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Lack of evidence in carotid stenosis management



                         Pascual Lozano Vilardell
                          Angiología y Cirugía Vascular
                                   Mallorca




ESVS-SEACV Joint Session
58 Congreso Nacional SEACV Barcelona 2012
Lack of evidence in symptomatic patients
When should we intervene after an ischemic stroke?
When should we intervene after an ischemic stroke?




         NASCET and ECST confirmed benefit of CEA in the
         first two weeks after a nondisabling stroke

         Current evidence suggests that surgical delay,
         seems to leave patients at great risk for recurrent
         cerebral ischemia




  Rothwell PM. et al. Time from symptoms to surgery on benefit from CEA for TIA and nondisabling
  stroke. Stroke 2004;35:2855-2861
When should we intervene after an ischemic stroke?



         Urgent CEA in unstable patients
            Stroke in evolution        20,2%
            Crescendo TIA              11,4%

         Early CEA in stable patients with TIA/minor stroke
            <2 weeks                     1,2%

         CEA in stable major nondisabling stroke ?


  Rerkasem K et al. Systematic review of operative risk of CEA for recently symptomatic stenosis.
  Stroke 2009;40:e564-e572
When should we intervene after an ischemic stroke?




              1158 CEAs in TIA/minor stroke

              Stroke post CEA:
                 < 4 weeks                          5.1%
                 > 4 Weeks                          1.6%                       p 0.002




  Rockman CB et al. Early carotid endarterectomy in symptomatic patients is assocoated with poorer
  outcomes. J Vasc Surg 2006;44:480-7
When should we intervene after an ischemic stroke?



         GALA trial: 15% early surgery

              Stroke-MI-death post CEA:
                 < 2 weeks        8,2%
                 > 2 Weeks        5,1%

              Stroke post CEA:
                 < 2 weeks                6,9%
                 > 2 Weeks                4,3%

  GALA trial. Lancet 2008;372:2132-2142
CEA/CAS and coronary surgery
CEA/CAS and coronary surgery




       Combined CEA-CABG
         Both symptomatic

       Staged CEA or CAS
          Coronary symptomatic/carotid asymptomatic

             Coronary asymptomatic/carotid symptomatic


Hertzer NR. Basic data concerning associated coronary artery disease in peripheral vascular patients.
Ann Vasc Surg 1987;1:616-20
CEA/CAS and coronary surgery




                      30 days death/stroke
       CEA                   10,0%                      (Staged = combined)



                      30 days death/stroke
       CAS                    9,1%                        (asymptomatic)




Naylor et al. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2003;25:380-9
Naylor et al. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2009;37:379-87
Lack of evidence in carotid stenosis management

SYMPTOMATIC CAROTID STENOSIS




    Probably we should intervene early
    We don’t know what to do in combinated lesions
Lack of evidence in asymptomatic patients
Are the results of ACAS and ACST out of date?
Are ACAS and ACST out of date?



          5 year risk                    CEA                BMT              RRR              NNT

  ACAS                                  5,1%              11,0%              54%               84
  ACST                                  6,4%              11,8%              46%               70

         10 year risk
  ACST                                 13,4%              17,9%              26%


  ACAS. Endarterectomy for asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis. JAMA 1995;273:1421-1428
  Halliday A et al. Prevention of disabling and fatal strokes by successful CEA in patients without recent
  neurologic symptoms: a randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2004;363:1491-1502
  Halliday A, et al. 10-year stroke prevention after successful CEA for asymptomatic carotid stenosis
  (ACST-1): a multicenter randomised trial. Lancet 2010;376:1074-1084
Are ACAS and ACST out of date?




      ESVS, SVS, AHA…
      Carotid endarterectomy is indicated in all patients with
      asymptomatic carotid stenosis > 60%, if periprocedural
      rate of death-stroke is < 3%
Are ACAS and ACSTACST out
Are ACAS and obsolete?            of date?

                                                                             2008




   Klein A et al. Management of carotid stenosis- polling results. N Eng J Med 2008,358:e23
Are ACAS and ACST out of date?
Are ACAS and ACST out of date?




