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4G / 4G+ 
a real game changer 
IDATE Insight 
Frédéric PUJOL, 
Wireless Business Unit Director, IDATE 
19 November 2014 
N...
LTE, the only 4G technology, is a real success… 
USA, Japan and South Korea are leading 
the pack 
 USA: 100 million LTE ...
From LTE to LTE-A and 5G 
LTE/LTE Advanced capabilities 
 What does CA (Carrier Aggregation) means for MNOs and for 
subs...
What role for Wi-Fi, small cells architectures and SDN? 
Wi-Fi is playing a major role in providing wireless 
connection 
...
What’s next for mobile networks? 
Could LTE replace fibre networks? 
 Not in developed countries but LTE needs fibre to c...
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4G/4G+: a real game changer? - Frédéric PUJOL, Head of Wireless Business Unit, IDATE Slide 1 4G/4G+: a real game changer? - Frédéric PUJOL, Head of Wireless Business Unit, IDATE Slide 2 4G/4G+: a real game changer? - Frédéric PUJOL, Head of Wireless Business Unit, IDATE Slide 3 4G/4G+: a real game changer? - Frédéric PUJOL, Head of Wireless Business Unit, IDATE Slide 4 4G/4G+: a real game changer? - Frédéric PUJOL, Head of Wireless Business Unit, IDATE Slide 5
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4G/4G+: a real game changer? - Frédéric PUJOL, Head of Wireless Business Unit, IDATE

  1. 1. 4G / 4G+ a real game changer IDATE Insight Frédéric PUJOL, Wireless Business Unit Director, IDATE 19 November 2014 Next steps towards 5G
  2. 2. LTE, the only 4G technology, is a real success… USA, Japan and South Korea are leading the pack  USA: 100 million LTE subscribers and 31% of the total mobile base  In South Korea: 52% of the total mobile base LTE has been adopted by the vast majority of mobile operators worldwide  In most cases, the migration to LTE is considerably faster than the earlier migration from 2G to 3G  Both FDD and TDD versions of LTE are taking off Share of LTE subscriptions in three lead countries (% of total SIMs by region) LTE subscriptions by region (Q4 2013, million) 2 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 South Korea Japan USA South Korea, 28 Source: IDATE, in World LTE market, July 2014 Source: IDATE, in World LTE market, July 2014 Source: IDATE, in World LTE market, July 2014 Europe, 24 USA, 105 Japan, 33 Rest of APAC, 13 Rest of Americas, 4 Africa Middle East, 5
  3. 3. From LTE to LTE-A and 5G LTE/LTE Advanced capabilities  What does CA (Carrier Aggregation) means for MNOs and for subscribers? Higher data rates and capacity, flexibility in spectrum management, ability to use TDD bands  LTE Advanced future features: D2D, Relay…  LTE also used for fixed access  Broadcast/Multicast component of LTE (eMBMS) 5G will be here soon (2018-2020) but what will it look like?  Nobody knows exactly what 5G will be…  … but consensus on more agile, dense and flexible networks Advanced and 5G go in delivering ultra-high-speed access? 3 > Just how far can LTE/LTE Example of Framework for 5G Source: ARIB
  4. 4. What role for Wi-Fi, small cells architectures and SDN? Wi-Fi is playing a major role in providing wireless connection  Wi-Fi carries 75% of the traffic generated by mobile devices in Western Europe  Wi-Fi-first actors appearing the marketplace Small cells are implemented in order to add capacity in dense areas, often together with Wi-Fi Cloud-RAN is a trend in the radio access network VoLTE and VoWiFi  VoWifi a threat to MNOs?  VoLTE an answer to OTT voice? 4 Evolution to HetNets Source: University of Sheffield
  5. 5. What’s next for mobile networks? Could LTE replace fibre networks?  Not in developed countries but LTE needs fibre to connect base stations to the core network  But probably in many developing countries M2M will not only use cellular networks but also dedicated technologies & unlicensed spectrum How should we be thinking about fixed-mobile convergence vs. competition?  Many flavors of hybrid network: wireless+wireline, broadcast+unicast, satellite+terrestrial  eMBMS brings real multicast/broadcast capabilities to LTE Should we be worried about a spectrum shortage?  Probably not in Europe until 2020: 700 MHz band in 2018/2020. Maybe in the USA and Japan  New bands, spectrum sharing, importance of unlicensed spectrum 5 > LTE will represent 75% of mobile subscriptions in 2015-2016 in South Korea, in 2016-2017 in the US, and in 2018-2019 in Europe LTE subscription forecasts (2014-2018, million) 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Asia-Pacific Western Europe Central & Eastern Europe North America Latin America Africa Middle East Source: IDATE, in World LTE market, July 2014

4G/4G+: a real game changer? - Frédéric PUJOL, Head of Wireless Business Unit, IDATE at DigiWorld Summit 2014

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