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Data that persuades
How to prove your point
Ian	
  Lurie	
  
CEO,	
  Portent	
  




San	
  Francisco|	
  August	
  13–17	
  
ME: @PORTENTINT
portent.co/sesdata



Yes, like this, no ‘m’.
This presentation is
certified 100% bullet-free.
San Francisco | August 13–17, 2012 | #sessf




                               @portentint
If you wouldn’t do this




                          @portentint
Why the @#$! would you do this?




7000	
  
6000	
  
5000	
  
4000	
                                                          Jun-­‐12	
  
3000	
                                                          Jul-­‐12	
  
2000	
                                                          Aug-­‐12	
  
1000	
  
     0	
  
             Alfalfa	
   Timothy	
   Chewy	
      Pigloos	
  
                           Hay	
     Treats	
  

                                                                               @portentint
THIS IS NOT ANALYSIS
@#$!@!!! off, Ian




                    @portentint
WHY SHOULD, TOO
AND YOU
        I CARE
DATA = FOOD
Data good!!!
More data better!!!
Whoa, hey now,
let's not get
  personal.
INNUMERACY
INNUMERACY
DATA LUNACY
YOUR CAREER ISN’T ABOUT BEING
          RIGHT
YOUR CAREER IS ABOUT BEING
    UNDERSTOOD
IF YOU WANT TO PERSUADE PEOPLE
BE THE PERSON THEY
ACTUALLY UNDERSTAND
HERE’S HOW YOU DO IT
LIZARD. APE. HUMAN.
VISCERAL
       BEHAVIORAL
       REFLECTIVE


From The Design of Everyday Things,
Donald Norman
it's true. I'm a
 visceral guy.
not as smart
 as humans?
  Whatever.
does this mean
   I'm an apex
predator? Sweet!
WHAT. WHY. NEXT.
PPC	
                 SEO	
             E-­‐mail	
           Begging	
  
   May-­‐12	
          	
  $669.00	
  	
   	
  $643.00	
  	
   	
  $1,005.00	
  	
   	
  $767.00	
  	
  
    Jun-­‐12	
         	
  $850.00	
  	
   	
  $1,500.00	
  	
   	
  $647.00	
  	
   	
  $1,074.00	
  	
  
     Jul-­‐12	
   	
  $2,500.00	
  	
   	
  $2,340.00	
  	
   	
  $619.00	
  	
   	
  $687.00	
  	
  


WHAT: SEO & PPC are on an upswing.
PPC	
                 SEO	
             E-­‐mail	
           Begging	
  
   May-­‐12	
          	
  $669.00	
  	
   	
  $643.00	
  	
   	
  $1,005.00	
  	
   	
  $767.00	
  	
  
    Jun-­‐12	
         	
  $850.00	
  	
   	
  $1,500.00	
  	
   	
  $647.00	
  	
   	
  $1,074.00	
  	
  
     Jul-­‐12	
   	
  $2,500.00	
  	
   	
  $2,340.00	
  	
   	
  $619.00	
  	
   	
  $687.00	
  	
  



    New landers launched July 1.
    SEO content strategy ongoing
    as of May 1.


WHAT: SEO & PPC are on an upswing.
 WHY: Content, landers.
PPC	
                 SEO	
             E-­‐mail	
           Begging	
  
   May-­‐12	
          	
  $669.00	
  	
   	
  $643.00	
  	
   	
  $1,005.00	
  	
   	
  $767.00	
  	
  
    Jun-­‐12	
         	
  $850.00	
  	
   	
  $1,500.00	
  	
   	
  $647.00	
  	
   	
  $1,074.00	
  	
  
     Jul-­‐12	
   	
  $2,500.00	
  	
   	
  $2,340.00	
  	
   	
  $619.00	
  	
   	
  $687.00	
  	
  



    New landers launched July 1.
    SEO content strategy ongoing
    as of May 1.


WHAT: SEO & PPC are on an upswing.
 WHY: Content, landers.
Why?

                                         PPC	
  Conversion	
  rate	
  
6%	
  
                                       Landers go live June 1                                       5.00%	
  
5%	
  
                                                                                     4.00%	
  
4%	
  

3%	
  

2%	
  
                        1.10%	
                        1.00%	
         1.00%	
  
1%	
                                    0.75%	
  
         0.40%	
  
0%	
  
         Jan-­‐12	
     Feb-­‐12	
      Mar-­‐12	
     Apr-­‐12	
     May-­‐12	
     Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
  
Why?