             Marginal surgical benefit (ARR 1%)
                 Patient selection
                 Nature of intervention
                 Results “in the real world”
                 Neurological auditories
                 Rol of CAS
             Increased evidence for Best Medical Treatment
                 Aggresive medical management
                 Healthy lifestyle



  Abbott AL. Medical intervention alone is now best for prevention of stroke associated with
  asymptomatic severe carotid stenosis. A systematic review. Stroke 2009;573-83
What is the risk of stroke in ACS right now?
What is the risk of stroke in Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis?




                            8,71%



                                                                       4,04%




  Hong K et al. Declining Stroke and Vascular Events Recurrence Rates in Secondary Prevention Trials.
  Circulation 2011;123:2111-2119
What is the risk of stroke in Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis?




                          Declining of event rates per decade
                  Recurrent stroke                               1,0 %
                  Fatal stroke                                   0,3 %
                  Major vascular events                           1,3%




  Hong K et al. Declining Stroke and Vascular Events Recurrence Rates in Secondary Prevention Trials.
  Circulation 2011;123:2111-2119
What is the risk of stroke in Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis?




                   Stroke type                            time                  Decrease
       Ipsilateral stroke                            1985-2007                     1,7%
       Ipsilateral stroke/TIA                        1985-2005                      7%
       Any stroke                                    1986-2007                     2,3%
       Any stroke /TIA                               1986-2005                     4,2%




  Abbott AL. Medical intervention alone is now best for prevention of stroke associated with
  asymptomatic severe carotid stenosis. Stroke 2009;40:573-583
What is the risk of stroke in Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis?




                     ipsilateral stroke                                    any stroke




  Abbott AL. Medical intervention alone is now best for prevention of stroke associated with
  asymptomatic severe carotid stenosis. Stroke 2009;40:573-583
What is the risk of stroke in Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis?




                                          3,5%

                                                                       2,4%
                                                                                        1,4%
                                          2,2%

                                                                       1,1%             0,7%


                         any stroke                     ipsilateral stroke


  Naylor AR. What is the current status of invasive treatment of extracraneal carotid artery disease?
  Stroke 2011;42:2080-85
What is the risk of stroke in Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis?



          OXFORD VASCULAR STUDY (2002-2009)

                1200 patients with TIA / stroke

                           101 patients with ACS                               intensive MT


                          Annual ipsilateral stroke rate 0,34%




  Marquardt L et al. Low risk of ipsilateral stroke in patients with ACS on best medical treatment.
  Stroke 2010;41:11-17
There are patients at high stroke risk?
   Can we identify this patients?
There are patients at high stroke risk?
          Can we identify this patients?


Clinical features            Microembolism

Degree of stenosis           Silent infarcts

Progression of stenosis      Biomarkers

Plaque characteristics

Cerebrovascular reactivity
There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke?
Clinical features



   Independent risk predictors of ipsilateral events:

        - Previous contralateral events (21.6% vs 14.7%)


        - History of contralateral TIAs (RR 3.0; 95% CI 1.90-4.73)




   Hirt LS. Stroke. 2011;42
   Nicolaides AN et al. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2005;30:275-284
There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke?
Degree of stenosis



         Neither ACAS nor ACST demonstrated any relationship
         between stenosis severity and late risk of stroke



         Discrepance with other natural history studies: Degree
         of stenosis identified as an independent predictor of
         ipsilateral neurologic events (p=0.019)




   Kakkos SK et al. J Vasc Surg 2009;49:902-9
   Rijbroek A et al. Eur Neurol 2006;56:139-154
There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke?
Progression of stenosis




   Hirt LS. Progression rate and ipsilateral neurological events in ACS. Stroke 2011;42
There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke?
Carotid plaque vulnerability: MICROEMBOLISM




   Jayasooriya G et al. J Vasc Surg 2011;54:227-36
There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke?
Carotid plaque vulnerability: MICROEMBOLISM



                       Patients with MES                    Mean number MES
                                10%                             2,63 (1-20)


                                                              ipsilateral stroke
                 MES                                                3,62%
                 No MES                                             0,70%




