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Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 1
Calibrating Consent Mode
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 2
The name might not be familiar but
our people will be the same friendly
faces and amazing talents.
Let’s introduce you to the new
identity…
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 3
a new idea
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 4
*And we should know, we invented it back in the 70’s
too slow for digital
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 6
8,000+ talent
Integrated technology
Single P&L
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 7
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 8
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 9
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 9
Mar 16, 2022
Prepare for the future with
Google Analytics 4. GA360
sunset announced.
Mixed reactions
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 11
Physics’ “Three Body Problem”
tells us that when you have
three planetary bodies orbiting
one another in space, it’s
impossible to accurately
predict their paths due to the
complex and ever-changing
gravitational relationship
between them.
It’s ‘complex’
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 12
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 12
3 Body
Problem
Antitrust, National
Security, protectors of
consumer privacy
Yes, it’s a ‘Venn Diagram’
Content Fortresses, Walled
Gardens, device makers,
software giants, adtech, telcos
The inevitable reaction to
tracking, surveillance, and
being chased around the
internet by mattress adverts
Media fueled
Vendor fueled (buy our secure
phones!)
Tech
Public
Opinion Regulation
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 13
Consent Mode allows you to change
the behaviour of your tags
Adjust the behaviour of your tags to respect user consent choices
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 14
Introduction
What is Consent Mode?
When a user doesn’t consent to ads cookies
or analytics cookies, consent mode
automatically adjusts the relevant Google
tags’ behaviour to not read or write cookies
for advertising or analytics purposes.
Without cookies, advertisers experience a gap
in their measurement and lose visibility into
user paths on their site. They are no longer
able to directly tie users' ad interactions to
conversions.
Conversion modelling can help fill in blanks in
media measurement at times when it’s not
possible to observe the path between ad
interactions and conversions.
Consent Mode requires some trivial changes
to scripts on the site(s) that will affect GTM
functionality and the behaviour of Google
Marketing Platform tags. Non-GMP tags do
not support Consent Mode.
Be more Monk
Not naive
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 17
Google states:
Conversion modeling can help fill in blanks in media measurement at times
when it’s not possible to observe the path between ad interactions and
conversions.
Media.Monks seeks to verify this is true using an experimental approach.
Trust but verify
X-device click to conversions
Time window limitations
3P Cookies denied
YouTube Engaged videos to conversions
Your Google Analytics 4 property began
including cross-channel modeled conversions
around the end of July 2021.
How?
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 19
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 19
6 of 10
Consent Denied
Simulate 40% consent
Why?
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 21
Implied consent was going to change to explicit consent.
Previous explicit consent experiments had tanked - scary data loss.
Force the previously observed level of tanking to see how behaviour
modelling can mitigate for apparent data loss through cookie consent
denied.
Calibration
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 22
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 22
Plan
How does it work normally?
Execute the first script before anything on all
pages.
Execute the second script for compliance. Until
consent has been established, assume denied.
Once consent has been established, or when it
changes, execute the next script.
window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; function
gtag(){dataLayer.push(arguments);}
gtag('consent', 'default', { 'ad_storage': 'denied', 'analytics_storage':
'denied'});
gtag('consent', 'update', {'analytics_storage': new_analytics_storage});
gtag('consent', 'update', {'ad_storage': new_ad_storage});
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 23
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 23
Experiment
How does the experiment work?
Use the existing _ga client Id
cookie to bucket users based
on the last digit in the cookie
value.
Force the granted||denied
value.
Don’t update the consent
value.
var setConsent = setConsent || function(clientID) {
bucket = clientID[clientID.length-1];
consent = 'denied';
if(parseInt(bucket)<4){
consent = 'granted';
}
gtag('consent', 'default', {'analytics_storage':
consent});
gtag('consent', 'default', {'ad_storage': consent});
}
var clientId = getCookie('_ga');
if(clientId != ''){
setConsent(clientId);
}
Results
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 25
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 25
Results
Calibrate using BigQuery. First hits contain a large number of unset preferences
Why? New users, first ping, no client ID to bucket on = implied consent kicks in, consent is unset.
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 26
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 26
Results
Exclude unset hits
50% of the data is split 65-35 (granted/denied). 50% of the data is split 80-20 (granted/denied).