                                                             SEO	
  performance	
  
	
  $1,400.00	
  	
  

	
  $1,200.00	
  	
                                                                           	
  $1,146.00	
  	
  
                                                                      	
  $1,067.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,000.00	
  	
  

   	
  $800.00	
  	
  
                                       	
  $616.00	
  	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
  

   	
  $400.00	
  	
  

   	
  $200.00	
  	
  

            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       May-­‐12	
                        Jun-­‐12	
               Jul-­‐12	
  
Next


Test more landers.

Continue SEO. There’s a lag.
WHAT. WHY. NEXT.
ESTABLISH CONTEXT




                    @portentint
SEO	
  &	
  PPC	
  performance	
  
	
  $1,400.00	
  	
  

	
  $1,200.00	
  	
  

	
  $1,000.00	
  	
  

   	
  $800.00	
  	
  

   	
  $600.00	
  	
  

   	
  $400.00	
  	
  

   	
  $200.00	
  	
  

            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       May-­‐12	
               Jun-­‐12	
        Jul-­‐12	
  
Sales	
  by	
  channel	
  
	
  $1,200.00	
  	
  




                                                                                               May-­‐12	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
  
                                                                                               Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                               Jul-­‐12	
  




            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       PPC	
      SEO	
           E-­‐mail	
     Begging	
  
9 WAYS TO GIVE GREAT DATA
DON’T MAKE THEM READ




                       @portentint
PPC	
                 SEO	
             E-­‐mail	
           Begging	
  
May-­‐12	
          	
  $669.00	
  	
   	
  $643.00	
  	
   	
  $1,005.00	
  	
   	
  $767.00	
  	
  
 Jun-­‐12	
         	
  $850.00	
  	
   	
  $1,500.00	
  	
   	
  $647.00	
  	
   	
  $1,074.00	
  	
  
  Jul-­‐12	
   	
  $2,500.00	
  	
   	
  $2,340.00	
  	
   	
  $619.00	
  	
   	
  $687.00	
  	
  
SEO	
  &	
  PPC	
  performance	
  
	
  $1,400.00	
  	
  

	
  $1,200.00	
  	
  

	
  $1,000.00	
  	
  

   	
  $800.00	
  	
  

   	
  $600.00	
  	
  

   	
  $400.00	
  	
  

   	
  $200.00	
  	
  

            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       May-­‐12	
               Jun-­‐12	
        Jul-­‐12	
  
FOLLOW TUFTE’S LAWS

Above all else, show the data.
Maximize data-ink ratio.
Erase non-data ink.
Erase redundant data ink.
Revise and edit.

From The Visual Display of Quantitative Data,
by Edward Tufte



                                            @portentint
ABOVE ALL ELSE, SHOW THE DATA




                          @portentint
 $1,200.00	
  	
  

	
  $1,000.00	
  	
  

   	
  $800.00	
  	
  
                                                                                        May-­‐12	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
                                                                    Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                        Jul-­‐12	
  
   	
  $400.00	
  	
  

   	
  $200.00	
  	
  

            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       PPC	
     SEO	
     E-­‐mail	
     Begging	
  
 $1,200.00	
  	
  

	
  $1,000.00	
  	
  

   	
  $800.00	
  	
  
                                                                                        May-­‐12	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
                                                                    Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                        Jul-­‐12	
  
   	
  $400.00	
  	
  

   	
  $200.00	
  	
  

            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       PPC	
     SEO	
     E-­‐mail	
     Begging	
  
MAXIMIZE DATA-INK RATIO




                          @portentint
 $1,200.00	
  	
  

	
  $1,000.00	
  	
  

   	
  $800.00	
  	
  
                                                                                        May-­‐12	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
                                                                    Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                        Jul-­‐12	
  
   	
  $400.00	
  	
  

   	
  $200.00	
  	
  

            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       PPC	
     SEO	
     E-­‐mail	
     Begging	
  
NO HAMMER PANTS!!
 $1,200.00	
  	
  


	
  $1,000.00	
  	
  


   	
  $800.00	
  	
  

                                                                                        May-­‐12	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
  
                                                                                        Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                        Jul-­‐12	
  
   	
  $400.00	
  	
  


   	
  $200.00	
  	
  


            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       PPC	
     SEO	
     E-­‐mail	
     Begging	
  
REMOVE NON-DATA INK




                      @portentint
 $1,200.00	
  	
  


	
  $1,000.00	
  	
  


   	
  $800.00	
  	
  

                                                                                        May-­‐12	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
  
                                                                                        Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                        Jul-­‐12	
  
   	
  $400.00	
  	
  


   	
  $200.00	
  	
  


            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       PPC	
     SEO	
     E-­‐mail	
     Begging	
  
 $1,200.00	
  	
  


	
  $1,000.00	
  	
  


   	
  $800.00	
  	
  

                                                                                        May-­‐12	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
  
                                                                                        Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                        Jul-­‐12	
  
   	
  $400.00	
  	
  


