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Global NCAP
World Congress-New Delhi
Ravi G Bhatia -
27th September 2018
Automotive Industry-A moment of reckoning
Slide | 2
© JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
Today is day 29th & the lake is half full
Slide | 3
© JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
Social cost of transportation
Slide | 4
© JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
Speed Cost
Fatalities
Congestion
Pollution
Goods
movement
Human
movement
Developing
market
• Strong regulatory control & social pressure
India Light Vehicles Sales Growth-12%
Slide | 5
© JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
Indian automotive industry-Key Growth drivers
Slide | 6
© JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
Passenger Vehicle Forecast-5.62 mn
Slide | 7
© JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
Light Commercial Vehicle Forecast-1.09 mn
Slide | 8
© JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
IC Engines VS Electrification-Government is the
key stake holder
Slide | 9
© JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
Revenue
IC based engines Electrification
Subsidy
• Electric Vehicles-15-25% of sales by 2030
• More efficient & cleaner IC engines & hybridisation
Road Accidents - India
 Accidents – 4,80,652
 Deaths – 1,50,785
 Injuries – 4,94,624
Every Day:
Accidents - 1,317; Killed - 413
Every Hour:
Accidents – 55; Killed - 17
Slide | 10
© JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
Road accidents - the leading cause of injuries, disabilities & deaths
1. 2-wheelers
2. Cars, Jeeps, Taxis
3. Trucks, Tempos,
Tractors
Source: Ministry of Road Transport & Highways Transport Research Wing
Slide | 11
© JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
Factors Accidents Killed Injured
Fault of Driver of motor vehicle 4,03,598 (84.0) 1,21,126 (80.3) 4,14,785 (83.9)
Fault of Driver of non-motorized vehicle 6,546 (1.4) 2,250 (1.5) 7,620 (1.5)
Fault of Pedestrian 8,298 (1.7) 3,091 (2.0) 7,465 (1.5)
Fault of Passenger 5,200 (1.1) 2,181 (1.4) 4,535 (0.9)
Mechanical Defect in motor vehicle 6,688 (1.4) 2,823 (1.9) 6,956 (1.4)
Engineering/ Designing fault of Roads 1,289 (0.3) 589 (0.4) 1,217 (0.2)
Defect in road condition (surface of roads/surface
condition of roads)
7,158 (1.5) 2,983 (2.0) 6,579 (1.3)
Stray Animal 1,604 (0.3) 629 (0.5) 1,307 (0.3)
Poor light condition 3,833 (0.8) 1,631 (1.1) 4,477 (1.0)
Other causes 20,858 (4.3) 7,312 (4.8) 23,380 (4.7)
Causes not known 15,580 (3.2) 6,170 (4.1) 16,303 (3.3)
Total 4,80,652 1,50,785 4,94,624
Key Factors-Road Accidents
Source: Ministry of Road Transport & Highways Transport Research Wing
H1-18 India top 10 best-selling brands
Dual-Airbag
% of the cars available as standard
68%
0%
53%
98%
100%
97%
55%
56%
74%
63% 58.4%
76.3%
48.0%
60.1%
99.0%
100%
98.8%
14.6%
0.0%
30.4%
% Sale with Dual-Airbag
H1-18 India top 10 best-selling brands
ABS with EBD
55.3%
56.1%
50.7%
64.9%
90.5%
100%
98.9%
21.5%
4.1%
0.0%
% Sale ABS with EBD
0
4
24
45
68
61
57
64
75
84
22
49
32
50
68
65
103
104
108
153
DATSUN
VOLKSWAGEN
RENAULT
FORD
TOYOTA
HONDA
TATA
MAHINDRA
HYUNDAI
MARUTI SUZUKI
Total Versions Versions with ABS & EBD
H1-18 India top 10 best-selling brands
Electronic Stability Control (ESC)
21
0
4
12
17
2
10
19
10
0
69
23
49
51
67
68
108