   Markus HS et al. Asymptomatic embolisation for prediction of stroke in the ACES: a prospective
   observational study. Lancet Neurol 2010;9:663-671
There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke?
Carotid plaque vulnerability: MICROEMBOLISM


   468 patients with ACS > 70%

                       Patients with MES           Carotid plaque             Cardiovascular
                                                    progression                   events


   2000-2002                 12,6%                    69 mm2                      17,6%
   2003-2007                 3,7%                     23 mm2                      5,6%

       Intensive medical therapy




   Spence JD et al. Effects of Intensive Medical Therapy on Microemboli and Cardiovascular Risk in ACS.
   Arch Neurol 2010;67:180-86
There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke?
COMBINATION SCORES: ACES




                                                 ipsilateral stroke
          Echolucency + MES                           8,90%
          None                                        0,80%


   Topakian R et al. Neurology 2011;77:751-758
There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke?
COMBINATION SCORES: ACSRS




          a)Stenosis alone: 0.59
          b)Stenosis + clinical features (smoking, contralateral stroke/TIA): 0.66
          c)Stenosis + plaque characteristics + previous contralateral TIA/stroke: 0.82


   Nicolaides AN et al. ACS and cerebrovascular risk stratification. J Vasc Surg. 2010;52:1486-96
There is place for angioplasty in ACS?
There is place for angioplasty in ACS?



   CREST ASYMPTOMATIC                            periprocedural                    4 years
CEA                                                   1,4%                          2,7%
CAS                                                   2,5%                          4,5%
Death-stroke. MI excluded




Brott et al. Stenting versus endarterectomy for treatment of carotid artery stenosis. N Eng J Med
2010;363:11-13
There is place for angioplasty in ACS?



              periprocedural                             SVS REGISTRY

            CEA                                                 2,0 %
            CAS                                                 4,6 %
            Combined death-stroke-MI




Giles KA et al. Stroke and death after CEA and CAS with and without high risk criteria. J Vasc Surg
2010;52:1497-1504
Lack of evidence in carotid stenosis management

ASYMPTOMATIC CAROTID STENOSIS




    ACAS and ACST results are being questioned
    We don’t know the exact risk of stroke of ACS
    Probably there are patients at very low stroke risk
    Probably there are patients at high stroke risk
    We don’t have standardized methods to identify this patients
    Probably no place for rutinary CEA or CAS in ACS
So we need more RCT in
Asymtomatic Carotid Stenosis

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Lack of evidence in carotid stenosis

