 LEARNINGS
2. FOUR OPTIONS, ONLY ONE IS CORRECT
3. SPEND ONE MINUTE DISCUSSING THE QUESTION WITH YOUR
NEIGHBOURS
4. ANSWER INDIVIDUALLY
YOU’RE NOT OUT IF YOU GET IT WRONG.
WINNER DOES NOT GET A MILLIONS EUROS (SORRY!)
WHO WANTS TO BE A
BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE
1
3
2
4
Q1
IF A BRAND DOUBLES ITS MARKET SHARE, WHAT IS
MOST LIKELY TO HAPPEN WITH ITS PURCHASE
FREQUENCY?
STAYS THE SAME
DOUBLES
SLIGHTLY LESS OFTEN
SLIGHTLY MORE OFTEN
WHO WANTS TO BE A
BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE
1
3
2
4
Q1
IF A BRAND DOUBLES ITS MARKET SHARE, WHAT IS
MOST LIKELY TO HAPPEN WITH ITS PURCHASE
FREQUENCY?
STAYS THE SAME
DOUBLES
SLIGHTLY LESS OFTEN
SLIGHTLY MORE OFTEN
LARGE BRANDS: MORE BUYERS,
ONLY SLIGHTLY HIGHER FREQUENCY
100 122 135 146 137 156
100
332
479
608
712
925
<10 <20 <30 <40 <50 >50
Frequency
Buyers Share Frequency
does not
(and cannot!)
differ as much
as penetration
WHO WANTS TO BE A
BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE
1
3
2
4
Q2
WHAT PERCENTAGE OF ANNUAL SALES OF AN
AVERAGE BRAND COMES FROM 1 AND 2 TIME BUYERS?
33%
50%
25%
66%
WHO WANTS TO BE A
BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE
1
3
2
4
Q2
WHAT PERCENTAGE OF ANNUAL SALES OF AN
AVERAGE BRAND COMES FROM 1 AND 2 TIME BUYERS?
33%
50%
25%
66%
50% OF SALES COME FROM 1 AND 2 TIME BUYERS
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21+
% of sales Cumulative Large Small
WHO WANTS TO BE A
BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE
1
3
2
4
Q3
WHEN A BRAND GROWS, IN WHICH
SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC GROUP DOES IT GROW IN
NUMBER OF BUYERS?
MOST AMONGST STRONGHOLDS
SIMILAR EVERYWHERE
MOST AMONGST WEAK SPOTS
NO CONSISTENT PATTERN
WHO WANTS TO BE A
BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE
1
3
2
4
Q3
WHEN A BRAND GROWS, IN WHICH
SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC GROUP DOES IT GROW IN
NUMBER OF BUYERS?
MOST AMONGST STRONGHOLDS
SIMILAR EVERYWHERE
MOST AMONGST WEAK SPOTS
NO CONSISTENT PATTERN
WHEN A BRAND GROWS OR DECLINES IN TERMS OF PENETRATION,
THIS IS NOTICED WITHIN EACH OF THE DIFFERENT TYPE OF HOUSEHOLDS
21.3% 21.3%
26.9%
19.9%
All HH HH with kids Pensioners Others
-21.4%
-16.8% -17.3%
-28.2%
All HH HH with kids Pensioners Others
WHAT IS THE
IMPACT OF
MARKETING
TOOLS ON MY
BRAND HEALTH?
THE RESEARCH MODEL
APPROACH
 DYNAMIC MODELING
 BASED ON GFK
PANEL DATA
 OF 300 BIG FMCG
BRANDS
 OVER SEVERAL
YEARS (2008-2015) SEARCHING FOR
IMPACT OF
CHANGES IN…
 MEDIA SPENDINGS
 SHARE OF VOICE
 NUMBER OF PROMOS
 SHARE OF PROMO
 CATEGORY VALUE
 PRICE PAID
ON DIFFERENT
BRAND HEALTH
KPI’S
EVOLUTION OF…
 MARKET SHARE
 PENETRATION
 LOYALTY
WHO WANTS TO BE A
BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE
1
3
2
4
Q4
WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING MARKETING INVESTMENT
CHANGES HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT ON A BRAND’S
PENETRATION RATE?