   	
  $200.00	
  	
  


            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       PPC	
     SEO	
     E-­‐mail	
     Begging	
  
REMOVE REDUNDANT DATA INK




                       @portentint
 $1,200.00	
  	
  




                                                                                        May-­‐12	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
  
                                                                                        Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                        Jul-­‐12	
  




            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       PPC	
     SEO	
     E-­‐mail	
     Begging	
  
REVISE & EDIT




                @portentint
 $1,200.00	
  	
  




                                                                                        May-­‐12	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
  
                                                                                        Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                        Jul-­‐12	
  




            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       PPC	
     SEO	
     E-­‐mail	
     Begging	
  
Sale	
  by	
  channel	
  


	
  $1,200.00	
  	
  


	
  $1,000.00	
  	
  


   	
  $800.00	
  	
  
                                                                                                May-­‐12	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
                                                                            Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                                Jul-­‐12	
  
   	
  $400.00	
  	
  


   	
  $200.00	
  	
  


            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       PPC	
     SEO	
            E-­‐mail	
      Begging	
  
Sales	
  by	
  channel	
  
	
  $1,200.00	
  	
  




                                                                                                May-­‐12	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
  
                                                                                                Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                                Jul-­‐12	
  




            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       PPC	
     SEO	
             E-­‐mail	
     Begging	
  
FOLLOW TUFTE’S LAWS

Above all else, show the data.
Maximize data-ink ratio.
Erase non-data ink.
Erase redundant data ink.
Revise and edit.

From The Visual Display of Quantitative Data,
by Edward Tufte



                                            @portentint
USE SMALL MULTIPLES




                      @portentint
Sales	
  by	
  month	
  
	
  $1,200.00	
  	
  


	
  $1,000.00	
  	
  


   	
  $800.00	
  	
  
                                                                                                PPC	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
                                                                            SEO	
  
                                                                                                E-­‐mail	
  
   	
  $400.00	
  	
                                                                            Begging	
  

   	
  $200.00	
  	
  


            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       May-­‐12	
           Jun-­‐12	
           Jul-­‐12	
  
Sales by channel
                                                        PPC	
                                                                                     SEO	
  
	
  $1,400.00	
  	
                                                                         	
  $1,400.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,200.00	
  	
                                                                         	
  $1,200.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,000.00	
  	
                                                                         	
  $1,000.00	
  	
  
   	
  $800.00	
  	
                                                                           	
  $800.00	
  	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
                                                                           	
  $600.00	
  	
  
   	
  $400.00	
  	
                                                                           	
  $400.00	
  	
  
   	
  $200.00	
  	
                                                                           	
  $200.00	
  	
  
            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
                                                                      	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       May-­‐12	
             Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
                                            May-­‐12	
          Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
  



                                                      E-­‐mail	
                                                                              Begging	
  
	
  $1,400.00	
  	
                                                                         	
  $1,400.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,200.00	
  	
                                                                         	
  $1,200.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,000.00	
  	
                                                                         	
  $1,000.00	
  	
  
   	
  $800.00	
  	
                                                                           	
  $800.00	
  	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
                                                                           	
  $600.00	
  	
  
   	
  $400.00	
  	
                                                                           	
  $400.00	
  	
  
   	
  $200.00	
  	
                                                                           	
  $200.00	
  	
  
            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
                                                                      	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       May-­‐12	
             Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
                                            May-­‐12	
          Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
  
Sales by channel
                                          PPC	
                                                                       SEO	
  
	
  $1,050.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,250.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,000.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,150.00	
  	
  
   	
  $950.00	
  	
  
                                                                              	
  $1,050.00	
  	
  
   	
  $900.00	
  	
  
                                                                                 	
  $950.00	
  	
  
   	
  $850.00	
  	
  
   	
  $800.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $850.00	
  	
  

   	
  $750.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $750.00	
  	
  
                         May-­‐12	
             Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
                              May-­‐12	
          Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
  



                                        E-­‐mail	
                                                                Begging	
  
	
  $1,140.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,160.00	
  	
  

	
  $1,120.00	
  	
  
                                                                              	
  $1,150.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,100.00	
  	
  
                                                                              	
  $1,140.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,080.00	
  	
  
                                                                              	
  $1,130.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,060.00	
  	
  

	
  $1,040.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,120.00	
  	
  
                         May-­‐12	
             Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
                              May-­‐12	
          Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
  
Sales by channel
                                          PPC	
                                                                       SEO	
  
	
  $1,350.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,350.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,250.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,250.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,150.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,150.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,050.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,050.00	
  	
  
   	
  $950.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $950.00	
  	
  
   	
  $850.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $850.00	
  	
  
   	
  $750.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $750.00	
  	
  
                         May-­‐12	
             Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
                              May-­‐12	
          Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
  