  • 1. Lack of evidence in carotid stenosis management Pascual Lozano Vilardell Angiología y Cirugía Vascular Mallorca ESVS-SEACV Joint Session 58 Congreso Nacional SEACV Barcelona 2012
  • 2. Lack of evidence in symptomatic patients
  • 3. When should we intervene after an ischemic stroke?
  • 4. When should we intervene after an ischemic stroke? NASCET and ECST confirmed benefit of CEA in the first two weeks after a nondisabling stroke Current evidence suggests that surgical delay, seems to leave patients at great risk for recurrent cerebral ischemia Rothwell PM. et al. Time from symptoms to surgery on benefit from CEA for TIA and nondisabling stroke. Stroke 2004;35:2855-2861
  • 5. When should we intervene after an ischemic stroke? Urgent CEA in unstable patients Stroke in evolution 20,2% Crescendo TIA 11,4% Early CEA in stable patients with TIA/minor stroke <2 weeks 1,2% CEA in stable major nondisabling stroke ? Rerkasem K et al. Systematic review of operative risk of CEA for recently symptomatic stenosis. Stroke 2009;40:e564-e572
  • 6. When should we intervene after an ischemic stroke? 1158 CEAs in TIA/minor stroke Stroke post CEA: < 4 weeks 5.1% > 4 Weeks 1.6% p 0.002 Rockman CB et al. Early carotid endarterectomy in symptomatic patients is assocoated with poorer outcomes. J Vasc Surg 2006;44:480-7
  • 7. When should we intervene after an ischemic stroke? GALA trial: 15% early surgery Stroke-MI-death post CEA: < 2 weeks 8,2% > 2 Weeks 5,1% Stroke post CEA: < 2 weeks 6,9% > 2 Weeks 4,3% GALA trial. Lancet 2008;372:2132-2142
  • 9. CEA/CAS and coronary surgery Combined CEA-CABG Both symptomatic Staged CEA or CAS Coronary symptomatic/carotid asymptomatic Coronary asymptomatic/carotid symptomatic Hertzer NR. Basic data concerning associated coronary artery disease in peripheral vascular patients. Ann Vasc Surg 1987;1:616-20
  • 10. CEA/CAS and coronary surgery 30 days death/stroke CEA 10,0% (Staged = combined) 30 days death/stroke CAS 9,1% (asymptomatic) Naylor et al. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2003;25:380-9 Naylor et al. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2009;37:379-87
  • 11. Lack of evidence in carotid stenosis management SYMPTOMATIC CAROTID STENOSIS Probably we should intervene early We don’t know what to do in combinated lesions
  • 12. Lack of evidence in asymptomatic patients
  • 13. Are the results of ACAS and ACST out of date?
  • 14. Are ACAS and ACST out of date? 5 year risk CEA BMT RRR NNT ACAS 5,1% 11,0% 54% 84 ACST 6,4% 11,8% 46% 70 10 year risk ACST 13,4% 17,9% 26% ACAS. Endarterectomy for asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis. JAMA 1995;273:1421-1428 Halliday A et al. Prevention of disabling and fatal strokes by successful CEA in patients without recent neurologic symptoms: a randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2004;363:1491-1502 Halliday A, et al. 10-year stroke prevention after successful CEA for asymptomatic carotid stenosis (ACST-1): a multicenter randomised trial. Lancet 2010;376:1074-1084
  • 15. Are ACAS and ACST out of date? ESVS, SVS, AHA… Carotid endarterectomy is indicated in all patients with asymptomatic carotid stenosis > 60%, if periprocedural rate of death-stroke is < 3%
  • 16. Are ACAS and ACSTACST out Are ACAS and obsolete? of date? 2008 Klein A et al. Management of carotid stenosis- polling results. N Eng J Med 2008,358:e23
  • 17. Are ACAS and ACST out of date?
  • 18. Are ACAS and ACST out of date? Marginal surgical benefit (ARR 1%) Patient selection Nature of intervention Results “in the real world” Neurological auditories Rol of CAS Increased evidence for Best Medical Treatment Aggresive medical management Healthy lifestyle Abbott AL. Medical intervention alone is now best for prevention of stroke associated with asymptomatic severe carotid stenosis. A systematic review. Stroke 2009;573-83
  • 19. What is the risk of stroke in ACS right now?
  • 20. What is the risk of stroke in Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis? 8,71% 4,04% Hong K et al. Declining Stroke and Vascular Events Recurrence Rates in Secondary Prevention Trials. Circulation 2011;123:2111-2119
  • 21. What is the risk of stroke in Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis? Declining of event rates per decade Recurrent stroke 1,0 % Fatal stroke 0,3 % Major vascular events 1,3% Hong K et al. Declining Stroke and Vascular Events Recurrence Rates in Secondary Prevention Trials. Circulation 2011;123:2111-2119
  • 22. What is the risk of stroke in Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis? Stroke type time Decrease Ipsilateral stroke 1985-2007 1,7% Ipsilateral stroke/TIA 1985-2005 7% Any stroke 1986-2007 2,3% Any stroke /TIA 1986-2005 4,2% Abbott AL. Medical intervention alone is now best for prevention of stroke associated with asymptomatic severe carotid stenosis. Stroke 2009;40:573-583
