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The Value Factory ™




Top ROI for community power




Presented by Dr. Ingo Koenig
Toronto, 29th of January 2010
AGENDA



  !   What is community power (in Europe)?


  !   Why does community power generate superior returns?


  !   Risks?


  !   Lessons for Ontario




                                                            2
Wind energy value chain




                Initiate                         Build                           Operate
              and Develop                    and construct                     and Maintain




" Find suitable land   "   Public "    Financing        "   Construction   "   Run        "   Sell energy
 " Set-up technology       support "   Refund                              "   Maintain
  " Procure relevant                   scheme/
    permits                            buyers


                       Community power makes a difference!

                                                                                                            3
                                           02/02/2010
Wind power is leading new power
  generation capacity in Europe

               New power capacity in Europe 2008
                 18%
                                                          2%
                          10%
     29%
                               6%


                                                    3%
                                                                0%
                   36%




           Wind power    Gas    PV   Oil   Coal   Hydro   Nuclear

                                                                     4
Community power in Europe is....


  Definition: A community wind farm is a consequent financial,
     conceptual and organisational participation of citizens (local
     community) in a wind farm.

                                            Exclusive investment and participation of
                                              people living in the vicinity of the farm
                                            Management is done by local investors
                           Rigid

 Community                                  Investment and participation of people
 wind farms                                   living in the vicinity of the farm, but also
                                              from outside the community with max.
                                              participation (e.g. $50,000)
                         Relaxed            Management is done by local investors
                                              or professional service firms

                                                                                             5
Legal Structure and Taxes



  A German "GmbH & Co. KG" is a limited partnership in which the general
    partner is a GmbH, a private limited company.




            General Partner                        Limited partners
                  (GmbH)                                (Kommanditist)




                   Limited partners can deduct losses whenever they
                     occur in personal tax statement!




                                                                           6
Financing


Debt: Private commercial banks, state owned banks with preferable rates

Equity: At first: Individual investors via closed funds, medium sized investment
   groups, cooperatives; now utilities and larger cooperation, insurance companies

       120%
       100%
        80%                                                State sponsored
        60%                                                loans
                                                           Commercial banks
        40%
        20%                                                Equity

         0%
               Community power        Absantee
                                      investors

                                                                                     7
AGENDA



  !   What is community power (in Europe)?


  !   Why does community power generate superior returns?


  !   Risks?


  !   Lessons for Ontario




                                                            8
Community power in Europe is more
  profitable because...

"   High personal involvement keeps “soft costs” low
    (5-10% of investment compared to 15-40%
    investment)
                                                            300
"   High personal involvement improves information          295
    flow, and peer pressure lead to short repair reaction   290
    times and therefore higher availability and             285
    revenues                                                280
                                                                                  Community
                                                                                  power
                                                            275                   Other farms
"   Lower land leases as everybody is a community
                                                            270
    member (3% vs. 6%)
                                                            265
"   Improved understanding in community leads to            260
    faster permitting process; from push to pull (They      255
    do not have to accept the park, they now want it!)            Total payback


"   Equity is relatively inexpensive, you do not deal
    with professional investors and very expensive due
    diligence processes


                                                                                                9
Community power has other benefits than
  an improved ROI

         Local multiplier effect benefits everyone

         "   Every local dollar invested results in a minimum of 3 times the benefit
             to the local community <--> If an external developer owns and controls
             the project these benefits are lost

         "   Re-Powering of machines becomes much easier in the future

         "   Municipal, provincial taxes stay locally



         Jobs

         "   ~ 110,000 new jobs have been created in Europe

         "   Potential construction jobs and training for local community

         "   Two local positions per project created to administer and maintain the
             project and coordinate owners and finances

         "   Service personnel is regionally based (accountant, lawyers,
             maintenance, etc.)
                                                                                       10
AGENDA



  !   What is community power (in Europe)?


  !   Why does community power generate superior returns?


  !   Risks?


  !   Lessons for Ontario




                                                            11
Community power has risks...



                                     General risks:
                                     !   High investment, but
 Specific risks:
                                          No planning
 !   Limits to financing                   consent/permits

     e.g. for off-shore                   Grid access delayed or
                                           too costly if additional
     projects                              infrastructure is
                                           required
 !   Depending on

                             Risks
                                     !   Unprofitable project,
     number of investors,                because
     decision making can                  Analysis (e.g. wind
                                           forecast) was too
     be difficult and exit
                                           optimistic
     can be even more                     Operations and
     difficult                             maintenance becomes
                                           too expensive




                                                                      12
…that can be mitigated



                  "   Create a network of support and
                      knowledge

                  "   Learn from comparable projects

                  "   Employ experts as required

                  "   Ensure access to sufficient capital

                  "   Make allowances for bad wind years

                  "   Choose your partners carefully

                  "   Make long term maintenance contracts
                      with availability guarantees

                  "   Get as much community involvement as
                      possible (partners and owners)

                                                             13
AGENDA



  !   What is community power (in Europe)?


  !   Why does community power generate superior returns?


  !   Risks?


