Contenu connexe Similaire à Zinnov Confluence 2014 : US Chapter External Keynote: Brave new World By Ayan Mukerji, SVP & Global Head of Media and Telecom Strategic Business Unit, Wipro Technologies (20) Zinnov Confluence 2014 : US Chapter External Keynote: Brave new World By Ayan Mukerji, SVP & Global Head of Media and Telecom Strategic Business Unit, Wipro Technologies2. © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL2 © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL2
3. © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL3 © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL3
Evolution
of Cosmic Timeline
13.7 B i l l i o n
years
4.5 B i l l i o n
years
Earth & Life History
5 Billion
years
of Human Pre-History
Controlled Fire The Wheel
I n v e n t e d
The Loom The Steam Engine
Electricity Medicines
Nuclear Energy Computers
Software Mobiles
Now we are in
The Information Age
L a s t 5 0 0 0 Y e a r s
4. © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL4 © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL4
Age of Pervasive Technology
Information Age
Industrial Age
Agricultural Age
4000 BC AD 1740 1960 1995 2020 2035 2050
Digital Age
Pace of Innovation
5. © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL5 © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL5
INVERTEDSCALE
1
10
12
24
60
1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
Electricity
Radio
Television
PC
Mobile Phone
Telephone
Internet
Months
Doubling Time : 12 months
MASS USE OF INVENTIONS
Speed of Adoption
Source : “The Law of Accelerating Returns - Ray Kurzweil.”
Copyright: Ray Kurzweil
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Technology is All Pervasive
S u r r o u n d i n g U s
On our person, In our
cars, & In our homes.
Transition between
A physical world to a
digital world
B u t wh y i s t h i s a l l h a p p e n i n g ?
A n d t h a t t o o a t s u c h a
f a s t p a c e ?
7. © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL7 © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL7
A Perfect Storm
Entrepreneurship
Networks
Software
Miniaturization
8. © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL8 © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL8
Smaller & Cheaper
Physical footprint of
technology is
getting smaller.
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Software Proliferation
Intelligent software algorithms is making our
gadgets smaller, faster, and more capable
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Evolution of Wireless Networks
Sources: http://www.bandwidth.gov and http://www.mk.tu-berlin.de/lehre/sose/vl_wireless/7-
2%20Beyond%203G_4G%20pt%202%203nd%20version.pdf
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3G HSPA HSPAevo LTE…
Cost per MbyteThroughput
HSPA HSPA
evo
LTE
Latency
HSPA HSPA
evo
LTE
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
GPRS EDGE WCDMA HSPA, Rel 5 HSPA, Rel 6 HSPA, Rel 7 LTE
Bandwidth Efficiency
Low CostsBetter User Experience
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Rupture of Space Time Continuum
12. © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL12 © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL12
Had We Predicted the Future?
FROM DIGITAL AGE
PERVASIVE
TECHNOLOGY AGE
t o
WILL CO-EXIT
WHERE
TECHNOLOGY & BIOLOGY
TO M O R R O W ’ S R E A L I T Y
SCIENCE FICTION is
T O D AY ’ S
13. © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL13 © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL13
OF TECHNOLOGY
THE
YIN AND YANG
14. © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL14 © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL14
1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
World GDP per person, 1000=100
Sources: Angus Maddison: J.P. Morgan
Industrial Revolution
Transportation (Railway, Automobile)
Information & Communication Technologies
Technology has been a Driver of World GDP Growth
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0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1870 1900 1920 1930 1940 1950 1973 1990 2000 2010
%Productivitygain(Cumulative)
Transportation,
Trade, Business
Organizations,
communication
Electricity, Internal
combustion engine,
chemicals,
Telecommunications
Information
Technology
Source: “Total Factor Productivity Growth in Historical Perspective” - Robert
Shackleton, Congressional Budget Office Working paper 2013-01
It Has Improved Our Standard of Living
Improvement in Total Factor Productivity
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Source: “Total Factor Productivity Growth in Historical Perspective” - Robert Shackleton,
Congressional Budget Office Working paper 2013-01
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1870 1900 1920 1930 1940 1950 1973 1990 2000 2010
Transportation,
Trade, Business
Organizations,
communication
Electricity, Internal
combustion engine,
chemicals,
Telecommunications
Information
Technology
YearsPerdecade(Cumulative)
It Has Improved Our Standard of Living
Improvement in Life Expectancy by Birth
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Drones – Good or Bad?
Drones can be used
to Mount War
or
Help in Disaster Relief
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* High Estimate
Source: The economic impact of cybercrime and cyber espionage – A study by The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)
Estimated cost
of global
cybercrime
activity*
1Trillion
Estimated cost
of cybercrime
activity in US* 120Billion
Cyber Attacks
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Cyber Crime- Defense Eco-system: 30k Ft View
There is no International
International co-operation
is also in its initial stages
Cyber Law Treaty, To-Date
Legal framework- National cyber laws
Institutional frameworks of Nation states
International co-operation agreements
Security standards (such as ISO 27001)
20. © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL20 © 2014 WIPRO LTD | WWW.WIPRO.COM | CONFIDENTIAL20
I think that technologies are morally
neutral until we apply them. It's only
when we use them for good or for evil
that they become good or evil.
William Gibson
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Tech is Changing Our Habits
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And Also Our Behavior
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Battle for Privacy
As T h e E c o n o m i s t s a y s
The biggest change is an update to
the European Union’s privacy rules
Consumers may get the right to ‘Data Portability’
This could enable people to obtain the information that
a company has collected about them, in a format that
allows then to send it (or sell it) to another firm
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Sell Your Soul
Personal data is oil for
THE DIGITAL ECONOMY
BCG Predicts that
THE MARKET FOR SELLING
it could be worth
1.4
Trillion by 2020
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Connected Life
There are Perhaps Other Paths
Perhaps a question we should ask is whether the frenetic, always-on,
ever-connected, deeply-examined world is the world we wish to choose?
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DO WE NEED
TECHNOLOGY TO BE
All Pervasive?
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Gross National Happiness
GNH
Psychological
Wellbeing
Health
Time Use
Education
Cultural
Diversity and
Resilience
Good
Governance
Community
Vitality
Living
Standards
Ecological
Diversity and
Resilience
Life Satisfaction
Positive emotions
Negative emotions
Spirituality
Mental Health
Self reported health
status
Healthy days
Disability
Work
Sleep
Literacy
Schooling
Knowledge
Value
Speak native language
Cultural participation
Artistic skills
Driglam Namzha
Govt’s Performance
Fundamental Rights
Services
Political Participation
Donations (time
& money)
Community
relationship
Family
Safety
Ecological issues
Responsibility
towards
environment
Wildlife damage
(Rural)
Urbanization
issues
Assets
Housing
Household per
capita income
Source: Center for Bhutan Studies
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Happy Planet Index (HPI)
In July 2006, the New Economics
Foundation (NEF) introduced the Happy
Planet Index (HPI) - an index of human well-
being and environmental impact.
Costa Rica – not the most technologically advanced
country in the world - topped the ranking for the second
time in 2012. And while the US fared well on life
expectancy and wellbeing, it ranks a low 104 due to
ecological considerations
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Our Responsibilities As Innovators..
Resiliency
Social and Ethical Implications
Control and Safeguards
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COMES GREAT
WITH GREAT
POWER
RESPONSIBILITY
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thankyou
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