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INLAND FISHERIES AND
    CLIMATE CHANGE

A CASE STUDY OF THE LAKE CHILWA
            FISHERY

              Daniel Jamu
        WorldFish Center, Malawi

                         partnership  excellence  growth
Objective
• To illustrate that inland fisheries
  productivity and livelihoods are affected by
  climatic anomalies resulting from climate
  change impacts affect
• To present and share experiences on
  climate change adaptation in inland
  fisheries from an on-going project in the
  Lake Chilwa Basin, Malawi.

                           partnership  excellence  growth
Inland Fisheries and Climate
             Change
• Lake Tanganyika: Warming climate has increased
  surface water temperature, reduced primary productivity
  and reduced fish catch rate over the last century
  (O’Reilly, 2003);
• Lake Malawi: evidence of warming and eutrophication
  (Vollmer et al., 2005, Otu et al., 2011)
• Shallow lakes(Chad, Bangweulu, Chilwa)
   – Surface area and water levels fluctuate with regional
     rainfall anomalies
   – Fish catches, fishing activity and livelihoods mirror
     observed fluctuations (Jul-Larsen, 2003)
                                      partnership  excellence  growth
Malawi Fisheries Fact Sheet
• 65,000MT = total annual production
• US$64m = annual value (beach value) of
  fisheries production
• 500,000 = Number of people supported by
  the fisheries sector
• 15 = Rank (n=132 in terms of vulnerability
  of national economy to climate-change
  driven impacts on fisheries (Allison et
  al.,2008)
                          partnership  excellence  growth
LAKE CHILWA CASE STUDY
• Ramsar site
• Area: 2,310 km2 (1,836 km2
  open water)
• Shallow (Mean Depth =
  1.5m; Max. Depth = 2.5m)
• High fish production
  (16,000MT per year)
• Fish valuable resource
  (US$17m/year)


                               partnership  excellence  growth
LAKE CHILWA CASE STUDY
• Lake levels dependent
  on rainfall
• Fish production driven
  by lake levels
• Prone to partial or
  complete drying
• Dried 8 times in last 100
  years


                              partnership  excellence  growth
Rainfall variability and lake
            water levels




Relationship between lake levels and rainfall at Chileka (nearest
station with reliable rainfall data (Rebelo et al., 2011)

                                             partnership  excellence  growth
Lake Chilwa prone to periodic
           drying




Lake Chilwa normal year (Left) and Lake
Chilwa dry year (Right)

                        partnership  excellence  growth
Non-climatic factors affecting
     lake water levels changes
• Increased runoff and
  siltation
  – Poor agricultural
    practices + Deforestation
• Wetland and forest
  biomass burning
  – Reduced silt deposition
    in wetland
  – Accelerated runoff



                                partnership  excellence  growth
Lake water level variability and
          fish production
                 25000                                                   Catch                         14
                                                                         Mean Lake Level (m)
                                                                                                       12
                 20000
                                                                                                       10




                                                                                                            Mean Lake Level (m)
Catch (tonnes)




                 15000                                                                                 8

                 10000                                                                                 6

                                                                                                       4
                  5000
                                                                                                       2

                     0                                                                                 0
                      1962   1967   1972   1977   1982     1987   1992     1997       2002      2007
                                                         Year


           Historical mean annual lake level (m) of Lake Chilwa and total
           catch(metric tons). Arrows show periods of partial (broken) and
           complete (solid) line
                                                                  partnership  excellence  growth
Fish production and livelihoods
              7000
              6000
              5000
Individuals




              4000
              3000
              2000
              1000
                0




                     1999
                     2000
                     1983
                     1984
                     1985
                     1986
                     1987
                     1988
                     1989
                     1990
                     1991
                     1992
                     1993
                     1994
                     1995
                     1996
                     1997
                     1998



                     2001
                     2002
                     2003
                           Gear owners     Crew