134
120
162
VOLKSWAGEN
DATSUN
RENAULT
FORD
TOYOTA
HONDA
TATA
MAHINDRA
HYUNDAI
MARUTI
SUZUKI
Total version Version with ESC
% Sale with ESC
0.0%
3.5%
8.0%
2.0%
0.1%
29.7%
19.4%
3.0%
0.0%
18.5%
H1_18 India top best-selling brands
ABS, EBD, Dual Airbags & ESC
0
3
3
3
4
4
4
10
10
12
18
22
66
153
25
36
103
62
108
110
50
68
DATSUN
HONDA
MARUTI SUZUKI
NISSAN
RENAULT
TATA
VOLKSWAGEN
HYUNDAI
MAHINDRA
FORD
TOYOTA
Versions with ABS, EBD, Dual Airbags & ESC Total Versions
29.7%
9.2%
0.0%
0.4%
4.1%
0.1%
3.0%
1.6%
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
% Sale with ABS, EBD, Dual Airbags & ESC
India Versions with
High-end Safety features
1277
87
Total Versions
Versions with High-
end Safety features
High-end Safety features:
• Lane departure Warning
• Roll Control Stability
• Crash Warning
• Electronic crash control
On Ground monitoring of Safety deployment
Installing safety in vehicles will not be enough
 Dusty Conditions
 Bad Roads
 Poor Maintenance
 Lack of customer education
 Poor driving skills
Slide | 17
© JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
Thank You
Merci
Gracias
Grazie
Obrigado
Tack
Vielen Dank
Dank U
Kiitos
Спасибо
Ευχαριστούμε
‫תודה‬
ありがとう
谢谢
감사합니다
Terima Kasih
คุณขอบคุณ
cảm ơn bạn
धन्यवाद
‫لك‬ ‫شكرا‬
Slide | 18
© JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.

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Global NCAP World Congress Session 6, Ravi Bhatia

  • 1. Global NCAP World Congress-New Delhi Ravi G Bhatia - 27th September 2018
  • 2. Automotive Industry-A moment of reckoning Slide | 2 © JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
  • 3. Today is day 29th & the lake is half full Slide | 3 © JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
  • 4. Social cost of transportation Slide | 4 © JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved. Speed Cost Fatalities Congestion Pollution Goods movement Human movement Developing market • Strong regulatory control & social pressure
  • 5. India Light Vehicles Sales Growth-12% Slide | 5 © JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
  • 6. Indian automotive industry-Key Growth drivers Slide | 6 © JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
  • 7. Passenger Vehicle Forecast-5.62 mn Slide | 7 © JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
  • 8. Light Commercial Vehicle Forecast-1.09 mn Slide | 8 © JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
  • 9. IC Engines VS Electrification-Government is the key stake holder Slide | 9 © JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved. Revenue IC based engines Electrification Subsidy • Electric Vehicles-15-25% of sales by 2030 • More efficient & cleaner IC engines & hybridisation
  • 10. Road Accidents - India  Accidents – 4,80,652  Deaths – 1,50,785  Injuries – 4,94,624 Every Day: Accidents - 1,317; Killed - 413 Every Hour: Accidents – 55; Killed - 17 Slide | 10 © JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved. Road accidents - the leading cause of injuries, disabilities & deaths 1. 2-wheelers 2. Cars, Jeeps, Taxis 3. Trucks, Tempos, Tractors Source: Ministry of Road Transport & Highways Transport Research Wing
