Hello friends, How are you? I am happy to provide for food to think a new presentation of Business Innvation Research Development based on the covid 19 pandemic. It is exactly a review, as the restrictions as created a growing past, it was important to review covid in a backward strategy. pay attention to the fake I waited almost the end of the covid 19 pandemic to report with a first presentation to show how the contagio through the online communication has affected the market shares in February and March 2020. Today, the new presentation on covid 19 pandemics put a value on the social media as a way to wake the world citizens in an increasing risk context. Global social media with fake news are real facts as such there are as many basis for a science of fakenews than the creative industries based on new emerging technologies. In fact, both fakenews and social media and complementary with the production of business vaccine. The social media are early warning system to predict the coming of a disaster, while the transformation of fakenews into an engineering process help businesses to raise fund, when it is profitable as markets and needs are maturing, the stakeholders can take risk to raise funds to make the one year vaccine. I did not spend time to explain the logistic and roles of businesses in providing assistance to governments. it is not the business roles to raisefund, but the banks to finance the disaster or the insurance policies. Business can produce the goods. Thank, friend. BIRD CEO
4. SOCIAL MEDIA WORLD CLOUD PROCESS-
BUSINESS PROCESS
AND VACCINE MANUFACTURING
(BILL GATE= 40 MILLIONS ARE NEEDED FOR THE WORLD VACCINE)
FAKE
NEWS
FACTS
SOCIAL SCIENCE
IRRATIONALITY
COMMUNICATION
SCIENCE FACTS
ENGINEERING
BUSINESS
COMPETION
MARKET SCIENCE
COVID 19
SIGNS OF ILLNESS
- COUGHING
- BREATHING
DIFFICULTIES
- PAINS
- FEVER
- TUMOR
IRRATIONALITY
SOCIAL SCIENCE WITH RESEARCHES ABOUT THE SIGNS THE
CURATIVE METHODS TREATMENT THAT CAN BE USED:
TOBACCO, CHLOROQUININE...ETC
AMPLIFICATION
MECHANISM
Covid
Vaccines
(1 year)
double shots
5. DEFINITION OF A DISASTER
AND A NATURAL DISASTER
A disaster is a number of deaths > 10 (*)
*REFERENCE: BELGIUM EMERGENCY DATABASE (EMDAT) WHOSE
FUNCTION IS TO MONITOR DISASTERS IN THE WORLD
DISASTER
HAZARDS
WAR TECHNOLOGY NATURAL
BIOLOGICAL
CHEMICAL
PHYSICAL
VIRUS
BACTERIA
...
WORLD DEATHTOLL= 2MILLIONS
6. IN THE DEMONSTRATION YEAR 2020 IS A CRITICAL YEAR
A YEAR OF PASSAGE FROM THE THE OLD WORLD TO THE NEW WORLD AS DESCRIBED BY LEADERS AND THE
POLITICIANS IN ORDER TO IMPLEMENT THE E-COMMERCE
2MILLIONS
2019 2021
WHAT IS THE PASSAGE EQUATION?
9. 70,000/year
2 millions/per year
2 millions
[
0
T= Year
N (number of death) per year
30 TIMES MORE
DEATH IN 2020
THAN IN 2019 !
TERRIBLE!
THE TSUNAMI
WALL
WHAT CAN CREATE CONCERN
AND SHOULD WAKE US IS THE
HUGE VALUE OF SUCH DISASTER?
10. COVID 19 was a creative industry. Sources of creativity are the art
and the science. We should not deny the fact that the Social Media
Communication was unprecdented in waking the world population.
Social Media can be valued for a Global Multihazard Early
Warning System (MHEWS)
ISSUE
THE TRAVEL TIMES OF DIFFERENT EXPERIENCES THAT CAN CONFUSE
THE DIAGNOSIS OF COVID 19 AND THE LACK OF RESOURCES.
11. Dec. 2019
Huwan Market
* 3 months = 3 x 30 = 90 days
1 quarantine = 14 days
6,5 quarantines in 3 months
So, it is clear than covid 19 cannot develop in the world in 3 months. You need an accelerator, which is likely to
be online communication, whcih preceded the predicted time arrival of covid 19, which has prompted World
Health Organization to raise the alarm when seeing the workers passing.
However, covid 19 illness could not be at the same time everywhere. It was different covid 19 because of the
narratives on the social media.
