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Future of Money,
Banking &
Payment Industry
The Best Way to Predict the FUTURE,
is to CREATE it. (Alan Key)
‫زمانی‬ ‫مسعود‬
6‫مرداد‬1394 www.it-cafe.ir
@masoud_zamani
@_innovcenter @_itcafe_
‫پول‬...
Money...
Note Cost of Production
$5 10.9 cents per note
$10 10.3 cents per note
$20 and $50 10.5 cents per note
$100 12.3 cents per note
‫و‬ ‫پول‬ ‫تاریخچه‬
‫اصول‬ ‫و‬ ‫بانکداری‬
‫بر‬ ‫حاکم‬‫آن‬
Brief History of
Money &
Banking
‫پول‬ ‫تاریخچه‬
‫کاالیی‬ ‫پول‬
‫فلزی‬ ‫پول‬
‫تحریری‬ ‫پول‬
‫تحریری‬ ‫پول‬-‫دیجیتال‬
‫دیجیتال‬ ‫پول‬/‫شبکه‬‫ای‬
‫پول‬ ‫کارکردهای‬
‫سنجش‬ ‫ابزار‬‫معامله‬ ‫ابزار‬
‫ذخیره‬ ‫ابزار‬
‫ارزش‬
‫استانداردی‬
‫برای‬
‫پرداخت‬‫های‬
‫مدت‬‫دار‬
‫پول‬ ‫بر‬ ‫حاکم‬ ‫اصول‬
‫پول‬ ‫کاالیی‬ ‫ماهیت‬(‫تهاتر‬ ‫از‬ ‫خاصی‬ ‫حالت‬ ‫بعنوان‬ ‫پولی‬ ‫معامالت‬)
‫لوکس‬ ‫کاالی‬ ‫یک‬ ‫بعنوان‬ ‫پول‬
‫گرشام‬ ‫قانون‬
•‫و‬ ‫پذیرش‬ ‫و‬ ‫نفوذ‬ ‫ضریب‬PLATFORM EFFECT
•‫پذیری‬ ‫تبدیل‬
‫پول‬ ‫ارزش‬ ‫منشاء‬ ‫و‬ ‫پشتوانه‬
•‫پول‬ ‫گردش‬ ‫سرعت‬
•‫پولی‬ ‫پدیده‬ ‫یک‬ ‫بعنوان‬ ‫تورم‬(‫فزاینده‬ ‫ضریب‬ ‫و‬ ‫پرقدرت‬ ‫پول‬)
‫تقاضا‬ ‫و‬ ‫عرضه‬ ‫قانون‬
‫پولی‬ ‫واحد‬ ‫مفهوم‬
‫بانکداری‬ ‫و‬ ‫پول‬ ‫اقتصاد‬
•‫انحصار‬‫می‬ ‫چه‬ ‫اقتصاد‬ ‫علم‬ ، ‫پول‬ ‫خلق‬ ‫در‬‫گوید‬
•‫پول‬/‫اعتبار‬...‫هم‬‫اعتب‬ ‫تنگنای‬ ،‫پولی‬ ‫افزایی‬‫و‬ ‫اری‬
‫رکود‬
•‫اعتبار‬ ‫خلق‬/‫پول‬ ‫خلق‬
•‫راهکارها‬(‫سهام‬-‫مشارکتی‬ ‫قراردادهای‬-‫و‬ ‫چک‬
‫چک‬‫پول‬-‫صندوق‬‫سرمایه‬‫گذاری‬)
•‫وبسایت‬/‫خلق‬ ‫و‬ ‫جدید‬ ‫کشورهای‬‫پول‬
11
‫مباحث‬ ‫بر‬ ‫مروری‬‫گذشته‬
A Short Review
‫خط‬ ‫رشد‬ ‫و‬ ‫نمایی‬ ‫رشد‬ ‫تفاوت‬‫ی‬
‫دیروز‬ ‫دنیای‬:‫محلی‬ ‫و‬ ‫خطی‬
(Local & Linear)
‫امروز‬ ‫دنیای‬:‫جهانی‬ ‫و‬ ‫نمایی‬
(Global & Exponential)
•Wi-Fi
•GPS
•Google
•Skype
•Smartphone
•…
‫مور‬ ‫قانون‬–Moore’s Law
‫نمایی‬ ‫رشد‬
‫از‬ ‫مستقل‬ ‫رشد‬
‫جانبی‬ ‫رویدادهای‬
‫کنند‬‫می‬ ‫طی‬ ‫را‬ ‫ثابتی‬ ‫مسیر‬ ،‫بیرونی‬ ‫واکنش‬ ‫و‬ ‫انتظارات‬ ‫براساس‬ ‫های‬‫فناوری‬ ‫تمامی‬
(Expectation)
‫حضور‬ ‫با‬ ‫چگونه‬ ‫صنایع‬IT‫کرد‬ ‫خواهند‬ ‫تغییر‬‫؟‬
3
1 2
4
5 6
6D’sDigitized Deceptive
Disruptive Dematerialize
Demonetize Democratize
‫تف‬ ‫و‬ ‫نگرش‬ ‫نوع‬ ‫تغییر‬‫کر‬
Changing Attitude
Slides
‫کشت؟‬ ‫خواهد‬ ‫مرا‬ ‫کسی‬ ‫چه‬
Who Will Kill me?
