Leaders design the future

LEADERS DESIGN
THE FUTURE
Using Design-Fiction to develop
your leaders
Leadership Skills to Design the Future - kristy.anamoutou@bluenove.com 1

« The best way to
predict the future
is to create it. »
Peter Drucker

A VUCA World means a VUCA leadership
VOLATILE > VISION
UNCERTAINTY > UNDERSTANDING
COMPLEXITY> CERTAINTY
AMBIGUITY > AGILITY

From Foresight to Action

The Future toolbox
http://www.foresightguide.com/what-is-foresight/
http://www.forschungsinfo.de/archiv/iFQ_Jahrestagung_08/beitraege/popper.pdf

A competency model to draft the Future
https://apf.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/APF-Foresight-competency-model-1.1-1.pdf

10 Leadership
Skills*
“A leader’s job is to look into
the future and see the
organization, not as it is, but
as it should be.”
Jack Welch
Leadership Skills to Design the Future - kristy.anamoutou@bluenove.com
*based on Leaders Make the Future by Bob Johansen

Design-Fiction & Leadership skills
Bob Johansen’s research identified 10 skills needed to support any leader to thrive
in the future (introduced in the following slides). These skills are mobilized and
developped while design-fiction activities are done. For exemple, by providing the
leader a framework to make sense about the future, design-fiction is an excellent
practice to sharpen leadership vision and storytelling.
From the starting point of the process (using imagination, scenarios), its climax
(collective writing, storytelling framework) to its denouement (consolidating the
various stories into a global view of the Future).
Storytelling framework: the Freytag's Pyramid, shown here.

Maker Instinct
ABILITY TO EXPLOIT YOUR INNER-DRIVE TO
BUILD AND GROW THINGS, AS WELL AS
CONNECT WITH OTHERS IN THE MAKING.
Ø Making sense
Ø Making time
Ø Making money
Bre Pettis > Makerbot Founder

Clarity
SEES THROUGH MESSES AND CONTRADICTIONS
TO A FUTURE THAT OTHERS CANNOT YET SEE.
LEADERS MUST BE CLEAR ABOUT WHAT THEY
ARE MAKING BUT FLEXIBLE HOW IT GETS MADE.
Clarity in leadership is the ability to:
q See through messes and
contradictions
q Make things as clear as they can
be and communicate that clarity
q See futures that other cannot yet
see
q Find a viable direction in the
midst of confusion
q See hope on the other side of
trouble

Dilemmas Flipping
CAN TURN DILEMMAS – WHICH, UNLIKE
PROBLEMS, CANNOT BE SOLVED – INTO
ADVANTAGES AND OPPORTUNITIES.
NB: Click on pictures to launch videos.

Immersive Learning Ability
CAN IMMERSE IN UNFAMILIAR ENVIRONMENTS TO
LEARN FROM THEM IN A FIRST-PERSON WAY.
Online gaming environments facilitate leadership
through:
1. Project-oriented organization
2. Multiple real-time sources of information upon
which to make decisions
3. Transparent skills and competencies among
co-players
4. Transparent incentive systems
5. Multiple and purpose-specific
communications mediums
In fast moving distributed environments,
leadership can be:
1. A temporary phenomenon
2. Task-oriented
3. Dynamic and constantly changing

Bio-Empathy
SEES THINGS FROM NATURE’S POINT OF VIEW, TO
UNDERSTAND, RESPECT, AND LEARN FROM ITS
PATTERNS.
NB: Click on pictures to launch videos.

Constructive Depolarizing
CALMS TENSE SITUATIONS WHERE DIFFERENCES
DOMINATE AND COMMUNICATION HAS BROKEN
DOWN. BRINGS PEOPLE FROM DIVERGENT
CULTURE TOWARD POSITIVE ENGAGEMENT.

Quiet Transparency
IS OPEN AND AUTHENTIC ABOUT WHAT MATTERS –
WITHOUT BEING OVERLY SELF-PROMOTING.
“If you can’t open it, you don’t
own it!”
MAKE: Magazine motto
NB: Click on picture to launch video.
VW’s scandal
TRUST WHEEL

Rapid Prototyping
HAS THE ABILITY TO CREATE QUICK EARLY
VERSIONS OF INNOVATIONS WITH THE
EXPECTATION THAT LATER SUCCESS WILL
REQUIRE EARLY FAILURES.
q Is characterized by trial-and-error mentality
with an interest in starting quickly and
learning continuously
q Emphasizes experience in the field, rather
than advance planning
q Puts priority on extreme speed in learning

Smart-Mob Organizing
CAN CREATE, ENGAGE WITH, AND NURTURE
PURPOSEFUL BUSINESS OR SOCIAL CHANGE
NETWORKS THROUGH INTELLIGENT USE OF
ELECTRONIC MEDIA IN-PERSON COMMUNICATION.