World Official
(arranged)
date to covid
19 restriction
World Health
Organization)
16 March 2020
Speed of covid 19 (*) = 6.5
quarantive per 3 months in
first quarter of 2020
World regions
Internet travels are immediate at the
speed of the light using the online waves
13. SOFTWARES ARE PEOPLE WITH THEIR EXPERIENCE OF ILLNESSES
PERHAPS, THERE IS A MORE FOCUS AND SMART ACTION TO
UNDERSTAND THE SCIENCE OF FAKENEWS AND SOCIAL MEDIA, WHICH
LOOKS LIKE ARTISTIC DESIGN. IN FACT IT IS A REAL SCIENCE, BECAUSE BY
OPPOSITION TO ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE -WHICH IS ALSO A CREATIVE
TECHNOLOGY, THUS ARTISTIC GOOD- THE SOCIAL IS REPRESENTING
THE REAL LIFE OF PEOPLE, AND NOT A SIMPLIFICATION MADE ON
VACCINE OR ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE;
HARDWARES ARE THE PHYSICAL WAVES OF THE ARCHITECTURE OF
SOCIAL MEDIA BASED ON ELECTRONIC DEVICE AND COMMUNICATION
VIA INTERNET AND SATTELITES
14. COVID
19
A WORLD WITHOUT PEOPLE
- TECHNOLOGY
- SATTELITE
- HARDWARE
- SOFTWARE DEVELOPMENT
- INVESTMENT
- PHYSICAL WAVES
- ELECTRONICS
= SOCIAL MEDIA PLATFORMS
PEOPLE
SOFT
SCIENCE
PEOPLE
SOFT
SCIENCE
ONLINE
COMMUNICATION
ONLINE
COMMUNICATION
ONLINE
COMMUNICATION
ONLINE
COMMUNICATION
ONLINE
COMMUNICATION
ONLINE
COMMUNICATION
IRRATIONALITY
(LIVING WORLD)
RATIONALITY
(PHYSICAL WORLD)
COVID
VIOLENCE
BREAKDOWN OF THE SOCIAL MEDIA
15. THE MASTER SLIDE
COVID 19
PANDEMIC
2020
PANDEMIC
RATIONALS
PANDEMIC
IRRATIONALS
ASPECT OF COVID 19 AND IRRATIONAL
BEHAVIOR HAS ALREADY BEEN PRESENTED
IN A SET OF MICROSOF POWERPOINT
TO SHOW HOW THE MARKET OF SHARES
WERE IMPACTED WITH THE CONTAGION/
WHAT PEOPLE ARE SAYING FROM MOUTHS
TO EARS TO CREATE A STOCK MARKET
CRASH. THIS HAS OCCURED IN THE WORLD
DURING THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY AND
MARCH
So, this time we are
going to use the
social media and the
Fake news in a
positive manner as a
Global Multihazard
Ealry Warning
System
16. I have presented for the covid 19 pandemic quick review in Business Innovation Research
Development (BIRD) a virtual team as the people from Shengen are (Continental Europa) were not
allowed to travel to USA due to the US Proclaim act and United Nations Headquarter were closed to
visitors due to the novel coronavirus 2019.
THE COVID 19
STAKEHOLDERS
UNEP STAFF
TENIERE BUCHOT
UNISDR DIRECTOR
SALVANO BRICENO
BILL GATES
PHILANTROPIST
REQUESTED 40 BILLIONS FOR
THE WORLD COVID VACCINE
A MOTTO: HAZARDS ARE
NATURAL (ABOUT THE HIV/AIDS
VIRUS AND DISASTERS ARE MAN
MADE
ONWER OF A QUICK
METHOD-TABLE OF POWERS-
TO GRASP COMPLEX ISSUE IN
ORGANIZATIONS
ROBERT SCHILLER
YALES PROFESSOR
Falls of market shares due
to Bubbles are contagions,
pandemics, what people are
saying in the media impacts
the business stock excahnges
FLOOD DIRECTOR
AVINASH TYAGI
Country inundation
land surface rate of
10% is a national
disaster or an
opportunity for
Bangladesh economic
growth
The virtual team to solve the
corona pandemice in 2020
17. I OBSERVED THAT MOST ORGANIZATIONS STILL TODAY DO NOT KNOW HOW TO MAKE
BUSINESS INDICATORS. IT IS KEY. I AM RE-EXPLANING IT IN MY VARIOUS SLIDESHOWS.
