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What is the current evidence between alcohol 
and cancer? 
STAP International Conference on Alcohol, Health and Policy 
3 October 2014 
Giota Mitrou PhD MSc 
Head of Research Funding & Science Activities
Outline 
 World Cancer Research Fund network & World Cancer 
Research Fund International 
 The case for cancer prevention 
 The Continuous Update Project process 
 The Continuous Update Project evidence 
 Mechanisms 
 Research issues & future research directions 
 Conclusions
World Cancer Research Fund Network 
Vision: to live in a world where no one develops a preventable cancer 
Members of the World Cancer Research Fund network of cancer charities with 
a global reach, dedicated to the prevention of cancer through diet, weight and 
physical activity: 
American Institute for Cancer Research (1982) 
World Cancer Research Fund UK (1990) 
World Cancer Research Fund Netherlands (1994) 
World Cancer Research Fund Hong Kong (1997) 
World Cancer Research Fund International (1999) leads and unifies the network 
of cancer charities
World Cancer Research Fund 
International 
 Supports the scientific community in their research 
 Stimulates and nurtures research and innovation in cancer 
prevention and survivorship 
 Encourages more young scientists to enter the field 
 Encourages scientists to cite us in scientific papers and to 
help disseminate our information 
 Encourages and enables governments and policymakers to 
adopt and implement effective policy actions 
 Engages and influences decision-makers to involve us in the 
development of their policies on cancer prevention and non-communicable 
diseases
The case for cancer prevention
Global Alcohol Consumption 
Europe: In men about 
10% and in women 
about 3% of all 
cancers attributable to 
alcohol Devaux and Sassi, OECD 
Publishing, 2013. 
Source: WHO's annual World Health Statistics report 2010
Alcohol and disease 
 3rd highest risk factor for disease & mortality in Europe 
 Light to moderate alcohol consumption might reduce 
cardiovascular risk especially CHD mortality (reverse 
causation and confounding cannot be excluded) 
 High consumption might precipitate myocardial 
ischemia/infarction and coronary death 
 Since 1998 IARC classified alcohol as Group 1 
carcinogen
24 
22 
20 
18 
16 
14 
12 
10 
8 
6 
4 
2 
0 
Estimated global number of new cases of cancer 
(actual and predicted) 
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 
Number (millions) 
Year 
Data from Parkin et al, Pisani et al, Globocan 2012, IARC
International Agency for Research on Cancer 
“We are not going to be able to address this problem by simply improving 
the treatment of the disease…Prevention is absolutely critical and is 
somewhat neglected…Tidal wave of cancer and restrictions on alcohol 
and sugar need to be considered” – Chris Wild, Director
World Cancer Research Fund cancer preventability 
estimates from alcohol intake 
Cancer USA 
(%) 
UK 
(%) 
Brazil 
(%) 
China 
(%) 
Oesophagus 34 51 23 11 
Mouth, 
Pharynx & 
Larynx 
27 41 17 10 
Liver 15 17 6 6 
Colorectum 5 7 2 1 
Breast 11 22 6 1 
Source: http://www.wcrf.org/cancer_statistics/preventability_estimates/preventability_estimates_food.php
The Continuous Update Project process
Continuous Update Project 
 
The Continuous Update Project analyses global cancer prevention 
and survival research linked to diet, nutrition and physical activity. 
Among experts worldwide it is a trusted, authoritative scientific 
resource, which underpins current guidelines and policy for cancer 
prevention 
 
It ensures the World Cancer Research Fund network 
Recommendations for Cancer Prevention are based on the latest 
evidence 
 
The Continuous Update Project is produced in partnership with the 
American Institute for Cancer Research, World Cancer Research 
Fund UK, World Cancer Research Fund NL and World Cancer 
Research Fund HK
Continuous Update Project 
 
Agreed process for systematically 
reviewing evidence for 2007 Report 
 
Researchers at Imperial College London: 
Continuous Update Project database 
of epi research 
Systematically review the evidence 
 
