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Real-Time Predictive Analytics
in Manufacturing
Vivek A. Ganesan, Principal Architect
Yue Cathy Chang, Sr. Director, Business Development

Impetus Technologies, Inc.
Big Data in Manufacturing
The Future of Manufacturing

INTELLIGENT DATA DRIVEN
MANUFACTURING

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Quality of
Management Decisions

More Data, Better Quality

Intuition
Amount of Data Analyzed

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Quality of
Management Decisions

More Data, Better Quality

Relevant

Data

Intuition
Amount of Data Analyzed

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Quality of
Management Decisions

More Data, Better Quality

Accurate

Relevant

Big Data

Data

Intuition
Amount of Data Analyzed

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Quality of
Management Decisions

More Data, Better Quality
Quick?

Accurate

Relevant

Big Data

Data

Intuition
Amount of Data Analyzed

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
We Have a Big Data Situation
When traditional information systems cannot …

Store
Process
Analyze

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Volume
Velocity
Variety

COST
TIME

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Big Data in Manufacturing
Volume

• Sensors
• Machine data
• “Internet of
Things”

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Big Data in Manufacturing
Volume

• Sensors
• Machine data
• “Internet of
Things”

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Velocity
• Drinking from
the fire hose!
• Consume or
collapse!!
• Analyze at the
speed of data?

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Big Data in Manufacturing
Volume

• Sensors
• Machine data
• “Internet of
Things”

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Velocity
• Drinking from
the fire hose!
• Consume or
collapse!!
• Analyze at the
speed of data?

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com

Variety
• Dealing with
diagnostics

• Binary data +
log data
• Ability to
analyze variety
of data formats
Where is the Value in Big Data?
Big Data and the Fourth „V‟
 The fourth „V‟ is „Value‟

 The Value of Big Data in manufacturing is in Analytics
 Gartner defines four kinds of Analytics
 Descriptive



What? Who? How? Why?

 Diagnostic



What if? Why not? Who else?

 Predictive



What will happen when?

 Prescriptive



What can I do about it?

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Big Data Predictive Analytics
The formula is simple:

1. Collect data at every stage of the manufacturing process
2. Store data on a Big Data store
• Economical, Accessible, Distributed, and Scalable

3. Process data
• Manage the variety and complexity of the data

4. Analyze data
• Apply mathematical models to make predictions

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Predictive Analytics Context
D
A
T
A

Sensors

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Control

Predictions

Instruments

I
N
G
E
S
T

Analytics

•
•
•
•
•
•

Fix
Throttle
Alert
Adjust
Optimize
Abort

Model
•
•
•
•
•

Represent
Learn
Predict
Iterate
Improve

 Batch
 Historical
 Iterative

 Real-Time
 Immediate

Feedback

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com

 Instantaneous
Big Data, Big Value
 In manufacturing, the greatest value is in :

 Real-Time Predictive Analytics
 Prescriptive Analytics is possible but depends on :
 Good Predictions
 Fast Feedback Loop

 Real-Time Predictive Analytics is the first step towards :

 Intelligent Data-driven Manufacturing

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Manufacturing Analytics Quadrant
REAL TIME

BATCH

 Historical
 "What happened"
 Hindsight

DIAGNOSTIC

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

PREDICTIVE

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Manufacturing Analytics Quadrant
REAL TIME

BATCH

 Near-term
 "What is happening"
 Insight

 Historical
 "What happened"
 Hindsight

DIAGNOSTIC

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

PREDICTIVE

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Manufacturing Analytics Quadrant
REAL TIME

BATCH

 Near-term
 "What is happening"
 Insight

 Historical
 "What happened"
 Hindsight

 Inferential
 "What may happen"
 Foresight

DIAGNOSTIC

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

PREDICTIVE

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Manufacturing Analytics Quadrant
REAL TIME