BEST EXAMPLE IS A THERMOTER TO MEASURE THE TEMPERATURES. ALL BUSINESS
INDICATORS SHOULD WORK OR DESIGN ON THE SAME PRINCIPLE THAT ONE INDICATOR IS IN FACT
TWO INDICATORS
ORGANIZATION INDICATOR
FIRST INDICATOR
2ND INDICATOR
PROPERTIES OF THE INDICATOR
WARNING INDICATOR THAT
THE COMING RISK AT
PREDICTED ARRIVAL TIME
TOO LATE TO ACT
INDICATOR? THE RISK HAS
ARRIVED
CONSEQUENCE
THE TEAM HAS
TIME TO PREPARE
A RESPONSE
IT IS TOO LATE YOU
CANNOT ACT OR
REACT
THE RISK IS GOING DOWN
IT IS INTESTING TO SEE
THE BUILT IN
INDICATOR IN
ORGANIZATIO DURING
COVID 19 TO ENSURE
ORGANIZATION
CONTINUITY
WE WERE ALMOST IN
THE TERMINA END OF
THE INDICATOR AND
FOR SOME SEGMENT
OF THE SOCIETY
ORLDER PERSON AND
PERSONS WITH
DISABLILTIES, IT WAS
TOO LATE
(*) BIRD owns the indicator
technique Source adapted from
Andrew Grove INTEL CEO
18. 10% Indicator(**)
(**) a mix of Avinash
Tyagi flood director and
Andrew Grove (INTELL
CEO) can say when the
Pandemic recovery was
possible or if it was too
late and also to relate
with United Nations
Sustainable Development
Goals on Poverty
Reduction SDG1, target
1.5 (disaster related) and
indicator 1.5.1. which
helps to assess the rate
of sustainable disaster
per countries in the
world. The rate of 1
death per 100,000
persons is requested by
2030.
Profit
(Economic
Growht
National GDP >0)
Business organization
takes risks of
fundraising due to
Profitability
It has happened in 2020, the US,
EU, Russia, China multinationals
of vaccines went on fundraising
for production of vaccines
Because of the opportunity
covid 19
risk
assessment
with indicators
pandemic
treatment
center
(*) BIRD owns the indicator
technique Source adapted from
Andrew Grove INTEL CEO
I think form the expert
of my virtual team,
difficulties arose not in
detecting covid 19, but
in responding to
country needs with
appropriate resources.
I think it where the
time delay and the
action or reaction time
matters.
Businesses cannot
provide the goods.
Governments are
forcing them to
produce and they are
producting if there is a
profit
(*)
therefore the International
competition to find out
about the market, I think
I think the detection of pandemics is
controlled by the market transparency (*)
Also, the time travel of information can be too
long, thus the uses of Artificial Intelligence can
transform the people experiences on the
social media, which are timeless and creating
the Fakenews for the Stakeholders
19. MATH
HISTORY
ILLNESS
COVID
SIGNS
CAUSES
RESOURCES
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
SPEED
SOCIAL MEDIA
HOSPITAL
COVID SOUTH AFRICA
POLITICS
ECONOMY
MI MIGRANTS
RECOVERY
DEBTS
LAWS
VACCINE
IRRATIONALS
80%
RATIONAlS
20%
MASKS
CHOLOROQUIN
INE DRUGS
STARVATION
CURFEW
POWER
restriction
PERSONAL ACCOUNT
I DO NOT SHARE THE IDEA
THAT SCIENCE IS MORE
RATIONAL THAN FAKENEWS.
FAKENEWS ARE MODERN
SICENCE WHILE VACCINE
PRINCIPLES ARE
TRADITIONAL BASED ON THE
ATTENUATION OF THE VIRUS
OR THE FABRICATION OF
ARM MESSAGE..
BUSINESSES ARE IRATIONALS
BECAUSE THEY ARE TAKING
RISKS DURING COVID 19 TO
PRODUCE VACCINES AND
RAISE FUNDS. THE NEW
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES
(ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE,
ROBOTIC, CRYPTOCURRENCY,
IoT... ARE CREATIVE
INDUSTRIES TOO; IT IS NOT
BASED ON PASTEUR
THINKING ABOUT THE
CLASSIC VACCINE WITH 15
YEARS OF PRUDENCE. AND
SCIENTIFICAL EVIDENCE AS
WE ARE DEALING WITH 1
YEAR VACCINES IN DEALING
WITH THE PANDEMICS AND
GLOBAL RISKS
20.