Expert Panel: 
Draw conclusions 
Make recommendations
People 
 
Currently more than 100 
scientists from 17 
countries around the 
world 
 
International panel of 12 
experts 
 
Researchers, peer 
reviewers, advisers
Hierarchy of evidence 
 
Meta-analysis 
 
RCT 
 
Cohort 
 
Case control 
 
Ecological 
 
Opinion
Grading criteria 
Predefined requirements for; 
 
Number and types of studies 
 
Quality of exposure and outcome assessment 
 
Heterogeneity within and between study types 
 
Exclusion of chance, bias or confounding 
 
Biological gradient 
 
Evidence of mechanisms 
 
Size of effect
Grading the evidence 
Decreases 
risk 
Increases 
risk 
Strong 
evidence 
Convincing 
Probable 
Limited 
evidence 
Limited - 
suggestive 
Limited – no 
conclusion 
Strong 
evidence 
Substantial 
effect on risk 
unlikely 
Basis for recommendations
The Continuous Update Project: what is 
the current evidence
Assessing alcoholic drink intake 
 
Alcohol is a common term for ethanol 
 
Alcoholic drinks include beer, wine and 
spirits – ethanol concentration varies 
 
Measures of exposure: 
 Number of alcoholic drinks/time period (eg 
per day or per week) 
 Ethanol intake (g or ml)/time period
Breast Cancer Report 2010
Breast Cancer Report 2010
Postmenopausal Breast Cancer & Alcohol 
Relative risk: 
8% per 10g ethanol/d 
No. of studies: 13
Postmenopausal Breast Cancer & Alcohol 
High vs Low intake 
Direction of effect: 
increased risk 
Range: 0g to >60g ethanol/d 
No. of studies: 13
Colorectal Cancer Report 2011
Colorectal Cancer & Alcohol by sex 
Men: 
Relative risk: 
11% per 10g 
ethanol/d 
No. of studies: 7 
Women: 
Relative risk: 
7% per 10g 
ethanol/d 
No. of studies: 2
Pancreatic Cancer Report 2012
Strong evidence for alcohol & other cancers 
Second Expert Report 2007 
Cancer site Increased risk Intake 
Mouth, pharynx, larynx 24% 1 drink/week 
Oesophageal 4% 1 drink/week 
Liver 10% 10g/day 
Note: Multiplicative synergistic effects for combined exposure to alcohol 
drinking and tobacco smoking and upper respiratory tract cancers
Mouth, pharynx, larynx 
Nasopharynx 
Oesophagus 
Lung 
Stomach 
Pancreas 
Gallbladder 
Liver 
Colorectum7 
Breast premenopause 
Breast postmenopause 
Ovary 
Endometrium 
Prostate 
Kidney 
Skin 
Foods containing dietary fibre 
Aflatoxins 
Non-starchy vegetables1 
Allium vegetables 
Garlic 
Fruits2 
Foods containing lycopene 
Food containing selenium3 
Red meat 
Processed meat 
Cantonese-style salted fish 
Diets high in calcium4 
Salt, salted and salty foods 
Glycaemic load 
Arsenic in drinking water 
Maté 
Alcoholic drinks5 
Coffee 
Beta-carotene6 
Physical activity 
Body fatness 
Adult attained height 
Greater birth weight 
Lactation 
Convincing decreased risk 
Probable decreased risk 
Probable increased risk 
Convincing increased risk 
Substantial effect on risk unlikely 
Continuous Update 
Project matrix of 
strong evidence
Recommendation for cancer 
prevention
Publications timetable 
Year Publication 
2010 Breast 
2011 Colorectum 
2012 Pancreas 
2013-14 Endometrium, ovary, breast cancer survivors, prostate 
2014-15 Bladder, kidney, liver, gallbladder 
2015-16 Stomach, oesophagus, lung 
2016-17 Mouth, pharynx, larynx, nasopharynx, breast, colorectum 
2017 Review Recommendations for Cancer Prevention
Mechanisms 
Alcohol Cancer 
? 
Biological/Cellular Pathway
Mechanisms 
 