  • 11. Slide | 11 © JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved. Factors Accidents Killed Injured Fault of Driver of motor vehicle 4,03,598 (84.0) 1,21,126 (80.3) 4,14,785 (83.9) Fault of Driver of non-motorized vehicle 6,546 (1.4) 2,250 (1.5) 7,620 (1.5) Fault of Pedestrian 8,298 (1.7) 3,091 (2.0) 7,465 (1.5) Fault of Passenger 5,200 (1.1) 2,181 (1.4) 4,535 (0.9) Mechanical Defect in motor vehicle 6,688 (1.4) 2,823 (1.9) 6,956 (1.4) Engineering/ Designing fault of Roads 1,289 (0.3) 589 (0.4) 1,217 (0.2) Defect in road condition (surface of roads/surface condition of roads) 7,158 (1.5) 2,983 (2.0) 6,579 (1.3) Stray Animal 1,604 (0.3) 629 (0.5) 1,307 (0.3) Poor light condition 3,833 (0.8) 1,631 (1.1) 4,477 (1.0) Other causes 20,858 (4.3) 7,312 (4.8) 23,380 (4.7) Causes not known 15,580 (3.2) 6,170 (4.1) 16,303 (3.3) Total 4,80,652 1,50,785 4,94,624 Key Factors-Road Accidents Source: Ministry of Road Transport & Highways Transport Research Wing
  • 12. H1-18 India top 10 best-selling brands Dual-Airbag % of the cars available as standard 68% 0% 53% 98% 100% 97% 55% 56% 74% 63% 58.4% 76.3% 48.0% 60.1% 99.0% 100% 98.8% 14.6% 0.0% 30.4% % Sale with Dual-Airbag
  • 13. H1-18 India top 10 best-selling brands ABS with EBD 55.3% 56.1% 50.7% 64.9% 90.5% 100% 98.9% 21.5% 4.1% 0.0% % Sale ABS with EBD 0 4 24 45 68 61 57 64 75 84 22 49 32 50 68 65 103 104 108 153 DATSUN VOLKSWAGEN RENAULT FORD TOYOTA HONDA TATA MAHINDRA HYUNDAI MARUTI SUZUKI Total Versions Versions with ABS & EBD
  • 14. H1-18 India top 10 best-selling brands Electronic Stability Control (ESC) 21 0 4 12 17 2 10 19 10 0 69 23 49 51 67 68 108 134 120 162 VOLKSWAGEN DATSUN RENAULT FORD TOYOTA HONDA TATA MAHINDRA HYUNDAI MARUTI SUZUKI Total version Version with ESC % Sale with ESC 0.0% 3.5% 8.0% 2.0% 0.1% 29.7% 19.4% 3.0% 0.0% 18.5%
  • 15. H1_18 India top best-selling brands ABS, EBD, Dual Airbags & ESC 0 3 3 3 4 4 4 10 10 12 18 22 66 153 25 36 103 62 108 110 50 68 DATSUN HONDA MARUTI SUZUKI NISSAN RENAULT TATA VOLKSWAGEN HYUNDAI MAHINDRA FORD TOYOTA Versions with ABS, EBD, Dual Airbags & ESC Total Versions 29.7% 9.2% 0.0% 0.4% 4.1% 0.1% 3.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% % Sale with ABS, EBD, Dual Airbags & ESC
  • 16. India Versions with High-end Safety features 1277 87 Total Versions Versions with High- end Safety features High-end Safety features: • Lane departure Warning • Roll Control Stability • Crash Warning • Electronic crash control
  • 17. On Ground monitoring of Safety deployment Installing safety in vehicles will not be enough  Dusty Conditions  Bad Roads  Poor Maintenance  Lack of customer education  Poor driving skills Slide | 17 © JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.
  • 18. Thank You Merci Gracias Grazie Obrigado Tack Vielen Dank Dank U Kiitos Спасибо Ευχαριστούμε ‫תודה‬ ありがとう 谢谢 감사합니다 Terima Kasih คุณขอบคุณ cảm ơn bạn धन्यवाद ‫لك‬ ‫شكرا‬ Slide | 18 © JATO Dynamics Ltd., All Rights Reserved.

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. To balance the need for human and goods transportation with the social costs
  2. Red box - Top 3 killers on the Indian roads in the order
  3. Idea is to highlight a couple of leading causes – driver at fault and vehicular defect. This is where ADAS systems and car manufacturer safety features come into play Vehicular defects could be: Defective Brakes Defective Steering Punctured/ burst tyres Worn out tyres Other serious mechanical defect