                Livelihoods of fishers, traders and basin communities mirror
                changes in lake hydrology . Arrows denote periods of complete
                drying
                                                           partnership  excellence  growth
Responding to impacts of climate
change on livelihoods in the basin
 LAKE CHILWA BASIN CLIMATE CHANGE
       ADAPTATION PROGRAMME

• Funded by Royal Norwegian Embassy
• Implemented by LEAD/University of
  Malawi, WorldFish Center and Forestry
  Research Institute of Malawi
                         partnership  excellence  growth
Overall Goal
• To secure the livelihoods of 1.5 million
  people in the Lake Chilwa Basin and build
  capacity of rural communities to manage
  the impacts of climate change.
  – Capacity strengthening
  – Improve adaptive capacity
  – Facilitate cross-sector planning and
    management for climate change in the basin


                            partnership  excellence  growth
Programme Design Framework
Exposure

              Impact                   Vulnerability

Sensitivity                         Adger,2000, IPCC, 2001
              Adaptive
               capacity

ECOSYSTEM APPROACH
                          partnership  excellence  growth
Climate Change Vulnerability

Variable         Sensitivity           Resilience
Fish catches        High                     High
Lake ecosystem      High                  Medium
Incomes             High                     Low
Livelihoods         High                     Low




                               partnership  excellence  growth
Adaptive capacity of Lake
 Chilwa Communities-Findings
• Strong social capital
• Weak human, financial, natural and
  physical capital
  – Low literacy
  – Low incomes and poor access to credit
  – Degraded forests and agricultural land;
    declining fish catches
  – Dilapidated educational and health
    infrastructure
                             partnership  excellence  growth
Addressing weak adaptive
             capacity
Adaptive capacity        Activity
measure
Financial (income)       Value addition and linking commodity
                         enterprises to markets
Financial (savings and   Link farmers and fishers to banks and
loans)                   business management services
Natural                  Afforestation and enhanced monitoring of
                         water, soil and fisheries
Physical                 Facilitate communities to demand social
                         services




                                        partnership  excellence  growth
CLIMATIC ANOMALIES AND
         ADAPTIVE CAPACITY
              Increased
                rainfall
                                                        High Post Harvest
                                                             Losses
                           High water
                             levels



Climate    Climatic                High Fish                Low fisher                 Reduced
change    anomalies                Catches                   income                    adaptive
                                                                                       capacity



              High                      High Firewood              Reduced natural
           temperatures                  consumption                   capital




                                        High
                                  deforestation rate
                                                   partnership  excellence  growth
FISH VALUE ADDITION AND
   ADAPTIVE CAPACITY




•Smoking kilns reduce
post-harvest losses and
save firewood by 30%
•Save 2400 tons of wood
(30ha of mature forest)

                          partnership  excellence  growth
FISH VALUE ADDITION AND
    ADAPTIVE CAPACITY




Reduction of post harvest
losses and improved food
safety by solar fish driers
= Increased Incomes

                              partnership  excellence  growth
STRENGHTENING CAPACITY
 OF WOMEN FISH TRADERS




                      •Women fish processors participating
Leadership training
                      in a National Agriculture Fair.




                                  partnership  excellence  growth
INCREASING ECOSYSTEM
       RESILIENCE
• Participatory fish
  monitoring using
  log books
  – Reduced IUU
  – Improved
    management


                       Spatial mapping of fishing areas



                              partnership  excellence  growth
INCREASING ECOSYSTEM
          RESILIENCE




Afforestation of degraded slopes            Promotion of village forest areas

             Regulate river flow and reduce siltation of Lake Chilwa

                                                 partnership  excellence  growth
INCREASING ECOSYSTEM
           RESILIENCE




Conservation agriculture to reduce    Soil erosion monitoring to inform
soil erosion and runoff to the lake   farmers and managers



                                               partnership  excellence  growth
INCREASING ECOSYSTEM
     RESILIENCE




   Long term lake water level monitoring




                                partnership  excellence  growth
CONCLUDING REMARKS
• Lake Chilwa ecosystem and communities is an
  example of an inland fishery affected by climatic
  anomalies resulting from climate change
  impacts
• IPCC framework for defining vulnerability
  relevant for design and implementation of Lake
  Chilwa climate change adaptation programme
• Adaptive capacity measures which achieve
  economic benefits in the short term are good
  candidates for quick wins during early stages of
  implementation of adaptation projects
                               partnership  excellence  growth

