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NCCARF

             Interface between
         mitigation and adaptation
           in primary industries
           Richard Eckard, Snow
         Barlow, Peter Grace, Peter
          Hayman, Richard Harper
Workshop Program
• Presentations to set the scene
  – Richard Harper, Murdoch University
  – Bram Govaerts , CIMMYT
  – Pat Wall, CIMMYT
• Facilitated group discussions
  – List key conflicts, synergies and challenges
  – Developing solutions or strategies
  – Report back
• Synthesis by the PIARN team
Background
• At a global scale
  – Smith and Olesen (2010) suggest synergies
    between mitigation and adaptation
• At a local and regional scale
  – Significant conflicts need to be addressed
• Climate change itself could lead to increased
  – Enteric methane
  – Nitrous oxide
  – Soil carbon respiration

                               Smith & Olesen 2010; Eckard et al. 2010
Examples of Global Synergies
• Reducing emissions
  – Less enteric CH4 = improved C and energy efficiency
     • Improved feed conversion efficiency
  – Less N2O = improved N use efficiency
     • Improved water and air quality
     • Reducing input costs
• Building soil carbon
  – Improve productivity
  – Reduce soil erosion
  – Conserving soil moisture
                                             Smith & Olesen 2010
Examples of Global Conflicts
• Building soil carbon
  – Productive soils need rapid soil C ‘turnover’
  – Long term sequestration >100 yr C ‘turnover’
  – Requires nutrients esp N
  – Warmer future climates -> higher soil C and N loss
• Feedstocks for bio-energy
  – Competes with land for food
  – Increased N2O and C loss
  – Reduces residue return to soil
                             Smith & Olesen 2010, Eckard & Cullen 2011
Regional and local conflicts
                    Australian examples

• Shift from grazing to cropping in SW Victoria
  – Adaptation to lower rainfall
  – Large losses of soil C and organic N as N2O
• Dairy pastures in SE Australia
  – Earlier onset of summer plus warmer winter
  – More N fertiliser in warmer winter to offset loss of
    early summer growth
  – More N2O loss
Regional and local conflicts
                   Australian examples

• Shift from C3 to C4 grasses with warming
  – More resilient pasture systems
  – Lower forage quality thus increased methane
• Shift to annual based systems
  – To manage climate uncertainty
  – More soil C and N2O loss?
Regional and local synergies
                       Australian examples
• Carbon offset income
   – Lower intensity farming becomes more profitable
• Adaptation to lower or more variable rainfall
   – More conservative stocking rates
   – More targeted N fertiliser inputs
   – Shift to more resilient crop and pasture species
       • Native grasses -> Deeper rooted & less N –> less leaching –> less N2O
• Adaptation to heat stress
   – Plant more trees for shade and shelter
   – More carbon sequestration in landscape
• Minimum tillage
   – Increased soil carbon, reduced N2O
   – Better water holding capacity
Summary
• Short-term adaptation to mitigation policies
  can create conflicts with long-term climate
  adaptation
  – BUT
• Synergies exist between adaptation and
  mitigation
• Identify the conflicts and synergies
  – Maximise synergies
  – Minimise the conflicts
  – The focus of this workshop

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Interface between mitigation and adaptation in primary industries. Richard Eckard

  • 1. NCCARF Interface between mitigation and adaptation in primary industries Richard Eckard, Snow Barlow, Peter Grace, Peter Hayman, Richard Harper
  • 2. Workshop Program • Presentations to set the scene – Richard Harper, Murdoch University – Bram Govaerts , CIMMYT – Pat Wall, CIMMYT • Facilitated group discussions – List key conflicts, synergies and challenges – Developing solutions or strategies – Report back • Synthesis by the PIARN team
  • 3. Background • At a global scale – Smith and Olesen (2010) suggest synergies between mitigation and adaptation • At a local and regional scale – Significant conflicts need to be addressed • Climate change itself could lead to increased – Enteric methane – Nitrous oxide – Soil carbon respiration Smith & Olesen 2010; Eckard et al. 2010
  • 4. Examples of Global Synergies • Reducing emissions – Less enteric CH4 = improved C and energy efficiency • Improved feed conversion efficiency – Less N2O = improved N use efficiency • Improved water and air quality • Reducing input costs • Building soil carbon – Improve productivity – Reduce soil erosion – Conserving soil moisture Smith & Olesen 2010
  • 5. Examples of Global Conflicts • Building soil carbon – Productive soils need rapid soil C ‘turnover’ – Long term sequestration >100 yr C ‘turnover’ – Requires nutrients esp N – Warmer future climates -> higher soil C and N loss • Feedstocks for bio-energy – Competes with land for food – Increased N2O and C loss – Reduces residue return to soil Smith & Olesen 2010, Eckard & Cullen 2011
  • 6. Regional and local conflicts Australian examples • Shift from grazing to cropping in SW Victoria – Adaptation to lower rainfall – Large losses of soil C and organic N as N2O • Dairy pastures in SE Australia – Earlier onset of summer plus warmer winter – More N fertiliser in warmer winter to offset loss of early summer growth – More N2O loss
  • 7. Regional and local conflicts Australian examples • Shift from C3 to C4 grasses with warming – More resilient pasture systems – Lower forage quality thus increased methane • Shift to annual based systems – To manage climate uncertainty – More soil C and N2O loss?
  • 8. Regional and local synergies Australian examples • Carbon offset income – Lower intensity farming becomes more profitable • Adaptation to lower or more variable rainfall – More conservative stocking rates – More targeted N fertiliser inputs – Shift to more resilient crop and pasture species • Native grasses -> Deeper rooted & less N –> less leaching –> less N2O • Adaptation to heat stress – Plant more trees for shade and shelter – More carbon sequestration in landscape • Minimum tillage – Increased soil carbon, reduced N2O – Better water holding capacity
  • 9. Summary • Short-term adaptation to mitigation policies can create conflicts with long-term climate adaptation – BUT • Synergies exist between adaptation and mitigation • Identify the conflicts and synergies – Maximise synergies – Minimise the conflicts – The focus of this workshop