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Chiara Scimemi, WIND Hellas Telecommunications S.A.
Mobile Regulations & Competition Law Conference
The impact of convergence and Mobile Broadband penetration
FMC practices
Their effects on EU & national regulations
Jackson Pollock, 1952
Convergence ?
The extent of FMC throughout Europe: the FMC “cocktail”
• market players
• Fixed
• Mobile
• Integrated
• business models
• MVNO
• ESP
• DSP
• SP
• technologies
• Homezone
• WiFi
• Femtocell
• VoIP on mobile
Device
cv
Service
cv
Netw
cv
The extent of FMC throughout Europe
Country Integrated operators
Operators with FM offering
through MVNO or FVNO or
partnerships
Austria Telekom Austria, DT (Telering) One, UPC, Tele2
Belgium Belgacom, Mobistar Telenet, Tele2
DK TDC, TeliaSonera, Telenor
Finland TeliaSonera, Elisa, Finnet Tele2
France FT Neuf, SFR, Free
Germany DT, Vodafone, O2 Freenet
Italy TI, WIND Fastweb, Vodafone
NL KPN, Orange Tele2, UPC
Spain Telefonica, Orange Jazztel, ONO
Sweden TeliaSonera, Telenor, Tele2
UK Orange, O2 BT, Vodafone, T-Mobile
(IDATE 2008)
The extent of FMC throughout Europe
(E-Communications Household Survey, June 2008, European Commission)
(Broadband market trends in Europe, Analysys Mason 2009)
The extent of FMC throughout Europe: FMC prospects
Impact of FMC on operators
• The rationale of FMC
• Different starting points different impact
• Fixed operators only
• Mobile operators only
• Integrated operators
Impact of FMC on operators:
The positive/negative consequences of FMC for the mobile
industry
Increased marketing/subscriber
acquisition cost (SAC)
Churn reduction
(to indirect access)
Decrease in total fixed minutes
(shifted to mobile device)
Churn reduction/increase
in retail market
share through differentiation
Reduced price per minute
on existing mobile
usage in home/office
(origination and termination)
Increased marketing
Increase in total mobile minutes
(origination and termination)
Increase in subscriber
market share/churn reduction
Broadband
Fixed voice
Mobile voice
Impact on absolute EBITDA
(Profitability drivers for FMC, Analysys Consulting, 2006)
Integrated
Mobile only
Technological advancements promoting further FMC:
Who is driving FMC: the IT or the MKT department?
Technological advancements promoting further FMC
FMC and levels of integration
• Bundling offers the lowest degree of integration
One service bundle
One bill
One customer service
Bundling
One number
One voicemail
One application set Service
Integration
One seamless experience
One device
Device
convergence
Level of integration
Low High
Value to
customer
Cost savings
Functionality/
convenience
Infrastructure/network convergence and back-office integration
•1
•3
•2
•4
Ultimately FMC should be able to deliver integrated services on one device across
different access networks and a converged core network
(Ovum 2008)
Technological advancements promoting further FMC
Technical architectures
• Main technologies (CTP, UMA,IMS/SIP, Femtocell..)
• Wi-Fi solutions: UMA vs SIP
• Dualmode vs Femtocell
Technology drivers
• Increased bandwith capabilities
• Advanced software and intelligence in network & equipment
• Increased use of IP technology
Technological advancements promoting further FMC
(UMA Today 2009)
Telecom Italia takes a SIP of FMC
December 6, 2007 — 7:59am ET
Telecom Italia, which had been one
of a handful of carrier supporters of UMA
for FMC services,
reportedly has dumped UMA in favor of using
an FMC offering based
on the session initiation protocol
Technological advancements promoting further FMC
Standardization
ITU Recommendation Q.1762/Y.2802
In a given network configuration, the capabilities that provide services and
application to the end user (…) regardless of the fixed or mobile access
technologies being used and independent of the user’s location. In the NGN
environment (…) it means to provide NGN services to end users regardless of
the fixed or mobile access technologies being used.
Implementation
Technological advancements promoting further FMC
“Femtocell will take over by 2013 with 62% of the market and
103 million FMC Access Points” (ABIresearch August 2008)
Predicting future modifications on regulations & competition
• Should regulation change with FMC
• How to regulate FMC
• Ex- ante or ex post
Predicting future modifications on regulations & competition:
Regulatory challenges of FMC
• Licensing
• Interconnection
• Numbering
• USO issues + emergency
• Pricing issues
• ….