Ethanol (acetaldehyde) is human carcinogen (Group 
1, IARC) 
 
Ethanol metabolism activates other pro-carcinogens 
eg ROS 
 
Disrupts folate metabolism- important in DNA 
synthesis and repair 
 
Suppresses the immune system which may facilitate 
tumour cell spread
Cancer site specific mechanisms 
 
Digestive tract cancers: 
 Variation in ethanol metabolising enzymes (ADH, ALDH) 
modulates cancer risk 
 
Oral cavity, larynx, pharynx and oesophagus cancers: 
 Synergistic effect of carcinogens in tobacco and alcoholic 
drinks lead to mucosal hyperproliferation 
 
Liver cancer: 
 Mediates cirrhosis of the liver which is associated with cancer 
development 
 
Breast cancer: 
 Increases oestrogen and androgen levels/induces expression 
of ER/PR hormone receptors
Research issues and future research directions 
 
Better standardisation across studies in assessing alcohol 
intake, timing and pattern of exposure eg binge drinking 
 
Better characterisation of cumulative lifetime exposure (better 
info on age at start of drinking, assessing alcohol intake during 
lifecourse, stopping drinking and risk) 
 
Interactions with other lifestyle factors eg body weight or with 
nutrients eg folate 
 
Better understanding cancer site specific mechanisms eg 
epigenetic mechanisms, main effect modifiers 
 
Understanding individual attitudes towards alcohol drinking 
and cultural and social influences for tailored public health 
messages
Conclusions 
 
Continuous Update Project is trusted, authoritative scientific resource, 
which underpins current guidelines and policy for cancer prevention 
 
Continuous Update Project database of evidence largest of its kind on 
diet, nutrition and physical activity 
 
Enables comprehensive recommendations for cancer prevention based 
on the most up-to-date scientific evidence 
 
Strong evidence that alcohol causes cancer of: 
 Breast 
 Colorectal 
 Mouth, pharynx, larynx 
 Oesophageal 
 Liver
Conclusions 
 
Risk increases in dose-dependent manner-higher amount, 
higher risk of cancer development 
 
Consumption of any amount of alcohol increases cancer risk 
 
Reducing consumption or even better avoiding alcohol 
completely will help reduce cancer risk 
 
Important implications for prevention and alcohol policy
World Cancer Research Fund cancer prevention 
recommendation
For further information 
Giota Mitrou PhD 
Head of Research Funding & Science Activities 
g.mitrou@wcrf.org 
@wcrfint 
facebook.com/wcrfint 
www.wcrf.org

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What is the current evidence between alcohol and cancer (STAP International Conference on Alcohol, Health and Policy 3 October 2014, Amsterdam, Netherlands)