INCREASE ABSOLUTE
MEDIA SPEND
INCREASE NUMBER OF PROMO’S
INCREASE SHARE OF VOICE
INCREASE SHARE OF PROMO
WHO WANTS TO BE A
BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE
1
3
2
4
Q4
WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING MARKETING INVESTMENT
CHANGES HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT ON A BRAND’S
PENETRATION RATE?
INCREASE ABSOLUTE
MEDIA SPEND
INCREASE NUMBER OF PROMO’S
INCREASE SHARE OF VOICE
INCREASE SHARE OF PROMO
FOR PENETRATION,
ABSOLUTE MEDIA SPEND HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT
FOR CHALLENGER BRANDS (MARKT SHARE <10%)
PENETRATION IMPACT IS EVEN BETTER
WHO WANTS TO BE A
BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE
1
3
2
4
Q5
WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING MARKETING INVESTMENT
CHANGES HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT ON A BRAND’S
LOYALTY?
INCREASE ABSOLUTE MEDIA
SPEND
INCREASE NUMBER OF PROMO’S
INCREASE SHARE OF VOICE
INCREASE SHARE OF PROMO
WHO WANTS TO BE A
BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE
1
3
2
4
Q5
WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING MARKETING INVESTMENT
CHANGES HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT ON A BRAND’S
LOYALTY?
INCREASE ABSOLUTE MEDIA
SPEND
INCREASE NUMBER OF PROMO’S
INCREASE SHARE OF VOICE
INCREASE SHARE OF PROMO
IMPACT ON LOYALTY IS LIMITED. SHARE OF VOICE HAS THE BIGGEST
IMPACT FOLLOWED BY SHARE OF PROMO  BEING COMPETITIVE IS KEY
WHO WANTS TO BE A
BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE
1
3
2
4
Q6
WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING MARKETING INVESTMENT
CHANGES HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT ON A BRAND’S
MARKET SHARE?
INCREASE ABSOLUTE MEDIA
SPEND
INCREASE NUMBER OF PROMO’S
INCREASE SHARE OF VOICE
INCREASE SHARE OF PROMO
WHO WANTS TO BE A
BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE
1
3
2
4
Q6
WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING MARKETING INVESTMENT
CHANGES HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT ON A BRAND’S
MARKET SHARE?
INCREASE ABSOLUTE MEDIA
SPEND
INCREASE NUMBER OF PROMO’S
INCREASE SHARE OF VOICE
INCREASE SHARE OF PROMO
BE COMPETITIVE ON PROMO AND LEAD ON MEDIA IN ORDER TO
GAIN SHARE
THE POWER OF INTERACTION
1+1=3
INTERACTION EFFECT
+40% +55%
IN ADDITION
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.6%
0.7%
0.8%
0.9%
1.0%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%12%14%16%18%
Media spend
(as % of category value)
Increasing media
spendings results into
slower PL OM growth!
This is however not the
case for Hard Discount
market share growth
Promotions are not
able to stop PL
market share
growth!
S S SNS
CONCLUSION
KEY CONCLUSIONS?
THE WORLD IS CHANGING & CONSUMERS ARE TOO
MEDIA IS IMPACTING PENETRATION MORE THAN PROMOTIONS
BUT THE POWER LIES IN THE INTERACTION
OF BOTH MEDIA & (share of) PROMO
PENETRATION IS THE STRONGEST LEVER TO BOOST SALES

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How Brands Grow Seminar - The Impact of Marketing on Brand KPIs

  • 1. POWERED BY THE IMPACT OF MARKETING ON BRAND KPI’S A DEEP DIVE ON HOW MEDIA AND PROMO WORKS
  • 2. SETTING THE SCENE THE WORLD IS CHANGING MEDIA € ⬇︎ WHILE PROMO € ⬆ BRAND LOYALTY ??? BRANDS ARE UNDER PRESSURE 1 2 3 4
  • 3. HOW TO BREAK THIS TREND? WHAT IS THE RECIPE FOR GROWTH? WHAT IS THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT MARKETING TOOLS?
  • 4.