Common Creating
SEEDS, NURTURES, AND GROWS SHARED ASSETS
THAT CAN BENEFIT ALL PLAYERS – AND ALLOWS
COMPETITION AT A HIGHER LEVEL.

12 Mega Trends*
« The future is already here —
it's just not very evenly
distributed. »
William Gibson
*based on Global Trends by Adrian Done

1/ FINANCIAL CRISIS
This goes beyond subprime mortgages, collateralized debt obligations (CDO), credit
default swaps (CDS) and structured investment vehicles (SIV). As with many
historical booms and burst bubbles, a different world will emerge from this, the worst
financial crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s. New economic, financial,
political, legal and social structures and regulations will be laid down, and the 21st
century will be shaped by how the global economy survives profound uncertainties.

2/ GLOBAL POWER SHIFT
The BRIC economies are moving fast. China is in the lead, with a
GDP having already overtaken western European economies, and
predicted to catch the USA by 2035. India next, with a GDP due to
overtake most of Europe by 2020 and the USA by 2040. Russia in
third place will catch most of western Europe by 2035. Bringing up
the rear (but with energy) is Brazil, on track to catch the Europeans
by 2040. With such growth rates, the economies of the BRICs en
masse could equal those of the G7 by 2032.

3/ TECHNOLOGIES
Get ready for some truly disruptive
technologies that will profoundly
change the way things are done – in
the same way the car, air transport
and the Internet changed societies in
the 20th century. Further incremental
changes of existing technologies will
continue to impact our modern world
– but these will only go so far before
improvements diminish.

4/ CLIMATE CHANGE
It’s a fact. Leave the incessant arguments about who or what caused the climate to
change and start thinking of ways to live with it. The idea that this goes beyond
simple global warming has been hard for many to grasp. Yet the underlying scientific
evidence is unequivocal – albeit inconvenient: the warming of the last half century is
unusual in at least the previous 1,300 years
This graph, based on the comparison of atmospheric samples contained in ice cores and more recent direct measurements, provides evidence that atmospheric CO2 has
increased since the Industrial Revolution. (Credit: Vostok ice core data/J.R. Petit et al.; NOAA Mauna Loa CO2 record.)

5/ WATER & FOOD SCARCITY
Drinkable water is the next oil (gold, diamonds or whatever
other precious resource you care for) and without radical
changes in its management, it is only going to get scarcer.
Undernourishment decreased during the last century, but
with increasing food prices it has been on the rise again in
this. The irony is that while the poor world will continue to
starve, the rich world’s excessive calorie consumption is
leading to obesity, heart failure and diabetes, and food
waste is becoming an expensive problem.

6 / EDUCATIONAL ISSUES
In most countries girls have problems getting into education; boys
have problems staying there. Such issues extend into adulthood.
Over 775 million adults worldwide – or 16 percent of the world’s
population – cannot read health advice, manage a bank account,
read an advertisement. If people can’t read or write, how can they
possibly solve 21st-century problems?

7 / DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
With increasing life expectancy, lower
child mortality and decreasing fertility
across both developed and emerging
economies come new demographic
challenges for the 21st century. By
2050 the world population will rise
from the current 6.8 billion people to
reach 9.2 billion – with most growth in
emerging and developing-economy
nations. This may be a lot for the
planet to sustain, but this population
level is then predicted to level off and
stabilize.

8/ WAR, TERRORISM, SOCIAL UNREST
Humans have a history of violence and antisocial behavior.
The 21st century has started badly, with war, terrorism,
social unrest, piracy, organized crime, illicit trade, corruption,
governance failures, fragile states and proliferation of
weapons all high on the global agenda.

9/ ENERGY
It’s what makes our world go round. Each American has the equivalent of 100
servants working for them in the form of powered gadgets. Human demand for
energy is insatiable, and, having grown by 50 percent since 1980, it is likely to go
exponential within the next 30 years – especially with the BRICs so keen to get up to
speed. This will put huge pressure on fossil fuels, which still represent nearly 90
percent of global energy consumption.

10/ HEALTH
In poor nations, 34 percent die before 14 years old, and 44 percent between 15 and
69 – many from relatively easy-to-treat conditions such as diarrhea. Without
profound change, the UN declaration of health and well-being as a human right is a
pipe-dream for over half of the world’s population. Yet, while being rich is a help, it is
no guarantee of health. Spiraling costs, pandemics, drug resistant superbugs, new
child illnesses, more old-age, sedentary and urban chronic illnesses: burdens are
increasing upon public and private health systems already showing stretch-marks.