  • 1. What is the current evidence between alcohol and cancer? STAP International Conference on Alcohol, Health and Policy 3 October 2014 Giota Mitrou PhD MSc Head of Research Funding & Science Activities
  • 2. Outline  World Cancer Research Fund network & World Cancer Research Fund International  The case for cancer prevention  The Continuous Update Project process  The Continuous Update Project evidence  Mechanisms  Research issues & future research directions  Conclusions
  • 3. World Cancer Research Fund Network Vision: to live in a world where no one develops a preventable cancer Members of the World Cancer Research Fund network of cancer charities with a global reach, dedicated to the prevention of cancer through diet, weight and physical activity: American Institute for Cancer Research (1982) World Cancer Research Fund UK (1990) World Cancer Research Fund Netherlands (1994) World Cancer Research Fund Hong Kong (1997) World Cancer Research Fund International (1999) leads and unifies the network of cancer charities
  • 4. World Cancer Research Fund International  Supports the scientific community in their research  Stimulates and nurtures research and innovation in cancer prevention and survivorship  Encourages more young scientists to enter the field  Encourages scientists to cite us in scientific papers and to help disseminate our information  Encourages and enables governments and policymakers to adopt and implement effective policy actions  Engages and influences decision-makers to involve us in the development of their policies on cancer prevention and non-communicable diseases
  • 5. The case for cancer prevention
  • 6. Global Alcohol Consumption Europe: In men about 10% and in women about 3% of all cancers attributable to alcohol Devaux and Sassi, OECD Publishing, 2013. Source: WHO's annual World Health Statistics report 2010
  • 7. Alcohol and disease  3rd highest risk factor for disease & mortality in Europe  Light to moderate alcohol consumption might reduce cardiovascular risk especially CHD mortality (reverse causation and confounding cannot be excluded)  High consumption might precipitate myocardial ischemia/infarction and coronary death  Since 1998 IARC classified alcohol as Group 1 carcinogen
  • 8. 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Estimated global number of new cases of cancer (actual and predicted) 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Number (millions) Year Data from Parkin et al, Pisani et al, Globocan 2012, IARC
  • 9. International Agency for Research on Cancer “We are not going to be able to address this problem by simply improving the treatment of the disease…Prevention is absolutely critical and is somewhat neglected…Tidal wave of cancer and restrictions on alcohol and sugar need to be considered” – Chris Wild, Director
  • 10. World Cancer Research Fund cancer preventability estimates from alcohol intake Cancer USA (%) UK (%) Brazil (%) China (%) Oesophagus 34 51 23 11 Mouth, Pharynx & Larynx 27 41 17 10 Liver 15 17 6 6 Colorectum 5 7 2 1 Breast 11 22 6 1 Source: http://www.wcrf.org/cancer_statistics/preventability_estimates/preventability_estimates_food.php
  • 11. The Continuous Update Project process
  • 12. Continuous Update Project  The Continuous Update Project analyses global cancer prevention and survival research linked to diet, nutrition and physical activity. Among experts worldwide it is a trusted, authoritative scientific resource, which underpins current guidelines and policy for cancer prevention  It ensures the World Cancer Research Fund network Recommendations for Cancer Prevention are based on the latest evidence  The Continuous Update Project is produced in partnership with the American Institute for Cancer Research, World Cancer Research Fund UK, World Cancer Research Fund NL and World Cancer Research Fund HK
  • 13. Continuous Update Project  Agreed process for systematically reviewing evidence for 2007 Report  Researchers at Imperial College London: Continuous Update Project database of epi research Systematically review the evidence  Expert Panel: Draw conclusions Make recommendations
  • 14. People  Currently more than 100 scientists from 17 countries around the world  International panel of 12 experts  Researchers, peer reviewers, advisers
  • 15. Hierarchy of evidence  Meta-analysis  RCT  Cohort  Case control  Ecological  Opinion
  • 16. Grading criteria Predefined requirements for;  Number and types of studies  Quality of exposure and outcome assessment  Heterogeneity within and between study types  Exclusion of chance, bias or confounding  Biological gradient  Evidence of mechanisms  Size of effect
  • 17. Grading the evidence Decreases risk Increases risk Strong evidence Convincing Probable Limited evidence Limited - suggestive Limited – no conclusion Strong evidence Substantial effect on risk unlikely Basis for recommendations
