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“SMS Dead or Alive? Outlook 2011”Mobile Monday HamburgFebruary 7, 2011Jochen Doppelhammer, Founder & CEO of yuilop Yuilop © Copyright 2011
SMS Alive! ... Voice Dead? Channel Technology User segments  Usage trends Illustration: Volume Inc. Source: wired.com ,[object Object]
Impact of Smartphones and Mobile Internet growth
Future of mobile communicationYuilop © Copyright 2011
2011 New Year’s messages via SMS dropped 25% in Spain ,[object Object]
MMS traffic has actually increased by 50% in 2010 in Spain
Voice call volume is more or less stable
Vodafone clearly states smartphones and social networks as No.1 cause for reduction in SMS volumeYuilop © Copyright 2011
Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg on Messaging “…highschool kids don’t use email, it’s to slow they use SMS or facebook …” http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HqAHNO0ZBJs&feature=related#t=17s Yuilop © Copyright 2011
US teens, sending or receiving 3339 texts (SMS) a month http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/online_mobile/u-s-teen-mobile-report-calling-yesterday-texting-today-using-apps-tomorrow/ Yuilop © Copyright 2011
Texting No.1 cell activity of US Teens Source: Pew Internet Research | Flowtown Yuilop © Copyright 2011
US & Worldwide Texting (SMS) Trends Source: Pew Internet Research | Flowtown Yuilop © Copyright 2011
But not only teens socialize a lot via mobile  Source: Flowtown Yuilop © Copyright 2011
Digital natives /Millennials communication is fast and short … Messaging is ,[object Object]
More private
Less intrusive
“Faster”
EasierIllustration: Thomas Ng; Source: http://www.wired.com/magazine/2010/12/st_thompson_short_long/ … longer format communication, e.g. Voice still continues to be used, but only for in-depth conversations, emergencies or emotional important events Yuilop © Copyright 2011
Voice activity has decreased 14% among US teens http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/online_mobile/u-s-teen-mobile-report-calling-yesterday-texting-today-using-apps-tomorrow/ Yuilop © Copyright 2011
Phone call dead? … or voice calls just declining? Source: http://techcrunch.com/2010/11/13/alexia-phone-home/, http://thenextweb.com/mobile/2011/01/04/voice-is-dead-your-smartphone-is-now-a-notification-device/ Yuilop © Copyright 2011

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yuilop - MobileMonday Hamburg_07022011

  • 1. “SMS Dead or Alive? Outlook 2011”Mobile Monday HamburgFebruary 7, 2011Jochen Doppelhammer, Founder & CEO of yuilop Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 2.
  • 3. Impact of Smartphones and Mobile Internet growth
  • 4. Future of mobile communicationYuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 5.
  • 6. MMS traffic has actually increased by 50% in 2010 in Spain
  • 7. Voice call volume is more or less stable
  • 8. Vodafone clearly states smartphones and social networks as No.1 cause for reduction in SMS volumeYuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 9. Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg on Messaging “…highschool kids don’t use email, it’s to slow they use SMS or facebook …” http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HqAHNO0ZBJs&feature=related#t=17s Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 10. US teens, sending or receiving 3339 texts (SMS) a month http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/online_mobile/u-s-teen-mobile-report-calling-yesterday-texting-today-using-apps-tomorrow/ Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 11. Texting No.1 cell activity of US Teens Source: Pew Internet Research | Flowtown Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 12. US & Worldwide Texting (SMS) Trends Source: Pew Internet Research | Flowtown Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 13. But not only teens socialize a lot via mobile Source: Flowtown Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 14.
  • 18. EasierIllustration: Thomas Ng; Source: http://www.wired.com/magazine/2010/12/st_thompson_short_long/ … longer format communication, e.g. Voice still continues to be used, but only for in-depth conversations, emergencies or emotional important events Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 19. Voice activity has decreased 14% among US teens http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/online_mobile/u-s-teen-mobile-report-calling-yesterday-texting-today-using-apps-tomorrow/ Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 20. Phone call dead? … or voice calls just declining? Source: http://techcrunch.com/2010/11/13/alexia-phone-home/, http://thenextweb.com/mobile/2011/01/04/voice-is-dead-your-smartphone-is-now-a-notification-device/ Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 21. Japan (again) leading the way in mobile NTT DoCoMo (Japan) is leading the way with ARPU split shifted to more than 50% from data revenue, based on change in user behavior, especially among young subscribers, who use increasingly more data instead of talking to each other (Source: Monica Paolini Oct 2010; http://www.fiercebroadbandwireless.com/story/paolini-data-revenues-surpass-voice-revenues-docomo/2010-10-27) Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 22. Between 30-40% of teens in Western World already have a smartphone http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/online_mobile/a-global-view-of-cellphones-and-youth/ Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 23. More than 30% of user base has smartphones in US … but more than 50% sold are still dumb-phones http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/online_mobile/mobile-snapshot-smartphones-now-28-of-u-s-cellphone-market/ Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 24.
  • 25. Struggling to re-define themselves while realizing that customer relationship moves to content & software (app/UX) layer
  • 26. Some MNOs adapt and focus on efficient network operations and start independent cross-operator startups
  • 27. Others try to keep controling the whole value chain from within their organizationYuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 28.
  • 29. Facebook has over 600 million users
  • 30. Vonage Facebook mobile VoIP application
  • 31. Google claims 300,000 Android phones are activated daily, all of them can have a mobile VoIP app activated
  • 32. Google Voice live in US with free calls
  • 33. T-Mobile US subscriber use mobile VoIP nearly twice that of total respondershttp://www.wpp.com/wpp/marketing/reportsstudies/theinflectionpoint.htm Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 34.
  • 35. Mobile Video will drive traffic growth
  • 36. Mobile operators looking for data offloading solutions e.g. wifi
  • 37. Wholesale cost of mobile data in US double that of current European ratesYuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 38.
  • 39. Facebook is testing Video calling Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 40. MoMo Hamburg Sneak Previewyuilop – coming soon to Germany beta Der neueKommunikationsdienstfür Smartphones – bald in Deutschland… Yuilop © Copyright 2011
  • 41. Pay less, talk more! Contact: Jochen Doppelhammer Barcelona, Spain @yuilop_de http://yuilop.com/de/ Yuilop © Copyright 2011