BATCH

 Near-term
 "What is happening"
 Insight

 Influential
 "Make it happen"
 Intelligent

 Historical
 "What happened"
 Hindsight

 Inferential
 "What may happen"
 Foresight

DIAGNOSTIC

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

PREDICTIVE

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Opportunities and Challenges
Business Opportunities
• Preventive Maintenance
• Real-time/near real-time actionable
response

• Improve Productivity/Margins
• Reduce wastes, improve efficiency
• Improve Yield

• High Ingestion Rates
• Sensor/tool data with subsecond ingestion requirements
• Millions of writes per second

• Complex Log Formats
• Semi-structured data

• Huge Amount of Data

• Supply Chain
• Optimize supply chain

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Technical Challenges

• TB/PB of data storage for
deeper analytics

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Let's Get Real!
Real-Time Predictive Architecture

Machine
Data

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

NoSQL +
Search

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Real-Time Predictive Architecture

Machine
Data

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

NoSQL +
Search

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Input Data: Raw Logs
• Meta-data about the prospective
product line is created at a
factory site.
– E.g., number of sensors emitting log
files or readings.

• Various log files are generated:
– Containing Text.
– Containing specific Sensor readings,
continuous as well as binary values.
– At each time-step, a specific pass/fail.

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Input Data: Parsing
This data is parsed into a matrix
representation
• Columns representing sensor logs
• Rows representing the time
In our dataset:
• 590 attributes, approximately every
minute

Machine 1,
sensor 1-120

– Missing Data from logs

– Failure : success :: 1 : 15

• 50,000 time-steps, i.e., 29.5 million values
(“parsed”, not raw) in a month
© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Time

• Also has labels: {+1,-1} for failure/success
from for each time-step

Machine 12,
sensor 1-92
Interactive Visualization

Misalignment

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Time: 12:00

Yield: 85%
Failure < 1%
Interactive Visualization
Machine 4, Tool 3, 4.
Input from Machine 2.

Misalignment

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Time: 12:01

Yield: 86%
Failure < 2%
Interactive Visualization

Misalignment

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Time: 12:02

Yield: 81%
Failure < 3%
Interactive Visualization

Alert: Machine 2,
Tool 3, 12, 14 are
not nominal

Misalignment
30%

70%

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Time: 12:03
Interactive Visualization

Alert: Machine 2,
Tool 3, 12, 14 are
not nominal

Misalignment

90%

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Time: 12:04
Interactive Visualization
Alert: Machine 8 and
machine 4 are failing.
Cause: Machine 2 has
voltage imbalance

Misalignment

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Time: 12:05
Interactive Visualization
Alert: Machine 8 and
machine 4 are failing.
Cause: Machine 2 has
voltage imbalance

90%
Misalignment

80%

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Time: 12:05
Interactive Visualization
Alert: Machine 8 and
machine 4 are failing.
Cause: Machine 2 has
voltage imbalance

90%
Misalignment

80%

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Time: 12:05
Key Takeaways

•
•
•
•

Measure and Collect Everything
Process, Diagnose, and Predict
Get Real with Real-Time
Generate Actionable Intelligence

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
Talk to us about Impetus Solutions and
Services for Manufacturing Big Data
Assessment

Objectives &
Strategy
Model

Solution
Modeling
BUSINESS
PROCESS
MANAGEMENT

Analyze &
Optimize

Solution
Analysis
People,
Process,
Technology
Impact

Business Analytics
and Data Science

Solution Architecture, POC
and Production planning

Technology strategy, Use Case
development & Validation

bigdata@impetus.com
Big Data Platform Implementation

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

bigdata.impetus.com

Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/
For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com

Operations and Visualization
Thank You

bigdata@impetus.com
bigdata.impetus.com
Recorded version available at http://lf1.me/hqb/

© 2013 Impetus Technologies

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Real-time Predictive Analytics in Manufacturing - Impetus Webinar