One of The Most Traditional Industries…
Capital…
Bootstrapping Sweat Equity
Friends &
Family
CrowdFunding
Business Plan
Competition
Grants Accelerators
Strategic
Investors
Individual
Angels
Angel Groups Angel Funds
Seed Funds
(Super Angels)
Online
Accredited
Syndicate
Online Angel
Sundicate
Venture
Capitals
JOBS Act
Ways we Fund now
Democratization of Capital
David S. Rose
Financial
Markets
‫تا‬2025‫گرفت‬ ‫خواهد‬ ‫قرار‬ ‫همگان‬ ‫دسترس‬ ‫در‬ ‫و‬ ‫رایگان‬ ً‫ا‬‫تقریب‬
Will be Available & Even Free till 2025
More Reading…
High Frequency Trading
LOANS..
Branches
‫داد‬ ‫خواهند‬ ‫دست‬ ‫از‬ ‫را‬ ‫خود‬ ‫کالسیک‬ ‫نقش‬ ‫بتدریج‬ ‫شعب‬
No Branches
More Than 1.5 Million Customers
‫موبایلی‬ ‫جو‬...
Data
Scientists
UX
Designers
Behavioral
Psychology
Algorithmic
Risk Analysis
Community
Advocacy Builder
More Reading…
Cryptocurrencies
Financial Rorschach Test
Bitcoin &
Cryptocurrencies
are Like Internet
In early 90s
More Reading…
Payment
Revenue Of Payment Industry
(BCG)3$ Trillion in 2023!!
300‫و‬ ‫چین‬ ‫در‬ ‫مشتری‬ ‫میلیون‬17‫چین‬ ‫از‬ ‫خارج‬ ‫میلیون‬
300‫ساالنه‬ ‫فروش‬ ‫دالر‬ ‫میلیارد‬(‫و‬ ‫آمازون‬ ‫مجموع‬ ‫از‬ ‫بیش‬eBay)
IPO = 25 b$
10.5‫روزان‬ ‫تراکنش‬ ‫میلیون‬‫ه‬
2.85‫دقیقه‬ ‫در‬ ‫تراکنش‬ ‫میلیون‬(On Singles Day)
54%‫موبایل‬ ‫طریق‬ ‫از‬ ‫ها‬‫تراکنش‬
More Reading…
On the Rise
• Managementless Banking
Organization
• Business Ecosystem
Modeling
• Employee Apps
• Hybrid Investment Data
Management Solutions
• Agile Bank Management
• Core Banking BPO
• Internal Hackathons
• Customer Co-development
Products and Services
Banking
• Open-Source Banking
Systems
• Vendor App Stores for
Banking
• Enterprise App Store for
Banking
• Design Thinking in Banking
• Internal APIs
• Prescriptive Analytics
At the Peak
• Vendor-Supplied Market
Data APIs
• Business Capability
Modeling
• Community Cloud
• Enterprise Architecture
Governance
• Cloud-Driven Business and
IT Services
• Intelligent Bank Operations
• Logical Data Warehouse
• Financial Services Industry
Architecture Frameworks
Sliding Into the Trough
• Big Data Management
• Enterprise Data Governance
• Predictive Analytics
• Open Development Banking
Platforms
• BIAN Standards
• Component-Based Financial
Services Solutions
• Private Cloud Computing
• SOA Backplane
• Innovation Management
• Complex-Event Processing
Software Platforms
Climbing the Slope
• IT Infrastructure Utility
Hype Cycle for Bank Operations Innovation, 2014
Hype Cycle for Payment Innovations, 2014
On the Rise
•Wearable-Originated Payments
•Sound-Wave-Based Payment
System