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Inland Fisheries and Climate Change

  • 1. INLAND FISHERIES AND CLIMATE CHANGE A CASE STUDY OF THE LAKE CHILWA FISHERY Daniel Jamu WorldFish Center, Malawi partnership  excellence  growth
  • 2. Objective • To illustrate that inland fisheries productivity and livelihoods are affected by climatic anomalies resulting from climate change impacts affect • To present and share experiences on climate change adaptation in inland fisheries from an on-going project in the Lake Chilwa Basin, Malawi. partnership  excellence  growth
  • 3. Inland Fisheries and Climate Change • Lake Tanganyika: Warming climate has increased surface water temperature, reduced primary productivity and reduced fish catch rate over the last century (O’Reilly, 2003); • Lake Malawi: evidence of warming and eutrophication (Vollmer et al., 2005, Otu et al., 2011) • Shallow lakes(Chad, Bangweulu, Chilwa) – Surface area and water levels fluctuate with regional rainfall anomalies – Fish catches, fishing activity and livelihoods mirror observed fluctuations (Jul-Larsen, 2003) partnership  excellence  growth
  • 4. Malawi Fisheries Fact Sheet • 65,000MT = total annual production • US$64m = annual value (beach value) of fisheries production • 500,000 = Number of people supported by the fisheries sector • 15 = Rank (n=132 in terms of vulnerability of national economy to climate-change driven impacts on fisheries (Allison et al.,2008) partnership  excellence  growth
  • 5. LAKE CHILWA CASE STUDY • Ramsar site • Area: 2,310 km2 (1,836 km2 open water) • Shallow (Mean Depth = 1.5m; Max. Depth = 2.5m) • High fish production (16,000MT per year) • Fish valuable resource (US$17m/year) partnership  excellence  growth
  • 6. LAKE CHILWA CASE STUDY • Lake levels dependent on rainfall • Fish production driven by lake levels • Prone to partial or complete drying • Dried 8 times in last 100 years partnership  excellence  growth
  • 7. Rainfall variability and lake water levels Relationship between lake levels and rainfall at Chileka (nearest station with reliable rainfall data (Rebelo et al., 2011) partnership  excellence  growth
  • 8. Lake Chilwa prone to periodic drying Lake Chilwa normal year (Left) and Lake Chilwa dry year (Right) partnership  excellence  growth
  • 9. Non-climatic factors affecting lake water levels changes • Increased runoff and siltation – Poor agricultural practices + Deforestation • Wetland and forest biomass burning – Reduced silt deposition in wetland – Accelerated runoff partnership  excellence  growth
  • 10. Lake water level variability and fish production 25000 Catch 14 Mean Lake Level (m) 12 20000 10 Mean Lake Level (m) Catch (tonnes) 15000 8 10000 6 4 5000 2 0 0 1962 1967 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 Year Historical mean annual lake level (m) of Lake Chilwa and total catch(metric tons). Arrows show periods of partial (broken) and complete (solid) line partnership  excellence  growth
  • 11. Fish production and livelihoods 7000 6000 5000 Individuals 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1999 2000 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 2001 2002 2003 Gear owners Crew Livelihoods of fishers, traders and basin communities mirror changes in lake hydrology . Arrows denote periods of complete drying partnership  excellence  growth
  • 12. Responding to impacts of climate change on livelihoods in the basin LAKE CHILWA BASIN CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION PROGRAMME • Funded by Royal Norwegian Embassy • Implemented by LEAD/University of Malawi, WorldFish Center and Forestry Research Institute of Malawi partnership  excellence  growth
  • 13. Overall Goal • To secure the livelihoods of 1.5 million people in the Lake Chilwa Basin and build capacity of rural communities to manage the impacts of climate change. – Capacity strengthening – Improve adaptive capacity – Facilitate cross-sector planning and management for climate change in the basin partnership  excellence  growth