  !   Lessons for Ontario




                                                            14
Lessons for Ontario...


      !   Make wind power a grass-roots movement by
          including as many Ontarians as possible in the set-up
          of farms, funds, and their future.

      !   The GEA and its Feed-in-tariffs are very strong
          incentives to start the movement.

      !   Educate finance community, it is a profitable low-risk
          investment.

      !   Do it yourself , do not let big developers “shave” the
          profitability by including to many “soft costs”.

            Ontarians become wind power entrepreneurs!!!

                                                                   15
Thank you for your attention!




  www.koenigconsultants.ca




                                16

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Top ROI for Community Power

  • 1. The Value Factory ™ Top ROI for community power Presented by Dr. Ingo Koenig Toronto, 29th of January 2010
  • 2. AGENDA ! What is community power (in Europe)? ! Why does community power generate superior returns? ! Risks? ! Lessons for Ontario 2
  • 3. Wind energy value chain Initiate Build Operate and Develop and construct and Maintain " Find suitable land " Public " Financing " Construction " Run " Sell energy " Set-up technology support " Refund " Maintain " Procure relevant scheme/ permits buyers Community power makes a difference! 3 02/02/2010
  • 4. Wind power is leading new power generation capacity in Europe New power capacity in Europe 2008 18% 2% 10% 29% 6% 3% 0% 36% Wind power Gas PV Oil Coal Hydro Nuclear 4
  • 5. Community power in Europe is.... Definition: A community wind farm is a consequent financial, conceptual and organisational participation of citizens (local community) in a wind farm.  Exclusive investment and participation of people living in the vicinity of the farm  Management is done by local investors Rigid Community  Investment and participation of people wind farms living in the vicinity of the farm, but also from outside the community with max. participation (e.g. $50,000) Relaxed  Management is done by local investors or professional service firms 5
  • 6. Legal Structure and Taxes A German "GmbH & Co. KG" is a limited partnership in which the general partner is a GmbH, a private limited company. General Partner Limited partners (GmbH) (Kommanditist)  Limited partners can deduct losses whenever they occur in personal tax statement! 6
  • 7. Financing Debt: Private commercial banks, state owned banks with preferable rates Equity: At first: Individual investors via closed funds, medium sized investment groups, cooperatives; now utilities and larger cooperation, insurance companies 120% 100% 80% State sponsored 60% loans Commercial banks 40% 20% Equity 0% Community power Absantee investors 7
  • 8. AGENDA ! What is community power (in Europe)? ! Why does community power generate superior returns? ! Risks? ! Lessons for Ontario 8
  • 9. Community power in Europe is more profitable because... " High personal involvement keeps “soft costs” low (5-10% of investment compared to 15-40% investment) 300 " High personal involvement improves information 295 flow, and peer pressure lead to short repair reaction 290 times and therefore higher availability and 285 revenues 280 Community power 275 Other farms " Lower land leases as everybody is a community 270 member (3% vs. 6%) 265 " Improved understanding in community leads to 260 faster permitting process; from push to pull (They 255 do not have to accept the park, they now want it!) Total payback " Equity is relatively inexpensive, you do not deal with professional investors and very expensive due diligence processes 9
  • 10. Community power has other benefits than an improved ROI Local multiplier effect benefits everyone " Every local dollar invested results in a minimum of 3 times the benefit to the local community <--> If an external developer owns and controls the project these benefits are lost " Re-Powering of machines becomes much easier in the future " Municipal, provincial taxes stay locally Jobs " ~ 110,000 new jobs have been created in Europe " Potential construction jobs and training for local community " Two local positions per project created to administer and maintain the project and coordinate owners and finances " Service personnel is regionally based (accountant, lawyers, maintenance, etc.) 10
  • 11. AGENDA ! What is community power (in Europe)? ! Why does community power generate superior returns? ! Risks? ! Lessons for Ontario 11
  • 12. Community power has risks... General risks: ! High investment, but Specific risks:  No planning ! Limits to financing consent/permits e.g. for off-shore  Grid access delayed or too costly if additional projects infrastructure is required ! Depending on Risks ! Unprofitable project, number of investors, because decision making can  Analysis (e.g. wind forecast) was too be difficult and exit optimistic can be even more  Operations and difficult maintenance becomes too expensive 12
  • 13. …that can be mitigated " Create a network of support and knowledge " Learn from comparable projects " Employ experts as required " Ensure access to sufficient capital " Make allowances for bad wind years " Choose your partners carefully " Make long term maintenance contracts with availability guarantees " Get as much community involvement as possible (partners and owners) 13
  • 14. AGENDA ! What is community power (in Europe)? ! Why does community power generate superior returns? ! Risks? ! Lessons for Ontario 14
  • 15. Lessons for Ontario... ! Make wind power a grass-roots movement by including as many Ontarians as possible in the set-up of farms, funds, and their future. ! The GEA and its Feed-in-tariffs are very strong incentives to start the movement. ! Educate finance community, it is a profitable low-risk investment. ! Do it yourself , do not let big developers “shave” the profitability by including to many “soft costs”. Ontarians become wind power entrepreneurs!!! 15
  • 16. Thank you for your attention! www.koenigconsultants.ca 16