  • 6. WHAT ARE THE KEY DRIVERS / BRAND HEALTH KPI’S OF A BRAND? X X MARKET SHARE VALUE / VOLUME VALUE / VOLUME PER BUYER TRIPS BASKTET VALUE / VOLUME
  • 7. BG20 — MANY QUESTIONS, FIRST ANSWERS PANEL DATA & SURVEY DATA FROM 14 COUNTRIES PANEL DATA FROM A FURTHER 10 COUNTRIES INFORMATION FOR MORE THAN 10K BRANDS WITH 3-8 YEARS OF BACKDATA POWERED BY &
  • 8. WHO WANTS TO BE A BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE
  • 9. WHO WANTS TO BE A BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE HERE’S HOW TO PLAY 1. MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTIONS ABOUT SOME OF OUR BG20 LEARNINGS 2. FOUR OPTIONS, ONLY ONE IS CORRECT 3. SPEND ONE MINUTE DISCUSSING THE QUESTION WITH YOUR NEIGHBOURS 4. ANSWER INDIVIDUALLY YOU’RE NOT OUT IF YOU GET IT WRONG. WINNER DOES NOT GET A MILLIONS EUROS (SORRY!)
  • 10. WHO WANTS TO BE A BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE 1 3 2 4 Q1 IF A BRAND DOUBLES ITS MARKET SHARE, WHAT IS MOST LIKELY TO HAPPEN WITH ITS PURCHASE FREQUENCY? STAYS THE SAME DOUBLES SLIGHTLY LESS OFTEN SLIGHTLY MORE OFTEN
  • 11. WHO WANTS TO BE A BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE 1 3 2 4 Q1 IF A BRAND DOUBLES ITS MARKET SHARE, WHAT IS MOST LIKELY TO HAPPEN WITH ITS PURCHASE FREQUENCY? STAYS THE SAME DOUBLES SLIGHTLY LESS OFTEN SLIGHTLY MORE OFTEN
  • 12. LARGE BRANDS: MORE BUYERS, ONLY SLIGHTLY HIGHER FREQUENCY 100 122 135 146 137 156 100 332 479 608 712 925 <10 <20 <30 <40 <50 >50 Frequency Buyers Share Frequency does not (and cannot!) differ as much as penetration
  • 13. WHO WANTS TO BE A BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE 1 3 2 4 Q2 WHAT PERCENTAGE OF ANNUAL SALES OF AN AVERAGE BRAND COMES FROM 1 AND 2 TIME BUYERS? 33% 50% 25% 66%
  • 14. WHO WANTS TO BE A BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE 1 3 2 4 Q2 WHAT PERCENTAGE OF ANNUAL SALES OF AN AVERAGE BRAND COMES FROM 1 AND 2 TIME BUYERS? 33% 50% 25% 66%
  • 15. 50% OF SALES COME FROM 1 AND 2 TIME BUYERS 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21+ % of sales Cumulative Large Small
  • 16. WHO WANTS TO BE A BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE 1 3 2 4 Q3 WHEN A BRAND GROWS, IN WHICH SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC GROUP DOES IT GROW IN NUMBER OF BUYERS? MOST AMONGST STRONGHOLDS SIMILAR EVERYWHERE MOST AMONGST WEAK SPOTS NO CONSISTENT PATTERN
  • 17. WHO WANTS TO BE A BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE 1 3 2 4 Q3 WHEN A BRAND GROWS, IN WHICH SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC GROUP DOES IT GROW IN NUMBER OF BUYERS? MOST AMONGST STRONGHOLDS SIMILAR EVERYWHERE MOST AMONGST WEAK SPOTS NO CONSISTENT PATTERN
  • 18. WHEN A BRAND GROWS OR DECLINES IN TERMS OF PENETRATION, THIS IS NOTICED WITHIN EACH OF THE DIFFERENT TYPE OF HOUSEHOLDS 21.3% 21.3% 26.9% 19.9% All HH HH with kids Pensioners Others -21.4% -16.8% -17.3% -28.2% All HH HH with kids Pensioners Others
  • 19. WHAT IS THE IMPACT OF MARKETING TOOLS ON MY BRAND HEALTH?