•Money and Payment Clouds
•PIVAS — Tracking and
Negotiation
•Acquiring Convergence Solutions
and Dashboards
•Application PaaS for Payments
•Bank Payment Obligations
•Mobile Digital Payment Advisor
At the Peak
•Social Messaging App-Based
Payment System
•Peer-to-Peer Foreign Exchange
Marketplace
•Remote Commerce Emulation
for Proximity Payments
•Trusted Service Manager for
NFC-Enabled Mobile Payment
Systems
Sliding Into the Trough
•PIVAS — Synchronization
Process
•EMV Migration (U.S.)
•Payment Architectural
Frameworks
•Payment Services Hub
•Digital Wallet Solutions
•Transaction Banking 2.0
(Payments)
•Mobile-Originated Proximity
Payment Systems
•Alternative Card Networks
•Social Network Payment System
•Mobile Devices as Payment-
Acquiring Terminals
•Online Bank-Enabled Payment
(OBEP) Systems
•Mobile-Originated P2P Solutions
(for Mature Payment Markets)
•Enterprise Mobile Financial
Services Solutions
•Near-Real-Time Low-Value
Payment Systems
Climbing the Slope
•PIVAS — Reward and Loyalty
•Biometric Payment Systems
•Multipayment Application
Instruments
•Mobile Wireless Payment
Systems (for Nonmature
Payment Markets)
•Contactless Retail Payment
System
•Internet Micropayment
Solutions
Hype Cycle for Digital Banking, 2014
On the Rise
•Wearable-Originated
Payments
•Biometric Mobile
Banking Authentication
•Geolocation Products
and Services
•Banks as Customer Data
Brokers
•Banking App Stores
•Gesture Control for
Banking
•PIVAS — Tracking and
Negotiation
•Mobile Digital Payment
Advisor
At the Peak
•Peer-to-Peer Foreign
Exchange Marketplace
•Global Consumer Tablet
Banking
•Gamification in Banking
•Mobile Lending
Sliding Into the Trough
•Disruptive Financial
Intermediaries
•In-Branch and ATM Video
•PIVAS — Synchronization
Process
•Loyalty Point
Marketplaces
•Payment Architectural
Frameworks
•Social Media Compliance
•Digital Wallet Solutions
•Mobile Commercial
Remote Deposit Capture
•Smartphone Banking
•Feature Phone Mobile
Banking (Africa)
•Enterprise Mobile
Financial Services
Solutions
•Near-Real-Time Low-
Value Payment Systems
•Instant Payment Card
Issuance (Branch and
Kiosks)
Climbing the Slope
•Budget and Goals PFM
•PIVAS — Reward and
Loyalty
Entering the Plateau
•Basic Personal Financial
Management
•Mobile Consumer
Remote Deposit
Hype Cycle for Open Banking APIs, Apps and App Stores, 2014
The Hype Cycle
•The Four Main Categories of
Open Banking
•Off the Hype Cycle
•New on the Hype Cycle
•Why This Hype Cycle Is Front-
Loaded
•Fast Movers
•Who Can Benefit From This
Hype Cycle?