                                        E-­‐mail	
                                                                Begging	
  
	
  $1,350.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,350.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,250.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,250.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,150.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,150.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,050.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,050.00	
  	
  
   	
  $950.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $950.00	
  	
  
   	
  $850.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $850.00	
  	
  
   	
  $750.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $750.00	
  	
  
                         May-­‐12	
             Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
                              May-­‐12	
          Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
  
Sales by channel
                                          PPC	
                                                                       SEO	
  
	
  $1,350.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,350.00	
  	
  


	
  $1,150.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,150.00	
  	
  


   	
  $950.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $950.00	
  	
  


   	
  $750.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $750.00	
  	
  
                         May-­‐12	
             Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
                              May-­‐12	
          Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
  



                                        E-­‐mail	
                                                                Begging	
  
	
  $1,350.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,350.00	
  	
  


	
  $1,150.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,150.00	
  	
  


   	
  $950.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $950.00	
  	
  


   	
  $750.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $750.00	
  	
  
                         May-­‐12	
             Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
                              May-­‐12	
          Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
  
BSG despair-o-meter

                                        Season	
  1	
                                             Season	
  2	
  


                   9	
          9	
                9	
                       9	
                             9	
           9	
  
                                                                                          8	
  
Episode quality




                  1-­‐5	
     6-­‐10	
          11-­‐15	
     16-­‐20	
     1-­‐5	
     6-­‐10	
          11-­‐15	
     16-­‐20	
  

                                        Season	
  3	
                                             Season	
  4	
  

                  10	
  
                                9	
                9	
  
                                                                 7	
         7	
  
                                                                                          6	
  
                                                                                                             4	
           2	
  
                  1-­‐5	
     6-­‐10	
          11-­‐15	
     16-­‐20	
     1-­‐5	
     6-­‐10	
          11-­‐15	
     16-­‐20	
  
USE NATURAL COLORS




                     @portentint
Sales by channel


	
  $1,200.00	
  	
  




                                                                                            May-­‐12	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
  
                                                                                            Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                            Jul-­‐12	
  




            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       PPC	
         SEO	
     E-­‐mail	
     Begging	
  
Sales by channel


	
  $1,200.00	
  	
  




                                                                                            May-­‐12	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
  
                                                                                            Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                            Jul-­‐12	
  




            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       PPC	
         SEO	
     E-­‐mail	
     Begging	
  
USE CONTRASTING
NATURAL COLORS




                  @portentint
From Tim Beard
http://portent.co/NHy5QD
Sales by channel


	
  $1,200.00	
  	
  




                                                                                            May-­‐12	
  
   	
  $600.00	
  	
  
                                                                                            Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                            Jul-­‐12	
  




            	
  $-­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                       PPC	
         SEO	
     E-­‐mail	
     Begging	
  
SAY NO TO PIE CHARTS




                       @portentint
Orders by channel
Orders by channel

70	
  

60	
  

50	
  

40	
  

30	
  

20	
  

10	
  

  0	
  
          SEO	
       PPC	
     E-­‐mail	
     Display	
     Direct	
  
USE CONSISTENT
 PROPORTIONS




                 @portentint
Sales by channel
                                            PPC	
                                                                         SEO	
  
	
  $1,350.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $1,350.00	
  	
  
	
  $1,150.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $1,150.00	
  	
  
     	
  $950.00	
  	
                                                               	
  $950.00	
  	
  
     	
  $750.00	
  	
                                                               	
  $750.00	
  	
  
                           May-­‐12	
             Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
                                May-­‐12	
          Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
  




                                          E-­‐mail	
                                                                  Begging	
  
	
  $1,350.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $1,350.00	
  	
  



	
  $1,150.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $1,150.00	
  	
  



   	
  $950.00	
  	
                                                               	
  $950.00	
  	
  



   	
  $750.00	
  	
                                                               	
  $750.00	
  	
  
                           May-­‐12	
             Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
                                May-­‐12	
          Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
  
Sales by channel
                                          PPC	
                                                                       SEO	
  
	
  $1,350.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,350.00	
  	
  


	
  $1,150.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,150.00	
  	
  


   	
  $950.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $950.00	
  	
  


   	
  $750.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $750.00	
  	
  
                         May-­‐12	
             Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
                              May-­‐12	
          Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
  



                                        E-­‐mail	
                                                                Begging	
  
	
  $1,350.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,350.00	
  	
  


	
  $1,150.00	
  	
                                                           	
  $1,150.00	
  	
  


   	
  $950.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $950.00	
  	
  


   	
  $750.00	
  	
                                                             	
  $750.00	
  	
  
                         May-­‐12	
             Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
                              May-­‐12	
          Jun-­‐12	
     Jul-­‐12	
  