• And even Taxation
at the core:
market definition &
relevant market analysis
Predicting future modifications on regulations & competition
Today…
Explanatory note, EC NGA Draft Recommendation:
(…) broadband services at fixed locations will also be supplied using other technologies, including
wireless networks. In addition, networks designed to supply mobile broadband services will also
potentially be available for use at fixed locations. The current expectation is however that the
services potentially offered over fibre-based networks will comprise a far greater (and higher) range
in terms of bi-directional bandwith
Working Document, EC Draft relevant markets Recommendation SEC
(2006) 837
In the future converged offerings between mobile and fixed service may emerge but this is not expected
to be a widespread phenomenon during the life of the revised Recommendation (…) as yet, there is
little evidence to consider triple or quadruple plays as a bundle that should be analysed as a single
market
… Which relevant markets cover FMC offerings?
Predicting future modifications on regulations & competition:
Homezone clearance
.
Country FMNP
Term.
Rate
Germany
02 genion Homezone, Vodafone
Zuhause, T-Mobile@home
yes FTR
Greece
Vodafone Homezone (with HOL)
yes FTR
Italy
Vodafone Casa, TIM Maxxi Casa
yes FTR
Portugal
Optimus Home, Vodafone Casa,
TMN Casa
yes FTR
Belgium, DK, France, NL,
Greece (Cosmote OnePhone)
No N/A
-Are fixed geographic numbers
allowed to be used by MNO
-What is the applicable call
termination rate for a call to a
F geographic number which
terminates on the M network
M 16/2003 analysis
Specific NRA decision
No intervention
Tacit
Predicting future modifications on regulations & competition
Predicting future modifications on regulations & competition:
Convergence & bundling
(E-Communications Household Survey, June 2008, European Commission)
Predicting future modifications on regulations & competition:
Convergence & bundling
.
FMC: What next
The most recent modification of the framework
Explanatory Note, EC FTR & MTR Recommendation
“… with the evolution of fixed–mobile hybrid services and a move towards
convergence, a different regulatory treatment of fixed and mobile termination
rates raises a possible inconsistency issue. The regulatory model underlying
the FTR regulation assumes that operators will recover the cost of the local
loop via retail subscription charges, and that these costs are not included in the
FTR paid by other operators, including mobile operators. This is not the case in
mobile networks where the access network costs are largely recovered via the
termination rate. This needs to be considered in order to ensure that
competitive distortions do not arise and that allocative-efficiency concerns as
described above are addressed….
…If call termination fees remain at current levels, it might be that many mobile
operators and some fixed operators might choose not to evolve their networks
to IP based interconnection…”
FMC: What next
A technical challenge?
A regulatory challenge?
A market challenge !

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SpeechSlides

  • 1. Chiara Scimemi, WIND Hellas Telecommunications S.A. Mobile Regulations & Competition Law Conference The impact of convergence and Mobile Broadband penetration FMC practices Their effects on EU & national regulations
  • 3. The extent of FMC throughout Europe: the FMC “cocktail” • market players • Fixed • Mobile • Integrated • business models • MVNO • ESP • DSP • SP • technologies • Homezone • WiFi • Femtocell • VoIP on mobile Device cv Service cv Netw cv
  • 4. The extent of FMC throughout Europe Country Integrated operators Operators with FM offering through MVNO or FVNO or partnerships Austria Telekom Austria, DT (Telering) One, UPC, Tele2 Belgium Belgacom, Mobistar Telenet, Tele2 DK TDC, TeliaSonera, Telenor Finland TeliaSonera, Elisa, Finnet Tele2 France FT Neuf, SFR, Free Germany DT, Vodafone, O2 Freenet Italy TI, WIND Fastweb, Vodafone NL KPN, Orange Tele2, UPC Spain Telefonica, Orange Jazztel, ONO Sweden TeliaSonera, Telenor, Tele2 UK Orange, O2 BT, Vodafone, T-Mobile (IDATE 2008)
  • 5. The extent of FMC throughout Europe (E-Communications Household Survey, June 2008, European Commission)
  • 6. (Broadband market trends in Europe, Analysys Mason 2009) The extent of FMC throughout Europe: FMC prospects
  • 7. Impact of FMC on operators • The rationale of FMC • Different starting points different impact • Fixed operators only • Mobile operators only • Integrated operators
  • 8. Impact of FMC on operators: The positive/negative consequences of FMC for the mobile industry Increased marketing/subscriber acquisition cost (SAC) Churn reduction (to indirect access) Decrease in total fixed minutes (shifted to mobile device) Churn reduction/increase in retail market share through differentiation Reduced price per minute on existing mobile usage in home/office (origination and termination) Increased marketing Increase in total mobile minutes (origination and termination) Increase in subscriber market share/churn reduction Broadband Fixed voice Mobile voice Impact on absolute EBITDA (Profitability drivers for FMC, Analysys Consulting, 2006) Integrated Mobile only
  • 9. Technological advancements promoting further FMC: Who is driving FMC: the IT or the MKT department?
