This talk was Dedicated to Einstein's miracle year at his 26
以此次讲座,致敬当年爱因斯坦26岁时的几篇牛文之一,对布朗运动的研究。
对随机游走的研究,已经取得了很深入的进展,本次讲座从布朗运动模型入手,逐步深入,引入分数阶布朗运动,levy随机飞行等概念
这些模型在各种复杂系统中非常常见,比如金融市场,网络交通流量等等,
会简略介绍这些模型在金融系统的应用,以及分析基于布朗运动随机游走的金融模型的弊端
给大家一个随机游走世界的全景
1. Above and Under
Brownian Motion
Brownian Motion , Fractional Brownian
Motion , Levy Flight, and beyond
Seminar Talk at Beijing Normal University
Xiong Wang 王雄
Centre for Chaos and Complex Networks
City University of Hong Kong 1
2. Outline
Discrete Time Random walks
Ordinary random walks
Lévy flights
Generalized central limit
theorem
Stable distribution
Continuous time random walks
Ordinary Diffusion Lévy Flights
Fractional Brownian motion
(subdiffusion) Ambivalent processes 2
10. Generalized central limit
theorem
A generalization due to Gnedenko and
Kolmogorov states that the sum of a number
of random variables with power-law tail
distributions decreasing as 1 / | x | α + 1 where
0 < α < 2 (and therefore having infinite
variance) will tend to a stable distribution
f(x;α,0,c,0) as the number of variables grows.
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11. Stable distribution
In probability theory, a random variable is
said to be stable (or to have a stable
distribution) if it has the property that a linear
combination of two independent copies of the
variable has the same distribution, up to
location and scale parameters.
The stable distribution family is also
sometimes referred to as the Lévy alpha-
stable distribution.
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12. Such distributions form a four-parameter
family of continuous probability distributions
parametrized by location and scale
parameters μ and c, respectively, and two
shape parameters β and α, roughly
corresponding to measures of asymmetry
and concentration, respectively (see the
figures).
C:chaosTalklevyStableDensityFunction.cdf
16. Unified normal and power law
For α = 2 the distribution reduces to a Gaussian
distribution with variance σ2 = 2c2 and mean μ; the
skewness parameter β has no effect
The asymptotic behavior is described, for α < 2
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17. Log-log plot of skewed centered stable distribution PDF's showing the
power law behavior for large x. Again the slope of the linear portions
is equal to -(α+1)
28. Concluding Remarks
The ratio of the exponents α/β resembles the
interplay between sub- and superdiffusion.
For β < 2α the ambivalent CTRW is effectively
superdiffusive,
for β > 2α effectively subdiffusive.
For β = 2α the process exhibits the same
scaling as ordinary Brownian motion, despite
the crucial difference of infinite moments and a
non-Gaussian shape of the pdf W(x, t).
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29. Xiong Wang 王雄
Centre for Chaos and Complex Networks
City University of Hong Kong
Email: wangxiong8686@gmail.com
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