A long, dry season of COVID-19 in sub-Saharan Africa? The environmental impacts of the pandemic in the livestock sector in northern Kenya
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Poster prepared by Michael W. Graham, Lutz Merbold, Nathan D. Jensen and Philemon Chelanga for the GASL Africa 1 Regional online Meeting, 2-3 September 2020
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A long, dry season of COVID-19 in sub-Saharan Africa? The environmental impacts of the pandemic in the livestock sector in northern Kenya
- 1. This document is licensed for use under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence. August 2020 Livestock are primary source of GHG emissions from agriculture in Africa, but impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on emissions have not been studied We conduct a panel survey and use crowd-sourced data on effects of COVID-19 on GHG emissions for pastoralist systems in Northern Kenya Three-part framework for assessing effects of COVID-19 on livestock GHG emissions: Changes in herd size Changes in feed availability Changes in animal movement A long, dry season of COVID-19 in sub-Saharan Africa? The environmental impacts of the pandemic in the livestock sector in Northern Kenya Insert images or graphs in different locations in the margins Michael W. Graham (m.graham@cgiar.org) Lutz Merbold (l.merbold@cgiar.org) Nathan D. Jensen (n.jensen@cgiar.org) Philemon Chelanga (p.chelanga@cgiar.org) International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI) Nairobi, Kenya Locations for panel surveys of key stakeholders in Samburu County, Kenya Context • Government restrictions on human and animal movement within Kenya and across international borders, as well as associated socio-economic impacts, may impact GHG emissions from livestock • Pastoralist systems depend on movement for access to resources across seasons • COVID-19 may differ from other external shocks (e.g., drought) because it primarily affects mobility Our three-part framework CLIMATE & NATURAL RESOURCE USE CH4 N2O Smaller herd Lower emissions 1. Herd size Larger herd Higher emissions Methods and Objectives • Use panel and crowd-sourced (KAZNET) data to assess COVID-19 effects on livestock GHG emissions from pastoralist systems in Samburu County, Northern Kenya, following three-part framework • Develop guidelines for estimating changes in GHG emissions due to future shocks (e.g., zoonotic disease outbreaks, climatic events) 2. Feed availability Less feed available Lower emissions More feed available Higher emissions 3. Animal movement Less movement Lower emissions More movement Higher emissions N2O CH4 N2O CH4 N2O CH4 CH4 N2O N2O CH4 N2O CH4 CH4 N2O N2O CH4 N2O CH4