  • 10. Technological advancements promoting further FMC FMC and levels of integration • Bundling offers the lowest degree of integration One service bundle One bill One customer service Bundling One number One voicemail One application set Service Integration One seamless experience One device Device convergence Level of integration Low High Value to customer Cost savings Functionality/ convenience Infrastructure/network convergence and back-office integration •1 •3 •2 •4 Ultimately FMC should be able to deliver integrated services on one device across different access networks and a converged core network (Ovum 2008)
  • 11. Technological advancements promoting further FMC Technical architectures • Main technologies (CTP, UMA,IMS/SIP, Femtocell..) • Wi-Fi solutions: UMA vs SIP • Dualmode vs Femtocell Technology drivers • Increased bandwith capabilities • Advanced software and intelligence in network & equipment • Increased use of IP technology
  • 12. Technological advancements promoting further FMC (UMA Today 2009) Telecom Italia takes a SIP of FMC December 6, 2007 — 7:59am ET Telecom Italia, which had been one of a handful of carrier supporters of UMA for FMC services, reportedly has dumped UMA in favor of using an FMC offering based on the session initiation protocol
  • 13. Technological advancements promoting further FMC Standardization ITU Recommendation Q.1762/Y.2802 In a given network configuration, the capabilities that provide services and application to the end user (…) regardless of the fixed or mobile access technologies being used and independent of the user’s location. In the NGN environment (…) it means to provide NGN services to end users regardless of the fixed or mobile access technologies being used. Implementation
  • 14. Technological advancements promoting further FMC “Femtocell will take over by 2013 with 62% of the market and 103 million FMC Access Points” (ABIresearch August 2008)
  • 15. Predicting future modifications on regulations & competition • Should regulation change with FMC • How to regulate FMC • Ex- ante or ex post
  • 16. Predicting future modifications on regulations & competition: Regulatory challenges of FMC • Licensing • Interconnection • Numbering • USO issues + emergency • Pricing issues • …. • And even Taxation at the core: market definition & relevant market analysis
  • 17. Predicting future modifications on regulations & competition Today… Explanatory note, EC NGA Draft Recommendation: (…) broadband services at fixed locations will also be supplied using other technologies, including wireless networks. In addition, networks designed to supply mobile broadband services will also potentially be available for use at fixed locations. The current expectation is however that the services potentially offered over fibre-based networks will comprise a far greater (and higher) range in terms of bi-directional bandwith Working Document, EC Draft relevant markets Recommendation SEC (2006) 837 In the future converged offerings between mobile and fixed service may emerge but this is not expected to be a widespread phenomenon during the life of the revised Recommendation (…) as yet, there is little evidence to consider triple or quadruple plays as a bundle that should be analysed as a single market … Which relevant markets cover FMC offerings?
  • 18. Predicting future modifications on regulations & competition: Homezone clearance . Country FMNP Term. Rate Germany 02 genion Homezone, Vodafone Zuhause, T-Mobile@home yes FTR Greece Vodafone Homezone (with HOL) yes FTR Italy Vodafone Casa, TIM Maxxi Casa yes FTR Portugal Optimus Home, Vodafone Casa, TMN Casa yes FTR Belgium, DK, France, NL, Greece (Cosmote OnePhone) No N/A -Are fixed geographic numbers allowed to be used by MNO -What is the applicable call termination rate for a call to a F geographic number which terminates on the M network M 16/2003 analysis Specific NRA decision No intervention Tacit
  • 19. Predicting future modifications on regulations & competition
  • 20. Predicting future modifications on regulations & competition: Convergence & bundling (E-Communications Household Survey, June 2008, European Commission)
  • 21. Predicting future modifications on regulations & competition: Convergence & bundling .
  • 22. FMC: What next The most recent modification of the framework Explanatory Note, EC FTR & MTR Recommendation “… with the evolution of fixed–mobile hybrid services and a move towards convergence, a different regulatory treatment of fixed and mobile termination rates raises a possible inconsistency issue. The regulatory model underlying the FTR regulation assumes that operators will recover the cost of the local loop via retail subscription charges, and that these costs are not included in the FTR paid by other operators, including mobile operators. This is not the case in mobile networks where the access network costs are largely recovered via the termination rate. This needs to be considered in order to ensure that competitive distortions do not arise and that allocative-efficiency concerns as described above are addressed…. …If call termination fees remain at current levels, it might be that many mobile operators and some fixed operators might choose not to evolve their networks to IP based interconnection…”
  • 23. FMC: What next A technical challenge? A regulatory challenge? A market challenge !