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MARKETING
        OUTLOOK
        2012
THE RISE OF MIDDLE CLASS CONSUMERS
 WINNING THE HOTTEST MARKET IN INDONESIA
                YUSWOHADY
              www.yuswohady.com
                @yuswohady
REVIEW                             TACTIC

Change Competitor   MARKETING     Product   Price
                    STRATETGY
  C1      C2                        P1       P2

  C3      C4
                       ST           P3       P4

Customer Company                   Place    Promo

                       BP
    Strategic                        Marketing
     Intent                          Program



        RESNPOND         CHANGE             ADAPT



    EURO            MID-CLASS     MARKETING
    CRISIS          REVOLUTION         TRENDS
CRISIS
Menyelamatkan Eropa...
Let us look back...




                      Awas efek domino!!!
Let us look back...meledak!!!
 Bom waktu siap
Korban berjatuhan
Bagaimana dampaknya ke Indonesia
Subprime meltdown...
...Asian meltdown
“Tidak akan ada resesi ganda (double
dip recession) di Amerika dan Eropa.
Namun perlu langkah komprehensif
untuk mencegah kondisi makin
memburuk,”
Leif Lybecker Eskesen,
Chief Economist, HSBC
BE
                                                              OPTIMISTIC


                                                         Inflation Rate

                  11,1

                         7,0                                       6,37,0   7,0 6,8 6,7
                                                       2.8   5,8 5,7                  6,2 6,0 5.5
                                                 5,1
GREAT                                      4,2                                                            4,4
                                                                                                 4,64,8 4,6
                               3,7   3,4
                     2,8


PERFORMANCE
                  2008
                  2009
                  2010
                               Jan 10




                                                                            Jan 11
                                 June




                                                                                Jul
                                 April




                                  Dec
                                  Mar




                                                                              Mar
                                                                               Apr
                                  Feb

                                 May




                                                                               Feb

                                                                              May
                                                                               Jun
                                                                              Aug
                                  July
                                  Aug

                                  Nov




                                                                              Sept
                                                                               Oct
                                 Sept
                                  Oct
Source; Nielsen
GDP Growth, 2012 (%)



             6,8
    6,7                                   6,3-6,7   6,7
                       6,3      6,3




   HSBC      ADB       IMF   World Bank     BI      Govt
Domestic consumption (market size, 2011)




 3500
Rp


                                         Triliun
GDP contribution, % (2010)                         GDP growth, % (2012)
 Consumer spending                       56,7      Consumer spending   5,0
              Govt spending 9,1                    Govt spending         6,2

 Investment                       32,1             Investment                      10,2

      Net export 2,1                                Export                                15,1

                                                    Import                                       18,2

                                                    GDP                      6,7
“83% masyarakat berkeyakinan ekonomi
Indonesia akan ‘baik’ selama 12 bulan
ke depan.”

“90% masyarakat mengatakan ekonomi
Indonesia akan ‘baik’ selama lima tahun
ke depan.”
Roy Morgan - Kadin
Consumer confidence survey, October 2011
Pendapatan perkapita melambung...




                                                                                                                                                $4500

                                                                                                                        $3000


                                                                                                            $2000

                                                  Economic
                                                    Crisis                   $1000




86   87   88   89   90   91   92   93   94   95   96   97   98   99   '01   '02   '03   '04   '05   '06   '07   '08   '09   10   11   12   13    14


GDP percapita, 1986-2014
Membandingkan dengan Chindia




                               SAME PATTERN
Middle Class: Indonesia vs China




Sumber: ADB, BPS, BI, dan LitBang Kompas 2010


 Indonesia’s Middle Class (spending > $2/day): 93,7 Mio (2009)
Middle Class: Indonesia vs China




Infrastructure bottleneck: Penyakit jangka panjang
PHENOMENA
Traffic Problem: When supply can not
           meet the demand
“Motorcycle Explosion”
Everything starting to look affordable
Why airport are so crowded ?
Holiday is not only to Bali...
           “Everybody Can Fly”
       Democratization of Consumption
MASS
 LUXURY
EXPLOSION
MASS LUXURY
The 3 Dimensions


         CONNECTED



         CONSUMER
HIGH       3000        KNOW-
BUYING               LEDGABLE
POWER
Consumer 3000 is more...

      More Buying Power
 1    More Consumption

              More Knowledgable
        2     More Informationalized

                   More Connected
              3    More Technology Savvy
A New Wave of Demand!!




    + Sex
Yang nggak
penting-penting
jadi penting
Makin tua makin langsing...
Perut buncit jadi masalah...
J.Co bukan tempat makan donat...
Ke McCafe untuk ngerumpi...
Liburan menjadi kebutuhan pokok...
Budaya “Buy Now, Pay Later”
Budaya “Buy Now, Pay Later”
Sinetron akan menghilang???
More Civilized, More Educated




     Pocong akan menghilang???
NARSIS
 BECOMES
IMPORTANT
NARSIS
MARKETING
CONSUMER
TRENDS
2012
AND BEYOND
Boom OKB!!!




The rise of entrepreneur 3000
BUYING POWER

              HIGH




LOW                     HIGH
         OKB
        CROSSROAD
                     KNOWLEDGABLE




              LOW
McD kian merakyat!!!
Mall is the killer app
Modern channel is the real battlefield
Hypermarket
masuk
kabupaten
Ritel buka 24 jam marak...
Indulgence       Healthy    Convenience




                     Food mega trends
Source: Nielsen
Hypercompetition
will drive
value
innovation
K-Pop “Korea Wave” mencapai momentum
Dulu demam kawat gigi...
Sekarang demam oplas...???
Sekarang demam oplas...???
Get Kinclong... Get profit!!!
Midnite Sale: Customers Become Smarter




The emergence of more value-oriented consumers
when
“get connect”
become a
lifestyle
when
“get connect”
become a
lifestyle
The birth of app-holic generation




The rise of entrepreneur 3000
The rise of entrepreneur 3000
Communication Campaign 2012



                             Inte-
          Value              grate
                   IMC
         Buzzing             Story
                   Connect
Sukses Mizone Flashmob menjadi model
VIDEO:
FLASHMOB VIDEO
Story is the competitive killer!!!
Buzz is the real booster!!!
Value-focused promotion
GREAT MARKETER




Bintang “15 detik” akan terus bermunculan
REVIEW                             TACTIC

Change Competitor   MARKETING     Product   Price
                    STRATETGY
  C1      C2                        P1       P2

  C3      C4
                       ST           P3       P4

Customer Company                   Place    Promo

                       BP
    Strategic                        Marketing
     Intent                          Program



        RESNPOND         CHANGE             ADAPT



    EURO            MID-CLASS     MARKETING
    CRISIS          REVOLUTION         TRENDS
Thank You
Blog: www.yuswohady.com
   Twitter: @yuswohady

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