  • 14. Programme Design Framework Exposure Impact Vulnerability Sensitivity Adger,2000, IPCC, 2001 Adaptive capacity ECOSYSTEM APPROACH partnership  excellence  growth
  • 15. Climate Change Vulnerability Variable Sensitivity Resilience Fish catches High High Lake ecosystem High Medium Incomes High Low Livelihoods High Low partnership  excellence  growth
  • 16. Adaptive capacity of Lake Chilwa Communities-Findings • Strong social capital • Weak human, financial, natural and physical capital – Low literacy – Low incomes and poor access to credit – Degraded forests and agricultural land; declining fish catches – Dilapidated educational and health infrastructure partnership  excellence  growth
  • 17. Addressing weak adaptive capacity Adaptive capacity Activity measure Financial (income) Value addition and linking commodity enterprises to markets Financial (savings and Link farmers and fishers to banks and loans) business management services Natural Afforestation and enhanced monitoring of water, soil and fisheries Physical Facilitate communities to demand social services partnership  excellence  growth
  • 18. CLIMATIC ANOMALIES AND ADAPTIVE CAPACITY Increased rainfall High Post Harvest Losses High water levels Climate Climatic High Fish Low fisher Reduced change anomalies Catches income adaptive capacity High High Firewood Reduced natural temperatures consumption capital High deforestation rate partnership  excellence  growth
  • 19. FISH VALUE ADDITION AND ADAPTIVE CAPACITY •Smoking kilns reduce post-harvest losses and save firewood by 30% •Save 2400 tons of wood (30ha of mature forest) partnership  excellence  growth
  • 20. FISH VALUE ADDITION AND ADAPTIVE CAPACITY Reduction of post harvest losses and improved food safety by solar fish driers = Increased Incomes partnership  excellence  growth
  • 21. STRENGHTENING CAPACITY OF WOMEN FISH TRADERS •Women fish processors participating Leadership training in a National Agriculture Fair. partnership  excellence  growth
  • 22. INCREASING ECOSYSTEM RESILIENCE • Participatory fish monitoring using log books – Reduced IUU – Improved management Spatial mapping of fishing areas partnership  excellence  growth
  • 23. INCREASING ECOSYSTEM RESILIENCE Afforestation of degraded slopes Promotion of village forest areas Regulate river flow and reduce siltation of Lake Chilwa partnership  excellence  growth
  • 24. INCREASING ECOSYSTEM RESILIENCE Conservation agriculture to reduce Soil erosion monitoring to inform soil erosion and runoff to the lake farmers and managers partnership  excellence  growth
  • 25. INCREASING ECOSYSTEM RESILIENCE Long term lake water level monitoring partnership  excellence  growth
  • 26. CONCLUDING REMARKS • Lake Chilwa ecosystem and communities is an example of an inland fishery affected by climatic anomalies resulting from climate change impacts • IPCC framework for defining vulnerability relevant for design and implementation of Lake Chilwa climate change adaptation programme • Adaptive capacity measures which achieve economic benefits in the short term are good candidates for quick wins during early stages of implementation of adaptation projects partnership  excellence  growth

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Sensitivity determined from historical (1903-2009) weather, fisheries and livelihoods data from various publications; dapative capacity from a livelihood survey conducted in 2010; exposure from weather data (1903-2009)
  2. Illustrates how programme interventions are linked to adaptive capacity and why we are implementing interventions such as solar fish driers and improved smoking kilns as ways of improving adaptive capacity of fishers, fish traders etc.
  3. Because these interventions are of immediate benefit to communities, adoption is high indicating that adaptive capacity measures that can achieve quick wins are likely to be adopted quickly
  4. Reduction of post harvest losses and improved food safety by solar fish driers = Increased Incomes
  5. Fish processed in solar driers and packed priced 10X than open dried fish
  6. Village forest areas will be a sustainable source of firewood for fish smoking