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AFRICA
WATER
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bruce	McCormack	
Bruce	McCormack	Consulting
Presentation	at	Waternomics Conference	
INSIGHT,	University	of	Galway,	Galway,	Ireland
31	January	2017
AFRICA	
WHAT’S	GOING	ON
Population
POPULATION	GROWTH
-
1.2b																					2.5b
(2016	approx.)																									34years																																									(2050	est.)
….	38m	annually	….
WORLD	POPULATION	2100	(guestimate)
UN	2100	estimate
Africa	…	3.5b
Europe	….	700m
FERTILITY	RATES
WHAT’S	GOING	ON
Urbanisation
GLOBAL	URBAN	LEVELS	…2011	…
URBANISATION	LEVELS	
….	estimated	450m	rural	>	urban	population	addition	by	2050	(UNEP	2016)	….
….	another	13m	annually	….
CITY	SIZES	2050	FORECAST
….	urban	growth	rate	2010-15	=	4.2%pa	(double	in	17	years)	….
….	2014	UN	HABITAT	estimate	203m	living	in	slums	….
FORMAL	URBAN	DEVELOPMENT	….	lots	of	it
BUT
……62%	of	Africa	population	live	in	informal	settlements	(urban	&	rural)
(UN	Habitat	2013)
Cape	Town,	S	Africa Lagos,	Nigeria
INFORMAL	SETTLEMENT	
…	major	expanding	issue	…
KIBERA,	NAIROBI
KIBERA
…	approx.	250	000	people	…
KIBERA
WATERCOURSES
KIBERA
WATER	&	SANITATION	INFRASTRUCUTURE
WHAT’S	GOING	ON
Economy
GROSS	DOMESTIC	PRODUCT	2016
GDP	PER	CAPITA	2015
ACCESS	TO	ELECTRICITY	(2010)
REAL	GDP	GROWTH	2016	(IMF)
MASSIVE	MISSMATCH
POPULATION	2050 GDP	NOW
WHAT’S	GOING	ON
Water
VERY	DRY																																							…		VERY	DRY
WET																																																			MIXED
DRY	&	VERY	DRY					….																																	MIXED
VARIATIONVARIATION
VARIATION
VARIATION
VARIATION VARIATION
VARIATION
VARIATION
VARIATION
VARIATION
VARIATION
WATER	ISSUES	…	someQUALITY	
------------------------------------------------------
• SEDIMENTATION … eg overgrazing
• EUTROPHICATION	…	biodiversity	loss,	
fishing	losses
• CHEMICALS,	HEAVY	METALS	
• SOLID	WASTE	…		litter,	medical,	etc.
• SEWAGE …	urban	areas	particularly
• WETLAND	LOSS	…	water	&	biodiversity	loss	
implications
• RIVER	BANK	VEGITATION	LOSS
• ZOONOSES ….	potential	global	threats
• GROUNDWATER	QUALITY	…	pit	latrines
• ETC	…
QUANTITY
----------------------------------------------------------
• CAPTURE	>	STORAGE	>	DISTRIBUTION	
>	USAGE	ISSUES		…	inefficiencies	at	each	
stage
• CLIMATE	CHANGE		…	big	challenge
• DESERTIFICATION …	creeping
• VARIABILITY…	floods	/	droughts
• AQUIFER	USAGE	…	big	potential																											
in	some	areas
• DAMS …	can	radically	impact	on	
flows/availability	downstream	+	biodiversity	
impacts	
• ETC	…
DEATHS	DUE	TO	WATER	BORNE	DISEASES
+- 970	000	…..	PER	ANNUM	+- 970	00		…..	ANNUALLY
……		approx.	Galway	City	2016	population	dying	each	month ……
THE	CHALLENGE	TO	US
….	ALL	OF	US	….
Here	in	Ireland
Here	in	Europe
Globally
SUSTAINABLE	DEVELOPMENT	GOALS	- WATER
GOAL	
ENSURE	AVAILABILITY	AND	SUSTAINABLE	MANAGEMENT	OF	WATER	AND	SANITATION	FOR	ALL
TARGETS
• 6.1		By	2030,	achieve	universal	and	equitable	access	to	safe	and	affordable	drinking	water	for	all
• 6.2		By	2030,	achieve	access	to	adequate	and	equitable	sanitation	and	hygiene	for	all	and	end	open	defecation,	paying	special	
attention	to	the	needs	of	women	and	girls	and	those	in	vulnerable	situations
• 6.3		By	2030,	improve	water	quality	by	reducing	pollution,	eliminating	dumping	and	minimizing	release	of	hazardous	chemicals	
and	materials,	halving	the	proportion	of	untreated	wastewater	and	substantially	increasing	recycling	and	safe	reuse	globally
• 6.4		By	2030,	substantially	increase	water-use	efficiency	across	all	sectors	and	ensure	sustainable	withdrawals	and	supply	of	
freshwater	to	address	water	scarcity	and	substantially	reduce	the	number	of	people	suffering	from	water	scarcity
• 6.5		By	2030,	implement	integrated	water	resources	management	at	all	levels,	including	through	transboundary	cooperation	as	
appropriate
• 6.6		By	2020,	protect	and	restore	water-related	ecosystems,	including	mountains,	forests,	wetlands,	rivers,	aquifers	and	lakes
• 6.a		By	2030,	expand	international	cooperation	and	capacity-building support	to	developing	countries	
in	water- and	sanitation-related	activities	and	programmes,	including	water	harvesting,	desalination,	
water	efficiency,	wastewater	treatment,	recycling	and	reuse	technologies
• 6.b		Support	and	strengthen	the	participation	of	local	communities	in	improving	water	and	sanitation	management
WHAT	SHOULD	GO	ON
(tech	perspective)
LOW	TECH HIGH	TECH…	AND	…
TECHNOLOGY	LEAP	…..	its	possible
TECHNOLOGY	LEAP	…..	its	happened	before
VISION	and	POLICY	FRAMEWORK
…	technology	seen	as	a	key	driver	…
OUR	TODO LIST
VIA	…..
---IRELAND	Inc---
--- EUROPEAN	UNION	---
--- OWN	ORGANISATION	---
USE	WATERNOMICS
….…and	other	knowledge/expertise
ITS	COMPLEX	….	not	easy		….		or	quick	
…	but	possible	…………
THANK	YOU

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Africa: Water