21. TABLE OF POWER (TENIERE BUCHOT, UNEP)
IRRATIONAL
RATIONAL
SCIENCE Month 1
Month 2
Month3
IRRATIONAL
IS MARGINAL
SOCIAL MEDIA
IRRATIONAL
IS
POWERFULL
RATIONALITY IS
VULNERABLE
CRISIS
COMMUNICATION
+ 3 MONTHS
IRRATIONAL IS POWERFULL
PEOPLE ANXITIES FEARS
FAKE NEWS ALL IN POWER
AS PROVOCATION FOR
SCIENCE
PEOPLE
DEATH IS
DEALT WITH
SCIENCE
ASCENT FROM
MARGINALITY
TO PEOPLE
IDENTIFICATIO
N TO THE
COVID ILLNESS
FAKENEWS
DEVELOPMENT
OF FEARS
22. TOTAL WORLD POPULATION ESTIMATE (2020), TWP: 8,000,000,000
DEATH RATE, DW, IN 2020: 2,000,000
REQUEST TO HAVE A NUMBER OF DEATH PER ANNUM DUE TO DISASTER: 1 DEATH PER 100,000
RATIO (TWP/DW) IN 2020 = 25 DEATHS PER 100,000
SO IN 2030 BY DEADLINE OF GOAL OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF POVERTY REDUCTION, THE NUMBER OF
DEATHS WITH THE COVID 19 ILLNESS IS 25 TIMES HIGHER THAN THE REQUIREMENT OF THE UNITED NATIONS
GENERAL ASSEMBLY (UNGASS)
23. THE REASONS WHY I BELIEVE THE EMERGING NEW TECHNOLOGIES AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
WILL NOT SAVE THE WORLD IS BASED ON THE TIME LENGHT AND LONG DELAY TO REACT TO AN
EMERGING RISK
24. covid is seen for the fist time
with the potentila to kill in 1960
1975
1990
2005
What has humanity
made during 60 years
to prevent the death
of 2 millions ?
1960
2010
Covid 19 killed
2 millions
WHAT THE WORLD HAS
MADE IN 2020 IT HAS
MADE A ONE YEAR
VACCINE WITH A NEW
EMERGING TECHNOLOGY
2020
1960
Humanity has
accelerated the
Technology
development in 2020
CONCLUSION BY
ACCELERATING
TECHNOLOGIES
WE HAVE 3 RISKS
TODAY
RISK 1:
CORONA VIRUS
RISK 2:
CORONA VACCINE
RISK 3:
TIME REACTION
26. RECOMMENDATION
THE BUSINESS ORGANISATIONS ARE NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR FINANCING
DEVELOPMENT AS WE HAVE SEEN WITH COVID 19 PANDEMICE.
FINANCE IS DIFFERENT BUSINESS THAN THE GOOD PRODUCTION. SO, IT
IS EITHER THE BANKS OR THE INSURANCE COMPANIES THAT SHOULD
BUILD BACK BETTER AFTER COVID 19 BY PROVIDING THE RESOURCES
FOR REDUCING THE DISASTER RISK REDUCTION.
28. UNITED NATIONS CHARTER IS FULLFILLED
WITH
PEOPLE -----------------------------------SYSTEM -----------------------------ORGANISATION
PEACE
SECURITY
SUSTAINABLE
DEVELOPMENT
HUMAN
RIGHTS
29. TO REDUCE THE REGRESS IN 2020
2020
RULE OF INVESTMENT IS TIME IN (WESTERN
WORLD BASED ON THE INTEREST RATES (IR)
INITIAL INVESTMENT IN 2020
WAS IN T = 0, NPVo = INVESTMENT= US$ -100
NPV (DATE OF 1 JANUARY 2020) = -- INVESTIMENT
THERE WAS A PANDEMIC SO THE BUSINESS DID
NOT RAISE FUND AT THE END OF THE YEAR 2020
(AS NORMALLY)- ONLY FOR VACCINES BECAUSE OF
THE EXPECTED PROFIT AND THE BANK STIMULUS
AND BANK BAIL OUT MONEY)
MONEY EARNED
IN 2019-2020
US$
MONEY EARNED
IN 2020-2021
-- 100 IT SHOULD BE >
US$ 100
DISCOUNTED CASH FLOWS
NPV(T) - NPV (T=0) =+ 100 (1+ 0,5) POWER TIME (T)
CONCLUSION BANKING SYSTEM DEBT TO ENSURE THAT THE 2ND
YEAR OF THE INVESTMENT THERE IS NO REGRESS. ECONOMY AND
2ND YEAR EARNING TO AVOID THE REGRESS IS SUPPORTED BY THE
GOVERNEMENT BANKING BAIL OUT FINANCEO
IN FREE MARKET SOCIETY THE BUSINESS THAT PROGRESS MUST
HAVE A 2ND YEAR SUPERIOR TO THEIR INVESTMENT, THUS THEY
ARE INVESTING IMPORTANT AMOUNT OF MONEY (100) IF
THERE IS NO RISK AND THE RISK RETURN IS ASSESS WITH THE
INTEREST RATE WHICH IS POLITICAL AND SOCIAL;
30. REMARK EXPLAINING WITH A THEORY DOES NOT MEAN THAT THE ACTIONS
TOOK PLACE AS IT WAS DESCRIBED IN THE THEORY.