•Multigeography, Multicontext
Analysis
•The Priority Matrix
On the Rise
•Commercial Banking APIs
•Community Source Banking
Systems
•OpenID Connect
•Employee Apps
•Open Bank Project
•SDA for Application Services
•Banking App Stores
•Business Models for Open
Banking
•Business Strategy for Open
Banking
•Tablet Apps
•Internal Hackathons
•Vendor Readiness for Open
Banking
•Open-Source Banking Systems
•Developer and Partner
Ecosystems
•Retail Banking APIs
•Internal APIs
•API Marketplaces
At the Peak
•OAuth
•Commercial Banking Apps
•Application Services
Governance
•External Hackathons
•Crowdsourcing for Open
Banking
Climbing the Slope
•Nonbank APIs
59
‫تشکر‬ ‫با‬
@masoud_zamani

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Future of Money, Banking & Payment Industry (it-Cafe.ir)

  • 1. Future of Money, Banking & Payment Industry
  • 2. The Best Way to Predict the FUTURE, is to CREATE it. (Alan Key)
  • 5. Note Cost of Production $5 10.9 cents per note $10 10.3 cents per note $20 and $50 10.5 cents per note $100 12.3 cents per note
  • 6. ‫و‬ ‫پول‬ ‫تاریخچه‬ ‫اصول‬ ‫و‬ ‫بانکداری‬ ‫بر‬ ‫حاکم‬‫آن‬ Brief History of Money & Banking
  • 7. ‫پول‬ ‫تاریخچه‬ ‫کاالیی‬ ‫پول‬ ‫فلزی‬ ‫پول‬ ‫تحریری‬ ‫پول‬ ‫تحریری‬ ‫پول‬-‫دیجیتال‬ ‫دیجیتال‬ ‫پول‬/‫شبکه‬‫ای‬
  • 8. ‫پول‬ ‫کارکردهای‬ ‫سنجش‬ ‫ابزار‬‫معامله‬ ‫ابزار‬ ‫ذخیره‬ ‫ابزار‬ ‫ارزش‬ ‫استانداردی‬ ‫برای‬ ‫پرداخت‬‫های‬ ‫مدت‬‫دار‬
  • 9. ‫پول‬ ‫بر‬ ‫حاکم‬ ‫اصول‬ ‫پول‬ ‫کاالیی‬ ‫ماهیت‬(‫تهاتر‬ ‫از‬ ‫خاصی‬ ‫حالت‬ ‫بعنوان‬ ‫پولی‬ ‫معامالت‬) ‫لوکس‬ ‫کاالی‬ ‫یک‬ ‫بعنوان‬ ‫پول‬ ‫گرشام‬ ‫قانون‬ •‫و‬ ‫پذیرش‬ ‫و‬ ‫نفوذ‬ ‫ضریب‬PLATFORM EFFECT •‫پذیری‬ ‫تبدیل‬ ‫پول‬ ‫ارزش‬ ‫منشاء‬ ‫و‬ ‫پشتوانه‬ •‫پول‬ ‫گردش‬ ‫سرعت‬ •‫پولی‬ ‫پدیده‬ ‫یک‬ ‫بعنوان‬ ‫تورم‬(‫فزاینده‬ ‫ضریب‬ ‫و‬ ‫پرقدرت‬ ‫پول‬) ‫تقاضا‬ ‫و‬ ‫عرضه‬ ‫قانون‬ ‫پولی‬ ‫واحد‬ ‫مفهوم‬
  • 10. ‫بانکداری‬ ‫و‬ ‫پول‬ ‫اقتصاد‬ •‫انحصار‬‫می‬ ‫چه‬ ‫اقتصاد‬ ‫علم‬ ، ‫پول‬ ‫خلق‬ ‫در‬‫گوید‬ •‫پول‬/‫اعتبار‬...‫هم‬‫اعتب‬ ‫تنگنای‬ ،‫پولی‬ ‫افزایی‬‫و‬ ‫اری‬ ‫رکود‬ •‫اعتبار‬ ‫خلق‬/‫پول‬ ‫خلق‬ •‫راهکارها‬(‫سهام‬-‫مشارکتی‬ ‫قراردادهای‬-‫و‬ ‫چک‬ ‫چک‬‫پول‬-‫صندوق‬‫سرمایه‬‫گذاری‬) •‫وبسایت‬/‫خلق‬ ‫و‬ ‫جدید‬ ‫کشورهای‬‫پول‬
  • 12. ‫خط‬ ‫رشد‬ ‫و‬ ‫نمایی‬ ‫رشد‬ ‫تفاوت‬‫ی‬
  • 13. ‫دیروز‬ ‫دنیای‬:‫محلی‬ ‫و‬ ‫خطی‬ (Local & Linear) ‫امروز‬ ‫دنیای‬:‫جهانی‬ ‫و‬ ‫نمایی‬ (Global & Exponential) •Wi-Fi •GPS •Google •Skype •Smartphone •…
  • 14. ‫مور‬ ‫قانون‬–Moore’s Law ‫نمایی‬ ‫رشد‬ ‫از‬ ‫مستقل‬ ‫رشد‬ ‫جانبی‬ ‫رویدادهای‬
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. ‫کنند‬‫می‬ ‫طی‬ ‫را‬ ‫ثابتی‬ ‫مسیر‬ ،‫بیرونی‬ ‫واکنش‬ ‫و‬ ‫انتظارات‬ ‫براساس‬ ‫های‬‫فناوری‬ ‫تمامی‬ (Expectation)
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. ‫حضور‬ ‫با‬ ‫چگونه‬ ‫صنایع‬IT‫کرد‬ ‫خواهند‬ ‫تغییر‬‫؟‬ 3 1 2 4 5 6 6D’sDigitized Deceptive Disruptive Dematerialize Demonetize Democratize
  • 21. ‫تف‬ ‫و‬ ‫نگرش‬ ‫نوع‬ ‫تغییر‬‫کر‬ Changing Attitude