BSG despair-o-meter

                                        Season	
  1	
                                             Season	
  2	
  


                   9	
          9	
                9	
                       9	
                             9	
           9	
  
                                                                                          8	
  
Episode quality




                  1-­‐5	
     6-­‐10	
          11-­‐15	
     16-­‐20	
     1-­‐5	
     6-­‐10	
          11-­‐15	
     16-­‐20	
  

                                        Season	
  3	
                                             Season	
  4	
  

                  10	
          9	
                9	
  
                                                                 7	
         7	
          6	
                4	
           2	
  
                  1-­‐5	
     6-­‐10	
          11-­‐15	
     16-­‐20	
     1-­‐5	
     6-­‐10	
          11-­‐15	
     16-­‐20	
  
GO 45 DEGREES




                @portentint
Sales	
  
	
  $450,000	
  	
  
	
  $400,000	
  	
  
	
  $350,000	
  	
  
	
  $300,000	
  	
  
	
  $250,000	
  	
  
	
  $200,000	
  	
  
	
  $150,000	
  	
  
	
  $100,000	
  	
  
  	
  $50,000	
  	
  
             	
  $-­‐	
  	
  
                                Jan-­‐11	
   Feb-­‐11	
   Mar-­‐11	
   Apr-­‐11	
   May-­‐11	
   Jun-­‐11	
     Jul-­‐11	
   Aug-­‐11	
   Sep-­‐11	
  
SHOW TRENDS




              @portentint
Sales	
  
	
  $450,000	
  	
  
	
  $400,000	
  	
  
	
  $350,000	
  	
  
	
  $300,000	
  	
  
	
  $250,000	
  	
  
	
  $200,000	
  	
  
	
  $150,000	
  	
  
	
  $100,000	
  	
  
  	
  $50,000	
  	
  
             	
  $-­‐	
  	
  
                                Jan-­‐11	
   Feb-­‐11	
   Mar-­‐11	
   Apr-­‐11	
   May-­‐11	
   Jun-­‐11	
     Jul-­‐11	
   Aug-­‐11	
   Sep-­‐11	
  
Sales	
  
	
  $450,000	
  	
  
	
  $400,000	
  	
  
	
  $350,000	
  	
  
	
  $300,000	
  	
  
	
  $250,000	
  	
  
	
  $200,000	
  	
  
	
  $150,000	
  	
  
	
  $100,000	
  	
  
  	
  $50,000	
  	
  
             	
  $-­‐	
  	
  
                                Jan-­‐11	
   Feb-­‐11	
   Mar-­‐11	
   Apr-­‐11	
   May-­‐11	
   Jun-­‐11	
     Jul-­‐11	
   Aug-­‐11	
   Sep-­‐11	
  
DON’T BE THESE GUYS
Total Clicks Compared to Total Monthly Spending
            $7,000.00                                                                                                                                                                                    6,000

            $6,000.00                                                                                                                                                                                    5,000
            $5,000.00
                                                                                                                                                                                                         4,000

Spending
            $4,000.00




                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Clicks
                                                                                                                                                                                                         3,000
            $3,000.00
                                                                                                                                                                                                         2,000
            $2,000.00

            $1,000.00                                                                                                                                                                                    1,000

                  $-                                                                                                                                                                                     0
                        Dec-10



                                   Jan-11



                                                 Feb-11



                                                             Mar-11



                                                                             Apr-11



                                                                                          May-11



                                                                                                       Jun-11



                                                                                                                     Jul-11



                                                                                                                                     Aug-11



                                                                                                                                                   Sep-11



                                                                                                                                                                     Oct-11



                                                                                                                                                                                       Nov-11
                                                                              Historical Average                                   Clicks




                                               Conversions Compared to Total Monthly Spending
            $7,000.00                                                                                                                                                                                        18

            $6,000.00                                                                                                                                                                                        16
                                                                                                                                                                                                             14
            $5,000.00
                                                                                                                                                                                                             12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Conversions
 Spending




            $4,000.00                                                                                                                                                                                        10
            $3,000.00                                                                                                                                                                                        8
                                                                                                                                                                                                             6
            $2,000.00
                                                                                                                                                                                                             4
            $1,000.00                                                                                                                                                                                        2
                  $-                                                                                                                                                                                         0
                          Dec-10



                                      Jan-11



                                                    Feb-11



                                                                 Mar-11



                                                                                 Apr-11



                                                                                              May-11



                                                                                                            Jun-11



                                                                                                                          Jul-11



                                                                                                                                          Aug-11



                                                                                                                                                            Sep-11



                                                                                                                                                                              Oct-11



                                                                                                                                                                                                Nov-11
                                                                          Spending                              Conversions
OR
$2,000
                   $4,000
                            $6,000
                                     $8,000