A THEORY HELPS TO UNDERSTAND ACTIONS, BUT IT IS NOT MAKING THE ACTION
ITSELF. HOWEVER IT IS IMPORTANT TO EXPLAIN TO ENHANCE THE
UNDERSTANDING ACTIONS. ALSO, COVID 19 PANDEMIC IN 2020 IS FAR FROM
BEING UNDERSTOOD IN THE VIEW OF A COMPLEX ISSUE.
SOCIAL MEDIA DESCRIBED AS AN EARLY WARMING SYSTEM AND BUSINESS
PRODUCTION OF COVID 19 VACCINES ARE JUST A SHORT CUT FOR THE
MANAGEMENT TO ACT AND A PERCEIVE SYSTEM FOR ENGINEERS AND HAZARD
MANAGERS OR PASCAL SYSTEMIC ANALYST. IN FACT, NO ORGANIZATION ACTED
IN 2020. OUR MODERN CULTURE OF RISK IS PRONER TO REACTION THAN
ACTION AGAINST DISASTERS UNTIL TODAY. PREVENTING THE OCCURENCE OF
HAZARDS WOULD BE A MUST AND COVID 19 IN THAT WAY IS NO EXCEPTION.
31. THEORY OF MARKET TRANSPARENCY
TWO SCHOOLS OF THINKING BASED ON THE EASE TO TRANSMIT INFORMATION FROM THE DEMANDS TO THE
SUPPLIERS
EITHER MARKETS ARE TRANSPARENT, BECAUSE OF THE EQUILIBRIUM OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND. IT THERE IS AN
EQUILIBRIUM, IT SHOULD MEAN THAT THE SUPPLIES ARE REACHING THE DEMANDS.
OPPOSITE, ECONOMC MARKETS ARE NOT BECAUSE OF THE LACK OF EFFICIENCY. GOOD INFORMATIONS ARE NOT
REACHING THE CUSTOMERS, AS SUCH THE SUPPLIERS CANNOT PROVIDE TO THE DEMANDS.
I THINK IN SOME COUNTRIES LIKE FRANCE, THERE IS A NETWORK OF CIVIL SOCIETIES, NGOS, ASSOCIATIONS OF ALL
KIND OF NEEDS (MASLOW PYRAMID OF NEEDS) THAT THERE IS A TOTAL INEFICIENCY OF MARKET ECONOMY. MARKET
ECONOMY HAS BEEN STUDIED IN 2010 BY THE 3 USA ECONOMIC NOBLE PRIZE WHO SHOWED THAT A MARKET IS
EFFICIENCY ONLY IF THE FLOWS OF INFORMATION FROM THE DEMAND CAN MEET THE SUPPLIERS.
WHAT IS TO BE POINTED IS THE NATURE OF 2020 AND WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SUSTAINED SUSTAINABILITY
DEVELOPMENT AND PROGRAM FOR ACTIONS AS WELL AS VOLUNTARY REPORTING. MOST ECONOMIES TODAY
INCLUDING THE SO CALL LIBERAL ECONOMY ARE UNDER A VOLUNTARY MARKET OR DIRIGISM, WITH PLANNIIST
BEHAVIORAL CONCLUSION WE POISED IN A DIFFERENT THINKING ABOUT THE EFFICIENCY OF VOLUNTARY MARKET
ECONOMY WITH DIRIGISM. IS PLANNED MARKET TODAY BETTER THAN FREE MARKET?
32. IT IS NOT COVID 19
EVIDENCE
1-UNISDR DIRECTOR SALVANO BRICENO: ‘’VIRUSES ARE NATURAL
DISASTERS ARE MAN MADE’’
2- ROBERT SCHILLER ECONOMIC NOBEL PRIZE, IRRATIONAL
EXUBERANCE, WHICH HAS EXPLAINED HOW CONVERSATION ON
MEDIA CAN CREATE A CONTAGION
IT IS PEOPLE!
THEREFORE WE HAVE ACCEPT THAT
33. REFERENCES
1- ECONOMIC NOBEL PRIZE, ROBERT SCHILLER, YALES UNIVERSITY,
IRRATIONAL BEHAVIORS(*)
2- PROFESSOR OF BUSINES FINANCE,Thierry De Bergé, Are economic
markets transparent? You can discuss about it. T. De Bergé, Corporate
Finance, CNAM University, International MBA, France RCNP1 and U.K .
AMBAS accreditations.