  • 18. The Continuous Update Project: what is the current evidence
  • 19. Assessing alcoholic drink intake  Alcohol is a common term for ethanol  Alcoholic drinks include beer, wine and spirits – ethanol concentration varies  Measures of exposure:  Number of alcoholic drinks/time period (eg per day or per week)  Ethanol intake (g or ml)/time period
  • 22. Postmenopausal Breast Cancer & Alcohol Relative risk: 8% per 10g ethanol/d No. of studies: 13
  • 23. Postmenopausal Breast Cancer & Alcohol High vs Low intake Direction of effect: increased risk Range: 0g to >60g ethanol/d No. of studies: 13
  • 25. Colorectal Cancer & Alcohol by sex Men: Relative risk: 11% per 10g ethanol/d No. of studies: 7 Women: Relative risk: 7% per 10g ethanol/d No. of studies: 2
  • 27. Strong evidence for alcohol & other cancers Second Expert Report 2007 Cancer site Increased risk Intake Mouth, pharynx, larynx 24% 1 drink/week Oesophageal 4% 1 drink/week Liver 10% 10g/day Note: Multiplicative synergistic effects for combined exposure to alcohol drinking and tobacco smoking and upper respiratory tract cancers
  • 28. Mouth, pharynx, larynx Nasopharynx Oesophagus Lung Stomach Pancreas Gallbladder Liver Colorectum7 Breast premenopause Breast postmenopause Ovary Endometrium Prostate Kidney Skin Foods containing dietary fibre Aflatoxins Non-starchy vegetables1 Allium vegetables Garlic Fruits2 Foods containing lycopene Food containing selenium3 Red meat Processed meat Cantonese-style salted fish Diets high in calcium4 Salt, salted and salty foods Glycaemic load Arsenic in drinking water Maté Alcoholic drinks5 Coffee Beta-carotene6 Physical activity Body fatness Adult attained height Greater birth weight Lactation Convincing decreased risk Probable decreased risk Probable increased risk Convincing increased risk Substantial effect on risk unlikely Continuous Update Project matrix of strong evidence
  • 30. Publications timetable Year Publication 2010 Breast 2011 Colorectum 2012 Pancreas 2013-14 Endometrium, ovary, breast cancer survivors, prostate 2014-15 Bladder, kidney, liver, gallbladder 2015-16 Stomach, oesophagus, lung 2016-17 Mouth, pharynx, larynx, nasopharynx, breast, colorectum 2017 Review Recommendations for Cancer Prevention
  • 31. Mechanisms Alcohol Cancer ? Biological/Cellular Pathway
  • 32. Mechanisms  Ethanol (acetaldehyde) is human carcinogen (Group 1, IARC)  Ethanol metabolism activates other pro-carcinogens eg ROS  Disrupts folate metabolism- important in DNA synthesis and repair  Suppresses the immune system which may facilitate tumour cell spread
  • 33. Cancer site specific mechanisms  Digestive tract cancers:  Variation in ethanol metabolising enzymes (ADH, ALDH) modulates cancer risk  Oral cavity, larynx, pharynx and oesophagus cancers:  Synergistic effect of carcinogens in tobacco and alcoholic drinks lead to mucosal hyperproliferation  Liver cancer:  Mediates cirrhosis of the liver which is associated with cancer development  Breast cancer:  Increases oestrogen and androgen levels/induces expression of ER/PR hormone receptors
  • 34. Research issues and future research directions  Better standardisation across studies in assessing alcohol intake, timing and pattern of exposure eg binge drinking  Better characterisation of cumulative lifetime exposure (better info on age at start of drinking, assessing alcohol intake during lifecourse, stopping drinking and risk)  Interactions with other lifestyle factors eg body weight or with nutrients eg folate  Better understanding cancer site specific mechanisms eg epigenetic mechanisms, main effect modifiers  Understanding individual attitudes towards alcohol drinking and cultural and social influences for tailored public health messages
  • 35. Conclusions  Continuous Update Project is trusted, authoritative scientific resource, which underpins current guidelines and policy for cancer prevention  Continuous Update Project database of evidence largest of its kind on diet, nutrition and physical activity  Enables comprehensive recommendations for cancer prevention based on the most up-to-date scientific evidence  Strong evidence that alcohol causes cancer of:  Breast  Colorectal  Mouth, pharynx, larynx  Oesophageal  Liver
  • 36. Conclusions  Risk increases in dose-dependent manner-higher amount, higher risk of cancer development  Consumption of any amount of alcohol increases cancer risk  Reducing consumption or even better avoiding alcohol completely will help reduce cancer risk  Important implications for prevention and alcohol policy
  • 37. World Cancer Research Fund cancer prevention recommendation
  • 38. For further information Giota Mitrou PhD Head of Research Funding & Science Activities g.mitrou@wcrf.org @wcrfint facebook.com/wcrfint www.wcrf.org