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 25.
  • 26. ‫کشت؟‬ ‫خواهد‬ ‫مرا‬ ‫کسی‬ ‫چه‬ Who Will Kill me?
  • 27. One of The Most Traditional Industries…
  • 29. Bootstrapping Sweat Equity Friends & Family CrowdFunding Business Plan Competition Grants Accelerators Strategic Investors Individual Angels Angel Groups Angel Funds Seed Funds (Super Angels) Online Accredited Syndicate Online Angel Sundicate Venture Capitals JOBS Act Ways we Fund now
  • 32. ‫تا‬2025‫گرفت‬ ‫خواهد‬ ‫قرار‬ ‫همگان‬ ‫دسترس‬ ‫در‬ ‫و‬ ‫رایگان‬ ً‫ا‬‫تقریب‬ Will be Available & Even Free till 2025
  • 36.
  • 38. ‫داد‬ ‫خواهند‬ ‫دست‬ ‫از‬ ‫را‬ ‫خود‬ ‫کالسیک‬ ‫نقش‬ ‫بتدریج‬ ‫شعب‬
  • 39. No Branches More Than 1.5 Million Customers
  • 40.
  • 46. Bitcoin & Cryptocurrencies are Like Internet In early 90s
  • 49. Revenue Of Payment Industry (BCG)3$ Trillion in 2023!!
  • 50.
  • 51. 300‫و‬ ‫چین‬ ‫در‬ ‫مشتری‬ ‫میلیون‬17‫چین‬ ‫از‬ ‫خارج‬ ‫میلیون‬ 300‫ساالنه‬ ‫فروش‬ ‫دالر‬ ‫میلیارد‬(‫و‬ ‫آمازون‬ ‫مجموع‬ ‫از‬ ‫بیش‬eBay) IPO = 25 b$ 10.5‫روزان‬ ‫تراکنش‬ ‫میلیون‬‫ه‬ 2.85‫دقیقه‬ ‫در‬ ‫تراکنش‬ ‫میلیون‬(On Singles Day) 54%‫موبایل‬ ‫طریق‬ ‫از‬ ‫ها‬‫تراکنش‬
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 55. On the Rise • Managementless Banking Organization • Business Ecosystem Modeling • Employee Apps • Hybrid Investment Data Management Solutions • Agile Bank Management • Core Banking BPO • Internal Hackathons • Customer Co-development Products and Services Banking • Open-Source Banking Systems • Vendor App Stores for Banking • Enterprise App Store for Banking • Design Thinking in Banking • Internal APIs • Prescriptive Analytics At the Peak • Vendor-Supplied Market Data APIs • Business Capability Modeling • Community Cloud • Enterprise Architecture Governance • Cloud-Driven Business and IT Services • Intelligent Bank Operations • Logical Data Warehouse • Financial Services Industry Architecture Frameworks Sliding Into the Trough • Big Data Management • Enterprise Data Governance • Predictive Analytics • Open Development Banking Platforms • BIAN Standards • Component-Based Financial Services Solutions • Private Cloud Computing • SOA Backplane • Innovation Management • Complex-Event Processing Software Platforms Climbing the Slope • IT Infrastructure Utility Hype Cycle for Bank Operations Innovation, 2014
  • 56. Hype Cycle for Payment Innovations, 2014 On the Rise •Wearable-Originated Payments •Sound-Wave-Based Payment System •Money and Payment Clouds •PIVAS — Tracking and Negotiation •Acquiring Convergence Solutions and Dashboards •Application PaaS for Payments •Bank Payment Obligations •Mobile Digital Payment Advisor At the Peak •Social Messaging App-Based Payment System •Peer-to-Peer Foreign Exchange Marketplace •Remote Commerce Emulation for Proximity Payments •Trusted Service