     $-
                                                    0
                                                        5
                                                            10
                                                                 15
                                                                      20




Dec-10                                         Dec-10

Feb-11                                         Feb-11

Apr-11                                         Apr-11

Jun-11                                         Jun-11

Aug-11                                         Aug-11

Oct-11                                         Oct-11
                                       Spend
                                                                      Conversions
DON’T BE THESE GUYS
Monthly	
  PPC	
  visitors	
  
                         1,200	
  




                         1,000	
  




                           800	
  
Unique	
  Visitors	
  




                           600	
  




                           400	
  




                           200	
  




                               0	
  
                                       Jan	
     Feb	
     March	
     April	
         May	
      June	
     July	
     Aug	
     Sep	
     Oct	
     Nov	
     Dec	
  
                            2008	
     319	
     405	
      667	
      926	
          1,121	
     913	
      817	
      520	
     433	
     331	
     267	
     204	
  
                            2009	
     239	
                780	
      992	
          1,073	
     889	
      862	
      722	
     567	
     199	
     133	
      86	
  
                            2010	
     253	
     397	
      618	
      741	
           573	
      456	
      463	
      402	
     370	
     333	
     192	
     153	
  
                            2011	
     217	
     322	
      511	
      640	
           931	
      793	
      603	
      526	
     390	
     357	
     250	
     262	
  
                            2012	
     339	
     405	
      581	
  
AN OBLIGATION
@PORTENTINT
IAN@PORTENT.COM

PORTENT.CO/SESDATA

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Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