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 27
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 27
Does this affect the experiment?
Consistency
We expect to see
consistent changes in data
broadly in line with
consent ratios
Volumes
We expect to see similar
GA360 and observed GA4
volumes with increases in
modeled data volumes
Aggregate volumes to grow. Time series shape
remains consistent. Dimension value order may
change (more paid, organic, less direct)
Between 10% and 40% volume
changes expected based on observed
negative consent volumes
Yes, I would have done it differently, but as we have a body of data…
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 28
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 28
Results
Modelled data in the GA4 reporting UI
Compare Blended with Observed.
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 29
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 29
Results
Observed (consented) vs GA360
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 30
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 30
Results
Acquisition Overview - Blended vs Observed
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 31
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 31
Results
User Acquisition - Blended vs Observed
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 32
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 32
Results
Conversions by session source/medium - Blended vs Observed
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 33
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 33
Results
Time series consistency with volume growth - Blended vs Observed
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 34
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 34
Results
Daily event volume - BigQuery, Blended vs Observed (consented) in the Reporting UI and Data Studio
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 35
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 35
Results
GA4 vs GA 360 before consent YoY
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 36
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 36
Results
Blended YoY == Blended GA4 now vs 100% observed
(before explicit consent) GA4 last year
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 37
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 38
#DougyToldYouSo
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 39
Top level conclusion
The blended data reports
presented as expected despite
experiment methodology not
performing.
Blended data
~25% more volume reported.
This will vary according to real
world consent rates.
Observed data checks
Compare consented and
non-consented GA4 volumes in BQ
YoY comparison
Calibration.
What is it
good for?
We did it. But do you have to?
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 41
● Quantify changes in data
○ GA4 BQ integration is essential
○ Identify false positives
○ Measure consent rates
● Always score data quality
○ Anomaly detection
○ Automate scoring
■ Taxonomy auditing
● Explainable data
○ Step away from “water is wet” analysis
○ Share a common vocabulary
● Validation, verification, trust
Yes
Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 42
Questions?
Ask your favourite
monk
doug.hall@mediamonks.com

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Is Consent Mode Working.pdf

  • 1. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 1 Calibrating Consent Mode
  • 2. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 2 The name might not be familiar but our people will be the same friendly faces and amazing talents. Let’s introduce you to the new identity…
  • 3. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 3 a new idea
  • 4. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 4
  • 5. *And we should know, we invented it back in the 70’s too slow for digital
  • 6. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 6 8,000+ talent Integrated technology Single P&L
  • 7. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 7
  • 8. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 8
  • 9. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 9 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 9 Mar 16, 2022 Prepare for the future with Google Analytics 4. GA360 sunset announced.
  • 11. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 11 Physics’ “Three Body Problem” tells us that when you have three planetary bodies orbiting one another in space, it’s impossible to accurately predict their paths due to the complex and ever-changing gravitational relationship between them. It’s ‘complex’
  • 12. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 12 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 12 3 Body Problem Antitrust, National Security, protectors of consumer privacy Yes, it’s a ‘Venn Diagram’ Content Fortresses, Walled Gardens, device makers, software giants, adtech, telcos The inevitable reaction to tracking, surveillance, and being chased around the internet by mattress adverts Media fueled Vendor fueled (buy our secure phones!) Tech Public Opinion Regulation
  • 13. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 13 Consent Mode allows you to change the behaviour of your tags Adjust the behaviour of your tags to respect user consent choices
  • 14. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 14 Introduction What is Consent Mode? When a user doesn’t consent to ads cookies or analytics cookies, consent mode automatically adjusts the relevant Google tags’ behaviour to not read or write cookies for advertising or analytics purposes. Without cookies, advertisers experience a gap in their measurement and lose visibility into user paths on their site. They are no longer able to directly tie users' ad interactions to conversions. Conversion modelling can help fill in blanks in media measurement at times when it’s not possible to observe the path between ad interactions and conversions. Consent Mode requires some trivial changes to scripts on the site(s) that will affect GTM functionality and the behaviour of Google Marketing Platform tags. Non-GMP tags do not support Consent Mode.
