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One-Child
Policy
Wenjia Wang
Who We Are
National Health and Family Planning
Commission of the People’s Republic of
China
Outline
 Original One-Child Policy
Background
Goals
Trend and Effects
 Two-Child Policy
Goals and Causes
Effects
Costs and Benefits
 Evaluation
 Conclusion & Recommendation
Original One-Child Policy
 Background
Introduced in 1979
Historical Situation
Chairman Mao’ Population Policy
Reform and Opening-up Policy
Original One-Child Policy
 Why was the policy needed
Before the policy, the average amount of children per
women was 6. (overpopulation)
The growth rate in 1972 was 24%
China has a quarter of the world’s population but only
7% of the world’s land.
 The aim is to limit China’s population to 1.2 billion by
2000.
5
Original One-Child Policy
 Administration and Implementation
 Regulations include restrictions on family size, late
marriage and childbearing
 At provincial and county levels devise local
strategies for implementation
 (for urban residents and government employees; In
rural areas.)
6
Original One-child Policy
 Achievements
Original One-Child Policy
 Negative Effects
Unbalanced sex ratios
Changes on Family Structure
Speed population aging
Unbalanced Sex Ratios
Changes on Family Structure
Population Aging
Worsening Age Structure
“Four-two-one” problem VS
pension system
Two-child Policy
 Definition
Two-child Policy
Debate
Population Explosion
Little or No Effect
Two-child Policy
 Goals and Causes
Balance Sex Ratios
Ease Population Aging
Balance Family Structure
 Cost and Benefits
 Effects
Two-Child Policy
 Costs
Two-Child policy would
potentially bring greater burden
on households since the
expense to raise children are
soaring every year.
Two-Child Policy
 Benefits
Individual: Less Pressure
Society: Labor Force
Two-Child Policy
 Effects:
Sex Ratio
Lobar Force
Releasing Aging Problem
Housing
Two-Child Policy
 Implementation
Policy Detail (from “Shuangdu” to “Dandu”)
Impact of Marriage Law (obligation on children)
Pilot Provinces
Evaluation
 Healthy population structure
http://investing.calsci.com/blog9-9-09.html
Evaluation
 Relations with GDP
Evaluation
 Relation with education level of women (data
from the UDHS 2006)
http://www.zhihu.com/question/21908793
Conclusion & Recommendation
Conclusion
 It needs to implement two-child policy
 to ease the aging society pressure, balance the
sex ratios and have a health population structure;
 no worry about boost of fertility rate
Conclusion & Recommendation
Recommendation
Relief living pressure for young couples
 Giving Rewards
 Control Housing Prices
28
One-child policy

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One-child policy