  • 1. Data that persuades How to prove your point Ian  Lurie   CEO,  Portent   San  Francisco|  August  13–17  
  • 4. This presentation is certified 100% bullet-free.
  • 5. San Francisco | August 13–17, 2012 | #sessf @portentint
  • 6. If you wouldn’t do this @portentint
  • 7. Why the @#$! would you do this? 7000   6000   5000   4000   Jun-­‐12   3000   Jul-­‐12   2000   Aug-­‐12   1000   0   Alfalfa   Timothy   Chewy   Pigloos   Hay   Treats   @portentint
  • 8. THIS IS NOT ANALYSIS
  • 9.
  • 10. @#$!@!!! off, Ian @portentint
  • 11. WHY SHOULD, TOO AND YOU I CARE
  • 15. Whoa, hey now, let's not get personal.
  • 18. YOUR CAREER ISN’T ABOUT BEING RIGHT
  • 19. YOUR CAREER IS ABOUT BEING UNDERSTOOD
  • 20. IF YOU WANT TO PERSUADE PEOPLE
  • 21. BE THE PERSON THEY ACTUALLY UNDERSTAND
  • 24. VISCERAL BEHAVIORAL REFLECTIVE From The Design of Everyday Things, Donald Norman
  • 25. it's true. I'm a visceral guy.
  • 26. not as smart as humans? Whatever.
  • 27. does this mean I'm an apex predator? Sweet!
  • 29. PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging   May-­‐12    $669.00      $643.00      $1,005.00      $767.00     Jun-­‐12    $850.00      $1,500.00      $647.00      $1,074.00     Jul-­‐12    $2,500.00      $2,340.00      $619.00      $687.00     WHAT: SEO & PPC are on an upswing.
  • 30. PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging   May-­‐12    $669.00      $643.00      $1,005.00      $767.00     Jun-­‐12    $850.00      $1,500.00      $647.00      $1,074.00     Jul-­‐12    $2,500.00      $2,340.00      $619.00      $687.00     New landers launched July 1. SEO content strategy ongoing as of May 1. WHAT: SEO & PPC are on an upswing. WHY: Content, landers.
  • 31. PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging   May-­‐12    $669.00      $643.00      $1,005.00      $767.00     Jun-­‐12    $850.00      $1,500.00      $647.00      $1,074.00     Jul-­‐12    $2,500.00      $2,340.00      $619.00      $687.00     New landers launched July 1. SEO content strategy ongoing as of May 1. WHAT: SEO & PPC are on an upswing. WHY: Content, landers.
  • 32. Why? PPC  Conversion  rate   6%   Landers go live June 1 5.00%   5%   4.00%   4%   3%   2%   1.10%   1.00%   1.00%   1%   0.75%   0.40%   0%   Jan-­‐12   Feb-­‐12   Mar-­‐12   Apr-­‐12   May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  
  • 33. Why? SEO  performance    $1,400.00      $1,200.00      $1,146.00      $1,067.00      $1,000.00      $800.00      $616.00      $600.00      $400.00      $200.00      $-­‐         May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  
  • 34. Next Test more landers. Continue SEO. There’s a lag.
  • 36. ESTABLISH CONTEXT @portentint
  • 37. SEO  &  PPC  performance    $1,400.00      $1,200.00      $1,000.00      $800.00      $600.00      $400.00      $200.00      $-­‐         May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  
  • 38. Sales  by  channel    $1,200.00     May-­‐12    $600.00     Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12    $-­‐         PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  
  • 39. 9 WAYS TO GIVE GREAT DATA
  • 40. DON’T MAKE THEM READ @portentint
  • 41. PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging   May-­‐12    $669.00      $643.00      $1,005.00      $767.00     Jun-­‐12    $850.00      $1,500.00      $647.00      $1,074.00     Jul-­‐12    $2,500.00      $2,340.00      $619.00      $687.00    
  • 42. SEO  &  PPC  performance    $1,400.00      $1,200.00      $1,000.00      $800.00      $600.00      $400.00      $200.00      $-­‐         May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  
  • 43. FOLLOW TUFTE’S LAWS Above all else, show the data. Maximize data-ink ratio. Erase non-data ink. Erase redundant data ink. Revise and edit. From The Visual Display of Quantitative Data, by Edward Tufte @portentint
  • 44. ABOVE ALL ELSE, SHOW THE DATA @portentint
  • 45.  $1,200.00      $1,000.00      $800.00     May-­‐12    $600.00     Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12    $400.00      $200.00      $-­‐         PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  
  • 46.  $1,200.00      $1,000.00      $800.00     May-­‐12    $600.00     Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12    $400.00      $200.00      $-­‐         PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  
  • 47. MAXIMIZE DATA-INK RATIO @portentint
  • 48.  $1,200.00      $1,000.00      $800.00     May-­‐12    $600.00     Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12    $400.00      $200.00      $-­‐         PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  
  • 50.  $1,200.00      $1,000.00      $800.00     May-­‐12    $600.00     Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12    $400.00      $200.00      $-­‐         PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  
  • 51. REMOVE NON-DATA INK @portentint
  • 52.  $1,200.00      $1,000.00      $800.00     May-­‐12    $600.00     Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12    $400.00      $200.00      $-­‐         PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  
  • 53.  $1,200.00      $1,000.00      $800.00     May-­‐12    $600.00     Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12    $400.00      $200.00      $-­‐         PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  
  • 54. REMOVE REDUNDANT DATA INK @portentint
  • 55.  $1,200.00     May-­‐12    $600.00     Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12    $-­‐         PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  
  • 56. REVISE & EDIT @portentint
  • 57.  $1,200.00     May-­‐12    $600.00     Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12    $-­‐         PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  
  • 58. Sale  by  channel    $1,200.00      $1,000.00      $800.00     May-­‐12    $600.00     Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12    $400.00      $200.00      $-­‐         PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  
  • 59. Sales  by  channel    $1,200.00     May-­‐12    $600.00     Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12    $-­‐         PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  
  • 60. FOLLOW TUFTE’S LAWS Above all else, show the data. Maximize data-ink ratio. Erase non-data ink. Erase redundant data ink. Revise and edit. From The Visual Display of Quantitative Data, by Edward Tufte @portentint
  • 61. USE SMALL MULTIPLES @portentint
  • 62. Sales  by  month    $1,200.00      $1,000.00      $800.00     PPC    $600.00     SEO   E-­‐mail    $400.00     Begging    $200.00      $-­‐         May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  