  • 1. Real-Time Predictive Analytics in Manufacturing Vivek A. Ganesan, Principal Architect Yue Cathy Chang, Sr. Director, Business Development Impetus Technologies, Inc.
  • 2. Big Data in Manufacturing
  • 3. The Future of Manufacturing INTELLIGENT DATA DRIVEN MANUFACTURING © 2013 Impetus Technologies Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 4. Quality of Management Decisions More Data, Better Quality Intuition Amount of Data Analyzed © 2013 Impetus Technologies Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 5. Quality of Management Decisions More Data, Better Quality Relevant Data Intuition Amount of Data Analyzed © 2013 Impetus Technologies Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 6. Quality of Management Decisions More Data, Better Quality Accurate Relevant Big Data Data Intuition Amount of Data Analyzed © 2013 Impetus Technologies Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 7. Quality of Management Decisions More Data, Better Quality Quick? Accurate Relevant Big Data Data Intuition Amount of Data Analyzed © 2013 Impetus Technologies Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 8. We Have a Big Data Situation When traditional information systems cannot … Store Process Analyze © 2013 Impetus Technologies Volume Velocity Variety COST TIME Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 9. Big Data in Manufacturing Volume • Sensors • Machine data • “Internet of Things” © 2013 Impetus Technologies Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 10. Big Data in Manufacturing Volume • Sensors • Machine data • “Internet of Things” © 2013 Impetus Technologies Velocity • Drinking from the fire hose! • Consume or collapse!! • Analyze at the speed of data? Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 11. Big Data in Manufacturing Volume • Sensors • Machine data • “Internet of Things” © 2013 Impetus Technologies Velocity • Drinking from the fire hose! • Consume or collapse!! • Analyze at the speed of data? Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com Variety • Dealing with diagnostics • Binary data + log data • Ability to analyze variety of data formats
  • 12. Where is the Value in Big Data?
  • 13. Big Data and the Fourth „V‟  The fourth „V‟ is „Value‟  The Value of Big Data in manufacturing is in Analytics  Gartner defines four kinds of Analytics  Descriptive  What? Who? How? Why?  Diagnostic  What if? Why not? Who else?  Predictive  What will happen when?  Prescriptive  What can I do about it? © 2013 Impetus Technologies Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 14. Big Data Predictive Analytics The formula is simple: 1. Collect data at every stage of the manufacturing process 2. Store data on a Big Data store • Economical, Accessible, Distributed, and Scalable 3. Process data • Manage the variety and complexity of the data 4. Analyze data • Apply mathematical models to make predictions © 2013 Impetus Technologies Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 15. Predictive Analytics Context D A T A Sensors © 2013 Impetus Technologies Control Predictions Instruments I N G E S T Analytics • • • • • • Fix Throttle Alert Adjust Optimize Abort Model • • • • • Represent Learn Predict Iterate Improve  Batch  Historical  Iterative  Real-Time  Immediate Feedback Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com  Instantaneous
  • 16. Big Data, Big Value  In manufacturing, the greatest value is in :  Real-Time Predictive Analytics  Prescriptive Analytics is possible but depends on :  Good Predictions  Fast Feedback Loop  Real-Time Predictive Analytics is the first step towards :  Intelligent Data-driven Manufacturing © 2013 Impetus Technologies Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 17. Manufacturing Analytics Quadrant REAL TIME BATCH  Historical  "What happened"  Hindsight DIAGNOSTIC © 2013 Impetus Technologies PREDICTIVE Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 18. Manufacturing Analytics Quadrant REAL TIME BATCH  Near-term  "What is happening"  Insight  Historical  "What happened"  Hindsight DIAGNOSTIC © 2013 Impetus Technologies PREDICTIVE Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 19. Manufacturing Analytics Quadrant REAL TIME BATCH  Near-term  "What is happening"  Insight  Historical  "What happened"  Hindsight  Inferential  "What may happen"  Foresight DIAGNOSTIC © 2013 Impetus Technologies PREDICTIVE Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 20. Manufacturing Analytics Quadrant REAL TIME BATCH  Near-term  "What is happening"  Insight  Influential  "Make it happen"  Intelligent  Historical  "What happened"  Hindsight  Inferential  "What may happen"  Foresight DIAGNOSTIC © 2013 Impetus Technologies PREDICTIVE Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 21. Opportunities and Challenges Business Opportunities • Preventive Maintenance • Real-time/near real-time actionable response • Improve Productivity/Margins • Reduce wastes, improve efficiency • Improve Yield • High Ingestion Rates • Sensor/tool data with subsecond ingestion requirements • Millions of writes per second • Complex Log Formats • Semi-structured data • Huge Amount of Data • Supply Chain • Optimize supply chain © 2013 Impetus Technologies Technical Challenges • TB/PB of data storage for deeper analytics Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 23. Real-Time Predictive Architecture Machine Data © 2013 Impetus Technologies NoSQL + Search Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 24. Real-Time Predictive Architecture Machine Data © 2013 Impetus Technologies NoSQL + Search Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 25. Input Data: Raw Logs • Meta-data about the prospective product line is created at a factory site. – E.g., number of sensors emitting log files or readings. • Various log files are generated: – Containing Text. – Containing specific Sensor readings, continuous as well as binary values. – At each time-step, a specific pass/fail. © 2013 Impetus Technologies Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 26. Input Data: Parsing This data is parsed into a matrix representation • Columns representing sensor logs • Rows representing the time In our dataset: • 590 attributes, approximately every minute Machine 1, sensor 1-120 – Missing Data from logs – Failure : success :: 1 : 15 • 50,000 time-steps, i.e., 29.5 million values (“parsed”, not raw) in a month © 2013 Impetus Technologies Time • Also has labels: {+1,-1} for failure/success from for each time-step Machine 12, sensor 1-92
  • 27. Interactive Visualization Misalignment © 2013 Impetus Technologies Time: 12:00 Yield: 85% Failure < 1%
  • 28. Interactive Visualization Machine 4, Tool 3, 4. Input from Machine 2. Misalignment © 2013 Impetus Technologies Time: 12:01 Yield: 86% Failure < 2%
  • 29. Interactive Visualization Misalignment © 2013 Impetus Technologies Time: 12:02 Yield: 81% Failure < 3%
  • 30. Interactive Visualization Alert: Machine 2, Tool 3, 12, 14 are not nominal Misalignment 30% 70% © 2013 Impetus Technologies Time: 12:03
  • 31. Interactive Visualization Alert: Machine 2, Tool 3, 12, 14 are not nominal Misalignment 90% © 2013 Impetus Technologies Time: 12:04
  • 32. Interactive Visualization Alert: Machine 8 and machine 4 are failing. Cause: Machine 2 has voltage imbalance Misalignment © 2013 Impetus Technologies Time: 12:05
  • 33. Interactive Visualization Alert: Machine 8 and machine 4 are failing. Cause: Machine 2 has voltage imbalance 90% Misalignment 80% © 2013 Impetus Technologies Time: 12:05
  • 34. Interactive Visualization Alert: Machine 8 and machine 4 are failing. Cause: Machine 2 has voltage imbalance 90% Misalignment 80% © 2013 Impetus Technologies Time: 12:05
  • 35. Key Takeaways • • • • Measure and Collect Everything Process, Diagnose, and Predict Get Real with Real-Time Generate Actionable Intelligence © 2013 Impetus Technologies Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com
  • 36. Talk to us about Impetus Solutions and Services for Manufacturing Big Data Assessment Objectives & Strategy Model Solution Modeling BUSINESS PROCESS MANAGEMENT Analyze & Optimize Solution Analysis People, Process, Technology Impact Business Analytics and Data Science Solution Architecture, POC and Production planning Technology strategy, Use Case development & Validation bigdata@impetus.com Big Data Platform Implementation © 2013 Impetus Technologies bigdata.impetus.com Recorded webinar is available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ For more Info contact bigdata@impetus.com Operations and Visualization
  • 37. Thank You bigdata@impetus.com bigdata.impetus.com Recorded version available at http://lf1.me/hqb/ © 2013 Impetus Technologies