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Impact evaluation of speed
regulation systems using naturalistic
driving data: The EuroFOT example.
Saint Pierre, Guillaume, IFSTTAR, France
Tattegrain, Hélène, IFSTTAR, France
Val, Clément, CEESAR, France
* guillaume.saintpierre@ifsttar.fr
STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014
Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C.
Introduction
 Increasing penetration of driving assistance systems
 Needs to measure theirs impacts during real uses
 Several projects launched recently (FP7 funded)
Field operational tests (FOT)
FESTA methodology
Naturalistic driving data
 Many challenges were adressed, and many lessons
learned
 Let’s come back to the french EuroFOT experience
The first large scale FOT, ended in 2012
STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 2
Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C.
Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C.
EuroFOT in France
 VMC handled by
CEESAR
• 35 drivers using their
own car in the west of
Paris, during 6 months
• Light instrumentation
 5 identical cars
replaced the subject
ones three times
 Full instrumentation
(incl. Video)
 545 000 km of data
analysed
STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 4
Low Level High Level
Vehicles used 35 drivers’
owned
vehicles.
5 vehicles owned by
CEESAR and loaned to
participants
CTAG datalogger 2
Max 4 CAN Channels
GPS
GPRS data transfer
●
2 channels
used
●
●
●
4 channels used
●
(not used : manual
transfer)
TRW AC20 radar
(not part of standard vehicle
equipment)
● ●
VideoLogger
(custom made for CEESAR,
H.264)
●
Cameras
(B&W, SuperHAD Exview)
4
Mobileye AWS
(added, with special firmware)
●
Smarteye Eyetracker ●
Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C.
Experimental design
 Dream
 Reality
STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 5
 Questionnaires were
administred 4 times
 Rotation of fully
equiped vehicules
among participants
Month
1
Month
2
Month
3
Month
4
Month
5
Month
6
Month
7
Month
8
Month
9
Month
10
Month
11
Month
12
Baseline Treatment Treatment
Screening,
Time 1
Time 2 Time 3 (a) Time 3 (b)
Time 4,
Debriefing
Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C.
Lessons learned (1)
 Recruitment needs car owners database
acces to be efficient
 GPRS data transfert problematic, consider
UMTS instead,
 Simplify experimental plan
NDS style
« instrument and forget »
STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 6
Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C.
Some issues for ND data
 Data reduction
• Reduce or aggregate continuous data to a significant level
 Data modelling
• Avoid comparisons between heterogeneous datasets
• Control for exposure
• Take into account the intrinsic correlation present in the
data (repeated measures framework)
 Deal with rare events
• Post processing detection of “safety related events”
 Results extrapolation
• Transform events based analyses into casualties reduction
STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 7
Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C.
EuroFOT « solutions »
 Data reduction
 Identify homogeneous sections of data
 Split sections in identical time epochs (10-30 sec.)
 Data modelling
 Use suitable statistical models (GEE, GLMM, instead of ANOVA)
 Produce Odds ratios results
 Deal with rare events
 Automatically detect candidates events (triggers, system use
etc...)
 Confirm identification by video + Annotation
 Extract corresponding baseline and do some stats...
 Results extrapolation
 Speed & Accidents relationships
STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 8
Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C.
Key results
Behavior, acceptance, usage
 CC usage does not vary significantly over time.
 SL usage does not vary significantly over time.
 Drivers tend to use more one of the two systems.
 CC usage favorable driving conditions
 SL usage adverse conditions (ex. Night)
STS N° TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 9
Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C.
Safety: Events based
analysis
STS N° TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 10
 Safety events are rare: Odds ratios can be interpreted as
relative risk
 SL associated with less frequent safety related events (SRE)
 CC associated with less SRE, except over-speeding
Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C.
Lessons learned (2)
 Baseline selection/definition for each RQ
hypothesis is crucial
Needs to control for external factors (traffic, visibility)
 A data aggregation method is needed
It has an impact on the analysis
 Scaling up proove to be very difficult
Various methods tried during FOTs
None is perfect
 Events based analysis (EBA)
applicable to any system which impact is related to
the occurrence of this event
STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 11
Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C.
Conclusion & recommendations
for future FOT
 Why using NDS ?