  • 20. THE RESEARCH MODEL APPROACH  DYNAMIC MODELING  BASED ON GFK PANEL DATA  OF 300 BIG FMCG BRANDS  OVER SEVERAL YEARS (2008-2015) SEARCHING FOR IMPACT OF CHANGES IN…  MEDIA SPENDINGS  SHARE OF VOICE  NUMBER OF PROMOS  SHARE OF PROMO  CATEGORY VALUE  PRICE PAID ON DIFFERENT BRAND HEALTH KPI’S EVOLUTION OF…  MARKET SHARE  PENETRATION  LOYALTY
  • 21. WHO WANTS TO BE A BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE 1 3 2 4 Q4 WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING MARKETING INVESTMENT CHANGES HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT ON A BRAND’S PENETRATION RATE? INCREASE ABSOLUTE MEDIA SPEND INCREASE NUMBER OF PROMO’S INCREASE SHARE OF VOICE INCREASE SHARE OF PROMO
  • 22. WHO WANTS TO BE A BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE 1 3 2 4 Q4 WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING MARKETING INVESTMENT CHANGES HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT ON A BRAND’S PENETRATION RATE? INCREASE ABSOLUTE MEDIA SPEND INCREASE NUMBER OF PROMO’S INCREASE SHARE OF VOICE INCREASE SHARE OF PROMO
  • 23. FOR PENETRATION, ABSOLUTE MEDIA SPEND HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT
  • 24. FOR CHALLENGER BRANDS (MARKT SHARE <10%) PENETRATION IMPACT IS EVEN BETTER
  • 25. WHO WANTS TO BE A BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE 1 3 2 4 Q5 WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING MARKETING INVESTMENT CHANGES HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT ON A BRAND’S LOYALTY? INCREASE ABSOLUTE MEDIA SPEND INCREASE NUMBER OF PROMO’S INCREASE SHARE OF VOICE INCREASE SHARE OF PROMO
  • 26. WHO WANTS TO BE A BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE 1 3 2 4 Q5 WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING MARKETING INVESTMENT CHANGES HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT ON A BRAND’S LOYALTY? INCREASE ABSOLUTE MEDIA SPEND INCREASE NUMBER OF PROMO’S INCREASE SHARE OF VOICE INCREASE SHARE OF PROMO
  • 27. IMPACT ON LOYALTY IS LIMITED. SHARE OF VOICE HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT FOLLOWED BY SHARE OF PROMO  BEING COMPETITIVE IS KEY
  • 28. WHO WANTS TO BE A BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE 1 3 2 4 Q6 WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING MARKETING INVESTMENT CHANGES HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT ON A BRAND’S MARKET SHARE? INCREASE ABSOLUTE MEDIA SPEND INCREASE NUMBER OF PROMO’S INCREASE SHARE OF VOICE INCREASE SHARE OF PROMO
  • 29. WHO WANTS TO BE A BRAND GROWTH MILLIONAIRE 1 3 2 4 Q6 WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING MARKETING INVESTMENT CHANGES HAS THE BIGGEST IMPACT ON A BRAND’S MARKET SHARE? INCREASE ABSOLUTE MEDIA SPEND INCREASE NUMBER OF PROMO’S INCREASE SHARE OF VOICE INCREASE SHARE OF PROMO
  • 30. BE COMPETITIVE ON PROMO AND LEAD ON MEDIA IN ORDER TO GAIN SHARE
  • 31. THE POWER OF INTERACTION 1+1=3 INTERACTION EFFECT +40% +55%
  • 32. IN ADDITION 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%12%14%16%18% Media spend (as % of category value) Increasing media spendings results into slower PL OM growth! This is however not the case for Hard Discount market share growth Promotions are not able to stop PL market share growth! S S SNS
  • 34. KEY CONCLUSIONS? THE WORLD IS CHANGING & CONSUMERS ARE TOO MEDIA IS IMPACTING PENETRATION MORE THAN PROMOTIONS BUT THE POWER LIES IN THE INTERACTION OF BOTH MEDIA & (share of) PROMO PENETRATION IS THE STRONGEST LEVER TO BOOST SALES