  • 63. Sales by channel PPC   SEO    $1,400.00      $1,400.00      $1,200.00      $1,200.00      $1,000.00      $1,000.00      $800.00      $800.00      $600.00      $600.00      $400.00      $400.00      $200.00      $200.00      $-­‐          $-­‐         May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   E-­‐mail   Begging    $1,400.00      $1,400.00      $1,200.00      $1,200.00      $1,000.00      $1,000.00      $800.00      $800.00      $600.00      $600.00      $400.00      $400.00      $200.00      $200.00      $-­‐          $-­‐         May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  
  • 64. Sales by channel PPC   SEO    $1,050.00      $1,250.00      $1,000.00      $1,150.00      $950.00      $1,050.00      $900.00      $950.00      $850.00      $800.00      $850.00      $750.00      $750.00     May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   E-­‐mail   Begging    $1,140.00      $1,160.00      $1,120.00      $1,150.00      $1,100.00      $1,140.00      $1,080.00      $1,130.00      $1,060.00      $1,040.00      $1,120.00     May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  
  • 65. Sales by channel PPC   SEO    $1,350.00      $1,350.00      $1,250.00      $1,250.00      $1,150.00      $1,150.00      $1,050.00      $1,050.00      $950.00      $950.00      $850.00      $850.00      $750.00      $750.00     May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   E-­‐mail   Begging    $1,350.00      $1,350.00      $1,250.00      $1,250.00      $1,150.00      $1,150.00      $1,050.00      $1,050.00      $950.00      $950.00      $850.00      $850.00      $750.00      $750.00     May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  
  • 66. Sales by channel PPC   SEO    $1,350.00      $1,350.00      $1,150.00      $1,150.00      $950.00      $950.00      $750.00      $750.00     May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   E-­‐mail   Begging    $1,350.00      $1,350.00      $1,150.00      $1,150.00      $950.00      $950.00      $750.00      $750.00     May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  
  • 67. BSG despair-o-meter Season  1   Season  2   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   Episode quality 1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20   1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20   Season  3   Season  4   10   9   9   7   7   6   4   2   1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20   1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20  
  • 68. USE NATURAL COLORS @portentint
  • 69. Sales by channel  $1,200.00     May-­‐12    $600.00     Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12    $-­‐         PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  
  • 70. Sales by channel  $1,200.00     May-­‐12    $600.00     Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12    $-­‐         PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  
  • 73. Sales by channel  $1,200.00     May-­‐12    $600.00     Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12    $-­‐         PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  
  • 74. SAY NO TO PIE CHARTS @portentint
  • 76. Orders by channel 70   60   50   40   30   20   10   0   SEO   PPC   E-­‐mail   Display   Direct  
  • 78. Sales by channel PPC   SEO    $1,350.00      $1,350.00      $1,150.00      $1,150.00      $950.00      $950.00      $750.00      $750.00     May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   E-­‐mail   Begging    $1,350.00      $1,350.00      $1,150.00      $1,150.00      $950.00      $950.00      $750.00      $750.00     May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  
  • 79. Sales by channel PPC   SEO    $1,350.00      $1,350.00      $1,150.00      $1,150.00      $950.00      $950.00      $750.00      $750.00     May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   E-­‐mail   Begging    $1,350.00      $1,350.00      $1,150.00      $1,150.00      $950.00      $950.00      $750.00      $750.00     May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  
  • 80. BSG despair-o-meter Season  1   Season  2   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   Episode quality 1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20   1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20   Season  3   Season  4   10   9   9   7   7   6   4   2   1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20   1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20  
  • 81. GO 45 DEGREES @portentint
  • 82. Sales    $450,000      $400,000      $350,000      $300,000      $250,000      $200,000      $150,000      $100,000      $50,000      $-­‐     Jan-­‐11   Feb-­‐11   Mar-­‐11   Apr-­‐11   May-­‐11   Jun-­‐11   Jul-­‐11   Aug-­‐11   Sep-­‐11  
  • 83. SHOW TRENDS @portentint
  • 84. Sales    $450,000      $400,000      $350,000      $300,000      $250,000      $200,000      $150,000      $100,000      $50,000      $-­‐     Jan-­‐11   Feb-­‐11   Mar-­‐11   Apr-­‐11   May-­‐11   Jun-­‐11   Jul-­‐11   Aug-­‐11   Sep-­‐11  
  • 85. Sales    $450,000      $400,000      $350,000      $300,000      $250,000      $200,000      $150,000      $100,000      $50,000      $-­‐     Jan-­‐11   Feb-­‐11   Mar-­‐11   Apr-­‐11   May-­‐11   Jun-­‐11   Jul-­‐11   Aug-­‐11   Sep-­‐11  
  • 87.
  • 88.
  • 89.
  • 90. Total Clicks Compared to Total Monthly Spending $7,000.00 6,000 $6,000.00 5,000 $5,000.00 4,000 Spending $4,000.00 Clicks 3,000 $3,000.00 2,000 $2,000.00 $1,000.00 1,000 $- 0 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Historical Average Clicks Conversions Compared to Total Monthly Spending $7,000.00 18 $6,000.00 16 14 $5,000.00 12 Conversions Spending $4,000.00 10 $3,000.00 8 6 $2,000.00 4 $1,000.00 2 $- 0 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Spending Conversions
  • 91. OR
  • 92. $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $- 0 5 10 15 20 Dec-10 Dec-10 Feb-11 Feb-11 Apr-11 Apr-11 Jun-11 Jun-11 Aug-11 Aug-11 Oct-11 Oct-11 Spend Conversions
  • 94. Monthly  PPC  visitors   1,200   1,000   800   Unique  Visitors   600   400   200   0   Jan   Feb   March   April   May   June   July   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec   2008   319   405   667   926   1,121   913   817   520   433   331   267   204   2009   239   780   992   1,073   889   862   722   567   199   133   86   2010   253   397   618   741   573   456   463   402   370   333   192   153   2011   217   322   511   640   931   793   603   526   390   357   250   262   2012   339   405   581