Manager for NFC-Enabled Mobile Payment Systems Sliding Into the Trough •PIVAS — Synchronization Process •EMV Migration (U.S.) •Payment Architectural Frameworks •Payment Services Hub •Digital Wallet Solutions •Transaction Banking 2.0 (Payments) •Mobile-Originated Proximity Payment Systems •Alternative Card Networks •Social Network Payment System •Mobile Devices as Payment- Acquiring Terminals •Online Bank-Enabled Payment (OBEP) Systems •Mobile-Originated P2P Solutions (for Mature Payment Markets) •Enterprise Mobile Financial Services Solutions •Near-Real-Time Low-Value Payment Systems Climbing the Slope •PIVAS — Reward and Loyalty •Biometric Payment Systems •Multipayment Application Instruments •Mobile Wireless Payment Systems (for Nonmature Payment Markets) •Contactless Retail Payment System •Internet Micropayment Solutions
  • 57. Hype Cycle for Digital Banking, 2014 On the Rise •Wearable-Originated Payments •Biometric Mobile Banking Authentication •Geolocation Products and Services •Banks as Customer Data Brokers •Banking App Stores •Gesture Control for Banking •PIVAS — Tracking and Negotiation •Mobile Digital Payment Advisor At the Peak •Peer-to-Peer Foreign Exchange Marketplace •Global Consumer Tablet Banking •Gamification in Banking •Mobile Lending Sliding Into the Trough •Disruptive Financial Intermediaries •In-Branch and ATM Video •PIVAS — Synchronization Process •Loyalty Point Marketplaces •Payment Architectural Frameworks •Social Media Compliance •Digital Wallet Solutions •Mobile Commercial Remote Deposit Capture •Smartphone Banking •Feature Phone Mobile Banking (Africa) •Enterprise Mobile Financial Services Solutions •Near-Real-Time Low- Value Payment Systems •Instant Payment Card Issuance (Branch and Kiosks) Climbing the Slope •Budget and Goals PFM •PIVAS — Reward and Loyalty Entering the Plateau •Basic Personal Financial Management •Mobile Consumer Remote Deposit
  • 58. Hype Cycle for Open Banking APIs, Apps and App Stores, 2014 The Hype Cycle •The Four Main Categories of Open Banking •Off the Hype Cycle •New on the Hype Cycle •Why This Hype Cycle Is Front- Loaded •Fast Movers •Who Can Benefit From This Hype Cycle? •Multigeography, Multicontext Analysis •The Priority Matrix On the Rise •Commercial Banking APIs •Community Source Banking Systems •OpenID Connect •Employee Apps •Open Bank Project •SDA for Application Services •Banking App Stores •Business Models for Open Banking •Business Strategy for Open Banking •Tablet Apps •Internal Hackathons •Vendor Readiness for Open Banking •Open-Source Banking Systems •Developer and Partner Ecosystems •Retail Banking APIs •Internal APIs •API Marketplaces At the Peak •OAuth •Commercial Banking Apps •Application Services Governance •External Hackathons •Crowdsourcing for Open Banking Climbing the Slope •Nonbank APIs