11/ ECOSYSTEMS & BIODIVERSITY
We currently use resources and dump waste as though we had 1.4 planet
Earths. By 2050, we will be using up the equivalent of two Earths to
support our increasingly unsustainable ways. Many, many creatures have
disappeared from planet Earth as a result of this BIG ecological footprint.
Of species we know about, there is 40 percent less abundance of life now
than there was in 1970. With extinction rates predicted to spiral out of
control, we are heading towards a “Living Planet Index” of zero by 2050.

12/ NATURAL DISASTERS
Over 200 million people are now affected by disasters each year. In the 1970s it was
only 50 million per year. Earthquakes and droughts remain the main killers, but
floods and storms are the hazards that affect most people. Crowded cities, unsafe
constructions, lack of urban planning, destruction of natural buffers, and climate
change have all combined to expose over 3 percent of the world’s population to
natural disaster per year.

Sample of our
Design-Fiction
workshops
Examples of workshop we
design & facilitate

#BlackMirror Scenarios
Sequences Timing
Introduction 10’
Team afternoon overview 30’
Team BlackMirror
Storyboard
30’
3’ fiction production 20’
Total time 90’
« The teams will have an artistic exercice to close the first day of
their seminar. They will be invited to write and produce a HRtech
futuristic scenario for a famous video streaming platform. The
activity will have various constraints to foster their creativity: they
will have to deliver a 3 minutes video-teaser ; they will need to
create the scenarios based on their insights of the day; the
scenario should be about the impact of a given technology on
relationships at work … »
Using the famous British science-fiction show BlackMirror, we
will guide the 15 teams to create their own futuristic scenarios.
The show is remarkable as it uses few to none special effects to
immerse the audience into a dystopian future.
This workshop will explore how the widespread of a technology,
its principles and practices could lead to potential societal and
ethical challenges for corporate people.
The deliverables of the 15 teams could be in various format:
novel, video teaser, futuristic photo-story using special effect &
voice over...
These deliverables will be shared in plenary the next day.

#Future Storyboarding workshop
Sequence Timing
Stormz the Hero’s Fantastic Universe 20’
Creating Vilains, Wizard and Artefacts 30’
Storyboard of the Intro 30’
Storyboard of the Quest 60’
Storyboard of the Outro & Morality Closing 30’
Starting from your question “What is the leadership of the future?”
we would like to invite the track to define their unique stories of
leadership.
The focus of the afternoon of Day 2 will be to create the visual to
support the story created.
Each team will be supported by a visual artist with an authentic style.
The team will collaborate to create the universe, the characters and
the elements illustrating the Hero’s Quest.
At the end of the afternoon, the artists will continue to work on the
visual and screens of the storyboard to present them the next
morning to their teams.
> A collective project to inspire kids all over the world
4 teams will create 4 different fairy tales. These stories will be
consolidated in « The Leaders of Tomorrow Tales».
Extra-mile: One can think about distributing these tales to Parents for
their kids. Inspire the next generation ... *

#Bright Mirror workshop
http://bluenove.com/blog/bright-mirror-saison-2/
https://usbeketrica.com/article/bright-mirror-une-fiction-collaborative-pour-mettre-de-l-
utopie-dans-le-futur
As our technological mastery progresses, we project our fantasies
and anxieties at an equally accelerated pace. Fiction, by its ability to
guide our imagination, has the responsibility to produce utopia and a
desirable future, against its dystopic temptation. Rather than the drifts
anticipated by the Black Mirror series, the "Bright Mirror" project
wants to build a collaborative and optimistic work. The project,
thought by Bluenove and The Future Society, starts on February 15th
with the writing of short novels around artificial intelligence. A platform
open to all encourages Internet users to make their contribution to
"prototyping human optimism".
http://bluenove.com/blog/bright-mirror-prototypez-votre-futur-desirable/

Sources
http://www.iftf.org/leadersmakethefuture/
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B7Bn-
eBPZZX7Ty1fS3JsMTFqbjQ/view
https://www.palgrave.co
m/la/book/97802302848
69
https://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/
no-ordinary-disruption

kristy.anamoutou@bluenove.com

Leaders design the future

Recommandé

Recommandé

Contenu connexe

Similaire à Leaders design the future

Similaire à Leaders design the future (20)

Plus de Kristy Anamoutou

Plus de Kristy Anamoutou (9)

Dernier

Dernier (20)

Leaders design the future