  • 17. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 17 Google states: Conversion modeling can help fill in blanks in media measurement at times when it’s not possible to observe the path between ad interactions and conversions. Media.Monks seeks to verify this is true using an experimental approach. Trust but verify X-device click to conversions Time window limitations 3P Cookies denied YouTube Engaged videos to conversions Your Google Analytics 4 property began including cross-channel modeled conversions around the end of July 2021.
  • 18. How?
  • 19. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 19 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 19 6 of 10 Consent Denied Simulate 40% consent
  • 20. Why?
  • 21. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 21 Implied consent was going to change to explicit consent. Previous explicit consent experiments had tanked - scary data loss. Force the previously observed level of tanking to see how behaviour modelling can mitigate for apparent data loss through cookie consent denied. Calibration
  • 22. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 22 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 22 Plan How does it work normally? Execute the first script before anything on all pages. Execute the second script for compliance. Until consent has been established, assume denied. Once consent has been established, or when it changes, execute the next script. window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; function gtag(){dataLayer.push(arguments);} gtag('consent', 'default', { 'ad_storage': 'denied', 'analytics_storage': 'denied'}); gtag('consent', 'update', {'analytics_storage': new_analytics_storage}); gtag('consent', 'update', {'ad_storage': new_ad_storage});
  • 23. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 23 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 23 Experiment How does the experiment work? Use the existing _ga client Id cookie to bucket users based on the last digit in the cookie value. Force the granted||denied value. Don’t update the consent value. var setConsent = setConsent || function(clientID) { bucket = clientID[clientID.length-1]; consent = 'denied'; if(parseInt(bucket)<4){ consent = 'granted'; } gtag('consent', 'default', {'analytics_storage': consent}); gtag('consent', 'default', {'ad_storage': consent}); } var clientId = getCookie('_ga'); if(clientId != ''){ setConsent(clientId); }
  • 25. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 25 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 25 Results Calibrate using BigQuery. First hits contain a large number of unset preferences Why? New users, first ping, no client ID to bucket on = implied consent kicks in, consent is unset.
  • 26. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 26 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 26 Results Exclude unset hits 50% of the data is split 65-35 (granted/denied). 50% of the data is split 80-20 (granted/denied).
  • 27. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 27 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 27 Does this affect the experiment? Consistency We expect to see consistent changes in data broadly in line with consent ratios Volumes We expect to see similar GA360 and observed GA4 volumes with increases in modeled data volumes Aggregate volumes to grow. Time series shape remains consistent. Dimension value order may change (more paid, organic, less direct) Between 10% and 40% volume changes expected based on observed negative consent volumes Yes, I would have done it differently, but as we have a body of data…
  • 28. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 28 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 28 Results Modelled data in the GA4 reporting UI Compare Blended with Observed.
  • 29. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 29 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 29 Results Observed (consented) vs GA360
  • 30. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 30 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 30 Results Acquisition Overview - Blended vs Observed
  • 31. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 31 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 31 Results User Acquisition - Blended vs Observed
  • 32. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 32 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 32 Results Conversions by session source/medium - Blended vs Observed
  • 33. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 33 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 33 Results Time series consistency with volume growth - Blended vs Observed
  • 34. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 34 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 34 Results Daily event volume - BigQuery, Blended vs Observed (consented) in the Reporting UI and Data Studio
  • 35. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 35 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 35 Results GA4 vs GA 360 before consent YoY
  • 36. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 36 Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 36 Results Blended YoY == Blended GA4 now vs 100% observed (before explicit consent) GA4 last year
  • 37. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 37
  • 38. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 38 #DougyToldYouSo
  • 39. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 39 Top level conclusion The blended data reports presented as expected despite experiment methodology not performing. Blended data ~25% more volume reported. This will vary according to real world consent rates. Observed data checks Compare consented and non-consented GA4 volumes in BQ YoY comparison
  • 40. Calibration. What is it good for? We did it. But do you have to?
  • 41. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 41 ● Quantify changes in data ○ GA4 BQ integration is essential ○ Identify false positives ○ Measure consent rates ● Always score data quality ○ Anomaly detection ○ Automate scoring ■ Taxonomy auditing ● Explainable data ○ Step away from “water is wet” analysis ○ Share a common vocabulary ● Validation, verification, trust Yes
  • 42. Media.Monks Proprietary & Confidential 42 Questions? Ask your favourite monk doug.hall@mediamonks.com