  • 23. What is the risk of stroke in Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis? ipsilateral stroke any stroke Abbott AL. Medical intervention alone is now best for prevention of stroke associated with asymptomatic severe carotid stenosis. Stroke 2009;40:573-583
  • 24. What is the risk of stroke in Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis? 3,5% 2,4% 1,4% 2,2% 1,1% 0,7% any stroke ipsilateral stroke Naylor AR. What is the current status of invasive treatment of extracraneal carotid artery disease? Stroke 2011;42:2080-85
  • 25. What is the risk of stroke in Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis? OXFORD VASCULAR STUDY (2002-2009) 1200 patients with TIA / stroke 101 patients with ACS intensive MT Annual ipsilateral stroke rate 0,34% Marquardt L et al. Low risk of ipsilateral stroke in patients with ACS on best medical treatment. Stroke 2010;41:11-17
  • 26. There are patients at high stroke risk? Can we identify this patients?
  • 27. There are patients at high stroke risk? Can we identify this patients? Clinical features Microembolism Degree of stenosis Silent infarcts Progression of stenosis Biomarkers Plaque characteristics Cerebrovascular reactivity
  • 28. There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke? Clinical features Independent risk predictors of ipsilateral events: - Previous contralateral events (21.6% vs 14.7%) - History of contralateral TIAs (RR 3.0; 95% CI 1.90-4.73) Hirt LS. Stroke. 2011;42 Nicolaides AN et al. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2005;30:275-284
  • 29. There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke? Degree of stenosis Neither ACAS nor ACST demonstrated any relationship between stenosis severity and late risk of stroke Discrepance with other natural history studies: Degree of stenosis identified as an independent predictor of ipsilateral neurologic events (p=0.019) Kakkos SK et al. J Vasc Surg 2009;49:902-9 Rijbroek A et al. Eur Neurol 2006;56:139-154
  • 30. There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke? Progression of stenosis Hirt LS. Progression rate and ipsilateral neurological events in ACS. Stroke 2011;42
  • 31. There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke? Carotid plaque vulnerability: MICROEMBOLISM Jayasooriya G et al. J Vasc Surg 2011;54:227-36
  • 32. There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke? Carotid plaque vulnerability: MICROEMBOLISM Patients with MES Mean number MES 10% 2,63 (1-20) ipsilateral stroke MES 3,62% No MES 0,70% Markus HS et al. Asymptomatic embolisation for prediction of stroke in the ACES: a prospective observational study. Lancet Neurol 2010;9:663-671
  • 33. There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke? Carotid plaque vulnerability: MICROEMBOLISM 468 patients with ACS > 70% Patients with MES Carotid plaque Cardiovascular progression events 2000-2002 12,6% 69 mm2 17,6% 2003-2007 3,7% 23 mm2 5,6% Intensive medical therapy Spence JD et al. Effects of Intensive Medical Therapy on Microemboli and Cardiovascular Risk in ACS. Arch Neurol 2010;67:180-86
  • 34. There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke? COMBINATION SCORES: ACES ipsilateral stroke Echolucency + MES 8,90% None 0,80% Topakian R et al. Neurology 2011;77:751-758
  • 35. There are asymptomatic patients at high risk of stroke? COMBINATION SCORES: ACSRS a)Stenosis alone: 0.59 b)Stenosis + clinical features (smoking, contralateral stroke/TIA): 0.66 c)Stenosis + plaque characteristics + previous contralateral TIA/stroke: 0.82 Nicolaides AN et al. ACS and cerebrovascular risk stratification. J Vasc Surg. 2010;52:1486-96
  • 36. There is place for angioplasty in ACS?
  • 37. There is place for angioplasty in ACS? CREST ASYMPTOMATIC periprocedural 4 years CEA 1,4% 2,7% CAS 2,5% 4,5% Death-stroke. MI excluded Brott et al. Stenting versus endarterectomy for treatment of carotid artery stenosis. N Eng J Med 2010;363:11-13
  • 38. There is place for angioplasty in ACS? periprocedural SVS REGISTRY CEA 2,0 % CAS 4,6 % Combined death-stroke-MI Giles KA et al. Stroke and death after CEA and CAS with and without high risk criteria. J Vasc Surg 2010;52:1497-1504
  • 39. Lack of evidence in carotid stenosis management ASYMPTOMATIC CAROTID STENOSIS ACAS and ACST results are being questioned We don’t know the exact risk of stroke of ACS Probably there are patients at very low stroke risk Probably there are patients at high stroke risk We don’t have standardized methods to identify this patients Probably no place for rutinary CEA or CAS in ACS
  • 40. So we need more RCT in Asymtomatic Carotid Stenosis