The Webinar is how to Understand Social, Technological, Economic, Ecological and Political Environment concerning an organization and link it to contextual environment.
How to craft robust strategy through scenarios webinar
1. A Presentation is a confusion of
one man multiplied by the
number present!
Dr. Awais e Siraj
Consultant of Strategy and Scenario Planning
Managing Director
Genzee Solutions
Islamabad
www.genzeesolutions.com
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2. Objective
i. History of Scenario Planning
ii. How to build Scenarios?
iii. How to devise a robust strategy from
Scenarios?
iv. QnA
http://blog.mile.org/how-to-craft-robust-strategy-through-scenarios/
http://blog.mile.org/how-to-craft-robust-strategy-through-scenarios/
3. Scenarios
• Origin
– World War II
– US Air Force (RAND Corporation Herman Kahn – 1950’s)
• “Scenarios describe hypothetically a succession of
events with the objective of drawing attention to
causal relationships and working towards
decisions”.
– Arab Israel War – 1967
– Yom Kippur War – 1973
– Oil Crises
http://blog.mile.org/how-to-craft-robust-strategy-through-scenarios/
http://blog.mile.org/how-to-craft-robust-strategy-through-scenarios/
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4. The process
• Dots on the Horizon
– Signals
• First tank crossing Soviet – Afghan
Border
• First Immigrant crossing Afghan Border
into Pakistan in 1979
• Breakdown of Taliban/Unocal
Negotiation on Oil Pipeline
• Picture of Bilawal Bhutto Zardari with
President of US
• Bou Azizi
For Complete PPT &
Video Log on to:
http://blog.mile.org/how-to-craft-robust-strategy-through-
scenarios/