 To get precise estimates of safety related events frequency
(with/without system)
 Identify systems usage context
 Identify systems misuses and potential countermeasures
 Limitations
 Difficult to get a representative panel
 Very hard to extrapolate to casualties reductions
 Further works
 Identify important measures for road safety
 Increase panel size and representativity
 Define/quantify safety critical events
STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 12
Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C.STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 13
Thank you for your attention
Guillaume SAINT PIERRE
Guillaume.saintpierre@ifsttar.fr
COSYS/LIVIC
Components & systems department
Interaction vehicles/drivers/infrastructure research unit

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Speed regulation systems evaluation the eurofot example

  • 1. Impact evaluation of speed regulation systems using naturalistic driving data: The EuroFOT example. Saint Pierre, Guillaume, IFSTTAR, France Tattegrain, Hélène, IFSTTAR, France Val, Clément, CEESAR, France * guillaume.saintpierre@ifsttar.fr STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014
  • 2. Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C. Introduction  Increasing penetration of driving assistance systems  Needs to measure theirs impacts during real uses  Several projects launched recently (FP7 funded) Field operational tests (FOT) FESTA methodology Naturalistic driving data  Many challenges were adressed, and many lessons learned  Let’s come back to the french EuroFOT experience The first large scale FOT, ended in 2012 STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 2
  • 3. Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C.
  • 4. Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C. EuroFOT in France  VMC handled by CEESAR • 35 drivers using their own car in the west of Paris, during 6 months • Light instrumentation  5 identical cars replaced the subject ones three times  Full instrumentation (incl. Video)  545 000 km of data analysed STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 4 Low Level High Level Vehicles used 35 drivers’ owned vehicles. 5 vehicles owned by CEESAR and loaned to participants CTAG datalogger 2 Max 4 CAN Channels GPS GPRS data transfer ● 2 channels used ● ● ● 4 channels used ● (not used : manual transfer) TRW AC20 radar (not part of standard vehicle equipment) ● ● VideoLogger (custom made for CEESAR, H.264) ● Cameras (B&W, SuperHAD Exview) 4 Mobileye AWS (added, with special firmware) ● Smarteye Eyetracker ●
  • 5. Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C. Experimental design  Dream  Reality STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 5  Questionnaires were administred 4 times  Rotation of fully equiped vehicules among participants Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6 Month 7 Month 8 Month 9 Month 10 Month 11 Month 12 Baseline Treatment Treatment Screening, Time 1 Time 2 Time 3 (a) Time 3 (b) Time 4, Debriefing
  • 6. Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C. Lessons learned (1)  Recruitment needs car owners database acces to be efficient  GPRS data transfert problematic, consider UMTS instead,  Simplify experimental plan NDS style « instrument and forget » STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 6
  • 7. Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C. Some issues for ND data  Data reduction • Reduce or aggregate continuous data to a significant level  Data modelling • Avoid comparisons between heterogeneous datasets • Control for exposure • Take into account the intrinsic correlation present in the data (repeated measures framework)  Deal with rare events • Post processing detection of “safety related events”  Results extrapolation • Transform events based analyses into casualties reduction STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 7
  • 8. Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C. EuroFOT « solutions »  Data reduction  Identify homogeneous sections of data  Split sections in identical time epochs (10-30 sec.)  Data modelling  Use suitable statistical models (GEE, GLMM, instead of ANOVA)  Produce Odds ratios results  Deal with rare events  Automatically detect candidates events (triggers, system use etc...)  Confirm identification by video + Annotation  Extract corresponding baseline and do some stats...  Results extrapolation  Speed & Accidents relationships STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 8
  • 9. Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C. Key results Behavior, acceptance, usage  CC usage does not vary significantly over time.  SL usage does not vary significantly over time.  Drivers tend to use more one of the two systems.  CC usage favorable driving conditions  SL usage adverse conditions (ex. Night) STS N° TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 9
  • 10. Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C. Safety: Events based analysis STS N° TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 10  Safety events are rare: Odds ratios can be interpreted as relative risk  SL associated with less frequent safety related events (SRE)  CC associated with less SRE, except over-speeding
  • 11. Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C. Lessons learned (2)  Baseline selection/definition for each RQ hypothesis is crucial Needs to control for external factors (traffic, visibility)  A data aggregation method is needed It has an impact on the analysis  Scaling up proove to be very difficult Various methods tried during FOTs None is perfect  Events based analysis (EBA) applicable to any system which impact is related to the occurrence of this event STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 11
  • 12. Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C. Conclusion & recommendations for future FOT  Why using NDS ?  To get precise estimates of safety related events frequency (with/without system)  Identify systems usage context  Identify systems misuses and potential countermeasures  Limitations  Difficult to get a representative panel  Very hard to extrapolate to casualties reductions  Further works  Identify important measures for road safety  Increase panel size and representativity  Define/quantify safety critical events STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 12
  • 13. Saint Pierre G., Tattegrain H., Val C.STS N°48 TRA2014 Paris 14-17 avril 2014 13 Thank you for your attention Guillaume SAINT PIERRE Guillaume.saintpierre@ifsttar.fr COSYS/LIVIC Components & systems department Interaction vehicles/drivers/infrastructure research unit